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Date: Mon, 6 Jul 2009 12:40:05 +0300
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From: Digwuren <digwuren@gmail.com>
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	Content preview:  On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 01:39, Dorin Cheptea
	<dorin.cheptea@gmail.com> wrote: > More seriously, they would probably
	want to claim that the actions in >> Transnistria are mainly instigated
	by Transnistria's government, which means >> they might be quite happy
	to just have a couple thousand active-duty specnaz >> personnel take
	"vacations" in Transnistria, ride in there in civilian >> clothes, and
	then, completely spontaneously get involved in hostilities. >> It's not
	like they *need* to ship in a lot of military hardware, if I >>
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	>> equipment at most. >> > > But they are already there. Moreover, they
	can do the same things in > Chisinau, not only in Tiraspol. > [...] 
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Subject: Re: [WPM] Russavia branching out (Transnistria)?
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	Content preview:  On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 01:39, Dorin Cheptea
	<dorin.cheptea@gmail.com> wrote: > More seriously, they would probably
	want to claim that the actions in >> Transnistria are mainly instigated
	by Transnistria's government, which means >> they might be quite happy
	to just have a couple thousand active-duty specnaz >> personnel take
	"vacations" in Transnistria, ride in there in civilian >> clothes, and
	then, completely spontaneously get involved in hostilities. >> It's not
	like they *need* to ship in a lot of military hardware, if I >>
	understand properly; they can probably do with a carload or two of C&C
	>> equipment at most. >> > > But they are already there. Moreover, they
	can do the same things in > Chisinau, not only in Tiraspol. > [...] 
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On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 01:39, Dorin Cheptea <dorin.cheptea@gmail.com> wrote:

> More seriously, they would probably want to claim that the actions in
>> Transnistria are mainly instigated by Transnistria's government, which means
>> they might be quite happy to just have a couple thousand active-duty specnaz
>> personnel take "vacations" in Transnistria, ride in there in civilian
>> clothes, and then, completely spontaneously get involved in hostilities.
>>  It's not like they *need* to ship in a lot of military hardware, if I
>> understand properly; they can probably do with a carload or two of C&C
>> equipment at most.
>>
>
> But they are already there. Moreover, they can do the same things in
> Chisinau, not only in Tiraspol.
>

Even seeing what's going on between Belarus and Russia, I don't think they'd
want to go after Chisinau.  But they might want to swing their battleaxes
around to secure a more valuable bargaining position in the talks with USA,
and there aren't that many choices.  Chechnya has gotten old already, and
Nagorno-Karabakh is significantly harder to reach by Western journalists.

BUT: who wants to fight when you get everything just by asking?
>

One who believes that it is important in life to be feared.

There is no war for them to fight in Transnistria, Moldova itself, or
> anywhere near.
>

I think that about twenty years ago, Moldovan army managed to hold a
shooting mini-war all by itself.  Why can't Russia do the same, if it finds
it suitable to its interests?

The best solution for us is to get rid of our national puppets to Russia
> (Voronin and Co in Moldova, Yanukovich and Co in Ukraine, should I continues
> to name guys like that in Romania? because they do exist!).
>

Meanwhile, Russia is probably interested in removing Yushchenko in Ukraine.


> We can resolve the issue of Transnistria between Moldova and Ukraine if
> both countries have serious governments defending national interests. Russia
> would wake up in the morning with no Transnistria.
>

Russia has long supported destabilising little countries around its borders.

-- 
Andres Soolo

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<div class=3D"gmail_quote">On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 01:39, Dorin Cheptea <spa=
n dir=3D"ltr">&lt;<a href=3D"mailto:dorin.cheptea@gmail.com">dorin.cheptea@=
gmail.com</a>&gt;</span> wrote:<br><blockquote class=3D"gmail_quote" style=
=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">
<div class=3D"gmail_quote"><div class=3D"im"><blockquote class=3D"gmail_quo=
te" style=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex"=
><div class=3D"gmail_quote"><div>More seriously, they would probably want t=
o claim that the actions in Transnistria are mainly instigated by Transnist=
ria&#39;s government, which means they might be quite happy to just have a =
couple thousand active-duty specnaz personnel take &quot;vacations&quot; in=
 Transnistria, ride in there in civilian clothes, and then, completely spon=
taneously get involved in hostilities. =C2=A0It&#39;s not like they *need* =
to ship in a lot of military hardware, if I understand properly; they can p=
robably do with a carload or two of C&amp;C equipment at most.</div>

<div>
<div></div></div></div></blockquote><div><br></div></div><div>But they are =
already there. Moreover, they can do the same things in Chisinau, not only =
in Tiraspol.</div></div></blockquote><div><br></div><div>Even seeing what&#=
39;s going on between Belarus and Russia, I don&#39;t think they&#39;d want=
 to go after Chisinau. =C2=A0But they might want to swing their battleaxes =
around to secure a more valuable bargaining position in the talks with USA,=
 and there aren&#39;t that many choices. =C2=A0Chechnya has gotten old alre=
ady, and Nagorno-Karabakh is significantly harder to reach by Western journ=
alists.</div>
<div><br></div><blockquote class=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex=
;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;"><div class=3D"gmail_quote"><=
div>BUT: who wants to fight when you get everything just by asking?</div></=
div>
</blockquote><div><br></div><div>One who believes that it is important in l=
ife to be feared.</div><div><br></div><blockquote class=3D"gmail_quote" sty=
le=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;"><div =
class=3D"gmail_quote">
<div>There is no war for them to fight in Transnistria,=C2=A0Moldova itself=
,=C2=A0or anywhere near.</div></div></blockquote><div><br></div><div>I thin=
k that about twenty years ago, Moldovan army managed to hold a shooting min=
i-war all by itself. =C2=A0Why can&#39;t Russia do the same, if it finds it=
 suitable to its interests?</div>
<div><br></div><blockquote class=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex=
;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;"><div class=3D"gmail_quote"><=
div>The best solution for us is to get rid of our national puppets to Russi=
a (Voronin and Co in Moldova, Yanukovich and Co in Ukraine, should I contin=
ues to name guys like that in Romania? because they do exist!).</div>
</div></blockquote><div><br></div><div>Meanwhile, Russia is probably intere=
sted in removing Yushchenko in Ukraine.</div><div>=C2=A0</div><blockquote c=
lass=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;=
padding-left:1ex;">
<div class=3D"gmail_quote"><div>We can resolve the issue of Transnistria be=
tween Moldova and Ukraine if both countries have serious governments defend=
ing national interests. Russia would wake up in the morning with no Transni=
stria.</div>
</div></blockquote><div><br></div><div>Russia has long supported destabilis=
ing little countries around its borders.</div><div><br></div><div>--=C2=A0<=
/div></div>Andres Soolo<br>

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