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# The Global Intelligence Files

On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered "global intelligence" company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.

## Re: [TACTICAL] INSIGHT - More on Ethiopian plane crash and sabotage story

Released on 2012-09-27 05:00 GMT

Email-ID | 1679922
Date | 2010-02-10 19:29:58
From | sean.noonan@stratfor.com
To | reva.bhalla@stratfor.com, tactical@stratfor.com

And this insight could be part of the process.
But again, I know nothing about your source. I think the intel is
pretty interesting, and maybe we should conference call over if this is
going become something more.
Reva Bhalla wrote:
> lebanon is also a place where investigations can be heavily covered up
>
> On Feb 10, 2010, at 12:25 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:
>
>> You blame Mossad, and it's not your country's (and not this source's)
>> problem. For example if HZ was involved, or simply if their
>> airport/control tower/mechanices/whatever are fucked.
>>
>> Reva Bhalla wrote:
>>> but to what end? this military intel source doesn't usually spin
>>> things that heavily. he's more of a neutral informant in ME1's
>>> network. what interest would he or HZ or the leb govt have in
>>> making it look like Israel succeeded in taking out a bunch of HZ guys?
>>>
>>> On Feb 10, 2010, at 11:25 AM, Fred Burton wrote:
>>>
>>>> This runs counter to the NTSB reporting. Looks like the Lebs are
>>>> trying
>>>> to cook the books, no surprise there.
>>>>
>>>> Sean Noonan wrote:
>>>>> Reva,
>>>>>
>>>>> I'm happy to do some work on this if we want to get something out,
>>>>> can
>>>>> you say anymore about how your source fits into the Lebanese
>>>>> gov't...what his/her allegiances are?
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Reva Bhalla wrote:
>>>>>> from yesterday night:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The Lebanese minister of health Jawad Khalifa admitted tonight that
>>>>>> the Ethiopian plane exploded shortly after take off. He added
>>>>>> that the
>>>>>> explosion was not necessarily due to military action, i.e.,
>>>>>> sabotage.
>>>>>> The next of kin of the passengers aboard the plane have been
>>>>>> protesting against the slow recovery of the bodies and the
>>>>>> decision of
>>>>>> the court not to allow them to examine the bodies of the dead. He
>>>>>> says
>>>>>> all the divers were finding were fragments of human flesh mingled
>>>>>> with
>>>>>> wire and metal.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I asked (Lebanese military intel source) to explain what the
>>>>>> minister
>>>>>> of health meant. He told me the plane was sabotaged, but Lebanese
>>>>>> officials did not want to publicly reveal it for several reasons.
>>>>>> Among other reasons, they did not want to hurt the feelings of the
>>>>>> next of kin of the dead about the nature of the grim remains they
>>>>>> are
>>>>>> finding. He told me that the government feels very embarassed
>>>>>> because
>>>>>> of lax security at Beirut airport. Note the minister's admission
>>>>>> that
>>>>>> the plane had exploded.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Feb 10, 2010, at 9:40 AM, Antonia Colibasanu wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> PUBLICATION: background/analysis
>>>>>>> ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
>>>>>>> SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Lebanese military intelligence
>>>>>>> SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
>>>>>>> ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
>>>>>>> SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: analysts
>>>>>>> SOURCE HANDLER: Reva
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> ** There is something more going on here than the pilot error
>>>>>>> story.
>>>>>>> This source has been reliable in the past.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> The initial analysis of the recovered black box of the doomed
>>>>>>> Ethiopian jet did not show pilot error, as previously suggested by
>>>>>>> the Lebanese media. The Lebanese intelligence community believes
>>>>>>> the
>>>>>>> plane was sabotaged by the Mossad. In his opinion, it was the first
>>>>>>> shot in the forthcoming war between Israel and Hizbullah. He
>>>>>>> says the
>>>>>>> Israelis were acting on the false belief that Hasan Nasrallah's
>>>>>>> cousin Hashim Safieddine was among the passengers of the plane.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Safieddine is widely considered as the real number two man in
>>>>>>> HZ. My
>>>>>>> source says it appears as if the Israelis want to get rid of top HZ
>>>>>>> people before war so that they can confuse its command and
>>>>>>> demoralize
>>>>>>> its rank and file.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> The Lebanese are facing a dilemma. They cannot admit that the plane
>>>>>>> was planted with a bomb in Beirut airport for it would reveal the
>>>>>>> extent of security laxity. When I talked to the source about the
>>>>>>> matter he reminded me of the case of the crash of Egypt air in
>>>>>>> North
>>>>>>> America in 1999. The Egyptian authorities did not allow the US to
>>>>>>> publicly reveal the outcome of investigation which pointed to a
>>>>>>> deliberate suicidal crash by the pilot al-Battuti. The plane
>>>>>>> exploded
>>>>>>> in mid air. A pilot error would have caused the plane to lose
>>>>>>> balance
>>>>>>> and crash at sea. Please note that word about possible piot error
>>>>>>> resurfaced after the minister of health talked about an explosion.
>>>>>>> Late, he had to issue a clarification that the explosion was not
>>>>>>> necessarily the result of military action. Note that he used
>>>>>>> "necessarily" while he could have ruled it out outright. The
>>>>>>> minister
>>>>>>> of health apparently lost his temper and mentioned "explosion"
>>>>>>> after
>>>>>>> the next of kin of the passengers caused disturbanmces and insisted
>>>>>>> on seeing the bodies of the dead. He told them there were no
>>>>>>> bodies,
>>>>>>> but pieces of flesh.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> --
>>>>> Sean Noonan
>>>>> Analyst Development Program
>>>>> Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
>>>>> www.stratfor.com
>>>>>
>>>
>>
>> --
>> Sean Noonan
>> Analyst Development Program
>> Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
>> www.stratfor.com
>>
>
--
Sean Noonan
Analyst Development Program
Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
www.stratfor.com