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# The Global Intelligence Files

On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered "global intelligence" company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.

## [MESA] INDIA SWEEP 30 NOVEMBER 2011

Released on 2012-09-19 09:00 GMT

Email-ID | 196693
Date | 2011-11-30 14:26:14
From | animesh.roul@stratfor.com
To | os@stratfor.com, mesa@stratfor.com
List-Name | mesa@stratfor.com

INDIA SWEEP 30 NOVEMBER 2011
=E2=80=A2 A consortium of Indian companies led by Steel Authority of India =
will need a total investment of $11 billion in a planned steel plant and to=
develop iron ore mines in Afghanistan, the steelmaker's chairman said on W=
ednesday.
=E2=80=A2 The UP unit of the Indian Against Corruption (IAC) on Wednesday a=
ccused Congress-led UPA government of serving American interests by allowin=
g foreign direct investment (FDI) in the retail sector but overlooking inte=
rests of its own people by drafting a 'weak' Lokpal Bill to curb rampant co=
rruption in the country.=20
=E2=80=A2 China's military denounced the United States and Australia on Wed=
nesday for upgrading military ties, warning that such moves could erode tru=
st and fan Cold War-era antagonism.Chinese Defence Ministry spokesman Geng =
Yansheng made the warning about a plan unveiled in mid-November by U.S. Pre=
sident Barack Obama and Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard to form a d=
e facto base in north Australia for up to 2,500 U.S. Marines. The idea of a=
n Australian, Indian and U.S. trilateral security dialogue, in part to coun=
ter China's rising might, has been pushed by a trio of think-tanks in all t=
hree countries, but has yet to be adopted by any government.
=E2=80=A2 As part of a memorandum, 20 servicemen of the Kyrgyz Defence Mini=
stry left for India on 29 November to take part in joint commando training =
codenamed Kanjar-2011 [Dagger], the Kyrgyz Defence Ministry's press service=
has said.
=E2=80=A2 The Indian Defence Ministry has cleared a proposal worth over 3,0=
00 crore rupees for procuring 20 more Hawk Advanced Jet Trainers (AJTs) for=
the Indian Air Force (IAF) which will use them for its Surya Kiran Aerobat=
ics Team (SKAT).
=E2=80=A2 Describing India as a powerhouse increasingly critical to the con=
duct of global affairs, US Senator John Kerry has said the two countries ca=
n work together in addressing the challenges of the region and the world.=
=20
=E2=80=A2 Around 2,500 terrorists are present in a number of launch pads in=
Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK) and Pakistan, Government today said. "A nu=
mber of training camps and launching pads are reportedly active in PoK/Paki=
stan. As per assessment, there are around 2,500 terrorists present in PoK/ =
Pakistan," Minister of State for Home Jitendra Singh told Rajya Sabha in a =
written reply.=20
FULL TEXT
India SAIL-led consortium sees $11 bln investment in Afghanistan
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/30/sail-afghanistan-idUSL4E7MU12O201=
11130
Wed Nov 30, 2011 3:56am EST=20
* Consortium plans to build 6 mln T steel plant in Afghanistan
* Was awarded rights to develop three blocks of huge Hajigak mines
* Steel plant to cost $7 bln-$7.5 bln-SAIL chair (Adds details)
NEW DELHI, Nov 30 (Reuters) - A consortium of Indian companies led by Steel=
Authority of India will need a total investment of $11 billion in a planne=
d steel plant and to develop iron ore mines in Afghanistan, the steelmaker'=
s chairman said on Wednesday.
The Afghan government awarded the rights to develop three blocks of the hug=
e Hajigak iron ore concession in central Afghanistan to the consortium, whi=
le a fourth block at the deposit was won by Canada's Kilo Goldmines Ltd.
The Indian consortium plans to build a steel plant in Afghanistan with an a=
nnual capacity of 6 million tonnes, SAIL Chairman C.S. Verma told reporters=
in New Delhi, adding the plant would need investment of $7 billion to $7.5=
billion and the remainder would be for developing the mines.
State-run SAIL is the biggest steelmaker in India, with an annual capacity =
of about 15 million tonnes.
The other members of the consortium are: state-run miner NMDC Ltd and steel=
maker Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd (RINL), and private sector steelmakers JSW =
Steel Ltd, JSW Ispat Steel Ltd, Jindal Steel & Power Ltd and Monnet Ispat &=
Energy Ltd.
"We'll need to borrow some from financial institutions. We'll need some fac=
ilities and assistance from both the Indian and Afghan governments," Verma =
said.
The Hajigak deposit contains an estimated 1.8 billion tonnes of ore, with a=
n iron concentration of 64 percent, the Afghan mines ministry has said. The=
figures are based on a survey carried out in the 1960s.
The huge investment necessary to develop Hajigak will be welcomed by the ca=
sh-strapped Afghan government, but the deal could cause problems with neigh=
bouring Pakistan, which fears closer cooperation between India and Afghanis=
tan.
The United Nations said this year violence across Afghanistan is at its wor=
st since the Taliban regime was toppled 10 years ago, although the NATO-led=
alliance of foreign troops says attacks on its forces by insurgents are no=
w falling.=20
FDI in India: Government preferring American interest over its own people, =
says Team Anna
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/FDI-in-India-Government-preferring=
-American-interest-over-its-own-people-says-Team-Anna/articleshow/10932195.=
cms
LUCKNOW: The UP unit of the Indian Against Corruption (IAC) on Wednesday ac=
cused Congress-led UPA government of serving American interests by allowing=
foreign direct investment (FDI) in the retail sector but overlooking inter=
ests of its own people by drafting a 'weak' Lokpal Bill to curb rampant cor=
ruption in the country.=20
Sanjay Singh, member of Team Anna and IAC core committee, said that as per =
media reports the Lokpal Bill drafted by the government of India is weak, c=
ontrary to the resolution passed by the Parliament in August earlier this y=
ear after Anna Hazare's hunger strike. The purpose of providing relief to '=
aam aadmi' through the institution of Lokpal would be defeated if lower bur=
eaucracy, police stations, tehsils, regional transport office, government h=
ospitals and those responsible for implementing MNREGA among others which a=
ffect people at the grassroots are kept out of lokpal's jurisdiction, he ad=
ded.=20
Singh said that the UPA government took the major decision to allow FDI in =
retail sector overnight without consulting anyone but is not ready to bring=
a strong Lokpal, which has been supported by people across the country, to=
fight corruption. "Government seems to concerned about American interests =
instead of Indians. We will oppose the Congress in UP elections, if its gov=
ernment fails to bring a strong Lokpal," he added.=20
The Team Anna member also informed that the IAC will observe December 5 as =
'warning day' across UP to mount pressure on the UPA government for a stron=
g Lokpal Bill. After a day long fast, volunteers of IAC will be take out pr=
ocession in all the districts of the state. Ihe event will be a warning up =
exercise for the battle ahead for a strong Lokpal due to start later in Dec=
ember.=20
Anna has announced that he will sit on a day long fast in Delhi on December=
11 and if government fails to bring a strong Lokpal by December 22 in the =
ongoing winter session of the Parliament, he would again sit on hunger stri=
ke, he said. The 'warning day' to be observed in UP is the prelude to the s=
econd round of Lokpal movement to curb corruption.
China military denounces U.S.-Australia defence upgrade
Chris Buckley, ReutersNovember 30, 2011, 11:19 pm
http://au.news.yahoo.com/world/a/-/world/12206003/china-military-denounces-=
u-s-australia-defence-upgrade/
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's military denounced the United States and Austra=
lia on Wednesday for upgrading military ties, warning that such moves could=
erode trust and fan Cold War-era antagonism.
Chinese Defence Ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng made the warning about a p=
lan unveiled in mid-November by U.S. President Barack Obama and Australian =
Prime Minister Julia Gillard to form a de facto base in north Australia for=
up to 2,500 U.S. Marines.
Geng's comments came on the same day Australian Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd=
was reported as backing the formation of a security pact with India and th=
e United States, another step that could fuel China's worries of being fenc=
ed in by wary neighbours.
"Military alliances are a product of history, but we believe any strengthen=
ing and expansion of military alliances is an expression of the Cold War me=
ntality," Geng said in answer to a question about the U.S.-Australian annou=
ncement, according to a transcript on the ministry's website (www.mod.gov.c=
n.).
"This is not in keeping with the tide of the era of peace, development and =
cooperation and does not help to enhance mutual trust and cooperation betwe=
en countries in the region, and could ultimately harm the common interests =
of all concerned," he said.
"We hope that the parties concerned will do more that is beneficial to the =
peace and stability of the Asia-Pacific region, and not the contrary."
But the Chinese spokesman indicated that Beijing was not shunning Washingto=
n. Chinese and U.S. defence officials, led by Under Secretary of Defence Mi=
chele Flournoy, will hold talks in Beijing next Wednesday, Geng told the br=
iefing.
Earlier this month, Obama told Asia-Pacific leaders that the United States =
was "here to stay," announced the plans to set up the de facto military bas=
e in north Australia and chided China for trying to prevent discussion of i=
ts South China Sea territorial disputes at regional forums.
The Chinese Ministry of Defence is the public mouthpiece of the People's Li=
beration Army (PLA), but foreign reporters are not allowed to attend its br=
iefings.
COOPERATION OR CONFRONTATION?
Although falling short of full-throated condemnation of the U.S.-Australian=
move, Geng's words were tougher than earlier reaction from China's Foreign=
Ministry, which said Washington and Canberra should focus on cooperating w=
ith Beijing.
Geng said the idea raised by U.S. and Australian officials of advancing "in=
tegrated air and sea combat" amounted to "trumpeting confrontation and sacr=
ificing others' security for the sake of one's own security."
Chinese President Hu Jintao has made clear that he wants to avoid repeating=
the rifts that soured ties with Washington in the first half of 2011. Hu r=
etires from power late next year, when the U.S. is focused on its president=
ial race, making China's leaders especially reluctant to risk distracting r=
ows.
Beijing is also still licking its wounds from last year, when loud maritime=
disputes with Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines and other neighbours fanned =
suspicions about China's intentions.
Chinese military officers have, however, sometimes taken a tougher stance o=
n security worries than civilian officials.
Earlier this week, PLA Major General Luo Yuan, well-known for his hawkish v=
iews, warned that Obama's regional push showed that the United States wante=
d to encircle China.
The comments from Australian Foreign Minister Rudd could also magnify such =
fears among Chinese observers.
A new trilateral pact bringing in India into a U.S.-Australian security ten=
t was worth exploring because "from little things big things grow," Kevin R=
udd said in an interview with the Australian Financial Review newspaper.
"The response from the Indian government has really been quite positive," s=
aid Rudd.
The idea of an Australian, Indian and U.S. trilateral security dialogue, in=
part to counter China's rising might, has been pushed by a trio of think-t=
anks in all three countries, but has yet to be adopted by any government.
At a briefing in Beijing, Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei did not comme=
nt directly on Rudd's statement.
"China hopes that countries in the region will do more to promote regional =
peace, stability and development," Hong said in answer to a question about =
the proposal.
India's Foreign Ministry did not comment on Rudd's statement. But Indian an=
alysts said Delhi was likely to be cool on the idea, partly out of reluctan=
ce to risk riling China.
"The Indian political establishment has always been wary of the idea of a m=
ilitary alliance," said Uday Bhaskar, the head of the National Maritime Fou=
ndation, a New Delhi-based think tank.
Kyrgyz commandos leave for India to take part in joint drills=20
Text of report by privately-owned online news agency Kyrgyz Telegraph Agenc=
y=20
Bishkek, 29 November: As part of a memorandum, 20 servicemen of the Kyrgyz =
Defence Ministry left for India on 29 November to take part in joint comman=
do training codenamed Kanjar-2011 [Dagger], the Kyrgyz Defence Ministry's p=
ress service has said.
"A memorandum on holding joint training was signed in mid November 2011 dur=
ing a visit to India by a Kyrgyz delegation led by the head of the departme=
nt for combat training, Col Artur Temirov," the [press service's] statement=
said.
According to the document, Kyrgyz-Indian training is to be held at a comman=
do training school in the town of Nahan. From the Indian side, servicemen o=
f the ninth battalion's commando parachute regiment will take part in the t=
raining.
"In line with the memorandum, India pays for all the Kyrgyz servicemen's tr=
avel, accommodation, food and material (fuel and ammunitions) expenses," th=
e statement said.
The main goal of the joint training is to boost cooperation between the two=
countries and to exchange experience in conducting special combat operatio=
ns against terrorism in mountainous areas.
Indian Defence Ministry clears acquisition of 20 advanced jet trainers - PT=
I=20
Text of report by Indian news agency PTI=20
New Delhi, 29 November: The Indian Defence Ministry has cleared a proposal =
worth over 3,000 crore rupees for procuring 20 more Hawk Advanced Jet Train=
ers (AJTs) for the Indian Air Force (IAF) which will use them for its Surya=
Kiran Aerobatics Team (SKAT).=20
The decision was made a meeting of the Defence Acquisition Council (DAC) he=
aded by Defence Minister A K Antony on Friday, Ministry sources said here.
India had placed orders for 123 Hawks with the British BAE Systems in two p=
hases. The first order for 66 aircraft was placed by India in 2004, of whic=
h more than 40 have already
arrived. The second order for 57 aircraft was placed in June last year.
An indication about IAF's intention to procure these aircraft for SKAT was =
given by Air Chief Marshal N A K Browne at the Air Force Day parade on Octo=
ber 8.
"I assure you that in three years, the team will rise again in national col=
ours on the Hawk AJT," he had said.
SKAT, which was formed in 1996 with HJT-16 Kiran trainer planes, is now bei=
ng used for training of pilots.
The Hawks have been inducted into the IAF to provide intermediate training =
to young pilots for graduating from the subsonic HJT-16 aircraft to the sup=
ersonic MiG-21s.
IAF's experience with the Hawks aircraft has not been smooth as their induc=
tion into the force has been hit by shortcomings in supply of kits by the B=
AE Systems.
US, India can work together to address global challenges: John Kerry
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics/nation/us-india-can-work-=
together-to-address-global-challenges-john-kerry/articleshow/10929533.cms
WASHINGTON: Describing India as a powerhouse increasingly critical to the c=
onduct of global affairs, a top US Senator has said the two countries can w=
ork together in addressing the challenges of the region and the world.=20
"It is just simply a reality that India is a powerhouse, an extraordinary c=
ountry, a place of those vibrant debate, a remarkable cultural diversity, g=
reat political diversity and increasingly critical to the conduct of global=
affairs," said Senator John Kerry, Chairman of the powerful Senate Foreign=
Relations Committee.=20
Kerry was addressing a gathering of his Senate colleagues and eminent India=
n-Americans at a welcome reception today hosted by the Senate India Caucus =
in honor of the new Indian Ambassador to the US, Nirupama Rao.=20
Noting that the two countries share the foundation of democracy; Kerry said=
India and the US have great partnership ahead.=20
"A lot we can do together," said Kerry, who is likely to visit India in a m=
onth or two.=20
"As the Ambassador knows, I intend to be travelling (to India). I had to po=
stpone the trip in the last days but I am looking forward to getting there =
in the next month or two and continue to dialogue about how we work togethe=
r to deal with some very very complicated and challenging issues across," h=
e said.=20
"I am confident, it would grow in South Asia and rest of the world, I am ju=
st looking forward to be part of this exciting moment in history," he said.=
=20
The top American Senator said countries across the globe can learn from Ind=
ia's behavior on the nuclear issue.=20
"Our relationship on nuclear issues is obviously one that has expanded and =
growing," he said.=20
"India's remarkable sense of responsibility with respect to stewardship of =
nuclear power, even though NPT has been something outside that guide post, =
has nevertheless been exemplary and stands as an example to near neighbors =
and others in the world about where the future really lies with respect to =
exercising that responsibility," Kerry said.=20
The Massachusetts Senator also praised the economic reforms unleashed by Pr=
ime Minister Manmohan Singh in 1990s when he was the country's finance mini=
ster.=20
India then was already growing but was a far cry to where it has achieved g=
one in some 15 years, he said.=20
Kerry who took the first Senate business trip to India soon after the launc=
h of the economic reforms has traveled to India a number of times since the=
n.
'2,500 Terrorists Present in Launch Pads in Pak, PoK'
http://news.outlookindia.com/items.aspx?artid=3D742998
Around 2,500 terrorists are present in a number of launch pads in Pakistan=
occupied Kashmir (PoK) and Pakistan, Government today said.
"A number of training camps and launching pads are reportedly active in PoK=
/Pakistan. As per assessment, there are around 2,500 terrorists present in =
PoK/ Pakistan," Minister of State for Home Jitendra Singh told Rajya Sabha =
in a written reply.
The government in tandem with the state government has adopted a multi-pron=
ged approach to contain border infiltration in Jammu and Kashmir, which inc=
ludes, inter alia, strengthening of border management and multi-tiered and =
multi-modal deployment along international borders/Line of Control and infi=
ltration routes, construction of border fencing, improved technology, weapo=
ns and equipment for security forces.
Also they are working on improved intelligence and operational coordination=
, synergising intelligence flow to check infiltration and pro-active action=
against the terrorists within the states, he said.
"The counter-infiltration efforts are reviewed periodically at various leve=
ls in state government and in central government," Singh said.
--=20
Animesh