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# The Global Intelligence Files

On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered "global intelligence" company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.

## MALI/EAST ASIA/CHINA/FSU/MESA - BBC Monitoring quotes from China, Taiwan press 20 Oct 11 - IRAN/RUSSIA/CHINA/JAPAN/TAIWAN/ISRAEL/INDIA/HONG KONG/PHILIPPINES/VIETNAM/MALI/UK

Released on 2012-09-19 09:00 GMT

Email-ID | 739925
Date | 2011-10-20 09:22:07
From | nobody@stratfor.com
To | translations@stratfor.com
List-Name | translations@stratfor.com

BBC Monitoring quotes from China, Taiwan press 20 Oct 11
The following is a selection of quotes from editorials and commentaries
carried in 17-20 October 2011 website editions of mainland Chinese, Hong
Kong and Taiwan newspapers and news portals available to BBC Monitoring.
Unless otherwise stated, the quotes are in Chinese. The figure in
brackets after the quote indicates the date of publication on the
website
Middle East
Beijing's Renmin Ribao (Chinese Communist Party newspaper People's
Daily) overseas edition: www.people.com.cn "...Why did Israel use the
high price of 1,027 prisoners in exchange for a one ordinary soldier
[Gilad Shalit]?.. Israel hopes that this 'loss-making deal' will reverse
its passive situation in foreign affairs. Recently, Israel's foreign
policy has been besieged on all fronts... Israel seems to want to use
the prisoner swap to repair relations with Arab countries..." (Ge Yan)
(20)
Hong Kong's Ta Kung Pao (Beijing-backed daily): www.takungpao.com "...It
is not difficult to see that the so-called 'assassination-gate' is just
an excuse for the US to attack Iran. Even without the assassination of
the Saudi ambassador, there would still all kinds of other 'gates', with
different approaches but only one goal: To further isolate and weaken
Iran... China and Russia, who have always maintained a neutral stance on
the issue of Iran, may have difficulty staying aloof. Top US officials
have already called on China and Russia to exert pressure to ensure the
effectiveness of sanctions on Iran. Both countries should be fully
prepared in this respect." (Commentary) (20)
South China Sea
Beijing's China Daily (state-run newspaper) in English:
www.chinadaily.com.cn "It is no exaggeration to say that the Philippines
has been feverishly raising the temperature of the South China Sea
issue. It started its 11-day war games with the US on Monday [17
October] and pointed a finger at the agreement reached between China and
Vietnam last week on maritime issues... Being involved in maritime
disputes with China does not grant Manila the right to interfere in the
bilateral agreement between Beijing and Hanoi... As Manila's real
intention is to draw support from countries outside the region, such as
the US and Japan, the multilateral approach will only further complicate
the issue and bring more trouble to already troubled waters..."
(Commentary) (20)
Beijing's Huanqiu Shibao (Global Times) website: www.huanqiu.com "...The
time has come for China to develop oil and gas resources in the Paracel
and Spratly islands... The steps that need to be taken now are: First,
determining a number of Spratly Island blocks (preferably areas with
overlapping claims by countries, followed by the waters of Reed
Tablemount and North Vanguard Bank). Second, inviting disputing parties
to form a joint development mechanism to carry out exploration and
development... Third, if the countries concerned have no intention to
participate, then China can unilaterally offer an international
tender... Fourth, if the tender is not satisfactory, then China should
carry out sole development, while opening the door to cooperation with
the countries concerned..." (Xue Li, deputy director, Division of
International Strategy, Institute of World Economics and Politics,
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences) (18)
Beijing's Zhongguo Wang (China Internet Information Centre, under State
Council Information Centre) web portal: www.china.com.cn "...The US'
'return to Asia' and 'return to Southeast Asia' have become a
geostrategic political change in Asia-Pacific. In order to achieve its
goal of 'returning to Asia', creating conflicts and muddying the
situation are the US' commonly used measures. An increasingly powerful
China is the US' best target and the best excuse for the US' 'return to
Asia'... The US can also attain its goal of containing and suppressing
China by backing the Philippines..." (Wen Ziren) (19)
Beijing's People's Daily Online (Chinese Communist Party news portal)
website in English: english.people.com.cn "...Unlike Japan, India's
intervention into the affairs in the South China Sea is at most to just
show its presence there... The politics in the South China Sea have no
strategic value for India. It is irrational for India, which is near the
oil-rich Persian Gulf, to have a special demand for oil and gas
resources in the South China Sea..." (Prof Zhang Wenmu, Centre for
Strategic Studies, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;
from Beijing newspaper Global Times) (19)
Shanghai's Jiefang Ribao (Liberation Daily): www.jfdaily.com.cn "The
November edition of the US 'Foreign Policy' magazine published a signed
article by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton: 'America's Pacific
Century'... The Asia-Pacific region is undergoing a historic change of
power and the US is afraid and worried about losing its top-spot
position. In fact, neither Asian countries nor China have an intention
to 'drive the US away', and no-one wants to demote the US to 'the
world's number-two'.... It is hoped that Hillary and US leaders can
adapt further to changing times and truly realize that the Pacific Ocean
is the Pacific Ocean of the people of the Pacific. It will not and
cannot be America's 'domain'." (Wang Yusheng, executive director, Centre
for Strategic Studies, China Foundation for International Studies and
Academic Exchanges, Beijing) (20)
Hong Kong's Phoenix Satellite TV website: www.ifeng.com "...What is the
story behind the 'hostile forces' mentioned in China and Vietnam's joint
statement [on resolving bilateral maritime disputes]?.. The 'hostile
forces' jointly faced by Vietnam and China are neither other ASEAN
claimant countries, nor Japan and India. Neither carry enough weight and
cannot be called 'hostile forces' jointly faced by China and Vietnam. To
put it plainly, the 'hostile forces' refer to the US..." (Xue Litai,
researcher, Centre for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford
University, US) (19)
Mekong River killings
Beijing's China Daily in English: "...Concerted efforts should be made
to prevent such tragedy [murder of Chinese crew on Mekong River on 5
October] from recurring and hindering bilateral trade between China and
member states of ASEAN, for which they have to take four necessary
measures. One, bordering countries should intensify patrolling on the
Mekong... The four countries should use the killings of Chinese crew
members as a turning point in their anti-pirate campaign in crime-prone
areas... Police from each of the four countries should organize
self-defence courses for crew members plying the Mekong on a regular
basis... The four countries should realize that shortage of food and an
ailing economy force people to traffic narcotics, hijack ships and
engage in other criminal activities for survival..." (Song Qingrun,
Department of Southeast Asian and Oceanian Studies, China Institute of
Contemporary International Relations) (20)
Japan
Beijing's Huanqiu Shibao website: "...What are [Japanese Prime Minister]
Yoshihiko Noda's intentions in launching new diplomacy? First, Japan
wants to strengthen and reinforce the Japan-US alliance... Second, what
is most important is to coordinate with the US to curb the momentum of
China's rise, and slow down the pace of China's rapid development...
Finally, he wants to fulfil Japan's dream of becoming a major power...
However, the implementation process and feasibility of these plans have
multiple difficulties. Can't you see that the Noda cabinet's support
rate has dropped by 10 percentage points? It will be difficult for a
short-lived Japanese cabinet to implement a long-term foreign policy."
(Pang Zhongpeng, researcher, Institute of Japanese Studies, Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences) (19)
Russia
Beijing's Renmin Ribao domestic edition: "...The West's concerns about
Russia's future choices have never been eliminated... The West's
response is full of ideological colours. Its harsh cynicism is
ostensibly for [Russian Prime Minister] Putin personally, but in
reality, it is questioning Russia's political system... Russia's changes
should extend along a path that is in line with its national conditions.
Russia has already suffered hardship on what kind of development path to
take. Russia will not retake the old path of the Soviet Union and it is
unlikely to evolve based on Western expectations. The West's concerns
reflect reluctance towards the trend of world multipolarization..."
(Zhong Sheng, senior editor) (20)
Global economy
Beijing's Renmin Ribao overseas edition: "Recently, Group of 20 finance
ministers and central bank governors adopted new rules at a meeting held
in Paris to strengthen supervision over systemically [important]
financial institutions... Lessons are learned from painful experience.
Since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the world has set its sights
on financial regulation. It is time for those giants who are 'too big to
fail' to accept constraints... This financial crisis has shaken the
global political and economic order, and rebuilding a new international
financial order and formulating new rules has become necessary. This is
already a consensus..." (Zhang Hong, reporter) (20)
Beijing's China Daily in English: "It is a normal market-based operation
by the Chinese government [to divest 36.5bn dollars of its net holdings
of US Treasury debt in August]. It has to do with the volatile market
conditions after the downgrade of the US credit rating." (Interview with
Guo Tianyong, director, China Banking Research Centre, Central
University of Finance and Economics, Beijing) (20)
2. "China should also diversify its rapidly accumulating foreign
reserves by allowing enterprises to use them to acquire resources and
expand overseas investment." (Interview with Yuan Gangming, researcher,
Centre for China in the World Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing)
(20)
Beijing's Global Times (English-language edition of state-run newspaper
Huanqiu Shibao) website in English: www.globaltimes.cn "China is
unlikely to increase its purchase of euro assets before Europe takes
action to rein in its plaguing debt problem. Even if they do buy the
bonds, the amount will have more of a symbolic meaning." (Interview with
Zha Xiaogang, researcher, Shanghai Institute for International Studies)
(20)
Beijing's Zhongguo Qingnian Bao (Chinese Communist Youth League
newspaper China Youth Daily): zqb.cyol.com "...The crisis of a shattered
'American dream' came from Wall Street... The US Democrats and
Republicans are bickering endlessly in order to enter the White House in
2012. Regardless of the differences in the candidates' platforms, they
all have one thing in common - no-one is willing to take the blame for
this mess... In numerous campaign debates, no candidate dares to target
Wall Street, while looking for a scapegoat is their 'most comfortable
option'. Republican candidates in the primaries have in succession
trotted out 'right-wing protectionist' policies, targeting the renminbi
exchange rate and foreign immigrants..." (Yang Liming, reporter,
Washington) (20)
Mainland economy
Beijing's Huanqiu Shibao website: "...We should probably bid farewell to
this subjective term 'collapse'. It was first imposed on China's economy
by the Western media, and it has been used to support ideological
debates specially on China's economy. The debate surrounding whether
China's economy will collapse increasingly resembles a spat and it has
lost its practical significance... In fact, we have encountered various
difficulties in 30 years of reform and opening up, but not one of them
has been insurmountable." (Editorial) (20)
Beijing's Global Times website in English: "...Some believe the
'collapse' of business in Wenzhou heralds the 'collapse' of China's
economy... It's neither a boom nor a collapse... Chinese economists
should tell the truth, including the severity of China's economic issues
and how the effects of these issues play in our rapid economic
development. The truths will provide us with a natural view of our
economy, and we will see that our economic machines may not be operating
well, but it won't be easily shut down either. China is still
developing. It is not heading towards collapse..." (Editorial) (20)
2. "...Fiscal revenue is growing far faster than people's incomes,
making people poorer. And the public has numerous complaints about
government spending... The first regulatory change should address
government income, which I believe should be no more than 30 per cent of
the GDP. And in a developing country like China, I don't think public
spending should be more than 18 per cent of total government spending...
More transparency is needed in local government. Except for military
spending and funds for aerospace exploration, everything should be made
public..." (Interview with Zhou Tianyong, professor in socialist
economic theory, Communist Party of China Party School) (19)
Beijing's Caixin media group website: www.caing.com "...If monetary
policy is relaxed to ease the pressure of tight liquidity on
speculators, it will cause great harm to the economy... China's economic
rebalancing should start and end with curbing the size of the state
sector. Without this, other initiatives are all just to divert
attention. To limit the size of government, tax needs to be cut first...
By rebalancing, China's economy will shift to higher value-added growth.
Only then will China's high growth rates not lead to inflation." (Andy
Xie (Xie Guozhong), independent economist and director, Rosetta Stone
Advisors, Shanghai, and former chief Asia-Pacific economist at Morgan
Stanley) (17)
Beijing's Jiefangjun Bao (Liberation Army Daily): www.pladaily.com.cn
"...Taking into account how the EU's process of debt restructuring in
future must be accompanied by a reduction of the fiscal deficit, the
eurozone's demand for imports from China will shrink. If the European
debt crisis worsens further, it may hit China's economy through exports
and the exchange rate... Although the overall impact of pressure on the
renminbi to appreciate may be weaker than in 2008, it may make small and
medium-sized enterprises [SMEs] in China face greater difficulties."
(Ding Dan, Zhu Jiangshui) (20)
Beijing's China Daily in English: "...The fundamental problem is that
local authorities have never developed a correct view of SMEs... So it
is important that the society emphasizes the significant role SMEs play
in the country's development. With the increasing cost of labour and
harsher restrictions on resources, SMEs need the central and local
governments to create a nurturing business environment and provide
easier access to financing." (Deng Yuwen, senior editor, Xuexi Shibao
(Study Times, Chinese Communist Party Central Party School weekly
newspaper, www.studytimes.com.cn) (20)
Beijing's Zhongguo Wang web portal: "...Looking at the short term, there
is little likelihood of an outbreak of risk in our country's banking
industry, however, debts must always be repaid and concealed risk will
always break out one day. Moreover, another round of emergency-style
credit packages is likely to be relaunched in our country to tackle the
current general downturn in the businesses of SMEs. So, the potential
risks of our country's banking industry not only cannot be averted but
are more likely to continue to accumulate..." (Yang Guoying) (20)
Hong Kong's South China Morning Post in English: www.scmp.com "...While
the Wenzhou crisis seemed to strike without warning, it is the result of
long-standing contradictions in the Chinese economy, such as a decline
in the real economy, high market barriers for privately owned business
and long-term curbs on private financing. In short, the Wenzhou crisis
is a warning to China of a wider and more severe economic problem.
Measures made to tackle this particular storm should apply to the whole
country..." (Hu Shuli, editor-in-chief, Beijing business magazine Xin
Shijie (Century Weekly); from Beijing's Caixin Media website
(www.caing.com)) (20)
Taiwan
Taipei's United Evening News: udn.com "...It is too sensitive for the
two sides of the strait to discuss signing a peace agreement. Communist
China has left a bad record by signing the '17-Point Agreement' with
Tibet but still waging a bloody crackdown. Public concerns must be
answered... The Democratic Progressive Party's immediate reaction
against the cross-strait peace agreement was to continue its attack on
Ma 'gradually turning independence into unification' and 'tilting
towards China and selling out Taiwan', jumping to the conclusion that
'peace' means 'unification'. This is of course a malicious distortion...
Nevertheless, peace is worth the wait, but the path to an agreement is
still far away!" (Editorial) (19)
Taipei's Liberty Times: www.libertytimes.com.tw "...[Taiwan President]
Ma Ying-jeou will either intentionally or unintentionally use the
signing of a peace agreement to push Taiwan towards a 'unification
transition period'. Once the Kuomintang [KMT] and Communists reach a
consensus, Taiwan itself will embark on a road of no return towards
being annexed... If Ma Ying-jeou is elected, the KMT will gain many
seats in the National Assembly and will sign an allegiance and surrender
agreement with China in the name of public opinion in future. This will
be a major unprecedented earth-shattering event since Taiwan's
democratization. Can all 23 million residents of Taiwan still say 'I do
not care about politics' and wait to be sold out politically?"
(Editorial) (20)
Chinese diplomacy, culture
Beijing's Huanqiu Shibao website: "Recently, citizens have complained
from time to time that Chinese diplomacy is 'weak and lacks skill' and
some scholars have called for China to have 'strong diplomacy'. The
author's view is: China's diplomacy has no need to deliberately seek to
be tough in a new era... As a top emerging power, China's rapid
development in recent years has shocked the world. China itself needs to
give a certain understanding to the concerns and doubts in the outside
world... China needs to think of ways to push the outside world to
actively seek positive interaction with China, but also needs to
maintain certain patience and leave time and space for these countries
to gradually adjust concepts and policies." (Wang Zaibang,
vice-president, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations)
(19)
Taipei's Want Daily: news.chinatimes.com "Former UK prime minister
Margaret Thatcher once asserted that a country that can only export
television sets, but cannot export ideas, cannot become a world power.
It is precisely due to this anxiety, that the sixth plenum of the 17th
Communist Party of China Central Committee held four days of discussions
with 'deepening cultural restructuring' as the keynote... After the
Cultural Revolution, traditional culture almost came to a complete halt
on the mainland. Even though it has recovered slightly in the last few
years, it is still partly concealed... If a country still cannot fully
accept its own traditional culture, only selectively accepts the
doctrine of Marxism-Leninism from Western culture and adopts tight
management over the pervasive Internet, deeply fearing its people's
acceptance of Western capitalism, how can it come up with a dynamic and
creative cultural strategy?.." (Editorial) (20)
Sources: As listed
BBC Mon As1 AsPol sl
Source: Quotes package from BBC Monitoring, in English 20 Oct 11
BBC Mon AS1 AsPol sl
(c) Copyright British Broadcasting Corporation 2011