id,title,description,date,dateprecision,releasedate,permalink,From,ListName,To
5490,"RE: GV Mailouts
","39","2007-02-13 19:14:12",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5490_re-gv-mailouts-.html","mirela.glass@stratfor.com","","hanna@stratfor.com,campbell@stratfor.com,Solomon.Foshko@stratfor.com","attach/1/1595_GV MASTER Client List 2-5-07.xls"
5940,"GV MASTER CLIENT LIST 15 March 07
","","2007-03-16 16:35:14",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5940_gv-master-client-list-15-march-07-.html","campbell@stratfor.com","","glass@stratfor.com,sagebiel@stratfor.com,gibbons@stratfor.com,Solomon.Foshko@stratfor.com","attach/1/1785_GV MASTER Client List 3-15-07.xls"
6067,"GV master client list 2/23
","","2007-02-23 21:06:33",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/6067_gv-master-client-list-2-23-.html","campbell@stratfor.com","","sagebiel@stratfor.com,gibbons@stratfor.com,hanna@stratfor.com,Solomon.Foshko@stratfor.com,mirela.glass@stratfor.com","attach/1/1831_GV MASTER Client List 2-23-07.xls"
14617,"STRATFOR - Security Reminder 
","","2009-09-02 21:31:23",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/14617_stratfor-security-reminder-.html","leticia.pursel@stratfor.com","","undisclosed-recipients:","attach/3/3250_STRATFOR Security Information and Instructions.pdf"
49613,"Labor Day Review of Where We Are
","   THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS DOCUMENT OR
   DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

    

    

    

   I hope you've all had a great Labor Day Weekend. This Labor Day marks a
   turning point in Stratfor's history, and I wanted to share my thoughts
   with you and some plans. It used to be, not so long ago, that we were so
   small that information flowed to all hands by itself.  It is hard for me
   to recognize sometimes that this is no longer true, so I will provide an
   extensive review of where we are and what is coming.  Some of this will be
   old hat to some of you; some of this will be new.  This is an attempt to
   start getting everyone on the same page. 

    

   Historically, Stratfor was unique in a number of ways. First, we accepted
   no advertising. Second, we charged for our subscriptions. Finally, we were
   revenue driven. We build the company from our revenues.  This kept us
   independent, it kept us free to experiment-and at times fail, it kept us
   tight. We were reaching a point where we our revenues did not keep up with
   our needs and market opportunities.

    

   Shea Morenz provided us with two opportunities.  First, he made an
   investment in Stratfor designed to give us the capital needed to build our
   staff and our marketing.  Second, he proposed a new venture, StratCap,
   which would allow us to utilize the intelligence we were gathering about
   the world in a new but related venue-an investment fund. Where we had
   previously advised other hedge funds. We would now have our own, itself
   fully funded by Shea.  Shea invested over $2 million in Stratfor and more
   in StratCap. In return he took a seat on Stratfor's board and a minority
   position in Stratfor, whose control remains in Don's and my hands.  It was
   a good deal for Stratfor, a good deal for StratCap, and since the deal
   closed officially on August 1, we now have the task of doing what we all
   want-building Stratfor and StratCap.

    

   Our cash position is not spectacular by any means, but we have the
   resources to build the kind of company we want, when that investment is
   combined with our revenues.  With cash under control we need to address
   the next problem-people. We all are doing more than our share to keep
   things going.  In some ways that good but it can be overdone, and we are
   overdoing it throughout the company.  Our job now is to expand the team. 
   Money is one element of that, but relieving the pressure we are under in a
   way increases the pressure, because we have to recruit and train new
   people. So it gets harder before it gets easier, and that's the point we
   are at.

    

   Let's divide our departments into two groups.  There are those departments
   that must train their own people, particularly in intelligence beyond the
   normal training needed by new employees.  We do that because no one thinks
   of the world like Stratfor, and that means that we can't hire people from
   other organizations, or at least not without a major training programming,
   which in our experience lasts up to two years.  Then there are departments
   that don't have this burden and that can hire people readily from other
   organizations.  Both groups of departments must grow and train, but the
   burden of training is much heavier in the Intelligence departments that
   train their staff from the bottom up than on other departments.  It is
   important for everyone to understand this distinction.  It is not that
   people in Intelligence are more important or more valuable than those in
   other departments.  It just means they face different problems in growing
   and that if they don't grow, other things can't happen.

    

   Now let's consider the tasks ahead.  First and foremost-and always first
   and foremost-we must be the world's leading private intelligence
   organization (and one of the finest intelligence organizations, period)
   and we must sell our intelligence through publishing.  Our current staff
   has done an outstanding job, but they are thin and sometimes we are weak. 
   We must do better in economics, and we must make certain that no AOR
   depends on only one person. There are lots of things that are needed. 

    

   Second, we are committed to supporting StratCap, a private fund that will
   begin operations some time this coming spring. What StratCap will do is
   use our Stratfor's intelligence and analysis to trade in a range of
   geopolitical instruments, particularly government bonds, currency and the
   like in the world's emerging markets.  Shea Morenz initiated this idea and
   leads it.  At the root of StratCap is a simple idea: Stratfor should put
   its money where its mouth is.  It does not conflict with Stratfor, but is
   an extension of it.

    

   Do not think of StratCap as an outside organization.  It will be integral
   to Stratfor, in the sense that much of the intelligence we are developing
   is useful to Stratcap as well as Stratfor.  The organizational and legal
   distinctions are real and important, but StratCap is linked to Stratfor
   intellectually and contractually.  It will be useful to you if, for the
   sake of convenience, you think of it as another aspect of Stratfor and
   Shea as another executive in Stratfor. 

    

   Let me also add that it is our commitment that all our team will benefit
   if StratCap is successful through some mechanism to be defined. This isn't
   an attempt to get you to work harder for the same money.  But that
   discussion must wait until the legal and administrative relationships of
   StratCap and its relation to Stratfor are worked out and reviewed by
   something called \"compliance officers,\" people who make certain that we do
   not violate any regulations. 

    

   From that point of view, StratCap is something under construction.  You
   can see Shea Morenz hammering away building it in the corner office he
   took from Darryl. In the world of StratCap, corner offices are marketing
   tools.  This points to the fact that StratCap will be building its own
   staff and they come from a different world from Stratfor with a different
   culture.  That said, we have a great deal to learn from StratCap to
   strengthen Stratfor's understanding of economics and it has much to learn
   from us.  We are already working on mock portfolios and trades, testing
   our skills.  Kendra, Korena, Melissa, Jen, Peter, Meredith and myself are
   all involved in this along with Shea and Alfredo, a trader that makes us
   easy to understand compared to him. It's going pretty well in fact, but
   supporting StratCap will be a cultural and intellectual challenge.  It's
   important now to recognize that it is already here, growing and we will
   accommodate to it and it to us.

    

   I want to emphasize is that there is neither a legal, intellectual nor
   moral tension between Stratfor and StratCap.  We will continue to publish
   what we think is true.  StratCap is interested in our broad ideas but
   mostly in the obscure nuggets picked up by intelligence that are usually
   of little interest to our general readers.  My pledge to you and our
   readers is that our publication will remain untouched by StratCap-because
   they are merely different sides of the same coin, intelligence.

    

   We have also been asked to help the United States Marine Corps and other
   government intelligence organizations to teach them how Stratfor does what
   it does, and train them in becoming government Stratfors. We are beginning
   this project by preparing a three-year forecast for the Commandant of the
   Corps.  This is a double honor for us.  First, the professional
   intelligence community is acknowledging us as being the gold standard of
   intelligence.  Second, we are being asked to use our honest and unhedged
   views to support what is for Stratfor-an American company-its homeland. 
   Again, as with StratCap, there is no tension. We will tell the U.S.
   government precisely what we tell our readers and we think ourselves.  Our
   first lesson to the government is that intelligence organizations exist to
   make decision makers uncomfortable, not to make them feel better about
   their decisions. I didn't come this far to compromise on that. 

    

   Add to this that the fact that Turkish Chamber of Commerce (not its name
   but close enough; its name is TUSIAD) asked us to preside over their 40th
   anniversary celebration, and that the Turkish Foreign Minister and Energy
   Minister will speak at the event, and you can see both our global
   recognition and our commitment to speak the same words to every country.
   We can serve the world from the same platform.

    

   So think about it.  We have three triumphs.  First, our publication is now
   read by almost 300,000 people (counting our corporate accounts).  We are a
   major force around the world.  Second, Shea-a guy who has played with the
   big boys at Goldman Sachs, asked us to play in the majors with him. 
   Third, the USMC has asked for our help, and with them others in the
   defense community.  These are three validations of us that are precious to
   me.

    

   Obviously, there is no way in the world that we can do all these
   things-plus the endless little projects that we must do all the time-with
   the staff we have.  And given that we take two years to train new
   analysts, and all of this is on us now-we have an urgent problem.  We
   can't punt opportunities at hand and continue at our current size. Nor can
   we easily expand.  So we will therefore expand with difficulty.  There is
   no choice.  Our Analyst Development Program is the means where we train
   people and find new analysts as well as find some staff for publishing
   (watch officers, monitors, operations center and writers all under Jenna
   Colley). We will have the largest group of ADPs ever this fall, starting
   next week.  About 13 people at last count will be joining us.  This is a
   huge percentage of the number of analysts on staff. Ideally all will work
   out well and our crisis will be over.  That's unlikely but our crisis will
   be mitigated by January 1. Doing this will put a huge burden on
   Intelligence, who must do their work and also train these people, but
   there is no choice.  This is the year when we break out.  I promise to
   work side by side with the team in training and growing he organization. 
   I also promise that if we succeed, we will become one of the most
   significant and prestigious foreign policy publications in the world-and
   those that made it happen will be known.  I know there are questions about
   by-lines. You know my hesitation, but we will figure out together someway
   to make sure that the glory is shared.

    

   Intelligence is divided into three parts.  There is Strategic Intelligence
   (under Rodger assisted by Reva) that is organized geographically.  There
   is Tactical Intelligence (under Stick, assisted by Nate Hughes) that is
   organized thematically-organized crime, cyber-warfare, military,
   terrorism, security, financial flows, supply chain and so on.  There is
   then intelligence gathering, under Meredith, assisted by Jen Richmond that
   is building sources from around the world.  All of them must grow
   dramatically.  The first two will grow mostly out of the ADP pool. The
   latter will be done by extensive work in the field.  But it is the Writers
   Group that is making the most impressive evolution.  Under Jenna (and Tim
   French and Maverick) it has moved into the heart of intelligence, writing
   as well as editing.  Everyone should watch this team. They are pioneering
   things the world hasn't seen yet. Along with Watch Officers, monitors and
   the operations center, this unit is translating intelligence into product
   with increasing effectiveness.  It is now organizationally mature and
   ready to both grow and sustain the growth of Intelligence.

    

   This growth will put a tremendous strain on other departments. Leticia has
   done a tremendous job in Human Resources, but the job has grown much
   greater than she can possibly manage.  Just the process of getting visas
   for new ADPs is overwhelming, and at least half of these come from other
   countries.  We have selected an HR consulting firm to support her in the
   coming months and other solutions will be found to sustain this. HR will
   become more effective in the next months. In addition, we are retaining a
   law firm to create a policy for Stratfor on Foreign Corrupt Practices
   Act.  I don't plan to do the perp walk and I don't want anyone here doing
   it either.  We need some clear guidelines on the law and are getting them,
   particularly as we ramp our intelligence capability. Similarly finance has
   kept us all going and similarly it has to expand, although it is a shade
   less pressured than HR is.

    

   IT faces a huge challenge.  Traditional IT organizations focus on the
   development of new capabilities for a company and sustaining complex
   systems. At Stratfor, the focus must also be on sustaining basic systems
   like phones, email, configuring and fixing laptops and cell phones and so
   on-the basic tools that make our work possible and which are a particular
   challenge in a global company operating 24-7.  That gives our IT
   department a different shape and tempo than exists in other companies.
   With this class of ADPs, 24-7 will become very real.  IT is under pressure
   to maintain its focus on improving the web site and corporate systems but
   has a special and intense mission of supporting a growing, global company
   at the ground level, and the pressure is never going to be greater than
   now with all the new people coming on board in all departments. Creating
   an IT department that fits our peculiar needs will be Frank's challenge.

    

   I want to also point to two departments that are performing extremely
   well.  Customer Service at Stratfor is among the best in the business.  We
   daily get emails praising their work. John Gibbons has done an amazing job
   keeping this going.  More subscribers mean more customer service of
   course.

    

   Also to be mentioned is he on-line marketing team who has just done
   something very impressive. There is usually a slump in subscriptions after
   a Red Alert, and there was one, but in a matter of weeks they pitched in
   and turned it around with some strange and wonderful campaigns.  They have
   broken their forecast in spite of a pretty quiet world.  Its amazing the
   kind of ads that work!

    

   Let's turn to marketing and sales and the future.  Our readership is now
   about 5 percent of the Economist when we exclude corporate (not sure why
   we exclude corporate but that's what we do).  That means that we have
   probably saturated a good part of the early adopters market-the early
   adopters who love us and have built us-and put up with our weaknesses.
   It's kind of like people who supported Apple in its dark days, putting up
   with promising but not yet mature computers.  If you haven't read,
   \"Crossing the Chasm,\" a rare business book that is actually helpful,
   please take a look at it.  It will explain much of what we are trying to
   achieve in marketing.

    

   We have no choice but to grow.  If we stay this size someone larger, with
   deep pockets will notice the market we have created and come in after us. 
   We won't be able to compete.  The only protection is market share, to be
   so dominant a force in the market that no one challenges us and our own
   deep pockets.  For this we must grow revenue and that means readership. 
   The place we must grow is in the mainstream.  I don't mean by mainstream
   CNN. I mean readers who are interested in what we have, but aren't
   fanatics, groupies and wannabes.  These people have higher standards in
   production values, and less forgiveness for mistakes. They don't buy the
   mystique.  They buy the publication. That's where most of our customers
   are and where we have to go.

    

   Obviously this is one of the reasons we need more people.  It is also the
   reason we must deliver in new ways.  Grant Perry and his team are looking
   at ways to create a unique, Stratfor video culture. I see this myself as
   consisting of much longer and serious conversations among analysts
   moderated by an anchor, documentaries, briefings. Perhaps our Sitreps
   should all be delivered via video and audio (there is I think huge demand
   for audio products in cars, or so many people tell me).  All of this will
   evolve in unexpected directions under Grant, Colin, Brian, Andrew and
   others who will join them. This is part of our own evolution into the
   mainstream, on our own terms, with our own voice. What you see above, by
   the way, are simply my own ideas, not fully thought out.  Whatever Grant
   and his team produce will be uniquely Stratfor.

    

   Other than that we shall see.  What markets we will enter, and how we
   enter them is not yet known. We do know that the current Stratfor product,
   however enhanced, will be our only offering.  We will not be developing
   new products for markets. 

    

   We have hired a consultant, Mark Stacey, who will guide this process.  We
   will also be bringing in a consulting firm to do survey research and
   interviews to teach us more about our current readers, readers who won't
   buy us, and readers who would buy us if they had heard of us.  Our choice
   was between hiring staff to give us a plan or hiring consultants to give
   us a plan and then hiring permanent staff to execute it.  The latter is
   the safest-we avoid a staff without the skill to do what we need whom
   instead craft a plan to do what they already know.  In addition to this
   initiative, we are participating in the University of Texas Business
   School program where a team of graduate students will essentially parallel
   the work of our outside consultants, giving us a double check on the
   data. 

    

   The goal here is to have a marketing and sales plan in place for execution
   on January 1.  From where I sit, the biggest challenge we have is that too
   many people have never heard of us.  At a meeting I can encounter someone
   who has subscribed for years and next to him is a person in the same
   industry that has never heard of us.  It is difficult selling to people
   who have never heard of us.  So our challenge-before trying to sell to
   them-is to increase awareness of who we are.  This is called branding and
   it's different from selling.  It is the precursor.  We will start with
   branding in January. That means there will be marketing people around
   asking many questions in the coming months, frequently the same ones.
   Please work with all of them.  In the end, we will have a plan with a high
   likelihood of success.

    

   Parallel to all of this, the executives (without Don, Steve Feldhaus or
   myself-the board members) are going through a planning process of their
   own, coordinated by Frank Ginac.  Not being on it (and not wanting to be
   informed of what is going on as there should be yet another set of eyes on
   things other than mine) I can't tell you what they are doing.  However,
   the deal we have on this is that as CEO, I will proceed with implementing
   my own plans that I've outlined here, and will consider their proposals
   when I see them. If the decision point is past when they make their
   recommendation on a subject, the recommendation will not be considered. 
   If they come in with recommendations before decision points, their
   recommendations will be taken very seriously.  This allows the company to
   move forward and an alternative planning model to be brought on line when
   it is ready.

    

   The company has become too large and complex for any one person to know
   what is going on.  I am moving (with difficulty) from the role of an early
   entrepreneur, knowing everything going on and getting involved in it, to
   the CEO of a company at the inflexion point.   The inflexion point is the
   point all companies dream of and few achieve-when they start really taking
   off.  This is a great point and a dangerous one.  Unless the company
   changes the way it does things, inflexion aborts.  I am trying to change
   what I do.

    

   There are some things that have to remain my responsibility.  Building
   Intelligence and publishing and particularly training new staff are things
   that I should oversee.  Building the intelligence capabilities of the
   company along with Meredith is also my responsibility.  Creating new
   models to support Stratcap and helping to train Stratcap in the
   capabilities of Stratfor is mine. Overseeing our training of the Marine
   Corps is something I want to do.  Kendra will be my deputy for this, but
   this leaves a large load on me.

    

   Along with this, for better or worse, I am the public face of Stratfor. 
   My speeches and travels build the brand, create intelligence
   opportunities, and give me a clearer vision of how the world works.  I
   will be doing a lot of traveling to do these things, and I will combine
   them with the Geopolitical Journeys concept that seems to have hit a
   nerve.  During my travels I will be doing articles, videos and writing a
   book based on those journeys, on the world's borderlands.  Between that
   and making contacts for Stratfor and StratCap, I will be busy.

    

   Along with that load is going to be setting the broad direction of the
   company.  Through long and sometimes painful experience I have learned
   that ultimate responsibility can be delegated but not abandoned.  It's an
   old military principle that applies here. I have a vision for Stratfor and
   while I will delegate, I will not turn over responsibility because I
   can't.

    

   That means that we will need an evolving management structure.  I've asked
   Don who is formally President of Stratfor to join Darryl in both the day
   to day management of the company and in what we still call \"the business
   side.\"  One day we will simply be one company, but right now we are still
   two sides of one company.  Don and Darryl will now manage that side,
   implementing our plans there.  I will not disappear, but become
   intermittent on daily management but deeply focused on intelligence.

    

   One of the other things I must do is prepare a succession plan.  In some
   parts that are well developed, I already have that plan.  In other parts,
   we have to build an organization to have a succession plan.  But it is my
   intention that Stratfor survive me (no, I'm not feeling poorly and can
   still kick your ass).  I want to build this into the world's finest
   intelligence service, private and free to speak its mind.  I see this as
   the most lasting contribution I can make, and I am serious about making
   sure Stratfor goes on.

    

   We are all at the inflexion point where the level of effort temporarily
   soars until new resources are brought on line.  They couldn't have been
   staged in earlier because there weren't resources available.  But now they
   can't wait, because the moment will pass and perhaps never return.  For
   everything there is a \"now.\"  This is now.

    

   I ask only one specific thing of all of you. If you don't understanding
   anything here; if you want to learn more; if something worries you and
   your boss can't clear it up, come directly to me. I will be available
   until the last week of September when I go with others to Turkey.  Please,
   please, please, do not engage in a round of paranoia or speculation based
   on lack of data.  Just set a time to see me and let's discuss it. 
   StratFantasy (a new term) is I really believe the greatest danger to
   success that we have face.

    

   This is a long review, but many have said they'd like to know where we are
   and what we are doing.  This is about as comprehensive as I can get. There
   will be more such reports.  There are no short versions about where we are
   and what we are doing.

    

    

   OH YES-THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS DOCUMENT
   OR DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

    

   --

   George Friedman

   Founder and CEO

   STRATFOR

   221 West 6th Street

   Suite 400

   Austin, Texas 78701

    

   Phone: 512-744-4319

   Fax: 512-744-4334

    
","2011-09-05 21:55:16",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/49613_labor-day-review-of-where-we-are-.html","gfriedman@stratfor.com","mailto:stratforaustin@stratfor.com","allstratfor@stratfor.com",""
64027,"INSIGHT - Russia/Israel/Georgia/Mexico - defense deals and swaps
","   Please see insight message further below for more context
   PUBLICATION: No, but ask first
   ATTRIBUTION: N/A
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: MX301 - Former Mexican cop, Latam military analyst,
   writes for Jane's
   SOURCE  RELIABILITY:  A
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1
   SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: 
   SPECIAL HANDLING: n/a
   Met with my Mexican source/friend again today and dude is getting shadier
   by the day. We followed up on our past discussion on Russia compromising
   the Israeli-made Georgian UAVs prior to the August war. 
   Here is what else I learned
   One of the source's friends/colleagues -- formerly military i think but
   now does private defense deals on the side (it's Mexico) contacted him in
   July (prior to the Georgia war). Apparently the Georgians had contacted
   this guy because they were frantically looking for a replacement for the
   Israeli UAVs that were compromised. Not only that, but they asked for
   10,000 rounds of ammo (source was talking fast, so i dunno if this is
   exactly what he said) but something like 6.22 mm rounds, 'NATO standard'
   because the Chinese ammo that the Georgians had only went 400 yards. Also
   on the list was a request for 2 bell helicopters. The Georgians were
   pretty much looking for anyone who would sell to them and were willing to
   pay top dollar (shows how frantic the Georgians were in July knowing that
   war is coming). My source put the other guy in touch with a private
   defense contractor to make the deal but ended up getting screwed over with
   the commission.
   Here is the most interesting part:
   I inquired more about the compromised Israeli UAVs. What he explained was
   that Israel and Russia made a swap -- Israel gave Russia the 'data link'
   code for those specific UAVs; in return, Russia gave Israel the codes for
   Iran's Tor-M1s.
   I asked about the S-300 (source tracks a lot of defense deals for Jane's).
   He doesn't think the Russians will give it to the Iranians. Besides, he
   said... Israel and Turkey have been collaborating very closely on the
   S-300s. He explain how about 8 years ago when Russia sold S-300s to Greece
   to base in Crete (which were supposed to protect Cyprus), Russia delivered
   those with a carrier so that Turkey wouldn't try to sink them. (things got
   a bit noisy so i may have misheard some of this). The gist of what he said
   is that Turkey has been cracking the S-300 since the Crete sale and has
   been sharing intel on the S-300 with the Israelis to ensure that they
   retain an advantage over Iran should Iran get them from the Russians.
   as far as the Georgian UAVs go, they were interested in the Mexican ones
   because the Mexican UAVs had something (forget the name. it was
   auto-something' that basically backs up teh UAV system in case someone
   hacks into it and immediately returns the UAV to base.
   Previous insight:
   PUBLICATION: ask me first
   ATTRIBUTION: N/A
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: MX301 - Former Mexican cop, Latam military analyst,
   writes for Jane's
   SOURCE  RELIABILITY:  A
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1
   SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: 
   SPECIAL HANDLING: n/a
   I was getting a drink with my Mexican cop friend after class and we
   started talking about Mexican UAVs. He has been advising the government
   for the past couple years on the need for more UAV use for the military
   against the cartels. I read one of his policy memos on paper that was
   pretty technobabbly, but if you guys need any info on this, he's the guy.
    The army and the navy have UAV capability, though the army doesn't really
   take them all that seriously. Recently (like a year ago) the federalistas
   (fed police) started using them too.
   Ok, here's the really juicy part:
   There is a private Mexican company called Idra that the government funded
   to make UAVs. They are actually pretty high standard according to him and
   beat out the Israeli UAVs in testing. My friend was consulting Idra at the
   time and so he was privy to a lot of deals that were on the table. This is
   the story --
   The Mexican government is now paying some $25m (? can get the #s later)
   for UAVs from Israel. Idra is basically like WTF, but the reason is
   basically corruption. There is a deal b/w the Mexican interior ministry
   and the Israelis where they're getting a hefty kickback.
   This is the interesting part, though.
   Idra had an offer to sell UAVs to Georgia (this was happening during and
   after the war). The reason Georgia needed the UAVs is because the UAVs
   they had bought from Israel had been compromised by the Russians. The
   Russians got the data link for the UAV (there is some suspicion that the
   Israelis after the war may have given this to them. Remember all the
   intense mtgs b/w the Israelis and the Russians where the Russians got the
   Israelis to back off of defense deals to Georgia in return for Russia
   backing off Iran?). Anyway, the Georgians gave Idra a picture of one of
   their crashed UAVs. The source explained though that if the UAV were
   targeted, it would have been blown to pieces pretty much (it's like the
   size of a car basically). But the picture he saw showed the UAV intact. He
   inquired and basically what happened was that the Russians acquired the
   data link to hack into the system and force the UAV into the ground. I
   think they may have crashed another one too.
   So, since the Georgian UAVs were compromised, they then tried to sell them
   to the Azerbaijanis. I dont know if that deal went through. Idra backed
   off the deal to Georgia because they were advised that it would raise a
   lot of political complications between Mexico and Russia.
   I asked about other deals between Idra and foreign countries. Chavez was
   the first one who wanted to buy their UAVs. The source advised them to not
   have their first foreign sale be to someone like Chavez for political
   reasons.
   Can get follow-up info if anyone is interested. I just thought this was a
   fun little story.
","2009-02-26 04:37:21",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/64027_insight-russia-israel-georgia-mexico-defense-deals-and-swaps.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
77532,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   Haha, I'm glad you noticed those gorgeous locks as well
   Aznar could have been exaggerating the ETA in VZ stuff, but who knows

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Nov 16, 2010, at 6:35 PM, Reginald Thompson
   <reginald.thompson@stratfor.com> wrote:

     At least 20 camps? Pretty impressive. That's more than I've seen in OS,
     where so far all they've been focusing on is the Guasdalito camp where
     Cubillas was allegedly at, but it's quite possible all those former
     etarras are spread out all over the place. I would he's a lot more open
     about heaping criticisms on Chavez since I heard him speak at Trinity
     back in 2004, where he referred to him as \"an interesting man.\" My
     brother has a picture of himself with Aznar at that event. Every time I
     look at it I really do think, it's always his hair that I notice.....

     -----------------
     Reginald Thompson

     Cell: (011) 504 8990-7741

     OSINT
     Stratfor

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
     To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 2010 5:26:21 PM
     Subject: Former Spanish PM Azner

     Wow, SeA+-or presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the  
     Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all  
     terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat  
     them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists  
     and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He  
     attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their  
     larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz  
     is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says  
     poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid  
     policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time  
     buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt  
     encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they  
     can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to Spanish-
     speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams are in  
     the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela and  
     ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

     Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the  
     personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is  
     embarassed by his loss)

     Also, great hair.

     Sent from my iPhone
","2010-11-17 00:44:52",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/77532_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","","analysts@stratfor.com",""
84934,"Re: The Business of Stratfor
","50","2011-07-05 01:15:30",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/84934_re-the-business-of-stratfor-.html","victoria.allen@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com,friedman@att.blackberry.net","attach/10/10516_The Business of STRATFOR.docx"
86916,"Re: Argentina and Falklands
","   Thanks, Allison. Can you try to verify whether this has congressional
   backing and see how shipping traffic actually passes through this are?
   Does the falkland dispute actually resonate among the populace?
   Sent from my iPhone
   On Feb 17, 2010, at 12:01 PM, Allison Fedirka
   <allison.fedirka@stratfor.com> wrote:

     My take on the issue is along the lines of what you are thinking - a
     distraction from internal issues.  Throughout the year you will hear the
     Argentine government talk up the Falklands - to them the issue never was
     resolved in 82.  You'll hear it come in to the news at the beginning of
     April (dia de las Malvinas) and whenever there is a big official visit
     between the UK/Argie.  For example when CK went to the UK for the g20
     she vowed to bring it up.  I also have to say that it is still a bit of
     a sore spot for Argentines.... many of them still believe that the
     islands should rightfully be theirs (as they appear in all national maps
     along with Antarctica). 

     Right now there's all sorts of slander going around in the press with
     scandals everywhere - the Kirchners making money illegally, the
     Kirchners buying millions of dollars, the govt's use of DNU, govt trying
     to bypass the Congress and use the reserves to pay part of the debt
     anyways, electricity supply/flooding problems in the North, meat/food
     prices and general inflation, farmer and export taxes or aid, people
     wanting more money for social plans or better distribution of social
     plans.  These are the things in the headlines every day or every other
     day.

     It is interesting that they made the rule about requiring permits to go
     there.  If the govt issues permits, there's no telling when they will
     get issued.  Also, it's a decree which means it was CK's decision and
     she doesn't necessarily have Congress's backing.  The opposition is
     trying to revisit the issue of Presidential decrees and this is one of
     many that fall in to that category.  I'm not sure how much that affects
     the Brits - if they frequently use Argentine ports or pass through
     Argentine waters.... and if they do, how easily it can be avoided (say
     with a shift to Montevideo port or just going around Arg waters).

       Hey Allison,
       Can you please explain to me what is driving Argentina to escalate the
       Falklands dispute right now?  is this just to distract from internal
       issues, something more?

              Argentina escalates row with Britain over Falklands

       <mime-attachment.png>
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       <mime-attachment.jpg>AFP a** File photo of tourists walking in
       Stanley, Falkland Islands. Argentina escalated a row with Britain
       over a*|
         * <mime-attachment.jpg>Play VideoEnergy & Oil Video:Jim LaCamp Talks
           Oil Prices & Job Market CBS 11 Dallas
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           Stories AP
       by Oscar Laski a** Tue Feb 16, 11:06 pm ET
       BUENOS AIRES (AFP) a** Argentina escalated a row with Britain overoil
       drilling in the Falklands by ordering all ships heading to the
       disputed islands through its waters to seek permission from Buenos
       Aires first.
       Argentine President Cristina Kirchner signed the decree, ratcheting up
       tensions between Argentina and Britain over Las Malvinas, the Spanish
       name for the islands they warred over in 1982 at the cost of almost
       1,000 lives.
       \"All ships that wish to move between ports in continental Argentina
       and ports in the Malvinas islands, or that wish to cross
       Argentineterritorial waters as they head to the islands\" require prior
       permission, it said.
       Kirchner's chief of staff Anibal Fernandez left no doubt the move was
       intended to clamp down on shipping that might be helping Britain as it
       launches operations to explore the region's oil and mineral reserves.
       The decree seeks to achieve \"not only a defense of Argentine
       sovereignty but also of all the resources\" in the area, Fernandez
       explained, adding that a high-level permanent committee would be set
       up to monitor the shipping.
       Anger in Argentina over the Falklands, which has bubbled below the
       surface for much of the last three decades, has threatened to boil
       over in recent months as Britain prepares to launch drilling
       operations.
       Argentina has lodged a protest with London about drilling in the
       seabed around the windswept islands, which contains up to 60 billion
       barrels of oil, according to geological studies quoted in the British
       media.
       A tug boat hauling a British exploration rig will arrive any day to
       start oil prospecting and the issue already came to a head earlier
       this month when Buenos Aires blocked a shipment of pipes it said was
       bound for the Falklands.
       Argentine authorities boarded the foreign flagged \"Thor Leader\" in the
       southern port of Campana after learning it was about to take on a
       cargo of pipes used in the oil industry and apparently destined for
       the Falklands.
       Buenos Aires is furious that London continues to skirt UN resolutions
       calling on both governments to renew a dialogue on the sovereignty of
       the Falklands.
       \"We wish to reaffirm the obligation to resolve the differences between
       Britain and us in the framework of international law and United
       Nations resolutions,\" Kirchner said on Tuesday.
       Britain in January rejected Argentina's latest claim to the islands,
       which it has held and occupied since 1833.
       The Foreign Office in London sought to play down Argentina's latest
       move in the row by issuing a bland statement, pointing out the obvious
       about the legal position.
       \"Regulations governing Argentine territorial waters are a matter for
       the Argentine authorities. This does not affect Falkland
       Islands territorial waters which are controlled by the island
       authorities,\" a statement said.
       It said Argentina and Britain were \"important partners\" and pledged to
       \"cooperate\" on issues in the South Atlantic, where the Falklands are
       located.
       Buenos Aires has urged a solution along the lines of what Britain
       agreed for the Chinese territory of Hong Kong.
       Britain and Argentina's rival claims of ownership over the Falklands
       exploded into war in 1982 after Argentine military rulers seized the
       islands, only to be defeated and expelled by a British naval force.
       The conflict lasted 74 days and cost the lives of 649 Argentine
       soldiers and 255 from Britain.
","2010-02-17 18:20:11",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/86916_re-argentina-and-falklands-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","","allison.fedirka@stratfor.com",""
97882,"Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
","   I think you should make responsiveness a separate category. Like we do
   with our red, orange, yellow classifications during source list reviews.
   That is responsiveness/accessibility, and it is distinct from
   reliability. 
   From: Jennifer Richmond <richmond@stratfor.com>
   Reply-To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 15:05:28 -0500
   To: <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
   As Stick said earlier, you can have a reliable source that is highly
   responsive that sometimes sends crap.  Item credibility is the place where
   you assess the information, and this changes from insight to insight. 
   Reliability is more about source responsiveness.  That said, and as Stick
   notes, reliability also speaks to the overall source's access to
   information as well as dependability.  In part some of this should also be
   addressed in the source description.

   We'll be fleshing these out a bit more in the next few weeks, and all
   suggestions are welcomed.

   On 7/29/11 2:51 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

     My understanding of source reliability has always been the contact's
     personal reliability as a person who can provide accurate information.
     On 7/29/11 2:54 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       Sending to the list since these are good questions.  My responses in
       red.

       On 7/29/11 1:48 PM, Allison Fedirka wrote:

         I have 2 questions on this item.
         SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.
          this
         grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests

         1) If this is based solely on turn around time, do we have company
         standards for the letters.  Like A = a couple of hours, D = a couple
         of weeks, etc?  We do need to better identify what each letter
         means.  In the meantime, in my book A=within 24 hours, B=48 hours,
         C=a couple of days, D=over a week, F=lucky if we get a response
         2) Also I previously thought this item reflected both reliability in
         turn around time and also reliability to give good information.  So
         like if someone was obviously anti-chavez or exaggerates a lot, I
         would bump them down a bit since the insight should be taken with a
         grain of salt.  How do you want us to inform others of potential
         bias or questionable material?  In the description section? It is
         mainly addresses their reliability to respond.  ITEM CREDIBILITY is
         the place where we code the information.  In most cases this changes
         from insight to insight whereas SOURCE RELIABILITY is a little more
         static.  Some sources know nothing about politics but give excellent
         info on econ.  So, credibilty changes frequently even with the same
         source and one of the reasons why we need to keep up with the entire
         ID tags when sending in insight.  As to the last question, I usually
         make a note of their bias for a particular insight in the
         credibility section.  In the description section you can write out
         their personal biases - e.g. the dude only hangs with the wealthy so
         this insight is likely to be skewed towards elite perceptions, or
         something like that. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

         From: \"Jennifer Richmond\" <richmond@stratfor.com>
         To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
         Sent: Friday, July 29, 2011 1:41:39 PM
         Subject: [alpha] sourcing insight

         We've gotten lazy on insight source IDs again.  Not only do you need
         to
         put the source code in the subject line, but all of these categories
         need to be filled out for every single insight sent to the list.

         SOURCE: code
         ATTRIBUTION: this is what we should say if we use this info in a
         publication, e.g. STRATFOR source/source in the medical
         industry/source
         on the ground, etc
         SOURCE DESCRIPTION: this is where we put the more concrete details
         of
         the source for our internal consumption so we can better understand
         the
         source's background and ability to make the assessments in the
         insight
         PUBLICATION: Yes or no.  If you put yes it doesn't mean that we will
         publish it, but only that we can publish it.
         SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.
          this
         grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests
         ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1-10, 1 being the best and 10 being the worst (we
         may
         change the range here in the future).  this changes a lot based on
         the
         info provided.  1 is \"you can take this to the bank\" and 10 would be
         an
         example of maybe - \"this is a totally ridiculous rumor but something
         that is spreading on the ground\"
         SPECIAL HANDLING: often this is \"none\" but it may be something like,
         \"if
         you use this we need to be sure not to mention the part about XXX in
         the
         publication\" or any other special notes
         SOURCE HANDLER: the person who can take follow-up questions and
         communicate with the source

         If you have any questions, concerns or suggestions, let me know.
          I'll
         be back in the office next Tues so if you want to discuss this
         process
         in person we can do so soon.  In the meantime, remember that every
         piece
         of insight needs this ENTIRE ID unless it is just something that you
         picked up off the ground from a source that you will likely not hear
         from again.  Even then, you should fill out the entire ID and in the
         SOURCE field simply say - n/a with a description on why we are not
         coding them.

         Jen
         PS: Also remember that is something is highly sensitive to send
         directly
         - not thru a WO - to the \"secure\" list.  Secure list insights still
         need
         the above ID tags.

         --
         Jennifer Richmond
         STRATFOR
         China Director
         Director of International Projects
         (512) 422-9335
         richmond@stratfor.com
         www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com
","2011-07-29 22:08:01",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/97882_re-alpha-sourcing-insight-.html","stewart@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
97900,"Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
","   Ok, good question.

   The secure list is not supposed to have anyone overseas on it.  (And as a
   side note, if you are traveling overseas you need to get yourself off this
   list while out of the country.)  We have many WOs overseas and so when we
   send something to secure it is just one more way we are trying to protect
   sourcing by not having it sent over international wires (yes, of course,
   there are many ways that foreigners can access any insight sent from
   anywhere at anytime, but it is somewhat more secure when we email only
   within CONUS).  So either a source or insight that is highly sensitive
   needs to go to the secure list only, and that means that we send it in
   ourselves because the overseas WOs won't be able to pick it up.

   Alpha goes to analysts/writers (and the few others selected on this list)
   and not ADPs or Interns, including to analysts/writers overseas.

   On 7/29/11 1:50 PM, Lauren Goodrich wrote:

     your last line in the P.S.... said to send things directly to secure...
     I wanted to know if that meant only to secure or to alpha too.
     I think there is still some confusion over which list is which.
     On 7/29/11 1:47 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       I don't understand your question.  This applies to both lists.  All
       sources need IDs (as mentioned in my PS - does that answer your
       question?).

       As to the question of sending from BBs, I definitely understand that
       issue.  When you return to your computer, please reply to the insight
       sent out with the full coding.  We need this info to really track
       insight and any changes over time.

       On 7/29/11 1:45 PM, Lauren Goodrich wrote:

         secure or alpha?

         On 7/29/11 1:41 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

 We've gotten lazy on insight source IDs again.  Not only do you need to
 put the source code in the subject line, but all of these categories
 need to be filled out for every single insight sent to the list.

 SOURCE: code
 ATTRIBUTION: this is what we should say if we use this info in a
 publication, e.g. STRATFOR source/source in the medical industry/source
 on the ground, etc
 SOURCE DESCRIPTION: this is where we put the more concrete details of
 the source for our internal consumption so we can better understand the
 source's background and ability to make the assessments in the insight
 PUBLICATION: Yes or no.  If you put yes it doesn't mean that we will
 publish it, but only that we can publish it.
 SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.  this
 grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests
 ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1-10, 1 being the best and 10 being the worst (we may
 change the range here in the future).  this changes a lot based on the
 info provided.  1 is \"you can take this to the bank\" and 10 would be an
 example of maybe - \"this is a totally ridiculous rumor but something
 that is spreading on the ground\"
 SPECIAL HANDLING: often this is \"none\" but it may be something like, \"if
 you use this we need to be sure not to mention the part about XXX in the
 publication\" or any other special notes
 SOURCE HANDLER: the person who can take follow-up questions and
 communicate with the source

 If you have any questions, concerns or suggestions, let me know.  I'll
 be back in the office next Tues so if you want to discuss this process
 in person we can do so soon.  In the meantime, remember that every piece
 of insight needs this ENTIRE ID unless it is just something that you
 picked up off the ground from a source that you will likely not hear
 from again.  Even then, you should fill out the entire ID and in the
 SOURCE field simply say - n/a with a description on why we are not
 coding them.

 Jen
 PS: Also remember that is something is highly sensitive to send directly
 - not thru a WO - to the \"secure\" list.  Secure list insights still need
 the above ID tags.


         --
         Lauren Goodrich
         Senior Eurasia Analyst
         STRATFOR
         T: 512.744.4311
         F: 512.744.4334
         lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
         www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com


     --
     Lauren Goodrich
     Senior Eurasia Analyst
     STRATFOR
     T: 512.744.4311
     F: 512.744.4334
     lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
     www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2011-07-29 20:59:54",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/97900_re-alpha-sourcing-insight-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
117802,"Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - CZECH REPUBLIC - BMD, US, Russia,
 military & more - CZ103 & CZ104
","   yea, the CzRs are nervous about someone like McFaul messing it up.
   btw, he was at the dinner I went to last night... the Uzbeks were falling
   all over themselves to speak with him.
   On 9/2/11 2:01 PM, Eugene Chausovsky wrote:

     This is fascinating stuff. You can how much the C. Europeans want the
     Intermarium to materialize, all with the explicit backing of the US.

     The question is how willing with the US be to go along with this F-16
     plan...

     On 9/2/11 12:27 PM, Marc Lanthemann wrote:

       Link: themeData

        

       CzR = Czech Republic

        

       CODE: CZ103 & 104
       PUBLICATION: yes 
       ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in Prague/Washington
       SOURCE DESCRIPTION: 

       103 - Deputy to the Czech Ambassador; moving in Oct to be deputy FM

       104 - Czech security attache

       (Ambassador stopped in for a few min)

       SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
       ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
       DISSEMINATION: Alpha
       HANDLER: Lauren

        

        

       The CEs need NATO. Plain and simple. They need a functional NATO. And
       they need NATO to return to its primary focus-containment of the large
       threat (Russia), and protection of the NATO land (them). Containment
       has to be the primary focus for NATO. No matter who you are, if you're
       in NATO, you need to understand this.

       CzR doesn't see NATO doing this with tanks, like before. It will do
       this with missile defense and military projects (F16s-see below).
       Planting NATO's flag on CE soil. So that Russia cannot do that
       instead.

        

       Yes, NATO has lost its focus with the wars, but BMD and such can unite
       and refocus NATO once again.

        

       BMD

        

       CzR wants a role in missile defense. This cannot be stressed enough.
       The announcement under Obama to give bmd to others obliterated the
       Czech-US relationship-it is non-existent now.

        

       Now this may seem contrary to what has been in the media, but everyone
       has it wrong on what actually happened in the Czech-US bmd
       negotiations under Bush. To start with, no one is/was straightforward
       in the negotiations. Yes, it is understandable that the US keeps their
       plans secret, but not when you are suppose to have a partner in the
       negotiations.

        

       So here is how it played out: Bush's team came to CzR and proposed for
       the country to be part of the \"bmd system\". That was all they said.
       Some officials alluded that it would be the radar. In the Czech
       government, there was agreement that bmd was imperative. But every
       piece of formal documentation from the US was incredibly vague and
       didn't spell out what would actually be coming into CzR as part of the
       system. It was very strange and confusing. We had never done
       negotiations like this. So, we put off signing any document until we
       could know what exactly we were agreeing to. Why would we agree to be
       part of the bmd system, and not know what exactly that meant? Then
       they came to us and said that CzR would have to pay for its part of
       the system. We didn't have that sort of money at the time. It was a
       mess.

        

       Then the new plan came from Obama in 2009. Obama's plan didn't have
       the radar in Czech Republic anymore. Obama's team said that Czech
       Republic wasn't a \"priority\" for their administration and that other
       countries were more important to put the radar in-Romania, Turkey,
       Lithuania or others. Problem is that Romania says they have the deal,
       but they haven't had confirmation from the US on this. Turkey also
       thinks it has the deal, but it doesn't have confirmation either. No
       one knows who is getting the radar portion of the system. Everyone
       wants it. The Obama team then came to CzR and offered a \"piece\" of the
       bmd system. We were excited. But when we got the the formal proposal,
       it was for a \"bmd scientific research center\". This was simply
       unacceptable. This was not good enough for us. CzR needs US military
       on its soil, not a \"research\" center with no military and would have
       to be paid for by the Czechs anyway. Completely ridiculous. So we
       pulled out of any agreement to the current system.

        

       If the US came and said that radar would be put in CzR, we would agree
       immediately. But instead the US doesn't value CzR relationship at all.

        

       When CzR publicly pulled out of the current bmd system in June,
       Russian FM immediately called Czech FM and said that it appreciated
       the reconsideration. Czech FM said that it had nothing to do with
       Russia. That Russia hadn't intimidated it to change its stance,
       instead CzR was more fired up to \"retaliate\" against Russian
       aggression.

        

       As far as the current talks between the US and Russia on bmd, most of
       the CEs want to sabotage them. No one wants Russia in on bmd.
       Moreover, no one wants the US and Russia to be friendly. The US needs
       to quit with this reset-nonsense and move forward with a firm military
       strategy in CE. The CEs want to move against Russia, but can't do it
       alone.

        

       New CE Security Plan

        

       So if CzR can't get in the bmd system, there is another deal we will
       push for, as we are determined to get US military on our soil.

        

       CzR wants a batch of F-16s like Poland. It needs supersonic. It
       doesn't really want the new Grippen. CzR is begging the US right now
       for F-16s. The US said it would sell them, but at an exorbitant price.
       They are far too expensive for CzR who has had to slash some of their
       defense budget because of the financial crisis.

        

       Also, other countries who sell military equipment to CzR and the CEs
       do it within other deals, so it isn't just an expensive military deal.
       For example, the French sell things to CzR, but then purchase
       agricultural equipment from CzR in trade-all part of one deal (LG: I
       pointed out how the Russians do this all the time. Military trade for
       gold deals, etc). This creates a relationship more than just around
       one sector. The US hasn't done this.

        

       So the plan that CzR is now presenting is for 5 or 6 Central European
       countries to go in together and do a mass order of the F-16s in
       exchange for a discount by the US. It would be Romania, Slovakia,
       Hungary, Bulgaria and maybe more for Poland - for 85 or so F-16s. It
       would be interesting because then all of them could train together in
       one country and then set up a repair factory in another country. The
       countries would be tied together - and tied to the US. The US would
       need to have military on the ground to train the CEs. This is the best
       sort of security alliance between US and CEs.

        

       If CzR can't get bmd or the F16 deal, then it is done with any
       non-Eurasian commitments to NATO. Period. If CzR can get bmd or the
       F16s, then it will pretty much agree to any sort of military
       commitment the US wants anywhere in the world. That is the ultimatum.

        

       Germans

        

       CzR is really on a different page on most issues than Germany. But is
       on the same page as pretty much everything with the Poles. So the
       Poles and other Central Europeans are its true partners. The Germans
       are like toddlers in their defense strategy. They have been divided
       for so long, that they do not understand how to act inside of NATO.
       This is why they are nice to the Russians. It is the wrong strategy
       with them. The Germans think they can handle the Russians. They can't.
       Germany can't get the other NATO members to agree with it, so it only
       works bilaterally with the Russians, undermining NATO's focus.

        

       Other Alliances

        

       Nordic Alliance is a fascinating thing, but there is no plan for V4
       yet. Sure it'll have a battlegroup, but it'll be under the EU and not
       really going to flesh out without some \"outside\" help. V4 is
       overestimated in the US. There is no structure or command plan for it.
       It has been a painful process under the EU.

        

       Ukraine

        

       CzR is worried about Ukraine. It is so pro-Russian that there is a
       concern that it will militarize under the Moscow umbrella. Everyone in
       CE is concerned about this militarization.

        

       McFaul

        

       On McFaul: everyone in CE hates dealing with him. He is deluded. He
       believes that Russia can actually be pulled into being an ally with
       the US. McFaul wants to use Regan's gameplan. He constantly quotes
       Regan. On a sidenote, in McFaul's office there is a large (really
       large, like4x3) photo blown up above his desk of McFaul, Obama,
       Medvedev and Putin all sitting around the lunchtable smiling. However,
       the way I heard it was that McFaul was scared to death of Putin and
       stuttered the entire time.

       --
       Lauren Goodrich
       Senior Eurasia Analyst
       STRATFOR
       T: 512.744.4311
       F: 512.744.4334
       lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
       www.stratfor.com

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2011-09-02 22:31:54",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/117802_re-alpha-insight-czech-republic-bmd-us-russia-military-and.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
118334,"Re: reva & kamran Fwd: Re: Source/confed opp in Beirut
","   We are looking for a confed partner.  If ME1 can facilitate a relationship
   with a media outlet in Lebanon, that would be great, but I'm not really
   looking to see if we have access to journos per se.

   On 9/6/11 11:19 AM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

     I have heard of it but have not seen much from them.

     On 9/6/11 12:18 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

       i have not heard of this one, but keep in mind that we have journalist
       contacts (editors) for pretty much every Lebanese media agency of any
       significance via ME1

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: \"Jennifer Richmond\" <richmond@stratfor.com>
       To: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>, \"Kamran Bokhari\"
       <bokhari@stratfor.com>
       Sent: Tuesday, September 6, 2011 10:03:09 AM
       Subject: reva & kamran Fwd: Re: Source/confed opp in Beirut

       Have either of you heard of this publication?

       -------- Original Message --------

       Subject: Re: Source/confed opp in Beirut           
          Date: Tue, 06 Sep 2011 09:21:41 -0500           
          From: kyle.rhodes <kyle.rhodes@stratfor.com>    
            To: Jennifer Richmond <richmond@stratfor.com> 
            CC: Confederation <confed@stratfor.com>       

       I've never heard of them and we've never done an interview with them
       to my knowledge. The only mention of us on their site is a repub of a
       Reuters article from last month featuring an interview with Kamran on
       Libya.

       Maybe send to Reva or Kamran to see if they know him?

       On 9/6/11 9:09 AM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

         Yes.  Do you have any background on this paper, Kyle?  Most
         definitely interested in expanding in the ME.

         On 9/6/2011 9:06 AM, kyle.rhodes wrote:

           Let me know if you're interested - I've not responded yet.

           -------- Original Message --------

           Subject: Request a Complimentary Media Account and Join your Media 
                    List                                                      
              Date: Sat, 3 Sep 2011 10:49:32 -0400                            
              From: Sylviane Zehil <sylviane@zehil.com>                       
                To: PR@STRATFOR.com                                           

           Dear Sir/Madam,

           I am writing you to request a Complimentary Media Account and Join
           your Media List.
           I am currently the New York and UN Bureau Chief for L'Orient Le
           Jour, a leading independent daily newspaper based in Beirut,
           Lebanon. I am interested in covering Middle East Issues.
           If you need further information I would be pleased to provide it
           to you.
           I am looking forward to hearing from you soon.
           Regards,
           Sylviane Zehil
           New York and UN Bureau Chief
           L'Orient Le Jour
           UN Room L-331 H
           (212) 963 52 36 (UN)
           (212) 529 91 36
           (917) 882 82 44 (cell)
           email: sylzehil@aol.com
           www.lorientlejour.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 richmond@stratfor.com
 (512) 744-4324
 www.stratfor.com

 --
 Kyle Rhodes
 Public Relations Manager
 STRATFOR
 www.stratfor.com

 kyle.rhodes@stratfor.com
 +1.512.744.4309
 www.twitter.com/stratfor
 www.facebook.com/stratfor

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 STRATFOR
 w: 512-744-4324
 c: 512-422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 STRATFOR
 w: 512-744-4324
 c: 512-422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2011-09-06 20:22:53",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/118334_re-reva-and-kamran-fwd-re-source-confed-opp-in-beirut-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","","bhalla@stratfor.com,bokhari@stratfor.com,meredith@stratfor.com",""
122002,"Labor Day Review of Where We Are
","   THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS DOCUMENT OR
   DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

    

    

    

   I hope you've all had a great Labor Day Weekend. This Labor Day marks a
   turning point in Stratfor's history, and I wanted to share my thoughts
   with you and some plans. It used to be, not so long ago, that we were so
   small that information flowed to all hands by itself.  It is hard for me
   to recognize sometimes that this is no longer true, so I will provide an
   extensive review of where we are and what is coming.  Some of this will be
   old hat to some of you; some of this will be new.  This is an attempt to
   start getting everyone on the same page. 

    

   Historically, Stratfor was unique in a number of ways. First, we accepted
   no advertising. Second, we charged for our subscriptions. Finally, we were
   revenue driven. We build the company from our revenues.  This kept us
   independent, it kept us free to experiment-and at times fail, it kept us
   tight. We were reaching a point where we our revenues did not keep up with
   our needs and market opportunities.

    

   Shea Morenz provided us with two opportunities.  First, he made an
   investment in Stratfor designed to give us the capital needed to build our
   staff and our marketing.  Second, he proposed a new venture, StratCap,
   which would allow us to utilize the intelligence we were gathering about
   the world in a new but related venue-an investment fund. Where we had
   previously advised other hedge funds. We would now have our own, itself
   fully funded by Shea.  Shea invested over $2 million in Stratfor and more
   in StratCap. In return he took a seat on Stratfor's board and a minority
   position in Stratfor, whose control remains in Don's and my hands.  It was
   a good deal for Stratfor, a good deal for StratCap, and since the deal
   closed officially on August 1, we now have the task of doing what we all
   want-building Stratfor and StratCap.

    

   Our cash position is not spectacular by any means, but we have the
   resources to build the kind of company we want, when that investment is
   combined with our revenues.  With cash under control we need to address
   the next problem-people. We all are doing more than our share to keep
   things going.  In some ways that good but it can be overdone, and we are
   overdoing it throughout the company.  Our job now is to expand the team. 
   Money is one element of that, but relieving the pressure we are under in a
   way increases the pressure, because we have to recruit and train new
   people. So it gets harder before it gets easier, and that's the point we
   are at.

    

   Let's divide our departments into two groups.  There are those departments
   that must train their own people, particularly in intelligence beyond the
   normal training needed by new employees.  We do that because no one thinks
   of the world like Stratfor, and that means that we can't hire people from
   other organizations, or at least not without a major training programming,
   which in our experience lasts up to two years.  Then there are departments
   that don't have this burden and that can hire people readily from other
   organizations.  Both groups of departments must grow and train, but the
   burden of training is much heavier in the Intelligence departments that
   train their staff from the bottom up than on other departments.  It is
   important for everyone to understand this distinction.  It is not that
   people in Intelligence are more important or more valuable than those in
   other departments.  It just means they face different problems in growing
   and that if they don't grow, other things can't happen.

    

   Now let's consider the tasks ahead.  First and foremost-and always first
   and foremost-we must be the world's leading private intelligence
   organization (and one of the finest intelligence organizations, period)
   and we must sell our intelligence through publishing.  Our current staff
   has done an outstanding job, but they are thin and sometimes we are weak. 
   We must do better in economics, and we must make certain that no AOR
   depends on only one person. There are lots of things that are needed. 

    

   Second, we are committed to supporting StratCap, a private fund that will
   begin operations some time this coming spring. What StratCap will do is
   use our Stratfor's intelligence and analysis to trade in a range of
   geopolitical instruments, particularly government bonds, currency and the
   like in the world's emerging markets.  Shea Morenz initiated this idea and
   leads it.  At the root of StratCap is a simple idea: Stratfor should put
   its money where its mouth is.  It does not conflict with Stratfor, but is
   an extension of it.

    

   Do not think of StratCap as an outside organization.  It will be integral
   to Stratfor, in the sense that much of the intelligence we are developing
   is useful to Stratcap as well as Stratfor.  The organizational and legal
   distinctions are real and important, but StratCap is linked to Stratfor
   intellectually and contractually.  It will be useful to you if, for the
   sake of convenience, you think of it as another aspect of Stratfor and
   Shea as another executive in Stratfor. 

    

   Let me also add that it is our commitment that all our team will benefit
   if StratCap is successful through some mechanism to be defined. This isn't
   an attempt to get you to work harder for the same money.  But that
   discussion must wait until the legal and administrative relationships of
   StratCap and its relation to Stratfor are worked out and reviewed by
   something called \"compliance officers,\" people who make certain that we do
   not violate any regulations. 

    

   From that point of view, StratCap is something under construction.  You
   can see Shea Morenz hammering away building it in the corner office he
   took from Darryl. In the world of StratCap, corner offices are marketing
   tools.  This points to the fact that StratCap will be building its own
   staff and they come from a different world from Stratfor with a different
   culture.  That said, we have a great deal to learn from StratCap to
   strengthen Stratfor's understanding of economics and it has much to learn
   from us.  We are already working on mock portfolios and trades, testing
   our skills.  Kendra, Korena, Melissa, Jen, Peter, Meredith and myself are
   all involved in this along with Shea and Alfredo, a trader that makes us
   easy to understand compared to him. It's going pretty well in fact, but
   supporting StratCap will be a cultural and intellectual challenge.  It's
   important now to recognize that it is already here, growing and we will
   accommodate to it and it to us.

    

   I want to emphasize is that there is neither a legal, intellectual nor
   moral tension between Stratfor and StratCap.  We will continue to publish
   what we think is true.  StratCap is interested in our broad ideas but
   mostly in the obscure nuggets picked up by intelligence that are usually
   of little interest to our general readers.  My pledge to you and our
   readers is that our publication will remain untouched by StratCap-because
   they are merely different sides of the same coin, intelligence.

    

   We have also been asked to help the United States Marine Corps and other
   government intelligence organizations to teach them how Stratfor does what
   it does, and train them in becoming government Stratfors. We are beginning
   this project by preparing a three-year forecast for the Commandant of the
   Corps.  This is a double honor for us.  First, the professional
   intelligence community is acknowledging us as being the gold standard of
   intelligence.  Second, we are being asked to use our honest and unhedged
   views to support what is for Stratfor-an American company-its homeland. 
   Again, as with StratCap, there is no tension. We will tell the U.S.
   government precisely what we tell our readers and we think ourselves.  Our
   first lesson to the government is that intelligence organizations exist to
   make decision makers uncomfortable, not to make them feel better about
   their decisions. I didn't come this far to compromise on that. 

    

   Add to this that the fact that Turkish Chamber of Commerce (not its name
   but close enough; its name is TUSIAD) asked us to preside over their 40th
   anniversary celebration, and that the Turkish Foreign Minister and Energy
   Minister will speak at the event, and you can see both our global
   recognition and our commitment to speak the same words to every country.
   We can serve the world from the same platform.

    

   So think about it.  We have three triumphs.  First, our publication is now
   read by almost 300,000 people (counting our corporate accounts).  We are a
   major force around the world.  Second, Shea-a guy who has played with the
   big boys at Goldman Sachs, asked us to play in the majors with him. 
   Third, the USMC has asked for our help, and with them others in the
   defense community.  These are three validations of us that are precious to
   me.

    

   Obviously, there is no way in the world that we can do all these
   things-plus the endless little projects that we must do all the time-with
   the staff we have.  And given that we take two years to train new
   analysts, and all of this is on us now-we have an urgent problem.  We
   can't punt opportunities at hand and continue at our current size. Nor can
   we easily expand.  So we will therefore expand with difficulty.  There is
   no choice.  Our Analyst Development Program is the means where we train
   people and find new analysts as well as find some staff for publishing
   (watch officers, monitors, operations center and writers all under Jenna
   Colley). We will have the largest group of ADPs ever this fall, starting
   next week.  About 13 people at last count will be joining us.  This is a
   huge percentage of the number of analysts on staff. Ideally all will work
   out well and our crisis will be over.  That's unlikely but our crisis will
   be mitigated by January 1. Doing this will put a huge burden on
   Intelligence, who must do their work and also train these people, but
   there is no choice.  This is the year when we break out.  I promise to
   work side by side with the team in training and growing he organization. 
   I also promise that if we succeed, we will become one of the most
   significant and prestigious foreign policy publications in the world-and
   those that made it happen will be known.  I know there are questions about
   by-lines. You know my hesitation, but we will figure out together someway
   to make sure that the glory is shared.

    

   Intelligence is divided into three parts.  There is Strategic Intelligence
   (under Rodger assisted by Reva) that is organized geographically.  There
   is Tactical Intelligence (under Stick, assisted by Nate Hughes) that is
   organized thematically-organized crime, cyber-warfare, military,
   terrorism, security, financial flows, supply chain and so on.  There is
   then intelligence gathering, under Meredith, assisted by Jen Richmond that
   is building sources from around the world.  All of them must grow
   dramatically.  The first two will grow mostly out of the ADP pool. The
   latter will be done by extensive work in the field.  But it is the Writers
   Group that is making the most impressive evolution.  Under Jenna (and Tim
   French and Maverick) it has moved into the heart of intelligence, writing
   as well as editing.  Everyone should watch this team. They are pioneering
   things the world hasn't seen yet. Along with Watch Officers, monitors and
   the operations center, this unit is translating intelligence into product
   with increasing effectiveness.  It is now organizationally mature and
   ready to both grow and sustain the growth of Intelligence.

    

   This growth will put a tremendous strain on other departments. Leticia has
   done a tremendous job in Human Resources, but the job has grown much
   greater than she can possibly manage.  Just the process of getting visas
   for new ADPs is overwhelming, and at least half of these come from other
   countries.  We have selected an HR consulting firm to support her in the
   coming months and other solutions will be found to sustain this. HR will
   become more effective in the next months. In addition, we are retaining a
   law firm to create a policy for Stratfor on Foreign Corrupt Practices
   Act.  I don't plan to do the perp walk and I don't want anyone here doing
   it either.  We need some clear guidelines on the law and are getting them,
   particularly as we ramp our intelligence capability. Similarly finance has
   kept us all going and similarly it has to expand, although it is a shade
   less pressured than HR is.

    

   IT faces a huge challenge.  Traditional IT organizations focus on the
   development of new capabilities for a company and sustaining complex
   systems. At Stratfor, the focus must also be on sustaining basic systems
   like phones, email, configuring and fixing laptops and cell phones and so
   on-the basic tools that make our work possible and which are a particular
   challenge in a global company operating 24-7.  That gives our IT
   department a different shape and tempo than exists in other companies.
   With this class of ADPs, 24-7 will become very real.  IT is under pressure
   to maintain its focus on improving the web site and corporate systems but
   has a special and intense mission of supporting a growing, global company
   at the ground level, and the pressure is never going to be greater than
   now with all the new people coming on board in all departments. Creating
   an IT department that fits our peculiar needs will be Frank's challenge.

    

   I want to also point to two departments that are performing extremely
   well.  Customer Service at Stratfor is among the best in the business.  We
   daily get emails praising their work. John Gibbons has done an amazing job
   keeping this going.  More subscribers mean more customer service of
   course.

    

   Also to be mentioned is he on-line marketing team who has just done
   something very impressive. There is usually a slump in subscriptions after
   a Red Alert, and there was one, but in a matter of weeks they pitched in
   and turned it around with some strange and wonderful campaigns.  They have
   broken their forecast in spite of a pretty quiet world.  Its amazing the
   kind of ads that work!

    

   Let's turn to marketing and sales and the future.  Our readership is now
   about 5 percent of the Economist when we exclude corporate (not sure why
   we exclude corporate but that's what we do).  That means that we have
   probably saturated a good part of the early adopters market-the early
   adopters who love us and have built us-and put up with our weaknesses.
   It's kind of like people who supported Apple in its dark days, putting up
   with promising but not yet mature computers.  If you haven't read,
   \"Crossing the Chasm,\" a rare business book that is actually helpful,
   please take a look at it.  It will explain much of what we are trying to
   achieve in marketing.

    

   We have no choice but to grow.  If we stay this size someone larger, with
   deep pockets will notice the market we have created and come in after us. 
   We won't be able to compete.  The only protection is market share, to be
   so dominant a force in the market that no one challenges us and our own
   deep pockets.  For this we must grow revenue and that means readership. 
   The place we must grow is in the mainstream.  I don't mean by mainstream
   CNN. I mean readers who are interested in what we have, but aren't
   fanatics, groupies and wannabes.  These people have higher standards in
   production values, and less forgiveness for mistakes. They don't buy the
   mystique.  They buy the publication. That's where most of our customers
   are and where we have to go.

    

   Obviously this is one of the reasons we need more people.  It is also the
   reason we must deliver in new ways.  Grant Perry and his team are looking
   at ways to create a unique, Stratfor video culture. I see this myself as
   consisting of much longer and serious conversations among analysts
   moderated by an anchor, documentaries, briefings. Perhaps our Sitreps
   should all be delivered via video and audio (there is I think huge demand
   for audio products in cars, or so many people tell me).  All of this will
   evolve in unexpected directions under Grant, Colin, Brian, Andrew and
   others who will join them. This is part of our own evolution into the
   mainstream, on our own terms, with our own voice. What you see above, by
   the way, are simply my own ideas, not fully thought out.  Whatever Grant
   and his team produce will be uniquely Stratfor.

    

   Other than that we shall see.  What markets we will enter, and how we
   enter them is not yet known. We do know that the current Stratfor product,
   however enhanced, will be our only offering.  We will not be developing
   new products for markets. 

    

   We have hired a consultant, Mark Stacey, who will guide this process.  We
   will also be bringing in a consulting firm to do survey research and
   interviews to teach us more about our current readers, readers who won't
   buy us, and readers who would buy us if they had heard of us.  Our choice
   was between hiring staff to give us a plan or hiring consultants to give
   us a plan and then hiring permanent staff to execute it.  The latter is
   the safest-we avoid a staff without the skill to do what we need whom
   instead craft a plan to do what they already know.  In addition to this
   initiative, we are participating in the University of Texas Business
   School program where a team of graduate students will essentially parallel
   the work of our outside consultants, giving us a double check on the
   data. 

    

   The goal here is to have a marketing and sales plan in place for execution
   on January 1.  From where I sit, the biggest challenge we have is that too
   many people have never heard of us.  At a meeting I can encounter someone
   who has subscribed for years and next to him is a person in the same
   industry that has never heard of us.  It is difficult selling to people
   who have never heard of us.  So our challenge-before trying to sell to
   them-is to increase awareness of who we are.  This is called branding and
   it's different from selling.  It is the precursor.  We will start with
   branding in January. That means there will be marketing people around
   asking many questions in the coming months, frequently the same ones.
   Please work with all of them.  In the end, we will have a plan with a high
   likelihood of success.

    

   Parallel to all of this, the executives (without Don, Steve Feldhaus or
   myself-the board members) are going through a planning process of their
   own, coordinated by Frank Ginac.  Not being on it (and not wanting to be
   informed of what is going on as there should be yet another set of eyes on
   things other than mine) I can't tell you what they are doing.  However,
   the deal we have on this is that as CEO, I will proceed with implementing
   my own plans that I've outlined here, and will consider their proposals
   when I see them. If the decision point is past when they make their
   recommendation on a subject, the recommendation will not be considered. 
   If they come in with recommendations before decision points, their
   recommendations will be taken very seriously.  This allows the company to
   move forward and an alternative planning model to be brought on line when
   it is ready.

    

   The company has become too large and complex for any one person to know
   what is going on.  I am moving (with difficulty) from the role of an early
   entrepreneur, knowing everything going on and getting involved in it, to
   the CEO of a company at the inflexion point.   The inflexion point is the
   point all companies dream of and few achieve-when they start really taking
   off.  This is a great point and a dangerous one.  Unless the company
   changes the way it does things, inflexion aborts.  I am trying to change
   what I do.

    

   There are some things that have to remain my responsibility.  Building
   Intelligence and publishing and particularly training new staff are things
   that I should oversee.  Building the intelligence capabilities of the
   company along with Meredith is also my responsibility.  Creating new
   models to support Stratcap and helping to train Stratcap in the
   capabilities of Stratfor is mine. Overseeing our training of the Marine
   Corps is something I want to do.  Kendra will be my deputy for this, but
   this leaves a large load on me.

    

   Along with this, for better or worse, I am the public face of Stratfor. 
   My speeches and travels build the brand, create intelligence
   opportunities, and give me a clearer vision of how the world works.  I
   will be doing a lot of traveling to do these things, and I will combine
   them with the Geopolitical Journeys concept that seems to have hit a
   nerve.  During my travels I will be doing articles, videos and writing a
   book based on those journeys, on the world's borderlands.  Between that
   and making contacts for Stratfor and StratCap, I will be busy.

    

   Along with that load is going to be setting the broad direction of the
   company.  Through long and sometimes painful experience I have learned
   that ultimate responsibility can be delegated but not abandoned.  It's an
   old military principle that applies here. I have a vision for Stratfor and
   while I will delegate, I will not turn over responsibility because I
   can't.

    

   That means that we will need an evolving management structure.  I've asked
   Don who is formally President of Stratfor to join Darryl in both the day
   to day management of the company and in what we still call \"the business
   side.\"  One day we will simply be one company, but right now we are still
   two sides of one company.  Don and Darryl will now manage that side,
   implementing our plans there.  I will not disappear, but become
   intermittent on daily management but deeply focused on intelligence.

    

   One of the other things I must do is prepare a succession plan.  In some
   parts that are well developed, I already have that plan.  In other parts,
   we have to build an organization to have a succession plan.  But it is my
   intention that Stratfor survive me (no, I'm not feeling poorly and can
   still kick your ass).  I want to build this into the world's finest
   intelligence service, private and free to speak its mind.  I see this as
   the most lasting contribution I can make, and I am serious about making
   sure Stratfor goes on.

    

   We are all at the inflexion point where the level of effort temporarily
   soars until new resources are brought on line.  They couldn't have been
   staged in earlier because there weren't resources available.  But now they
   can't wait, because the moment will pass and perhaps never return.  For
   everything there is a \"now.\"  This is now.

    

   I ask only one specific thing of all of you. If you don't understanding
   anything here; if you want to learn more; if something worries you and
   your boss can't clear it up, come directly to me. I will be available
   until the last week of September when I go with others to Turkey.  Please,
   please, please, do not engage in a round of paranoia or speculation based
   on lack of data.  Just set a time to see me and let's discuss it. 
   StratFantasy (a new term) is I really believe the greatest danger to
   success that we have face.

    

   This is a long review, but many have said they'd like to know where we are
   and what we are doing.  This is about as comprehensive as I can get. There
   will be more such reports.  There are no short versions about where we are
   and what we are doing.

    

    

   OH YES-THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS DOCUMENT
   OR DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

    

   --

   George Friedman

   Founder and CEO

   STRATFOR

   221 West 6th Street

   Suite 400

   Austin, Texas 78701

    

   Phone: 512-744-4319

   Fax: 512-744-4334

    
","2011-09-05 21:55:16",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/122002_labor-day-review-of-where-we-are-.html","gfriedman@stratfor.com","mailto:stratfordc@stratfor.com","allstratfor@stratfor.com",""
136715,"B3* - Market Update - 20111006 - 12:00:01
","MARKET UPDATE



STOCK MARKETS

S&P 500 INDEX,RTH
As of: 12:57, 10/06/2011
Value: 1154.85
Change: +10.82
Change%: +0.95%

FTSE 100
As of: 11:35, 10/06/2011
Value: 5291.26
Change: +189.09
Change%: +3.71%

DAX
As of: 11:45, 10/06/2011
Value: 5645.25
Change: +172.22
Change%: +3.15%

NIKKEI 225
As of: 02:28, 10/06/2011
Value: 8522.02
Change: +139.039
Change%: +1.66%

HANG SENG INDEX
As of: 04:01, 10/06/2011
Value: 17172.279
Change: +922.01
Change%: +5.67%

RTSI INDEX
As of: 10:45, 10/06/2011
Value: 1271.71
Change: +54.50
Change%: +4.48%

TREASURY BONDS

CBOE Interest Rat
As of: 12:42, 10/06/2011
Yield: 1.967%
Change: +0.062
Change%: +3.25%

Treasury Yield 30
As of: 12:42, 10/06/2011
Yield: 2.936%
Change: +0.053
Change%: +1.84%

COMMODITIES

Crude Oil Nov 11
As of: 12:47, 10/06/2011
Value: 80.94
Change: +1.26
Change%: +1.58%

Brent Crude Oil L
As of: 11:56, 10/06/2011
Value: 103.20
Change: +0.59
Change%: +0.57%

Copper Oct 11
As of: 12:07, 10/06/2011
Value: 3.2365
Change: +0.1375
Change%: +4.44%

Gold Oct 11
As of: 10:50, 10/06/2011
Value: 1641.60
Change: +1.30
Change%: +0.08%

Corn Dec 11
As of: 12:47, 10/06/2011
Value: 607.50
Change: +2.00
Change%: +0.33%

Wheat Dec 11
As of: 12:48, 10/06/2011
Value: 618.75
Change: -6.50
Change%: -1.04%

Soybeans Nov 11
As of: 12:48, 10/06/2011
Value: 1168.25
Change: +4.50
Change%: +0.39%

Rough Rice Nov 11
As of: 12:41, 10/06/2011
Value: 16.005
Change: -0.01
Change%: -0.06%

CURRENCIES

EUR to USD
As of: 12:57, 10/06/2011
Value: 1.3397
Change: 
Change%: %

USD to JPY
As of: 12:55, 10/06/2011
Value: 76.675
Change: 
Change%: %

--
STRATFOR
Market Update v1.0
Kevin Stech <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
","2011-10-06 19:00:02",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/136715_b3-market-update-20111006-12-00-01-.html","markets@research.stratfor.com","mailto:alerts@stratfor.com","alerts@stratfor.com",""
175366,"Fwd: Emre's new sources - Source update
","   Sources

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Meredith Friedman\" <mfriedman@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Emre Dogru\" <emre.dogru@stratfor.com>, \"scott stewart\"
   <scott.stewart@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Wednesday, December 22, 2010 4:45:51 PM
   Subject: RE: Emre's new sources - Source update

   Good job Emre - we'll send you to more conferences I think:)

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Emre Dogru [mailto:emre.dogru@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, December 22, 2010 2:57 AM
   To: scott stewart; Meredith Friedman
   Subject: Emre's new sources - Source update
   Hey Meredith and Scott, I would like to give you a brief update about my
   new sources after the security conference that I attended this past
   weekend. (Meredith, I asked Scott to give me permission to attend this
   conference in November to expand my source network). List below does not
   include all new sources, but those who can and willing to cooperate. I
   believe these new sources will enhance our ability to gather information
   on technical issues such as energy, military and foreign trade.

   Cheers,
   Emre

   Source: One guy and one lady from Turkish State petroleum company (TPAO).
   Guy is an expert on energy security in the Middle East and the lady works
   on the Caucasus, Central Europe and Black Sea. They both are responsible
   for natural gas and oil.
   Status: They are really willing to cooperate and at the end of the
   conference we have a personal relationship. Will be exchanging views and
   information with them in the future. I am pretty confident that they will
   provide us valuable information. They also told me that they will talk to
   their superior this week to buy a Stratfor institutional subscription. I
   will let you know when I hear from them.

   Source: Expert in the Turkish army's strategic research center.
   Status: Willing to cooperate. Exchanged contact information. But I'm not
   sure about his qualifications.

   Source: Turkish air force official, head of strategic planning. He says he
   writes speech notes for air force commander when he attends national
   security council.
   Status: He was very willing to talk during lunch and dinner. He said he
   would be happy to provide information to me if I've questions.

   Source: Turkish diplomat at Turkish FM's NATO department.
   Status: Promised each other to exchange information. I know many people
   from NATO department but could get in touch with him if needed.

   Source: Expert in Undersecretary for Foreign Trade.
   Status: I didn't meet this guy at the security conference. I knew him from
   my undergraduate studies. We met in a reception at least five years ago. I
   had to get some information from foreign trade institution for a special
   report that I will be working this week. He  helped me to get in touch
   with people could answer my questions, who gave me tons of information for
   my research. They said I could ask them anything that I would like to know
   in the future.

   Source update: My main Kurdish source (TR 705), who informed us about PKK
   ceasefires three times in the past, has become a member of the Turkish
   main opposition party's (CHP) leadership as a result of the congress that
   was held this past weekend.

 --
 Emre Dogru

 STRATFOR
 Cell:  +90.532.465.7514
 Fixed: +1.512.279.9468
 emre.dogru@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com

   --
   --
   Emre Dogru
   STRATFOR  
   Cell: +90.532.465.7514
   Fixed: +1.512.279.9468  
   emre.dogru@stratfor.com  
   www.stratfor.com
","2010-12-22 16:03:40",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/175366_fwd-emre-s-new-sources-source-update-.html","emre.dogru@stratfor.com","","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com",""
185945,"Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions blast in Iran
","   I am not saying that we should believe something only when it hits the OS.
   My point is about proceeding forward from a single source report. We
   shouldn't completely dismiss it but the issue is confirmation before
   something related pops up in the OS.

   On 11/14/11 9:30 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

     Yes but an intelligence agency that secures a single piece of insight
     that is then corroborated by the infamous OS leads one to believe that
     either the same source is responsible for both or perhaps there is smoke
     that indicates a fire?    We tend to not believe things unless there is
     OS.  The best intel never see's the light of day.  I'm more circumspect
     when it is in the OS...unless of course, we planted it.  

     p.s. I'm offended that we may believe an Iranian before a Jew. 

     cc:  APAC, JINSA. 

     On 11/14/2011 8:21 AM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

       As an intelligence entity we can't simply accept a single piece of
       insight as truth.

       On 11/14/11 9:10 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

         Guerrilla actions behind enemy lines.  

         If we think the Izzies have set back waiting on Iran to create a
         bomb we are like the CIA with their inability to predict just about
         anything. 

         Check INSIGHT I posted last week that everyone discounted.  How come
         if its not in OS we nash our teeth?  Intelligence agencies exist to
         have sources.  That is what we are.  

         On 11/14/2011 8:06 AM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

           Penetrating a major military installation and causing a blast is a
           totally different ballgame. Not saying it can't happen. But we
           can't assume that because they did stuxnet that they are capable
           of doing this blast as well. It is a huge leap in capabilities.

           Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: \"Sean Noonan\" <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
           Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
           Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2011 08:03:34 -0600 (CST)
           To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
           ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
           Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
           blast in Iran
           It clearly does not. Look at the thousand centrifuges. Please
           reread the 2 stuxnet analyses.

           There are enough iranians who have aliyah'd to israel that they
           could easily train a persian looking, farsi speaking jew to go
           into Iran for sabotage and not get caught. I don't know that this
           is happening nor do I assume that there would not be mistakes, but
           its very possible to do this undetected. The key is recruiting
           human agents on the bases. This was clearly done with stuxnet,
           though it may have been unknowingly

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
           Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
           Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2011 07:59:47 -0600 (CST)
           To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
           ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
           Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
           blast in Iran
           Yeah this seems really unlikely. '79 was a whole different
           reality. The security establishment has the placed locked down.
           Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: Abe Selig <abe.selig@stratfor.com>
           Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
           Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2011 07:45:14 -0600 (CST)
           To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
           ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
           Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
           blast in Iran
           There are still about 20,000 Jews in Iran (Tehran and Esfahan
           mostly), but IMO, they are far too scared of being accused as
           Israeli spies too actually help Israel out.

           On 11/14/11 7:32 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

             Ah.  As stick said, they would more likely use proxies.  But if
             not,  special operations forces do often move undetected.  Don't
             think of them as going in on a helicopter, think of them as
             going in with a group of migrant workers crossing the border. 
             There used to be a lot of jews in Iran, not so much anymore,
             that's who I would recruit form. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
             Sent: Monday, November 14, 2011 7:11:15 AM
             Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
             blast in Iran

             See insight below.
             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: Sean Noonan <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
             Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
             Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2011 07:10:06 -0600 (CST)
             To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
             ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
             blast in Iran
             what commandos?

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
             Sent: Monday, November 14, 2011 6:39:07 AM
             Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
             blast in Iran

             How did Israeli commandos get to operate deep inside Iran
             without being detected?
             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: Sean Noonan <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
             Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
             Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2011 05:54:41 -0600 (CST)
             To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
             ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
             blast in Iran
             I agree.  The argument here is that the proponents of
             conventional war are ones that want the oil prices--but is it
             really that simple?  What about other economic effects?  For
             Israel, by this argument, it doesn't matter what method as long
             as it sets Iran back----I agree with this.  However, the
             confidence that this guy has does not show publicly.  By that, I
             mean look at what Dagan was saying a year ago, and how quiet
             Israeli leaders have been.  Suddenly they are really pushing the
             issue, and while Dagan isn't it, his line is that conventional
             war would be a mistake, not that Iran doesn't need to be dealt
             with.  I don't really like trying to interpret public
             statements, but I think there is something here, and that's why
             I keep pushing this. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Chris Farnham\" <chris.farnham@stratfor.com>
             To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
             Sent: Sunday, November 13, 2011 7:22:52 PM
             Subject: Re: [alpha] S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions
             blast in Iran

             I think the info that Fred sent in previously needs to be looked
             quite seriously here.

             The insight seems like quite a stretch however it has been put
             out there for some reason or another and is now playing in to
             what we are seeing.

             Insight below:

             Source below was asked to clarify his remarks that the nuclear
             infrastructure had been destroyed.  Source response:

             Israeli commandos in collaboration with Kurd forces destroyed
             few underground facilities mainly used for the Iranian defense
             and nuclear research projects.

             Despite the reports in the media and against any public
             knowledge, the promoter of a massive Israeli attack on Syria is
             the axis India-Russia-Turkey-Saudi Arabia. The axis
             US-Germany-France-China is against such an attack from obvious
             reasons. Not many people know that Russia is one of Israel's
             largest military partners and India is Israel's largest client.

             If a direct conflict between Iran and Israel erupts, Russia and
             Saudi Arabia will gain the advantages on oil increasing prices.
             On the other hand, China and Europe are expected to loose from
             an oil crisis as a result of a conflict. Based on Israeli plans,
             the attack on Iran will last only 48 hours but will be so
             destructive that Iran will be unable to retaliate or recover and
             the government will fall. It is hard to believe that Hamas or
             Hezbollah will try to get involved in this conflict.

             In the open media many are pushing and expecting Israel to
             launch a massive attack on Iran. Even if the Israelis have the
             capabilities and are ready to attack by air, sea and land, there
             is no need to attack the nuclear program at this point after the
             commandos destroyed a significant part of it.

             If a massive attack on Iran happens soon, then the attack will
             have political and oil reasons and not nuclear. It is also very
             hard to believe that the Israelis will initiate an attack unless
             they act as a contractor for other nations or if Iran or its
             proxies attack first. With the revealed of the new UN report the
             Israelis have green light to take care of the Iranian proxies in
             Gaza and Lebanon now with the entire world watching Iran. I
             think that we should expect escalations on these fronts rather
             than an Israeli attack on Iran.

             On 11/7/11 8:09 AM, Chris Farnham wrote: Ah, what? Israel has
             already destroyed the Iranian prog/infra and this is all being
             engineered by Europeans so people forget about the economy
             crisis?!

             How and when did the Israelis destroy the infra on the ground?

             Why is that we see the vast majority of the increase in pressure
             coming from Israel (I mean straight from people's mouths) and
             from the US (Such as Albright in the WaPo)?

             Would anyone actually accept that this could let the Europeans
             forget about the Euro crisis, something they have been
             experiencing every day for over a year?!

             Do we attribute any credibility to this item at all? I don't
             even see what possible disinfo purposes this could serve.

             On 11/7/11 7:54 AM, Benjamin Preisler wrote:

               Code: IL701
               Publication: for background
               Attribution: none
               Source Description - Confirmed Israeli Intelligence Agent
               Source reliability: Still testing
               Item credibility: untested
               Source handler: Fred

               Source was asked what he thought of reports that the Israelis
               were preparing a military offensive against Iran.  Response:

               I think this is a diversion. The Israelis already destroyed
               all the Iranian nuclear infrastructure on the ground weeks
               ago. The current \"let's bomb Iran\" campaign was ordered by the
               EU leaders to divert the public attention from their at home
               financial problems. It plays also well for the US  since
               Pakistan, Russia and N. Korea are mentioned in the report. 

               The result of this campaign will be massive attacks on Gaza
               and strikes on Hezbollah in both Lebanon and Syria.

               --

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
             To: analysts@stratfor.com
             Sent: Monday, 14 November, 2011 11:52:04 AM
             Subject: Re: S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions blast in
             Iran

             wow, that's an extremely revealing statement.  The Israelis (i
             believe it was even Barak then too) made very similar comments
             following the Stuxnet news as well.  THe whole 'I'm not going to
             admit publicly that we did it, but boy that was nice.' 

             i think we need a piece laying out the details as far as we know
             of what happened and where and point out the holes in the
             accident theory. i think our assessment on the constraints of an
             Israeli attack on Iranian sites holds. It's the sabotage efforts
             where the most resources are being concentrated, which makes a
             lot of strategic and tactical sense for Israel and US in dealing
             with Iran at this stage

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Ben West\" <ben.west@stratfor.com>
             To: \"alerts\" <alerts@stratfor.com>
             Sent: Sunday, November 13, 2011 2:40:06 PM
             Subject: S3/G3* ISRAEL/IRAN - Barak hails munitions blast in
             Iran

             Interesting comments by the defense minister.

             http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5i28MvYyqR9sGxc2cZ4U1QlPPQFLA?docId=CNG.93c1b5af9b6cb71a17bf389563809eb2.a1
             Israel hails deadly blast in Iran

             (AFP) - 1 hour ago 

             JERUSALEM - Israeli Defence Minister Ehud Barak on Sunday hailed
             the deadly munitions blast at a base of Iran's elite
             Revolutionary Guards and hoped for more such incidents.

             \"I don't know the extent of the explosion,\" he told military
             radio, asked about the incident. \"But it would be desirable if
             they multiply.\"

             Iran said earlier that a senior general who pioneered an
             artillery and missile unit was among the 17 Guards reported
             killed in Saturday's blast at Bid Ganeh, near the town of Malard
             on the western outskirts of Tehran.

             Guards spokesman commander Ramezan Sharif said the blast, which
             Iran said was an accident, occurred as \"ammunition was taken out
             of the depot and was being moved outside toward the appropriate
             site.\"

             Set up after the 1979 Islamic revolution to defend Iran, the
             Guards are in charge of the Islamic republic's missile
             programme, including Shahab-3 missiles with a range of 2,000
             kilometres (1,200 miles) capable of hitting Israel.

             Saturday's blast came amid international condemnation of Iran
             since the release of a new UN nuclear watchdog report accusing
             Tehran of working towards the development of nuclear warheads to
             fit inside its medium-range missiles.

             Israeli officials have in past weeks warned Iran of the
             possibility of military strikes against its nuclear sites.

             Ben West
             Tactical Analyst
             STRATFOR
             512-744-4300
             ext. 4340

             --

             Chris Farnham
             Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
             Australia Mobile: 0423372241
             Email: chris.farnham@stratfor.com
             www.stratfor.com

             --
             Sean Noonan
             Tactical Analyst
             STRATFOR
             T: +1 512-279-9479 | M: +1 512-758-5967
             www.STRATFOR.com

             --
             Sean Noonan
             Tactical Analyst
             STRATFOR
             T: +1 512-279-9479 | M: +1 512-758-5967
             www.STRATFOR.com

             --
             Sean Noonan
             Tactical Analyst
             STRATFOR
             T: +1 512-279-9479 | M: +1 512-758-5967
             www.STRATFOR.com

 --
 -
 Abe Selig
 Officer, Operations Center
 STRATFOR
 T: 512.279.9489 | M: 512.574.3846
 www.STRATFOR.com
","2011-11-14 15:40:05",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/185945_re-alpha-s3-g3-israel-iran-barak-hails-munitions-blast-in.html","bokhari@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
201031,"","   Ok, that makes sense

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Dec 5, 2011, at 9:43 PM, \"George Friedman\"
   <friedman@att.blackberry.net> wrote:

     It does check out with what I heard in caracas but that increases the
     chance its gossip.

     If this is a source you suspect may have value, you have to take control
     od him. Control means financial, sexual or psychological control to the
     point where he would reveal his sourcing and be tasked. This is
     difficult to do when you are known to be affiliated with an intelligence
     organization. The decision on approach would not come from you but from
     your handler. This is because you're position is too close to the source
     and your judgment by definition suspect. Each meeting would be planned
     between you and your handler and each meeting would have a specific goal
     not built around discussing the topic of interest which would ideally be
     hidden but in analyzing him personally and moving toward control.
     The justification for the op would be specific classes of information
     and on gaining control the first step would be determining his access.
     If he failed the test contact would be terminated.

     the problem of analysts in the field is that they tend to want to
     discuss the topic, which raises the targets awareness, rather than focus
     on establishing the control relationship.

     So from a professional point of view this target knows your affiliation,
     understands your interests and you have not established any control
     which is defined as a high confidence in his obedience.

     So washington is filled with gossip with people whose access is not
     established.

     Just laying this out so you understand the core challenge. To be
     effective your goal is the person and not the subject. Otherwise its
     gossip which is information that you cannot definitively confirm.

     This is intended to start our conversation on your next phase.
     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>
     Date: Mon, 5 Dec 2011 20:30:10 -0600 (CST)
     To: <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
     Subject: Re: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
     struggle, etc. - VZ302
     Yes, I have much to learn and I may be just an analyst, but i'm not 100%
     incapable of evaluating a source i've known for a while.  I've listened
     to waht you've told me about reading a source (the Turk with the
     twitch.) I figured out what this source's twitch is in reading his
     eyes.  I've gotten much better in evaluating what info to take more
     seriously and what info to disregard. The info i included below is what
     I would consider more seriously and seems to check out with what we've
     seen elsewhere.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"George Friedman\" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
     To: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Monday, December 5, 2011 9:26:02 PM
     Subject: Fw: Fwd: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
     struggle, etc. - VZ302

     The problem with analyst sources is they are unqualified. This means
     that we don't have clarity on their sources and therefore can't evaluate
     accuracy. This could be valuable humint or pure rumint.

     One of the reasons I want you to execute missions is to learn how to
     evaluate sources. This is a very difficult art but one you must learn.

     The gut is to be trusted only after its well trained.
     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>
     Date: Mon, 5 Dec 2011 20:14:51 -0600 (CST)
     To: George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Fwd: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
     struggle, etc. - VZ302

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
     To: watchofficer@statfor.com
     Sent: Monday, December 5, 2011 9:13:24 PM
     Subject: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
     struggle, etc. - VZ302

     SOURCE: VZ302
     ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
     SOURCE DESCRIPTION: well-connected VZ source working with Israel
     PUBLICATION: Yes
     SOURCE RELIABILITY: B - source is anti-Chavez, but I've gotten better at
     reading him over the years to tell when he's feeding me shit and when
     he's giving useful info - his info on the VZ regime has checked out, but
     i tend to be more skeptical on iran-related info
     ITEM CREDIBILITY: B
     SPECIAL HANDLING: Alpha, scrub source info and also make sure rest of
     latam team sees this
     SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

     Chavez's health - the tumor started as a growth close to the prostate,
     it spread to the colon, which is what led to a lot of confusion in the
     OS about the treatment of prostate v. colon cancer  in hormonal v.
     chemotherapy. A reliable source on the medical has explained that the
     cancer has spread to the lymph nodes and into the bone marrow up to the
     spine, ie. very serious.

     Chavez temporarily stopped the chemo in order to make an appearance at
     the recent CELAC meeting.  The medical team is made up of both Russian
     and Cuban doctors. Both sides are clashing.  THe Russian team blamed the
     Cubans for an improper surgery the first time in trying to remove the
     tumor. The second surgery over the summer was basically the Russian team
     trying to clean up the Cuban team's mistakes. The Russians complain that
     the Cubans dont have the right imagery treatment to properly treat
     Chavez.  The Cuban medical diagnosis is 2 years. The Russian medical
     diagnosis, due to improper medical equipment, is less than one year. The
     source on the medical team complains that Chavez is a very 'bad
     patient.' He doesn't listen to his doctors, he ceases treatment when he
     has to make a public appearance. Now the Russian and the Chinese doctors
     are going at it because Chavez sought hte advice of a Chinese doctor
     that advocates more natural treatments and the Russians are saying this
     is horse shit treatment. only chavez can get the most politicized
     medical team in the world.
     (note - if you see medical reports on Chavez's health in WSJ or Brazil's
     Veja magazine, it's probably coming from this source.)

     Who replaces Chavez?
     I would keep my eye on FM Nicolas Maduro. Maduro is loyal as a dog to
     Chavez. (the source knows Maduro personally, from the days that Maduro
     was a driver of the metro bus.)  At the same time, maduro is seen as the
     most pragmatic in the regime.  If Chavez's health deteriorates
     significantly before the scheduled Oct 2012 elections, expect him to
     proclaim Maduro as his successor in one way or another. You can already
     see him propping up Maduro in a lot of ways. This is less risky than
     Chavez going through with elections, winning, suddenly dying and then a
     power struggle among the Chavistas breaking out. It will be much harder
     in this latter scenario for Maduro to assert himself against rival
     Chavistas like Diosdado Cabello, Rafiel Ramirez, etc.

     Remember that there are four key players propping up the regime - China,
     Cuba, Russia, Iran. All four are split on how to manage a post-Chavez
     regime. China and Russia are more insulated, as they've tried to get
     away from Chavez the personality, to preserving Chavismo, the regime.
     Russia has set up a specific task force (note the Patrushev visits) to
     help manage the post-chavez transition. Both China and Russia are
     backing Maduro as their preferred successor. Cuba, however, is in
     trouble.  They can't count on a Maduro to continue subsidizing them with
     thousands of barrels of oil every day. No one is really paying attention
     to Cuba - they can;t count on the Europeans for investment. Without VZ,
     they're screwed. The Cubans so far have been backing Adan Chavez
     (Chavez's brother) as the preferred candidate, but he doesnt have the
     same following. Cuba may shift to backing Maduro. (At this point in the
     convo, i brought up the possibility of Cuba, having the best intel on
     VZ, using that intel to leverage with the US and open up its options -
     he agreed that's what the Castros will do to survive but he hasnt seen
     serious signs of this.. yet.)

     Maduro is seen as more of a Lula candidate. He has a following, he has
     charisma, but he's also a balancer. He's the kind of guy that would open
     up to the US and keep tight with everyone else, but that still makes
     Iran nervous.  The source seems to think that Obama in his second term
     would open up to Maduro (and this is something that he is actively
     working on.)

     The opposition -
     Venezuela is divided into 5 different strata - A, B, C, D, E - A ++ is
     the elite of the elite, the boli-bourgeoisie that that Chavez has very
     successfully vilified. Chavez doesn't give a shit about these guys. His
     base is the D and E.
     Capriles Radonski, Leopoldo Lopez, Maria Corina Machado are all the A++
     - way too elitist. They can't win over the chavista vote.
     The only one that has a real chance is Pablo Perez - Zulia governor -
     he's actually seen as one of the people.  The conversation between him
     adn the Castros is jsut starting up. (i asked if Perez is talking to
     Maduro yet - he says not yet.)

     guess who has been most cooperative with us lately?   The military
     elite.  These guys have been living the good life. They love women...
     lots of women. THey love booze. They love bora bora. They are easy to
     bribe. They dont care about chavez. they care about maintaining their
     current lifestyles. We've seen a lot of these military elite reach out
     to us lately, trying to insulate themselves in a post-Chavez scenario.

     This is why you'll see Chavez investing a lot of time and money in
     developing the militia. They're his best insurance policy. The more of a
     problem the militia can create on the streets, the more the military
     elite will hestiate before acting against him or his potential
     successor.

     The intent of the ley de precios is very simple. The money laundering
     schemes in food, pharmaceuticals, energy parts, etc. etc. have gotten
     worse./ Completely unchecked.  This price controls law is the
     government's way of controlling opposition campaign spending. Very
     straightforward - they have the legal justification to intimidate
     corporations into cutting back their support for the opposition, or
     else, their company is taken over. This will allow the state more
     control of the private sector.

     (side note) - we were talking a bit about a recent PdVSA-Iran joint
     venture. They shifted their main base of operations from Caracas to
     Ankara, though. This has become a trend lately, where a lot of Iran's
     sanctions circumventing oeprations in VZ are quietly being relocated to
     Turkey. Part of Turkey's balancing act with Iran.

     these were the main points. will update with more..little fuzzy from
     wine right now.
","2011-12-06 03:50:15",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/201031_.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","","friedman@att.blackberry.net",""
202526,"Re: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power struggle, etc. - VZ302
","   It does check out with what I heard in caracas but that increases the
   chance its gossip.

   If this is a source you suspect may have value, you have to take control
   od him. Control means financial, sexual or psychological control to the
   point where he would reveal his sourcing and be tasked. This is difficult
   to do when you are known to be affiliated with an intelligence
   organization. The decision on approach would not come from you but from
   your handler. This is because you're position is too close to the source
   and your judgment by definition suspect. Each meeting would be planned
   between you and your handler and each meeting would have a specific goal
   not built around discussing the topic of interest which would ideally be
   hidden but in analyzing him personally and moving toward control.
   The justification for the op would be specific classes of information and
   on gaining control the first step would be determining his access. If he
   failed the test contact would be terminated.

   the problem of analysts in the field is that they tend to want to discuss
   the topic, which raises the targets awareness, rather than focus on
   establishing the control relationship.

   So from a professional point of view this target knows your affiliation,
   understands your interests and you have not established any control which
   is defined as a high confidence in his obedience.

   So washington is filled with gossip with people whose access is not
   established.

   Just laying this out so you understand the core challenge. To be effective
   your goal is the person and not the subject. Otherwise its gossip which is
   information that you cannot definitively confirm.

   This is intended to start our conversation on your next phase.
   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Date: Mon, 5 Dec 2011 20:30:10 -0600 (CST)
   To: <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
   struggle, etc. - VZ302
   Yes, I have much to learn and I may be just an analyst, but i'm not 100%
   incapable of evaluating a source i've known for a while.  I've listened to
   waht you've told me about reading a source (the Turk with the twitch.) I
   figured out what this source's twitch is in reading his eyes.  I've gotten
   much better in evaluating what info to take more seriously and what info
   to disregard. The info i included below is what I would consider more
   seriously and seems to check out with what we've seen elsewhere.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"George Friedman\" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
   To: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Monday, December 5, 2011 9:26:02 PM
   Subject: Fw: Fwd: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
   struggle, etc. - VZ302

   The problem with analyst sources is they are unqualified. This means that
   we don't have clarity on their sources and therefore can't evaluate
   accuracy. This could be valuable humint or pure rumint.

   One of the reasons I want you to execute missions is to learn how to
   evaluate sources. This is a very difficult art but one you must learn.

   The gut is to be trusted only after its well trained.
   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Date: Mon, 5 Dec 2011 20:14:51 -0600 (CST)
   To: George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Fwd: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
   struggle, etc. - VZ302

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: watchofficer@statfor.com
   Sent: Monday, December 5, 2011 9:13:24 PM
   Subject: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power struggle,
   etc. - VZ302

   SOURCE: VZ302
   ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: well-connected VZ source working with Israel
   PUBLICATION: Yes
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: B - source is anti-Chavez, but I've gotten better at
   reading him over the years to tell when he's feeding me shit and when he's
   giving useful info - his info on the VZ regime has checked out, but i tend
   to be more skeptical on iran-related info
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: B
   SPECIAL HANDLING: Alpha, scrub source info and also make sure rest of
   latam team sees this
   SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

   Chavez's health - the tumor started as a growth close to the prostate, it
   spread to the colon, which is what led to a lot of confusion in the OS
   about the treatment of prostate v. colon cancer  in hormonal v.
   chemotherapy. A reliable source on the medical has explained that the
   cancer has spread to the lymph nodes and into the bone marrow up to the
   spine, ie. very serious.

   Chavez temporarily stopped the chemo in order to make an appearance at the
   recent CELAC meeting.  The medical team is made up of both Russian and
   Cuban doctors. Both sides are clashing.  THe Russian team blamed the
   Cubans for an improper surgery the first time in trying to remove the
   tumor. The second surgery over the summer was basically the Russian team
   trying to clean up the Cuban team's mistakes. The Russians complain that
   the Cubans dont have the right imagery treatment to properly treat
   Chavez.  The Cuban medical diagnosis is 2 years. The Russian medical
   diagnosis, due to improper medical equipment, is less than one year. The
   source on the medical team complains that Chavez is a very 'bad patient.'
   He doesn't listen to his doctors, he ceases treatment when he has to make
   a public appearance. Now the Russian and the Chinese doctors are going at
   it because Chavez sought hte advice of a Chinese doctor that advocates
   more natural treatments and the Russians are saying this is horse shit
   treatment. only chavez can get the most politicized medical team in the
   world.
   (note - if you see medical reports on Chavez's health in WSJ or Brazil's
   Veja magazine, it's probably coming from this source.)

   Who replaces Chavez?
   I would keep my eye on FM Nicolas Maduro. Maduro is loyal as a dog to
   Chavez. (the source knows Maduro personally, from the days that Maduro was
   a driver of the metro bus.)  At the same time, maduro is seen as the most
   pragmatic in the regime.  If Chavez's health deteriorates significantly
   before the scheduled Oct 2012 elections, expect him to proclaim Maduro as
   his successor in one way or another. You can already see him propping up
   Maduro in a lot of ways. This is less risky than Chavez going through with
   elections, winning, suddenly dying and then a power struggle among the
   Chavistas breaking out. It will be much harder in this latter scenario for
   Maduro to assert himself against rival Chavistas like Diosdado Cabello,
   Rafiel Ramirez, etc.

   Remember that there are four key players propping up the regime - China,
   Cuba, Russia, Iran. All four are split on how to manage a post-Chavez
   regime. China and Russia are more insulated, as they've tried to get away
   from Chavez the personality, to preserving Chavismo, the regime. Russia
   has set up a specific task force (note the Patrushev visits) to help
   manage the post-chavez transition. Both China and Russia are backing
   Maduro as their preferred successor. Cuba, however, is in trouble.  They
   can't count on a Maduro to continue subsidizing them with thousands of
   barrels of oil every day. No one is really paying attention to Cuba - they
   can;t count on the Europeans for investment. Without VZ, they're screwed.
   The Cubans so far have been backing Adan Chavez (Chavez's brother) as the
   preferred candidate, but he doesnt have the same following. Cuba may shift
   to backing Maduro. (At this point in the convo, i brought up the
   possibility of Cuba, having the best intel on VZ, using that intel to
   leverage with the US and open up its options - he agreed that's what the
   Castros will do to survive but he hasnt seen serious signs of this.. yet.)

   Maduro is seen as more of a Lula candidate. He has a following, he has
   charisma, but he's also a balancer. He's the kind of guy that would open
   up to the US and keep tight with everyone else, but that still makes Iran
   nervous.  The source seems to think that Obama in his second term would
   open up to Maduro (and this is something that he is actively working on.)

   The opposition -
   Venezuela is divided into 5 different strata - A, B, C, D, E - A ++ is the
   elite of the elite, the boli-bourgeoisie that that Chavez has very
   successfully vilified. Chavez doesn't give a shit about these guys. His
   base is the D and E.
   Capriles Radonski, Leopoldo Lopez, Maria Corina Machado are all the A++ -
   way too elitist. They can't win over the chavista vote.
   The only one that has a real chance is Pablo Perez - Zulia governor - he's
   actually seen as one of the people.  The conversation between him adn the
   Castros is jsut starting up. (i asked if Perez is talking to Maduro yet -
   he says not yet.)

   guess who has been most cooperative with us lately?   The military elite. 
   These guys have been living the good life. They love women... lots of
   women. THey love booze. They love bora bora. They are easy to bribe. They
   dont care about chavez. they care about maintaining their current
   lifestyles. We've seen a lot of these military elite reach out to us
   lately, trying to insulate themselves in a post-Chavez scenario.

   This is why you'll see Chavez investing a lot of time and money in
   developing the militia. They're his best insurance policy. The more of a
   problem the militia can create on the streets, the more the military elite
   will hestiate before acting against him or his potential successor.

   The intent of the ley de precios is very simple. The money laundering
   schemes in food, pharmaceuticals, energy parts, etc. etc. have gotten
   worse./ Completely unchecked.  This price controls law is the government's
   way of controlling opposition campaign spending. Very straightforward -
   they have the legal justification to intimidate corporations into cutting
   back their support for the opposition, or else, their company is taken
   over. This will allow the state more control of the private sector.

   (side note) - we were talking a bit about a recent PdVSA-Iran joint
   venture. They shifted their main base of operations from Caracas to
   Ankara, though. This has become a trend lately, where a lot of Iran's
   sanctions circumventing oeprations in VZ are quietly being relocated to
   Turkey. Part of Turkey's balancing act with Iran.

   these were the main points. will update with more..little fuzzy from wine
   right now.
","2011-12-06 03:43:19",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/202526_re-insight-venezuela-update-on-chavez-s-health-power.html","friedman@att.blackberry.net","","bhalla@stratfor.com",""
209919,"[alpha] RE-SENDING WITH SOURCE CODE - INSIGHT - PNA - Ideology
 behind leadership at Ma'an News Agency - PS200
","   Per Jenn's request.

   On 12/17/11 11:03 AM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

     Sending straight to alpha because no WO on. Replying to this thread
     because it's in reference to the bias we should be aware of from Ma'an
     News Agency, whose story Mikey just pasted in response to the insight on
     what's happening at Pal camps in Lebanon. Source is new, just met him on
     my trip. He's a journalist who works for Ma'an. Insight below is his
     response to my questions about wtf his boss was saying in the article I
     pasted below the insight ('Palestinian editor says Jerusalem will be
     liberated with \"military honor\"'):

     Nasser [Ma'an editor in chief Nasr al-Lahham] is the man but he's a nut.
     I know him well. Israelis know him too, he used to report from the
     Knesset and interviewed I think their president once at his home. 
     His point here, seems to me, is Abbas' strategy of building institutions
     and restoring security, rather than violently resisting, is key to
     liberating Palestine. He's telling the recruits they're just as
     important and valuable as Hezbollah and don't let anyone tell you
     otherwise 
     Here's the inside scoop on Nasser and the key to understanding how Maan
     remains the only truly independent news source in Palestine: He's a
     decades long supporter of the Popular Front, was president of the PFLP
     at Bethlehem Univ. and went to jail six years for it. 
     As a PFLP supporter, he detests organized religion and its mixing in
     politics (Hamas) just as much as he hates
     materialism/capitalism/corruption (Fatah). (On that second point, he's
     probably the most beloved media personality in the country and has huge
     influence, yet he never thought to move out of the refugee camp where he
     was born. Badass.) 
     The other important thing to know about Nasser, more important than
     anything else I just mentioned, is that he is batshit insane. Really do
     love the guy but something is off up there, trust me. He will spout out
     the craziest theories every once in a while ** 
     ----------------------------------------

     Palestinian editor says Jerusalem will be liberated with \"military
     honor\"

     Ma'an News Agency reports at 0429 gmt that its editor in chief Nasr
     al-Lahham, delivered a speech to a group of 600 Palestinian security
     personnel at Jericho's Palestinian Academy for Security Sciences, also
     known as Al-Istiqlal University. The event was attended by several
     high-ranking security figures such as Tawfiq al-Tirawi, head of the
     university board of management, and Nayif Jaradat, the academy's acting
     president.

     The report says that Al-Lahham \"spoke about the occupation and how most
     of the young Jewish people do not know the meaning of the word
     occupation, because they have been brainwashed by the Israeli military
     and media establishments.\"

     He praises Palestinian [National] Authority (PNA) President Mahmud
     Abbas, and likens him to Palestinian figures such as Yasir Arafat and
     Khalid Mish'al, explaining that \"all of them refused to give up on any
     right.\"

     Al-Lahham calls for an end to the criticism of Palestinians via
     satellite television and urges the media to respect the \"conscience of
     the Palestinian youth,\" adding that such criticism is tantamount to
     \"criticizing a whole generation's will of resistance and defiance.\" He
     continues: \"You are the future. I stand before you, and I see no
     difference between you and Hezbollah fighters in south Lebanon. They
     liberated their homeland and you will liberate Jerusalem, God willing.\"
     He concludes his speech by saying \"I swear in the pure blood of your
     father that we will pray in Jerusalem and you will liberate it with your
     military honour.\"

     Source: Ma'an News Agency website, Bethlehem, in Arabic 0429 gmt 30 Nov
     11

     BBC Mon ME1 MEEauosc 011211 sg

     On 12/16/11 2:59 PM, Michael Wilson wrote:

    Fatah figure denies plan to eliminate Salafists in Lebanese refugee camp 
                                                                             
    Text of report by independent, non-governmental Palestinian Ma'an News   
    Agency website                                                           
                                                                             
    [\"Exclusive\" report: \"Al-Maqdah: Fatah not preparing plan to eliminate   
    Jund al-Sham and Jaysh al-Islam\"]                                        
                                                                             
    Bethlehem, 15 December (Ma'an) - Munir al-Maqdah, commander of the Fatah 
    movement's general headquarters in Lebanon, denied that Palestinian      
    forces in the Ayn al-Hulwah refugee camp in south Lebanon are planning   
    to eliminate operatives from the Jund al-Sham and Jaysh al-Islam         
    organizations. These organizations have been accused of being behind the 
    assassination of 2nd lieutenant Ashraf al-Qadiri, escort of Mahmud Isa,  
    also known as Al-Linu, commander of the Palestinian Armed Struggle.      
                                                                             
    Al-Maqdah told Ma'an's radio network that the political leadership in    
    Ayn al-Hulwah has set up a committee to investigate the assassination,   
    but not to eliminate any particular operative or individual. He said     
    that no one is untouchable, no matter what happens, and that anyone      
    whose name is called should immediately head to the special committee in 
    the camp, and if that person is found guilty, he will be turned over to  
    the Lebanese army.                                                       
                                                                             
    Al-Maqdah said \"there are no operatives from Fatah al-Islam or Jund      
    al-Sham in the camp, and this was an isolated incident.\" He added that   
    there are ongoing meetings in the camp \"because there are people who     
    want to spark clashes in the camps, both internally and with their       
    neighbours, and undermine the stability and security in the camps.\"      
                                                                             
    Asked about the reconciliation and the latest meeting between            
    Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas and HAMAS Political Bureau chief      
    Khalid Mish'al in Cairo, Al-Maqdah said this was a positive step towards 
    the future Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital. He said the  
    reconciliation is a Palestinian demand and a force to confront Israel    
    with, and expressed hope that this demand will be fully and clearly      
    realized.                                                                
                                                                             
    Source: Ma'an News Agency website, Bethlehem, in Arabic 1851 gmt 15 Dec  
    11                                                                       
                                                                             
    BBC Mon ME1 MEEauosc 161211 nan                                          

              (c) Copyright British Broadcasting Corporation 2011

 --

       On 12/15/11 7:44 AM, Michael Wilson wrote:

         Fatah Official Says Jund al-Sham Killed al-Lino's Bodyguard

         http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/23367-fatah-official-says-jund-al-sham-killed-al-linos-bodyguard

         by Naharnet Newsdesk 36 minutes ago

         A Fatah official has accused members of the militant group Jund
         al-Sham of assassinating the bodyguard of Palestinian Armed Struggle
         chief Mahmoud Issa, who goes by the nom de guerre of al-Lino.

         The official, who refused to be identified, told al-Liwaa daily
         published Thursday that a Jund al-Sham militant opened fire on
         28-year-old Ashraf al-Qaderi at the Palestinian refugee camp of Ain
         el-Hilweh on Wednesday, killing him instantly.

         Cautious calm prevailed on Thursday in the camp that lies near the
         southern port city of Sidon.

         But the official said that the remaining members of Jund al-Sham are
         seeking to create tension after several security incidents, bombings
         and shootings at the camp.

         He added that several members of the militant group had been
         arrested by the Palestinian Armed Struggle and handed over to
         Lebanese authorities.

         The official hinted that al-Qaderi's killing was aimed at taking
         vengeance at the arrests.

         Keeping an eye on those cookey Palestinians with their guns and
         their shooting. Oy vey! [nick]

         Palestinian commander's bodyguard killed in Lebanon

         http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=342778

         December 15, 2011

         The bodyguard of a top Palestinian commander was shot dead on
         Wednesday in a refugee camp in southern Lebanon, a local official
         said.

         \"At around 10:00 p.m., a masked gunman shot and killed Ashraf Qadiri
         at his shop here in the Ain al-Hilweh camp,\" said Munir Maqdah, in
         charge of security at the camp near the southern coastal city of
         Saida.

         Qadiri was a bodyguard for Mohammed Abdel Hamid Issa, alias
         \"Al-Lino,\" the head of Palestinian party Fatah's police force in Ain
         al-Hilweh.

         Maqdah said Fatah forces had gone on alert and deployed throughout
         the camp, adding that the shooter had not yet been identified.

         Wednesday's shooting was the second such incident this week
         targeting one of Issa's bodyguards.

         Ain al-Helweh, the largest Palestinian camp in the country, is home
         to about 50,000 refugees and is known to harbor extremists and
         fugitives.

         By long-standing convention, the Lebanese army does not enter the
         country's 12 refugee camps, leaving security inside to the
         Palestinians themselves.

         The United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestinian refugees
         (UNRWA) estimates that some 425,000 Palestinian refugees are living
         in Lebanon, a country with a population of four million.

         Others, however, estimate the number to be closer to 250,000.

         -AFP/NOW Lebanon

         --

         On 11/29/11 12:03 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

           I don't think al-Saiqa has been very active since at least the
           1990s.  Their militant history has as far as I'm aware always been
           fighting within Lebanon and Syria, not towards Israel (though they
           did claim some int'l terror attacks in the 1980s).  That is all
           very different from the rocket attacks the last 24 hours, not to
           mention that Saiqa didn't claim those.   

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: \"Marc Lanthemann\" <marc.lanthemann@stratfor.com>
           To: \"alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
           Sent: Tuesday, November 29, 2011 11:30:13 AM
           Subject: [alpha] INSIGHT - SYRIA/LEBANON - Syrian activity in Pal
           camps -        ME1403

           SOURCE: ME1403
           ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
           SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Fatah military source in Lebanon
           PUBLICATION: yes
           SOURCE RELIABILITY: B - good track record in reporting
           ITEM CREDIBILITY: B
           SPECIAL HANDLING: Alpha
           SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

           the PA has damning evidence about the intention of the Syrian
           regime to cause trouble in Palestinian refugee camps in Lebanon.
           Dozens of Syrian men have in recent weeks moved into major camps
           such as Ain al-Hilwa, Sabra & Shatila, al-Biddawi and al-Burj
           al-Shimali. The Syrians appear bent of exploding the security
           situation in the camps should the security situation in Syria go
           out of control. This will be part of the Syrian regime's efforts
           to hold Lebanon hostage and to use it in order to negotiate a deal
           with the West.

           The Syrians believe that the French are leading the Western
           efforts to isolate the Syrian regime. They are also aware that the
           French feel they have a moral and historical responsibility
           towards Lebanon. Therefore, the Syrians seem to want to use
           Lebanon to stop the French diplomatic drive against the regime in
           Damascus. The Syrians arriving into camps in Lebanon belong to
           al-Saeqa Palestinian guerrilla movement, which is largely seen as
           an extention of the Syrian army intelligence.

           --
           Sean Noonan
           Tactical Analyst
           STRATFOR
           T: +1 512-279-9479 | M: +1 512-758-5967
           www.STRATFOR.com

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Director of Watch Officer Group
 STRATFOR
 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
 Austin, TX 78701
 T: +1 512 744 4300 ex 4112
 www.STRATFOR.com

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Director of Watch Officer Group
 STRATFOR
 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
 Austin, TX 78701
 T: +1 512 744 4300 ex 4112
 www.STRATFOR.com
","2011-12-17 19:44:13",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/209919_-alpha-re-sending-with-source-code-insight-pna-ideology.html","bayless.parsley@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
211021,"Re: [alpha] RE-SENDING WITH SOURCE CODE - INSIGHT - ISRAEL - Convo
 with an IDF intel officer - IL200
","   sorry IL200 not IS

   On 12/17/11 12:43 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

     This is per Jenn's request.

     On 12/15/11 10:30 AM, Marc Lanthemann wrote:

       Source is an old friend from college who is now a major in IDF
       intelligence. Had not seen one another in years. Very secretive of
       what they do; seemed pretty suspicious about what exactly I was doing
       in Israel. Nothing too groundbreaking, just some interesting
       observations.

       - When I used the term \"Arab Spring\" early on in our conversation, I
       was reprimanded. \"Don't call it the Arab Spring. We call it 'The
       Upheaval' where I work.\" When I tried to explain that we typically
       scoff at calling it the Arab Spring as well, I was cut off, so that I
       could hear another lecture about how horrible Arabs were. Israelis
       aren't the nicest people most of the time.

       - Opsec at IDI (Israel Defense Intelligence) seems pretty extreme. If
       you try to email this person, you don't hear back for a month, minimum
       - usually even longer. Reason is because no websites that have
       passwords are allowed at work. Emails for internal comms only.

       - Source is in D.C. frequently for meetings with DIA. When I asked if
       they are often trained by the Americans, the response was a smirk and,
       \"We like to think we don't need the Americans to train us.\" IDI,
       source said, is \"more creative\" than American counterparts. The way
       they work sounded similar in philosophy to STRATFOR, actually. For
       example, there is a specific officer who is referred to as the
       \"Devil's advocate\" at the IDI offices. This person is allowed to
       challenge any random paper on any topic, produced by someone of any
       rank. If a paper is written that says, hypothetically, that Bashar
       will fall in three weeks, the Devil's advocate can then say, \"Okay,
       I'm challenging this assertion. Now, I want you to write the exact
       opposite argument and play out the logic.\" Source did not deny that
       they, too, can fall prey to groupthink like any other intelligence
       body, but was a firm believe that this was a good way to avoid it.

       - \"Where are the moderates in the Muslim world?\" That was the theme of
       the conversation on source's end. If you listen to this person, you
       come away with the notion that the Israelis seem extremely unnerved
       about the future of the region, with the primary focus being on the
       Iranian threat. (Again, this is not groundbreaking insight.)

       - Source openly said that none of this shit would be happening right
       now had Obama not abandoned Mubarak like he did. When I later
       criticized Bush for shattering the balance of power in the PG, source
       shot back, \"Well what about Obama?\" I said that Obama had maintained
       the same FP as Bush, a claim with which the source agreed. And yet the
       source loves Bush's policies and hates Obama's. Israelis are not a fan
       of Barack.

       - Because Obama abandoned Mubarak, source lamented the fact that Egypt
       was no longer the leader of the Arab world. This does not mean source
       believes the MB is on the verge of completely taking power in Egypt -
       (I specifically asked if that was the belief the IDI holds) - but it
       does mean that there is a steep drop in faith that the SCAF has
       ability to maintain the status quo. Overall I found the message on
       Egypt a bit confusing.

       - Part of the reason that the message was confused message imo is
       because the source openly admits that in the IDI, people have a
       singular focus on the outside world. Like STRATFOR, they are largely
       disconnected with domestic politics. So the Syria people identify with
       Syria, the Hezbollah people will jokingly say stuff like, \"I am in
       Hezbollah\" when you ask them their AOR, etc.

       - The IDI is very much focused on the Shiite crest ranging from Iran
       to Lebanon. Iran is the primary threat in the world today. Source was
       heavily concerned with how Yemen plays into this as well; much moreso
       than what we talk about. \"AQAP is in control of south fucking Yemen,
       for God's sake.\" Source says they jokingly refer to AQAP as \"AQHP\"
       after the HP printer bombs that got seized on those DHL flights a few
       years back.

       - The IDI is operating on the assumption that Yemen will be completely
       out of water in eight years. I asked if this was their own assessment
       and source said, \"No, it's public information. You can find it on
       Wikipedia.\" I think it took about one second for the source to realize
       retarded that sounded, citing Wikipedia when you're a major at the
       IDI, and so immediately it was amended with, \"there have been studies
       published.\" Fear about Yemen running out of water is mass migrations
       into KSA, which Iran could exploit.

       - When I said that there were people in the Israeli
       government/military/intel community who reads STRATFOR, source said,
       \"I can check on that for you.\" Thanks.
","2011-12-17 20:01:41",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/211021_re-alpha-re-sending-with-source-code-insight-israel-convo.html","bayless.parsley@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
275566,"RE: Follow up from STRATFOR and visit
","David -

A trust continuum is a fine description - mostly we want to have access to
someone there who can answer questions we may have when following an issue
or if something critical breaks someone we can call to get details
locally. Often these may be things that do not seem important to you but
are to us- and vice versa - although I mostly see us both focusing on
things we mutually see as important. And having you confirm something,
amplify it or put it in context or tell us we're looking at it the wrong
way is all valuable to us.

I have not yet had a chance to hear of your regionscape project but will
be sure to ask Reva about it. We certainly share your interest in not
getting damaged. I will keep you informed of any other collaborations we
move forward with in Turkey. And anything confidential you share with us
will stay with us. I'm glad you had a chance to visit with Reva. I was
speaking with Kamran yesterday and he is also looking at a trip there in
May he told me. So you may see a few of us from Stratfor in the near
future.

So, next steps. Shall I resend the draft collaboration agreement or do you
still have it? If so, feel free to make any suggested revisions you wish
and send back to me. We can get this signed so we can move forward.

I will also keep you informed of George and my plans regarding our June
visit.

Take care David and I really do look forward to seeing you again and
visiting Istanbul soon.

Best,
Meredith

-----Original Message-----
From: David Judson [mailto:david.judson@tdn.com.tr] 
Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 2:38 PMA t
To: Meredith Friedman
Subject: RE: Follow up from STRATFOR and visit

Hi Meredith:

I think this sounds fine. My understanding of the essential model we are
trying to put together is that it is really what I might call a trust
continuum. As I explained to Reva, at the moment we have nothing
particularly concrete to offer beyond what we put on our web site. We have
an idea for an Economist style intelligence unit, shelved since late 2008
when the world became a bit darker, but that remains far from concrete.
So, the value we can offer is to confirm something for you, or amplify or
try and draw a bit of context. Farmers chatting about seed varieties over
the fence, so to speak. Kind of what reasonable should be doing anyway,
not something that necessarily requires reciprocity. In short, I like you
and George. And I like Reva. Your note describes the terms well. I briefed
the editors here on the essence of this after speaking to Reva. So we are
at your service.

Again informally, we are trying to come to a better understanding of our
\"near abroad\" in particular. Reva may have spoken to you of our
\"Regionscape\" project which unlike our intelligence unit is very much
alive. Looking over our shoulder, any advice you might give us on this
would be much appreciated.

The concern we share is not getting damaged, having something slip out of
this continuum. This is not something I fear. I am, of course, aware of
who your other potential collaborator is. I am quite sure you can keep
confidences on anything we might share and I know matters will not travel
to these folks. And that is really my only concern, which I say has
effectively been ameliorated. So we're in business.

I should emphasize that the competition between ourselves and the Zaman
group is rather assymetrical. They like to perceive us as a competitor. As
Reva's notes will reflect, they certainly have plenty of nasty things to
say about us, and about me in fact. All which I hope I answered. They do
this publicly from time to time as well. Which we do not. And we wish them
all the best, privately and publicly. We operate in two very different
conceptual planes. I am not sure how best to describe this, but it is
certainly not competition.

The dates you suggest should be fine from here. I have been trying to
organize my own trip to the East Coast but distractions keep popping up.
And while I would like to visit a good friend recently here from Dallas,
that's at last as far as fall. So late May or June will probably be our
best bet. But if we can be of assistance in the interim, please let me
know. By the way, your fellow Emre here is a classmate of one of our
reporters. This might prove useful in some way.

And give my regards to Reva. I enjoyed our dinner very much. And also say
hi to George.

Best


David



________________________________
From: Meredith Friedman [mfriedman@stratfor.com]
Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 4:50 PM
To: David Judson
Subject: Follow up from STRATFOR and visit


Hello David -

Reva is back from her trip to Turkey and has filled me in on her various
meetings. She really enjoyed her time in Turkey and said she loves it the
most of any country she's visited yet...and she gets around quite a bit.

We discussed the issues you've been facing regarding a collaboration with
us and I fully understand. It seems out best approach is to have several
collaborations in Turkey so that we get all points of view and do not
alienate one political perspective over the other. Since we aim for
objectivity that is fine with us and I will pursue that goal. I understand
from Reva that you would be fine with us having several partners in Turkey
as well. Please let me know if that is not the case.

We can move forward any way you would suggest. I have yet to approach the
other news organization Reva suggested but will email them today to begin
a discussion with them about a collaboration as well. We do not plan to
publicize these collaborations anyway, so if you are comfortable moving
forward on our partnership with Hurriyet we can do so or we can wait until
and do them both around the same time. Again, at this stage we are not
looking for you to redistribute our content at all but for more of an
exchange of information, research and some analysis between our analysts
and your journalists.

George and I are planning a visit to Istanbul in early June and I wanted
to give you a heads up to see if you will be there at that time? I'm
thinking somewhere between May 31- June 5. Please let me know if you will
be in Istanbul then so we can meet up again.

I look forward to your reply.

Best regards,

Meredith


Meredith Friedman
VP, Communications
STRATFOR
www.stratfor.com<http://www.stratfor.com/>
512 744 4301 - office
512 426 5107 - cell
<mailto:PR@Stratfor.com>
","2010-03-19 22:15:27",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/275566_re-follow-up-from-stratfor-and-visit-.html","","","david.judson@tdn.com.tr",""
277400,"Please invoice and charge credit card Booz Allen Hamilton $20,790 - renewal (paid $19,800 last year)
","","2011-03-29 16:02:55",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/277400_please-invoice-and-charge-credit-card-booz-allen-hamilton-20.html","wright@stratfor.com","","oconnor@stratfor.com,george.friedman@stratfor.com,Don.kuykendall@stratfor.com,cs@stratfor.com,kelly.tryce@stratfor.com,rob.bassetti@stratfor.com,holly.sparkman@stratfor.com,fernando.jaimes@stratfor.com","attach/17/17225_Stratfor Servi.pdf"
281798,"STRATFOR MONITOR- ARGENTINA - Falkland Islands oil exploration
","   Reports from Malvina government authorities say that the companies Border
   and Southern Ltd and BHP Billiton are prepared to start exploring the
   Southern waters of the Falkland islands as soon as possible.  They are
   even evaluating the possibility of bringing a new oil platform or drilling
   boat to the area in the event they are unable to use the Ocean Guardian
   (the drilling boat that caused the recent rift among the govts).  Through
   these measures, Border and Southern Ltd and BHP Billiton will be the
   latest companies to join oil exploration activities in the islands (after
   Desire Petroleum and Rockopper Exploration), which are currently in waters
   North of the islands.  Desire and Rockopper are the companies
   that contracted the Ocean Guardian from Diamond Offshore Drilling Intl;
   Billiton could also use the Ocean Guardian. 

   Island authorities have said that drilling in southern waters is a more
   delicate issue environmentally speaking.  However, according to their
   studies, oil companies are saying that their activities will not interfere
   with commercial fishing in the area (the principal form of income for the
   islands).  Some experts are saying that the two drilling areas are an
   underwater continuation of the Andes. They are also located very close to
   the well that YPF wants to explore in Argentine waters.  The expert also
   said that the exploratory phase in southern waters would take about 70
   days, though he said that he could not estimate a start date given the
   variables over equipment availability.

    
","2010-03-05 16:38:28",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/281798_stratfor-monitor-argentina-falkland-islands-oil-exploration-.html","","","zucha@stratfor.com,meredith.friedman@stratfor.com,Howard.Davis@nov.com,Pete.Miller@nov.com,Andrew.bruce@nov.com,David.rigel@nov.com,loren.singletary@nov.com",""
282635,"[alpha] Insight processing reminder
","   Anyone sending insight through to the list needs to remember the new
   coding we have scoring everything on an A-F scale.  I am pasting the
   directions again below.  Pay particular attention to the directions under
   item credibility.

   Also, Mikey made a good point the other day.  Often we will task a source
   asking for feedback on a particular OS piece.  When we do that please also
   include the piece being referenced so that it completes the insight. 
   Sometimes we don't know what the source is referencing, making it
   confusing.

   Finally, where possible its also a good idea to include the original
   (scrub them where needed) questions for the same reason mentioned above on
   the OS pieces.  Where that is not possible and where necessary, please
   give a general idea on the tasking to better understand the sources
   references.  Also, when you include the (scrubbed) questions - and again,
   I know that's not always appropriate - it helps others trying to learn the
   sourcing and insight process to learn how we task sources.

   SOURCE: code
   ATTRIBUTION: this is what we should say if we use this info in a
   publication, e.g. STRATFOR source/source in the medical industry/source on
   the ground, etc
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: this is where we put the more concrete details of the
   source for our internal consumption so we can better understand the
   source's background and ability to make the assessments in the insight.
   PUBLICATION: Yes or no.  If you put yes it doesn't mean that we will
   publish it, but only that we can publish it.
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F. A being the best and F being the worst.  This
   grades the source overall - access to information, timeliness,
   availability, etc.  In short, how good is this source?
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: A-F.  A = we can take this info to the bank; B = Good
   insight but maybe not entirely precise; C = Insight is only partially
   true; D = There may be some interest in the insight, but it is mostly
   false or just pure speculation; F = Likely to be disinformation.
   SPECIAL HANDLING: often this is \"none\" but it may be something like, \"if
   you use this we need to be sure not to mention the part about XXX in
   thepublication\" or any other special notes
   SOURCE HANDLER: the person who can take follow-up questions and
   communicate with the source

   Remember that you are not limited to only putting down the letter score
   and are encouraged to give insight into WHY you are picking that score.  I
   know we are often in a hurry, but this is very helpful for everyone
   understanding biases, uniqueness and other factors that make the insight
   pertinent (or not).

   If there are any questions, please ask.

   Jen

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2011-08-11 23:48:03",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/282635_-alpha-insight-processing-reminder-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
286265,"FW: monitor guidance
","11","2009-07-21 02:01:51",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/286265_fw-monitor-guidance-.html","","","zucha@stratfor.com","attach/20/20529_Eurasia.doc
attach/20/20531_mesa.doc
attach/20/20532_Africa.doc
attach/20/20534_East Asia.doc
attach/20/20537_briefers.doc
attach/20/20539_Latam.doc"
287965,"RE: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2 - one more thought
","   One other thing -- from a branding perspective if we're serious about
   Quality, Status and Mystique I think showing too much of our inner
   workings devalues our Mystique. People don't know how we collect our
   intelligence and that's one of the cool, mysterious things about STRATFOR.
   Seeing raw intelligence come in would be cool for a few weeks but then it
   would become another expected product and we lose our mystique a little on
   source collection.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Meredith Friedman
   Sent: Thursday, October 01, 2009 9:55 AM
   To: scott stewart; friedman@att.blackberry.net; 'Darryl O'Connor'; 'Aaric
   Eisenstein'; 'Peter Zeihan'; 'George Friedman';
   maverick.fisher@stratfor.com
   Cc: 'Grant Perry'; 'Richard Parker'; 'darryl'
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   Thanks, Stick, for laying this out. I have to say I support your position
   on this. As you mentioned yesterday, our sources would be talking to
   Reuters or other news organizations if they wanted their ideas published
   directly (even as anonymous sources) but they are not - they are talking
   to us because they know we protect not only their identity but use what
   they say in a careful way in our analysis or as sitreps.
    
   On the reverse side, if we blacked out every category of our source
   descriptions and coding it would be silly and make people wonder if we
   weren't making them up ourselves. We already show a lot of leg by sharing
   our internal intelligence guidance with our customers - that is sexy and
   something that makes us unique. I agree we would lose some of our best
   sources for intelligence if we began publishing what they send us in raw
   format no matter how carefully we try to disguise their identity.
    
   Meredith

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: scott stewart [mailto:scott.stewart@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, October 01, 2009 9:43 AM
   To: friedman@att.blackberry.net; 'Darryl O'Connor'; 'Aaric Eisenstein';
   'Peter Zeihan'; 'George Friedman'; maverick.fisher@stratfor.com
   Cc: 'Grant Perry'; 'Richard Parker'; 'darryl'; 'Meredith Friedman'
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   OK, I have taken 24 hours to relax, calm down and think about this
   concept.
    
   Here are my thoughts.
    
    
   1) This may be a decent marketing idea, but in my opinion it is a terrible
   intelligence idea. In addition to the point I made yesterday about many of
   our sources not wanting to be paraded into the spotlight, it is also
   important to remember that we have sources in places like Iran, Syria,
   China and Russia who could be traced if we allowed that much of their
   writings and information to be published in raw form.  Allowing an
   intelligence service to isolate all the source reporting coming from that
   country would be very attractive to them and they would certainly attempt
   to determine who we are talking to, and who is talking to us, on a regular
   basis.
    
   We have an ethical responsible to do our best to protect our people - and
   from a purely selfish perspective if one of our people is identified and
   then whacked, arrested, or cowed by the authorities into no longer
   reporting, we can quickly lose an asset that have taken us years to
   develop.  This will hurt our publishing operations, and will not be
   sustainable in the long run.  We need to protect our most valuable -- and
   in most cases, our most sensitive -- sources for the future of the
   company. 
    
   2) We could do something like this with less-sensitive sources who agree
   to be published directly, but those less-sensitive sources will lack the
   sex appeal that Aaric is looking for and that will make this a rather
   bland product offering.
    
   3) Based on 1 and 2, it is my recommendation that we continue to handle
   insight as it is. That is, using it to inform our analysis and to make
   sure our published work remains very strong, and our CIS customers stay
   informed.  We can also continue to use critical pieces of insight directly
   as the basis for sitreps.  
    
   I have calmed down from yesterday, but I still feel very strongly that
   continuing to handle insight as we do is the best course of action for us
   as an intelligence company.
    
    
    

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: George Friedman [mailto:friedman@att.blackberry.net]
   Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:31 PM
   To: scott stewart; Darryl O'Connor; 'Aaric Eisenstein'; 'Peter Zeihan';
   George Friedman; maverick.fisher@stratfor.com
   Cc: 'Grant Perry'; 'Richard Parker'; 'darryl'
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   We need to sit down and consider this. Sources we can't use are useless.
   Promiscuous use of sensitive sources is dangerous. This is an ongoing
   dilemma of intelligence. Since we aren't journalists there may be ways to
   deal with this. We need a policy. Stick, please put out your thoughts on
   this and then we will follow up. In the meantime we fold sensitive
   intelligence into analyses or sitreps on a case by case basis.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"scott stewart\"
   Date: Wed, 30 Sep 2009 12:18:26 -0400
   To: 'Darryl O'Connor'<oconnor@stratfor.com>; 'Aaric
   Eisenstein'<eisenstein@stratfor.com>; 'Peter
   Zeihan'<peter.zeihan@stratfor.com>; 'George
   Friedman'<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; <maverick.fisher@stratfor.com>
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2

   This is what I said to Aaric Monday. We really need to protect our people
   and our sources.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Darryl O'Connor [mailto:oconnor@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 12:05 PM
   To: 'Aaric Eisenstein'; 'scott stewart'; 'Peter Zeihan'; 'George
   Friedman'; maverick.fisher@stratfor.com
   Cc: 'Grant Perry'; 'Richard Parker'; 'darryl'
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   my concern:
    
   does the source have website access?  let's assume so.  would they
   have the piss scared out of them to see their own words on our website?
   enough piss scared out of them to not want to be a source anymore?  
    
   this is not really my area and not trying to horn in on someone else's
   territory, but i thought it wouldn't hurt to ask the question.  
    
   over and out.
     

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Aaric Eisenstein [mailto:eisenstein@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 10:55 AM
   To: 'scott stewart'; 'Peter Zeihan'; 'George Friedman';
   maverick.fisher@stratfor.com
   Cc: 'Grant Perry'; 'Richard Parker'; 'darryl'
   Subject: FW: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   Can we publish the Insight below - redacted on source of course - as a
   test of the \"raw\" format as opposed to putting it into an article?  It'll
   be interesting to see what kind of feedback we get on the new format. 
   This Insight as good flavor in its raw form.
    
   Aaric S. Eisenstein
   Chief Innovation Officer
   STRATFOR
   512-744-4308
   512-744-4334 fax
   aaric.eisenstein@stratfor.com
   Follow us on http://Twitter.com/stratfor
    

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Peter Zeihan [mailto:zeihan@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 10:51 AM
   To: Aaron Colvin
   Cc: Secure List
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - IRAN - Delegation to Geneva - IR2
   interesting -- they've put in a clod because they don't think he's smart
   enough to do anything

   would hate to be the clod

   clods are disposable

   Aaron Colvin wrote:

     SOURCE CODE: IR2

     PUBLICATION: Not Applicable

     SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Tehran-based freelance journalist/analyst who is
     well plugged into the system

     ATTRIBUTION: Not Applicable

     SOURCE RELIABILITY: B

     ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2

     SPECIAL HANDLING: Not Applicable

     DISTRIBUTION: Secure

     SOURCE HANDLER: Kamran

     I think the composition is very interesting. Jalili is no seasoned
     diplomat but he is someone both SL and Sepah could trust since his lower
     intellectual and political stature makes it less likely that he shows
     any independent streaks on tactical matters-- as someone like Larijani
     could have. The other two are career diplomats-technocrats with
     extensive knowledge of their respective fields. Jalili needs them for
     advice on legal niceties and for general political considerations. The
     third negotiator's presence is in indeed interesting. As you have
     noted, the  presence of someone from the Minstry of Economic Affairs
     serves to show Iran's seriouness in the talks. But it is just for the
     show as Iran knows that the talks will fail.
","2009-10-01 17:06:58",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/287965_re-insight-iran-delegation-to-geneva-ir2-one-more-thought-.html","","","mfriedman@stratfor.com,gfriedman@stratfor.com,oconnor@stratfor.com,scott.stewart@stratfor.com,darryl.oconnor@stratfor.com,eisenstein@stratfor.com,friedman@att.blackberry.net,peter.zeihan@stratfor.com,maverick.fisher@stratfor.com,Richard.parker@stratfor.com,grant.perry@stratfor.com",""
290835,"MUST READ: New GV Process
","   Beginning today, we will put in place a new GV monitoring procedure.
    
   1. Watch officers will continue to post items to the alerts list to flag
   them as potential GV monitors. 
    
   2. Briefers will be responsible for sorting through those alerts (among
   other material), and will post those items that actually require monitors
   to a GV Folder on Clearspace
   (http://clearspace.stratfor.com/community/analysts/gv). That folder will
   be a central list of GV requests.
    
   3. Analysts will then produce GV Monitors for the requests in the folder
   and post them to the analyst list as usual.
    
   4. After any necessary discussion of the monitor is resolved on the
   list, the analyst will post the final GV Monitor as a reply to the request
   in the GV folder.
    
   5. A briefer will move completed GV requests from main GV folder into an
   archive folder, which will be a central repository for past GVs. The
   object is to keep that GV folder as near to empty as possible.
    
    
   This process incorporates briefers better into the GV process, and places
   on them the burden of sifting through the many items flagged for GV by the
   Watch Officers (who should keep up the good work). As GV monitors will
   only be written when requested by at least one briefer, we will avoid
   producing monitors that are not ultimately sent to any client (which
   currently happens).
    
   If analysts see items they think the briefers missed or underestimated the
   significance of, they should, of course, bring them to the briefers'
   attention. And briefers will continue to ask whether analysts think some
   developments are important enough to warrant a GV. This process is not
   meant to replace individual communication.
    
   This GV folder will give everyone a clear picture of which GV requests are
   outstanding, allowing better prioritization; and it will alert us when
   there is a backlog.
    
   Analysts will not need to check the GV folder constantly; they can receive
   email notifications whenever a new item is posted (go to
   http://clearspace.stratfor.com/community/analysts/gv and select \"Receive
   email notifications\" in the \"Actions & Notifications\" box on the right) or
   opt to use the space's RSS feed (also in the A&R box). GV requests that
   remain unanswered for 3 hours will automatically generate an email alert
   to the secure list.
    
   We are continuing to work on ways to improve the GV system. Please contact
   me with any questions.
    
    
   Joseph de Feo
   Briefer
   STRATFOR
   T: 703-469-2182 x2185
   F: 703-469-2189
   defeo@stratfor.com 
   _______________________
   www.stratfor.com
   Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
","2007-10-22 13:45:12",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/290835_must-read-new-gv-process-.html","defeo@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
291885,"MUST READ -- Welcome to the secure list
","   Hi everyone,
    
   As we are shifting the way we operate and adding new overseas monitors to
   the Stratfor team, we need to also change our own procedures to ensure our
   own efficiency, as well as the protection of our clients.
    
   Currently, the bulk of information in the company flows through the
   analysts@stratfor.com list, which the analysts, interns, writers,
   briefers, etc. belong to. The monitors need to be able to view the
   information flowing through the list to pick up on what issues we're
   looking at, see what information has already been posted and gradually get
   a feel of what's geopolitically significant. At the same time, it is
   unnecessary for monitors to be exposed to any client-related material that
   makes it to the list, including GV monitors and client reports/projects.
    
   To resolve this issue, we have created a new list called
   secure@stratfor.com. This list is to only be used for CLIENT-RELATED
   MATERIAL and anything else that should be shielded from the intern and
   monitor pools. From now on, DO NOT post anything client-related to the
   analysts@stratfor.com list. Only analysts (from geopol, public policy and
   security), briefers, writers and relevant managers belong to the secure
   list.
    
   Please discipline yourself to send client-related material to the secure
   list. This new system will help us manage the content of the analysts list
   and protect our clients' interests.
    
   A full list of the people on the secure list is added below. Let myself
   and IT know if someone is missing.
    
   Thanks,
    
   Reva Bhalla
   Strategic Forecasting Inc.
   Director of Geopolitical Analysis
   T: (512) 744-4316
   F: (512) 744-4334
   www.stratfor.com
    

      
     Rodger Baker
     Reva Bhalla
     Peter Zeihan
     Kamran Bokhari
     Mark Schroeder
     Jen Richmond
     Nate Hughes
     Lina Reznikov
      
     Amy Dalton
     Anya Alfano
     Joseph de Feo
      
     Bart Mongoven
     Kathy Morson
     Sarah Campbell
     Dan Kornfield
      
     Andrew Teekell
     Dan Burgess
      
      
     Marla Dial
     Walt Howerton
     Michael McCullar
     Lori Slaugenhoupt
     Les McLain
     Robin Blackburn
     Maverick Fisher
     Rachel Swindle
     Jeremy Edwards
      
     Fred Burton
     Mike Parks
     Scott Stewart
     Ron Moore
     George Friedman
","2006-11-15 22:11:41",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/291885_must-read-welcome-to-the-secure-list-.html","bhalla@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
299775,"RE: CLIENT PROJECT - MUST READ
","   Here's some guidance on the industry trends/market conditions point:
    1. issues concerning petroleum supply/price (as stated) -- this is the
       biggest item to note, especially as it affects MNCs
    2. nationaliziation of oil (anything that might make it harder for the
       chem company to get petroleum, which is their major input)
    3. increasing regulation of chemicals/products or talk of increasing
       regulation (health and environmental concerns, or ways to block MNCs
       from selling things in your AOR)
    4. increasing regulation of industrial facilities or talk of increasing
       regulation (anything to make it harder for a facility to operate or
       for a new facility to be built)
    5. product recalls and import/export issues of products (like the mattel
       fiasco in china last year)
    6. overall treatment of MNCs in your AOR
    
    
    
    
    

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Reva Bhalla [mailto:bhalla@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, February 27, 2008 7:46 PM
   To: secure@stratfor.com
   Subject: CLIENT PROJECT - MUST READ
   Importance: High
   Another MATCH fishing task that's going to require input from the whole
   team.  This one is due MARCH 4, at 1pm CST to Joe deFeo (cc me). No edit
   required.
    
   Stay tuned for more guidance on this as the project develops. Read the
   tasking order carefully.
    
   TASK:
    
   The client asked for BRIEF bullet points on current and potential risks
   facing the chemicals industry in general, any current or potential risks
   facing the following companies specifically:

   Formosa Plastics Corporation
   CMX
   Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
   Lyondell
   Rockwood Specialties Group, Inc.
   Chemtura Corporation
   ICC Industries
   Symrise
   Gen-Tek
    
    

   This is a large number of companies, and we will limit aspects of the
   research to keep this manageable for us and the client.

    

   Final product should include the following:

    

    1. Overview of current or potential threats facing the chemicals industry
       in general. (TO BE DONE BY PUBLIC POLICY TEAM -- Kathy in lead)

         a. market conditions, industry trends

   b.      NGOs, labor

    2. Threats facing the above companies or their main products specifically
       (please include brief lists of major products in the final research
       paper). (LIST WILL BE COMPILED AND POLISHED BY RESEARCH TEAM; Items a,
       b, c below will be compiled by the Analysts. Public policy will be
       taking the lead on a lot of this, but the regional analysts will also
       need to provide any relevant bullets on the points below)
   PUBLIC POLICY TEAM -- Will need to provide guidance on what kinds of
   industry trends and market conditions would be most relevant for the
   chemical industry.
     a. Current or potential threats from market conditions, industry trends
        directly affecting the companies (e.g., petroleum supply and price)
     b. Current or potential threats from NGOs, labor campaigns facing the
        companies or their products specifically (e.g., campaigns against PVC
        affect Formosa) 
     c. Current security threats; client only needs to be aware of any known
        security issues facing the companies. Quick notes only, no
        predictions/assessments needed. Do not spend a large amount of time
        on security.

   FOR RESEARCH TEAM --  First find out each company's most important
   products; be on the lookout especially for the following substances/terms:

   .   plastics, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) or vinyl, plastic additives (such
   as Bisphenol A or phthalates), polycarbonate plastics

   .   flame retardants (brominated flame retardants, polybrominated diphenyl
   ethers or PBDEs; e.g., Octa-BDE and Deca-BDE)

   .   perfluorinated chemicals (also called non-stick chemicals, PFOS and
   PFOA)

   .   Substances involving chlorine, fluorine, bromine

    

   Do not spend a large amount of time on a company if there seem to be no
   specific threats to it.

    

   To help determine NGO and labor threats against these specific companies,
   we have researched the facility locations for each. The full list can be
   found below.

    

   The research team will be sending out a well-organized list of the
   products each of these companies produce so you can have that background
   information handy.

    

   .         Formosa Plastics Corporation (biggest PVC resins manufacturer
   worldwide; many subsidiaries, focus on the Taiwanese parent and Formosa
   Plastics USA)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   EAST ASIA - Taiwan

   NORTH AMERICA - US

    

   .         CMX (previously Schoor De Palma; not sure what chemicals work it
   does)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   NORTH AMERICA - New Jersey, Arizona, Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland,
   Florida, Nevada and Mexico

    

   .         Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (major supplier of atmospheric
   and specialty gases [e.g., hydrogen] for industrial, healthcare, and
   commercial use; semiconductor materials; natural gas liquefaction;
   manufacturing locations worldwide)

   .          

   LOCATIONS:

    

   AFRICA - South Africa

   LATAM - Brazil, Mexico, Trinidad and Tobago

   NORTH AMERICA - Canada

   EAST ASIA - China, HK, Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Taiwan,
   Japan, Thailand

   SOUTH ASIA - India

   EUROPE - Belgium, Czech Repub, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy,
   Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, UK

   MIDEAST - Algeria, Turkey, Israel, Qatar, UAE

    

    

   .         Lyondell (Houston-based; big producer of ethylenes,
   polyproylenes -- also diacetyl [popcorn lung chemical], I think; refinery
   operations)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   NORTH AMERICA - US

   LATAM - Brazil

   EUROPE - Netherlands, France

   EAST ASIA - China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan

   SOUTH ASIA - India

   .         Rockwood Specialties Group, Inc. (U.S.-based manufacturer of
   specialty chemicals, among other things; focus on the chem., additives,
   coatings divisions)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   EUROPE - France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden,
   Switzerland, UK, Austria, Czech Republic

    

   EAST ASIA- Australia, China, Singapore, Taiwan

    

   LATAM- Brazil, Mexico, Chile

    

   NORTH AMERICA- US, Canada

    

   MESA - India, Turkey,

    

   AFRICA - South Africa

    

   .         Chemtura Corporation (U.S. company; makes plastic additives,
   flame retardants, fluorinated compounds -- big trouble, all)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   EAST ASIA - China, Australia, South Korea, Thailand, Singapore

   LATAM - Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, Ecuador

   EURASIA - Czech Rep, France, Greece, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan,
   Moldova, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia,
   Switzerland, UK, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Belarus

   MESA - Turkey, India, Saudi Arabia

    

   (to check what kind of activities in each country -
   http://www.chemtura.com/corporate/v/index.jsp?vgnextoid=7f0597b9cc85c010VgnVCM10000052d7010aRCRD&vgnextchannel=7f0597b9cc85c010VgnVCM10000052d7010aRCRD&vgnextfmt=default)

    

    

   .         ICC Industries (pharma chemicals and others; might still be
   involved in generic drug manufacturing)

   LOCATIONS:

    

   EURASIA - United Kingdom, Hungary, Romania, Czech Rep, Slovakia, Russia
   (production facilities); Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Belgium,
   Netherlands, Poland Serbia (trading offices)

    

   EAST ASIA - China (production facilities); Indonesia, Japan (trading
   offices)

    

   MESA - Israel (production facilities); Turkey (Trading offices)

    

    

   .         Symrise (German -- food additives and fragrance; what
   specifically?)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   LATAM - Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Taiwan, Thailand,
   Venezuela

   EURASIA - Poland, Russia, Netherlands, Ukraine, UK, Italy, Spain

   MESA - India, Turkey

   EAST ASIA - Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand

   AFRICA - South Africa

    

    

   .         Gen-Tek (pharma/personal care chemicals, fuel additives)

    

   LOCATIONS:

    

   NORTH AMERICA - US, Canada

   LATAM - Brazil

    

    
","2008-02-28 02:15:27",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/299775_re-client-project-must-read-.html","morson@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
309308,"Re: FOR COMMENT - Conclusion to Egypt monograph - Contemporary
	Challenges: Life After Mubarak
","   Hola Reva,
   Can we go ahead and edit the for comment version of the monograph? Thanks!

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Monday, December 12, 2011 4:22:40 PM
   Subject: FOR COMMENT - Conclusion to Egypt monograph -
   Contemporary        Challenges: Life After Mubarak

    

   Contemporary Challenges: Life After Mubarak

    

   Early 2011 was a dramatic period in modern Egyptian history. The
   mainstream mediaa**s narrative on the Arab Spring portrayed popular
   uprisings as the driving force that swept away the regime of Hosni Mubarak
   and opened the door to democracy. But a closer examination indicates that
   the rules of the past still apply. Concentration of power, physical
   isolation from the outside world, and dependence upon outside forces for
   economic security remain the trifecta that drives Egyptian society and
   governmental development.

   To understand the Arab Spring one must first understand the factors that
   led to it. This is a discussion that must begin, not with the aspirations
   of those that protested in Tahrir square, but with the strategic
   imperatives of the military, the true vanguard of the Egyptian state.

   Nassera**s plan to elevate the military as the vanguard of society worked,
   but in years after Nassera**s death the military itself shifted position.
   Rather than partnering with the Soviets to create a regional sphere of
   influence, the military evolved its vanguard position in Egyptian society
   into a system of ossified control. The state still owned nearly everything
   of worth, but it was managed by and for the benefit of the military brass.
   Everything from banks to import/export to agriculture -- already heavily
   influenced by the military under the vanguard system -- was consolidated
   into a series of military oligarchies. Rather than working to elevate
   Egypt economically, the military oligarchs mostly divvied up the local
   spoils and lived large.

   This was a stable system from the late-1970s until the mid-2000s.
   Egypta**s shielded geography limited the ability of any international
   economic interest to challenge the military staffsa** personal fiefdoms.
   Egypta**s partnership with the Americans mitigated international pressure
   of all sorts, and in many ways even Egypta**s ostracism from the Arab
   world due to its treaty with Israel allowed Egypta**s generals to rule
   Egypt however they saw fit.

   As (now deposed) President Mubarak aged, however, an internal challenge
   arose to the military oligarchy in the form of the former presidenta**s
   son, Gamal Mubarak, who wanted to transform Egypt from a military
   oligarchy into a more traditional Egyptian dynasty. Doing this required
   the breaking of the militarya**s hold on the economy. Gamal and his allies
   -- often with the express assistance of international institutions like
   the World Bank -- worked to a**privatizea** Egyptian state assets to
   themselves. This process was a direct threat to the militarya**s political
   and economic position at the top of Egyptian society. The military also
   viewed Gamal, who never completed his military service, as a political
   neophyte, incapable of understanding and managing the countrya**s security
   imperatives.

   The result was the a**Arab Springa**. In the months leading up to the
   January demonstrations, Egypta**s top generals were delivering very stern
   ultimatums to the president to abandon any hope of passing the reins to
   Gamal while looking at their options to unseat Mubarak via more
   unconventional means. The military strategically positioned itself early
   on in the demonstration as the honest broker and guardian of the
   protesters, taking care to avoid a violent crackdown on the demonstrators
   while Mubaraka**s internal security forces were vilified on the streets.
   Such a light hand was not due to lack of capacity, but due to lack of
   need. The demonstrations provided the generals with the means to dismantle
   the Mubarak legacy, the biggest liability to their own livelihood, while
   maintaining the paramount role of the military. 

   But perhaps the most central indication that the a**revolutiona** was
   misconstrued comes from the participation levels. On the day that Mubarak
   ultimately stepped down the protests reached their peak. By the most
   aggressive estimate only 750,000 people -- less than 1 percent of the
   population of densely populated Egypt a** took to the streets. In true
   revolutions such as that which overthrew Communism in Central Europe or
   the shah in Iran, the proportion regularly breached 10 percent and on
   occasions even touched 50 percent. In short, Egypta**s Arab Spring was a
   palace coup, not a revolution.

   But the militarya**s Mubarak removal strategy did not come without risks.
   The military would much prefer to return to the days of ruling behind the
   scenes while leaving day to day governing to a civilian government that
   ultimately answers to the generals. But the political opening that the
   military helped to create has also greatly complicated matters: the
   military must now employ a much more complex balancing act at home to
   altogether keep the civilian government impotent, the opposition divided
   and foreign funding flowing toward a half-hearted democratic transition.

   With trade and tourism severely curtailed as a result of Egypta**s
   political unrest, the military must place extra effort in keeping up
   democratic appearances with the west now that the country is once against
   dependent upon the economic largess of outside powers. In dealing with the
   opposition at home, the military is no stranger to divide-and-conquer
   tactics and has maintained a robust intelligence service to keep tabs on
   already severely divided opposition. But the signs of strain are already
   showing, as the military now needs to learn how to manage an
   Islamist-concentrated opposition in parliament as opposed to its usual
   practice of making mass arrests and breaking up sporadic demonstrations.
   The rewriting of Egypta**s constitution a** a process that the military
   intends to fully control a** is likely to be one of several major
   disappointments that the opposition is likely to contend with in the
   months ahead, adding more friction to the already delicate arrangements
   the military has been seeking out with key opposition factions in trying
   to remove this fight from the streets.

   The more attention the Egyptian military must devote to internal matters,
   the more its problems will grow in the immediate neighborhood. A
   US-Arab-Turkish consensus on the need to contain Iran has Syria to the
   north in the regional spotlight, where a domestic political crisis is fast
   evolving into a regional proxy battle. Meanwhile, Islamist Palestinian
   movement Hamas is preparing itself for change to come out of Damascus
   (where its politbureau is currently headquartered,) while trying to
   leverage the political evolution that is already well under way in Egypt.
   The political legitimacy being granted to the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt
   via this political transition has provided Hamas, an outgrowth of the MB,
   with an opportunity to rebrand itself as a mainstream political operator,
   one that is just as capable as the Egyptian MB to break out of political
   isolation in Gaza. 

   But Hamas will have to do more than a public relations campaign to break
   out of isolation.  The Egyptian military, which shares Israela**s interest
   in keeping Hamas contained and the Sinai buffer clear of foreign threats,
   remains the biggest obstacle to Hamasa** strategic objective of dominating
   the Palestinian political scene without Egyptian and Israeli shackles.
   Hamas would like to see a political evolution in Egypt that results in an
   Egyptian Islamist government friendly to Hamas and hostile to Israeli
   interests. This is an ambitious agenda, but is one likely worth working
   toward from the point of view of the Hamas leadership. The best chance
   that Hamas has in accelerating this evolution is by creating a crisis of
   legitimacy for the Egyptian military by drawing the military into a
   conflict with Israel. This can be accomplished in a variety of ways, and
   there is no shortage of militant proxies that have benefited from the
   Egyptian militarya**s political distractions to expand their area of
   operations in the Sinai. Israel is already frustrated by the Egyptian
   militarya**s slackened control over the Sinai and tends to revert to a
   more preemptive regional posture when neighborhood threats cross a certain
   line. Add to this the potential for Iran and Syria to exercise their
   militant proxy options to take the attention off regime change campaigns
   in Damascus, and Egypt could find itself in the midst of a Sinai crisis
   with Israel that both sides have spent the past 33 years desperately
   trying to avoid.

   This is not an evolution that will take place overnight. After all, Israel
   and Egypt went to war in 1973 to create the very peace that they are
   trying to preserve. This peace treaty is the foundation of external
   security for both sides of the Sinai peninsula and it will take a lot of
   organization and effort to break it apart, but the coming years will also
   put place the Arab-Israeli balance of power, as defined by peace between
   Egypt and Israel, under an unprecedented level of strain.

   --
   Maverick Fisher
   Director, Writers and Graphics
   STRATFOR
   221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
   Austin, TX 78701
   T: +1 512 744 4322 | F: +1 512 744 4334
   www.STRATFOR.com
","2011-12-13 17:02:27",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/309308_re-for-comment-conclusion-to-egypt-monograph-contemporary.html","fisher@stratfor.com","","McCullar@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com",""
339396,"RE: Insight - The Dems & Dirty Tricks ** Internal Use Only - Pls Do Not Forward ** 
","   Well, look at it this way. The Dems quit pretending and admitted to
   themselves that to win it you have to get off your high horse and play
   dirty when you have to. And they won.
    
    

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Friday, November 07, 2008 7:41 AM
   To: secure@stratfor.com
   Subject: Insight - The Dems & Dirty Tricks ** Internal Use Only - Pls Do
   Not Forward **
   ** Internal Use Only - Pls Do Not Forward **
    
   1) The black Dems were caught stuffing the ballot boxes in Philly and Ohio
   as reported the night of the election and Sen. McCain chose not to
   fight.   The matter is not dead inside the party.  It now becomes a matter
   of sequence now as to how and when to \"out\".  
    
   2) It appears the Dems \"made a donation\" to Rev. Jesse (no, they would
   never do that!) to keep his yap shut after his diatribe about the Jews and
   Israel.  A little bird told me it was a \"nice six-figure donation\".  This
   also becomes a matter of how and when to out.  
    
   3) The hunt is on for the sleezy Russian money into O-mans coffers.  A
   smoking gun has already been found.  Will get more on this when the time
   is right.  My source was too giddy to continue.  Can you say Clinton and
   ChiCom funny money?   This also becomes a matter of how and when to out.  
","2008-11-07 14:45:50",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/339396_re-insight-the-dems-and-dirty-tricks-internal-use-only-pls.html","howerton@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
347043,"Insight - McCain #5 ** internal use only - Pls do not forward ** 
","   Further --
    
   After discussions with his inner circle, which explains the delay in his
   speech, McCain decided not to pursue the voter fraud in PA and Ohio,
   despite his staff's desire to make it an issue.  He said no.  Staff felt
   they could get a federal injunction to stop the process.  McCain felt the
   crowds assembled in support of Obama and such would be detrimental to our
   country and it would do our nation no good for this to drag out like last
   go around, coupled with the possibility of domestic violence. 
    
   My guy said many were shocked, but after reflecting upon his decision,
   thought he put the country first.  
    
   -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
   Curiously, there are whispers of McCain being set up by the Cheney/Bush
   crowd, because McCain was never liked by either.   Some are shocked he did
   so well.  Coupled with serious errors in tactics.  Some made no sense. 
   For example, the Hispanics in Florida loved Palin but his camp would never
   send her there when easy money was to be had.  My guy said Rove and
   company want to bring in someone they can control next go around.  McCain
   was not controllable.  Jeb Bush's name is being discussed.   Source
   advised Rick Davis was an arsehole and McCain's econ team had no clue,
   trusting in academics vice business-people.  The Jewish crowd was split
   and money never flowed.  For example, McCain staff only gave $3000.00 for
   nationwide ads, when Obama put in $500,000 targeting the Jewish community
   in Florida alone. 
    
   I'll see what more I can collect on this. 
","2008-11-05 14:40:28",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/347043_insight-mccain-5-internal-use-only-pls-do-not-forward-.html","burton@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
373982,"Re: [CT] Untangling the Bizarre CIA Links to the Ground Zero Mosque
","   The Imam is an operational asset of the FBI.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Sean Noonan <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
   Sender: ct-bounces@stratfor.com
   Date: Mon, 13 Sep 2010 07:22:26 -0500
   To: CT AOR<ct@stratfor.com>
   ReplyTo: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
   Subject: [CT] Untangling the Bizarre CIA Links to the Ground Zero Mosque
   [very conspiratorial, but interesting]
   Untangling the Bizarre CIA Links to the Ground Zero Mosque
   New York Observer
   By Mark Ames
   September 10, 2010 | 2:36 p.m
   http://www.observer.com/2010/politics/untangling-new-intrigue-behind-ground-zero-mosque

   So far, the debate over the proposed Islamic center near Ground Zero has
   unfolded along predictable lines, with the man at the center of the
   project, Imam Feisal Abdul Rauf, drawing attacks from the right painting
   him as a terrorist sympathizer with ties to Hamas and the Muslim
   Brotherhood.

   But meanwhile, links between the group behind the controversial mosque,
   the CIA and U.S. military establishment have gone unacknowledged.

   For instance, one of the earliest backers of the nonprofit group, the
   Cordoba Initiative, that is spearheading the Ground Zero mosque, is a
   52-year-old Scarsdale, New York, native named R. Leslie Deak. In addition
   to serving on the group's board of advisors since its founding in 2004 by
   Imam Feisal Abdul Rauf, Deak was its principal funder, donating $98,000 to
   the nonprofit between 2006 and 2008. This figure appears to represent
   organization's total operating budget-though, oddly, the group reported
   receipts of just a third of that total during the same time period.

   Deak describes himself as a \"Practicing Muslim with background in
   Christianity and Judaism, [with] in-depth personal and business
   experiences in the Middle East, living and working six months per year in
   Egypt.\" Born into a Christian home, Deak became an Orthodox Jew and
   married a Jewish woman before converting to Islam when he married his
   current wife, Moshira Soliman, with whom he now lives in Rye.

   Leslie Deak's resume also notes his role as \"business consultant\" for
   Patriot Defense Group, LLC, a private defense contractor with offices in
   Winter Park, Florida, and in Tucson. The only names listed on the firm's
   website are those of its three \"strategic advisers.\" These include retired
   four-star General Bryan \"Doug\" Brown, commander of the U.S. Special
   Operations Command until 2007, where he headed \"all special operations
   forces, both active duty and reserve, leading the Global War On
   Terrorism,\" and James Pavitt, former deputy director for operations at the
   Central Intelligence Agency, where he \"managed the CIA's globally deployed
   personnel and nearly half of its multi-billion dollar budget\" and \"served
   as head of America's Clandestine Service, the CIA's operational response
   to the attacks of September 11, 2001.\"

   Besides Pavitt, Brown and a third advisor, banker Alexander Cappello, the
   Patriot Defense Group is so secretive it doesn't even name its management
   team, instead describing its anonymous CEO as a former Special Forces and
   State Department veteran, the group's managing director as a former CIA
   officer experienced in counter-terrorism in hostile environments and the
   group's corporate intelligence head as a \"23-year veteran of the U.S.
   Secret Service who worked on the personal security details of former
   Presidents Bush and Clinton.\"

    

   Leslie Deak and Moshira Soliman/ PanachePrive

    

   Patriot Defense Group's primary business involves leveraging its
   government connections and know-how. The firm is divided into two
   divisions: one that \"focuses exclusively on the needs of the U.S. military
   and law enforcement communities as well as the requirements of friendly
   foreign governments,\" and a corporate division, which \"provides business
   intelligence and specialized security services to corporate clients and
   high net-worth family enterprises.\"

   So, to recap: From 2006 to 2008, R. Leslie Deak worked as a \"business
   consultant\" to this super-secretive security contractor with ties to the
   CIA and counterterrorism forces, and in those same three years he also
   donated nearly $100,000 in seed money to the foundation now advocating the
   construction of the so-called Ground Zero Mosque.

   Interestingly, during the same three-year period during which the Deak
   Family Foundation was financing the Cordoba Initiative, Deak also donated
   a total of $101,247 to something called the National Defense University
   Foundation. The National Defense University is a network of war and
   strategy colleges and research centers (including the National War
   College) funded by the Pentagon, designed to train specialists in military
   strategy. The organization recently announced a November 5 dinner gala in
   honor of Defense Secretary and former CIA chief Robert Gates. Sponsors
   include Northrup Grumman, Boeing, Lockheed Martin and...the Patriot
   Defense Group.

   Deak also sits on the NDUF's board of directors, the chairman of which is
   Mark Treanor, the former general counsel for Wachovia bank from 1998
   through its collapse in 2008 and a major bundler of campaign donations for
   the McCain-Palin ticket in 2008. Wachovia, now owned by Wells Fargo, was
   recently fined $160 million for laundering \"at least $110 million\" in
   Mexican drug money between 2003 and 2008, while Treanor was Wachovia's
   general counsel, though the figure is likely higher since Wachovia
   admitted it didn't put any controls on at least $420 billion-that's
   billion-in cash moved through its network of Mexico currency exchanges.

   Which leads to another odd coincidence: Laundering money for drug lords is
   what brought down Deak & Co., the company run by Leslie Deak's father,
   Nicholas Deak, years ago. The elder Deak, a former top intelligence
   commander during World War II for the OSS (the forerunner of the CIA), was
   the founder of Deak-Perera, which became for a time one of the world's
   biggest foreign currency and gold dealers. But in 1984, a Presidential
   Commission on Organized Crime accused the firm of acting as a money
   laundering operation for Columbia drug cartels, who reportedly brought
   sacks of cash containing tens of millions of dollars into Deak's Manhattan
   offices. By the end of 1984, Deak & Co. had declared bankruptcy, and a
   year later, Nicholas Deak was murdered in the company's headquarters at 29
   Broadway by a deranged homeless woman.

   After the firm went bankrupt and Leslie Deak was left on his own, the
   corporation was broken up and sold off in pieces. One company that traces
   its beginnings to the defunct Deak empire is Goldline International, a
   business concern well known to fans of Glenn Beck as well as California
   investigators. Goldline is to Glenn Beck what General Electric was to
   Ronald Reagan: The company sponsors Beck's TV and radio shows as well as
   his touring act, and Beck is its public face. The Los Angeles County
   District Attorney's office, along with the Santa Monica City Attorney's
   office, are currently investigating Goldline for defrauding customers by
   railroading gullible customers into buying their most debased products.

   Speaking of Glenn Beck, it has been reported that Saudi Prince Al-Waleed
   bin Talal, the second-largest shareholder in News Corp., the parent
   company Fox News, which airs Beck's program, is also a major funder of
   Imam Rauf's projects, as Jon Stewart viewers heard all about last week.

   Coincidences happen, of course. (For instance, Pamela Geller, the blogger
   who's become the leading voice denouncing the mosque project was once,
   bizarrely enough, associate publisher of The New York Observer.)

   But add to this array of unexpected connections the work of Imam Rauf on
   behalf of the U.S. government-which includes serving as an FBI
   \"consultant\" and being recruited as a spokesperson by longtime George W.
   Bush confidante Karen Hughes, who headed up the administration's
   propaganda efforts in the Muslim world-and a compelling picture begins to
   emerge. Bush's favorite Imam, with backing from a funder with connections
   to the CIA, the Pentagon and the currency trading company that now
   sponsors rightwing firebrand Glenn Beck, proposes to build a mosque around
   the corner from the site of the most devastating terrorist attack ever
   visited on America. In the name of \"[cultivating] understanding among all
   religions and cultures,\" he puts forth a project that offends a majority
   of Americans and deals a significant setback to the broader acceptance of
   Muslim-Americans. It's a little like Billy \"White Shoes\" Johnson claiming
   the only reason he moonwalks after scoring a touchdown is to lower
   tensions on the football field and raise the other team's spirits.

   Whether the Cordoba Initiative ever gets its way with the Ground Zero
   Mosque, it may well have a lasting legacy at odds with its stated
   intention: By damaging the very moderates and progressives who actually
   view New York, and the nation as a whole, as a tolerant melting pot, and
   strengthening the position demagogues on both sides, it will almost
   certainly deal a setback to interfaith relations. It will also help to
   hobble the Democratic party. Which just might have been the point all
   along.

   Either that, or it's merely a coincidence that this controversy has
   erupted now, during crucial mid-term elections. In which case we can all
   go back to what we were doing before-either denouncing the Park51 Mosque
   as an affront to Americans, or championing it as a symbol of our
   fundamental rights-playing our accustomed roles in a drama that seems too
   perfect, somehow, to believe.
   --

   Sean Noonan

   Tactical Analyst

   Office: +1 512-279-9479

   Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

   Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

   www.stratfor.com
","2010-09-13 14:38:35",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/373982_re-ct-untangling-the-bizarre-cia-links-to-the-ground-zero.html","burton@stratfor.com","","ct@stratfor.com",""
383068,"Re: names20
","   I'm gonna turn down future WM work, aint worth the angst

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Korena Zucha <zucha@stratfor.com>
   Date: Fri, 16 Apr 2010 17:51:41 -0500 (CDT)
   To: <burton@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: names20
   FYI. Beth told me that GF isn't a fan of doing business with Scott but
   that we wouldn't turn work down just because of that. If we are going to
   do it, and anything really, then we are only going to do it for a good
   price.

   I don't think Scott would have liked that response so I went with the one
   below :)

   Ill flash the work. Anya will start on this next week.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Fred Burton\" <burton@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Korena Zucha\" <zucha@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Friday, April 16, 2010 5:49:20 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
   Subject: Re: names20

   Woho, u did pull that answer out of your rear!

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Korena Zucha <zucha@stratfor.com>
   Date: Fri, 16 Apr 2010 17:34:18 -0500 (CDT)
   To: <burton@stratfor.com>
   Cc: korena zucha<korena.zucha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: names20
   Tell him we pulled both numbers out of our rears! Can say something along
   the lines of this-

   The old pricing was based on an hourly rate, which we no longer use. Our
   pricing model for such reports has increased in particular as these
   projects require dedicated time by our briefers and analysts, which is
   time spent away from our usual daily projects.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Fred Burton\" <burton@stratfor.com>
   To: \"korena zucha\" <korena.zucha@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Friday, April 16, 2010 3:56:48 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
   Subject: Fw: names20

   ?
   -----Original Message-----
   From: \"Scott McHugh\" <Scott.Mchugh@wal-mart.com>
   Date: Fri, 16 Apr 2010 15:47:31
   To: Fred Burton<burton@stratfor.com>
   Subject: RE: names20

   Fred,
   Use this email as authorization to proceed with the project for both
   candidates with the delivery deadlines noted in the tasking email.

   Just out of curiosity:  why has the price for this service increased so
   much?  The assessment Stratfor conducted for Stephan Fanderal in 2008
   was only $5K and I was curious as to what drove the spike in price?

   Regards
   Scott

   ***All of the terms and conditions enumerated in the Non Disclosure
   Agreement previously signed between Stratfor and WMT remain in effect
   for this project.***    

    

   -----Original Message-----
   From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Friday, April 16, 2010 2:08 PM
   To: Scott McHugh
   Subject: Re: names20

   Scott - From our business folks, let me know, Thanks Fred

   We are capable of completing the reports. Since we no longer use hourly
   rates, the cost of the reports would be $8,000 each. 50 percent of the
   payment for each report would be due upon your written agreement of
   these terms (and the start of our work) while the remaining half would
   be due upon delivery within the deadlines you have given. While we will
   provide you with a formal proposal next Monday for your signature,
   written confirmation of these terms will suffice in the meantime in
   order to get the reports to you by when needed. Please let me know if
   these terms are agreeable as soon as possible.

   Scott McHugh wrote:
   > Fred,
   >
   > Candidate #1 (Need report in @ 2 weeks):  
   >
   > Purpose of the research: We are seeking a check on the candidate from
   a
   > character, integrity, ethics and honesty perspective and also want to
   > gain any available insight into the candidates personality and
   > leadership style to assess whether or not the candidate will be able
   to
   > fit into the Walmart culture.  
   >  
   > Name: PER BANK:
   >
   > Unknown DPOB but based upon the resume it may be Denmark @ 1968
   >
   > Residence: Markskellet 20
   >                      Hilleroed 3400
   >                      Denmark
   > Telephone:  +45 4386 4386
   >
   > Education: University of Odense, Denmark and University of Bournemouth
   > in Bournemouth, UK:  Degree in Manufacturing Engineering (1992)      
   >
   > Currently (since 3/09) Employed by TESCO PLC, Hertfordshiire, UK
   > Previous Employer (2001-2009): COOP DANMARK, Albertslund, Denmark
   > Previous (2001-2001) MASTERFOODS, Copenhagen, Denmark
   > 1998-2000: INWEAR GROUP
   > 1992-1998: DANFOSS
   > 1986-1988: Danish Army- First Lieutenant
   >
   >
   > CANDIDATE # 3 (Need report in @ 3 weeks)
   > Purpose of the research: We are seeking a check on the candidate from
   a
   > character, integrity, ethics and honesty perspective and also want to
   > gain any available insight into the candidates personality and
   > leadership style to assess whether or not the candidate will be able
   to
   > fit into the Walmart culture.
   >
   > Name:        CONROY, Avril M. MCIM        
   > DPOB:        March 30th, 1968, Ireland
   > Status:         Married with 2 children
   > Telephone:        +7916 1754556
   >
   > EDUCATION
   > 1980 - 1986        Our Lady's Bower, Athlone Co. Westmeath, IRELAND
   > *        Intermediate Certificate - 1984
   > *        Leaving Certificate - 1986 (HONORS)
   > *        Kellogg Sales and Marketing 2005
   > *        Insead World Class Leadership 2006
   > *        Full Member of Chartered Institute of Marketing 2009
   >
   > Sept 2008- present Performance Unit Leader Central Russia
   > TNK-Management.
   >
   > Feb 2008- Sept 2008 Director of Brand and Marketing TNK-BP Management.
   >
   > April 2005-Feb 2008 General Director BP Retail Moscow
   >
   > April 2001- 2005 BP Retail Moscow, Operations Manager
   >         
   > June 1998 - Jan 2001  BP Retail Moscow, Shops Network Manager
   >         
   > February 1997 - May 1998  Nesco LTD.  Moscow
   > Nesco was a leading food distributor in Russia and part of the MKS
   group
   > in Cyprus.          
   >         
   > July 1994 - August 1997    Irlasto  plc        Moscow
   >         Irlasto plc is an Irish retailing specialist involved in a
   > number of diversified operations in Moscow.
   >
   > August 1992 - July 1994        Heatons Ltd.        Ireland
   >         Heatons Ltd. is a major Irish retailing chain with twenty shops
   > nationwide, whose principal areas of business are fashion and
   homecare.
   > *        Store Manager with particular responsibility for establishing
   > new outlets.
   >
   > March 1984 - August 1992        Dunnes Stores Ltd.        Ireland
   >
   > -----Original Message-----
   > From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
   > Sent: Friday, April 16, 2010 8:09 AM
   > To: Scott McHugh
   > Subject: names
   >
   > Hello Scott,
   >
   > Can I get the names of the two folks we discussed yesterday?
   >
   > Thanks, Fred
   > -----------------------------------------
   > **********************************************************************
   > This email and any files transmitted with it are confidential and
   > intended solely for the individual or entity to whom they are
   > addressed. If you have received this email in error destroy it
   > immediately.
   > **********************************************************************
   > Walmart Confidential
   > **********************************************************************
   >  
","2010-04-17 00:53:18",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/383068_re-names20-.html","burton@stratfor.com","","zucha@stratfor.com",""
385135,"STAFF - ICJB coordinators/board
","   Shana Ortman and Claire Rosenfeld are the US coordinators for ICJB.

   http://www.studentsforbhopal.org/node/57
   Advisory Board
   The Students for Bhopal Advisory Board is the national leadership body for
   SfB, representing the North American grassroots supporters of the
   International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal. Composed of approximately 7
   volunteer members as well as the US staff member of ICJB, the Advisory
   Board coordinates the actions, projects, and initiatives undertaken by
   ICJB/SfB in North America.

   Who is on the Advisory Board?
   Shana Blustein Ortman
   U.S. Coordinator, International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal; SfB
   Advisory Board Member
   Shana has worked on social and environmental justice for the past 10
   years, and she is extremely moved and inspired by the struggle for Justice
   in Bhopal.  Before becoming the U.S. Coordinator for ICJB in April 2008,
   she spent nearly four years at ForestEthics, where she was the Lead
   Organizer on the Paper Campaign.  Her work focused on leadership
   development and creating grassroots organizing for a campaign that is
   transforming the catalog industry and protecting Endangered Forests. Most
   notably, in 2006, they won the Victoria's Dirty Secret campaign, a three
   year campaign that included over 750 grassroots actions across North
   America.  Shana got her B.A. in Humanities, with a focus on Children's
   Literature and Social Change from New College of California in 2005.  She
   also spent two years studying Anthropology at Grinnell College, where she
   was very involved with student activism for environmental justice and
   human rights.   

   Claire Rosenfeld
   U.S. Coordinator, International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal; SfB
   Advisory Board Member

   Claire got involved with ICJB when she spent a week in July/2008 at the
   Sambhavna Trust Clinic in Bhopal.  She interned over summer with Shana at
   ICJB in San Francisco and organized the hugely successful curry cook-off
   fundraiser. Claire earned her B.A. in Cultural Studies and Foreign
   Languages (Spanish, Hindi) at the Evergreen State College in Olympia, WA.
   As part of the advisory board, she hopes to collaborate with groups
   committed to resolving the ongoing tragedy and provide her own insight
   about the direction of the campaign in North America. She brings her
   strong belief that corporate profit should never come at the price of
   human lives.

   Tony Millard
   SfB Advisory Board Member
   Tony graduated from the Northwestern University Medill School of
   Journalism in 2006, and he is currently working as a producer, writer and
   editor for an XM satellite medical radio station called ReachMD. In his
   first year on the AB, he helped to coordinate our extensive media campaign
   throughout the entire 2008 Padyatra, which included frequent press
   releases and outreach to news and information outlets across a variety of
   mediums throughout the United States.

   Having volunteered at the Sambhavna Clinic in Bhopal for most of a year
   spanning parts of 2006 and 2007, he hasa firm, first-hand perspective of
   the situation on the ground in Bhopal. From Sambhavna to the dilapidated
   factory, to Oriya Basti and Hamidia Hospital, to the oft-protested home of
   the chief minister of Madhya Pradesh in Shamla Hills, his knowledge of
   Bhopal is a benefit to our strategizing and planning actions here in the
   United States. This applies particularly from the standpoint of
   communicating to others the extent of the devastation across Bhopal, but
   more importantly, the spirit of the Bhopalis who continue to fight for
   Justice.

   Diana Katgara
   SfB Advisory Board Member
   Diana had the chance to spend some time in Bhopal and get to know a number
   of people there. These people who are strong, brillliant, loving,
   creative, inspirational, funny, musical, articulate, insightful, caring,
   full of hope and who will never ever give up fighting for justice for
   themselves and fighting to ensure that what has happened to Bhopalis
   doesn't happen to others have become an important part of her life.
   &#8232;&#8232;The grave injustices that have happened and continue to
   happen in Bhopal are unacceptable. From December 3rd, 1984 onwards
   Bhopalies have witnessed the horrors of losing their loved ones and
   continue to be lied to and cheated out of effective health care, clean
   water, safety against deadly poisons, the ability to earn, the right not
   to have to feed babies contaminated breast milk, just to name a few
   things. And yet, they continue to have hope and love and show care to
   eachother and those of us who ask if we can stand alongside them. They
   continue to have hope and trust that the world will not let this injustice
   continue.&#8232;&#8232;Over the last year and a half she hasseen the
   creative and meaningful ways that the SfB has supported the Bhopal
   Campaign in the US and she thinks it would be great to bring some of that
   over to Canada.

   Yogesh Simmhan
   SfB Advisory Board Member
   Yogesh brings his passion for justice to the Advisory Board--he hopes to
   improve the lives of Bhopalis, and fight corporate greed and government
   apathy. Co-founder of AID at the Indiana University, Bloomington, Yogesh
   organized all Bhopal-related events at his university from 2003-2007
   including vigils, protests, panel discussions with Ryan Bodyani and Rajan
   Sharma, and a Bhopal photo exhibit. Additionally, he has worked with
   Amnesty International in picketing a talk by Dow CEO Andrew Liveris in
   Indianapolis.   In 2006 he helped host the Students for Bhopal conference
   in Bloomington. Yogesh has experience in letter writing, media management,
   and event organizing. He sees the approaching 25th anniversary of the gas
   tragedy as an important opportunity: \"The looming 25th  anniversary is a
   crucial juncture for our campaign and SfB needs all the support possible
   to mobilize across the US. This is the time for everyone associated with
   the campaign to stand up and be counted, and I'm answering this call.\"

   Ellen Shifrin
   SFB Advisory Board Member
   A former professor and administer, Ellen has strong communication and
   organizational skills.   Her involvement with the campaign for justice in
   Bhopal began in 2008, but she was involved with Amnesty International for
   many years.   She has been invited to table at the UN Association of
   Canada, Toronto event on Water and the AI Business&Human Rights
   conference, The Case for Water as a Human Right.   Having traveled to the
   subcontinent eight times, Ellen is looking forward to combining her
   deep-rooted passions for human rights and India.
   Why do you believe in justice for Bhopal?
   \"Bhopal serves not only as a situation in itself, but also as a model for
   people in other places fighting the same type of violations. There are so
   many levels on which to work for justice in Bhopal - human and
   environmental rights, politics, economics, and the human spirit. So
   because Bhopal will always be with us in one way or another, because the
   fight of the gas and water-affected people is wholly non-violent, because
   the spirit of the survivors is so strong--all these are reasons why I want
   to be part of the Advisory Board, why I want to be more involved, and why
   I feel it's such an important cause to be whole-heartedly committed to.\"

    

    

    

   Leonid Chindelevitch
   SFB Advisory Board Member

   After being involved with the Bhopal campaign for 3 years at the local
   level and gained experience in activities ranging from making banners and
   folding my body in the shape of various letters to preparing budget
   requests and coordinating the chapter's activities, Leonid has taken the
   next step of joining the campaign's Advisory Board. He expects to make
   significant contribution to SfB by organizing fundraising events,
   recruiting new members to the campaign and contacting the media. In
   addition, he hopes to bring new insights into campaign strategies on the
   25th anniversary of the Bhopal disaster.

    

   Interested in joining the Advisory Board?
   In the fall there are Advisory Board nominations for positions that last
   for one year.  Occasionally there are openings during other parts of the
   year.  Email shana@panna.org to learn more.

    

    

   Past Members of the Advisory Board
   Pragya Bhagat (2007-09)

   Association for India's Development, Austin

   Aqueue Freechild (2004-2009)

   US Strategy Coordinator, ICJB

   Daniel Yeow (2007-08)

   Amnesty International, Columbia University

   Raghav Kaushik (2006-2007)

   Ryan Bodyani (2004-2007)

   Student Coordinator, ICJB
","2010-12-23 19:49:45",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/385135_staff-icjb-coordinators-board-.html","morson@stratfor.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com,morson@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com,pubpolblog.post@blogger.com",""
387524,"Re: Yes men prank today?
","   Ok, just thought I heard something.  Never mind.  

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Feb 19, 2010, at 2:40 PM, Kathleen Morson <morson@stratfor.com> wrote:

     they appear to be in sante fe for a benefit on their  movie this monday.

     there's a sante fe reporter article about them that lists little actions
     that people can take in the sante fe area -- one of them is for the
     independent petroleum association of mountain states and to register for
     a \"washington call in\" event IPAMS is doing.

     Target: The Independent Petroleum Association of Mountain States, a
     trade association that represents 400 a**independent oil and natural gas
     producersa** including Shell, BP and Halliburton

     The problem: IPAMS claims to be dedicated to a**building a sustainable
     energy future,a** but it lobbies against alternative energy and devotes
     the bulk of its advocacy to ensuring the continued primacy of fossil
     fuels.

     The prank: Register for the IPAMS a**Washington call up.\" Bring 10
     friends and perform a musical theater piece in the middle of the keynote
     speech. RSVP for the briefing by emailing Becca Ness or calling
     303-623-0987. Be sure to use a good pseudonym!

                                  YES, PLEASE

   THE YES MEN FIX THE WORLDNEW MEXICO

     By: Zane Fischer 02/17/2010

     http://sfreporter.com/stories/yes_please/5365/

     As a 14-year-old fan of both Jimmy Carter and George Orwell, 1984 was a
     tough year for me. 

     I was convinced Ronald Reagan would find a way to ensure an Orwellian
     dystopia and that a dark future was at hand.

     It turns out I was right.

     But the plot proved to be a lot bigger than Ronald Reagan, and Big
     Brother manifested more as a corporate medusa than a monolithic
     government. 

     If Ia**d known what to look for, the signs were sitting right in front
     of the sleepy rural town in which I grew up.

     On Dec. 3, 1984, 32 tons of toxic methyl isocyanate gas leaked out of
     a Union Carbide Corporation plant in Bhopal, India. Death toll numbers
     vary depending on the source, but between 4,000 and 18,000 people were
     dead within two weeks.

     Meanwhile, just a few miles west of my home in Bishop, Calif., and
     upriver from the sweet little stream that trickled past my house, Union
     Carbide was running the largest tungsten mine in the United States. In
     my town, Union Carbide was a source of good jobs and local benevolence.
     Union Carbide guys were heroes.

     I can remember my mother explaining to me that big companies werena**t
     always as responsible as they should be and would sometimes cut corners
     and take advantage of the poverty in other countries, but that the
     neighbor who worked at the mine wasna**t necessarily a bad person. 

     As the years wore on, people continued to die by the thousands in
     Bhopal. Union Carbide claimed it was not responsible and it abandoned
     the Bhopal plant, leaving behind another 390 tons of toxic chemicals
     that continue to leak into the groundwater to this day. The disaster
     there is now frequently cited as the worst industrial disaster in
     history.

     Twenty years after the Bhopal leak, on Dec. 3, 2004, a spokesman for Dow
     Chemical Company, which had purchased Union Carbide in 1999, announced
     on BBC World News that the company would pay reparations to the people
     of Bhopal and foot the bill for a comprehensive cleanup.

     In a little more than 20 minutes, the value of Dow stock dropped by $2
     billion. The spokesman was a hero.

     But he didna**t work for Dow. He was Andy Bichlbaum. He was a Yes Man.

     <SFIinfo.jpg>The Yes Men, an activist organization that uses parody and
     satire to bring attention to government and corporate misdeeds, came to
     prominence when they participated in the faux World Trade Organization
     website, gatt.org, which was launched in tandem with the protest-riddled
     1999 WTO meeting in Seattle, Wash. 

     Bichlbaum and fellow Yes Man Mike Bonanno have spent the 10 years since
     engaged in increasingly elaborate and far-reaching activist stunts.

     In 2000, the group spoofed President George W Busha**s election website,
     prompting Bush to say, famously, a**there ought to be limits to
     freedom.a**

     Among its many pranks striking at the core of social and economic
     issues, the Yes Men, in corporate or spokesman guise, have proposed that
     McDonalda**s include 20 percent post consumer waste in its hamburgers,
     announced that the US Department of Housing and Urban Development would
     do right by impoverished citizens left homeless by Hurricane Katrina and
     suggested that Africa could be better managed through the use of
     slavery.

     More recently, the Yes Men held a press conference in which they
     announced the US Chamber of Commercea**s newfound support for
     alternative energy and pretended to be representatives of the Canadian
     government at the climate change conference in Copenhagen, Denmark.

     As a result of Yes Men actions and film projects, thousands of articles
     have been written about otherwise-ignored issues. They have become the
     de facto publicity and propaganda arm of social-justice activism and,
     this week, theya**re on the loose in Santa Fe. SFR spoke to Bichlbaum
     about life as a Yes Man, and asked the group to provide some
     hypothetical a**actionsa** for some usual New Mexico suspects.

      

     WHO ARE THOSE UNMASKED MEN?

     SFR: An article in Mother Jones recently argued that Yes Men high jinks
     have degenerated to the level of mere entertainment, that it has become
     difficult to parse your attacks on corporations like Dow Chemical and
     Halliburton from the social or celebrity antics of Borat or Ashton
     Kutcher.
     AB: Really? I havena**t seen that. But, you know, wea**re just trying to
     get an important message out through the means that are available to us,
     the avenues that we are good at. We are doing what we can to publicize
     and drum up enthusiasm and engagement surrounding issues that we and a
     great many other people consider to be important. Certainly we use
     humor. And certainly entertainment can be about making people laugh, but
     also about something greater. Borat, for example, makes some points
     beyond simple jokes; therea**s a kind of a thesis in there. But the Yes
     Men are activists who are using comedy and Ia**m not sure therea**s a
     direct comparison to comedians who may have some activist element or
     some amount of social agenda that appears in their routines. 

     Is humor an effective way of cutting to the heart of our most pressing
     social, economic and political issues?
     Laughter is a simple tool that gets publicity and that results in
     articles being written and in the development of a broad audience. If
     what youa**re doing isna**t funnya**and I suppose you could correlate
     that to entertainment valuea**then your audience is likely to be a lot
     smaller. But ita**s possible that ridiculing those who are in fact
     ridiculous or whose ideas and actions are somewhat ridiculous can
     translate to some popular and progressive power. Some believe that humor
     is a potent political weapon; humor may have kneecapped Sarah Palina**s
     run for vice president or it may have toppled the Soviet Union. I
     dona**t know if I believe that exactly, but humor certainly is a
     powerful component of human belief and experience.

     If the Yes Men differ so significantly from comedians, what about
     self-declared activists with a different agenda, like James Oa**Keefe
     and Robert Flanagan and others involved in the controversial ACORN
     videos and the attempt to infiltrate US Sen. Mary Landrieua**s office?
     Oh, those guys are rank amateurs. I mean, going in and messing with a
     senatora**s phone lines and not even bothering to make fake ID? Ita**s
     just unbelievably stupid. Ita**s also not at all like what we do. They
     seem to be about hurting people who are in a position of weakness or
     hurting people who are trying to help people who are in a position of
     weakness. Wea**re more interested in stopping and exposing people who
     are hurting others. I mean, I dona**t actually understand the motivation
     for those guys: How can you put so much energy into hurting people? I
     know theya**re using the, uh, a**fair and balanceda** argument, but that
     doesna**t play with what amounts to a fraudulent sting-style operation
     perpetrated under false pretenses. Again, what we do is something a
     little different.

     But waita*|when you posed as a US Chamber of Commerce representative,
     you didna**t have any business cards when questioned. Why not?
     Good point. I guess my only defense is that we were engaging in
     political theater. We werena**t up to something definitively illegal. We
     were not trying to do something that we knew could land us in jail.
     Therea**s performance and therea**s amoral, illegal behavior, and I
     think the difference is perceptible.

     Do you think that Yes Men actions have been effective?
     Well, it gets media attention for sure. And, as I said, I think if that
     attention relates to a larger, cohesive campaign then, yes, it can be
     very effective.

     <fast_-l.jpg>Whata**s an example of relating to a broader strategy?
     Our sort of multifaceted attacks on Dow Chemical related to the Bhopal
     disaster were highly coordinated with groups that are dedicated to
     helping the victims in Bhopal or raising awareness about the incident.
     At the Copenhagen climate conference we worked with the Climate Debt
     Agents. We sort of drum up attention for causes that many other people
     and groups are already working on. Everything we do comes down to
     pointing out when economic policies place the rights of capital before
     the needs of people and the environment. Thata**s the key problem that
     wea**re always driving at and we can usually frame our actions within
     the context of other organizations that are dedicated to some aspect of
     that fight.

     Is corporatocracy the primary problem facing the US today?
     I think I can agree with that. Yes, yes it is.

     Is there an official Yes Men response to the US Supreme Courta**s recent
     assertion that the rights of corporations extend to unlimited campaign
     contributions?
     Just the obvious: Ita**s horrifying. Ita**s exactly the wrong direction
     to go in and, as a nation, wea**d better not let it stick. Ita**s so
     totally bad. The only way to ever see progressive legislation would be
     to end corporate lobbyinga**perioda**and this ruling, of course, goes in
     exactly the opposite direction.

     In some opposition to the usual position of the more conservative
     justices, that ruling appears to attack statesa** rights, as a great
     many states have laws governing corporate contributions. Do you think
     states will become the front line on this battle?
     I guess Ia**m not up enough on that as I should be. I dona**t really
     know what role the states will play.

     Your presentation in Santa Fe serves as a benefit for the Santa Fe Art
     Institute. Are the Yes Men artists?
     I dona**t know. I guess it depends on who is asking. Or who is being
     asked. Ora*|I dona**t really think of it that way, I dona**t wonder
     about how to define what we do; I just think of it as doing something.

     Why are so few of us doing something?
     I dona**t know that either. Ita**s a good question. Maybe most of us
     dona**t realize how fun it is to start doing something. Trying to make
     things better may not sound like a good time but, I promise, there can a
     lot of fun in it.

     Are you able to hint at any new targets on the horizon or do you have to
     feign innocence?
     Well, the list of potential targets is, regrettably, almost endless. But
     right now, I feel like wea**ve just finish
","2010-02-19 21:47:10",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/387524_re-yes-men-prank-today-.html","mongoven@stratfor.com","","morson@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com",""
387545,"STAFF - Ryan Bodanyi works for NWF now
","   http://www.nwf.org/News-and-Magazines/Media-Center/Faces-of-NWF/Ryan-Bodanyi.aspx
   Ryan Bodanyi
   National Grassroots Organizer
   Great Lakes Regional Center - Ann Arbor, MI
   Contact
   Ryan Bodanyi is the National Grassroots Organizer for the National
   Wildlife Federation.

   Ryan mobilizes NWF supporters to take action in support of comprehensive
   climate and clean energy legislation.

   A lifelong Michigan resident, Ryan graduated with a degree in
   Environmental Public Policy from the University of Michigan before
   founding Students for Bhopal, which organized support for the survivors of
   the 1984 chemical disaster in Bhopal, India.  Ryan has also worked for
   Greenpeace, Clean Water Action, and the Clean Air Task Force, and
   currently works with NWF to organize support for comprehensive climate
   change legislation.
","2010-12-23 19:45:19",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/387545_staff-ryan-bodanyi-works-for-nwf-now-.html","morson@stratfor.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com,morson@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com,pubpolblog.post@blogger.com",""
388134,"Yes Men monitoring 03-25-11
","   Yes Man Mike Bonanno (Igor Vamos) was to give a lecture on 3/24 at Temple
   University in Philadelphia. The event was sponsored by \"Produce
   Exhibitions, The Temple Film Department, and The Tyler Art History
   Department.\" No details of the presentation were offered.

   -       A screening of The Yes Men Fix The World is scheduled as a
   follow-up event on 3/28.

   -       The Yes Men's booking agency Evil Twin Booking is based in
   Philadelphia.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-25 18:10:11",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/388134_yes-men-monitoring-03-25-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
388336,"Bhopal update - 12-21-10
","   Scot, Tomm,

   PTI issued a short review of the year's top media stories and titled it
   \"Bhopal gas verdict, compensation issues made headlines in MP.\" The first
   half of the article summarizes the Bhopal court verdicts for the former
   UCIL officials including Keshub Mahindra, the issue of Warren Anderson's
   departure from India, and that the \"compensation issue is yet to be
   settled.\"  The latter cites Abdul Jabbar on the shortcomings of the
   enhanced compensation package. Multiple pickups through India media
   websites.

   http://news.in.msn.com/national/article.aspx?cp-documentid=4724505

   The Hindu's front page of the Delhi and Mumbai editions includes an
   article on the BJP criticizing the Congress party on numerous fronts. The
   story reported comments from BJP leader Nirmala Sitharaman at a press
   conference. Among other topics, he referred to Congress'
   \"[allowing]...William [sic] Anderson...chief of Union Carbide to get
   away.\" Full text available on request.

   The only activist communication at this time is one new tweet from Colin
   Toogood: \"In US? This might be worth looking at\" includes a link to an
   online petition through the Consumer Wellness Center with an appeal to
   \"Stop HR 2751 Food Safety Act.\" There is no indication of any connection
   between the BMA and activism on the FSA. The issue named is that the bill
   could interfere somehow with \"access to locally grown fresh produce.\"

   Please note: AIM will be closing for the Christmas and New Year holidays
   on Wed., Dec. 22 at 3PM Eastern and reopen on Mon., Jan. 3 at 8AM.

   A weekly monitoring report will be issued on Wednesday. Monitoring will
   continue on a limited scale through the holidays with occasional reports
   issued as necessary.

   Please let me know if you require any other arrangements.

   Merry Christmas,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2010-12-21 17:22:17",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/388336_bhopal-update-12-21-10-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389024,"Yes Men monitoring 05-06-11
","   Several media items had Yes Men content:

   -       Toronto's York University announced Andy Bichlbaum will be the
   keynote speaker for the Digital Activism and the Environment portion of
   the 2011 Summer Institute in Film to be held May 11 to 17 at the school.
   Bichlbaum will tailor the Yes Men's lecture into \"The Yes Men Fix Canada\"
   on May 11 at Ontario College of Art & Design University Auditorium. A Yes
   Lab will also be held for students attending the institute. Dow is noted
   in the enthusiastically complimentary press release as one of the Yes
   Men's \"legendary\" identity correction targets.

   http://news.yorku.ca/2011/05/03/digital-activism-the-environment-york-university%E2%80%99s-summer-institute-in-film-features-the-yes-men/

   -       A press advisory from the Stedelijk Museum in Amsterdam, the
   Netherlands announced Yes Man Mike Bonanno will appear there on May 27 for
   the Artists in Public lecture series. Bonanno will appear with Nomeda &
   Gediminas Urbonas, a husband-and-wife team of artists from Lithuania. They
   were part of a group that they established the JUTEMPUS exhibition space
   in Vilnius in 1993.

   http://museumpublicity.com/2011/04/30/stedelijk-museum-amsterdam-hosts-april-30-2011-skor-foundation-for-art-and-public-domain-stedelijk-museum-amsterdam-artists-in-public-3-lecture/

   -       The Nation magazine's website has a current blog post on the US
   Uncut activist group that notes the Yes Men were involved with the \"GE tax
   rebate\" prank on April 15.

   http://www.thenation.com/blog/160301/no-future-no-peace

   -       The Chicago Journal, a Chicago Loop media site, reported last
   week's Midwest Generation announcement of a power plant in a South Loop
   neighborhood was a hoax. A Chicago Public Radio reporter was credited with
   \"grilling\" activist Sam Sommers it was revealed Sommers' real name is
   Lindsey Dietzler. Dietzler said \"he was inspired to stage the whole thing
   by workshops taught by political performance artists The Yes Men.\"
   Alderman Bob Fioretti said the action \"seriously undercut\" the work of
   those who are trying to \"clean up Chicago's power plants.\"

   http://www.chicagojournal.com/News/In-The-Paper/05-04-2011/South_Loop_power_plant_debunked_as_a_hoax

   -       The Knoxville (TN) News-Sentinel published a commentary by PR
   professional Mary Beth West, who criticized Andy Bichlbaum's appearance at
   the University of Tennessee in March as damaging to journalistic ethics
   and teaching wrong thinking to students. West also criticized the
   university for allowing the presentation without an appropriate
   counterpoint \"about the consequences of flagrant dishonesty as a modus
   operandi.\"

   http://www.knoxnews.com/news/2011/may/01/deceptive-practices-troubling/

   The Yes Men themselves have been quiet this week.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-05-06 21:08:54",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389024_yes-men-monitoring-05-06-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389297,"Bhopal update- 03-03-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Things are much quieter today on the Bhopal issue.

   Bhopal Central Chronicle and the Daily Pioneer both posted articles
   sourced from PTI on the ICJB protest against Dow participating in the
   Aquatech trade show. BCC's piece was quite short; the Pioneer posted an
   abbreviated version of the longer PTI wire piece from Wednesday afternoon.

   http://dailypioneer.com/321593/Gas-survivors-lash-out-at-Centre-Maharashtra-Govts.html

   Daily Pioneer also posted for the Bhopal edition of its website media
   today a short version of Tuesday's ICJB press release criticizing the
   BMHRC's practices in drug trials that included gas victims.

   http://dailypioneer.com/321607/Gas-victims-allege-they-were-being-used-as-guinea-pigs.html

   French media site Journal del Environment posted an article on the
   upcoming ICMR report on cancer incidence in Bhopal and possible links to
   MIC gas exposure. This article has a response from Sarangi criticizing the
   findings. He said data was only collected at \"5 of the 64 hospitals and
   clinics that should have been followed.  There is also a problem of data
   presentation, they talk about contaminated areas instead of talking to
   people affected by the gas.  Finally, in this report, no mention is made
   of pollution lanappe table.\"

   http://www.journaldelenvironnement.net/article/bhopal-la-ville-des-cancers,21879

   Also, NYT reporter Eric Lipton wrote an article on Louisiana charity the
   Jindal Foundation, to which Dow contributed $100,000. The paragraph on Dow
   noted neither it nor UCC have been fined for a December 2009 chemical
   spill in St. Charles parish, despite the state proposing a fine for the
   companies. The article as a whole questions whether companies are
   influencing Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal through the charitable
   foundation, which is run under his wife's name.

   http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/03/us/politics/03jindal.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

   Things are also quiet on the activist end.

   -       Dharmesh Shah emailed the ICJB distribution list with the IBNS
   articles on the Aquatech trade show.

   -       Colin Toogood, who had yesterday tweeted with excitement about
   Aquatech dissociating from Dow, followed it up with one expressing
   disappointment on the show officials refuting the ICJB's press
   announcement.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-03 17:14:57",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389297_bhopal-update-03-03-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389346,"Bhopal update - 01-27-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Colin Toogood posted on Twitter and Facebook calls for readers to \"rate\"
   the Bhopali documentary on the Slamdance Film Festival website. So far,
   there are 41 reviews posted - most are just a single statement and the
   vast majority are complimentary. There is a post from BMA praising
   Carlson's work and promoting the BMA website. The full list of reviews
   will be provided later in the day.

   -       Toogood also posted links to the BMA profile of gardener Ratna;
   the BMA Wordpress blog, which has two new links; and a pickup of the
   Project Censored article that has been reported here previously.

   -       The BMA Wordpress updates are a link to the Times of India article
   on \"imposters\" of gas-affected patients receiving care at the BMHRC, and
   one of archived Bhopal photos on India Today.

   Amnesty USA groups, AID and other non-resident Indian organizations in the
   US continue to post notices of protests and rallies in support of Binayak
   Sen this week through Sunday, Jan. 30.

   In the media,

   -       Indian Express reported the Reserve Bank of India       listed
   Environment & Forests Minister Jairam Ramesh's \"environment-sensitive
   policies\" as a factor in \"an almost 36 percent dip\" in Foreign Direct
   Investment (FDI). The article itself did not mention Bhopal, but it drew
   more than a dozen comments, one of which was apparently from ICJB
   member/environmental reporter Nityanand Jayaraman, who did bring up
   Bhopal. The comments as a whole praised Ramesh's policies and credited the
   FDI reduction to \"rampant government corruption.\"

   http://www.indianexpress.com/news/rbi-blames-jairams-policies-for-fdi-dip/742560/0

   -       Charleston Gazette published an op-ed on Bayer ending MIC
   production, by hazmat consultant Fred Millar. He called for stricter
   government regulations on \"ultrahazardous\" materials and facilities.
   Bhopal was mentioned in reference to the having the \"same ultrahazarodous
   bulk storage process\" as the Institute plant.

   http://wvgazettemail.com/Opinion/OpEdCommentaries/201101260960

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-01-27 18:05:28",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389346_bhopal-update-01-27-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389807,"Bhopal update - 03-30-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   There is very little to report at this time. New media is negligible -
   only a few mentions of the Bhopal gas accident as a point of reference.

   Colin Toogood posted a few items on the BMA Facebook and Twitter accounts,
   including basic event details for the April 7 screening of the Bhopali
   film at UC Berkeley - 6 p.m. in Boalt Hall, Room 105, Berkeley School of
   Law.

   -       Toogood also posted the CBI extradition approval came from the
   \"Indian Supreme Court,\" when he linked to a 3/23 media item reporting the
   decision came from the CMM.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-30 17:01:29",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389807_bhopal-update-03-30-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389850,"Update: Yes Men monitoring - 03-15-11
","   The CM-Life website now has a report posted from Bichlbaum's appearance
   Monday evening.

   CMU Art Gallery Director Anne Gochenour said \"protest art\" is the current
   season's theme for the Dept. of Art's Barstow Lecture series. She said the
   Yes Men \"bring light to the dishonesty they find in marketing and
   business.\"

   The article reported Bichlbaum described the Yes Men's Bhopal/BBC action
   as an example of the hoaxes they conduct, and that he said, \"We want to
   put pressure on companies to do the right thing.\"

   Many of the attendees were art students on class assignments and free
   entertainment, and that some professors used the lecture as a substitute
   for regularly scheduled classes.

   http://www.cm-life.com/2011/03/15/73415/

    

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-15 21:05:43",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389850_update-yes-men-monitoring-03-15-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389910,"Bhopal update - 03-21-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Associated Press reported late this morning Judge Goodwin has granted
   the plaintiffs in Nye v. Bayer CropScience 20 days to modify their
   complaint against the company. According to plaintiffs' attorney William
   DePaulo, this is about possible claims of property damages and medical
   monitoring that were mentioned in last week's media.

   http://www.wvgazette.com/ap/ApTopStories/201103210467

   Other monitoring has been fairly quiet.

   -       Colin Toogood posted a few tweets - runner Jenny Hards raised 120
   pounds for the BMA by running the Lisbon Half Marathon on Sunday; he
   \"liked\" two Yes Men videos on YouTube; and he posted links to Friday's AP
   story about Bayer's decision not to produce MIC, the Hindu piece on the
   Bhopal photo exhibit at Chennai, and Max Carlson's petition to Pres.
   Obama.

   -       A US community of arts media known as EDGE has posted the
   Philadelphia CineFest press release that mentions the Bhopali film will be
   screened there. The press release was on several EDGE city websites
   including New York and Boston.

   -       Hawaii News Now Blog posted an article on \"Exxon, Bhopal, Tepco
   and executive responsibility\" that includes a paragraph on Warren Anderson
   that is fairly sympathetic in tone. The writer mentioned an NYT article in
   which \"Anderson said he had become a recluse because he felt it would
   dishonor those killed to be seen enjoying, say, a meal in a restaurant.\"

   http://blogs.hawaiinewsnow.com/howard/2011/03/exxon-bhopal-tepso-and-executive-responsibility.html?cid=6a01287768a2b5970c0147e35a81d7970b

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-21 17:51:59",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389910_bhopal-update-03-21-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389922,"Yes Men monitoring 03-04-11
","   The Yes Men have been communicating this week about supporting environment
   activist Tim DeChristopher during his trial in Utah this week on charges
   of false representation during a 2008 Bureau of Land Management land
   auction. The Yes Men posted on their blog and tweeted about
   DeChristopher's trial, and ended the blog post with \"With any luck, we'll
   be back in touch soon with news of some great new opportunities.\"

   -       There has been no follow-up reporting from the Yes Lab event in
   New York City last Saturday. The topic was to have been a company in the
   food industry. Whether or not it is connected, Global Exchange emailed an
   invitation to participate in an action targeting Hershey Chocolate Co.
   about unfair labor practices in cocoa production.

   Yes Men appearances

   -       March 8, Albany, NY - Mike Bonanno to present on Guerilla Media
   101 at the Sanctuary for Independent Media,.

   -       March 10, Knoxville, TN - Bonanno and Bichlbaum are to conduct a
   \"pranking workshop\" at the Univ. of Tenn and do a \"presentation\" The YM
   film will be shown on March 7 as a preview event.

   http://www.knoxville.com/news/2011/feb/27/art-theater-briefs/?partner=RSS

   Media

   3/1 The UK Guardian's Ecologist publication included an interview with the
   YM in NYC. Most of the content is the usual description of the pair and
   their efforts, with the obligatory mention of the BBC/Bhopal hoax as one
   that generated ripples in the media and financial markets. The Yes Men are
   noted as being involved with USunCut, an activist movement targeting the
   financial and tax institutions. (This group was behind recent protests
   targeting the World Bank and Bank of America.)

   http://www.theecologist.org/how_to_make_a_difference/climate_change_and_energy/792772/they_took_on_dow_and_halliburton_but_who_are_the_yes_men.html

   3/4 The Albany (NY) Times-Union included Bonanno's 3/8 engagement in its
   arts event listings.

   http://www.timesunion.com/entertainment/article/Scene-Heard-1040717.php

   The Kansan, Univ. of Kansas daily media, published both a preview and
   event report on the 2/27 screening of the YM film.

   http://www.kansan.com/news/2011/feb/27/truth-seekers-put-political-activism-film/

   Film screenings

   4/27 Lynchburg, VA -Lynchburg College will show the YM film as part of its
   Year of Sustainability Film Series; a \"short\" discussion may follow.

   4/29, Geneva, IL - the United Church of Christ will show the YM film as
   part of its Justice Movie Series

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-04 21:41:54",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389922_yes-men-monitoring-03-04-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
389943,"Bhopal update - 03-07-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Colin Toogood tweeted a link to a CNN-IBN Special Report video on the
   BMHRC drug trials the Bhopal NGOs say used gas victims as \"human guinea
   pigs.\" The tone of the 3-minute piece is accusatory and demanding but does
   not mention Dow or focus on the gas accident itself. The figures
   previously released by the ICJB from RTI documents on the drug trials are
   presented again, with one case story of \"Laxmi\" and her husband, who has
   died. He was found to have been part of a drug trial following a visit to
   the hospital for heart problems.

   http://ibnlive.in.com/videos/144814/bhopal-gas-victims-guinea-pigs-for-drug-trials.html

   -       Toogood also tweeted a link to last week's press release about Dow
   as a sponsor of the Special Olympics World Summer Games.

   Hindustan Times published an opinion piece by Delhi-based political
   commentator Ashok Malik about the \"curious choice\" of Parliament in
   turning down PJ Thomas for India's Central Vigiliance Commissioner (CVC).
   While Justice JS Verma was apparently selected for the post, Justice AH
   Ahmadi was also proposed. Malik pointed out Ahmadi's controversial
   position as chair of BMHRC during the time the above-mentioned drug trials
   took place.

   http://www.hindustantimes.com/A-curious-choice/Article1-670250.aspx

   In activist information:

   -       AID Boston has been deemed the host chapter for the organization's
   North American annual conference on Memorial Day weekend.

   -       Diane Wilson will be the keynote speaker on Saturday, March 12 at
   the Environmental Action 2011 conference at Bentley University in Waltham,
   MA.

   -       The BMA website has only been updated with three more sections
   from Sarangi's book introduction: \"Double standards of safety,\" \"Profit
   before people,\" and \"A disaster waiting to happen.\"

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-07 17:18:28",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/389943_bhopal-update-03-07-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
390036,"Bhopal update - 04-13-11 afternoon
","   Scot, Tomm,

   In today's print media, there were six appearances, all somewhat short.
   Three appeared above the fold: The Pioneer published \"Govt seeks harsher
   penalty for accused, files curative plea in SC\" at the top of page 5; The
   Hindu published \"Hearing today on curative petitions in Bhopal gas case\"
   at the top of page 15; and The Times of India Mumbai edition published
   \"Who negotiated paltry Bhopal deal?\" at the top of page 16. Three appeared
   below the fold: The Asian Age published \"Centre, MP failed to consult
   people panels\" at the bottom of page 8; and The Hindustan Times New Delhi
   and Mumbai editions published a two sentence mention of the upcoming
   hearing on the bottom of pages 8 and 9, respectively.

   In activist news:

   The Bhopal Medical Appeal shared a link to its site on the social media
   news site Reddit.com. As of this report, it had a positive rating of 732
   points, showing 64% approval. 
   http://www.reddit.com/r/todayilearned/comments/gndnt/til_that_in_1984_a_union_carbide_plant_in_bhopal/

   Regards,

   Marissa Martin

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-04-13 17:50:13",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/390036_bhopal-update-04-13-11-afternoon-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
390037,"Bhopal update - 01-20-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   LiveMint referred to the Bhopal gas accident in an article about
   preferential treatment of an Indian diplomat accused of assaulting his
   wife. This also appeared on an interior page of the epaper.

   http://www.indiainfoline.com/Markets/News/Immunity-from-justice/5058751852

   UMass - Amherst news announced a new science curriculum designed to
   address \"real world problems,\" one of which is noted to be the \"Bhopal
   disaster.\" I will look into this further.

   http://www.umass.edu/loop/talkingpoints/articles/119266.php

   Colin Toogood posted tweets and on Facebook about the Daily Pioneer report
   of gas NGO BGPSSS protesting a week ago at the Bhopal Memorial Hospital,
   and also offered links to YouTube for an Annie Leonard video. The links do
   not provide her content, so am unable to determine what was Toogood's
   point.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-01-20 15:22:27",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/390037_bhopal-update-01-20-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
390072,"Yes Men monitoring 04-01-11
","   The Kalamazoo Gazette reported Mike Bonanno (Igor Vamos) spoke on 3/29 at
   Western Michigan University's Miller Auditorium as the keynote for the
   Kalamazoo Peace Center's 30th Annual Peace Week.

   KPC spokesman Ben Ayer said Bonanno would \"talk about journalism in a free
   society, recognizing media spin versus good reporting, truth versus
   perception in political theater, good data collection research and
   analysis techniques.\"

   The Gazette included three paragraphs describing the 1984 Bhopal action
   and referred to \"DOW\" (all caps) Chemical multiple times.

   http://www.mlive.com/news/kalamazoo/index.ssf/2011/03/yes_men_to_speak_at_western_mi.html

   -       The event was listed on the WMU website as part of Monday's news.
   It is not clear whether this is part of the school's print news. This
   announcement includes Ayer's description of Bonanno's 90-minute
   presentation, but does not mention Dow at all.

   Bonanno is to be joined by Tim DeChristopher, the activist who was
   recently convicted on charges of fraud for disrupting a federal oil and
   gas lease auction.

   The Yes Men Fix the World trailer is also offered on the web page.

   http://www.wmich.edu/wmu/news/2011/03/078.shtml

   -       There does not appear to have been any follow up media on the
   event.

   The NY Protest message board posted that \"The Yes Men\" and Tim
   DeChristopher will appear this afternoon from 4 - 6:30 p.m. at the
   Gallatin Theatre in NYC. The event is to be \"an interactive workshop and
   brainstorm.\" The contact for the event is Ashwini Srinivasamohan, NYU
   Sustainability program assistant, Outreach and Engagement.

   The Yes Men tweeted about being part of a new book titled \"The Next
   Eco-Warriors: 22 Young Men and Women Who Are Saving the Planet.\" The book
   by Emily Hunter and Farley Mowat does include a chapter on the Yes Men. It
   is to be released on April 22, in observance of Earth Day. Hunter is the
   daughter of \"Greenpeace co-founders Robert and Bobbi Hunter.\" The book's
   listing on Amazon.com can be seen here:

   http://www.amazon.com/dp/1573244864/ref=tsm_1_fb_lk#_

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-04-01 21:26:58",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/390072_yes-men-monitoring-04-01-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
390080,"Bhopal update - 03-16-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Central Michigan Life report on Jacques Servin's presentation to CMU
   students on Monday now has a 1-minute video accompanying the print story.

   He talked briefly about the goal of \"bringing under-reported news into the
   spotlight\" and mentioned the Bhopal/BBC action, saying \"they got onto BBC
   posing as a spokesman for the Dow Chemical Corporation.\" Some of the video
   appears to be a direct interview with the reporter, some is of the
   lecture.

   -       Colin Toogood posted the link to the CM-Life story on the BMA's
   Twitter account.

   http://vimeo.com/21077015

   A Nashville \"Scene\" entertainment media event posting announced Bonanno
   and Bichlbaum's engagement at Vanderbilt Univ. tonight.

   http://www.nashvillescene.com/pitw/archives/2011/03/16/pick-of-the-day-the-yes-men-at-vanderbilt

   Media

   IBN-Live reported on the ICMR's cancer assessment in Bhopal, that cancer
   rates increased more than 70% from 1989-2008 \"in areas affected by\" MIC.
   Two doctors quoted said MIC can't be ruled out when considering causes of
   cancer.

   http://ibnlive.in.com/news/bhopal-gas-tragedy-cancer-rates-treble/146063-3.html

   Times of India published an article titled \"Like Bhopal, Fukushima may
   haunt future.\" As with the majority of recent articles on the nuclear
   crisis in Japan, the Bhopal gas tragedy is cited, but that is all.

   -       This article was posted on the BMA website today as new \"news.\"

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Like-Bhopal-Fukushima-may-haunt-future/articleshow/7714818.cms

   MoneyLife magazine published the next installment of \"how to\" articles on
   use of the RTI act. The author is again Vinita Deshmuhk, who offered
   instructions on \"writing a letter to the authorities for inspection of
   files under Section 4 of the RTI Act.\" She related the communication steps
   she took \"in the case of Dow\" when requesting to see government files, and
   noted a letter template has since been devised.

   http://www.moneylife.in/article/on-writing-a-letter-to-the-authorities-for-inspection-of-files-under-section-4-of-the-rti-act/14783.html

   The Weekend Leader, an Indian publication, posted a profile of Alok Pratap
   Singh titled \"Bhopal gas victims see some hope as Alok Pratap Singh's
   fight yields fruit.\" The article appears to be from January, as the legal
   system information is on the MP HC's orders to Dow to present the UCC
   merger documentation and to the GoI's Task Force on the steps taken for
   \"removing toxic waste from the infamous plant.\"

   http://www.theweekendleader.com/page.php?cy=Crusade&title=Smelling-success&id=371

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-16 16:32:20",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/390080_bhopal-update-03-16-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
391125,"ENB Vol. 25 No. 66 - UNGA Working Group on Marine Biodiversity - Issue #1
","","2011-05-31 03:56:10",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391125_enb-vol-25-no-66-unga-working-group-on-marine-biodiversity.html","iisd-rs@iisd.org","","enb@lists.iisd.ca","attach/33/33586_image006.gif
attach/33/33588_image008.png
attach/33/33589_image009.gif
attach/33/33590_image014.jpg
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attach/33/33596_image002.jpg
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attach/33/33601_image004.gif
attach/33/33793_image013.jpg
attach/33/33796_image014.png"
391208,"Bhopal update - 05-11-11 Media #1
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Global and Indian wire services have reported on the Indian Supreme Court
   decision to dismiss the CBI petition for enhancing the criminal charges
   for the Bhopal gas tragedy against the UCIL officials. It is reported that
   the MP Sessions Court still has the option to reframe the charges.

   The activists and gas NGOs are predictably upset, charging the Indian
   government and CBI with denying justice for the victims and pledging to
   renew their efforts.

   Associated Press, Agence France Presse and Reuters all included mentions
   of Dow's position on the Bhopal issue; initial reports from Indian wire
   services did not mention Dow.

   -       Associated Press briefly reported the situation that resulted in
   the curative petition, then the SC's decision to deny the CBI's request on
   the grounds it \"never gave a sufficient explanation for why it had waited
   14 years to reinstate the stronger charges to gain longer sentences.\"
   Rachna Dhingra was the only activist quoted, lamenting, \"Once again the
   Bhopal gas tragedy victims are being denied justice.\" The curative
   petition for increased compensation from UCC is noted as being on the SC's
   docket.

   This report is trending through US and Canadian morning media with pickups
   seen on US major media websites including WSJ, NYT, Washington Post and
   Forbes.com, although not prominently featured.

   http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/indian-supreme-court-rejects-plea-for-harsher-penalties-for-bhopal-gas-leak/2011/05/11/AFlLDhmG_story.html

   -       AFP quoted the SC opinion that \"the curative petition is based on
   a plea that is wrong and fallacious.\" Gas NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo is
   cited along with Dhingra, relating the gas victims' \"shock\" over the
   verdict and resolution to \"express our anger across India.\" Dhingra said
   the victims are now focused on the MP state court, where the \"state
   government and police have also filed petitions...asking for harsher
   sentences.\"

   Canadian and some international pickups of this report appear to be
   trending.

   http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h14ipR_XxVHavzLw3KnU0ULef16g?docId=CNG.a29f570c0237fa3493609b25e0f549ae.751

   -       Reuters issued a report, but there does not appear to be much
   pickup, which has been the case with this source in the past several
   months on Bhopal news.

     The piece includes a quote from the SC opinion that \"The materials
     produced do not meet the requirement (for homicide)\" and one from
     Satinath Sarangi about \"the message the Supreme Court is sending...that
     [companies] can come, you can maim, you can kill and you can get away
     with two years.\"

   http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/11/india-bhopal-court-idUSL3E7GB17420110511

   -       PTI reported Additional Solicitor General Indira Jai Singh's
   explanation on the Sessions Court's option to frame the more harsher
   charges against the UCIL officials. The activists are calling for
   day-to-day hearings in that court. This article included an expanded
   response from Sarangi, who \"alleged that the state organs, including
   judiciary, were not keen on justice to Bhopal gas victims.\"

   Several Indian major media sites posted the PTI article as the first
   report on the SC opinion.

   http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2009088.ece

   -       IANS quoted activist leaders Abdul Jabbar and ND Jayaprakash, who
   echoed the charges of justice denied and the gas victims being \"ignored\"
   and \"denied justice.\" Jayaprakash explained the victims hopes for the MP
   government to \"set up a special court and pursue the case on a priority
   basis, possibly within the next six months the entire retrial must end.\"

   Hindustan Times and other major media sites also posted this article in
   various forms.

   http://www.inewsone.com/2011/05/11/26-years-still-no-justice-say-bhopal-survivors-activists/49656

   -       India Blooms News Service quoted Rashida Bee, who announced a
   \"rally in evening to protest the verdict,\" claimed India \"is a country
   without human rights\" and proclaimed a (somewhat dubious) comparison
   between the recent killing of Osama bin Laden by US forces and that India
   \"could let go a US company that killed so many people in Bhopal.\"

     This piece noted the renewed extradition effort for Warren Anderson.

   http://www.indiablooms.com/EnvironmentDetailsPage/environmentDetails110511d.php

   -       IANS reported the BJP responded to the SC decision as \"a `telling
   comment on the government's attitude'\" toward the Bhopal gas victims and
   that it \"is not at all interested to punish the guilty.\" BJP spokesperson
   Prakash Javadekar referred to Anderson being allowed to leave India in the
   days after the gas accident.

   http://news.webindia123.com/news/Articles/India/20110511/1747999.html

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-05-11 16:10:17",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391208_bhopal-update-05-11-11-media-1-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
391344,"Bhopal update - 03-31-11 Media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The morning television appearance of Max Carlson did not take place as he
   had indicated - the broadcast will be monitored again on Friday.

   In other media,

   -       Carlson was to appear on a Southern California Public Radio
   program called The Madeleine Brand Show.  A working link to hear the
   broadcast has not been located.

   http://www.scpr.org/programs/madeleine-brand/2011/03/31/bhopali/

   -       PR Web announced the launch of the online photojournalism magazine
   Auto de Fe. This is the publication for which Jack Laurenson visited
   Bhopal last year and his report is in the first edition, which is freely
   available online. Laurenson is the journalist who became ill after
   visiting the former UCIL factory site and claimed it was from toxic waste
   exposure. His report is solidly from the activist perspective, saying UCC
   \"openly dumped its highly lethal waste in the surrounding areas for
   countless years,\" using extreme adjectives to describe conditions in
   Bhopal and the parties involved in the issue. He consistently refers to
   Satinath Sarangi as \"Dr. Saringi\" and describes his interview with MP
   Minister for Bhopal Gas Relief and Rehabilitation Babulal Guar
   skeptically. The text is interspersed with Laurenson's photographs.

   http://www.prweb.com/releases/2011/3/prweb8248388.htm

   http://www.autodefe.com/articles/106861-bhopal-now-the-enduring-tragedy?sms_ss=facebook&at_xt=4d8c89bbc66bfd9b%2C0

   -       In India, IANS reported the MP state ordered Guar's department to
   pay Bhopal gas widows a pension of Rs 1,000 per month for the next five
   years.

   http://www.asianage.com/india/bhopal-gas-tragedy-widows-get-rs1000-pension-946

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-31 22:19:53",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391344_bhopal-update-03-31-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
391555,"Re: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
","   Maybe, but he's choked on the national stage a few times now.  I can't get
   past his smile...makes him look sleazy.

   burton@stratfor.com wrote:

     Bobby Jindel? He's some sort of Indian.

     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Anya Alfano <anya.alfano@stratfor.com>
     Date: Fri, 06 Nov 2009 16:58:58 -0500
     To: <burton@stratfor.com>
     Cc: Bartholomew Mongoven<mongoven@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Re: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
     Tim Pawlenty is about as close as the GOP gets to a sharp, young and
     eligible governor. 

     burton@stratfor.com wrote:

       Romney can't make it. Mormons are viewed as Voo Doo.

       We need a sharp young Governor.

       I also like Michelle Bachman.

       Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: \"Bartholomew Mongoven\" <mongoven@stratfor.com>
       Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 16:52:13 -0500
       To: 'Anya Alfano'<anya.alfano@stratfor.com>; <burton@stratfor.com>
       Subject: RE: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
       Pawlenty is good. 
        
       I think Romney could do it if he is himself.  He was as badly handled
       in 2008 as Al Gore was in 2000.  It should have been his nomination
       and he screwed it all up.
        
       Newt might actually pull the trigger.
        
       I think Huckabee could do it just to piss off people like me.
        
       I would tell Jeb that his time came and went when Katrina went under
       water.
        
       Frist would love to do it, but it'll take time for him to get up and
       running. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: Anya Alfano [mailto:anya.alfano@stratfor.com]
       Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 4:46 PM
       To: burton@stratfor.com
       Cc: Bartholomew Mongoven
       Subject: Re: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
       The neocons on top of my hill all want Tim Pawlenty. 

       burton@stratfor.com wrote:

         The GOP folks I talk to are pushing Jeb Bush. I think that is a
         mistake. Who else is out there?

         Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

         From: \"Bartholomew Mongoven\" <mongoven@stratfor.com>
         Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 16:39:03 -0500
         To: 'Anya Alfano'<anya.alfano@stratfor.com>
         Cc: 'Fred Burton'<burton@stratfor.com>
         Subject: RE: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
         Depends on where you are.  In your neck of the woods, people tend to
         think no one can do the right thing in Washington.  They think the
         world here is so corrupt that progress will always be stifled by the
         moneyed interests.  (Of course, the fact is that on domestic policy,
         it's like foreign policy -- the president can have his ideals but
         there are very few things he can do that won't screw up the
         country.  So he doesn't do them.  Watch climate, for instance.  It's
         not corporate lobbying holding him from a deal, it's China.  He
         won't commit economic suicide just to make environmentalists happy. 
         The environmentalists don't think it's suicide, so they think Obama
         has sold out.  It's sad really.)
          
         I think Mrs. P is far closer to a D.C. view of things.  The liberal
         factions in DC think Obama is being a pussy.  They don't want a
         climate deal that kills the US economy and gives everything to the
         Chinese, but they want someone to stand up to the Chinese and say
         \"this is the way it's going to be.\"  From a West Coast
         liberal perspective, that's inflaming rivalry and inviting
         conflict.  From an East Coast perspective, that's the only way to
         get a climate bill.  Right now, he's not going to commit suicide
         (Bay Area approach) but he's not going to back the Chinese down
         (Mrs. P) either. 
          
         Obama needs to get in a fight and do something really mean and
         unfair to the right. (Gays in the military/revoke Don't Ask Don't
         tell). He's afraid of the backlash.  He could also tell the banks to
         go screw themselves. Either way, he needs to do something that says
         he doesn't care about losing political capital.  By front loading
         health care and climate, he made being politically safe his primary
         objective.  He doesn't think he can afford to piss people off until
         those two are done.  (Back to Emanuel, whose job is to tell him that
         he shouldn't front load all of his controversial proposals.)
          
          
          
          

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

         From: Anya Alfano [mailto:anya.alfano@stratfor.com]
         Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 4:17 PM
         To: Bartholomew Mongoven
         Cc: 'Fred Burton'
         Subject: Re: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
         Bart, do you believe Mrs. P's thoughts are fairly mainstream among
         Obama supporters, or are most still fairly content?  I feel like I
         hear comments similar to Mrs. P all the time on other various
         issues, but my viewpoint is probably fairly skewed.  (Marx himself
         couldn't satisfy half the people here.)

         Bartholomew Mongoven wrote:

           I don't disagree that Biden is a weasel.  I think Emanuel is
           emasculating Obama by selling him on clever Clintonesque
           tactics. I would love to see Obama with someone more principled
           and less clever as Chief of Staff.  He needs a James Baker and he
           has a Donald Regan.  At least Clinton had Panetta at first to tell
           him when to not be a pussy.  Without Panetta Clinton was just a
           great tactician but he didn't get anything done (except get
           re-elected).
            
            

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
           Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 3:58 PM
           To: 'Bartholomew Mongoven'; 'Anya Alfano'
           Subject: RE: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
           She blames Obama and Biden.  I dropped Emanuel into the soup and
           she said that he would be added to her list.  She believes Biden
           is weasel and Obama is a pussy.  I want her to fund my bid for
           Congress.  Yes, I can be bought.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: Bartholomew Mongoven [mailto:mongoven@stratfor.com]
           Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 10:55 AM
           To: 'Fred Burton'; 'Anya Alfano'
           Subject: RE: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
           I remember that she had misgivings about supporting him during the
           primaries.  I assume that rather than support a challenger, she'll
           just sit out 2012 (unless Obama finds a spine).  I'd love to know
           if there was any talk about whether she and her set think it's him
           or his staff (esp. Emanuel) who is making his presidency so
           muddled so far.
            
            

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
           Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 9:02 AM
           To: 'Bartholomew Mongoven'; 'Anya Alfano'
           Subject: FW: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
           Mrs. P

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
           Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 8:01 AM
           To: 'Secure List'
           Subject: Insight - China/Tibet/Obama
           From a billionaire Democratic fundraiser --
            
           The billionaire (who also funds ACORN) is greatly disappointed
           over Obama's \"weakness and wimpyness\" towards China (\"Fred, they
           only understand strength\") and Obama's failure to meet with the
           Dhali Lama.    The fundraiser stated he/she was personally
           disappointed (\"betrayed\") for helping Obama get into The White
           House and does not intend to support Obama next election, absent a
           drastic turn-around. 
            
            
","2009-11-06 23:08:21",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391555_re-insight-china-tibet-obama-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,mongoven@stratfor.com",""
391771,"Bhopal update - 06-14-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Hindustan Times reported on a group of disaster victims in India who
   \"still await justice\" - the families of those killed in the 1997 Uphaar
   cinema fire. The [Association of Victims of the Uphaar Tragegy] president
   Neelam Krishnamoorthy invoked the Bhopal gas tragedy regarding a 2009
   legislative proposal by the AVUT for \"legislation to prevent man-made
   tragedies in public places. For over two years, the matter has been
   pending with the Law Commission.\"

   http://www.hindustantimes.com/Uphaar-victims-still-await-justice/Article1-709079.aspx

   Rachna Dhingra emailed the ICJB distribution list with an item that has
   nothing to do with the Bhopal issue.

   She passed along a post from a left-wing US blog discussing a US Chamber
   of Commerce letter to Cass Sunstein, administrator of the Office of
   Information and Regulatory Affairs, \"telling him to block the regulation
   of extremely dangerous chemicals in consumer plastics,\" i.e. phthalates
   and BPA.

   Dow is mentioned at the end of the post, along with P&G, as having
   \"contributed millions to the Chamber's war chest in recent years.\"

   http://www.americablog.com/2011/06/us-chamber-of-commerce-fighting.html

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-06-14 17:18:45",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391771_bhopal-update-06-14-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
391809,"Bhopal update - 08-09-11 Media #2
","   Scot, Tomm,

   UK media coverage of the Olympics stadium issue:

   -       The Daily Telegraph quoted \"Laurie Flynn, chairman of the trustees
   of the Bhopal Medical Appeal\" as being \"appalled\" at the Dow sponsorship,
   and called for the \"Olympic Movement\" to reconsider the stadium wrap deal.
   Flynn said there are \"court cases involving Dow outstanding in India and
   the United States, and that `many hundreds of people' had been
   contaminated in the years since the disaster.\"

   Dow's position on Bhopal is not given, but the London Olympic Committee
   statement about Dow, Bhopal and the sponsorship is.

   There was one brief comment about the Olympics being all about \"hard
   cash\"; the article has been shared about 35 times.

   http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/olympics/8689856/London-2012-Olympics-sponsor-criticised-over-links-to-firm-responsible-for-Bhopal-disaster-Union-Carbide.html

   -       A second Telegraph article reported on the current rioting in
   London taking place at the same time 200 Olympic delegates were arriving
   in the city. One version of this article tied Flynnn's comments about Dow
   and Bhopal at the end. Full text available on request.

   -       The Times reported \"Olympic curtain deal is 'dancing on graves of
   Bhopal' with much the same content as the BBC's article, although
   Sarangi's quotes are paraphrased. Sports Minister Hugh Robertson said
   since the IOC had signed the ten-year sponsorship with Dow, \"there was no
   reason we should not follow them.\" Dow's position on the Bhopal issue ends
   the piece. Full text available on request; online access appears to
   require paid subscription.

   India media:

   -       PTI reported the Indian Olympic Association (IOA) expressed
   \"concern\" over the Dow sponsorship and Bhopal issue. The group's acting
   president, VK Malhotra said the GoI \"should look into it.\" This piece was
   picked up multiple times in India media, with print appearances in The
   Mint (p9, in \"need to know\" briefs) and Daily Pioneer's New Delhi edition
   (p16, sports section, bottom).

   http://www.rediff.com/sports/report/ioa-shows-concern-at-london-games-link-with-dow-chemical/20110809.htm

   -       A post of the 8/8 PTI story on the wrap sponsorship received
   several reader comments, including \"Killed those DOW Chemical b'tards
   there itself.\"

     (Daily Pioneer's print edition paired the two PTI stories on p16 at the
     bottom)

   http://www.rediff.com/sports/slide-show/slide-show-1-bhopal-gas-disaster-wrap-over-london-olympics/20110808.htm

   -       Hindustan Times' sports sections include a commentary by writer B
   Shrikant, who pointed out Malhotra \"forgets that his organization receives
   money from [Dow] via IOC.\" Shirkant added \"IOC's deal with Dow Chemicals
   is already a year old and can't be terminated now because of Malhotra's
   \"grave concerns.\"

     This appeared in the Mumbai (p 18) and New Delhi (p 21) editions.

   http://www.hindustantimes.com/Malhotra-bites-the-hand-that-feeds-IOA/Article1-731022.aspx

   -       Asian Age's New Delhi print edition included a short item titled
   \"British Olympics organisers play down Dow issue.\" The three paragraph
   article consists of one saying the LOC \"tried to play down the
   controversy\" over Dow's sponsorship, the second relates briefly Dow's
   purchase of UCC, and the third lists the several corporate Olympic
   partners. Full text available on request. The positioning is p8 on the
   left side, just above the fold.

   -       IANS reported on the activist intent to hold \"a parallel Olympics
   in London,\" quoting BMA trustee Tim Edwards, who is currently in Bhopal.
   He added, \"Bhopal is not the only place where Dow or Union Carbide has
   killed thousands of people from their poisonous units. They did it in
   Costa Rica, Indonesia and Vietnam too. So all the people and the children
   who became disabled will participate in this special Olympics.\" This
   article also included comments from Sarangi, Abdul Jabbar and Farha
   Edwards (Tim's wife).

   http://www.deccanherald.com/content/182298/parallel-games-disabled-dow-sponsors.html

   -       IANS, Daily Pioneer and Daily News & Analysis also reported on the
   ICJB's support of Anna Hazare's anti-corruption campaign and their press
   release about the drugs supplied for gas victims. DNA's Indore print
   edition placed the report at the top center of p5.

   http://www.nagalandpost.com/ChannelNews/National/NationalNews.aspx?news=TkVXUzEwMDAwMzgwNA%3d%3d-ZT7iVDRvptM%3d

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-08-09 17:49:35",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/391809_bhopal-update-08-09-11-media-2-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
392546,"Bhopal update - 07-25-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   There were several more pickups of the Bhopal NGOs' press statement from
   Saturday, including India Today, which laid out in fairly clear reporting
   the sequence of events between UCC and the GoI that the NGOs were trying
   to vilify.

   India Today bought into some of the activist point of view, describing the
   negotiated settlement as seeking \"exemption from any liability\"; the four
   types of injury classes as \"camouflaging\" potential long-term health
   effects from the gas leak; and as \"shocking\" that the settlement specified
   UCC was not subject to \"future claims...arising out of, or connected with,
   the Bhopal gas leak disaster against either or both of them, their
   affiliates, directors, officers and employees.\"

   The article also noted the settlement \"freed Carbide of any liability in
   India.\"

   Rachna Dhingra emailed the text of the India Today article to the
   \"remember Bhopal\" email distribution list.

   http://indiatoday.intoday.in/site/story/bhopal-gas-tragedy-union-carbide-india-deal/1/146044.html

   -       The Indian Muslims (TwoCircles.net, Ummid.com) post of the NGOs
   press statement was titled \"Documents reveal Union Carbide wanted to pay
   compensation to victims.\"

   -       The Daily News & Analysis appears to be the only print paper that
   published items on the NGOs' press conference, with articles on the front
   page (below the fold) on p5 at the top, of the Indore edition. The
   Saturday edition had a p5 version of the PTI article in which Rachna
   Dhingra claimed there was 27,000 more tonnes of chemical waste at the
   former UCIL factory site's solar ponds. Full texts available on request.

   Law et al News reported on the Maharashtra government's application for
   intervention in the MP High Court case on transportation and disposal of
   the Bhopal factory waste. This version also refers to the material as
   \"radioactive.\" The article does provide the filing's two main points:

   -       A No Objection Certificate for the waste transport was not
   obtained, and

   -       Madhya Pradesh has an incinerator

   The rest of the article appears to be identical to that reported yesterday
   from the Daily Pioneer.

   This article was posted on the BMA website.

   http://www.lawetalnews.com/NewsDetail.asp?newsid=4395

   Times of India reported the DRDO and its parent the Defence Research
   Development Establishment (DRDE) told the ToI the waste material is not
   hazardous, is \"nowhere as dangerous as the gas that caused the Bhopal
   tragedy, and is not likely to cause any damage due to any accident.\" The
   article related the DRDO process at the incinerator,which \"should not be
   confused with the Bhopal gas leak.\" The DRDO applied for approval for the
   incineration from the Ministry of Environment and Forests, which it said
   \"may be enough\" and is \"expected at any time.\" The DRDO reiterated the
   state of Madhya Pradesh is responsible for transporting the material.

   The article did note: \"At the same time, some experts, including
   government officials, were of the opinion that the waste should be cleaned
   up by Dow Chemicals of the USA. This would be an example of 'polluter
   pays' principle, they said.\"

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/nagpur/Bhopal-waste-not-hazardous-says-DRDO/articleshow/9349720.cms

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-07-25 18:11:52",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/392546_bhopal-update-07-25-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
392580,"Bhopal update - 07-11-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Business Standard reported over the weekend the chemical waste from the
   former UCIL factory is to be disposed of at a Defense Research and
   Development (DRDO) facility at Nagpur. According to the article, approval
   has already been granted by the MP Pollution Control Board and DRDO is
   said to be ready to do the work \"any time.\"

   The article ended with a quote from Rachna Dhingra, who said Environment
   Minister Jairam Ramesh assured the NGOs they would \"be informed whenever
   there is movement of waste.\"

   The piece was also in the 7/9 print edition on p4 in the top right-hand
   corner.

   http://business-standard.com/india/news/union-carbide-toxic-waste-to-be-disposedat-drdo-nagpur/442112/

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-07-11 16:24:04",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/392580_bhopal-update-07-11-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
392726,"Bhopal update 09-19-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   IANS reported the Bhopal NGOs are putting together a \"traveling Bhopal gas
   tragedy museum\" in the form of a bus that is intended to tour the country
   for eleven months through most of 2012, then return to Bhopal to be a
   permanent exhibit. The project is planned to be ready to open by April
   2012, be on display in Bhopal for one month, then set out on tour.

   A new fund, the Remember Bhopal Trust, has been set up for the museum, and
   museologist Rama Lakshmi has been engaged by the gas survivors to curate
   the exhibit. Lakshmi told IANS museums \"telling the stories of social
   movements\" are found across the globe as \"safe sites for unsafe ideas\"
   such as the Holocaust or Apartheid.

   Satinath Sarangi said the bus museum is being developed because the
   gas-affected have not been consulted over any government-led gas accident
   memorial plans, and \"the government has no moral right to memorialise
   because it is complicit in the injustice meted out to the community.\"

   The piece has been picked up about a dozen times across Indian media.

   http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/bhopal-gas-tragedy-feeds-a-people-s-museum_732338.html

   Sarangi appeared on NewsX live panel program \"Waking the Green Giant\" with
   CSE Deputy Director General Chandra Bhushan and Greenpeace India
   campaigner Divya Raghunathan (also spelled Raghunandan). The 26-minute
   program covered a lot of ground, moving from water and air pollution to
   food contamination, and also the Bhopal gas tragedy (at 19:51 in the
   program). Sarangi highlighted \"The Other Disaster\" of pre-gas leak UCIL's
   waste disposal, which he said was designed by UCC and resulted in the
   broader environmental contamination and \"horrific birth defects\" in the
   current population.

   The moderator asked about the DRDO incineration proposal, with Sarangi
   responding the DRDO has been incinerating chemical weapons without the
   knowledge of the Maharashtra Pollution Control Board. Raghunanthan
   recalled the 2002 campaign of \"1,000 Bhopals\" to raise awareness of other
   industrial pollution sites in the country.

   In an interesting point near the end of the program was Bhushan defending
   Jairam Ramesh's decisions during his tenure as Environment and Forests
   Minister.

   The program is available to view on YouTube, although there have only been
   about 30 viewings. The program was uploaded on Sept. 17; it was unclear
   when it was broadcast.

   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adU8uP8rUW0

   Daily News & Analysis reported the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI)
   reported the Bhopal gas victims were subjected to unethical drug trials at
   the Bhopal Memorial Hospital and Research Center. An inspection team also
   found other regulatory violations at the hospital during a visit in August
   2010. There is no indication of any ramifications of the DCGI's report.
   The MP government's report on the drug trials is still pending.

   The article appeared on the front page of DNA's Indore edition today.

   http://daily.bhaskar.com/article/MP-BHO-unethical-drug-trials-on-gas-victims-dgci-fumes-2441457.html

   Youth Kiwaaz, an Indian youth politics and law forum, published an
   analysis titled \"The Role Economic Forces Played In Influencing Legal
   Developments After Bhopal Gas Leak.\" The conclusion is \"The failure of the
   Indian government to hold the UCC liable and pierce the corporate veil
   goes to show that UOI was ready to industrialize the nation even at the
   cost of the Bhopal victims.\"

   http://www.youthkiawaaz.com/2011/09/the-role-economic-forces-played-in-influencing-legal-developments-after-bhopal-gas-leak/

   Economic Times published a lengthy report on the \"Life and Death of Shehla
   Masood,\" the Right To Information activist from who was shot and killed
   outside her Bhopal home several weeks ago. The writer observed the Bhopal
   gas activist community \"has never really warmed up to Shehla's cause,\"
   which Rachna Dingra commented may have been because \"she wasn't so known
   in activist circles.\" She noted RTI activists tend to be more \"involved
   with government.\"

   http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/The-life-and-death-of-Shehla-Masood/848087/

   Also of interest, the Sundance Film Festival is going to spend one day of
   its 2012 festival screening films in nine cities around the country,
   including Ann Arbor.

   http://realscreen.com/2011/09/16/sundance-film-festival-traveling-to-nine-american-cities/

   The only activist information to report at this time, is the ICJB Boston
   (Boston 4 Bhopal) group has a meeting this evening in Cambridge, possibly
   to prepare for protesting Friday's Dow recruiting session at Tufts.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-09-19 18:33:57",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/392726_bhopal-update-09-19-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
393353,"Bhopal update - 10-10-11 bandh protest Oct 11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Five organizations representing Bhopal gas victims have called for a
   Bhopal Bandh (a large strike) to be held on Tuesday, October 11. The
   protest is to demand the Centre and state government \"present actual
   figures of health damages...in the curative petition that would be heard
   in the Supreme Court soon.\" According to Satinath Sarangi and Rachna
   Dhingra, \"Union Carbide, Dow Chemical and both the governments have
   presented thoroughly unscientific data on the deaths and health damage
   caused by the disaster,\" and they alleged that internal Union Carbide
   documents \"showed that 93 percent of the survivors have been wrongfully
   categorized as temporarily injured\" and given the wrong compensation. The
   groups stated they have \"received support from all workers, traders and
   mass organizations for the proposed bandh.\" The Pioneer and IBNS reported
   the groups will also \"be taking out an awareness rally from Peer Gate on
   Monday at 3pm.\"

   -IANS

   http://www.gulf-times.com/site/topics/article.asp?cu_no=2&item_no=462718&version=1&template_id=40&parent_id=22

   -UNI

   http://news.webindia123.com/news/articles/India/20111008/1847348.html

   -The Pioneer

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/12106-bhopal-bandh-on-tuesday-to-support-gas-victims.html

   -IBNS

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-83369.html

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-83885.html

    

    

   Marissa Martin

   Business Intelligence Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

    

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.

    
","2011-10-10 16:55:28",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/393353_bhopal-update-10-10-11-bandh-protest-oct-11-.html","mmartin@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
393478,"Yes Men monitoring 10-14-11
","   Yes Man Andy Bichlbaum has traveled to Los Angeles for the \"Occupy\" action
   there. A short YouTube video shows him explaining he had \"spent lots of
   time\" at the Occupy New York protest and the LA version is \"lovely, keep
   it up.\"

   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukyZlhnppH4

   The Yes Men tweeted once this week, encouraging readers to join the Occupy
   New York gathering.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-10-14 22:11:26",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/393478_yes-men-monitoring-10-14-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
393642,"Bhopal update - 09-06-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The media so far today is all tangential to the core Bhopal issues.

   -       Three are pieces on the need for a National Health Bill in India,
   mostly based on a speech by N.R. Madhava Menon, who \"referred to the 
   Bhopal Gas Tragedy\" as illustrating \"inadequate\" government resources and
   programs to address health and justice needs. The appearances were via
   IANS, PTI, and India Pharma News.

   IANS: 
   http://in.news.yahoo.com/early-enactment-national-health-bill-needed-175817027.html

   -       Four are on literary references to the Bhopal Gas Tragedy: the
   Siddhartha Deb book \"The Beautiful and the Damned\" that includes a section
   on gas activist Abdul Jabbar, (Business Standard, India Today and The
   Brooklyn Rail); a fiction piece by Shashi Warrior, \"So Betrayed\" relates a
   gas survivor's account of the how the tragedy affected his family's lives;
   (Business Standard); and a Frontline review of two books on corruption in
   India included a photo of the Bhopal gas activists submitting RTI
   applications in New Delhi.

   http://www.flonnet.com/stories/20110923281907500.htm

   -       Mail Today cited the Bhopal gas tragedy in workplace rulings  by
   the Indian Supreme Court in an article on judicial activism in Pakistan.

   From activist resources:

   -       The Chingari Trust blog posted a photo and note from Slumdog
   Millionaire actor Dev Patel resulting from a recent visit he made to the
   Chingari facility. He complimented Champa Devi Shukla and Rashida Bee as
   \"extraordinary individuals.\"

   -       UK activist Ian Jarvis posted a new item to his blog reporting on
   his stay at the Sambhavna Clinic. This post was solely about the workings
   of the clinic's environmentally friendly clothes washer.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-09-06 17:25:05",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/393642_bhopal-update-09-06-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
393926,"Bhopal update - 09-16-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The BMA website has a new issue of the \"777\" BMA newsletter, credited as
   the Summer 2011 issue. The issue features the Chingari Trust, the water
   supply situation in Bhopal, the Bhopali film, and the Glastonbury
   Festival. There are only a few items that are truly interesting.

   -       Peter Finnigan wrote an introductory column to the issue and said
   the \"long legal and political struggle\" has brought \"further
   frustrations,\" noting the Supreme Court dismissed the criminal case
   curative petition. He explained briefly the remaining curative petition
   issues on compensation amounts and eligibility, and said the remediation
   issue is at a \"legal stalemate.\"

     Finnigan also noted the BMA hopes the Bhopali documentary \"will be
     widely available in the near future.\"

   -       The Chingari Trust article is unremarkable, but is accompanied by
   photos from \"Alex Masi/Focus For Humanity.\"

   -       Colin Toogood wrote a brief article on the issue of supplying
   water to Bhopal's gas-affected neighborhoods as \"the ongoing crisis.\" He
   reported the pipeline system project \"was rudimentary and laid along the
   ground, making it easily ruptured.\" Most residents still rely on the water
   tankers arriving, although the frequency of delivery varies from 2-3 days
   to more than a week, which leaves the residents to rely on the water pumps
   that are alleged to be contaminated.

   -       A report on the Bhopali film has description from film maker Max
   Carlson about his and Kirk Palayan's visits to Bhopal and the events and
   information used to create the film. The piece ends with \"Release details
   for `Bhopali' are still being finalized.\"

   -       The Glastonbury Festival report by Roz Shearn claims the event was
   highly successful, as \"literally thousands of people came to visit\" the
   BMA's installation of tent and \"sculpture garden.\" Shearn explained the
   BMA litterpicker fundraising was intended to \"make a link between cleaning
   up Glastonbury and cleaning up Bhopal.\" A list of the individuals involved
   in the effort is included.

     Due to the size of the file (nearly 4MB), the issue is available on
     request, either in its entirety, or as the individual articles.

   The BMA Twitter and Facebook accounts have just one new item - a CSRWire
   press release about a Merck water, sanitation and hygiene initiative in
   India. The BMA comment is: \"This is a decent initiative. But, wouldn't it
   be great to see another well-known US Corporation clean all of the heavy
   metals, volatile organic compounds and solvents out of the ground water in
   Bhopal?\"

   The only media to report today is a Down To Earth article asking why the
   Bhopal dharnas in New Delhi did not receive the same resources and
   considerations as the Anna Hazare RTI protest.

   http://www.downtoearth.org.in/content/idea-corruption

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-09-16 20:45:45",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/393926_bhopal-update-09-16-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
393929,"Climate Change Daily Feed - 15 September 2011 - Climate Change Policy & Practice
","                Having trouble viewing this email? Please try our Browser Version.                 
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ 
|  IISD                                                                                          | 
|Reporting                                                                                       | 
|Services              Climate Change Daily Feed - Climate Change Policy & Practice              | 
|- Climate A daily compilation of items recently posted to the Climate Change Policy & Practice  | 
| Change               knowledgebase of international activities on climate change               | 
|Policy &                                                                                        | 
|Practice                                                                                        | 
|                                Latest News - 15 September 2011                                 | 
| GEF Promotes Climate Change Dialogue with       63rd CDM Executive Board Meeting Agenda Open   | 
| African Youth                                   for Comments                                   | 
|     Read More: GEF Promotes Climate Change       Read More: 63rd CDM Executive Board Meeting   | 
|          Dialogue with African Youth                       Agenda Open for Comments            | 
|                                                                                                | 
| 14_September 2011: The Global Environment       12_September 2011: The Executive Board of the  | 
| Facility (GEF), through the                     Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has invited  | 
| initiative Connect4Climate has initiated an     input from the public on the annotated agenda  | 
| interactive dialogue on climate change issues   for its 63rd meeting, which is scheduled to    | 
| amongst African youth and social media users    take place from 25-29 September 2011, in       | 
| around the world. continued...                  Quito, Ecuador. continued...                   | 
|                                                                                                | 
| UNDP Launches Guidebook on Designing National   FAO Launches Global Soil Partnership for Food  | 
| Climate Financing Mechanisms                    Security and Climate Change Adaptation and     | 
|     Read More: UNDP Launches Guidebook on       Mitigation                                     | 
|      Designing National Climate Financing            Read More: FAO Launches Global Soil       | 
|                   Mechanisms                      Partnership for Food Security and Climate    | 
|                                                        Change Adaptation and Mitigation        | 
| 14_September 2011: The UN Development                                                          | 
| Programme (UNDP) has launched report that       9_September 2011: The Food and Agriculture     | 
| provides a step-by-step guide to developing     Organization of the UN (FAO) is calling for a  | 
| countries in setting up national climate funds  renewed international effort to promote and    | 
| and in making informed decisions on climate     assure healthy and fertile soils as a          | 
| financing options. The guidebook, \"Blending     component of the new Global Soil Partnership   | 
| Climate Finance through National Climate        for Food Security and Climate Change           | 
| Funds: A Guidebook for the Design and           Adaptation and Mitigation. continued...        | 
| Establishment of National Funds to Achieve                                                     | 
| Climate Change Priorities,\" is based on UNDP's                                                 | 
| experience with 750 funds comprising over US$5                                                 | 
| billion in resources from various donors.                                                      | 
| continued...                                                                                   | 
|                                                                                                | 
|             Climate Change Policy & Practice Calendar: Current & Upcoming Events               | 
|  Centralized Annual Reviews 2011                    Bonn, Germany            29 Aug - 24 Sep   | 
|  28th Session on the European Forestry                                                         | 
|  Commission Working Party on the                        Turkey               12 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Management of Mountain Watersheds                                                             | 
|  Fourth Special Session of the African                                                         | 
|  Ministerial Conference on the                       Bamako, Mali            12 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Environment (AMCEN)                                                                           | 
|  Asia Regional Meeting Preparatory to              Bali, Indonesia           14 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  UNCCD COP 10                                                                                  | 
|  Researchers' Workshop and Conference on                                                       | 
|  Climate Change and Migration in Asia and        Manila, Philippines         14 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  the Pacific                                                                                   | 
|  The Ocean Carbon Cycle at a Time of                Paris, France            14 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Change: Synthesis and Vulnerabilities                                                         | 
|  CLEAN-Linking Open Data Webinar                       virtual                   15 Sep        | 
|  15th Meeting of the Adaptation Fund                Bonn, Germany            15 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Board                                                                                         | 
|  26th Meeting of the Joint Implementation           Bonn, Germany            15 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Supervisory Committee                                                                         | 
|  Pre-UNFCCC COP 17 African Energy             Johannesburg, South Africa     15 Sep - 16 Sep   | 
|  Ministers Conference                                                                          | 
|  International Symposium on Costs and                                                          | 
|  Benefits of REDD Plus: What, Who, How          Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia       19 Sep - 20 Sep   | 
|  and When?                                                                                     | 
|  Quantifying and managing land use                 Campinas, Brazil          19 Sep - 21 Sep   | 
|  impacts of bioenergy                                                                          | 
|  63rd Meeting of the CDM Executive Board            Bonn, Germany            19 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  AU Regional Geothermal Working Group              Kampala, Uganda           19 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  Meeting                                                                                       | 
|  FANRPAN Annual High Level Regional Food              Swaziland              19 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  Security Policy Dialogue                                                                      | 
|  UN Private Sector Forum: Access to       New York, United States of America     20 Sep        | 
|  Energy For All                                                                                | 
|  UNGA High-Level Event on Desertification New York, United States of America     20 Sep        | 
|  CBD Africa Regional Consultation and                                                          | 
|  Capacity Building Workshop on REDD+,          Cape Town, South Africa       20 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  Including on Relevant Biodiversity                                                            | 
|  Safeguards                                                                                    | 
|  UNFCCC Workshop on Promoting Risk                                                             | 
|  Management Approaches on the Specific                                                         | 
|  Needs and Concerns of Developing Country           Bonn, Germany                21 Sep        | 
|  Parties Arising from the Impact of the                                                        | 
|  Implementation of Response Measures                                                           | 
|  Experts Meeting on Climate Change                                                             | 
|  Education for Sustainable Development             Nassau, Bahamas           21 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  and Adaptation in SIDS                                                                        | 
|  Seventh \"Environment for Europe\"                 Astana, Kazakhstan         21 Sep - 23 Sep   | 
|  Ministerial Conference                                                                        | 
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|    Subscribe to our iCalendar and your computer will gain access to all the events listed in   | 
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","2011-09-15 20:01:58",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/393929_climate-change-daily-feed-15-september-2011-climate-change.html","iisd-rs@iisd.org","","mongoven@stratfor.com",""
394197,"Bhopal update - 06/01/11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The BMA website has been updated with the three most recent Dow-related
   media items:

   -       The Express Buzz commentary from 5/30 on the Anderson extradition
   issue

   -       The PTI article reporting on the CIC's recommendation the Ministry
   of External Affairs release RTI-requested documents about Anderson

   -       The Economic Times article reporting the Ag Ministry sent notices
   to DAS India asking why it should not delist DAS product registrations.

   Colin Toogood posted on Twitter and Facebook links to the Express Buzz
   commentary with the note \"A tale of two legal battles.\"

   Print media today Asian Age, Indian Express (New Delhi editions) and Daily
   News & Analysis (Mumbai edition) included reports on the CIC
   recommendation to release the GoI communications regarding Anderson. All
   were below the fold on interior pages.

   TwoCircles.net published an enhanced version of the CIC story, saying the
   recommendation was to \"make public all letters that [the MEA] has issued
   or received concerning Bhopal gas leak of December 1984.\"

   This story reported the RTI application by Afroz Alam \"Sahil\" \"includes
   all correspondence between the ministry and Central Bureau of
   Investigation (CBI) from April 1984 to July 1995; photocopies of all
   letters written by the ministry to any department; letters received by the
   ministry from the Central Government and the Madhya Pradesh Government
   concerning Bhopal gas leak; and details of all expenditure incurred by the
   ministry.\"

   The CI Commissioner cited the documents should be released as they are \"of
   significance to the general public, especially the families of the victims
   who have been awaiting justice since over last two decades.\"

   http://twocircles.net/2011jun01/cic_orders_foreign_ministry_reveal_bhopal_letters.html

   Economic Times published an error-riddled report that \"a special court\"
   for India's Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) \"framed\" charges against
   two government officials who allegedly received payments to register
   pesticide products for De-Nocil. This article by Rajender Nagaroki said
   the payments were made by DAS India Ltd. Mumbai, \"a subsidiary of Dow
   Chemicals,\" rather than by DE-Nocil.

   It also refered to \"the Dow scam\" as being \"unearthed by the U.S.
   Securities and Exchange Commission\" in 2007, which \"fined Dow Chemicals
   $325,000 for bribing the officials in India.\"

   The piece ended with a reference to Dow's 2001 merger with UCC, \"which was
   lying closed after the 1984 Bhopal gas tragedy.\"

   http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/environment/pollution/cbi-files-chargesheet-in-dow-pesticide-case/articleshow/8671900.cms

   Indian media reported the Delhi Police removed a ban it had imposed on
   protests at \"key\" areas in the city such as Jantar Mantar and India Gate.
   The action was the result of a lawsuit filed by Bhopal gas victim Bano Bi
   from the 2010 ICJB protest at Jantar Mantar when the activists were not
   allowed to camp at the protest site, but had to repair to another location
   each evening. Future applications for protest permits to use the sites
   will be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.

   The Hindu, Hindustan Times and Indian Express each published in-house
   reports.

   Hindu  http://www.hindu.com/2011/06/01/stories/2011060161570400.htm

   HT 
   http://www.hindustantimes.com/After-HC-order-prepare-for-rallies-at-India-Gate/Article1-704240.aspx

   HT 
   http://www.hindustantimes.com/Be-ready-for-major-traffic-jams-at-India-Gate/Article1-704235.aspx

   IE 
   http://www.indianexpress.com/news/ban-on-protests-at-jantar-mantar-india-gate-lifted/797877/0

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-06-01 19:43:06",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/394197_bhopal-update-06-01-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
394241,"Yes Men monitoring - 07-22-11 - updated
","   The Sacramento Bee on 7/17 reported on activists that employ hoaxes,
   including Yes Men's Bhopal/BBC hoax and the Yes Men partnering with
   Rainforest Action Network to hijack Chevron's \"Yes, We Can\" ad campaign. A
   communications firm representative stated corporations like Dow \"make
   things worse for themselves when they step in\" to respond to the Yes Men's
   actions, such as when Dow \"loudly distanced itself from a humane gesture
   like compensating the victims of the tragic accident at Bhopal, still
   suffering 20 years later. Bichlbaum was quoted at length and answered
   questions on some other Yes Men actions, including the SurvivaBall. Sierra
   Club chairman Carl Pope spoke highly of the Yes Men, because companies
   \"must rebut\" when they are the victim of Yes Men actions.

   http://www.sacbee.com/2011/07/17/3773241/these-giant-organizations-were.html

   The Yes Men have been quiet again this week, there are no updates to
   report from their websites or social media.

   -       A few other Twitter users are seeing physical similarities between
   Andy Bichlbaum and James Murdoch, and are calling for Bichlbaum to be cast
   as Murdoch in a movie version of the News of the World/News Corp scandal.

   -       AlterNet posted the Yes! magazine article from last week in which
   Bichlbaum and Bonanno chose four other \"protests that shook the world
   (with laughter)\" and the publication editors added the BBC/Bhopal hoax for
   a total of five pranks.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-07-22 23:39:22",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/394241_yes-men-monitoring-07-22-11-updated-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
394301,"Bhopal update - 11-14-11 Media #1
","   Scot, Tomm

   Here are the initial wire reports on the ICJB's press conference:

   -       AP reported \"at least 21\" Indian Olympians called for LOCOG to
   drop Dow's sponsorship, calling it \"offensive to the spirit of the Olympic
   Games.\" The only person quoted by AP is Safreen Khan of Children Against
   Dow-Carbide, who said \"hundreds of children are being born disabled\" and
   blamed Dow for the lack of remediation in Bhopal. LOCOG is noted as
   standing firm on the Dow sponsorship, and Dow's position on the Bhopal
   issue is given. The article noted Dow's India office referred inquiries to
   the US headquarters.

   http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/45284750

   -       IBNS issued what is likely the closest iteration of the ICJB press
   release, as usual. Three Olympians appeared at the press conference in
   Bhopal: \"Inam - Ur - Rehman, B P Govinda, Syed Ali and Jalaluddin Rizvi,\"
   and said, \"national and international Olympians should oppose the unholy
   alliance with the poisoner of Bhopal. \"

     Representatives of the five Bhopal activist groups & NGOs are quoted -
     Safreen Khan, Dhingra, Rashida Bee, Balkrishna Namdeo and Nawab Khan.
     Bee said neither PM Singh's office nor the Indian Olympic Association
     have responded or acted on the ICJB's request that they contact LOCOG
     and demand Dow's sponsorship be dropped.

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-106332.html

   -       PTI published a brief report from Chennai that Hockey Olympians
   Vasudevan Baskaran and Charles Cornelius held a press conference in
   conjunction with the ICJB's press event in Bhopal.

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-106332.html

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-14 15:28:50",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/394301_bhopal-update-11-14-11-media-1-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
394732,"Bhopal update - 08-11-11 media #1
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Maharashtra media the Hitavada published on its front two pages an article
   previewing the Jabalpur High Court hearing scheduled for today on the
   question of whether the Bhopal factory chemical waste can and will be sent
   to the DRDO incinerator near Nagpur. The article related the legal filings
   and rulings leading up to today's hearing. It also reported the MP state
   documents about the site have been supplied to the Maharashtra Pollution
   Control Board, and the MPCB `is likely seek more time\" for the report it
   was due to provide the court today. The \"state\" (presumably Maha) \"has set
   up an expert committee of high level officials to study the [MP] reports.\"
   However, the MPCB's analysis of samples it was directed to collect from
   the factory site \"could not be done\" to meet today's deadline \"due to
   Monsoon session [sic] and oil spill near Mumbai.\"

   The hearing today is scheduled to include \"NGOs and others who are seeking
   intervention in the matter and recall of order.\" Full text available on
   request.

   IBNS reported the ICJB sent its letter to PM Singh about Dow's Olympic
   sponsorship, as previously mentioned, and to the president of the Indian
   Olympic Associaiton. The NGO group also said petitions would be circulated
   among athletes and the British public for signatures and \"to register
   their protest on Dow's sponsorship.\" The report quoted Rachna Dhingra on
   behalf of the BGIA, who alleged Dow's action in addressing UCC issues in
   the US but not in India is \"racist.\"

   The Bhopal activists said \"The Organising Committees of Olympics hugely
   underestimate the negative fallout\" that can occur from Dow's sponsorship.

   http://www.indiablooms.com/NewsDetailsPage/newsDetails110811c.php

   The AroundtheRings Olympics blog reported \"Dow rejects criticisms\" of its
   Olympic sponsorship. In addition to Dow's position statement, the article
   included the BMA's blog comments by Lorraine Close and those from Indian
   Olympic Association president V.K. Malhotra calling for Dow's sponsorship
   to be cancelled.

   http://www.aroundtherings.com/articles/view.aspx?id=37640

   Daily News & Analysis reported the MP govt \"on Tuesday set up an inquiry
   commission to examine the various aspects of the [Bhopal gas] accident.\"
   The panel is to consider the \"role of the state administration and others
   in the arrest, release and providing safe passage to Warren Anderson (UCC
   chief), leading to his ascension (sic)\" and \"basic issues such whether the
   UCC plant was set up in compliance of strict regulations, and whether it
   was equipped with adequate safety measures and whether it took safety
   measures in disposal of the hazardous waste.\" Some observers are skeptical
   of the move, calling it politically expedient, while others considered it
   \"better late than never.\"

   http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_27-years-later-mp-sets-up-panel-to-probe-bhopal-gas-leak_1574710

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-08-11 16:42:01",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/394732_bhopal-update-08-11-11-media-1-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
395232,"Bhopal update - 11-08-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Independent published a clarification statement on Dow regarding the
   11/3 \"Bhopal poisoner\" headline and the 2001 acquisition of UCC. The note,
   not currently available online, included: \"There should be therefore no
   suggestion that Dow were in any way responsible for the 1984 Bhopal
   disaster\" and the detail that UCIL \"had responsibility for the day to day
   operation of the plant,\" not UCC. Full text available on request.

   Huffington Post UK reported on McDonald's providing training for \"key
   staff\" of the London Olympics. Near the end, the article included a list
   of the Games' main sponsors, with three sentences explaining the criticism
   aimed at Dow over the Bhopal issue. Amnesty's call for LOCOG to \"reassess
   their association\" with Dow is also mentioned.

   http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2011/11/08/london-2012-mcdonalds-train-staff_n_1081340.html?ref=uk

   A Current TV post on Len Aldis' Agent Orange Activist Group on the topic
   of \"Bring down Monsanto\" has a lengthy comment by \"JanforGore\" about \"DOW,
   Dupont and those companies which provided the chemical weapons of war and
   other toxic products that still affect subsequent generations of humans
   from Vietnam, to Bhopal, to the U.S.\" The comment included a paragraph
   about former Mich. Gov. Jennifer Granholm and her brief tenure on the Dow
   board.

   AOAG page:  http://current.com/1jb6ikc

   Comment page: 
   http://current.com/community/93530679_bring-down-monsanto.htm

   PTI reported on anti-nuclear activist demands for information on the
   proposed Koodankulam Nuclear Power plant. The protesters said they \"should
   not be left in the lurch like the Bhopal gas victims.\"

   http://www.rediff.com/news/report/anti-nuke-leaders-demand-status-paper-on-koodankulam-plant/20111108.htm

   Signatures:

   -       The UK Early Day Motion has one new signer: Greg Mulholland from
   Leeds North West, of the Liberal Democrats party.

   -       The Change.org petition to Lord Coe currently has 868 signatures.

   The BMA Twitter and Facebook pages posted links to email directly to UK
   govt officials and ask them to sign the EDM. Other new links include:

   -       A post on IOC website TeamUSA.org of the 11/3 AP article on the UK
   MPs questioning Dow's Olympic sponsorship credentials

   -       The 11/4 Siaset article on the CIC directing BMHRC to comply with
   Rachna Dhingra's RTI requests.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-08 18:38:50",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/395232_bhopal-update-11-08-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
395271,"Bhopal update - 11-10-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The BMA Facebook and Twitter feeds posted links to Agent Orange activist
   Len Aldis' website \"Britain-Vietnam Friendship Society,\" and the Midland
   Daily News article on Dow funding remediation of the Tittabawassee River
   near its Midland plant.

   -       The BVFS link was introduced by BMA as \"More Dow (and Monsanto)
   fun and games with Agent Orange.\" The BVFS site links to an online
   petition addressed to Pres. Obama calling for reversal of the 2009 U.S.
   Supreme Court decision against Vietnamese people seeking compensation from
   Dow and Monsanto. The BMA's Colin Toogood appears to be the most recent
   person to sign the petition.

   -       BMA's comment on the MDN story is \"Dow to clean up! er, in the 
   US...\"

   The BMA's Change.org petition to Lord Coe has about 925 signatures this
   morning. Petition originator Lorraine Close had urged supporters to reach
   1,000 signatures yesterday.

   Media

   -       Discovery Channel's green website Treehugger.com reported on
   Coca-Cola's initiative to recycle all of the clear PET bottles at the
   London Olympics, then questioned the validity of the Games \"green\" claims,
   based on Dow's sponsorship of the Olympic stadium wrap. At that point,
   Treehugger's Business/Corporate Responsibility reporter Rachel Cernansky
   inserted quotes from the 11/3 Independent and AP articles on the MP's
   questioning Lord Coe on the Dow sponsorship decision.

     The article has not received any comments, but has been tweeted 55
     times.

   http://www.treehugger.com/corporate-responsibility/coca-cola-launch-major-recycling-iniative-london-olympics.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+treehuggersite+%28Treehugger%29

   -       Pacific Free Press, a Left media source based in British Columbia,
   posted a lengthy and particularly vitriolic article by a retired British
   \"counsellor\" named Terrence Stone. He includes the Bhopal gas accident
   among several topics covered in the piece. On the Bhopal topic, he claims
   \"all those deaths were murders\"; \"The management of Union Carbide back in
   the USA gloated over the money they'd saved by cutbacks in safety,
   ignoring repeated warnings of imminent catastrophe\"; and \"Dow Chemical
   eventually ended up buying the still unsafe plant and is one of the major
   producers of pesticides in India today, along with Monsanto.\"

     Stone and his wife had traveled to South Asia last year and crossed
     paths with \"an American couple who belong to The Friends of Bhopal,\" who
     gave him Dominque LaPierre's book It Was Five Past Midnight in Bhopal.
     The other topics in the article are Agent Orange and Napalm use during
     the Vietnam war (specifically in Cambodia), and former Secretary of
     State Henry Kissinger's \"Operation Breakfast\" campaign of bombing in
     Cambodia.

   http://www.pacificfreepress.com/news/1-/10140-same-as-it-ever-was-murder-inc-sequels.html

   -       A US EPA press release about a Missouri pharmaceutical company
   paying a fine for environmental violations ends with a description of the
   US Emergency Planning and Community Right-to-Know Act (EPCRA) being
   enacted in the wake of the Bhopal gas accident and \"a later toxic release
   from a West Virginia chemical plant.\"

   http://yosemite.epa.gov/opa/admpress.nsf/0/f4d30b69ceaf486d8525794300620ead?OpenDocument

   -       Film review website Pajiba included the Bhopal gas accident in an
   article about man-made or natural disasters the writer would like to see
   used as \"backdrops for a Hollywood disaster movie.\"

   http://www.pajiba.com/pajiba_storytellers/10-manmade-and-natural-disasters-that-would-make-awesome-badass-backdrops-for-a-hollywood-disaster-movie.php

   Also of interest, a Dow Corning press release announced it will \" feature
   silicone-based solutions for use in transdermal drug delivery, topical
   treatment and pharmaceutical processing at CPhI India 2011, 30 Nov - 2 Dec
   2011 at Bombay Exhibition Centre, Mumbai, India.\"

   This may be a protest opportunity for the Bhopal activists, especially
   given the recent controversy over questionable ethics involved in the
   BMHRC's inclusion of gas-affected patients in drug trials.

   http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=149026

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-10 17:22:42",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/395271_bhopal-update-11-10-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
395677,"Bhopal update - 11-23-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   India Blooms News Service (IBNS) picked up the Tessa Jowell press release
   from the UK Labour Party website and noted \", in India on the other hand
   there is a situation where neither the Sports Minister or any MP in the
   Congress or the opposition has raised any objections to the issue of Dow
   sponsoring the Olympics.\"

   The article cited Rachna Dhingra describing the ICJB petition opposing the
   sponsorship that was signed by the 22 former Olympians from India, and the
   several officials to whom it was addressed. The remainder of the article
   quoted from Jowell's press release.

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-112293.html

   Hindustan Times reported on opposition to the planned Jaitapur nuclear
   power plant, discussing political opposition by the Shiv Sena party and
   local activist protests planned for Dec. 3, \"a day of protests against
   industrial disasters.\"

   Shiv Sena: 
   http://www.hindustantimes.com/News-Feed/mumbai/Sena-targets-state-over-Jaitapur-again/Article1-772799.aspx

   Local protest: 
   http://www.hindustantimes.com/India-news/Mumbai/After-seven-months-protests-begin-again/Article1-772803.aspx

   Daily News & Analysis published an oddly written article about \"noted
   ecologist Madhav Gadgil\" calling for citizens to \"ensure\" laws written for
   environmental protection during \"progress.\" Gadgil claimed to have
   discovered \"rampant falsification of statistics by government officials\"
   while conducting research on \"the Bhopal gas tragedy and the Goa mining
   scam.\" No specifics were offered. Full text available on request.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-23 17:02:21",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/395677_bhopal-update-11-23-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
395929,"Bhopal update - 08-03-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Daily Pioneer reported the Bhopal District and Sessions court issued
   notices to the CBI and the eight former UCIL officials who were convicted
   in 2010 on criminal charges in the Bhopal gas accident. The notices were
   about the MP State's request to revise the sentences imposed on the men
   for stricter punishment. The State had also filed an appeal in the case.
   The next hearing on the sentence revision is set for August 20, while the
   appeal has been placed on hold.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/358003/Gas-tragedy-Bhopal-district-court-issues-notice-to-CBI.html

   Coincidentally, the Indian journal Economic & Political Weekly published
   in its July 30 issue a 2+ page defense of the Supreme Court's rejecting
   the criminal case curative petition (aka Bhopal Criminal Curative). The
   writer is SC advocate Raghav Shankar. He argued the curative petition was
   the wrong legal vehicle for the CBI's effort and criticism of the SC
   decision \"is based on an inadequate understanding\" of India's judicial
   process. Shankar pointed out the MP Sessions court can indeed reframe the
   charge if there is \"new evidence...that speaks directly to the knowledge
   of [Keshub] Mahindra and others\" about the potential for harm due to
   management decisions. However, he concluded \"justice would probably be
   best served\" if the CBI withdrew its revision petition and pursued the
   appeal for enhanced punishment. The CBI has said the sentence should have
   been \"two years [imprisonment] per wrongful death caused, with sentences
   running consecutively.\" This would have resulted in sentences of up to
   10,000 years.

   Full text should be available here in pdf format: 
   http://epw.in/epw/uploads/articles/16357.pdf

   Alternate access:  http://epw.in

   Indian environmental magazine Down To Earth published a report on the
   chemical waste disposal issue, but only through about July 15. The article
   quoted both Satinath Sarangi and Rachna Dhingra, although neither referred
   to the activist-preferred remedy of Dow shipping the material out of the
   country for disposal. Sarangi criticized government agencies for not
   obtaining proper clearances for the process and Dhingra repeated her
   question about \"the other 27,000 tonnes of waste lying outside the factory
   that is contaminating the groundwater and the air.\"

   http://www.downtoearth.org.in/content/bhopal-s-toxic-waste-raises-stink

   Business Standard published a staff-generated report on the GoI
   expenditures requests that PTI reported on Tuesday. The Bhopal
   compensation reference is brief.

   Not available online, the article appeared on p4 of the epaper edition.

   From activist resources:

   Colin Toogood posted on Twitter and Facebook a link to a Natural News
   article on a Minnesota Court of Appeals ruling that proprietors of organic
   farms may sue neighboring non-organic operations for \"trespass\" of
   drifting agricultural chemicals.

   http://www.naturalnews.com/033216_GMO_contamination_lawsuits.html

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-08-03 17:34:37",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/395929_bhopal-update-08-03-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
396300,"DOW CONFIDENTIAL: Bhopal Monitoring Report Friday, December 02, 2011
","Contact AIM for more Information                                                                                                                                         
Significant Activist Activity                                                                                                                                            
 India anniversary events: ICJB protests, rail roko; PAN People's Tribunal; Panel on nuclear laws                                                                        
 UK anniversary events: Scottish Parliament Motion, BMA events                                                                                                           
 US anniversary events: Boston Occupy rally, film screening; Austin \"die-in\"                                                                                             
 12/2 Amnesty UK: LOCOG should admit it \"made a mistake\" in awarding Dow the stadium wrap sponsorship                                                                    
 12/2 Greenpeace blog: Tell LOCOG to drop Dow, sign change.org petition                                                                                                  
 12/2 B. Gardiner post called for \"one final push\" for LOCOG \"to do the right thing\"                                                                                     
 Change.org petitions: more than 6,500 signatures for LOCOG; Indian athlete adresses IOA president                                                                       
Media                                                                                                                                                                    
 11/30 PTI: Jabbar, BPGMUS to protest at CM Chouhan's house                                                                                                              
 12/1 IBNS: Chingari Trust commemoration                                                                                                                                 
 12/1 ToI: Olympians, UK MP Navin Shah to lead Bhopal rally                                                                                                              
  Bhopal anniversary media summary: Dec. 1-2                                                                                                                             
 12/2 Global media: Bhopal anniversary protests - Coe, Malhotra, Olympic stadium effigies burned                                                                         
 12/2 AP: Lengthy review of Dow Olympics sponsorship controversy; Gardiner compared wrap to 'skin' of Bhopal victims                                                     
 12/2 India media: Gas NGO plans for 'rail roko' on Saturday                                                                                                             
 12/1-2 UK, India media: Gardiner on Activist/MP/Celebrity letter to LOCOG; \"legal challenge\" possible                                                                   
 12/1 Telegraph UK: Newham request to drop Dow denied by LOCOG                                                                                                           
 12/1 Down to Earth: GoI, CPCB report to MP HC approves of Bhopal factory waste disposal at DRDO site near Nagpur                                                        
 12/1 Telegraph India: Former Indian Olympians wrote to Sports minister Maken                                                                                            
 12/2 CNN-IBN: Dow affidavit filed with Indian SC on compensation issue                                                                                                  
 Local media: MDN; MLive pickups of AP articles                                                                                                                          
 11/30 Sportz Power: IOA meeting challenges - members traveling; boycott not called for by IOA members                                                                   
 12/2 Grist, Guardian blog: PAN PPT \"trial of pesticide companies\" seeks to find wider audience for information                                                          
 11/29 BBC radio: In-depth discussion of boycott possibility - Verma, Sarangi among guests                                                                               
Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                        
 Bhopali film screenings: London, MIT, NYC, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Madison; film also available for download                                                               
 PAN PPT session 12/3-6 will \"share the testimonies of...the trial's witnesses with a wider audience\"                                                                    
 12/1 London Assembly press release: questions previously submitted to LOCOG, London mayor                                                                               
 Blogs: UK sports writers criticize India boycott idea                                                                                                                   
 Social media: BMA, Twitter campaign for petition; US activist comments on Granholm's program                                                                            
 12/1 PR Green: No Pesticide Day observance in Puerto Rico                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
India anniversary events: ICJB protests, rail roko; PAN People's Tribunal; Panel on nuclear laws                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
ICJB events planned in Bhopal as indicated on the schedule it had issued at the beginning of the week:                                                                   
 - 12/1 at 1 p.m. - Burn effigy of Dow at Lily Talkies Crossing                                                                                                          
 - 12/2 - noon to 3 p.m. - Rally with \"replica of Olympic stadium\" and an effigy of Lord Coe \"as a mouthpiece of Dow Chemicals\" that are to be burned at the \"public     
meeting\" at the end of the rally. \"National Olympians M/s Ashok Dhyanchand, Jalaluddin Rizvi, Sameer Daad and a member of the London Assembly, Navin Shah will be part   
of this rally.\"                                                                                                                                                          
 - 12/3 Rail Roko - time/place to be determined                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2-3 Separately, gas NGO BGPMUS led by Abdul Jabbar plans to hold a \"dharna\" protest outside MP Chief Minister Chouhan's residence.                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/3-6 in Bangalore, Pesticide Action Network will hold its Permanent People's Tribunal \"trial\" of pesticide/agrichemical companies. See entry under Activist Activity   
for details.                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/3 in New Delhi at 2 p.m., the Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament (CNDP) will hold a panel discussion on India's nuclear safety and civil liability legislation.        
Panelists will be ND Jayaprakash, Gopal Krishna, Achin Vanaik, Suvrat Raju, Prabir Purkayastha, and PK Sundaram. Admiral (ret.) L. Ramdas will chair the event. The      
location is Urdu Ghar, 212, Den Dayal Upadhyaya Marg, New Delhi.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
UK anniversary events: Scottish Parliament Motion, BMA events                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                         
A motion has been tabled in the Scottish Parliament on the occasion of the 27th Bhopal gas disaster anniversary. The motion, *S4M-01472, is credited to Joan McAlpine    
who is also a reporter for the Scotsman. The motion \"condemns\" Dow Chemical for a perceived \"poor human rights record\" and calls on Scottish MPs to support the Scottish 
Friends of Bhopal letter calling for LOCOG to review the Dow sponsorship deal. The letter is to be submitted to The Times. Full text of the motion is attached.          
                                                                                                                                                                         
BMA emailed its list of events for the anniversary, including:                                                                                                           
-     \"2 minutes of silence at the G20\" in a meeting chaired by UK MP Barry Gardiner at the Durban, South Africa conference. Gardiner also intended to make use of his   
time there to expand the network of supporters for the campaign against Dow's Olympic sponsorship.                                                                       
-     Scottish Friends of Bhopal \"memorial service\" (plaque dedication at Greyfriars Kirk in Edinburgh)                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
US anniversary events: Boston Occupy rally, film screening; Austin \"die-in\"                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                         
Only two Bhopal anniversary \"actions\" were announced in the U.S:                                                                                                         
Boston, MA                                                                                                                                                               
12/2 - noon to 1 p.m. An ICJB-Boston Bhopal anniversary presentation at the OccupyBoston campaign location in Dewey Square. Topic: \"the tragedy and how Bhopal's fight   
has also been emblematic of the struggles of the 99% against corporations.\"                                                                                              
       - 7 p.m Bhopali film screening at MIT with discussion by Max Carlson, Sanjay Verma and ICJB members.                                                              
Austin, TX                                                                                                                                                               
12/2 - 11 a.m. to 2 p.m. Die-in at UT-Austin West Mall behind the fountain.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                         
Several creenings of the Bhopali film are scheduled for various locations around the US. through the upcoming week. Further details are provided in the Activist         
Activity section below.                                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 Amnesty UK: LOCOG should admit it \"made a mistake\" in awarding Dow the stadium wrap sponsorship                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
Amnesty UK has issued a statement on the Bhopal anniversary and criticizing LOCOG for being \"irresponsible\" in saying it does not see Dow having any responsibility on   
the Bhopal issue.                                                                                                                                                        
Amnesty Int'l Business and Human Rights leader Seem Joshi said: \"LOCOG should publicly state that ongoing human rights concerns were not considered prior to the         
contract being given to the Dow Chemical Company and that they made a mistake.\"                                                                                          
Full text attached.                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 Greenpeace blog: Tell LOCOG to drop Dow, sign change.org petition                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                         
Greenpeace has posted a blog statement about the Bhopal anniversary, headlined \"Tell London Olympics Committee to Drop the Dow Chemical Company.\" The statement explains 
the accident process, followed by the allegation that Union Carbide \"has never taken full responsibility for the destruction it caused at Bhopal.\" The post also charges 
Dow with similar actions of \"downplaying.complicity for the disaster.\" It ends with an appeal for readers to sign the change.org petition addressed to LOCOG. Full text  
attached.                                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 B. Gardiner post called for \"one final push\" for LOCOG \"to do the right thing\"                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
UK MP Barry Gardiner posted an item on the Labour party website titled \"We cannot allow London Olympics to add insult to injury for victims of Bhopal.\" He claimed       
leadership of the campaign against Dow's Olympic sponsorship and that \"we now need one final push to ensure LOCOG do the right thing, and to protect the international   
reputation of the London 2012 games.\"                                                                                                                                    
He asked readers to sign the Change.org petition and said \"We have teamed up with change.org\" on the petition, which is apparently why it was moved to the front of the  
change.org website as a \"featured\" petition and has jumped so quickly in signatures. Full text attached.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
Change.org petitions: more than 6,500 signatures for LOCOG; Indian athlete adresses IOA president                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                         
The Change.org petition (sometimes being called \"Lorraine's campaign\") addressed to Lord Coe asking for review of the Dow sponsorship has gained momentum, reaching a    
total of more than 6,500 signatures, compared to Wednesday afternoon when it had only 1,200 signatures. The goal is 10,000 signatures. Barry Gardiner claims to have     
\"teamed up\" with change.org, resulting in this petition being moved to the front of the activist/petition website, thus attracting more attention.                       
                                                                                                                                                                         
Another change.org petition was posted addressed to V K Malhotra, acting president of the Indian Olympic Association, and calling for \"Boycott Dow-lympics.\" The         
petition rationale combines Bhopal and Agent Orange issues in Vietnam as reasons for wanting India to boycott the Olympics.                                              
There are currently 26 signatures with a goal of 100. The petition is credited to Jalaluddin Rizvi, a 1984 Indian Olympic hockey player.                                 
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
11/30 PTI: Jabbar, BPGMUS to protest at CM Chouhan's house                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
PTI reported Abdul Jabbar \"threatened of holding a dharna\" on 12/2-3 at CM Chouhan's residence as an anniversary observance. Jabbar addressed the media, complaining the 
\"district court\" has \"a total lack of seriousness\" in hearing the case on enhancing the sentences in the Bhopal criminal case. He also said the GoI and MP state have    
not implemented the several projects or programs for the gas victims that have been announced \"in the last 18 months.\"                                                   
http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_bhopal-gas-tragedy-organisation-accuses-centre-state-of-inaction_1619422                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/1 IBNS: Chingari Trust commemoration                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                         
-        IBNS reported Chingari Trust children, their parents, and clinic staff \"paid condolences\" to the Bhopal gas tragedy victims with a \"small peaceful candle march 
from Chingari rehabilitation centre to D.I.G. Bungalow Square, in the evening.\" The services offered by the trust were also described.                                   
http://www.washingtonbanglaradio.com/content/123774911-children-pay-homage-bhopal-victims                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/1 ToI: Olympians, UK MP Navin Shah to lead Bhopal rally                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
Times of India reported the former Olympians Ashok Dhyanchand, Jalaluddin Rizvi, Sameer Daad and others planned to lead the Bhopal anniversary rally from the Bharat     
Talkies to the former UCIL factory. UK MP Navin Shah \"said he was joined by the Labour Party's Friends of India and a cross-party coalition of MPs at the Olympic site\"  
to protest the Dow stadium wrap sponsorship.                                                                                                                             
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bhopal/Ex-Olympians-to-lead-rally-for-gas-survivors/articleshow/10947069.cms                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
Bhopal anniversary media summary: Dec. 1-2                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
Global media provided coverage of the Bhopal anniversary events beginning 12/1 with NGO press releases announcing the several anniversary rallies and activities in      
Bhopal, followed by reporting as each event occurred. Associated Press, UK Press Association, SkyNews, IANS and PTI issued wire stories that received considerable       
pickup.                                                                                                                                                                  
-        AP posted two items - an initial report of the 12/2 rally and effigy burnings, and a later in-depth report on the Olympic stadium sponsorship controversy. Each 
received 100+ pickups, especially across the US markets.                                                                                                                 
-       UKPA and SkyNews reports on the 12/2 events were seen across the UK and Canada, with approx. 50 pickups total.                                                   
-       IANS and PTI items were used mainly by Indian media outlets. These also reported on Barry Gardiner, Ken Livingston, sports figures and \"celebrities\" signing a   
letter to LOCOG calling for the stadium wrap deal to be cancelled.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 Global media: Bhopal anniversary protests - Coe, Malhotra, Olympic stadium effigies burned                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                         
A succession of wire articles reported on the Bhopal gas tragedy anniversary protests in Bhopal: First the UK's SkyNews, then the UK Press Association, then the AP.     
-   SkyNews gave a fairly high-level overview of the Olympics protest situation, simply stating \"protests are being held\" over the next few days during the anniversary  
period and the activists are \"angry\" about Dow's Olympic sponsorship deal. The IOA meeting and prior reports of voting to boycott are mentioned. The stadium wrap plan   
is described and the pressure being put on LOCOG, but no details or names of groups/individuals. Dow's position on Bhopal is briefly noted.                              
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/protests-over-olympic-deal-chemical-firm-095056665.html                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
-   UK Press Association reported more detail from the Bhopal rallies, noting \"more than 200\" took part in the march to the former UCIL factory site and burned effigies 
of Coe and Malhotra. MP CM Chouhan's letter to Sports minister Maken is mentioned, as is the letter to LOCOG from the 21 Indian athletes asking for Dow's sponsorship to 
be dropped. Dow's Bhopal position is briefly mentioned, as is the GoI \"seeking an additional 1.7 billion dollars for the victims from Union Carbide, and activists       
accuse Dow of not cleaning up contamination in Bhopal.\" Malhotra and LOCOG's most recent statement about not boycotting and not dropping the wrap sponsorship are        
included. The five Bhopal gas NGOs plan for the railway blockade on Saturday ends the piece. About 50 pickups mainly in UK local and regional media, as well as the      
Independent.                                                                                                                                                             
http://www.independent.ie/breaking-news/world-news/bhopal-survivors-burn-coe-effigy-2952674.html                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
-  AP issued a report very similar to the UKPA's, credited to reporter Rafiq Maqbool. This was seen in 100+ media outlets in the UK, Canada and US. Pickups of note      
include MLive.com, Washington Post, Washington Examiner, Toronto Star, San Francisco Chronicle, CBS News, ABC News, Salon.com, Huffington Post, Seattle                  
Post-Intelligencer, Seattle Times, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Miami Herald, Boston.com and SI.com.                                                                        
http://www.boston.com/news/world/asia/articles/2011/12/02/bhopal_survivors_protest_dows_olympic_sponsorship/                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
-   BBC issued a report on the protests with a slightly more local perspective, quoting Coe's statement on being \"satisfied\" that Dow is not responsible for the Bhopal  
issue. Ken Livingstone is mentioned as having made a statement \"earlier this week\" that \"urged a rethink on Dow Chemical's role.\" Malhotra's statement was included on   
the IOA not holding a boycott vote but \"the issue would be raised with the organizers.\"                                                                                  
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-16001266                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
-  IANS issued a report from the protests, quoting UK MP Navin Shah and ICJB activist Rachna Dhingra. Shah called Dow's Olympic sponsorship deal \"disgusting,\" said the  
issue has been introduced in the London Assembly, and \"the Indian government should raise the issue with the Olympics Organizing Committee\" or face pressure from Indian 
leaders to do so. Dhingra said if the deal is not cancelled, the activists \"will hold a Bhopal Olympics to coincide with the event. Children with congenital             
disabilities caused due to the gas leak and Vietnamese children hurt by Dow's Agent Orange will perform at the Bhopal Olympics.\" Several pickups, mainly in Indian media 
outlets.                                                                                                                                                                 
Wall Street Journal's India RealTime blog linked to a post of IANS' previous report on the anniversary protest plans.                                                    
http://www.inewsone.com/2011/12/02/sebastian-coes-effigy-burnt-on-bhopal-gas-tragedys-27th-anniversary/94275                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
 - UK's Daily Mail posted a series of photos from the day's protests, showing the Coe, Malhotra and stadium effigies prior to and while being burned; an official photo  
of Coe; and images of the protesters.                                                                                                                                    
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2069167/Sebastian-Coe-effigy-burned-Bhopal-protesters-furious-chemical-firms-links-2012-London-Olympics.html                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
 - Daily Pioneer reported BJP state president and MP Prabhat Jha sympathized with the gas victims and said the government should do more for them.                       
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/24937-bjp-fight-for-gas-tragedy-victims-will-continue-jha.html                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
 - Daily Pioneer reported separately Navin Shah said now he has begun a petition asking \"people from India and UK to create pressure on LOCOG to reconsider its          
position.\"                                                                                                                                                               
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25022-protestors-burn-olympic-games-partners-effigies.html                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                       Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 AP: Lengthy review of Dow Olympics sponsorship controversy; Gardiner compared wrap to 'skin' of Bhopal victims                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
A lengthy AP story by Danika Kirka and Ravi Nessman explored the controversy over Dow sponsoring the Olympic stadium wrap, describing the company's \"Top\" sponsor        
designation by the International Olympic Committee and the difficulties that status presents to Lord Coe's ability to back down from stadium sponsorship.                
The Bhopal, environmental, and human rights activist groups objections are described, as are Dow and UCC's positions regarding the Bhopal tragedy.                       
Comments of note include Scott Rosner, Wharton Sports Business Initiative, who discussed \"the risk of the association and the sponsorship backfiring\" and impacting the  
Games.                                                                                                                                                                   
Conversely, UK MP Barry Gardiner, Labour Party and head of Labour Friends of India, said the Bhopal people are offended to the point a stadium wrap produced by Dow      
\"might as well be the skin of the families that died [in the gas accident].\"                                                                                             
The article appeared under at least two titles: \"London Olympics under fire for Dow Chemical ties\" and \"London Olympics under fire for Dow Chemical ties.\"               
Current pickups are primarily U.S., including: Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, CBS News, ABC News, Seattle Times, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, SI.com, Denver     
Post, Newsday, ESPN, Huffington Post and NPR.                                                                                                                            
http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/industries/big-sponsor-big-problem-dows-links-to-bhopal-disaster-reflect-on-2012-london-olympics/2011/12/02/gIQAtEJPLO_story.html 
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/2 India media: Gas NGO plans for 'rail roko' on Saturday                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                         
Indian media have reported further on the rail roko event planned for Saturday.                                                                                          
-   The Hindu reported Rachna Dhingra said the NGOs have been talking with the government for six months about changing the data used in the curative petition on        
compensation. The groups intend to keep the trains stopped until the GoI capitulates to their demand.                                                                    
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2681980.ece                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                         
-  Daily Pioneer reported details of locations where the blockades are likely to occur. Law enforcement is to be deployed. Activist Balkrishna Namdeo said the protests  
are to be non-violent, but they are willing to be arrested.                                                                                                              
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25028-voluntary-organisations-call-for-rail-roko-today.html                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1-2 UK, India media: Gardiner on Activist/MP/Celebrity letter to LOCOG; \"legal challenge\" possible                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
Hindustan Times reported UK MP Barry Gardiner said the Labour Friends of India planned \"press events and meetings with legislators 'across the world'\" on the occasion   
of the Bhopal anniversary. Gardiner also said he will personally meet G20 political leaders in Durban, S. Africa on Saturday \"to raise concerns about 'Dow's failure to  
remediate the site at Bhopal and to take proper environmental and social corporate responsibility.'\"                                                                     
In London, Ken Livingstone is to \" launch a public petition of 'thousands of signatures' at the Olympic site at Stratford.\"                                              
http://www.hindustantimes.com/News-Feed/Athletics/British-MPs-want-Dow-ousted/Article1-776747.aspx                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                         
The Independent reported \"more than a hundred\" individuals and rights groups have called for LOCOG to cancel Dow's sponsorship deal. According to this brief article,    
Ken Livingstone has been joined by Noam Chomsky, Martin Sheen \"and a host of Indian Olympians and politicians\" in signing a letter requesting the sponsorship be         
reconsidered. While no link to the letter is offered, it appears to suggest this is a different letter than the ones previously reported.                                
http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/olympics/leading-figures-demand-ban-on-olympic-sponsor-6271128.html                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                         
The Hindu reported on the letter to LOCOG signed by MPs, \"celebrities\" and others including Livingstone, Simon Hughes, MP Pritti Patel, Noam Chomsky, Martin Sheen,      
Indra Sinha and several Indian film and sports figures. Chomsky is quoted, describing the Bhopal gas victims as having \"every right to expect us to join them in their   
courageous efforts\" at enforcing accountability for \"one of the worst corporate crimes in history, and to gain some compensation for their suffering.\" Gardiner and      
Livingstone are also quoted on the rationale for asking LOCOG to reconsider Dow's sponsorship.                                                                           
http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/article2681773.ece                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                         
The Hindu's Business Line expanded on the reporting on the above-mentioned letter, quoting Ken Livingstone, apparently from today's press conference in London:          
\"We will certainly be looking at the possibility of a legal challenge. If we can't afford a wrap for the stadium I'd rather not have one than have one contaminated by   
the death of 25,000 people.\"                                                                                                                                             
Coe's statement of confidence in Dow not having liabilities for the Bhopal gas leak, and a brief rendition of the history of the stadium wrap conclude the article.      
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/article2681580.ece?ref=wl_agri-biz                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1 Telegraph UK: Newham request to drop Dow denied by LOCOG                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                         
Telegraph UK reported LOCOG rejected the anticpated request from Newham Borough's council to review Dow's sponsorship. Newham mayor Robin Wales said he is disappointed  
in the decision.                                                                                                                                                         
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/sport/jmagnay1/100022044/london-2012-olympics-diary-locog-rejects-newhams-call-for-dow-chemical-sponsorship-review/                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1 Down to Earth: GoI, CPCB report to MP HC approves of Bhopal factory waste disposal at DRDO site near Nagpur                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                         
Down to Earth, India's environment magazine, reported the GoI and Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) submitted a report to the Jabalpur bench of the MP High Court   
on Nov. 22 and are still in favor of disposing of the chemical waste from the former UCIL plant site in Bhopal at the DRDO facility near Nagpur. This article claims the 
report \"ignores some vital facts,\" which are the Maharashtra PCB said the DRDO facility is not suitable for disposing of heavy metals, the DRDO facility has not been    
functional for the past two years, and the MPCB must conduct a hearing into the matter. Reportedly, no formal application has been made to the MPCB for such a hearing.  
The stay on transport of the chemical waste has been extended to Dec. 9, when the Maharashtra government is to reply in the Jabalpur court to the GoI report.            
http://www.downtoearth.org.in/content/environment-ministry-cpcb-endorse-burning-bhopals-toxic-waste-nagpur                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1 Telegraph India: Former Indian Olympians wrote to Sports minister Maken                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
India's Telegraph reported the 21 ex-Olympians have each written to Sports minister Maken \"reminding him of the US giant's link with the tragedy.\" Maken has not         
responded to the Olympians or CM Chouhan's letters yet. The article reported Maken asked the cabinet secretariat for input and was referred to the Ministry for External 
Affairs. An unidentified sports ministry official said that agency can't ask Indian athletes not to participate in an international event, and \"It is for the government 
as a whole to decide whether it wants to oppose Dow's sponsorship.\"                                                                                                      
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1111201/jsp/nation/story_14822936.jsp                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/2 CNN-IBN: Dow affidavit filed with Indian SC on compensation issue                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                         
CNN-IBN reported Dow representatives filed an affidavit with the Indian Supreme Court saying the company will not pay more compensation for the Bhopal gas tragedy, the  
settlement was \"more than adequate and fair,\" it was 3 times more than required by Indian law, and UCC was not responsible for the daily operation of the UCIL plant as  
it was under Indian control. Few pickups so far.                                                                                                                         
http://ibnlive.in.com/news/dow-refuses-to-pay-more-to-bhopal-victims/208059-3.html                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                         
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Local media: MDN; MLive pickups of AP articles                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                         
11/30 Midland Daily News print edition ran the AP article from Monday, located on page A3 at the top.                                                                    
12/2 MLive.com picked up both of the day's AP articles on the Bhopal anniversary protests and the Olympic stadium sponsorship.                                           
                                                                                                                                                                         
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11/30 Sportz Power: IOA meeting challenges - members traveling; boycott not called for by IOA members                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
Indian sports media SportzPower published an article reporting the IOA meeting on 12/5 \"is not going to happen,\" partly because IOA secretary general Raja Randhir Singh 
will be traveling to Lausanne, Switzerland that day. Unidentified \"top sources\" also indicated none of the former Olympians who signed are IOA members, and that none of 
the active athletes \"have written anything\" about the Dow sponsorship.                                                                                                   
This article reported the IOC \"has been circulating\" a document with background on the Bhopal gas accident and subsequent activities of the Indian governments and UCC   
\"to place on the table the facts of the case against the detractors, who are linking Dow Chemical Company with Union Carbide Company.\"                                   
http://www.sportzpower.com/?q=content/dow-chemicals-issue-no-concern-ioa-has-no-issue-london-2012-0                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/2 Grist, Guardian blog: PAN PPT \"trial of pesticide companies\" seeks to find wider audience for information                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                         
The UK's Guardian environment blog reported on the PAN People's Tribunal \"trial of pesticide companies\" that begins in Bangalore on Saturday. The blog post focuses on   
bee colony collapse syndrome that is blamed on neonicotiniod pesticides.                                                                                                 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2011/dec/02/pesticides-bees?newsfeed=true                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
Grist.com posted an article on the PPT, saying \"Whether or not the trial will have any real impact on the these companies' bottom lines is hard to predict, but PAN is   
using the occasion to share the testimonies of several of the trial's witnesses with a wider audience.\"                                                                  
http://www.grist.org/industrial-agriculture/2011-11-30-pesticide-on-trial                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
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11/29 BBC radio: In-depth discussion of boycott possibility - Verma, Sarangi among guests                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
BBC Asian Network radio program host Nihal entertained discussion of whether and why India should boycott the London Olympics over Dow's sponsorship of the stadium      
wrap. Telephone guests on the one-hour program were (in order of appearance) Bhopal activist Sanjay Verma, reporter Sangeeta (last name unclear), UK MP Rashnara Ali,    
Indian freelance sports writer Norris Pritham, BMA trustee/Sambhavna Clinic administrator Sathuy Sarangi, and call-in participant Priya.                                 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b017j3lg/Nihal_Boycotting_the_Olympics_for_political_reasons./                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
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Bhopali film screenings: London, MIT, NYC, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Madison; film also available for download                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
Bhopali documentary film screenings are to take place around the Bhopal anniversary. ICJB activist Sanjay Verma is scheduled for at least two appearances screenings at  
MIT and in New York City.                                                                                                                                                
 Bhopali documentary director Max Carlson tweeted that the film is now available on demand from distributor IndiePix. The distributor's website indicates half of the    
proceeds go to the Bhopal Medical Appeal website Bhopal.org.                                                                                                             
Screenings:                                                                                                                                                              
-        11/30  Frontline Club in London, UK with \"special guest speaker Indra Sinha, award winning writer of Animal's People\"                                           
-        12/1  University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, by AID Pittsburgh                                                                                               
-        12/2  Bloor Street United Church of Canada, Toronto, as part of Amnesty International Film Festival, followed by a talk by Amnesty and ICJB US advisory board   
member Ellen Shifrin                                                                                                                                                     
-        12/3  MIT  followed by discussion with Sanjay Verma from Bhopal, filmmaker Max Carlson, and ICJB members                                                        
-        12/8  IndieScreen, Williamsburgh, New York City, \"followed by a Q&A with Sanjay Verma, activist & survivor of the 1984 Union Carbide Gas Disaster in Bhopal.    
50% of proceeds will go to Bhopal.org\" (AIM note: This had been previously scheduled for 12/1)                                                                           
-        12/10 screening and panel at Alwan for the Arts, NYC (an \"Arab community\" venue), \"followed by a serious panel discussion with survivor & activist Sanjay       
Verma, Director Max Carlson, AID NYC and many more TBA\"                                                                                                                  
-        University of Wisconsin - Madison's Indian Graduate Student Association (IGSA) is hosting a screening of the Bhopali film, but the date is unclear. The post    
reads \"December 6, Saturday,\" 7 p.m. at the Marquee Theatre, Union South, 1308 W. Dayton St.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
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PAN PPT session 12/3-6 will \"share the testimonies of...the trial's witnesses with a wider audience\"                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
The Pesticide Action Network's Permanent People's Tribunal (PPT) scheduled for Dec. 3-6 will be held in Bangalore, India.                                                
 - \"Jurors\" are to include \"include renowned legal experts such as Gurdial Singh Nijjar, Director of the Centre of Excellence for Biodiversity Law at the University     
Malaya; Pananchand Jain, retired Rajasthan High Court Justice; and Upendra Baxi, former President of the Indian Society of International Law.[and] scientists and        
experts such as Dr. Ricarda A. Steinbrecher, a biologist and geneticist with the German Federation of Scientists.\"                                                       
 - The PPT website posted a schedule for livestreaming of the proceedings and when the main speakers will be on. Full text attached.                                     
                                                                                                                                                                         
PAN UK, PAN Asia Pacific (PAN AP) and PAN North America (PANNA) each posted several documents on the event with focus tailored to the respective regions, but do not     
specify allegations against Dow beyond the De-Nocil payments issue.                                                                                                      
-     The PAN UK press release includes several bulleted notes for editors on pesticide issues, so is being attached as a representative sample. All the documents are   
available on request.                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1 London Assembly press release: questions previously submitted to LOCOG, London mayor                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
London Assembly member John Biggs issued a press release about his questioning of Coe, LOCOG CEO Deighton and London mayor Johnson about the appropriateness of the Dow  
sponsorship. Biggs stated his opposition to the sponsorship and included excerpts from transcripts of meetings on Oct. 19 and Nov. 16 when he posed his questions. Biggs 
is the Assembly member representing the constituency including Tower Hamlet, Newham, Barking & Dagenham and the City of London.                                          
http://www.london.gov.uk/media/press_releases_assembly_member/news-john-biggs-olympic-legacy-should-not-include-bhopal                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                         
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Blogs: UK sports writers criticize India boycott idea                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
Two sports writer blogs have posts about the potential Indian boycott:                                                                                                   
-        Alan Hubbard of the Independent called the boycott rumor \"nothing but a storm in a teacup.\" He observed, \"In any case, boycotts don't work\" and cited the       
Moscow and Los Angeles boycotts, where \"some athletes may miss out on the bandwagon driven by politicians, but the Games show rolls on regardless.\" Hubbard tacitly      
discounted Tessa Jowell's protestations, pointing out \"all London 2012 board members must have known of, and surely, approved, the financial arrangements with Dow when  
it was made.\" (Hubbard's post has a few typographical errors that alter the meaning of some phrases, such as IOA president Malhotra \"has given assurances that there     
will be a boycott.\")                                                                                                                                                     
http://www.insidethegames.biz/blogs/15025-alan-hubbard-indian-olympic-boycott-rumours-were-nothing-but-a-storm-in-a-teacup                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
-        John Goodbody of the Sunday Times described the boycott call as \"a flurry of mild concern.from the unlikely source of India.\" Goodbody quoted several of the    
parties involved in the conversation but drew no further conclusions.                                                                                                    
http://www.sportsfeatures.com/olympicsnews/story/49210/john-goodbody-the-spectre-of-boycotts-can-always-return-to-the-olympic-games                                      
                                                                                                                                                                         
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Social media: BMA, Twitter campaign for petition; US activist comments on Granholm's program                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                         
BMA's Facebook and Twitter posts include                                                                                                                                 
 - Multiple links to prior media and activist items about the boycott discussion, DAS India's blacklisting, etc.                                                         
 - Link to a 9-minute YouTube video on the Bhopal gas tragedy. The video is not from a recognizable source, has few views.                                               
                                                                                                                                                                         
Anti-Dow Olympics Facebook page:                                                                                                                                         
 - Farah Edwards posted on the a link to BBC radio phone-in program \"Nihal\" (see media item above) about whether India should boycott the games. Edwards and Lorraine    
Close were upset about the \"patronizing\" treatment of the topic. Close asked if the Edwards (Tim and Farah) would support her if she wrote to the BBC about the program. 
-   Posts between Lorraine Close and photojournalist Jack Laurenson discussed promotion of her Change.org petition via Twitter as it surpassed 6,000 signatures.         
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 Twitter searches for Bhopal as a topic revealed a few hundred tweets, mainly with tie-in to the Olympic sponsorship controversy. Several individuals, including     
Laurenson and \"Debbie Aitken\" have sent messages to multiple recipients with the same request to support the campaign to drop Dow's sponsorship.                         
A few tweets of interest:                                                                                                                                                
-  Mischa Husain of BBC: \"Amnesty received a letter last week in which Lord Sebastian Coe dismissed #humanrights concerns about Dow.\"                                    
-  Greenpeace: \"27th anniversary of #Bhopal tragedy today yet #London2012 sponsors Dow Chemical still not held to account\"                                               
-   Jaqueline Magnay: \"Indians protesters respectful of seb coe. In burning him they dressed him in a suit. #bhopal\"                                                     
-    Weldon Kennedy: \"Lorraine telling the story of her experience in #Bhopal and her petition\"; \"Ken talking about crime of Dow sponsoring Olympics\" (these each had    
photos, see attached)                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                         
12/2 Climate change and water activist JanforGore (Janet Moore) has commented recently on Jennifer Granholm's new show on CurrentTV, with references to Granholm's brief 
stint on Dow's board and the Bhopal and dioxin issues. The latest comment is found here:                                                                                 
http://current.com/groups/current-video/93563579_granholm-i-dont-want-this-show-to-be-about-talking-points.htm                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                         
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12/1 PR Green: No Pesticide Day observance in Puerto Rico                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                         
Puerto Rico Green media reported on World Day of No Pesticide Use as a Bhopal gas tragedy commemoration. On Dec. 3, the Organization Boricua Eco-Organic Agriculture in  
a \"brigade in the community of Hato Rey Nuns\" will plant a garden without pesticides and invited public participation. A subsequent \"brigdade\" is planned for Dec. 10    
December at the Jibaro Project in Bo.  Minillas in San German.                                                                                                           
Spanish language article: http://www.miprv.com/dia-mundial-del-no-uso-de-plaguicidas-recordando-el-desastre-en-bhopal/                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                         
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  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                  Allis Information Management, Inc..                                                                    

   Please remove me from this mailing list.

    
","2011-12-03 03:42:01",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/396300_dow-confidential-bhopal-monitoring-report-friday-december-02.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com","attach/35/35360_Activist_info_12-01-11_PPT_livestreaming_schedule.pdf
attach/35/35362_Blog_12-02-11_Greenpeace_statement.pdf
attach/35/35364_Activist_info_12-02-11_Amnesty_Intl_statement.pdf
attach/35/35365_Activist_info_11-17-11_PAN_UK_-_PPT_full_press_release.pdf
attach/35/35366_Scottish_Parliament_Motion_S4M-01472.pdf"
396396,"Yes Men monitoring 10-20-11
","","2011-10-20 22:30:53",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/396396_yes-men-monitoring-10-20-11-.html","mmartin@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com","attach/35/35382_Activist email 10-17-11 YL - BFFs.doc"
396510,"DOW CONFIDENTIAL: Bhopal Monitoring Report Friday, December 09, 2011
","Contact AIM for more Information                                                                                                                                                     
Significant Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                        
 Amnesty USA online action addressed to USOC; Amnesty Int'l; Amnesty Canada; AI USA blog post                                                                                        
 Barry Gardiner: website posts of Hindu, \"Dow Olympic campaign\" update                                                                                                               
 12/3 Rail Roko turns violent, protesters injured and arrested; CM Chouhan agreed to compensation data demand; roko cancelled                                                        
 Petition: Goal attained, extended to 15,000 signatures                                                                                                                              
 Parliament motions: 19 supporters of Scottish motion; UK Early Day stalled at 21                                                                                                    
Media                                                                                                                                                                                
 Local media: Midland Daily News, Saginaw News                                                                                                                                       
 US anniversary actions: ICJB Boston; AID Austin (TX)                                                                                                                                
 12/3 PTI, India Today, ToI: UCC affidavit filing; Dow not recognizing India's juridiction over it                                                                                   
 12/7 Telegraph UK: LOCOG sustainability report favorable to Dow                                                                                                                     
 12/8 BBC: Dow committed to Olympic sponsorship                                                                                                                                      
 Olympic Media Summary                                                                                                                                                               
 12/3 Hindu: Activist coalition, Chomsky statement                                                                                                                                   
 12/3 BBC: Video report from BMA/Livingstone press conference at Olympic stadium                                                                                                     
 12/3 Guardian Ecologist: Blog promotes L. Close petition                                                                                                                            
 12/4-5 Express, Hindu: Tamil Nadu politicians urge boycott of Games                                                                                                                 
 12/5-6 Financial Times, Channel 4: Jowell interviews on opposing Dow Olympics sponsorship                                                                                           
 12/5 Global media: IOA statement on \"concern\" over \"tainted\" company sponsoring Olympics                                                                                            
 12/6 India media: IOA concern includes India's future bid for Olympics while Dow stil an IOC partner                                                                                
 12/6 Global media: IOC to IOA - \"talk to the athletes\" about Dow sponsorship                                                                                                        
 12/8 Telegraph UK: Two reports from Deighton's presentation at IOC meeting                                                                                                          
 12/6 Guardian: Dhingra, Gardiner welcomed IOA 'concern'; Commentary article cites BMA's Close                                                                                       
 12/6 Tribune India: Sarangi - IOA, GoI communications \"token efforts\"                                                                                                               
 12/6 Siaset: Aslam Sher Khan press event: wrote letter to S Gandhi, offered support to UK MPs                                                                                       
 12/7 PTI, SportzPower: IOA to meet, discuss Dow sponsorship issues 12/9, 12/15                                                                                                      
 12/9 Guardian blog: Recap of Olympics news included London borough politcs involving anti-Dow campaign                                                                              
 12/8 Reuters, PTI: Indian athletes let Dow find \"redemption\" via Olympic sponsorship; will follow GoI lead on Dow issue                                                             
 12/8 Indian Express: ICJB to hold \"Bhopal Olympics\"                                                                                                                                 
 Commentaries/editorials: Mid-Day Mumbai, Times of India, Bhopal Chronicle; Sri Lanka, UK media                                                                                      
 Bhopal Anniversary Media Summary                                                                                                                                                    
 12/3 Global media: Bhopal anniversary effigy burnings and protests                                                                                                                  
 12/3 Global media: Rail roko violence                                                                                                                                               
 12/4 AP: Rail roko violence aftermath                                                                                                                                               
 12/4 TwoCircles: Rail roko protest overview; 1/3/12 deadline for MP to submit \"correct\" data to SC                                                                                  
 12/5 PTI, DNA: 15 Rail roko arrests include gas NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo                                                                                                        
 12/6 Pioneer: State responsible for rail violence                                                                                                                                   
 12/6-8 India media: MP, ICJB, MP HRC to hold enquiries into violence                                                                                                                
 12/6 Pioneer: Jabbar - ICJB partly responsible for rail violence                                                                                                                    
 12/9 ANI: Bhopal protest of police for rail roko violence calls for Chouhan to resign, threatens to 'ransack' his residence                                                         
 12/8 ToI: Bhopal residents complain of police harassment on questioning over rail roko                                                                                              
 12/7 PTI: Abdul Jabbar wants special courts for gas victims, MP to submit 'correct' data to SC                                                                                      
 12/9 DNA: Chouhan calls for Rs 10 lakh in compensation for 10,000 more gas victims                                                                                                  
 12/4 Express on Sunday: Chingari Trust                                                                                                                                              
 12/5 Pioneer: Chingari Trust awards                                                                                                                                                 
 12/8 Common Dreams: PANNA announced results of People's Tribunal - \"Big 6\" agrichem firms \"guilty\" of human rights violations                                                       
Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                                    
 12/4 BhopalNow website: first posting promotes Sambhavna, Chingari facilities                                                                                                       
 12/6 Force Change petition addressed to Liveris to \"assume corporate responsibility\" and clean up Bhopal                                                                            
 Bhopali film: Invitations to screenings; review; interview with Verma and Carlson                                                                                                   
 Ted Jeory blog: Bhopal visit during anniversary events; Newham mayor supports anti-Dow campaign                                                                                     
 BMA website updates: Bhopali interview; Environmentalist article; Anniversary event reports                                                                                         
 Blogs: Current.com; Toxics Watch; Hadida; sports blogs; UK Progressive; New Internationalist                                                                                        
 Message boards: Nayaran - ICJB action calls during rail violence; Games Monitor posts                                                                                               
 Social media: Farah Edwards driving BMA social media                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Amnesty USA online action addressed to USOC; Amnesty Int'l; Amnesty Canada; AI USA blog post                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Amnesty USA posted an online action addressed to the US Olympic Committee on the Bhopal anniversary and asking it to \"raise the issue of Dow's failure to address the long-standing  
environmental and human rights concerns about the Bhopal gas disaster in the Association of National Olympic Committees Executive Council Meeting on 6 December in Switzerland.\"     
(emphasis added)                                                                                                                                                                     
The online letter also calls for the IOC to amend is Sustainable Sourcing Code to include \"an explicit attention to human rights concerns.\"                                          
Amnesty is seeking for itself \"and other groups the opportunity to convey to the Olympic Committee their concerns about Dow's response to the Bhopal tragedy, and that the LOCOG     
prioritize the outstanding needs of survivors of the tragedy.\"                                                                                                                       
Full text of the letter is attached.                                                                                                                                                 
 - The BMA Twitter feed posted links to the AI USA website, and tweeted once to Amnesty Sweden/Holland.                                                                              
 - As is typical, Amnesty USA has not invested in ongoing promotion of the Bhopal issue, touching on it only in context of the Bhopal anniversary and then returning to more normal  
Amnesty topics.                                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Amnesty Int'l posted the Bhopal annivesary press statement by Business and Human Rights director Seema Joshi that was initially posted by Amnesty UK on 12/2.                        
http://www.amnestyusa.org/news/news-item/london-2012-organizers-must-not-forget-bhopal-disaster                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/5 Amnesty Canada website and Amnesty USA's Human Rights blog posted Bhopal items.                                                                                                 
- The Canada site began with a large photo on the front page of an elderly Bhopal activist and linked to the text of the UK Amnesty statement from 12/2, but no apparent link for a  
direct online action. It is also not listed in the Write for Rights campaign as a current issue.                                                                                     
 - The AI USA blog by Govind Acharya linked to the online action to contact the USOC and to Lorraine Close's change.org petition.                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Barry Gardiner: website posts of Hindu, \"Dow Olympic campaign\" update                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Barry Gardiner's website had the following updates:                                                                                                                                  
The 12/2 Hindu article with quotes from himself and Noam Chomsky opposing the Dow Olympic sponsorship                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
An update on the Dow Olympic Campaign said it \"is gathering momentum\" and Gardner has \"been busy campaigning with Labour Friends of India.\" He listed six action updates:            
- \"Events in 3 continents\" on the 27the Bhopal gas tragedy anniversary - UK, India and Africa                                                                                        
- GoI's instruction to the IOA to communicate with LOCOG and the IOC                                                                                                                 
- Gardiner \"raised the issue of the ongoing contamination at Bhopal to leading politicians from 18 of the G20 countries\" while at the Climate Change Conference in Durban, S. Africa 
- Navin Shah represented the Labour Friends group at the Bhopal events                                                                                                               
- \"Ken Livingstone attended a press conference organized by Labour Friends of India at the Olympic Stadium in Stratford. Ken officially endorsed our campaign at the change.org      
website.\"                                                                                                                                                                            
- \"On Friday released a letter to LOCOG signed by over a hundred celebrities, politicians and Olympians.\" The update indicated the list of supporters was provided, but no content   
was available.                                                                                                                                                                       
Gardiner ended by saying Coe \"must realize if he does not listen\" to the protesters, the protests \"will continue during the games themselves, and the sporting spectacle will be     
overshadowed by the toxic cloud of Dow.\"                                                                                                                                             
Full text attached.                                                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 Rail Roko turns violent, protesters injured and arrested; CM Chouhan agreed to compensation data demand; roko cancelled                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The 12/3 Bhopal rail roko protest turned violent with injuries reported among the protesters, police and media persons. Reports vary on how the clash with police began.             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Bhopal activists posted a flurry of emails and message board posts calling for telephone calls to PM Singh's office, the MP Chief Minister's office and the Environment and Forests  
ministry office.                                                                                                                                                                     
Subsequent posts reported MP CM Chouhan \"agreed on all demands of the survivor groups\" and a written statement was said to have been issued from Chouhan's office. As a result of    
Chouhan capitulating, the rail roko was called off. Details of the CM's statement were promised to follow.                                                                           
- An initial ICJB statement posted on its website reported the rail roko turned violent, but it did not mention the Chief Minister capitulating to the demands. That statement       
claimed:                                                                                                                                                                             
\"Police in riot gear with shields and \"lathis\", long heavy clubs, turned out in force and began to attack the survivors, sparing neither the old, women and children.                
\"Phone reports speak of people hit by stones and lathis covered in blood. One person is said to be critical in hospital. Many have been arrested. Bodies are lying on the ground in  
scenes reminiscent of the gas disaster of which today is the 27th anniversary. \" (emphasis added)                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
- A brief update to the post simply stated CM Chouhan agreed to the NGOs demands and to lobby the PM on their behalf.                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/4 ICJB's website was updated with a report on people injured at the rail protest, claiming a teen may lose his hand after being hit by a rubber bullet fired by police. The       
report claimed there were 50,000 at the protest, while media reports had said 15,000. A section said there is \"huge public anger at Dow and Coe\" over the Olympics sponsorship. Full 
text attached.                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The site also posted a new image titled \"Dow's poison is killing London's Olympics as Dow attempts to censor criticism.\" That linked to a post of the 12/2 AP story by Kirka and     
Nessman.                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Petition: Goal attained, extended to 15,000 signatures                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Lorraine Close's change.org petition has reached its initial goal of 10,000 signatures and the goal has been raised to 15,000.                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Parliament motions: 19 supporters of Scottish motion; UK Early Day stalled at 21                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The Scottish Parliament Motion by Joan McAlpine marking the Bhopal gas tragedy anniversary has been signed by 19 supporters: Rob Gibson, Mark McDonald, Dennis Robertson, Humza      
Yousaf, Mike MacKenzie, David Torrance, John Mason, Sandra White, Annabelle Ewing, Adam Ingram, Patrick Harvie, Gil Paterson, Dave Thompson, Kenneth Gibson, Roderick Campbell, Bill 
Kidd, Christina McKelvie, Margaret Burgess, and Linda Fabiani.                                                                                                                       
 - This is the fourth such SPM, with others filed for the 19th, 20th and 22 anniversaries, and one in support of US activist Diane Wilson when she was arrested for trespassing at   
UCC's Seadrift, TX plant. The several motions are attached.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The UK Early Day Motion by Keith Vaz calling for LOCOG to reconsider the Dow sponsorship deal has not gained any new signers and remains at 21.                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Local media: Midland Daily News, Saginaw News                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/3 Midland Daily News ran Friday's AP article by Kirka and Nessman, pp1-2. Bottom left of front page, across fold of second page                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/6 Saginaw News reporter Kathryn Lynch-Morin posted an article on the Bhopal activist opposition to Dow's Olympic sponsorship. She tied together media reports on the              
effigy-burning and protest in Bhopal for the anniversary observances, and today's Reuters report on the IOC advising the IOA to talk with the Indian athletes about the sponsorship. 
The article ended with four paragraphs quoting Scot on Dow's Olympic partnership, and Lynch-Morin inviting public input on whether the activists are right to blame Dow, and whether 
a boycott would \"send a message to Dow or hurt Indian sports.\"                                                                                                                       
Seven comments were posted by eaders. The majority of the comments were in Dow's defense, the others, posted by \"greenspleen\" are more sympathetic to the activist viewpoint.        
http://www.mlive.com/business/mid-michigan/index.ssf/2011/12/bhopal_victims_continue_to_pro.html#comments                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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US anniversary actions: ICJB Boston; AID Austin (TX)                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/5 The UT-Austin Daily Texan reported on AID Austin's Bhopal anniversary die-in and campaign opposing Dow's Olympic sponsorship. The group was collecting signatures on a petition 
they hope to use to spur \"current and former UT Olympians\" to make statements opposing the sponsorship.                                                                              
http://www.dailytexanonline.com/news/2011/12/04/aid-austin-seeks-support-removing-dow-chemicals-olympic-sponsorship                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 India New England published a report from the ICJB Boston anniversary events of 12/3 titled \"Bhopal Occupies Boston.\"                                                           
About 40 people attended the ICJB presentation by activist Saif Pathan at noon in Dewey Square. The messages reported were - Dow is avoiding responsibility for remediation of       
former UCIL factory site and compensation to gas accident victims, and greenwashing its image with the London 2012 Olympics sponsorship.                                             
Following that event, the group \"marched\" to Copley Square and joined a larger Occupy demonstration, where they displayed Bhopal banners, distributed flyers among the crowd, and    
\"talked to people about the struggle for survivors' rights.\"                                                                                                                         
The Bhopali film screening at MIT had a \"packed audience of about 70 people.\" Following the film, Bhopal resident and activist Sanjay Verma told the audience \"the international     
support for the cause was increasing every year,\" and encouraged people to sign Lorraine Close's petition opposing the Olympic sponsorship.                                          
http://www.indianewengland.com/ME2/dirmod.asp?sid=&nm=&type=Publishing&mod=Publications%3A%3AArticle&mid=8F3A7027421841978F18BE895F87F791&tier=4&id=556EEDBF136748DD915A1C88429E58B7 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 PTI, India Today, ToI: UCC affidavit filing; Dow not recognizing India's juridiction over it                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported on the UCC affidavit filed with the Indian Supreme Court rebutting the curative petition calling for more compensation to be paid for the Bhopal gas victims. Pickups   
have been seen by Economic Times, Indian Express and DNA.                                                                                                                            
http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_dow-chemicals-opposes-higher-compensation-for-bhopal-gas-victims_1620981                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
India Today also reported on the filing, with a few details of interest. The document is said to include assertions that a large surplus of funds remained with the GoI after the    
gas victims were paid, and that the GoI should return the initial settlement amount to UCC if it reopened the settlement case. Also, the article reported UCC said the GoI needed to 
provided proof of the earning capacity of the gas victims for the purposes of calculating compensation.                                                                              
http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/bhopal-gas-tragedy-compensation-union-carbide-vs-government/1/162583.html                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Times of India posted a report on the UCC affidavit filing on the curative petition. It included a few quotes from the document, including that Dow \"has not submittted to the       
jurisdiction of the Supreme Court or any other court in India.\"                                                                                                                      
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Bhopal-gas-tragedy-Wont-submit-to-Supreme-Court-jurisdiction-says-Dow-Chemicals/articleshow/10974484.cms                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/7 Telegraph UK: LOCOG sustainability report favorable to Dow                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
UK Telegraph's Jacquelin Magnay included new sustainability review information in a report on Rogge's direction to the IOA to talk about Dow's sponsorship with the Indian athletes. 
IOA acting president Malhotra said discussion about Dow will be on the agenda for the IOA executive board meeting on Dec. 15 as the issue \"has become a global concern.\"             
Dow's position on Bhopal was given, followed by two paragraphs reporting \"LOCOG sustainability watchdog Shaun McCarthy supported [Dow's] position.\"                                  
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/columnists/jacquelin-magnay/8939596/London-2012-Olympics-Jacques-Rogge-backs-chemical-giant-Dow-over-Bhopal-disaster.html                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 BBC: Dow committed to Olympic sponsorship                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
BBC reported on Dow's stated commitment to remain as a sponsor for the London 2012 Olympic Games. The article included a timeline of events involving Dow  in India and development  
of the London Games.                                                                                                                                                                 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16089139                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Olympic Media Summary                                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Media coverage of the anti-Dow Olympics campaign began slowly, with single reports on activist statements in the Hindu (Chomsky, Gardiner); Guardian's Ecologist blog (L. Close      
petition); Express News (Tamil Nadu politicians Vaiko and Thirumavalavan); and Financial Times (Jowell).                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
GOI/Indian Olympic Association's (IOA) statement  it would communicate with IOC over concerns about Dow's sponsorship received global media attention with reports from AP, AFP,     
Reuters, and Indian wire services IANS, UNI, ANI, IBNS, and PTI.                                                                                                                     
- AP usage was highest in US and Canada (about 50 pickups)                                                                                                                           
- AFP, Reuters were mainly used internationally (about 25 to 35 each)                                                                                                                
- PTI appeared most used in India, while the rest of Indian wires appeared about evenly split                                                                                        
- Int'l Business Times, First Post issued original reports                                                                                                                           
- WSJ India RealTime blog posted Indian wire links twice                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
IOC statement confirming Dow's suitability and counseling IOA to talk with India's athletes received coverage by Reuters, Int'l Business Times, Guardian, PTI, and India's media     
majors. Reuters was used by New York Times, Yahoo! News, some US broadcast outlets, and filtered through international and sports media over two days. Indian media coverage was     
widespread, including numerous PTI pickups, Times of India (TOI), Hindu, Economic Times, SportzPower and the Statesman.                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported IOA to meet 12/9, 12/17 to discuss \"Dow issues.\" Multiple pickups throughout Indian media.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Print editions of India's major media published articles Sunday through Thursday on these stories, mainly in the Sports sections.                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Commentary appeared from many quarters                                                                                                                                               
- Hindustan Times - editorial said Dow should use sponsorship money to \"clean up poisons\"                                                                                            
- Mid-Day Mumbai - hypocrisy of India protesting Dow Olympic sponsorship while letting the company operate in India                                                                  
- SportzPower - suggested is GOI using stalling tactic on Olympic protests in hopes momentum will slow                                                                               
- TOI - point/counterpoint editorials on Dow sponsorship and Indian boycott; questioning why India did not protest sponsorship in 2010                                               
- Central Chronicle - Rizvi's change.org petition surpassing 750 signatures puts \"significant pressure\" on IOA for 12/15 meeting                                                     
- Sri Lanka Guardian - Dow risking reputation and good will over Olympic sponsorship                                                                                                 
- North West Times (London)- criticized Coe for Dow sponsorship, encouraged readers to email UK Culture commission in protest                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Individual articles reported responses from multiple stakeholders:                                                                                                                   
- Tribune India: ICJB leaders Sarangi, Dhingra, Sarangi called the IOA message to IOC a \"token effort\"; Dhingra promised a \"Bhopal Olympics\"                                         
- Siaset: Aslam Sher Khan called for an Olympic boycott, promised to bring up Dow sponsorship \"in a big way\" at 12/15 IOA meeting                                                    
- Reuters, PTI -  Current top Indian athletes are either against a boycott or noncommittal when asked                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 Hindu: Activist coalition, Chomsky statement                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - The Hindu published an article about the cross-party activist coalition targeting Dow with quotes from Noam Chomsky 'backing' the campaign against Dow's Olympic sponsorship      
because \"the people of Bhopal have struggled to enforce accountability for one of the worst coporate crimes in history.\"                                                             
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-international/article2682675.ece                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 BBC: Video report from BMA/Livingstone press conference at Olympic stadium                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 BBC posted a video report was from the BMA's press conference held 12/2 outside the Olympic stadium. Activist representatives addressing the press were Lorraine Close, Tim Edwards 
and Farah Edwards. Ken Livingstone was not on camera. The reporter said of the stadium sponsorship, \"it looks like the campaigners aren't going to get their way\" although it does   
present problems for LOCOG. Lorraine Close described in a fairly passionless manner the issues facing the Bhopal gas victims and the rationale for involving Dow in the issues.      
Farah Edwards asserted the gas victims may go on a hunger strike nearer or during the Olympics \"if the wrap stays.\" Close's change.org petition was briefly shown on screen.         
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-16011649                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 Guardian Ecologist: Blog promotes L. Close petition                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The UK Guardian's Ecologist blog promoted Lorraine Close's change.org petition to Lord Coe opposing the Dow stadium wrap sponsorship.                                                
http://www.theecologist.org/how_to_make_a_difference/campaigning_the_basics/1154320/petition_to_stop_dow_chemical_partnering_with_2012_london_olympics.html                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/4-5 Express, Hindu: Tamil Nadu politicians urge boycott of Games                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Express News Service reported two Tamil Nadu politicians, MDMK leader Vaiko and VCK leader Thol Thirumavalavan, told the media India should boycott the Olympics unless Dow's        
sponsorship is cancelled.                                                                                                                                                            
http://ibnlive.in.com/news/boycott-dowsponsored-london-olympics-vaiko/208474-60-118.html                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The HIndu also reported Vaiko and Tirumavalavan appealing to the IOA and GoI to pressure LOCOG to drop the Dow sponsorship deal.                                                     
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/article2687974.ece                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/5-6 Financial Times, Channel 4: Jowell interviews on opposing Dow Olympics sponsorship                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Financial Times reported on Tessa Jowell's involvement in the campaign opposing Dow's Olympic sponsorship. She said she considers the sponsorship deal \"provocative\" and that she    
would never do anything to \"inflict damage on the Games.\" The article described the opposition campaign as attracting \"little interest in India outside of Bhopal\" and said Jowell   
was not successful in meeting with Indian officials last week to discuss the sponsorship. She denied a conflict of interest exists between her LOCOG board membership and the        
opposition campaign. She said she is \"seeking a 'negotiated solution'\" with two possible solutions - Dow withdraws or \"offers what she called a 'substantial programme of            
mitigation.'\"                                                                                                                                                                        
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b1149dd8-1eb3-11e1-bae4-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1fd1TIYz8                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Channel 4 News posted a brief article and video report on India protesting Dow's Olympic sponsorship. The text article contained the basic items about the IOA, LOCOG and Dow        
statements, while the video included an approximately 4-minute interview of Tessa Jowell by Channel 4 news reader Jon Snow. Snow asked if Jowell had \"seen this problem coming,\" to  
which she replied by describing events of her trip to India last week. Jowell was to have spoken at a sports conference which was cancelled, and she thought this was because the    
GoI was afraid she would use that platform to talk about Bhopal and Dow. She said she would not have done so.                                                                        
Jowell said she met with \"a number of people who are concerned, including the senior counsel for the Indian government on the Indian Olympic Association issue and the five NGOs.\"   
Snow prompted her about the original question, and Jowell began to list \"options,\" including that Dow could withdraw since the wrap was only to \"enhance the appearance of the       
stadium for television.\" On further prompting, she admitted she did not know about the sponsorship until September and had \"been pursuing it ever since.\"                            
http://www.channel4.com/news/indian-government-protests-dow-olympic-sponsorship                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/5 Global media: IOA statement on \"concern\" over \"tainted\" company sponsoring Olympics                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
AP, AFP, Reuters, IANS, UNI and IBNS issued wire reports related to the Indian Olympic Association statement about Dow's Olympic sponsorship.                                        
 - AP and UNI reported the IOA would communicate to LOCOG the Bhopal gas victims are \"strongly protesting\" Dow's sponsorship of the stadium wrap. Dow's position on the Bhopal issue 
and the purchase of UCC were given in the second paragraph of the report. IOA said it was not happy that \"tainted\" sponsors were being associated with the Games. IOA acting         
president V K Malhotra said the topic would be addressed at a 12/15 meeting.                                                                                                         
AP http://www.timesunion.com/news/article/Indian-Olympic-group-unhappy-over-Dow-sponsorship-2344972.php                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - AP had approximately 50 pickups, mostly in US and Canadian local, regional and broadcast outlets, as well as Washington Post, Washington Examiner, SF Examiner and New Orleans    
Times-Picayune websites.                                                                                                                                                             
 - AFP, Reuters and IANs pickups were between two and three dozen each.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Several media outlets posted in-house reports on the IOA's instructions and intent to convey to LOCOG and/or the IOC that the GoI, NGOs and others are \"unhappy\" with Dow's Olympic  
sponsorship. WSJ's IndiaRealTime blog included the Indian Express version of the story at the top of its daily headlines collection. The content was much the same as reported       
above.                                                                                                                                                                               
 - PTI http://www.hindustantimes.com/India-news/NewDelhi/India-to-raise-issue-of-Dow-Olympics-sponsorship/Article1-778111.aspx                                                       
 - International Business Times http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/261171/20111205/2012-london-olympics-india-raise-issue-dow.htm                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - IANS reported more detail from Malhotra's statement, saying IOA \"[understands] the feelings of the players, government and the NGOs [and] will try to make the games organisers   
aware of the feeling of the people who have suffered in that tragedy. It is not only the Indians who are protesting this sponsorship, there has been an outcry against this world    
over from various NGO's and other bodies. It is no longer a local issue.'\"                                                                                                           
This article said the GoI asked the IOA to address the issue with LOCOG and \"ask them to reconsider their move.\"                                                                     
http://in.news.yahoo.com/ioa-convey-concern-bhopal-victims-london-organisers-124750787.html                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - AFP Reuters, and IANS went a step further into the GoI/IOA communications, reporting the Sports Ministry asked the IOA to \"raise this matter immediately with the IOC (emphasis   
added) while keeping the [GoI] informed.\"                                                                                                                                            
Sports minister A J Maken wrote to the IOA, \"expressing his concern over the Dow issue that has been vehemently criticized by the Bhopal Gas leak victims and even by several former 
Olympians.\"                                                                                                                                                                          
Reuters http://in.news.yahoo.com/india-raise-issue-dow-olympics-sponsorship-073535293.html (picked up by The Guardian)                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - PTI and ANI also provided more coverage of the GoI's instructing the IOA to communicate with Olympics officials about the Dow sponsorship. In a first article, PTI quoted         
extensively from an emailed statement from Dow that, \"misrepresentation of facts is wrong,\" while a second article quoted extensively from Sports minister Maken's statement. He     
called it \"insensitive to the Bhopal gas victims\" for the IOC to move ahead with the sponsorship.                                                                                    
PTI1: http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_misrepresentation-of-facts-is-wrong-dow-chemical_1621872                                                                                  
PTI2: http://www.rediff.com/sports/report/insensitive-bhopal-gas-victims-maken-ioc-dow-chemicals-union-carbide/20111205.htm                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - ANI reported Sarangi commented favorably about the GoI's move, but said \"much more\" still needed to be done in terms of political consensus to maintain the campaign's momentum.  
http://www.dailyindia.com/show/474535.php                                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 India media: IOA concern includes India's future bid for Olympics while Dow stil an IOC partner                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Several Indian media outlets published further reporting on the IOA's statement on Monday to the IOC and LOCOG:                                                                      
 - Telegraph India reported part of the concern over Dow's sponsorship is its position as an IOC partner through the 2020 Games, for which India had planned to bid. It also         
reported the letter to IOA from the Sports ministry was written by Rahul Bhatnagar, a joint secretary at the ministry.                                                               
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1111206/jsp/nation/story_14844874.jsp                                                                                                                  
 - The Hindu and NDTV also reported India would like to bid to host a future Games, and has asked the \"Indian mission in London to get more details from the organizers\" about Dow's 
sponsorship. Hindu noted Liveris is an India-US CEO Forum member, \"but has stayed away from the meetings...due to the sensitivities involved.\"                                       
Hindu http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2689249.ece                                                                                                                       
 - Times of India and PTI reported Sports Minister A J Maken urged the IOC to \"consider the sentiments\" involving Bhopal and Dow, said he \"won't let Bhopal down,\" and that it       
\"would be embarrassing that on one hand we are asking for extradition of [Warren Anderons] and on the other hand we are partnering with those people.\"                               
ToI http://www.timesnow.tv/Wont-let-Bhopal-down-says-Maken/articleshow/4390681.cms                                                                                                   
- Express News Service, SportzPower, Economic Times and the Statesman also posted reports on the IOA statement.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Global media: IOC to IOA - \"talk to the athletes\" about Dow sponsorship                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Reuters and a few other media outlets reported IOC president Jacques Rogge \"urged the IOA to talk to its athletes\" about the protests over Dow's Olympic sponsorship. He reiterated  
the IOC's position that Bhopal was a \"horrific catastrophe\" with which India has \"a lot of emotion,\" but Dow \"was not involved in the Bhopal issue.\" He added that every call for    
India to boycott the games \"is a measure that is hurting Indian sport and I am glad to say that there is no intention at the level of the IOA to consider such actions.\"             
This Bhopal content is in the second half of the article, which is titled and initially about soccer (football) global leader Havelange resigning from the IOC.                      
There were approximately two dozen pickups of the story, including the New York Times, Yahoo! Eurosport, South Africa's Sunday Tribune and Independent Online, and a handful of US   
broadcast outlets.                                                                                                                                                                   
http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2011/12/06/sports/olympics/sports-us-olympics-rogge.html?_r=1&hp                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
International Business Times also reported on the meeting, with an article specifically on instructing the IOA to talk with the Indian athletes and that boycotting would \"hurt      
Indian sport.\"                                                                                                                                                                       
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/262133/20111206/boycotting-london-olympics-2012-hurt-indian-sport.htm                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 Telegraph UK: Two reports from Deighton's presentation at IOC meeting                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The UK Telegraph published two items by Jacqueline Magnay mentioning Dow's sponsorship and Bhopal:                                                                                   
 - The first was a report on the IOC's decision add Ireland to the Olympic torch relay route. This contained a brief mention of Dow as part of LOCOG's presentation to the IOC this  
week.                                                                                                                                                                                
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/olympics/8944065/London-2012-Olympics-torch-relay-to-visit-Ireland.html                                                                             
 - The second reported the IOC heard from LOCOG CEO Paul Deighton to expect opposition to Dow's sponsorship to be ongoing. Ken Livingstone's interest in the issue, the Coe effigy   
burning, IOA being pressured on the topic and today's statement by Indian athlete Gagan Narang are also noted.                                                                       
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/olympics/8944225/London-2012-Olympics-International-Olympic-Committee-braced-for-Dow-protests.html                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/9 UK Telegraph's Olympics diary blog included a summary of Thursday's blog post reporting LOCOG CEO Deighton told the IOC continued protest over Dow's sponsorship is expected.   
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/sport/shart/100022330/london-2012-olympics-diary-mcdonalds-fails-to-get-staff-into-games-spirit/                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Guardian: Dhingra, Gardiner welcomed IOA 'concern'; Commentary article cites BMA's Close                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The UK's Guardian reported both Rachna Dhingra and Barry Gardiner made statements about the IOA's message to the IOC. Dhingra said the NGOs asked for that action six months ago,    
and \"welcome it, but it needs to go further.\" Gardiner said the GoI and IOA \"have done the right thing by standing up to Dow's involvement.... LOCOG must realize that this issue    
will not go away, and the longer they leave the decision to kick out Dow the larger the protests will grow.\"                                                                         
No online article, full text available on request.                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The Guardian also published a commentary by Richard Williams criticizing the stadium wrap, Dow's sponsorship and quoting BMA activist Lorraine Close in describing contaminated      
water and surroundings in Bhopal. Readers are encouraged to sign Close's change.org petition asking Lord Coe to drop Dow's sponsorship.                                              
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2011/dec/05/london-olympics-dow-bhopal-legacy?newsfeed=true                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Tribune India: Sarangi - IOA, GoI communications \"token efforts\"                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Tribune India posted a lengthy article on the IOA's communication to IOC. Sarangi is cited, saying government effort is a \"token exchange of words and gestures\" and the GoI \"should 
categorically state that it will make no compromise on the matter of a corporation which is responsible for the poisoning and death of thousands of people.\"                         
The article ends with a section labeled \"The Dow Story,\" relating that UCC was an early investor in India, UCIL ownership of the Bhopal facility, and \"After the accident, UCC       
downplayed damages and diverted attention and liability on the local company to escape criminal and civil liability. Later, it absolved itself completely of all responsibility by   
merging with the $9.3-billion Dow Chemical, one of the world's largest chemical companies.\"                                                                                          
http://www.tribuneindia.com/2011/20111206/main7.htm                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Siaset: Aslam Sher Khan press event: wrote letter to S Gandhi, offered support to UK MPs                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
India's Siaset Daily posted a lengthy article by Pervez Bari about Aslam Sher Khan making statements to the press about writing to Sonia Gandhi, Barry Gardiner, Keith Vaz and Tessa 
Jowell about the Dow sponsorship. The letter to Gandhi, which was copied to \"all the members of the Congress Working Committee,\" called for IOA to make a formal protest to LOCOG.   
To the British MPs, Sher Khan offered his support and had a reply from Vaz. He called for Indian MPs to \"take up the issue,\" as have the UK MPs, and claimed he would \"not hesitate  
to don the (anti-corruption) role of Anna Hazare in getting proper justice to the victims and survivors..\" He also said he will bring up the Bhopal issue \"in a big way at the       
former Olympians meeting\" as part of the 12/15 IOA meeting.                                                                                                                          
 - PTI, ToI and UNI also reported more briefly from Sher Khan's press event.                                                                                                         
http://www.siasat.com/english/news/ex-olympian-aslam-sher-writes-sonia-dow-chemical-sponsorship-london-olympics                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/7 PTI, SportzPower: IOA to meet, discuss Dow sponsorship issues 12/9, 12/15                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported the IOA will meet on 12/9  to discuss the issues regarding Dow's Olympic sponsorship, according to IOA vice-president Tarlochan Singh. The article also noted the       
executive board and general body meeting will take place December 15, as widely reported. Tarlochan said, \"The matter has to be thoroughly discussed, we can't take a decision on    
our own. The sentiments of the people of Bhopal are also important.\" The article was picked up by multiple India outlets, including Economic Times, Times of India, IBNLive, India   
Today and Zee News.                                                                                                                                                                  
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/et-cetera/ioa-calls-meeting-to-discuss-dow-olympic-sponsorship-row/articleshow/11019537.cms                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
SportzPower confirmed the 12/9 meeting reported by PTI . SportzPower said the IOA \"has gone on a back foot\" as its secretary general Raja Randhir Singh is in Switzerland meeting    
with the IOC, and acting president V K Malhotra \"remaining silent,\" so vice president Tarlochan Singh has apparently taken the lead on the \"crisis.\" The article described the       
week's developments from Indian agencies and the IOC, and ended with \"Last learnt, the IOA will stick to its position on Indian participating in London Games, but the athletes in   
the committee, many of whom are from Bhopal, will not accept that.\"                                                                                                                  
http://www.sportzpower.com/?q=content/ioa-pushing-participating-london-games-athletes-commoners-oppose                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/9 Guardian blog: Recap of Olympics news included London borough politcs involving anti-Dow campaign                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
A Guardian blog post by Dave Hill recapped the GoI/IOA communication to IOC, and its response. He referred back to the 12/2 activist coalition press conference at the Olympic       
stadium and noted BMA said Dow is \"shifting\" responsibility for Bhopal to the Indian governments. Hill also quoted Ken Livingstone from the press conference saying if he is elected 
Mayor of London next May, \"he would be 'looking for a legal challenge to try and drop Dow Chemical' and in the meantime would be 'writing personally to Seb Coe to say I think this  
is a catastrophic error and it isn't going to go away.'\"                                                                                                                             
Hill mentioned the Newham council's support of the anti-Dow campaign, and that Tower Hamlets mayor Lutfur Rahman is also in favor of the campaign.  He referred readers to Ted       
Jeory's latest blog post about Rahman's support.                                                                                                                                     
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/davehillblog/2011/dec/08/dow-olympic-stadium-wrap-cross-party-opposition                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 Reuters, PTI: Indian athletes let Dow find \"redemption\" via Olympic sponsorship; will follow GoI lead on Dow issue                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Reuters reported India's first athlete to qualify for the London Olympics, marksman Gagan Narang, said Dow's Olympics sponsorship is an opportunity for the company to gain          
\"redemption\" and should be allowed. He agreed with IOC president Rogge that a boycott would only hurt the Indian athletes, and stated the athletes are to go to the Games as         
ambassadors for their country.                                                                                                                                                       
Pickups were not extensive, mainly Reuters and Yahoo! outlets.                                                                                                                       
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/08/olympics-india-boycott-idUSL3E7N83LW20111208                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported Indian tennis player Sania Mirza said she would follow the government's instructions on the issue of a boycott: \"As athletes we will go with what the country decides.\" 
Multiple pickups                                                                                                                                                                     
http://sports.in.msn.com/tennis/article.aspx?cp-documentid=5648177                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The UK Press Association posted a report on UK female cyclist Emma Pooley on her involvement in an Afghan human rights campaign. She was asked about \"the controversy surrounding    
Dow Chemical Company's involvement with London's showpiece Olympic stadium,\" and answered \"generally\" about \"almost all\" large multinational companies having \"a breach of ethics    
somewhere.\" The article then gave a description of the controversy issues. The piece was reposted on the Financial Mail's Women's Forum.                                             
http://www.fmwf.com/features/2011/12/olympic-athlete-calls-for-womens-rights-in-afghanistan/                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 Indian Express: ICJB to hold \"Bhopal Olympics\"                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Indian Express reported Rachna Dhingra stated the ICJB would do everything it could to hold a \"Bhopal Olympics\" with children from Bhopal, Vietnam, Nicaragua \"and other countries.\" 
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/Bhopal-may-defy-IOC-with-own--Olympics-/885241/                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Commentaries/editorials: Mid-Day Mumbai, Times of India, Bhopal Chronicle; Sri Lanka, UK media                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/4 Deccan Herald has posted an editorial titled \"Dow's stink,\" calling LOCOG's sponsorship award \"insenstive and in poor taste.\" A boycott by India is considered an option, but   
unfair to Indian athletes.                                                                                                                                                           
http://www.deccanherald.com/content/209367/dows-stink.html                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 Mid-Day Mumbai published a strong commentary by Ranjona Banerji on the GoI and Indian public's \"hypocrisy\" over the Bhopal gas tragedy. Banerji asked why Dow's Olympic         
sponsorship is \"so unbearable\" when Dow's presence in India is not, and cites the Jaipur foot camps and Habitat for Humanity. Banerji blamed the government and \"unconvincing\"       
politicians for not doing enough for the gas victims, and asked successive questions about why the victims have not received enough compensation, who is responsible for it, and     
suggested using \"bribes saved after Lokpal Bill is passed to fund the needed compensation.\" The column concluded the campaign to cancel Dow's Olympic sponsorship \"looks like one    
more way to create a lot of hot air amounting to precisely nothing substantial for the people of Bhopal.\"                                                                            
http://www.mid-day.com/news/2011/dec/071211-opinion-The-hypocrisy-of-the-Bhopal-tragedy.htm                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 Indian sports media SportzPower reported it has accessed the note from India's Ministry of External Affairs to the PM's Office regarding Dow's Olympic sponsorship and posted   
some excerpts.                                                                                                                                                                       
The report began with Rogge's statement to the IOA about talking with its athletes and acknowledging the emotional sensitivity of the Bhopal issue. SportzPower pragmatically noted  
\"Rogge's line of argument is only to be expected.\"                                                                                                                                   
The note excerpts were that Coe told the Indian mission in London he and LOCOG are satisfied with the Dow sponsorship decision \"and offered to make a presentation for the Mission   
on the issue. The Mayor of London has indicated he would like to know our thinking in this matter, give the importance of the relations between India and the United Kingdom.\"       
The note indicated the Mission was directed to \"seek presentation from [LOCOG] and share the presentation with the Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports.\"                            
SportzPower concluded the GoI was \"going through the proper channels\" but LOCOG's response was predictable, and asked if the GoI's actions were \"showing serious intent when the     
real intention is to buy time under the expectation that the protests will lose momentum over the coming months? More than likely.\"                                                  
http://www.sportzpower.com/?q=content/rogge-asks-ioa-settle-dow-row-indian-athletes-govt                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 Times of India published two editorial pieces with opposing viewpoints on the Olympic sponsorship issue.                                                                        
 - One called the sponsorship and the IOC's support of it morally offensive and in violation of the Olympic spirit.                                                                  
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Cannot-evade-moral-issues/articleshow/11022713.cms                                                                         
 - The other said talk of an Indian boycott \"is going a step too far\" and questioned whether it was \"truly advisable to hold sport ransom to a political and legal issue in this     
manner?\" Examples of winning Olympic performances in unlikely circumstances given included Jesse Owens' four gold medals in Nazi Berlin.                                             
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Sport-should-transcend-politics/articleshow/11022747.cms                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
A Times of India sports column writer found it \"curious\" the IOA had not objected to Dow's IOC partnership when it was announced in 2010. The inevitability of Dow working with all  
the National Olympic Committees before and during the London Games was \"of critical importance to India,\" and \"under such a scenario, India may even ask the IOC to reconsider its   
deal with Dow.\" The piece covered the Sports ministry's letter to the IOA about communicating with the IOC on the matter, and the IOC's response. The article ended by mentioning    
Lord Coe's assurance Dow \"was not involved in the gas disaster in Bhopal,\" and that he \"pooh-poohed\" the possibility of an Indian boycott.                                           
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/events-tournaments/london-olympics/Govt-asks-IOA-to-take-up-Dow-issue-with-IOC/articleshow/10998872.cms                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Bhopal Central Chronicle reported on the \"other\" change.org petition that was addressed to the IOA and intended for athletes to sign. The item has gathered 900 signatures of 1,000  
targeted. The Chronicle reporter claimed the petition surpassing 750 signatures made it a significant pressure on the IOA going into the Dec. 15 meeting.                            
http://www.centralchronicle.com/ioa-faces-new-pressure-to-boycott-dow-olympic-2012.html                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Sri Lanka Guardian posted a commentary about Dow risking its reputation and good will over the Olympics sponsorship. This included a description of DAS India being blacklisted.     
http://www.srilankaguardian.org/2011/12/dow-chemical-now-facing-image-issues-in.html                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
UK local media North West Times published a lengthy letter to the editor criticizing Lord Coe for the Dow sponsorship and claiming it would result in \"big protests and disrupt the  
Games,\" with the possibility of \"bringing Wembley and other venues to a standstill.\" The letter encouraged readers to email the Culture, Media and Sport commission \"asking for the  
decision to be reversed,\" and to sign Lorraine Close's change.org petition. No name was provided, full text is available on request.                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Bhopal Anniversary Media Summary                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/2 BBC and Reuters reported on the Bhopal anniversary protests and effigy burnings held Friday. Limited pickup of the Reuters story.                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/3 The ICJB's rail roko protest and resulting violence drew global coverage led by AP and AFP. AP issued an update to its original wire story, with more than 100 combined         
pickups; the AFP piece received about two dozen pickups.                                                                                                                             
Indian media reported heavily on the events, sending successive posts from the scene as the news developed. PTI, IBNS, UNI, Pioneer, DNA and broadcast news covered the event. PTI   
and Pioneer were most prolific in filing reports, and PTI was widely picked up by Indian and Asian media outlets.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/4 AP issued a follow-up report from Bhopal with reactions from activists and public figures. Fewer than 50 pickups were seen, spread across international outlets and a handful   
in the US, mainly broadcast outlets.                                                                                                                                                 
Indian media majors published in-house reporting on the violence aftermath, including the Hindu, Hindustan Times, Times of India, Daily News & Analysis (DNA) and Asian Age.         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/5-7 A variety of Indian media reported NGOs, public figures and agencies either called for or announced enquiry panels to investigate the rail roko violence.                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 Global media: Bhopal anniversary effigy burnings and protests                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Reuters issued an article on the campaign against Dow's Olympics sponsorship, the proposed boycott by Indian athletes, Malhotra's statement the IOA would not entertain a boycott    
vote, MP CM Chouhan's letter to India's Sports Minister, and the gas NGOs demands for more compensation.                                                                             
Few pickups.                                                                                                                                                                         
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/260538/20111202/dow-chemical-s-sponsorship-london-olympics-angers.htm                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
BBC posted a report on the protest and burning of effigies of Lord Coe and IOA president Malhotra, the gas NGOs demands for more compensation, and Dow's response to criticism of    
its sponsoring the Olympic stadium wrap.                                                                                                                                             
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-16001266                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/3 Global media: Rail roko violence                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Associated Press initially reported on the rail roko and the resulting violence. About 15,000 people were reported to have participated. Reporter Rafiq Maqbool cited ICJB's Rachna  
Dhingra saying the police \"charged the protesters with sticks\" (called 'lathi') and at least three people were hospitalized with injuries. Maqbool reported the protesters threw     
stones at the police and that several police vehicles were burned or damaged. He also cited Dhingra saying \"the government has undermined the [Bhopal gas] victims\" over             
compensation for the 1984 accident. The NGOs demand for $8.1 billion from Dow is mentioned, as well as the GoI's bid for $1.7 billion from Dow. Dow's position on the Bhopal issue   
is included briefly.                                                                                                                                                                 
An updated version of this article reported CM Chouhan agreed to \"back thier campaign and lobby the Prime Minister for his support\" and the rail roko was subsequently cancelled.    
Numerous US and international pickups, including the Wall Street Journal website, Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, Business Week and NPR websites.                          
http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_27th-anniversary-of-the-bhopal-gas-disaster-turns-violent_1620727                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Agence France Press reported Dhingra said the protest was \"peaceful agitation but the police used force against us in a bid to silence us.\" An MP official said the police \"were     
acting under a law prohibiting unlawful assembly.\"  Chouhan's call for India to boycottt the Olympics was included, as was a brief version of Dow's position statement on the Bhopal 
liabilities. Multiple pickups.                                                                                                                                                       
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hkyhWDqQ1mBqA8dlL7UHvQbxtgMw?docId=CNG.794d1157fe2364fc0e0dcd6a77edbd08.131                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
India Blooms News Service posted two items on the police response to the protest, quoting an activist saying shots may have been fired.                                              
http://www.indiablooms.com/NewsDetailsPage/2011/newsDetails031211g.php                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported Abdul Jabbar condemned the violence and called for the release of those who had been arrested.                                                                          
http://expressbuzz.com/nation/bhopal-gas-tragedy-violence-marks-anniversary/339807.html                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
UNI reported CM Chouhan said there will be in an inquiry into the day's violence.                                                                                                    
http://news.webindia123.com/news/Articles/India/20111203/1884050.html                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Pioneer posted several reports describing the events of the day, including:                                                                                                          
- Stone-throwers were \"youth\" taking cover in the \"maze of bylanes\" opening on to the area where the rail roko was held. It includes a listing of the ten people who were reported   
as hospitalized after the protest - seven were police or media.                                                                                                                      
http://dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25174-maze-of-bylanes-gave-stone-pelters-the-edge.html                                                                                 
 - Congress party leaders \"slammed\" the MP govt and police for the violence at the rail roko.                                                                                        
http://dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25176-bhuria-singh-slams-mp-govt-for-police-action-on-survivors.html                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/4 AP: Rail roko violence aftermath                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The AP issued a follow-up story by Rafiq Mabool reporting on the rail roko and the protesters' clash with police. Rachna Dhingra was cited as describing the confrontation, and      
decrying the government's \"betrayal [and] undermininng the victims.\" CM Chouhan's promise to support the gas NGO demands to PM Singh and the subsequent cancellation of the rail     
roko were mentioned. The previously-used content about the NGOs demanding $8.1 billion more in compensation from Dow was included, as was Dow's position on the Bhopal settlement.   
 The article endsed with the NGOs, \"a few officials\" and the 21 former Olympians opposing Dow's Olympic sponsorship.                                                                 
Several pickups in US regional media outlets and international media, primarily in Pakistan.                                                                                         
http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2011/dec/04/gas-leak-survivors-protest-settlement/                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/4 TwoCircles: Rail roko protest overview; 1/3/12 deadline for MP to submit \"correct\" data to SC                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
TwoCircles.net Muslim Indian media posted a long and detailed review of Saturday's protest, mashing together multiple media reports. While the writing gets unclear in a few places, 
it is a good overview of the entire event and has a few items not seen elsewhere                                                                                                     
 - NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo said the groups have set a deadline of Jan. 3 for CM Chouhan to submit \"correct figures before the Supreme Court or else the survivors would again   
stop trains.\"                                                                                                                                                                        
 - Chouhan told the activists they can have representatives there when he meets with PM Singh, and that a special court for the gas victims cases \"will be considered.\" He also      
promised a \"team of experts\" would assess damage to \"population and environment due to gas leak\" and compensation demands would be based on the findings.                            
http://twocircles.net/2011dec04/bopal_gas_tragedy_police_beats_survivors_train_blockade.html                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/5 PTI, DNA: 15 Rail roko arrests include gas NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The aftermath of Saturday's rail roko reported about 15 arrests were made.                                                                                                           
 -PTI reported \"around 70\" people were identified from videos as being involved in the stone throwing and will apparently be pursued and charged. Gas NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo   
is being targeted by police as \"identified on video.\"                                                                                                                                
http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_violence-on-bhopal-gas-tragedy-anniversary-15-arrested_1621669                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
 - DNA reported \"500\" unidentified persons have had charges registered by police for arson and stone throwing at the protest.                                                        
http://daily.bhaskar.com/article/MP-BHO-bhopal-gas-tragedy-cases-against-500-people-for-arson-2616125.html                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Pioneer: State responsible for rail violence                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Pioneer reported Congress Party Member of Parliament (Ujjain) Premchand Guddu filed a memorandum with the MP government saying the state is \"responsible for all that happened on    
Saturday.\" He said the police and state officials had plenty of prior notice the rail roko was planned.                                                                              
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25749-cong-mp-demands-high-level-probe-into-rail-roko-incident.html                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6-8 India media: MP, ICJB, MP HRC to hold enquiries into violence                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
IBNS reported the ICJB issued a press statement condemning the violence at the rail roko and stating they will perform their own enquiry into the matter, \"presided over by a        
retired judge of the High Court or Supreme Court.\" They have called again for the release of all 14 men still in police custody and said they will help survivors \"gather evidence   
and initiate formal proceedings against those responsible for the violence, including the police.\" The NGOs apologized to the media people who were injured. The article was not     
available for online access, full text available on request.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Several media items reported on press statements issued Tuesday about the rail roko violence in Bhopal.                                                                              
 - UNI, DNA, The Pioneer, Indian Express and Ummid reported on the ICJB press conference, citing Sarangi and Rashida Bee on claims the police initiated the confrontation, their     
intent to hold an independent inquiry, and calls for individuals to bring evidence from the incident. Sarangi said of gas NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo, if they had evidence to      
substantiate the charges against him, the group \"will ourselves walk him to the jail.\"                                                                                               
Ummid's report, by Pervez Bari, included content on the ICJB apologizing to the media persons who were injured or lost equipment and vehicles during the melee, and a listing of     
women attending the press conference who had been injured. These include Hazra Bee, Bano Bee, and \"Ms Rafat\" [of Children Against Dow-Carbide].                                      
UNI: http://www.ummid.com/news/2011/December/07.12.2011/bhopal_gas_victims_on_police.htm                                                                                             
Pioneer: http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25987-gas-victim-organisations-blame-police-admin-for-violence-on-anniversary-day.html                                    
Ummid: http://www.ummid.com/news/2011/December/07.12.2011/bhopal_gas_victims_on_police.htm                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
- PTI reported separately on state Congress party members president Kantilal Burhia and MP Preme Chand Guddu making statements about the police response to the rail roko. Burhia    
\"strongly condemned\" the police force, while Guddu sent a memo to the MP governor demanding a \"high level inquiry into the police action.\"  The memo explained the local law         
enforcement were forewarned of the protest and did not take precautionary measures.                                                                                                  
http://zeenews.india.com/news/madhya-pradesh/bhuria-condemns-police-action-on-gas-victims_745594.html                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
CNN-IBN reported the Madhya Pradesh Human Rights Commission criticized the MP government for the \"police brutality on protesting Bhopal gas victims\" and asked to be given a         
detailed report on the violence.                                                                                                                                                     
http://ibnlive.in.com/news/hrc-pulls-up-mp-govt-for-lathicharge-on-gas-victims/209115-3.html                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Pioneer: Jabbar - ICJB partly responsible for rail violence                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The Pioneer reported Abdul Jabbar and the BGPMUS said the ICJB NGOs are partly responsible for Saturday's violence. He criticized the state government for not fulfilling projects   
and programs it promised to the gas victims.                                                                                                                                         
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25751-organisations-divided-over-rail-roko-incident.html                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                   Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/9 ANI: Bhopal protest of police for rail roko violence calls for Chouhan to resign, threatens to 'ransack' his residence                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
ANI reported a protest was held in Bhopal by gas victims \"against police personnel\" for the rail roko violence. However, the group demonstrating is not reported to be associated    
with any of the gas NGOs. The protest was \"supported by\" the Congress party, and the group called for CM Chouhan's resignation. A spokesman also \"warned the state government of a   
similar backlash and threatened Chief Minister Chauhan with ransacking his house.\"                                                                                                   
http://www.newstrackindia.com/newsdetails/253966                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 ToI: Bhopal residents complain of police harassment on questioning over rail roko                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Times of India reported Bhopal residents of the Jehangirabad and Aishbagh locales are complaining of being harassed by police and questioned about the rail roko violence on Dec. 3. 
The Communist Party of India (Marxist) may hold a demonstration to protest the \"alleged police excesses\" on Dec. 3.                                                                  
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bhopal/Cops-harassing-us-for-Dec-3-protests/articleshow/11031304.cms                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/7 PTI: Abdul Jabbar wants special courts for gas victims, MP to submit 'correct' data to SC                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PTI reported BGPMUS convenor Abdul Jabbar again called for CM Chouhan to \"take a clear stand on the death toll and injuries\" data from the 1984 gas accident. Jabbar said Chouhan's  
letter to PM Singh is \"not enough\" and the state does not need any special dispensation to establish a special court to hear gas victims' cases.                                     
http://ibnlive.in.com/generalnewsfeed/news/come-clear-on-death-injury-figures-in-gas-tragedy-jabbar/922548.html                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/9 DNA: Chouhan calls for Rs 10 lakh in compensation for 10,000 more gas victims                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
DNA reported CM Chouhan has asked the GoI to pay Rs 10 lakhs to the families of another 10,047 persons whose deaths were attributable to the 1984 gas accident.                      
http://daily.bhaskar.com/article/MP-BHO-bhopal-gas-tragedy-cm-asks-for-rs-10-lakh-each-for-the-victims-2626677.html                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/4 Express on Sunday: Chingari Trust                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Express on Sunday Whitehall editor Ted Jeory reported from Bhopal on the Chingari Trust and juxtaposing its services and needs to the money being spent by Dow on the Olympic        
stadium wrap. Jeory included quotes from both Rashida Bee and Champi Devi Shukla, who deemed Dow \"'our enemy' because 'they should show some morality, clean the waste and take it   
back to America.'\"                                                                                                                                                                   
He said the BMA and other campaigners are \"glad of the renewed global attention brought by Lord Coe's decision to give Dow a clean bill of health,\" because the campaign against Dow 
had been \"losing momentum.\"                                                                                                                                                          
This piece has content that is may have been sourced from an InterPress Service piece dated Friday, which is available on request.                                                   
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/287679/-Bhopal-tragedy-was-like-a-dance-of-death-                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/5 Pioneer: Chingari Trust awards                                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Chingari Trust announced its annual Women Against Corporate Crime award, which went to \"two courageous women of the Lok Samiti in Mehndiganj near Varanasii.e. Urmila Vishwakarma    
and Urmila Patel. They are recognized for their fight against a multinational goliath i.e. Coca Cola along with the local Pollution Control Board, Ground Water Authority and Uttar  
Pradesh State Government swinging between the local vote-bank and a huge MNCs persuasive power.\"                                                                                     
http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25731-chingari-award-for-women-against-corporate-crime-distributed.html                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/8 Common Dreams: PANNA announced results of People's Tribunal - \"Big 6\" agrichem firms \"guilty\" of human rights violations                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
PANNA issued a press release announcing Permanent People's Tribunal found the \"Big 6\" agrichemical companies \"guilty\" of human rights violations. PANNA co-director Kathryn Gilje    
described the event, and the press piece listed several of the individuals who testified and each ones' topic.                                                                       
http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2011/12/07-17                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The Hindu had published two items on the PAN Permanent People's Tribunal while it was in session on Bangalore. Dow's primary connection to the PPT is the Bhopal issue.              
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/tp-karnataka/article2685948.ece                                                                                                     
- Endosulfan victims were the first to testify at the PPT.                                                                                                                           
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/article2687912.ece                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/4 BhopalNow website: first posting promotes Sambhavna, Chingari facilities                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Photojournalist Jack Laurenson announced a new website he calls BhopalNow to  aid the campaigns for the gas victims. The exact purpose of the site was not clear, other than he said 
he could not let Bhopal be simply another article he produced.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/6  Laurenson posted the first item on BhopalNow.org. The post is a \"comment piece\" by him and Lorraine Close, describing the Sambhavna Clnic and the Chingari Therapy Centre, the 
activist perception of Bhopal and Dow, and encouraging readers to sign Close's change.org petition addressed to Lord Coe. Full text attached.                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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12/6 Force Change petition addressed to Liveris to \"assume corporate responsibility\" and clean up Bhopal                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
A new petition about Bhopal is addressed to Andrew Liveris and calls for him/Dow to \"assume corporate responsibility for [and] clean up Bhopal, India's environment.\" The item is    
posted a site called Force Change and does not appear likely to attract attention. The poster is a UC-Berkeley graduate named Emmeline Sun. There is no clear connection to ICJB or  
AID activists, she has posted five petitions on topics ranging from affirmative action to \"police brutality against 'occupy' protesters.\"                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Bhopali film: Invitations to screenings; review; interview with Verma and Carlson                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/5 An email update was sent about the Bhopali film, announcing its availability online, with half of proceeds supporting \"Bhopal.org\" (the BMA), and listing the three screenings  
from 12/3 to 12/10 in Boston and NYC.                                                                                                                                                
 - A fellow filmmaker, Chris Portal, posted a review of the film on his blog. He attended the MIT screening on 12/2 and recommended the film. He noted IndiePix said it would have a 
theatrical release that has not happened yet.                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/9 Film blog MoviePass posted interviews with ICJB activist Sanjay Verma and Bhopali film maker Max Carlson prior to the documentary screening at the IndieScreen Theatre in       
Brooklyn on Thursday evening.                                                                                                                                                        
 - Verma described his gradual involvement with the activist campaign, stepping in where his brother Sunil had left off in the campaign, and encouraged viewers to \"tell other       
people about Bhopal.\"                                                                                                                                                                
 - Carlson referred to Verma as a \"big inspiration\" in producing the documentary.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Ted Jeory blog: Bhopal visit during anniversary events; Newham mayor supports anti-Dow campaign                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Express on Sunday Whitehall editor Ted Jeory updated his blog with two posts from his weekend in Bhopal.                                                                             
 - The first chronicles his personal experiences there, including time with UK MP Navin Shah,  Sarangi and Dhingra, and Abdul Jabbar. He also visited the Chingari Rehabilitation    
Center and attended the protests on Friday and Saturday. Multiple photos adorn the post.                                                                                             
He wrote that Coe should visit Bhopal \"and try to understand the anger first hand,\" and labeled Dow, Coe, Rogge and Hughes all \"morally deficient\" for their stance on the Bhopal    
issue.                                                                                                                                                                               
One item of interest - he said Sarangi had spent a large part of the weekend disguised \"to avoid the police.\"                                                                        
 - The second post is mainly his article from Sunday's Express about the work of the Chingari Trust.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/8 Ted Jeory's blog reposted Rahman's own blog post stating his position against Dow's sponsorship and the text of his letter to Lord Coe. Jeory and Rahman called for several     
other politicians to sign on to the letter, one of whom has done so. Those invited to sign were Josh Peck (Labour), Peter Golds (Conservative), Stephanie Eaton (Lib Dem - signed),  
and Fozol Miah (Respect).                                                                                                                                                            
Rahman wrote that he had the Dow issue on his council meeting agenda but ran out of time to address it.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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BMA website updates: Bhopali interview; Environmentalist article; Anniversary event reports                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The BMA website has several updates:                                                                                                                                                 
 - The Carlson section of the MoviePass blog post reported above                                                                                                                     
 - The full text of Environmentalist journal article \"Bhopal's Never Ending Disaster\" by Richard Ansell and Andrew Tinsley. The piece was published in October but not available in  
full at that time. The lengthy article reviews Bhopal's \"first' and \"second\" disasters, and the legal proceedings. The journal report ends with suggesting an \"alternative approach\" 
for site remediation \"independent of the court actions\": A full site investigation backed by the EU consisting of double-blind sampling by labs in India and Europe, desk studies by 
EU consultancies and \"eventual site clean-up work.\" An addendum has a personal report by Tinsley from an April 2011 visit to Bhopal and the former UCIL factory site. Full text      
available on request.                                                                                                                                                                
 - A report from \"Nagendra in Sambhavna\" on the 12/2-3 anniversary events in Bhopal. The post includes two local press clippings with photos from the Friday rally.                  
 - An updated post on the Scottish Friends of Bhopal memorial event and plaque dedication at Greyfriars Kirk.                                                                        
 - An anniversary poem by BMA member Jade De Vries.                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Blogs: Current.com; Toxics Watch; Hadida; sports blogs; UK Progressive; New Internationalist                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Current.com, the same venue that hosts Granholm's new TV program, has a post from \"JanforGore,\" titled \"Drop Dow as a partner for London 2012 olympic games.\" It has a link to       
Lorraine Close's change.org petition, a brief explanation of the activist rationale and three comments, also posted by JanforGore, with further media items on the Bhopal issue.     
JanforGore is Janet Moore, a water issues activist who has posted several times on Current.com posts Granholm's program, usually mentioning dioxin.                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                     
India's Toxics Watch Alliance blogger Gopal Krishna has added nine posts of Bhopal-related items since Friday, including:                                                            
 - The 12/6 Hindu article he retitled \"Dowlympics\"                                                                                                                                   
 - A letter he wrote to the Governor of Madhya Pradesh calling for a Truth Commission about the rail roko violence and use of the \"correct\" death and injury figures for the         
curative petition                                                                                                                                                                    
- India's Sports Ministry instructions to IOA on communicating the \"concern\" over Dow's sponsorship                                                                                  
- Protest on \"Bhopal Day\" against the Jaitapur Nuclear Project                                                                                                                       
- A theory that the release of Warren Anderson in 1984 and Adil Shahryar from US custody in 1985 were linked                                                                         
- Times of India article reporting on UCC Supreme Court filing regarding compensation already paid and Dow not being subject to SC jurisdiction                                      
- The rail roko violence                                                                                                                                                             
- A panel discussion in Pune on the Bhopal accident anniversary, about India's nuclear safety regulation and civil liability legislation                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 Sports blog Insidethegames posted a column by Independent on Sunday reporter Alan Hubbard, who criticized the increase in cost for the London Games opening ceremony. In        
exploring alternative uses for -L-40 million, he suggested using \"some of it to do the decent thing and pay for the  controversial 'wrap' shroud for the stadium and hand Dow        
Chemical back their -L-7 million ($11 million/?8 million), thus appeasing those both here and in India angered by what is considered an insult to the victims of the Bhopal          
disaster.\"                                                                                                                                                                           
http://www.insidethegames.biz/blogs/15107                                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/7 Insidethegames posted a report by Duncan Mackay about Rogge's reply to the IOA and statement in support of Dow's partnership.                                                   
http://www.insidethegames.biz/olympics/summer-olympics/2012/sponsors/15103-rogge-backs-dow-chemical-over-olympic-sponsorship                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/8 A blog titled \"UK Progressive\" posted an article criticizing Dow and the Olympic sponsorship as incongruent in terms of Dow's history. Author Theodora Filis also listed        
several questions pertaining to the Indian curative petitions regarding the criminal charges, environmental contamination and remediation, and Dow's \"lack of sustainable efforts in 
India, and the rest of the world.\"                                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/9 UK alternative media New Internationalist has a blog post by an Alan Hughes promoting the campaign against Dow's Olympic sponsorship. The piece begins with a description of    
the 1984 accident, the compensation discrepancies, MP CM Chouhan's recent support of the gas NGOs demands, and the IOA/IOC/LOCOG statements regarding the Games, Dow's sponsorship   
and discussion of an Indian boycott.                                                                                                                                                 
Hughes wrote of Dow: \"this is not the first time Dow Chemicals has been accused of playing dirty games,\" referring to napalm production and \"leaking poisonous plutonium in the US,  
for which they were sued,\" and \"multiple sites in the US\" he said are \"harmful and.dangerous owing to [Dow's] irresponsible activities.\"                                             
The recent Bhopal anniversary events in India were described as \"successful.\"                                                                                                        
Readers are asked to sign Lorraine Close's change.org petition. Full text available on request.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Message boards: Nayaran - ICJB action calls during rail violence; Games Monitor posts                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                     
12/5 ICJB activist Shweta Nayaran emailed to several related activist distribution lists a call for action to contact the MP Chief Minister's office with two demands:               
 - Set up of a \"Truth Commission with participation of survivor's organizations\" to investigate the violence at Saturday's rail roko.                                                
 - Immediate release of \"all detainees and suspension of all legal action\" pending a report from the above-mentioned commission.                                                     
Nayaran's email alleges the violence was \"triggered by the police,\" photos show police \"pelting stones,\" and the police are targeting Muslim youth from gas-affecte families as a    
means of \"settling religious scores.\" Some of the youth are reported to have been stripped and \"tortured in at least two police stations in Bhopal.\"                                 
The email also reported NGO leader Balkrishna Namdeo \"has been charged with murderous assault punishable by ten years of rigorous imprisonment.\"                                     
Full text available on request.                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
The London Games Monitor message board posted multiple media items on the Dow sponsorship topic through the week. A listing of the posts is available on request.                    
                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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Social media: Farah Edwards driving BMA social media                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Farah Edwards Khan appears to be a main driver of the BMA social media campaign, as she posted about 160 tweets in the first four days of December. The topics vary from requesting  
others to sign Lorraine Close's petition, to posting  links to media items to updates on the rail roko and information/conversation tweets with others. Recipients of interest       
include Lorraine Close and Indra Sinha.                                                                                                                                              
One tweet indicated Express on Sunday journalist Ted Jeory was in Bhopal for the anniversary.                                                                                        
Full text of the twitter list is available on request.                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                     
Social media activity on the Bhopal topics peaked on the weekend, with over 150 tweets on Sunday alone. That is not viral, but definitely indicative of an extended conversation.    
Full text available on request.                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                     
BMA's Twitter and Facebook feeds have consisted mainly on media links, recommendations for tweet recipients to sign Close's petition, and links to the Amnesty International UK and  
USA statements/action on the Dow sponsorship.                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                     
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  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                        Allis Information Management, Inc..                                                                          

   Please remove me from this mailing list.

    
","2011-12-10 00:55:40",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/396510_dow-confidential-bhopal-monitoring-report-friday-december-09.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com","attach/35/35407_Activist_info_12-03-11_AI_USA_to_USOC.pdf
attach/35/35408_Blog_12-05-11_AI_USA_action_call.pdf
attach/35/35411_Activist_info_12-05-11_B_Gardiner_site.pdf"
396520,"Re: STAFF - ICJB coordinators/board
","   Yeah the whole thing is weird.  Ortman was first working out of PANNA's
   office (and on PANNA's staff list) but apparently ICJB is still under
   PANNA's wing but PANNA no longer lists Ortman on staff.  If you want to
   send a donation to ICJB you still send it to PANNA c/o Ortman, though.

   On 12/23/2010 1:56 PM, Joseph de Feo wrote:

     Ortman has been the coordinator for years.  Rosenfeld is newer to the
     post -- probably this year.  Anyway, seems odd that ICJB needs two.

     On 12/23/2010 1:49 PM, Kathleen Morson wrote:

       Shana Ortman and Claire Rosenfeld are the US coordinators for ICJB.

       http://www.studentsforbhopal.org/node/57
       Advisory Board
       The Students for Bhopal Advisory Board is the national leadership body
       for SfB, representing the North American grassroots supporters of the
       International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal. Composed of
       approximately 7 volunteer members as well as the US staff member of
       ICJB, the Advisory Board coordinates the actions, projects, and
       initiatives undertaken by ICJB/SfB in North America.

       Who is on the Advisory Board?
       Shana Blustein Ortman
       U.S. Coordinator, International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal; SfB
       Advisory Board Member
       Shana has worked on social and environmental justice for the past 10
       years, and she is extremely moved and inspired by the struggle for
       Justice in Bhopal.  Before becoming the U.S. Coordinator for ICJB in
       April 2008, she spent nearly four years at ForestEthics, where she was
       the Lead Organizer on the Paper Campaign.  Her work focused on
       leadership development and creating grassroots organizing for a
       campaign that is transforming the catalog industry and protecting
       Endangered Forests. Most notably, in 2006, they won the Victoria's
       Dirty Secret campaign, a three year campaign that included over 750
       grassroots actions across North America.  Shana got her B.A. in
       Humanities, with a focus on Children's Literature and Social Change
       from New College of California in 2005.  She also spent two years
       studying Anthropology at Grinnell College, where she was very involved
       with student activism for environmental justice and human rights.   

       Claire Rosenfeld
       U.S. Coordinator, International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal; SfB
       Advisory Board Member

       Claire got involved with ICJB when she spent a week in July/2008 at
       the Sambhavna Trust Clinic in Bhopal.  She interned over summer with
       Shana at ICJB in San Francisco and organized the hugely successful
       curry cook-off fundraiser. Claire earned her B.A. in Cultural Studies
       and Foreign Languages (Spanish, Hindi) at the Evergreen State College
       in Olympia, WA. As part of the advisory board, she hopes to
       collaborate with groups committed to resolving the ongoing tragedy and
       provide her own insight about the direction of the campaign in North
       America. She brings her strong belief that corporate profit should
       never come at the price of human lives.

       Tony Millard
       SfB Advisory Board Member
       Tony graduated from the Northwestern University Medill School of
       Journalism in 2006, and he is currently working as a producer, writer
       and editor for an XM satellite medical radio station called ReachMD.
       In his first year on the AB, he helped to coordinate our extensive
       media campaign throughout the entire 2008 Padyatra, which included
       frequent press releases and outreach to news and information outlets
       across a variety of mediums throughout the United States.

       Having volunteered at the Sambhavna Clinic in Bhopal for most of a
       year spanning parts of 2006 and 2007, he hasa firm, first-hand
       perspective of the situation on the ground in Bhopal. From Sambhavna
       to the dilapidated factory, to Oriya Basti and Hamidia Hospital, to
       the oft-protested home of the chief minister of Madhya Pradesh in
       Shamla Hills, his knowledge of Bhopal is a benefit to our strategizing
       and planning actions here in the United States. This applies
       particularly from the standpoint of communicating to others the extent
       of the devastation across Bhopal, but more importantly, the spirit of
       the Bhopalis who continue to fight for Justice.

       Diana Katgara
       SfB Advisory Board Member
       Diana had the chance to spend some time in Bhopal and get to know a
       number of people there. These people who are strong, brillliant,
       loving, creative, inspirational, funny, musical, articulate,
       insightful, caring, full of hope and who will never ever give up
       fighting for justice for themselves and fighting to ensure that what
       has happened to Bhopalis doesn't happen to others have become an
       important part of her life. **The grave injustices that have happened
       and continue to happen in Bhopal are unacceptable. From December 3rd,
       1984 onwards Bhopalies have witnessed the horrors of losing their
       loved ones and continue to be lied to and cheated out of effective
       health care, clean water, safety against deadly poisons, the ability
       to earn, the right not to have to feed babies contaminated breast
       milk, just to name a few things. And yet, they continue to have hope
       and love and show care to eachother and those of us who ask if we can
       stand alongside them. They continue to have hope and trust that the
       world will not let this injustice continue.**Over the last year and a
       half she hasseen the creative and meaningful ways that the SfB has
       supported the Bhopal Campaign in the US and she thinks it would be
       great to bring some of that over to Canada.

       Yogesh Simmhan
       SfB Advisory Board Member
       Yogesh brings his passion for justice to the Advisory Board--he hopes
       to improve the lives of Bhopalis, and fight corporate greed and
       government apathy. Co-founder of AID at the Indiana University,
       Bloomington, Yogesh organized all Bhopal-related events at his
       university from 2003-2007 including vigils, protests, panel
       discussions with Ryan Bodyani and Rajan Sharma, and a Bhopal photo
       exhibit. Additionally, he has worked with Amnesty International in
       picketing a talk by Dow CEO Andrew Liveris in Indianapolis.   In 2006
       he helped host the Students for Bhopal conference in Bloomington.
       Yogesh has experience in letter writing, media management, and event
       organizing. He sees the approaching 25th anniversary of the gas
       tragedy as an important opportunity: \"The looming 25th  anniversary is
       a crucial juncture for our campaign and SfB needs all the support
       possible to mobilize across the US. This is the time for everyone
       associated with the campaign to stand up and be counted, and I'm
       answering this call.\"

       Ellen Shifrin
       SFB Advisory Board Member
       A former professor and administer, Ellen has strong communication and
       organizational skills.   Her involvement with the campaign for justice
       in Bhopal began in 2008, but she was involved with Amnesty
       International for many years.   She has been invited to table at the
       UN Association of Canada, Toronto event on Water and the AI
       Business&Human Rights conference, The Case for Water as a Human
       Right.   Having traveled to the subcontinent eight times, Ellen is
       looking forward to combining her deep-rooted passions for human rights
       and India.
       Why do you believe in justice for Bhopal?
       \"Bhopal serves not only as a situation in itself, but also as a model
       for people in other places fighting the same type of violations. There
       are so many levels on which to work for justice in Bhopal - human and
       environmental rights, politics, economics, and the human spirit. So
       because Bhopal will always be with us in one way or another, because
       the fight of the gas and water-affected people is wholly non-violent,
       because the spirit of the survivors is so strong--all these are
       reasons why I want to be part of the Advisory Board, why I want to be
       more involved, and why I feel it's such an important cause to be
       whole-heartedly committed to.\"

        

        

        

       Leonid Chindelevitch
       SFB Advisory Board Member

       After being involved with the Bhopal campaign for 3 years at the local
       level and gained experience in activities ranging from making banners
       and folding my body in the shape of various letters to preparing
       budget requests and coordinating the chapter's activities, Leonid has
       taken the next step of joining the campaign's Advisory Board. He
       expects to make significant contribution to SfB by organizing
       fundraising events, recruiting new members to the campaign and
       contacting the media. In addition, he hopes to bring new insights into
       campaign strategies on the 25th anniversary of the Bhopal disaster.

        

       Interested in joining the Advisory Board?
       In the fall there are Advisory Board nominations for positions that
       last for one year.  Occasionally there are openings during other parts
       of the year.  Email shana@panna.org to learn more.

        

        

       Past Members of the Advisory Board
       Pragya Bhagat (2007-09)

       Association for India's Development, Austin

       Aqueue Freechild (2004-2009)

       US Strategy Coordinator, ICJB

       Daniel Yeow (2007-08)

       Amnesty International, Columbia University

       Raghav Kaushik (2006-2007)

       Ryan Bodyani (2004-2007)

       Student Coordinator, ICJB
","2010-12-23 20:01:59",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/396520_re-staff-icjb-coordinators-board-.html","morson@stratfor.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com,pubpolblog.post@blogger.com",""
396636,"Bhopal update 12-08-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Reuters reported India's first athlete to qualify for the London Olympics,
   marksman Gagan Narang, said Dow's Olympics sponsorship is an opportunity
   for the company to gain \"redemption\" and should be allowed. He agreed with
   IOC president Rogge that a boycott would only hurt the Indian athletes,
   and stated the athletes are to go to the Games as ambassadors for their
   country.

   Pickups are not extensive, mainly Reuters and Yahoo! outlets - UK &
   Ireland, Africa, Singapore, SBS, World News Australia, Eurosport, Yahoo!
   Sports, and Yahoo! Xtra blogs.

   http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/08/olympics-india-boycott-idUSL3E7N83LW20111208

   SportzPower reported the IOA plans to meet on Friday to discuss \"all the
   issues\" of Dow's Olympic sponsorship, and Rogge's recommendation to that
   body.

   This is the only media to confirm the Dec. 9 meeting reported by PTI
   earlier this week. SportzPower said the IOA \"has gone on a back foot\" as
   its secretary general Raja Randhir Singh is in Switzerland meeting with
   the IOC, and acting president V K Malhotra \"remaining silent,\" so vice
   president Tarlochan Singh has apparently taken the lead on the \"crisis.\"
   The article described the week's developments from Indian agencies and the
   IOC, and ended with \"Last learnt, the IOA will stick to its position on
   Indian participating in London Games, but the athletes in the committee,
   many of whom are from Bhopal, will not accept that.\"

   http://www.sportzpower.com/?q=content/ioa-pushing-participating-london-games-athletes-commoners-oppose

   PTI reported Indian tennis player Sania Mirza said she would follow the
   government's instructions on the issue of a boycott: \"As athletes we will
   go with what the country decides.\" Picked up by MSN India, Pioneer,
   Siaset, Rediff, Express India, Sify, and I4U, a Delaware-based media
   outlet.

   http://sports.in.msn.com/tennis/article.aspx?cp-documentid=5648177

   Bhopal Central Chronicle reported on the \"other\" change.org petition that
   was addressed to the IOA and intended for athletes to sign. The item has
   gathered 900 signatures of 1,000 targeted. The Chronicle reporter claimed
   the petition surpassing 750 signatures made it a significant pressure on
   the IOA going into the Dec. 15 meeting.

   http://www.centralchronicle.com/ioa-faces-new-pressure-to-boycott-dow-olympic-2012.html

   UK local media North West Times published a lengthy letter to the editor
   criticizing Lord Coe for the Dow sponsorship and claiming it would result
   in \"big protests and disrupt the Games,\" with the possibility of \"bringing
   Wembley and other venues to a standstill.\" The letter encouraged readers
   to email the Culture, Media and Sport commission \"asking for the decision
   to be reversed,\" and to sign Lorraine Close's change.org petition. No name
   was provided, full text is available on request.

   Indian Express reported on Rachna Dhingra stating the ICJB will do
   everything it can to hold a \"Bhopal Olympics\" with children from Bhopal,
   Vietnam, Nicaragua \"and other countries.\"

   http://www.indianexpress.com/news/Bhopal-may-defy-IOC-with-own--Olympics-/885241/

    

   Sri Lanka  Guardian posted a commentary about Dow risking its reputation
   and good will over the Olympics sponsorship. This included a description
   of DAS India being blacklisted.

   http://www.srilankaguardian.org/2011/12/dow-chemical-now-facing-image-issues-in.html

   Times of India reported Bhopal residents of the Jehangirabad and Aishbagh
   locales are complaining of being harassed by police and questioned about
   the rail roko violence on Dec. 3. The Communist Party of India (Marxist)
   may hold a demonstration to protest the \"alleged police excesses\" on Dec.
   3.

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bhopal/Cops-harassing-us-for-Dec-3-protests/articleshow/11031304.cms

   Times of India also reported on the MP Human Rights Commission calling for
   an explanation from the Bhopal district collector and the senior police
   superintendant about Saturday's violence.  A dozen questions posed by the
   HRC regarding details of the incident were included in the article.

   http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2011-12-07/indore/30486428_1_rail-roko-gas-shells-police-force

   PANNA issued a press release announcing Permanent People's Tribunal found
   the \"Big 6\" agrichemical companies \"guilty\" of human rights violations.
   PANNA co-director Kathryn Gilje described the event, and the press piece
   listed several of the individuals who testified and each ones' topic.

   http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2011/12/07-17

    The print editions had six instances of the PTI story announcing the
   IOA's intent to discuss Dow's Olympic sponsorship at the next IOA
   meeting.  All were in the Sports sections:

   Hindustan Times - New Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Chandigarh, all on p 15
   or 16, all located below the fold on the right hand side

   Times of India's Mumbai edition had \"snapshot\" version of the article on p
   25 in the top right corner

   Asian Age's New Delhi edition had the \"brief\" version in the top left
   corner.

   Times of India's Mumbai edition also included the two point-counterpoint
   editorials on the sponsorship that were reported on Wednesday.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-12-08 18:39:55",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/396636_bhopal-update-12-08-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
397199,"Bhopal update - 02-15-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The petition by Max Carlson now has 276 signatures.

   Becky Moss posted on the BMA website the Focus For Humanity press release
   from 2/11 announcing Alex Massi's NGO Assignment Fellowship to fund his
   partnership with BMA.

   On Twitter:

   -       Becky Moss has posted four tweets this month. The first two were
   on the protests in Egypt, the last two are links to media on Bhopal item:
   HT on the Samar Jodha photo exhibit and India Today on the ICJB press
   release about the BHMRC drug trials

   -       The Yes Men tweeted about the US Chamber of Commerce \"plotting
   forged emails, documents to trick (AND smear) opponents. [see media item
   below]

   -       MIC activist Nancy Swan tweeted three media links on the suit
   against Bayer CropScience on the MIC restart

   In the media:

   -       Indian Express reported former CBI official BR Lall wrote in his
   book \"Free the CBI - Power Games in Bhopal and Other Cases\" that Law
   Minister V Moily \"blindly\" accused and \"punished\" people who \"said
   something against him or...against his master.\" The article ended with the
   Bhopal content previously reported on the book, that the GoI's settlement
   with Union Carbide was a \"sellout.\"

   http://www.indianexpress.com/news/cbi-officer-who-probed-bhopal-gas-leak-hits-back-at-moily/750131/

   -       Associated Press reported an Ecuadorean court found Chevron guilty
   of environmental damage and imposed an $8.6 billion fine. The Bhopal gas
   leak and the BP oil spill are cited as other \"major environmental damage
   payments.\" As usual with AP items, there have been more than 300 pickups.

   http://news.findlaw.com/ap_stories/f/1310/02-14-2011/20110214172000_08.html

   -       Detroit News published an article on Andrew Liveris' access to the
   Obama White House and \"reaping benefits\" from the relationship: i.e. the
   Dow Kokkam battery business. The activists will likely take exception to
   the report; expect at the least derisive posts on social media feeds.

   http://www.detnews.com/article/20110215/BIZ/102150332/1001

   Institute, WV

   -       Charleston Examiner reported a clarification of Judge Goodwin's
   injunction against Bayer producing MIC at the Institute facility. The
   company can work on \"reconfiguring\" the MIC plant, but not actually
   produce the chemical.

   http://www.examiner.com/environmental-news-in-charleston/federal-judge-explains-scope-of-restraining-order-on-bayer-s-production-of-mic

   -       Charleston Gazette reported on Bayer's work on the MIC plant and
   related training procedures. Both of these pieces referred to Bhopal in
   the context of the lawsuit against Bayer.

   http://wvgazettemail.com/News/201102141454

   -       Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) deemed the 1984 Bhopal
   gas tragedy as the \"Worst industrial accident\" in a list of the \"worst
   eco-catastrophes of all time.\" Greenpeace Australia Pacific campaigner
   Steve Campbell said Bhopal \"is a stark reminder that close scrutiny of
   corporations is critical...\" The Bhopal entry said UCC \"got away with
   paying just $470 million\" in compensation.

   http://www.abc.net.au/environment/articles/2011/02/15/3135546.htm

   -       Left online media Global Post reported on India whistleblowers
   being killed who have used documents obtained via the Right To Information
   (RTI) act to reveal corruption in the country. A 2010 photo with the
   article shows Bhopal campaigners with RTI requests about the Nuclear
   Liability Bill.

   http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/india/110214/right-to-information-law-corruption

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-02-15 17:57:22",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/397199_bhopal-update-02-15-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398032,"Bhopal update - 10-25-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Amnesty press release objecting to Dow's Olympic sponsorship has had
   at least a dozen pickups in US, Canada, India and global media, but
   apparently not by the major wire services. The piece that was reported on
   Monday evening was seen via the following websites: States News Service,
   Common Dreams, PTI, Daily Bhaskar, allvoices, Canada Views, Yuba Net,
   Management (Netherlands), Tolerance.ca, Times of India, MSN India,
   Economic Times, Indian Express, and Business Standard.

   http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2011/10/24-5

   IANS reported the Bhopal NGOs issued a press release of their own on the
   Olympics sponsorship topic. Rachna Dhingra complained about India's Prime
   Minister and the Indian Olympic Association (IOA) not writing to the LOCOG
   to protest Dow's sponsorship. IOA acting president Vijay Kumar Malhotra
   had said he would write a letter, but has not. The gas NGOs have written
   to PM Singh asking him to write to the LOCOG, which he has not done. The
   NGOs said they will themselves write directly to Lord Coe on the matter.
   Dhingra mentioned the Amnesty letter to Coe.

   This piece has had about 10 pickups, all in Indian media except for Yahoo!
   News. Pickups include India Gazette, Yahoo, allvoices, Daji World, Kerala
   Next, WebIndia123, Indians in Thailand, Mangalorean, NewsOne, and
   TwoCircles.net.

   Full text of the press release does not appear to be available at this
   time.

   http://story.indiagazette.com/index.php/ct/9/cid/701ee96610c884a6/id/200419580/cs/1/ht/Bhopal%20gas%20victims%20slam%20Dow%20sponsoring%20London%20Olympics/

   Daily News & Analysis published a print article on the ICJB press release,
   which is very similar to the IANS account. The article appeared in the DNA
   Indore edition on p5 in the top left corner.

   India's Telegraph reported a 33-year-old woman is now the \"head of the
   Bhopal royals' religious endowments.\" Saba Ali Khan said she \"wanted to
   visit some Bhopal gas survivors\" on a recent visit to the city, but
   \"circumstances forced her to cancel the trip.\" The circumstances had to do
   with the government razing \"a few homes in an unauthorized colony at Arif
   Nagar, which has dwellings of gas survivors.\" Full text available on
   request.

   In Spain, Eldiariomontanes published an article about the Yes Men's pranks
   that does not appear to be favorable to the activists. The BBC/Bhopal hoax
   is mentioned.

   Spanish language: 
   http://www.eldiariomontanes.es/v/20111025/sociedad/destacados/acidas-travesuras-20111025.html

   The activist report will follow shortly.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-10-25 17:00:53",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398032_bhopal-update-10-25-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398088,"Yes Men monitoring - 02-04-11
","   Yes Man Andy Bichlbaum will appear on Thursday, Feb. 10 as a \"discussant\"
   at a session of the College Arts Association Conference in New York City.
   The session on \"The Art of Pranks\" will be held at 9:30 a.m. in the Nassau
   Suite of the Hilton New York.

   http://conference.collegeart.org/2011/sessions/sessions.php?period=2011-02-10

   Bichlbaum was also recently interviewed for PBS program MediaShift by
   fellow Parsons The New School for Design faculty member Mark Hannah. The
   topic of was \"the ethics of WikiLeaks.\" Bichlbaum is a supporter of Mark
   Assange's work, saying WikiLeaks is \"the manifestation of the promise of
   the Internet: To bring about more democracy.\" Hannah differed with
   Bichlbaum, concluding that Assange's intent is to be in the spotlight
   himself, where the Yes Men \"Men are happy to make a spectacle of
   themselves in order to bring public attention to corporate exploitation
   and malfeasance.\"

   http://www.pbs.org/mediashift/2011/02/the-yes-mens-bichlbaum-discusses-ethics-of-wikileaks033.html

   Yes Men Fix The World Screenings have been added to the calendar:

   -       Sat, Feb. 5 in Fayetteville, NC at the Cameo Art House Theatre.
   Sponsored by Sustainable Sandhills Promotions, a post-film discussion be
   held.

   -       Tues, Feb. 8 in Lethbridge, AB at Galilleo's Lounge, Student Union
   Building, Univ. of Lethbridge. Sponsored by Cinema Politica.

   -       Thurs, Mar. 10 in Toronto, ONT at the National Film Board, 150
   John St. Sponsored by the Elementary Teachers of Toronto Political Acion
   Committee. The event speaker is Steve Shallhorn, Exec. Dir. Of Labour
   Education Centre, who \"has worked across the world with Greenpeace and has
   a long history of community involvement in Toronto.\"

   -       Mon., Mar. 14 in Albuquerque, NM at the Univ. of NM's SUB Theater
   Room 1003. Sponsored by the People Before Profit film series. Post-film
   discussions during the series are led by professors and graduate students.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-02-04 20:25:02",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398088_yes-men-monitoring-02-04-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398199,"Bhopal update - 11-02-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   PTI reported this morning the Bhopal NGO BGPMUS led by Abdul Jabbar wrote
   to PM Singh and \"demanded that the government must demand that the British
   Government and the London Olympic Committee to reject DOW Chemicals
   sponsorship.\" The NGO expanded on their demand, saying if the sponsorship
   is not dropped, India should boycott the Games altogether.

   http://zeenews.india.com/sports/others/india-must-boycott-london-games-if-dow-sponsors-gas-victims_731669.html

   Indian Express and Asian Age reported the Central Information Commission
   has gotten involved in RTI requests from Rachna Dhingra. The hospital had
   denied her document requests, saying it \"was run by an autonomous trust
   created by the Supreme Court of India.\" The CIC has now ordered the
   BMHRC's director to appoint \"a public information officer and an appellate
   authority\" by the end of this week, and fulfill Dhingra's requests by Dec.
   5.

   The articles have only appeared in the print editions at this time. Full
   text available on request.

   Oklahoma State University student media The Daily O'Collegian has a
   commentary by a Freshman in Liberal Studies who cited the Bhopal gas
   accident and Warren Anderson. The commentary is a criticism of capitalism
   and globalization in general.

   http://www.ocolly.com/global-economy-spreads-endemic-global-suffering-1.2678666

   From the activist resources:

   -       A new BMA Facebook page reported a BMA representative attended the
   Scottish Green Party Conference 2011. The BMA rep was not identified.

   -       A new BMA Twitter post reported a new video was posted on the
   group's YouTube channel. The item is 13 minutes long, had only been viewed
   6 times and did not successfully load for viewing.

   -       An Olympics blog titled Playthegame.org posted The Hindu's article
   on the Amnesty Int'l letter to LOCOG objecting to the stadium wrap
   sponsorship. According to its website, \"Play the Game aims to strengthen
   the basic ethical values of sport and encourage democracy, transparency
   and freedom of  expression in world sport. Play the Game is an independent
   institution funded by the Danish Ministry of Culture, the Danish
   Gymnastics and Sports Associations (DGI) and the Danish Federation of
   Company Sports (DFIF).\"

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-02 16:34:06",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398199_bhopal-update-11-02-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398228,"Yes Men monitoring 02-11-11
","   2/6 The UK's Guardian published an article titled \"Ethical pioneers change
   the way we live\" that included Yes Men Andy Bichlbaum and MIke
   Bonanno among the \"pioneers.\" The article cited the Bhopal/BBC hoax in
   introducing the pair. The following several paragraphs discussed the Yes
   Lab concept of teaching direct media action and described the Chevron \"We
   Agree\" hoax campaign. Bonanno said the Yes Lab network numbers about
   100,000 who are \"chomping at the bit to do something themselves.\"

   Several left and online media outlets have reposted the article.

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/feb/06/ethical-living-martha-lane-fox%20http://fb.me/DpfAGa0v

   -       Colin Toogood tweeted a link to the article and posted the link on
   the BMA's Facebook page.

   Western Canada arts/activist magazine Art+Threat republished a review of
   The Yes Men Fix the World that had appeared originally in Nov. 2010 in
   Montreal's Concordia College newspaper The Concordian.

   http://artthreat.net/2011/02/yes-men-fix-the-world-review/

   Best regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-02-11 19:57:38",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398228_yes-men-monitoring-02-11-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398561,"Bhopal update - 11-16-11 Activist
","   Scot, Tomm,

   BMA is actively sending tweets urging recipients to \"Vote to dump Dow\" on
   the Guardian website poll asking \"Should Olympic chiefs dump Dow?\" More
   than 50 messages have been sent in the past few hours.

   The voting results are not visible until after the poll closes, but the
   page has been recommended 367 times so far.

   Three comments have also been posted, all critical of Dow. One of the
   comments is from Pesticide Action Network UK (PAN-UK), which named EDF as
   another Olympic sponsor considered \"dodgy.\"

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/poll/2011/nov/15/olympics-2012-dow?fb=native

   Rachna Dhingra and Tim Edwards each emailed the poll URL to the
   \"Remember-Bhopal\" distribution list and encouraged recipients to vote
   \"Yes.\"

   Edwards also emailed 8 URLs for a \"selection of UK coverage\" on Tuesday.

   The ICJB website, Bhopal.net, front page has undergone a partial
   transition, with a new image of a Bhopal torch light rally and a
   reorganization of the information on the page. The site's interior pages
   do not appear to have changed. A snapshot of the new layout is attached.

   The Games Monitor watchdog blog and message board posted Tuesday's BMA
   press announcement and Times of India's report on Coe's hearing testimony
   on the Dow sponsorship.

   Four new screenings of the Bhopali film have been announced from Nov. 30
   to Dec. 2. The events are posted on the film's Facebook page.

   -       11/30 Writer and BMA co-founder Indra Sinha will (host/present?)
   the film screening at the Frontline Club in London at 6:30 p.m.

   -       12/1 The Indie Screen in Brooklyn, NY

   -       12/1 Pittsburgh University, presented by AID Pittsburgh at 7 pm.

   -       12/2 Amnesty International Film Festival, Bloor Street United
   Church in Toronto, Ontario at 11 a.m.

   Also, there is a new AID chapter at George Washington University in
   Washington, D.C. No details have been released about the group, other than
   it was founded \"with the help of a few AID JHU (Johns Hopkins Univ)
   students.\"

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-16 21:12:36",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398561_bhopal-update-11-16-11-activist-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
398705,"Bhopal update - 036-14-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Colin Toogood posted on the BMA's Facebook and Twitter pages that BMA will
   do a talk on Wed. at 3p.m. for the Student International Development
   Society at the Univ. of Sussex. He asked the Brighton-area networks to
   re-post the event announcement.

   The only media to report at this time is an India participant media piece
   from The Ground Report complaining about corruption at the ministerial
   levels of government. This piece by a Proloy Bagchi invoked Ram
   Jethalmani's allegation last summer that the Congress party \"received
   payments from Union Carbide...after the Bhopal gas tragedy\" and added the
   public outrage against the UCIL criminal case convictions as evidence of
   \"the collusive arrangement between the then Union Government and UCC.\"

   http://www.groundreport.com/Politics/Of-venal-ministers-and-their-corrupt-parties/2936521

   As through the weekend, there are pieces on India's nuclear power debate
   in light of the Japan disaster that also cite the Bhopal gas tragedy.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-03-14 16:13:14",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/398705_bhopal-update-036-14-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
399265,"New video on climate change and hydropower
","   Dear CLIMATE-L,

   International Rivers has created a state-of-the-art Google Earth 3-D tour
   and video narrated by Nigerian activist Nnimmo Bassey, Chair of Friends of
   the Earth International and winner of the prestigious Right Livelihood
   Award. The production was launched yesterday at COP17 in Durban.

   The tour illustrates how melting glaciers in the Himalayas may lead to
   higher flood and safety risks for communities living downstream of dams.
   The tour plunges the viewer deep inside one of Brazil's dirtiest
   reservoirs, at the Tucurui Dam, to visualize how rotting organic material
   creates methane gas, which bubbles up from dam reservoirs to emit
   greenhouse gases in the tropics. The tour visualizes what smaller,
   decentralized projects would look like that could more efficiently
   eradicate energy poverty in Africa than large dams, while also reducing
   the economic risks of drought-crippled dams.

   To access the video on the International Rivers website, you may click
   here: http://www.internationalrivers.org/en/google-earth-climate

   Thank you,
   Zachary

   --
   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
   Zachary Hurwitz
   Policy Program Coordinator
   + 1 510 848 1155 x313 / skype: zacharyhurwitz
   Fax: +1 510 848 1008
   zachary@internationalrivers.org
   www.internationalrivers.org
   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
   Follow us: Blog / Facebook / Twitter

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","2011-11-29 19:39:40",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/399265_new-video-on-climate-change-and-hydropower-.html","zachary@internationalrivers.org","","climate-l@lists.iisd.ca",""
399501,"BHOPAL - ICJB Annual conference article
","   For some reason the article cuts off, but good to know Gary Cohen went to
   this year's ICJB meeting. Wasn't he away from this for a few years?

   http://www.lokvani.com/lokvani/article.php?article_id=6832
    

   International Campaign For Justice In Bhopal Hosts Annual Conference  
   Press release
   10/13/2010

   Students and Professionals Concerned for Bhopal Meet in Cambridge, MA
   Cambridge-The International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal (ICJB) hosted
   its 6th Annual North American Conference this past weekend to discuss
   ongoing health and environmental issues in Bhopal, India.
   On December 3, 1984 a gas leak from Union Carbide India Limited, a
   U.S.-owned chemical manufacturing site, devastated the central Indian city
   of Bhopal. To this day acute and chronic toxic contamination from the
   disaster has left 25,000 dead, and over 500,000 affected. Dow Chemical
   Corporation (Midland, MI), who acquired Union Carbide in 2001, refuses to
   clean up the abandoned pesticide plant, which has caused a growing
   environmental and public health crisis.
   30 concerned activists from throughout the U.S., and a couple from Europe,
   met on MIT's campus to learn about the Bhopal disaster from field experts.
   They now aim to mobilize their own community members on the human rights
   issue.
   Conference organizers Shana Ortman (San Francisco), Claire Rosenfeld
   (Olympia, WA), and Leonid Chindelevitch (Cambridge, MA) warn that \"we all
   live in Bhopal.\" Keynote speaker Gary Cohen, director of the Environmental
   Health Fund, echoed this reality when he said, \"the same chemicals are in
   our veins.\" In other words, toxic contamination occurs on a smaller scale
   all over the world and even in our own communities.
   Only 10% of Bhopalis have access to uncontaminated water; toxins from the
   pesticide plant are spreading into the city's water table, causing
   cancers, chronic diseases, and birth defects. ICJB would like the Obama
   administration
","2010-12-23 20:19:23",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/399501_bhopal-icjb-annual-conference-article-.html","morson@stratfor.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com,morson@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com,pubpolblog.post@blogger.com",""
400961,"FW: Failure of Stratfor-Stratcap deal
","   Don,

    

   Let's talk before I respond to Shea.  Give me a call at your convenience. 

    

   Best,

    

   Steve

    

    

    

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

   In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
   given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
   used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
   tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
   party any transaction or matter addressed herein.

    

                             

   This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
   belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
   intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
   are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
   the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
   have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
   return e-mail, then delete the original message.

    

   From: Shea Morenz [mailto:shea.morenz@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Monday, July 25, 2011 9:09 AM
   To: Don Kuykendall
   Cc: Feldhaus, Stephen; George Friedman; bherzog@willkie.com
   Subject: Re: Failure of Stratfor-Stratcap deal

    

   Don: 10:30am it is

    

   Steve/Bruce: pls send a clear list of any outstanding items at this point
   ASAP. This is not the only issue outstanding.

    

   Thx

   ---------------------

   Shea B. Morenz

   713-410-9719

   shea@morenzfamily.com

    

    

   Sent from my iPhone

   On Jul 25, 2011, at 7:19 AM, Don Kuykendall <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   wrote:

     How about 10:30 or 1:30, which ever is best for you.  I have a lunch and
     a 3:30.

     Sent from my iPad

     On Jul 25, 2011, at 6:50 AM, Shea Morenz <shea.morenz@stratfor.com>
     wrote:

       Don: what time is best for you today. Also, where are we re: the
       Stratcap Man Co doc?

       ---------------------

       Shea B. Morenz

       713-410-9719

       shea@morenzfamily.com

        

        

       Sent from my iPhone

       On Jul 23, 2011, at 11:41 PM, Don Kuykendall <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
       wrote:

         All is fine.  Shea and I are getting together Monday to work things
         out.  We blamed everything on the lawyers.  The result will be a
         frustrating StratCap and Service agreement that you and Bruce will
         vomit over.  So be it.  George, Shea and I are on the same wave
         length and are willing to have loose ends in the contract to get the
         business deal done.  The three of us have an understanding that goes
         beyond whatnots in the future that might happen.  If we can't trust
         each other, then things are going to fail regardless what the
         contract reads.  StratCap and STRATFOR are the same investment to
         Shea, George and me.  That's the way we move forward.  Do not spend
         time, you neither Bruce, on the service agreement until you hear
         from Shea or me.  

         Don

          

         Sent from my iPhone

         On Jul 23, 2011, at 1:13 PM, \"Feldhaus, Stephen\"
         <sf@feldhauslaw.com> wrote:

           Thanks, George.  I am glad you have gotten into the mix.  Life is
           too short for us to do this deal if it is going to involve the
           type of dealings that we have had with Bruce over the past four
           months (and Shea has to take some responsibility for the way Bruce
           has handled himself-Bruce may be the operator, but Shea read the
           documents and had them explained to him by Bruce, and he didn't
           put a stop to it).

            

           I am inclined to believe that this is going to work out.  Shea not
           only has a lot involved in making sure that this does work out,
           but from what Don has learned about Shea, what Bruce has done is
           not typical of who Shea is or how he operates.

            

           One point of reference.  Shea was with Goldman Sachs, but he was
           head of their regional private wealth group.  He was a
           relationship guy, not a deal guy.  He might have been around
           deals, but he has never done anything like this before.  So I
           think it is important for all of us to realize that he is most
           likely learning as he goes.  Our goal is to make sure he doesn't
           learn some really bad habits that will make living with him hell
           for us.  But if in the course of your talks you happen to find out
           that the bad habits are his, and not just Bruce's, let's all run
           for the hills.

            

           Best,

            

           Steve

            

            

            

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

           In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax
           advice given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or
           written to be used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the
           purpose of (i) avoiding tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing
           or recommending to another party any transaction or matter
           addressed herein.

            

                             

           This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential
           information belonging to the sender which is legally privileged.
           The information is intended only for the use of the individual or
           entity named above. If you are not the intended recipient, you are
           hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution, or the
           taking of any action regarding the contents of this e-mailed
           information is strictly prohibited. If you have received this
           transmission in error, please immediately notify us by return
           e-mail, then delete the original message.

            

           From: George Friedman [mailto:friedman@att.blackberry.net]
           Sent: Saturday, July 23, 2011 1:59 PM
           To: Feldhaus, Stephen; George Friedman; Don Kuykendall
           Subject: Re: Failure of Stratfor-Stratcap deal

            

           Shea has asked for a meeting this evening with me and don. I made
           it clear that I expect a complete change of approach precisely
           along your lines. I asked him whether, as a director of stratfor
           he would vote for stratfor to accept the services agreement. This
           is my litmus test.

           My goal here is a sea change in his attitude and tht he accept
           full responsibility for the documents produced. I will propose the
           removal of bruce and if he refuses ask him to pay for him. I do
           not pay for being fucked.

           I suspect this will work out from his attitude.

           Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: \"Feldhaus, Stephen\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>

           Date: Sat, 23 Jul 2011 12:34:50 -0500 (CDT)

           To: Mr. George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; Mr. Don R.
           Kuykendall<kuykendall@stratfor.com>

           ReplyTo: \"Feldhaus, Stephen\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>

           Subject: Re: Failure of Stratfor-Stratcap deal

            

           Guys,

           You have my total support. Here's an observation that you may wish
           to use.

           We have been approaching this entire process from the perspective
           of what is necessary for success, that is, how should this work to
           give us the highest chance of succeeding with an expanded Stratfor
           and a successful Stratcap. Just look at all the work you've been
           doing George to gear up to support Stratcap. You'll see the same
           approach in my draft of the services agreement. Bruce has not had
           that focus at all. He has been concerned with legalities, and has
           hasn't always been a straight shooter even there. His Stratcap LLC
           Agreement is so one sided as to defy the concept that this is a
           joint effort toward a common goal. In Bruce's approach, Stratcap
           is totally Shea's baby, and we get whatever piece of it we are
           clever enough to negotiate, in the face of his one sided draft,
           while at the same time having a unlimited obligation to support
           it.

           I'm concerned that if we keep going like we've been going, we'll
           have to be referring to the rule book frequently to determine how
           we go forward. We'll also be putting our successful business at
           the risk of demands from Shea that have no boundaries. That's not
           the kind of partnership that I think any of us are looking for.

           I'm hoping you'll find Shea willing to be a good partner, and that
           we can get this back on track. It's in your--and his--hands.

           Best,

           Steve

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

           From: George Friedman <gfriedman@stratfor.com>

           Date: Sat, 23 Jul 2011 11:34:01 -0400

           To: Shea Morenz<shea@morenzfamily.com>; don
           kuykendall<don.kuykendall@stratfor.com>; Feldhaus,
           Stephen<sf@feldhauslaw.com>;
           bherzog@willkie.com<bherzog@willkie.com>

           Subject: Failure of Stratfor-Stratcap deal

            

           Gentleman:

           As you know I have stayed out of the negotiations to this point. I
           am not entering the negotiations now.  I am simply looking back on
           the course of the negotiations, the current status, comparing it
           to the absolute requirements I expressed to Shea at the beginning,
           and pointing out that the agreement, and above all the tone of the
           negotiations, have failed to meet my requirements as stated
           clearly to Shea, and that therefore, I can't agree to this deal.

           I pointed out to Shea that any agreements had to contain the
           following elements:

           1: The interests of the two companies had to be completely
           aligned.
           2: I had to have a completely non-adversarial relationship with
           Shea.
           3: Nothing could threaten Don and my control of Stratfor except
           that we explicitly agree to that.
           4: I must not, under any circumstances be \"Dr. Kooped,\" that is
           turned into a powerless figurehead, without power, ridiculed for
           the failures of others.

           These were not economic issues . They were existential issues of
           how I planned to live my life.  In reviewing the negotiations and
           current documents, my clearly stated requirements have not only
           not been met, but to the contrary, have been ignored.

           Let me begin with the negotiations which have been nasty, brutish
           and long.  I don't know if what I have observed from afar is
           simply a clumsy attempt at a good/cop bad cop routine or that Shea
           literally couldn't control Bruce, and I frankly don't care. What
           is of concern to me is that the singularly unpleasant approach to
           the negotiations of Bruce represents Shea's values and that I can
           expect more of it in the future. I won't live in that environment
           so the atmosphere of the negotiations for me is a deal killer. 
           Whether Bruce was acting at Shea's behest or Shea simply permitted
           that to go forward, Bruce's behavior is a serious red flag to me
           about what life would be like working with Shea.

           Let me review the way this deal has emerged.  We began at the
           Headliners Club where Shea proposed an investment of $2.5 million
           dollars. That was reduced to $2.25 million.  I am not comfortable
           with that sort of behavior, but I suppose it is something that
           businessmen need to do and let it pass.  I then discovered that
           agreeing to the investment accelerated the payment of taxes by
           $300 thousand dollars. Certainly this is merely an acceleration
           but it does draw down our immediate cash availability and made me
           quite unhappy.  Finally, the absurd legal fees of the
           negotiations--where I actually have to pay for Bruce's clumsy
           attempts to undermine the process--draws it down another $200
           thousand.  We have gone from $2.5 million for 10 percent of the
           company to an effective investment of perhaps $1.75 million for
           the same ten percent.  Frankly, the deal has become a lot less
           attractive to me.  I understand that Shea is investing the $2.25
           million, but I have to look at it in terms of what we get, not
           what he has put in. 

           Still, the deal remained feasible.  What pushed it out of the
           realm of possibility was the services agreement.  In that
           agreement, Stratfor agrees to provide StraCap with an unspecified
           and unlimited intelligence service in support of StratCap. 
           Neither Shea nor I have any real idea what the amount will be.  We
           are at the very beginning of understanding what will be required. 
           In effect, under this agreement, Stratfor is writing a blank check
           to StratCap that is not even limited by the amount investment. 
           Stratfor's liability is limited only by StratCap's needs, which
           are unknown and inherently unknowable at this point. 

           I can imagine easily a scenario in which StratCap's demands
           outstrips Stratfor's means to the point that StratCap would hold
           Stratfor in default and even push it into bankruptcy with StratCap
           the major creditor.  Nothing in the course of the negotiations
           gives me the slightest hope that Bruce would not do this in a
           heart beat and that Shea wouldn't let him.  I regard the proposed
           service agreement as a threat to the survival of Stratfor as a
           company under Don and my control. 

           Let me remind everyone that my interest in the deal was to build
           Stratfor publishing and to participate in StratCap.  Under this
           agreement, all money will have to be tasked to StratCap, since
           Stratfor has incurred an unlimited liability.  Capping the
           liability is not in my interest either.  I would not have accepted
           Shea's investment simply for Stratfor. We have avoided outside
           investment at all costs. It was the possibility of StratCap that
           interested me.  A capped amount invested in supporting StratCap
           increases the likelihood of failure and I have no intention of
           being the Chairman of a failed investment fund.  StratCap has to
           be fully funded for intelligence operations and Shea's investment
           in Stratfor cannot be the sole and unlimited source of that
           funding.

           I don't know what it will cost to support StratCap.  But it is our
           mutual ignorance of that, and my insistence that StratCap have
           every chance to be successful and that Stratfor use the money to
           grow its publishing business that makes the current proposal
           inconceivable.  It leaves Stratfor without investment capital for
           its publishing business until and if we learn whether the amount
           required is within its needs--and disastrous consequences if the
           needs are being Stratfor's resources. An artificial cap endangers
           StratCap and eliminates my interest in investment. I will not be
           the public image of StratCap, ridiculed for the failure of an
           enterprise that was built to fail.

           My understanding with Shea was that we would--as is the only
           option--collegially attack these problems with a commitment of
           both of us to making both companies work. I feel that Shea has
           broken his agreement in two ways.  First, he has attempted to
           create business obligations for Stratfor that are open ended and
           potentially disastrous.  Second, he has done so without
           guaranteeing the success of StratCap given the fact that we don't
           know what it will take.  The premature and thoughtless
           negotiations that have taken place violate common sense, but do
           create a situation in which StratCap can overwhelm Stratfor.
           Obviously, I won't permit this.

           In addition, all that has happened has violated the fundamental
           principles I laid out at the beginning.  These were both
           non-negotiable and and consistently violated both in the
           negotiating process and in the final business arrangements.  We
           are in the absurd position where I am to be Chairman of a company
           with an adversarial relationship with a company I am CEO of, while
           Shea is President of a company that is an adversary of a company
           on whose board he serves.  Sheer madness.

           From where I sit, this deal is dead. Given the time, effort and
           hopes that were devoted to this, I am prepared for a final
           discussion confined to Shea, Don and myself. the issue is two
           fold.  First, how do we resurrect a relationship in which my
           existential requirements are respected.  Second how do we align
           the interests of the two companies.  I have to confess that I am
           not optimistic but I will have this discussion if Shea wishes.

           I am leaving for Indonesia tomorrow evening and at that time
           moving on with my life.  I will have things to explain in the
           company where we have proceeded to implement our obligations to
           StratCap in good faith.  The only thing more painful that aborted
           an enterprise that was already underway, would be implementing it
           in the current terms and atmosphere.  That will not happen.

           George

           --

           George Friedman

           Founder and CEO

           STRATFOR

           221 West 6th Street

           Suite 400

           Austin, Texas 78701

            

           Phone: 512-744-4319

           Fax: 512-744-4334

            
","2011-07-25 15:11:11",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/400961_fw-failure-of-stratfor-stratcap-deal-.html","sf@feldhauslaw.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com,kuykendall@stratfor.com",""
401899,"Bhopal update - 08-09-11 Media #1
","   Scot, Tomm,

   As you've no doubt seen, BBC News published an updated article on the
   Bhopal activist response to the Olympic stadium sponsorship, this time
   quoting Satinath Sarangi. He called Dow's sponsorship a \"dance on the
   graves of Bhopal gas victims\" and promised protests in \"Bhopal, Delhi and
   London, if necessary.\"

   The article noted former Olympic gold medal hockey player Aslam Sher Khan
   is calling for India to boycott the London games over the sponsorship.

   Dow's position on Bhopal and the London games, as well as the London
   Olympic Committee statement regarding the sponsorship were also included.

   The article has been shared on social media directly from the BBC News
   website 187 times, so far. There are no comments posted on the news page.

   The reporter is Shahzeb Jillani.

   http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia-14443516

   India's Environment News Service reported Chemicals and Fertilizers
   Minister Srikant Kumar Jena told Parliament the DRDO will dispose of the
   Bhopal factory waste by incineration at the Borkhedi facility near Nagpur.
   The article cited the NEERI report assessing the environmental situation
   at the defunct factory, which credited contamination of soil and
   groundwater to chemical disposal from 1969 to 1984, and not to the 1984
   gas accident. There was no mention of the court or regulatory issues
   regarding the disposal.

   http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/aug2011/2011-08-08-01.html

   IBNS reported the Bhopal NGOs burnt an effigy representing \"Corruption in
   medical care, rehabilitation and compensation disbursement\" in solidarity
   with Anna Hazare's opposition to the GoI's Jan Lokpal anti-corruption
   bill. The Bhopal protest took place in front of the former UCIL factory.
   In Mumbai, Hazare burnt copies of the proposed legislation. This issue
   does not appear to involve action against Dow.

   http://www.indiablooms.com/NewsDetailsPage/newsDetails090811k.php

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-08-09 15:06:36",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/401899_bhopal-update-08-09-11-media-1-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
402117,"Bhopal update - 04-05-11 PM
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Documentary distributor MercuryMedia posted a press release announcing the
   films it will be offering at MIPTV in Cannes, France this week, including
   the Bhopali film.

   http://www.mercurymedia.org/news/mercury-announce-fresh-slate-and-new-sales-ahead-of-miptv/

   -       Documentary media RealScreen picked up the press statement.

   http://realscreen.com/2011/04/01/mercurymedia-heads-to-cannes-with-sales-kissinger/

   In India, PTI reported on MS Ahluwalia holding a press conference about a
   project to preserve tiger habitat. When asked about the WikiLeaks cables,
   he said the content indicating \"he took sides with Dow Chemicals on the
   issue of removing hazardous waste from the Union Carbide Plant\" was
   \"totally wrong.\" He added that the \"matter is in the court and with the
   group of ministers for a decision.\"

   http://governancenow.com/news/regular-story/plan-panel-pledges-more-project-tiger

   In activist communication, Leonid Chindelevitch posted at mid-day Monday
   on the Act-MA message board an invitation to the screening of the Bhopali
   film at Tufts University that evening. There has been no indication yet
   how that event was attended.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-04-05 22:54:06",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/402117_bhopal-update-04-05-11-pm-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
403121,"Bhopal update - 09-27-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Media items today are on the Yes Men and Diane Wilson.

   -       A stock trader calling himself Alessio Rastani told BBC news
   anchors \"Goldman Sachs rules the world\" and he dreams of the next
   recession as an opportunity to make money. Someone decided he looks like
   Andy Bichlbaum (there is some resemblance) and asked if Rastani is the
   same person who played Jude Finisterra in the 1984 BBC/Bhopal hoax. While
   Rastani is clearly not Bichlbaum, the story is gaining traction and the
   1984 video clip of \"Finisterra\" is being reposted on numerous websites,
   including the Washington Post.

     According to the Post, the Yes Men issued a statement confirming Rastani
     is not a Yes Man, but \"\"He's a real trader who is, for one reason or
     another, being more honest than usual.\" Neither the Yes Men or Yes Lab
     websites are currently available to confirm the statement.

   http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/blogpost/post/alessio-rastani-trader--or-prankster--tells-bbc-market-is-toast-video/2011/09/27/gIQAAber1K_blog.html

   -       Iowa's Heartland Connection announced Diane Wilson will appear in
   Fairfield, IA on Oct. 5 at the Jefferson County Farmers & Neighbors, Inc.
   annual meeting \"Corporate Accountability: One Woman's Struggle and
   Triumph.\" The preview article is actually a quite good summary of Wilson's
   activism. Her Bhopal activism and pursuit of Warren Anderson are included
   in the article but are not the main focus. Event sponsors are The Leopold
   Group Sierra Club, Sustainable Living Coalition, KRUU-FM, and Radish
   Magazine.

   http://www.heartlandconnection.com/news/story.aspx?id=667695

   There is nothing new to report from the activist sources at this time.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-09-27 17:18:25",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/403121_bhopal-update-09-27-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
403126,"Yes Men monitoring 11-18-11
","","2011-11-18 20:40:34",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/403126_yes-men-monitoring-11-18-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com","attach/36/36542_Social media 11-12 to 11-18-11 YM FB.pdf
attach/36/36543_Activist info 11-10-11 YM Bonanno - Stockholm.pdf
attach/36/36544_Social media 11-12 to 11-18-11 YM Twitter.pdf
attach/36/36545_Activist info 11-14-11 Yes Lab - APEC.pdf
attach/36/36546_Activist info 11-16-11 YL - OWS day of action.pdf"
403291,"DOW CONFIDENTIAL: Bhopal Monitoring Report (no Friday report) Wednesday,
 November 23, 2011
","Contact AIM for more Information                                                                                                                                       
Significant Activist Activity                                                                                                                                          
 11/22 Early Day Motion: 2 new signers, 19 total                                                                                                                       
 Commission on Sustainable London 2012: Interim statement regarding Dow's sponsorship                                                                                  
 Blog: T Jeory on political opposition to Dow sponsorship                                                                                                              
 11/21 PANNA press release on PPT: videos and updates wil be available from sessions                                                                                   
Media                                                                                                                                                                  
 11/21 C&EN: Dow Olympic sponsorship; GoI sees Liveris as \"too controversial\" for India-US CEO Forum                                                                   
 11/22 Labour Party: T. Jowell asks Sustainability Commission to release documents, decisions on Dow and Bhopal                                                        
 11/20 Economic Times: ICJB sees opportunity to \"get Dow on record as an interested party\"; UK MPs playing politics with sponsorship                                   
 11/19 Asian Age: Open letter to London mayoral candidate claims Boris Johnson will loose Asian votes over Dow sponsorship                                             
 11/22 Guardian blog: Discussion on Asian Age letter and Livingstone's response                                                                                        
 11/23 Guardian: Report on T. Jowell press release asking for Dow documents from Sustainability Commission                                                             
 11/23 Guardian: Coe again defended LOCOG decision on Dow as a sponsor                                                                                                 
 11/23 PTI, IANS: MP CM Chouhan to GoI Sports Min: protest Dow sponsorship or boycott Olympics                                                                         
 11/23 IBNS: T. Jowell Labour party press release                                                                                                                      
 11/21 Hackney Gazette: MP Diane Abbott slammed Olympic corporate sponsorships; credited Bhopal deaths to Dow                                                          
 11/22 Around The Rings: Reported on MP Abbott's criticisms of coporate sponsorships for Olympics                                                                      
 11/20 Express on Sunday: Fabric stadium wrap panels tested; Coe and Gardiner quoted                                                                                   
 11/21 Daily Star: Columnist Sally Bercow - LOCOG should not have accepted Dow sponsorship                                                                             
Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                      
 Petition: 1080 signatures                                                                                                                                             
 Bhopali film screenings: Univ. of Pittsburgh; Frontline Club in London; IDFA                                                                                          
 Website updates: ICJB: Rail Roko instructions; SfB - change.org petition                                                                                              
 11/28 UW-Madison \"Slow Food for Bhopal\" fundraiser                                                                                                                    
 Blogs: Sporting News - Olympics activism; Jarvis - final post from Bhopal; Antinuclear blog from Australia                                                            
 Activist email: R. Dhingra - C&EN article; anti-Bayer activists - PPT case on bee deaths from Bayer pesticides                                                        
 Message boards: PAN press releases; Asian Age open letter                                                                                                             
 Social media: BMA; anti-Dow Facebook page; Jeory; Jowell; Gardiner; Labour Party                                                                                      
 Yes Men: OSW drum circle for Bloomberg                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/22 Early Day Motion: 2 new signers, 19 total                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/22 Two new signers, for a total of 19, have been added to Keith Vaz' Early Day Motion calling for Dow's sponsorship to be \"reconsidered\":                           
-  Fabian Hamilton,  Labour Party Leeds North East                                                                                                                     
-  Anas Sarwar,  Labour Party Glasgow Central                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Commission on Sustainable London 2012: Interim statement regarding Dow's sponsorship                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                       
On 11/17 the Commission for a Sustainable London 2012 posted an \"interim statement\" regarding \"concerns\" about the stadium wrap sponsorship. The statement             
acknowledged \"a number of stakeholders, including Amnesty International and Labour Friends of India,\" expressed concern, and said the commission is \"speaking to key   
parties to fully understand the origins of these concerns.\" A further statement may be issued \"in due course\" if it is deemed appropriate and necessary.               
 - Several activist resources posted links to the statement. The Games Monitor watchdog blog posted the entire statement with the subject: \"2012 Sustainability        
notices problem with Dow!\"                                                                                                                                             
http://www.cslondon.org/2011/01/commissions-official-statement-on-olympic-stadium-bid-process/                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Blog: T Jeory on political opposition to Dow sponsorship                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/23 Ted Jeory, Express on Sunday's Whitehall editor, posted on his blog (attached) the stadium wrap sponsorship issue \"is starting to enter pretty serious political 
territory\" and listed three new developments:                                                                                                                          
\"1. Lib Dem deputy leader Simon Hughes has today signed up to the cross-[arty [sic] campaign to force Locog to reconsider its decision. he has added his name to a     
letter that has been sent to Lord Coe, which I'll detail below. Tory MP Priti Patel is also on board.                                                                  
\"2. Shadow Olympics Minister (& Olympics Board member) Tessa Jowell has stepped up her own rhetoric, a) by writing to the Chair of the Commission for a Sustainable    
London 2012 to demand disclosure of important tender documents around the deal; and b) asking for a meeting with Dow themselves.                                       
\"3. Locally, Olympic host borough Tower Hamlets Council is expected to lodge a formal objection with Locog about the deal after a vote next week.\"                     
 - Hughes and Patel signed on to the BMA/Amnesty/Friends of Labour letter, not Keith Vaz' Early Day Motion. Jeory included the text of the letter and the lists of MPs 
and Indian Olympians who have signed it.                                                                                                                               
 - Jeory provided the text of the Tower Hamlets Council's resolution to \"lodge a formal objection with Locog\" about the Dow sponsorship, and to join and assist the    
campaign calling for LOCOG to \"reverse its decision\" about the sponsorship. The council plans to write to Lord Coe, Secretary of State for Culture, Jeremy Hunt MP and 
LOCOG CEO Paul Deighton.                                                                                                                                               
 - Jeory promised \"There will be further political developments by the end of this week, watch this space.\"                                                            
 - Jeory also included the text of Tessa Jowell's press release reported below.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/21 PANNA press release on PPT: videos and updates wil be available from sessions                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
A press release from PANNA about the Permanent People's Tribunal quoted PANNA co-director Kathryn Gilje, cited the allegations of \"widespread and egregious human      
rights violations\" to be heard against the six agrichemical companies, and promised updates on and YouTube videos from the proceedings would be made available through 
the PAN website.                                                                                                                                                       
http://www.enewspf.com/latest-news/science-a-environmental/28937-prosecutors-issue-summons-to-the-six-largest-pesticide-manufacturers-for-human-rights-violations.html 
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/21 C&EN: Dow Olympic sponsorship; GoI sees Liveris as \"too controversial\" for India-US CEO Forum                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
Chemical & Engineering News reporter Jean-Francios Tremblay posted a short article on the Olympic stadium controversy, saying \"Union Carbide acquisitions [sic]        
shadows Dow at Olympics.\"                                                                                                                                              
In addition to briefly relating the past week's events, the piece ends with a paragraph on the Indo-US CEO Forum, reporting from an unidentified Indian source the GoI 
\"is exerting pressure\" for Liveris to be \"removed\" from the forum because the GoI \"considers Liveris' membership in the forum \"too controversial.\" Dow was said to     
have denied that is the situation.                                                                                                                                     
http://cen.acs.org/articles/89/i47/Bhopals-Legacy.html                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/22 Labour Party: T. Jowell asks Sustainability Commission to release documents, decisions on Dow and Bhopal                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                       
The UK Labour party's website posted a report that MP Tessa Jowell wrote to Shaun McCarthy, the Chair of the Commission for a Sustainable London 2012, inquiring       
whether the commission will release for public consumption:                                                                                                            
-        Information it received \"to determine Dow's commitment to sustainability\" for the London Games                                                                
-        Whether it received any information countering \"the information provided by Dow about their commitment to sustainability\"                                     
-        And whether the commission discussed the Bhopal issue, its relationship to Dow, \"and whether any decision was taken in relation to that.\"                     
The article reported Jowell asked requested a meeting with Dow, reiterated the three questions Jowell says must be answered:                                           
-        Is Dow's conduct since the 2001 UCC acquisition \"consistent with the Olympics sustainability goals?                                                           
-        Did LOCOG seek other input on Dow and the Bhopal issue?                                                                                                       
-        Is there a reputational risk to the 2012 Games in relation to the wrap sponsorship, even if Dow should win Bhopal-issue legal battles.                        
Jowell said: \"It's better that we have an unwrapped stadium, rather than a stadium wrapped in the continuing controversy of Dow Chemical's sponsorship.\"               
http://www.labour.org.uk/process-of-arriving-at-decisions-transparent,2011-11-22                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/20 Economic Times: ICJB sees opportunity to \"get Dow on record as an interested party\"; UK MPs playing politics with sponsorship                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
Economic Times published a report on the past week's events regarding Dow's Olympics sponsorship.                                                                      
 - Rachna Dhingra was cited to support the activist case. The article said: \"For Bhopal activists, it's not just an opportunity to embarass Dow, but also a chance to  
get Dow on record as an interested party.\" IIT Madras not allowing Dow to recruit is mentioned. Amnesty Int'l spokesperson Aloys Ligault indicated the activists want  
to meet with both Dow and LOCOG, but have not received a response to requests.                                                                                         
 - Scot Wheeler was quoted on Dow's position on Bhopal, its Olympic sponsorship and responsibilities, and UCC \"managing its own liabilities.\"                          
- According to unidentified UK politicians, Dow officials are expected in London next week to meet with MPs, LOCOG and activists. A LOCOG official said \"it is too     
late\" for the wrap deal to be cancelled.                                                                                                                               
- The article suggested some of the UK MPs support of the call for LOCOG to drop Dow is political, with Tessa Jowell possibly aiming to embarass London mayor Boris    
Johnson during an election year, and Louise Mensch seeking to advance her career. Anti-US sentiment stemming from \"harsh treatment\" of BP for the Gulf of Mexico oil   
spill is also thought to play a factor in the opposition to Dow.                                                                                                       
Economic Times' Sunday print edition included on the article on p10.                                                                                                   
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/corporate-trends/bhopal-stretches-dow-chemicals-london-curtain/articleshow/10795100.cms                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/19 Asian Age: Open letter to London mayoral candidate claims Boris Johnson will loose Asian votes over Dow sponsorship                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
Asian Age published an open letter from Farrukh Dhondy to Ken Livingstone, a candidate for Mayor of London. Dhondy ridiculed the Olympic stadium wrap, criticized as   
\"hypocritical\" Dow's  \"sustainable\" characterization of the wrap, and mentioned the Indian athletes' petition to LOCOG objecting to Dow's sponsorship. He suggested    
Livingstone has some leverage in the election, as current mayor Boris Johnson has lost popularity due to decisions regarding the Games. Dhondi suggested since         
the Games will open 60 days after the election, \"A new mayor could tear down the 'wrap' or allow us Londoners to non-violently demonstrate against it.\"                
Dhondy is a British novelist and playwright of Parsi descent.                                                                                                          
http://www.asianage.com/columnists/something-s-rotten-city-london-041                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/22 Guardian blog: Discussion on Asian Age letter and Livingstone's response                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                       
A Guardian blog by Dave Hill discussed Farrukh Dhondy's open letter in Asian Age to London mayoral candidate Ken Livingstone. Hill described the Olympic stadium       
sponsorship \"controversy\" and statements by Sebastian Coe, Barry Gardiner, and Amnesty Int'l on the topic. He noted Tessa \"Jowell's concern has particular             
significance in that she sits on the Olympic Board alongside Coe, culture secretary Jeremy Hunt and one Boris Johnson.\"                                                
Hill asked Livingstone's office for a reaction to the open letter, and wrote:                                                                                          
\"Ken's concern is that we do not have a them-and-us Games where corporate interests override other considerations. There are concerns about Dow and the Olympic        
stadium and people will want to be reassured that Locog's clear ethical, sustainable and environmental criteria are being met so that we have a Games for everyone.    
\"I'm not sure how much of a \"yes\" that is, but it does seem to send a broader message about principles and inclusiveness - one I sense Ken might be delivering more    
frequently as next year's mayoral election draws nearer.\"                                                                                                              
Two readers commented on the blog post - one asked \"What was Tessa Jowell doing on the Olympic board when the deal was approved, then?\"                                
The other comment, from Rosalind Hardie, mentioned Dow's production of Napalm and Latin American banana workers seeking compensation for pesticide exposure as         
additional issues.                                                                                                                                                     
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/davehillblog/2011/nov/22/olympic-stadium-wrap-controversy-ken-livingstone?newsfeed=true                                             
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/23 Guardian: Report on T. Jowell press release asking for Dow documents from Sustainability Commission                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Guardian reported on Tessa Jowell's open letter to the Sustainability commission wanting documents on the Dow sponsorship decision process. The article included   
comments from MP Barry Gardiner that Hughes and Khan supporting the campaign \"shows that momentum is building against Locog's decision,\" and \"Locog must reverse its   
decision now, before the London 2012 reputation is irrevcoverably [sic] damaged.\"                                                                                      
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/nov/22/tessa-jowell-olympic-sponsorship-dow?CMP=twt_gu                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/23 Guardian: Coe again defended LOCOG decision on Dow as a sponsor                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Guardian reported Lord Coe has again defended LOCOG's choice of Dow as the sponsor for the stadium wrap. This was in an article on football (soccer) as an         
appropriate sport for the Olympics, after a runner had alleged \"most athletes\" did not believe football should be included.                                            
On LOCOG's sponsorship decision, Coe said the committee is not \"out of step with public opinion on the issue: \"We always have a good feel for public opinion. We're a  
good listening organisation. Nobody would remotely suggest that the Bhopal disaster in 1984 was anything other than a human tragedy on an extraordinary scale.\"        
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/nov/23/football-london-2012-lord-coe?newsfeed=true                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/23 PTI, IANS: MP CM Chouhan to GoI Sports Min: protest Dow sponsorship or boycott Olympics                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                       
PTI and IANS reported MP CM Chouhan has written to India's Sports Minister Ajay Maken calling for the GoI to \"lodge a strong protest\" against Dow's sponsorship of the 
Olympic stadium wrap or to consider boycotting the Games. Chouhan called the sponsorship \"inappropriate\" and suggested the money for the wrap \"would be far better     
spent in alleviating to some extent the misery suffered by the people of Bhopal.\"                                                                                      
PTI http://ibnlive.in.com/generalnewsfeed/news/consider-olympics-boycott-due-to-dow-link-mp-cm-to-govt/912845.html                                                     
IANS http://zeenews.india.com/sports/others/protest-dow-s-sponsorship-of-london-olympics-chouhan-urges-maken_732797.html                                               
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/23 IBNS: T. Jowell Labour party press release                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
India Blooms News Service (IBNS) picked up the Tessa Jowell press release from the UK Labour Party website and noted, \"in India on the other hand there is a situation 
where neither the Sports Minister or any MP in the Congress or the opposition has raised any objections to the issue of Dow sponsoring the Olympics.\"                  
The article cited Rachna Dhingra describing the ICJB petition opposing the sponsorship that was signed by the 22 former Olympians from India, and the several          
officials to whom it was addressed. The remainder of the article quoted from Jowell's press release.                                                                   
http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-112293.html                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/21 Hackney Gazette: MP Diane Abbott slammed Olympic corporate sponsorships; credited Bhopal deaths to Dow                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                       
Hackney Gazette reporter Emma Bartholomew quoted MP Diane Abbott complaining about the \"[Olympic] sponsors associated with ill health and death,\" i.e. Coca-Cola,      
McDonald's and Dow. Of Dow, Abbot is reported to have said it \"was once responsible for killing 15,000 people\" from the Bhopal gas accident.                           
http://www.hackneygazette.co.uk/news/hackney_mp_diane_abbott_slams_dow_s_sponsorship_of_olympic_stadium_1_1131872                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/22 Around The Rings: Reported on MP Abbott's criticisms of coporate sponsorships for Olympics                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
Around The Rings posted a brief article about MP Diane Abbott's railing against corporate sponsorships, as reported by the Hackney Gazette.                            
http://www.aroundtherings.com/articles/view.aspx?id=38580                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/20 Express on Sunday: Fabric stadium wrap panels tested; Coe and Gardiner quoted                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
Express on Sunday published another short item by Whitehall editor Ted Jeory, who said some test panels of the fabric stadium wrap were put on the venue last week. He 
quoted both MP Barry Gardiner and Lord Coe on their respective stances about the wrap and Dow's sponsorship.                                                           
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/284808/Fury-grows-over-2012-deal                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/21 Daily Star: Columnist Sally Bercow - LOCOG should not have accepted Dow sponsorship                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
UK tabloid media Daily Star published a commentary by columnist Sally Bercow discussing the broad issue of corporate sponsorship of the London Games. While admitting  
sponsorships are necessary to produce the Games, Bercow exclaimed \"the Olympic organisers should never have agreed to jump into bed with [Dow]. Some sponsorship deals 
just shouldn't be done.\"                                                                                                                                               
Bercow is the wife of House of Commons Speaker John Bercow.                                                                                                            
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/starsays/view/221641/A-word-from-our-sponsor/                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                       
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Petition: 1080 signatures                                                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Change.org petition currently has about 1080 signatures.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Bhopali film screenings: Univ. of Pittsburgh; Frontline Club in London; IDFA                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                       
 Bhopali film screenings                                                                                                                                               
-        The Bhopali documentary was shown Saturday, 11/19 at the University of Pennsylvania, sponsored by AID and the South Asia Center                               
-        A Jan. 30, 2012 screening is scheduled at the Frontline Club in London, a supporter of independent media, with Indra Sinha and Tim Edwards to hold a Q&A. The 
Bhopali film Facebook page had previously listed a Nov. 30 screening at the Frontline Club. There is no mention of that date on the club website.                      
http://www.frontlineclub.com/events/                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Bhopali film was scheduled for four screenings at the IDFA (Independent Documentary Film Festival Amsterdam) from 11/19 through 11/23. The film's page on the      
festival website shows it has received no votes and no updates during its run. IDFA is one of the major global markets for documentary sales and distribution.         
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Website updates: ICJB: Rail Roko instructions; SfB - change.org petition                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/20 Bhopal.net added 2 new pages: one with instructions for participants of the Rail Roko protest on 12/3, and the other titled \"We are all being poisoned,\" with    
lists of pesticide residues said to have been found on fruits and vegetables in India.                                                                                 
 - The Rail Roko instructions were given in a drawing, which is attached. Participants are to gather groups of 15-20 adults and children, march on cue to railroad     
tracks and lie down in groups on the tracks.                                                                                                                           
The protest will be cancelled if the response from the GoI that was promised from the activists' meeting with the Chemical and Fertilizers ministry secretary is       
received before 12/3. A response to the NGOs' demands regarding the death and injury figures used in the compensation curative petition was promised in 10 days from   
the Nov. 3 meeting. No reports have been seen about the response.                                                                                                      
 - The Bhopal.net front page also shows a new image of Olympic rings with the label \"Bhopal olympics.\" The intent of the image is not clear.  Excerpted images and     
texts are attached.                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/19 The Students for Bhopal/ICJB North America website was updated with an image and short description of Lorraine Close's change.org petition and \"why it is        
important\" to sign.                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
11/28 UW-Madison \"Slow Food for Bhopal\" fundraiser                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                       
UWisconsin - Madison's Physcians for Social Responsibility chapter is holding a \"Slow Food for Bhopal\" dinner and Bhangra dance performance on Monday, Nov. 28. The    
event was spearheaded by Jasmine Wiley, a med student who spent a month \"working in medical clinics in Bhopal.\" Drs. Ann Behrmann, a pediatrician, and Lalita du       
Perron, PhD organized the trip. The dinner event description discusses the Chingari Trust as the beneficiary of funds raised.                                          
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Blogs: Sporting News - Olympics activism; Jarvis - final post from Bhopal; Antinuclear blog from Australia                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                       
UK Sporting News blogger/reporter Linus Fernandes posted an update on the Dow Olympic sponsorship and the Bhopal issue. Fernandes had written on the topic in August   
soon after the wrap sponsorship was announced. The current assessment called the Amnesty International letter to Lord Coe \"the only progress on the matter.            
Prefacing excerpts from the Amnesty communication, Fernandes introduced the wrap sponsorship topic, saying \"Dow fail [sic] to recognize their liability towards the    
victims of the 1984 Bhopal gas tragedy.\" He also noted \"a letter\" to PM Singh \"has yet to be responded to. Inertia reigns.\"                                            
Fernandes mentioned Amnesty had previously protested Dow's Live Earth Run for Water sponsorship, and brought up groundwater contamination in the Bhopal factory        
vicinity.                                                                                                                                                              
He ended by bringing up BMA volunteer Lorraine Close's change.org petition and asking \"Can any good come from the above petition? More importantly, can any bad?\"      
                                                                                                                                                                       
Sambhavna volunteer therapist Ian Jarvis wrote a final diary installment on his blog as he prepared to leave. Among other topics, Jarvis mentioned preparations for    
the Rail Roko protest on 12/3. He seemed somewhat incredulous at the lengths to which the activists are willing to go, but complimented their enthusiasm for the       
event.                                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                       
An Australian blog titled \"Antinuclear\" posted an open letter from Fr. Xavier Pinto in Goa to Australian PM Julia Gillard asking, \"Please don't sell uranium to        
India.\" The post's introduction cited the Bhopal gas tragedy, saying \"India has enough trouble on this front.\"                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Activist email: R. Dhingra - C&EN article; anti-Bayer activists - PPT case on bee deaths from Bayer pesticides                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                       
Rachna Dhingra emailed the Chemical & Engineering News article titled \"Bhopal's legacy\" from the magazine's current issue to the Remember-bhopal distribution list.    
                                                                                                                                                                       
German-based anti-Bayer activists CBGnetwork emailed a document on Bayer pesticides causing bee deaths. This is part of the \"case\" against Bayer to be presented at    
the Permanent People's Tribunal in Bangalore.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Message boards: PAN press releases; Asian Age open letter                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Chennai environmental groups' message boards have posts by Rahul Muraldiharan of the PAN UK press release about the people's tribunal, and Nity Jayaraman posted   
the Asian Age open letter to Ken Livingstone.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Social media: BMA; anti-Dow Facebook page; Jeory; Jowell; Gardiner; Labour Party                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
In addition to the usual BMA Twitter and Facebook accounts having multiple new posts of links to media and activist posts,                                             
 - Ted Jeory, Tessa Jowell, Barry Gardiner and the UK Labour Party have all posted tweets about Jowell's press release and/or the Guardian report on it.               
 - One BMA link of note is to the Parliament video archive of the Culture, Media and Sport committee hearing on 11/15. The activist comment is \"watch Coe squirm.\"     
http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Main/Player.aspx?meetingId=9440&player=silverlight                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                       
Yes Men: OSW drum circle for Bloomberg                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                       
The Yes Men have been busy at Occupy Wall Street activities this week, including a 24-hour drum circle session that began Sunday afternoon near Mayor Bloomberg's      
home, and designating the area near the mayor's house as a \"no First Amendment zone\" when protesters were kept at a distance from the residence.                       
The Yes Men and several other social media accounts posted on Twitter and Facebook about the drum circle announcement.                                                 
The Yes Men's social media accounts and Yes Lab website had three blog posts reporting on the drum circle and one result of a woman being fired from her day job for   
taking part and describing Bloomberg as a \"warlord.\" Full text available on request.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                       
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                                                                 Allis Information Management, Inc..                                                                   

   Please remove me from this mailing list.

    
","2011-11-23 23:49:03",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/403291_dow-confidential-bhopal-monitoring-report-no-friday-report.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com","attach/35/35162_Activist info 11-20-11 ICJB - new pages.pdf
attach/35/35166_Blog 11-20-11 Jarvis - Sambhavna volunteer.pdf
attach/35/35577_Blog 11-23-11 L Fernandes - Sporting News.pdf
attach/36/36557_Blog 11-23-11 Ted Jeory.pdf
attach/36/36566_Social_media_11-23-11_UK_politics_-_Twitter.pdf
attach/36/36567_Social_media_11-19_to_11-23-11_anti-Dow_Olympics_-_FB.pdf
attach/36/36568_Activist_info_11-20-11_RailRoko-English8001.pdf
attach/36/36569_Social_media_11-19_to_11-23-11_BMA_-_FB.pdf"
403310,"Yes Men monitoring 05-27-11
","   Yes Men Mike Bonanno and Andy Bichlbaum are making appearances on the
   opposite ends of the Earth - Bonanno is still lecturing in Europe, while
   Bichlbaum is at the MountainFilm festival in Telluride, Colorado.

   -       Hein Wils of the Stedelijk Museum in Amsterdam tweeted about
   Bonanno lecturing there today.

   -       A German politics website has posted a full 1.5 hour video of
   Bonanno's lecture in Vienna.

   http://ichmachpolitik.at/questions/1163

   -       Huffington Post and a USA Today travel blog both briefly mentioned
   Bichlbaum's presence at the festival in Telluride.

   HuffPo 
   http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jerry-cope/environmental-activism-33_b_867446.html

   USA Today 
   http://travel.usatoday.com/alliance/destinations/venturethere/post/2011/05/Mountainfilm-Inspires/171538/1

   In other media

   -       The UK's Guardian published a commentary by Jonathon Paige on the
   UK Uncut movement, in which he said they need \"more spectacle\" to \"avoid
   becoming the anti-cuts Hare Krishnas, routinely chanting in the high
   street.\" The Yes Men's BBC/Bhopal hoax, and their more recent
   collaboration with US Uncut in targeting GE, are included in a list of
   \"four spectacles that got the message across.\" The other three are the
   Boston Tea Party of 1773, the poll tax riot in London, 1990, and \"the
   Yippies invade Wall Street, 1967.\"

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/may/27/uk-uncut-yes-men-anti-cuts

   -       The Hartford (CT) Advocate newsgroup ran a report this week about
   the Yes Men/US Uncut prank on GE.

   http://www.hartfordadvocate.com/news/national/nh-activists-punk-ge-by-saying-the-company-would-repay-federal-taxes-it-legally-dodged-20110524,0,7485145.story

   -       The current issue of The Progressive magazine has an interview
   with The Yes Men. Text of the article is not currently available.

   Regards,

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-05-27 20:21:09",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/403310_yes-men-monitoring-05-27-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mkolleth@dow.com,sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
403637,"Bhopal update - 11-15-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The UK Independent published a second article about drug trials in India,
   this one specific to the BMHRC. Writer Nina Lakhani said the information
   sources were \"secret reports\" showing \"drug trials funded by western
   pharmaceutical firms at the Indian hospital set up for survivors of the
   Bhopal disaster violated international ethical standards and could have
   put patients at risk.\"

   The reports cited are likely documents accessed by ICJB leader Rachna
   Dhingra via RTI requests that have been reported here previously.

   Dow is not mentioned, the article focuses on pharmaceutical companies
   including Theravance, Pfizer, GSK and Sanofi, and the drug trial practices
   at the hospital. Dhingra termed the conduct of the trials \"disgusting and
   appalling,\" and the Bhopal gas survivors who were subjected to the trials
   \"doubly victimized.\" A case study of Ramadhar Shrivastave is included; he
   is the same patient highlighted in recent media items about the drug trial
   controversy.

   http://feeds.bignewsnetwork.com/?rid=201028415&cat=hfu8sjsy4hjfjdha

   -       Daily News & Analysis published a commentary on Monday's broader
   Independent report on drug trials in India. Full text available on
   request.

   Olympics media

   Ummid.com and Siaset published an article by Indian Muslim reporter Pervez
   Bari, who folded together several topics regarding Bhopal.

   He started with the information from the Bhopal and Chennai press
   conferences, listed the 21 former Olympians who signed the ICJB petition,
   and the text of the ICJB . He included expanded comments from Dhingra,
   regarding the UK MPs actions based on \"initiative of the BGIA\" (Bhopal
   Group for Information and Action).

   After the several comments from Monday's ICJB press statement and one from
   Sarangi, Bari revisited the activist allegations regarding Dow, its
   relationship to and responsibilities for UCC, the polluter pays principle,
   UCC's lease obligation to return the factory site to the MP govt \"in its
   original condition,\" the GoI court petition for Dow to fund the site
   remediation, and the activist claim of double standards and racist
   policies regarding UCC business in the US and India.

   http://ummid.com/news/2011/November/15.11.2011/olymipans_against_dow_chemicals.htm

   Four print editions of Indian papers had short articles, mainly sourced
   from PTI,  on Monday's press conferences, all located in the Sports
   sections and positioned below the fold:

   Hindustan Times' New Delhi and Chandigarh editions, Asian Age New Delhi
   edition, and the Pioneer New Delhi edition. The Pioneer version can be
   read online:

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/sports/20514-singles.html

   ANI issued wire and video reports on Monday's press conferences, which
   appeared on a handful of India media websites. The two reports are much
   the same. Two former Olympic hockey players interviewed, their comments in
   Hindi on the video are subtitled in English. Comments include that if Dow
   has enough money for Olympic sponsorships, they should compensate the
   Bhopal gas victims. A photo of Warren Anderson and others from the 1984
   gas accident are shown at the end over audio stating Dow purchased UCC in
   2001.

   The statements from the two men were included in the ANI print report.

   Text: 
   http://in.news.yahoo.com/ex-indian-olympians-voice-anger-over-dow-chemicals-061826174.html

   Video: 
   http://www.indianexpress.com/video/sports/22/indian-olympians-slam-dow/6602

   UK communist media Morning Star included the Indian Olympians petition
   information in a report on Olympics security concerns.

   http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/news/content/view/full/111936

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-15 16:14:31",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/403637_bhopal-update-11-15-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
404322,"Bhopal update - 12-12-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Since email capability has been limited the past few days, here is a recap
   of the weekend media and monitoring results, plus today's new media.

   12/11 AP reported Lord Coe's said in Beijing LOCOG is \"comfortable\" with
   Dow as the Olympic stadium wrap sponsor and the Bhopal gas tragedy is a
   separate issue. The report had approx. 250 pickups, largely in US media,
   although the Canadian Press Association did pick it up. These include New
   York Times, Washington Post, Washington Examiner, Washington Times, Boston
   Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, San Francisco Examiner, Denver Post, Miami
   Herald, Seattle Times, Bloomberg Business Week, Yahoo! News, FOX News &
   Business, Sports Illustrated, ESPN, Detroit Free Press and at least two
   Michigan television outlets - WNEM TV 5 Saginaw and WILX TV Lansing.

    - Asian Age published the AP article on p10 of Monday's New Delhi
   edition, in the middle of the International page.

   http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia-pacific/head-of-london-2012-olympic-organizing-committee-says-hes-comfortable-with-dows-sponsorship/2011/12/11/gIQAxeGmmO_story.html?wprss=rss_world

   12/12 BBC posted a nearly identical report on Coe's statement. The UK
   Press Association and some Australian media also reported the story.

   http://www.ukbbcnews.com/london-2012-primary-says-he-can-handle-dow-sponsorship.html

    12/11 PTI and UK Morning Star posted articles on Coe's comment, each with
   much the same content as the AP article. Few pickups of the PTI piece so
   far.

   PTI: 
   http://expressbuzz.com/sport/london-olympics-coe-defends-dow-connection/342373.html 

   12/11 The UK Guardian reported on Coe's visit to Beijing and ended with
   four paragraphs on the controversy over Dow's sponsorship. Sports writer
   Owen Gibson framed that part of the article on budgetary issues for LOCOG.
   On the Dow sponsorship, Gibson noted it would be an agenda item on the
   IOA's upcoming meeting.

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/dec/11/lord-coe-london-2012-youth

   12/12 PTI  reported IOA secretary general Randhir Singh said the question
   of how to \"put forth the sentiments of the people of India against Dow
   Chemical\" will be decided by the IOA General Body at its meeting on
   Thursday. He affirmed India will not boycott the games but the IOA may
   write to the IOC.

   When asked about Coe's statement from Beijing of commitment to Dow's
   sponsorship, Singh said he would not comment.

   \"Asked about IOC chief Jacques Rogge's comments that India should talk to
   the athletes first before thinking of boycotting the Olympics, Randhir
   said, `Gagan Narang has expressed his view and we are talking to the
   athletes.'\" 

   http://www.deccanherald.com/content/211197/gbm-decide-ioas-future-steps.html

   12/12 NDTV reported Satinath Sarangi made a statement today in response to
   Coe's comment in Beijing, and reiterated the gas victims' call for India
   to boycott the games. He called Coe \"a mouthpiece for Dow.\"

   http://www.ndtv.com/article/india/dow-row-bhopal-activist-hits-out-at-london-olympics-organising-committee-chairman-157168 

   12/12 IBNLive posted a 1:49 min video report on the LOCOG and ICJB
   statements, with comment via telephone from Sarangi, who said the gas NGOs
   will meet with the IOA and say, \"get a spine\" and stand up to LOCOG and
   IOC. He said Coe has never asked the gas victims why Dow is still dealing
   with Bhopal-related issues in India.

   http://ibnlive.in.com/news/london-olympics-panel-backs-dow-as-sponsor/210965-2.html 

   12/10 Times of India reported GoI Sports minister Ajay Maken was asked
   about the Dow sponsorship and replied the IOA has been asked to \"stake a
   strong decision on it.\" He also said it was not up to him to protest.

    - This appeared in the sport sections of Hindustan Times and DNA print
   editions on Saturday. The articles were short and positioned below the
   fold.

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/events-tournaments/london-olympics/Maken-asks-IOA-to-take-a-strong-decision-on-Dow-issue/articleshow/11049349.cms

   12/12 PTI reported BJP MP Maya Singh brought up in India's Rajya Sabha the
   question of Dow's Olympic sponsorship and asked her fellow legislators to
   join her in calling for India to boycott the Games over the sponsorship.

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/events-tournaments/london-olympics/Will-India-take-part-in-Dow-sponsored-Olympics-BJP-asks-Govt/articleshow/11082198.cms

   12/12 London business media City AM reported the Dow sponsorship issue is
   currently \"leading Olympic buzz.\" The analysis came from BT, \"the official
   communications services provider\" for the Games.

   http://www.cityam.com/news-and-analysis/olympic-media-buzz-london-2012-partners-6

   12/10 Ted Jeory reported in Express on Sunday that MP Barry Gardiner is
   claiming LOCOG \"misled\" MPs \"over the savings to be made from the [stadium
   wrap] sponsorship contract\" and \"the entire procurement process is a
   sham.\" Gardiner is reported to be writing to Culture, Media and Sports
   committee chair John Whittingdale about his concerns. The article claimed
   the Olympic Delivery Authority (ODA) said in October 2010 eliminating the
   wrap would save 7 million pounds, when a vendor had bid the work at about
   1.5 million GBP. \"The suspicion is that Dow...was always the favorite.'

   http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/289238/Dow-s-2012-bid-faces-MPs-probe

   12/11 ANI picked up Ted Jeory's Express on Sunday article about Barry
   Gardiner casting doubt on LOCOG's procurement process and whether Dow was
   \"always the favourite\" for the wrap sponsorship. Half a dozen pickups, DNA
   the only major media.

   http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-124408.html

   12/10 Times of India also reported from Nagpur the stay on transporting
   waste material from the former UCILI factory site has been extended to
   Dec. 19. The stay was extended on a GoI request for more time to file a
   reply to the Maharashtra Pollution Control Board's objections to filing a
   no-objection certificate on the waste material transportation.

   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/nagpur/Toxic-waste-PIL-deferred-till-Dec-19/articleshow/11053512.cms 

   12/10 IBNS posted a new ICJB press statement announcing the gas NGOs
   marked International Human Rights Day with a march to the MP governor's
   house and presented a memo with six demands relative to the human rights
   of the gas victims. Full text of the press statement, the letter to the
   governor, and the list of demands are attached.

   http://www.indiablooms.com/NewsDetailsPage/2011/newsDetails101211n.php

    

   12/11 IANS reported a Madhya Pradesh government website for the Bhopal gas
   tragedy relief and rehabilitation department \"shows old figures\" regarding
   the compensation paid to gas victims. The article noted the gas NGOs
   demands for \"correct\" figures to be used for compensation calculation.
   Sadhna Karnik of the Bhopal Gas Peedith Sangharsh Sahyog Samiti said the
   website content is indicative of \"the duel standards of the government\"
   and criticized both the Congress and BJP parties for \"playing with the
   emotions of the Bhopal tragedy survivors.\"

   About 15 pickups seen, including Hindustan Times, Economic Times,
   TwoCircles.net and Indian Gazette.

   http://www.hindustantimes.com/India-news/Bhopal/Government-website-on-Bhopal-gas-tragedy-shows-old-figures/Article1-780540.aspx 

   12/11 Guardian/Observer websites in the UK reported architectural (or
   maybe just art) critic Rowan Moore included the decorative wrap of the
   Olympic stadium on a list of the worst architectural ideas of 2011. He
   called the wrap \"pointless [and] supplied courtesy of the
   Bhopal-implicated Dow Chemical Company.\"

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/culture/2011/dec/11/best-architecture-2011-rowan-moore 

   On the activist side,

   12/11  Rachna Dhingra emailed the ICJB press statement about their Human
   Rights Day observances and included a link to a song written to describe
   the \"human rights violations\" visited upon the protesters at the rail roko
   demonstration. The post on YouTube is nearly 10 minutes long and is
   accompanied by a repetitive slide show of images from the rail roko and
   other commonly used photos from Bhopal.

   12/11 Farah Edwards Khan has made quite the push on Twitter to promote
   Lorraine Close's petition to Lord Coe, which currently has about 10,500
   signatures. \"Fareeta\" tweeted about the petition to at least 30 Twitter
   users including Jane Fonda, Gloria Steinam and Naomi Klein.

   She also tweeted on Friday \"all very quiet on the Dow stadium wrap. is
   this the calm before the storm.\"

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-12-12 17:41:32",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/404322_bhopal-update-12-12-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
404472,"Bhopal update - 12-14-11 IOA media PM
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Wall Street Journal, BBC, Telegraph, Around The Rings, Morning Star and
   Associated Press all issued reports on Malhotra's statement this morning
   that IOA will call for Dow's Olympic sponsorship to be dropped.

   WSJ reported on the impending IOA meeting, Malhotra's comment about a
   \"tainted company\" being an \"unacceptable\" Olympic sponsor, and Dow's
   position on the Bhopal issue.

   http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203893404577098430687092216.html

   BBC reported on the IOA's call for Dow's sponsorship to be dropped, but it
   \"stopped short of boycotting the Games, that LOCOG and Coe are
   \"comfortable\" with the sponsorship and his statement to that end, the
   effigy burning in Bhopal, and quoted Keith Wiggins as part of Dow's
   position on the Bhopal issue.

   http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-16190673

   Telegraph (UK) reporter Jacquelin Magnay wrote in the context of British
   MPs and celebrities calling for LOCOG to withdraw Dow's sponsorship, and
   supporting the campaign by signing the most active petition (although not
   identified as Lorrain Close's change.org effort). Malhotra's statement
   from this morning is included, prefacing comments by Gardiner questioning
   LOCOG's procurement process. The Sustainability Commission's findings
   validating the process are also noted. The article ends with two lists of
   names, about 20 celebrities and 28 politicians, who have signed on to
   support the campaign against Dow.

   http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/olympics/8956176/London-2012-Olympics-British-politicians-demand-London-drops-Dow-as-Olympic-Stadium-sponsor.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

   Associated Press issued a short wire report that is very similar to the
   initial PTI article this morning in quotes from Malhotra on the Olympic
   ideals of \"love, brotherhood and transparency.\" It briefly described the
   Bhopal gas accident, Dow's position regarding it and Coe's support of Dow
   as an Olympic sponsor. The piece ends by noting Gardiner indicated \"the
   Indian committee's opposition should lead organizers to rethink the
   sponsorship plans.\"

   True to form for an AP release, there have been about 100 pickups since
   early afternoon, mainly in the US and including ABC News, CBS News,
   Washington Post, Washington Examiner, Boston Globe, San Francisco
   Chronicle, Seattle Times, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, Minneapolis
   Star-Tribune, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, CBS Marketwatch, SI.com, CNN,
   Yahoo! News, Breitbart, Salon.com, Huffington Post, and numerous broadcast
   and regional media outlets.

   http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/india-olympic-body-london-games-cut-dow-15154756

   Around the Rings reported from the AFP article, quoting Malhotra as
   planning to \"express our displeasure\" to LOCOG and ask for Dow's
   sponsorship to be dropped. Both Dow and the activist positions are stated
   briefly. IOC secretary general Randhir Singh said the \"sentiments of the
   people...cannot be ignored.\" Sher Khan's call for boycotting the Games is
   included, as is Malhotra's assurance of no boycott.

   http://www.aroundtherings.com/articles/view.aspx?id=38784

   Morning Star, UK communist media, quoted from the initial PTI report and
   titled it: \"India asks London to throw out Dow.\" Malhotra's intent for the
   IOA to coordinate with the GoI on the issue is included, as is Dow's
   position on the Bhopal issue, and Coe's support of Dow as an Olympic
   sponsor. The piece ends by noting Tessa Jowell's position that \"Dow should
   withdraw from sponsorship of the wrap.\"

   http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/index.php/news/content/view/full/113146

   The Guardian reported Barry Gardiner has written to Culture, Media and
   Sport minister John Whittingdale calling for an \"urgent inquiry\" into the
   stadium wrap procurement process. Gardiner contended \"a simple Google
   search would have revealed numerous other cases that showed that Dow could
   only be a significant reputational risk to the London 2012 Games.\" The
   article simply noted \"demonstrations\" against Dow's sponsorship have
   occurred, and the IOA said it will ask LOCOG to drop Dow's sponsorship.

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/dec/14/london-2012-dow-chemical-mp-inquiry

   IANS issued a brief quote from Aslam Sher Khan from a telephone contact,
   in which he sympathized with the Olympic athletes for wanting to make use
   of their training investments, but \"being a Bhopali,\" believed India
   should not participate in an Olympics with Dow sponsorship. Very limited
   pickup seen.

   http://sports.ndtv.com/othersports/othersports/item/182405-dont-participate-in-london-olympics-aslam-sher-khan

   Other media today include:

    - IBNS hosted an online chat with Satinath Sarangi and Rachna Dhingra on
   the Dow sponsorship and \"India's stance.\" The Dec. 12 discussion covered
   about two dozen questions from participants. Sarangi and Dhingra's answers
   are not surprising and do not reveal any new information.

   http://ibnlive.in.com/chat/view/764.html

    - PTI and UNI reported on Nagpur MP Muttemwar's concern over the GoI plan
   to dispose of the Bhopal factory waste at the DRDO facility, and that he
   has written to PM Singh to \"draw his attention towards the issue.\"

   PTI 
   http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/wire-news/planned-incinerationbhopal-toxic-wastenagpur-opposed_633525.html

   UNI 
   http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/nagpur/Muttemwar-opposes-Bhopal-toxins-entry/articleshow/11101735.cms

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-12-14 22:58:14",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/404472_bhopal-update-12-14-11-ioa-media-pm-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
404643,"Re: CORP: Bhopal 25 coming up
","   Maybe the Yes Men were the pinnacle.  They made an argument in their way
   on their terms -- that this is a corporate problem and a part of the a
   larger whole that the Yes Men work.  They're the only anti-corporate group
   that has joined with the Bhopal groups.

   Where is SCI or RAN or even Greenpeace on this?  On one hand, the EHF
   folks haven't found a way to branch out beyond occasional AI mentions, but
   at the same time, the larger anti-corporate movement has avoided Bhopal
   very nicely.  Will Chevron get the same pass? 

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Joseph de Feo\" <defeo@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Bart Mongoven\" <mongoven@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Kathleen Morson\" <morson@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Monday, November 9, 2009 11:06:36 AM GMT -05:00 US/Canada Eastern
   Subject: Re: CORP: Bhopal 25 coming up

   The professional anti-Dow types have made a slight nod toward expanded
   activity, but never followed through on it -- the idea of \"other Bhopals\"
   that were the fault of Dow or others. For the past few years it has mostly
   just been a spot on a website occasionally updated with a blog post about
   different multinationals elsewhere in India (e.g., the SIPCOT work by the
   Global Community Monitor affiliates). Now I don't even think blog posts go
   up there anymore.

   One area in which you might argue the Dow campaign has been successful was
   in the R&D site battle outside Pune. Dow had to change its plans. But that
   wasn't really a result of the Bhopal-based activists' strategic skills; it
   seems they mostly provided one more weapon (the Bhopal issue) and likely
   some small amount of funding that helped propel/prolong a campaign that
   was going to be difficult for Dow just because of the religious
   associations of the area near the site  and political gain to be had by
   pandering to some locals in an election year. The Dow people could try to
   repeat that elsewhere, but I'm not sure they'd find the perfect storm
   again.

   The Yes Men had their London \"B'eau Pal\" stunt in London, but again, that
   wasn't any indication of an expansion. Same issue and complaints,
   statement urging people to check out the Bhopal Medical Appeal.

   Bart Mongoven wrote:

     We're only a month away from the 25th anniversary of Bhopal.  The
     objective of the Dow Campaign, as far as I can tell, has been the same
     as the upcoming RAN Chevron campaign -- to make an impossible demand
     upon a major multinational in order to bring attention to the
     fundamental problems with laws relating to corporate accountability. 

     With less than a month to go, you'd think that the major players --
     especially Amnesty -- would have branched out from Bhopal to make a
     broader set of issues.  I don't see any evidence of it.  AI Canada
     included Bhopal in a Demand Dignity release in September.  The
     intenrational secretariat has a small link on its website.  That's all
     I've seen outside of the dedicated anti-Dow establishment -- those
     groups paid to hate Dow (PANNA, SfB). 

     The anger is legitimate and the campaign framing has been done pretty
     well.  If they can't manage to use the 25th anniversary to broaden the
     issue, they probably won't be able to.  They may as well just let Dow or
     some proxy clean the site because keeping the site unremediated hasn't
     helped the anti-corproate cause; hasn't much helped the anti-Dow cause;
     and probably isn't doing a heck of a lot of good for the Bhopalis on
     whose behalf the activists claim to be working.

     The Chevron campaign is remarkably similar in its unrealistic demand. 
     Is it a follow up or an admission that the first thrust failed?

     Am I missing a node of activity or a major campaign that is to come? 
     Has the Dow campaign been more successful than I think?
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/404643_re-corp-bhopal-25-coming-up-.html","mongoven@stratfor.com","","morson@stratfor.com,defeo@stratfor.com",""
404678,"Bhopal update - 12-06-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Reuters article reported earlier does not appear to have gotten much
   more pickup at this time.

   In other media

    - Channel 4 News posted a brief article and video report on India
   protesting Dow's Olympic sponsorship. The text article contained the basic
   items about the IOA, LOCOG and Dow statements. The video, however included
   an approximately 4-minute interview of Tessa Jowell by Channel 4 news
   reader Jon Snow. Snow asked if Jowell had \"seen this problem coming,\" to
   which she replied by describing events of her trip to India last week.
   Jowell was to have spoken at a sports conference but was cancelled, she
   thinks because the GoI was afraid she would use that platform to talk
   about Bhopal and Dow. She said she would not have done so.

   Jowell said she met with \"a number of people who are concerned, including
   the senior counsel for the Indian government on the Indian Olympic
   Association issue and the five NGOs.\"

   Snow prompted her about the original question, and Jowell began to list
   \"options,\" including that Dow could withdraw since the wrap was only to
   \"enhance the appearance of the stadium for television.\" On further
   prompting, she admitted she did not know about the sponsorship until
   September and has \"been pursuing it ever since.\"

   http://www.channel4.com/news/indian-government-protests-dow-olympic-sponsorship

   India's Siaset Daily posted a lengthy article by Pervez Bari about Aslam
   Sher Khan making statements to the press about writing to Sonia Gandhi,
   Barry Gardiner, Keith Vaz and Tessa Jowell about the Dow sponsorship. The
   letter to Gandhi, which was copied to \"all the members of the Congress
   Working Committee,\" called for IOA to make a formal protest to LOCOG. To
   the British MPs, Sher Khan offered his support and had a reply from Vaz.
   He called for Indian MPs to \"take up the issue,\" as have the UK MPs, and
   claimed he would \"not hesitate to don the (anti-corruption) role of Anna
   Hazare in getting proper justice to the victims and survivors....\" He also
   said he will bring up the Bhopal issue \"in a big way at the former
   Olympians meeting\" as part of the Dec. 15 IOA meeting.

    - PTI and UNI also reported more briefly from Sher Khan's press event.

   http://www.siasat.com/english/news/ex-olympian-aslam-sher-writes-sonia-dow-chemical-sponsorship-london-olympics

   Business Standard reported IOA executive board members C P Singh Deo and
   Parsh Nath Mukherjee said the Dow sponsorship issue is not on the agenda
   for the IOA's 12/15 meeting, that the issue is being handled by the
   government and is not up to the IOA to address.

   http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/dow-as-games-sponsor-no-reason-to-boycott-olympics/457726/

   The UK's Guardian reported both Rachna Dhingra and Barry Gardiner made
   statements about the IOA's message to the IOC. Dhingra said the NGOs had
   asked for that action six months ago, and \"welcome it, but it needs to go
   further.\" Gardiner said the GoI and IOA \"have done the right thing by
   standing up to Dow's involvement.... LOCOG must realize that this issue
   will not go away, and the longer they leave the decision to kick out Dow
   the larger the protests will grow.\"

   No online article, full text available on request.

   The Guardian also published a commentary by Richard Williams criticizing
   the stadium wrap, Dow's sponsorship and quoting BMA activist Lorraine
   Close in describing contaminated water and surroundings in Bhopal. Readers
   are encouraged to sign Close's change.org petition asking Lord Coe to drop
   Dow's sponsorship.

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2011/dec/05/london-olympics-dow-bhopal-legacy?newsfeed=true

   Several Indian media outlets published further reporting on the IOA's
   statement on Monday to the IOC and LOCOG:

    - Telegraph India reported the part of the concern over Dow's sponsorship
   is its position as an IOC partner through the 2020 Games, for which India
   had planned to bid. It also reported the letter to IOA from the Sports
   ministry was written by Rahul Bhatnagar, a joint secretary at the
   ministry.

   http://www.telegraphindia.com/1111206/jsp/nation/story_14844874.jsp

    - The Hindu and NDTV also reported India would like to bid to host a
   future Games, and has asked the \"Indian mission in London to get more
   details from the organizers\" about Dow's sponsorship. Hindu noted Liveris
   is an India-US CEO Forum member, \"but has stayed away from the
   meetings...due to the sensitivities involved.\"

   Hindu  http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2689249.ece

   NDTV 
   http://www.ndtv.com/article/india/dows-olympics-sponsorship-row-govt-can-take-up-the-issue-if-needed-says-maken-155693

    - Times of India and PTI reported Sports Minister A J Maken urged the IOC
   to \"consider the sentiments\" involving Bhopal and Dow, said he \"won't let
   Bhopal down,\" and that it \"would be embarrassing that on one hand we are
   asking for extradition of [Warren Anderons] and on the other hand we are
   partnering with those people.\"

   ToI 
   http://www.timesnow.tv/Wont-let-Bhopal-down-says-Maken/articleshow/4390681.cms

   PTI 
   http://news.oneindia.in/2011/12/06/consider-sentiments-of-bhopal-gas-victims-maken-to-ioc.html

   Express News Service, SportzPower, Economic Times and the Statesman also
   posted reports on the IOA statement.

   CNN-IBN reported the Madhya Pradesh Human Rights Commission criticized the
   MP government for the \"police brutality on protesting Bhopal gas victims\"
   and asked to be given a detailed report on the violence.

   http://ibnlive.in.com/news/hrc-pulls-up-mp-govt-for-lathicharge-on-gas-victims/209115-3.html

   IBNS reported the ICJB issued a press statement condemning the violence at
   the rail roko and stating they will perform their own enquiry into the
   matter, \"presided over by a retired judge of the High Court or Supreme
   Court.\" They have called again for the release of all 14 men still in
   police custody and said they will help survivors \"gather evidence and
   initiate formal proceedings against those responsible for the violence,
   including the police.\" The NGOs apologized to the media people who were
   injured. The article was not available for online access, full text
   available on request.

   The Pioneer, however, reported Abdul Jabbar and the BGPMUS said the ICJB
   NGOs are partly responsible for Saturday's violence. He criticized the
   state government for not fulfilling projects and programs it promised to
   the gas victims.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25751-organisations-divided-over-rail-roko-incident.html

   A second Pioneer article reported Congress Party Member of Parliament
   (Ujjain) Premchand Guddu filed a memorandum with the MP government saying
   the state is \"responsible for all that happened on Saturday.\" He said the
   police and state officials had plenty of prior notice the rail roko was
   planned.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25749-cong-mp-demands-high-level-probe-into-rail-roko-incident.html

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-12-06 19:28:35",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/404678_bhopal-update-12-06-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
406677,"Bhopal update - 04-21-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   There does not appear to be new media on the SC hearings on the curative
   petitions.

   -       The Times News Network papers reported people in India seeking
   compensation from companies will have to pay 1% of the amount being
   sought, to the GoI's Environment Ministry as a fee for the National Green
   Tribunal. The article used the Bhopal gas accident victims as an example.
   People who fall below the Poverty Line will not be subject to the fees.

   http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/environment/pollution/victims-to-pay-for-demanding-compensation-from-polluters/articleshow/8042532.cms

   -       Daily News & Analysis reported \"[Shiv] Sena has a history of
   hijacking issues\" to suit the party's own ends. This article actually
   reports on the Jaitapur Nuclear Power Plant issue, not the WikiLeaks
   exposure of alleged Shiv Sena involvement with Dow's Pune R&D center
   project. However, the R&D center issue is used as an example of the party
   \"hijacking\" issues.

   http://www.dnaindia.com/mumbai/report_shiv-sena-has-history-of-hijacking-issues_1534249

   -       The Hindu reported several well-known activists, including Bhopal
   NGO leader Satinath Sarangi, are going to be on a \"yatra\" from Tarapur to
   Jaitapur on April 23-25 as an anti-nuclear protest.

   http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article1707645.ece

   -       Huntington News, a WV media outlet, published a review of Diane
   Wilson's new book,  Diary of an Eco-Outlaw. The book is said to include a
   description of her \"Bhopal protest\" of climbing a cooling tower at Dow's
   Seadrift plant in 2002.

   http://www.huntingtonnews.net/3439

   In activist resources:

   -       ICJB activist Dharmesh Shah emailed to the group's distribution
   lists the 4/19 Hindustan Times article on the Nationalist Congress Party
   calling for an investigation of Shiv Sena MP Shivajirao Adhalrao Patil
   over WikiLeaks reporting he was \"involved\" with Dow on establishing the
   Pune R&D center project.

   -       ICJB's India co-ordinator Rachna Dhingra is scheduled to return to
   the US as a keynote speaker for the AID US annual conference on May 28-30
   in Boston. There is only one session specifically noted so far where she
   will speak, on Saturday, May 28. The topic is \"Justice for Bhopal.\"

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-04-21 19:54:56",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/406677_bhopal-update-04-21-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
407397,"FW: Client working list
","","2011-04-23 16:48:48",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/407397_fw-client-working-list-.html","kuykendall@stratfor.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com","attach/5/5728_image001.png
attach/37/37035_client list.xls"
407784,"DOW CONFIDENTIAL: Bhopal Monitoring Report Friday, November 18, 2011
","Contact AIM for more Information                                                                                                                                                                                             
Significant Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                                                                
 11/14 Bhopal, Chennai press events announce ICJB petition to LOCOG signed by 22 Indian ex-Olympians                                                                                                                         
 11/15 BMA/Amnesty/Labour Friends of India press event in London opposed Dow sponsorship                                                                                                                                     
 11/16-17 BMA: Heavily tweeted link to Guardian poll \"Should Olympic chiefs dump Dow?\"                                                                                                                                       
 PAN Int'l \"people's tribunal\" 12/3-6 to \"indict\" agrichemical companies for \"gross violations of human rights\"                                                                                                              
Media                                                                                                                                                                                                                        
 Olympics sponsorship media summary                                                                                                                                                                                          
 11/14 AP, India media: Bhopal, Chennai press conferences by ex-Olympians opposing Dow sponsorship                                                                                                                           
 11/15-18 Global media: London Olympics - Coe defends LOCOG, Dow; BMA et al press event opposes sponsorship                                                                                                                  
 11/15-18 Local media: MDN, MLive, WNEM; UK local letters and columns                                                                                                                                                        
 11/14 Saginaw News: Reporter questions whether Bhopal \"shadow\" affects Dow                                                                                                                                                  
 11/12 Hindustan Times: GoI cancelled registrations for four Dow Agrosciences products                                                                                                                                       
 11/15 Ummid: Pervez Bari article on Olympics and standing activist allegations against Dow                                                                                                                                  
 11/18 IANS, Telegraph: Greenpeace, \"Bhopal survivors\" object to new nuclear civil liabilities rules                                                                                                                         
 11/14 Asian Voice: Keith Vaz interview of Colin Toogood on Bhopal and BMA                                                                                                                                                   
 11/14-11/17 Independent, Socialist Party UK: BMHRC drug trials commentary                                                                                                                                                   
 11/17 Hard News: activist RTI requests GoI documents on Anderson extradition                                                                                                                                                
 11/18 Derby Evening Telegraph: Animal's People review                                                                                                                                                                       
Activist Activity                                                                                                                                                                                                            
 Bhopali film: Screenings scheduled in Amsterdam, Toronto, London, NYC, Pittsburgh, Boston                                                                                                                                   
 ICJB website: new front page layout; Rail Roko information/justification                                                                                                                                                    
 BMA website: media items on Dow's Olympic sponsorship; play day for Chingari Trust children                                                                                                                                 
 Amnesty: Bhopal presentation slides for Group 133; Annual Write-A-Thon on Dec. 11                                                                                                                                           
 Change.org petition now over 1,000 signatures                                                                                                                                                                               
 Activist email: Dhingra, Edwards send media items to Remember-Bhopal list                                                                                                                                                   
 AID: new chapter at George Washington Univ.                                                                                                                                                                                 
 Message boards: Games Monitor; Chennai and Delhi enviro groups                                                                                                                                                              
 Blogs: BMA volunteer Ian Jarvis updates on life at clinic                                                                                                                                                                   
 Social media: BMA Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube; anti-Dow Olympics Facebook                                                                                                                                                
 Yes Men: Yes Lab actions at APEC in Hawai'i; Bonanno to conduct Yes Lab in Sweden 12/14-16; Mark Rudd at Yes Lab 11/17                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/14 Bhopal, Chennai press events announce ICJB petition to LOCOG signed by 22 Indian ex-Olympians                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal and former Indian Olympic hockey players coordinated press conferences in Bhopal and Chennai to announce at least 22 athletes had signed the ICJB's petition to Olympics    
officials and PM Singh calling for Dow's Olympic sponsorship to be dropped, or for India to boycott the London Games.                                                                                                        
The ICJB press statement quoted representatives of the five Bhopal activist groups & NGOs - Safreen Khan, Rachna Dhingra, Rashida Bee, Balkrishna Namdeo and Nawab Khan.                                                     
The Olympians statement recommended: \"national and international Olympians should oppose the unholy alliance with the poisoner of Bhopal.\" The Olympians who participated in the press conferences were:                     
 - In Bhopal: Inam - Ur - Rehman, B P Govinda, Syed Ali and Jalaluddin Rizvi.                                                                                                                                                
 - In Chennai: Vasudevan Baskaran and Charles Cornelius                                                                                                                                                                      
The AP and Indian media reported on the press conferences, as indicated in the media section below.                                                                                                                          
The ICJB's press statement, the petition addressed to Olympic officials, and the list of athletes who have signed it are attached.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/15 BMA/Amnesty/Labour Friends of India press event in London opposed Dow sponsorship                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Bhopal Medical Appeal, Amnesty Int'l and the Labour Friends of India held a press event in London to publicize their opposition to Dow's Olympic stadium wrap sponsorship.                                                   
A preview of the press release was posted on Google Docs and distributed a few days prior via Twitter to several media and activist contacts.                                                                                
BMA tweeted the link to 11 other Twitter users: NDTV; Olympics watchdog blog Games Monitor and its administrator Julian Cheyne; anti-corporate activists Adbusters; environmental and legal activists EarthRights            
International; environmental/anti-pesticide contacts: This Is Ecocide; Shift Soil; No Mo Pesticides; Pesty Pesticides; and AntiDrifters; and the London Olympics Information account (The announcement tweet not displayed   
on that page).                                                                                                                                                                                                               
The press release was phrased in quite inflammatory terms, including the title of \"Growing scandal over Olympic stadium sponsor\" and that Dow \"having been recently found guilty of SERIOUS MALPRACTICE [emphasis            
theirs]...cannot be considered an appropriate sponsor of the London Olympics stadium.\"                                                                                                                                       
Representatives of the \"cross-party\" coalition appearing at the event were MP and Labour Friends of India leader Barry Gardiner, and Tim and Farah Edwards of BMA. The press release promised \"the great-great-granddaughter 
of the last \"Begum of Bhopal (the Bhopal Royal Family) and herself a survivor of the Bhopal disaster.\" This is presumably Mrs. Edwards.                                                                                      
Considerable global media coverage of the press conference ensued, much of it folded into reports on Lord Coe's testimony before Parliament's Culture, Media and Sports Committee, as indicated in the media reporting       
below.                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
The activist coalition press statement is attached.                                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/16-17 BMA: Heavily tweeted link to Guardian poll \"Should Olympic chiefs dump Dow?\"                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
UK media the Guardian posted an online poll in its sports section asking \"Should Olympic chiefs dump Dow?\"                                                                                                                   
BMA sent numerous tweets urging recipients to \"Vote to dump Dow\" on the poll, sending more than 50 messages in a few hours, and several more before the poll closed.                                                         
Final poll results: 91.6% thought Dow should be removed as a sponsor.                                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Three comments were also posted on the poll page, all critical of Dow. One of the comments was from Pesticide Action Network UK (PAN-UK), which named EDF as another Olympic sponsor considered \"dodgy.\"                     
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/poll/2011/nov/15/olympics-2012-dow?fb=native                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
PAN Int'l \"people's tribunal\" 12/3-6 to \"indict\" agrichemical companies for \"gross violations of human rights\"                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/16 The Ecologist, a member of the UK's Guardian media network, reported Pesticide Action Network Int'l announced a \"Permanent People's Tribunal\" (PPT) session will be held from Dec. 3-6 \"to indict Agrochemical         
Transnationals for gross violations of human rights.\"                                                                                                                                                                        
The targeted companies and organizations are:                                                                                                                                                                                
Dow, Monsanto, DuPont, Bayer CropSciences, Syngenta, BASF, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Trade Organization.                                                                                
PAN has a website dedicated to the PPT session, with a case summary and a petition to sign with a goal of 10,000 signatures by Dec. 3. The petition currently has about 430 signatures.                                      
This refers visitors to PAN Asia Pacific contact and social media resources. The case summary is attached.                                                                                                                   
http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/1122020/monsanto_bayer_and_dow_face_trial_for_systematic_human_rights_abuses.html                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/17  PAN UK posted similar documents with a few more details, including giving Bangalore, India as the location for the PPT session, and identifying some \"legal experts\" and scientists who are named to the \"jury.\"      
These are Gurdial Singh Nijjar, Director of the Centre of Excellence for Biodiversity Law at the University Malaya; Pananchand Jain, retired Rajasthan High Court Justice; and Upendra Baxi, former President of the Indian  
Society of International Law.[and] scientists and experts such as Dr. Ricarda A. Steinbrecher, a biologist and geneticist with the German Federation of Scientists.\"                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/18 PAN North America (PANNA) also posted an announcement and executive summary of the planned PPT. The executive summary is closest in format and content to the PAN UK version, with the main exception of offering      
U.S.-based individuals as available for interviews:                                                                                                                                                                          
 - Kathyrn Gilje, PANNA co-director                                                                                                                                                                                          
 - Jeannie Economos, Farmworker Association of Florida                                                                                                                                                                       
 - Paige Tomaselli, Center for Food Safety                                                                                                                                                                                   
 - Viola Waghiyi, Alaska Community Action on Toxics                                                                                                                                                                          
 - Ana Duncan Pardo, Toxic Free NC                                                                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Any or all of the remaining documents are available on request.                                                                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Olympics sponsorship media summary                                                                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Global media reporting on Dow's sponsorship of the London Olympic stadium wrap ran heavily from Monday, 11/14, through Wednesday, 11/16. Reports began with the Indian activist and athletes press events in Bhopal and      
Chennai, then moved to London with reports first on Lord Coe's testimony before Parliament's Culture, Media and Sport committee, and followed by the \"cross-party\" activist coalition press event.                           
 - Associated Press reports led the rmedia all three days, with global pickups each time. Washington Post, Boston Globe, NBC Sports and FOX Sports were the main U.S. major media outlets to use the piece. Regional leading 
media pickups include Detroit News, San Francisco Chronicle, along with numerous U.S. and Canadian broadcast and media websites.  The initial report from London contained an error, stating Dow had purchased the Union     
Carbide plant in Bhopal in 2001. An updated version of the story corrected the statement.                                                                                                                                    
 - UK major media the Independent, Guardian, BBC and Channel 4 reported on the London events, as did wire services UK Press Association, PTI, IANS and ANI, and UK communist media Morning Star.                             
 - Agence France Presse issued a wire story, but received limited pickup.                                                                                                                                                    
 - The Hindu was the only Indian major media to publish a print report on the London events.                                                                                                                                 
 - Several video reports on the London events were broadcast, including Channel 4, Al Jazeera, and NewsXLive. These invariably began with the activist coalition event at the Olympic stadium, and included on-camera        
comments from Barry Gardiner, Farah or Tim Edwards.                                                                                                                                                                          
 - IOC news website Around The Rings has published updates on the events, as well.                                                                                                                                           
 - Local pickups included Midland Daily News, MLive.com and WNEM television.                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/14 AP, India media: Bhopal, Chennai press conferences by ex-Olympians opposing Dow sponsorship                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Associated Press reported \"at least 21\" Indian Olympians called for LOCOG to drop Dow's sponsorship, calling it \"offensive to the spirit of the Olympic Games.\" The only person quoted by AP was Safreen Khan of Children    
Against Dow-Carbide, who said \"hundreds of children are being born disabled\" and blamed Dow for the lack of remediation in Bhopal. LOCOG was noted as standing firm on the Dow sponsorship, and Dow's position on the Bhopal 
issue was given. The article noted Dow's India office referred inquiries to the US headquarters.                                                                                                                             
http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/45284750                                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
IBNS issued the closest iteration of the ICJB press release, as usual. Three Olympians appeared at the press conference in Bhopal: \"Inam - Ur - Rehman, B P Govinda, Syed Ali and Jalaluddin Rizvi,\" and said, \"national and 
international Olympians should oppose the unholy alliance with the poisoner of Bhopal. \"                                                                                                                                     
Representatives of the five Bhopal activist groups & NGOs were quoted - Safreen Khan, Rachna Dhingra, Rashida Bee, Balkrishna Namdeo and Nawab Khan. Bee said neither PM Singh's office nor the Indian Olympic Association   
have responded or acted on the ICJB's request that they contact LOCOG and demand Dow's sponsorship be dropped.                                                                                                               
http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-106332.html                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
PTI reported from Chennai that Hockey Olympians Vasudevan Baskaran and Charles Cornelius held a press conference in conjunction with the ICJB's press event in Bhopal.                                                       
http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-106332.html                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
UNI quoted Bhopal activist leader Sarangi, saying it is \"unfortunate\" neither the GoI or \"IOC\" [mistake for IOA?] were taking any action, while UK MPs are protesting the sponsorship. He also said efforts are being made   
to \"rope in more Olympians - including from other countries - in the campaign to protest Dow's sponsorship.\"                                                                                                                 
http://news.webindia123.com/news/Articles/India/20111114/1871539.html                                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Yahoo! India News posted a video report by NBS News of the Bhopal press conference. The 1:45 minute clip showed several men sitting at a table in front of microphones while the reporter voice over explained the           
situation. Sarangi and \"sports person\" Syed Ali were interviewed on camera but both spoke in Hindi. The clip is titled \"Bhopal tragedy shadow over London Olympics.\"                                                         
http://in.news.yahoo.com/video/national-22564751/bhopal-tragedy-shadow-over-london-olympics-27248836.html#crsl=%252Fvideo%252Fnational-22564751%252Fbhopal-tragedy-shadow-over-london-olympics-27248836.html                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Around the Rings posted a report on the press conferences.                                                                                                                                                                   
http://www.aroundtherings.com/articles/view.aspx?id=38505                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
UK communist media Morning Star included the Indian Olympians petition information in a report on Olympics security concerns.                                                                                                
http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/news/content/view/full/111936                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/15 Four print editions of Indian papers had short articles, mainly sourced from PTI, on the press conferences, all located in the Sports sections and positioned below the fold: Hindustan Times' New Delhi and           
Chandigarh editions, Asian Age New Delhi edition, and the Pioneer New Delhi edition.                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/15 ANI issued similar wire and video reports on the press conferences. Two former Olympic hockey players were interviewed, with English subtitles on their comments in Hindi, including if Dow has enough money for       
Olympic sponsorships, they should compensate the Bhopal gas victims. A photo of Warren Anderson and others from the 1984 gas accident were at the end over audio stating Dow purchased UCC in 2001.                          
The statements from the two men were included in the ANI print report.                                                                                                                                                       
Text: http://in.news.yahoo.com/ex-indian-olympians-voice-anger-over-dow-chemicals-061826174.html                                                                                                                             
Video: http://www.indianexpress.com/video/sports/22/indian-olympians-slam-dow/6602                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/16 The Hindu and Times of India published reports on Monday's press conferences. The ToI article inferred the 1984 gas tragedy played a part in Bhopal producing fewer star hockey players than prior to the accident,    
and quoted Salim Abassi about not recovering from the gas effects that \"may have cut short\" his athletic career.                                                                                                             
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bhopal/Hockey-stars-decry-DOW-move-to-sponsor-Olympics/articleshow/10749075.cms                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/15-18 Global media: London Olympics - Coe defends LOCOG, Dow; BMA et al press event opposes sponsorship                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
AP reported Lord Coe testified at a Parliament hearing of the Culture, Media and Sport committee and stated LOCOG's commitment to and confidence in Dow as an Olympic sponsor and its ethics. This report did not mention    
the planned activist protest in London. Global pickups trended through mid-day U.S. time to more than 100 pickups.                                                                                                           
http://news.yahoo.com/london-olympic-organizers-wont-scrap-dow-deal-145242640.html                                                                                                                                           
 - An update was issued mid-afternoon to correct the third sentence stating Dow purchased the UCIL factory in Bhopal in 2001.                                                                                                
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2011/11/15/sports/s065232S11.DTL&type=business                                                                                                                              
 - A shorter version was also seen: http://www.mlive.com/newsflash/index.ssf/story/london-olympic-organizers-wont-scrap-dow-deal/e9f9eec28189496ba544ed04469c081f                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Several other sources issued reports, including BBC, AFP, the UK Press Association (UKAP), Channel 4, Guardian, the Labour Party and Morning Star UK.                                                                        
BBC issued two articles, one primarily on Coe's Parliamentary testimony to the Culture, Media and Sport Committee, the other on the activist protest and press release.                                                      
-   The Coe article included a brief background on Dow, the stadium wrap and Dow's purchase of UCC. Coe stated his satisfaction that Dow did not have any functional connection to the UCIL facility, and the Indian Supreme 
Court \"upheld on two previous occasions\" the validity of UCC's settlement for the Bhopal gas accident. Keith Vaz and Tessa Jowell voicing their concerns to Coe was also noted. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15745449  
-   The protest article is longer and quoted Sarangi for the Bhopal Group for Information and Action (BGIA), former Olympic hockey player Aslam Sher Khan, and unidentified Dow and Games 2012 spokespersons. Sarangi called 
Dow's sponsorship \"an dance on the graves of Bhopal gas victims\" and promised \"protest rallies in Bhopal, Delhi and London if necessary.\" Khan said India should \"lodge a strong protest,\" and he had written to the Indian  
Olympic Association, PM Singh and the Sports ministry.                                                                                                                                                                       
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia-14443516                                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Agence France Presse reported Coe \"defended\" the Dow sponsorship, stated 15,000 as the death toll from the Bhopal gas tragedy, and that \"Dow bought Union Carbide in 2001 and has ever since denied responsibility\" for the  
gas accident. The opposition by \"several Indian athletes\" and Jowell's \"concern\" preface a quote from Coe that he is \"the grandson of an Indian so I am not completely unaware\" of the Bhopal issue, but stands by the       
sponsorship. Times of India is the only known pickup of this article at this time.                                                                                                                                           
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/events-tournaments/london-olympics/Olympics-Coe-defends-Dow-deal-in-face-of-Bhopal-protests/articleshow/10744820.cms                                                               
 - UK Press Association's version was very similar to the AFP wire report.                                                                                                                                                   
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5jbFhQthLXTmph8I12FZbBxBxBa-Q?docId=B35046781321366580A00                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Channel 4 UK news provided background on the wrap deal, the Bhopal accident and Dow's position on Bhopal. It introduced the campaign by a \"cross-party coalition of MPs, survivors and Indian Olympians\" opposing Dow's      
sponsorship, and mentioned the IOC's support of the sponsorship. MP Barry Gardiner, Chair of Labour Friends of India, and the leader of the activist coalition admitted LOCOG \"had set high environmental, social and        
ethical standards,\" but called the Dow contract decision \"a mistake and it must be set right.\"  This article tried to name the Dow spokesperson \"Scott Walker\" as the source of Dow's position statement.                    
http://www.channel4.com/news/row-over-olympic-sponsors-bhopal-links                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Guardian posted a report on the wrap sponsorship issue and an online sports poll asking \"Should Olympic chiefs ditch Dow?\"  .                                                                                            
The article drew mainly from Coe's hearing testimony and questions from other MPs. Coe told the panel he had met with Vaz and Jowell, but \"insisted he had not heard anything\" from the Indian Olympic Committee about a     
potential boycott by India's athletes. Conservative MP Louise Mensch called LOCOG's decision on the Dow sponsorship \"very worrying,\" to which Coe responded LOCOG had \"looked at the issue very carefully\" and cited Dow's   
IOC global partner status.                                                                                                                                                                                                   
MP Steve Rotheram asked \"whether Dow could be replaced if the company did the 'honourable thing' and withdrew from sponsoring the wrap, the Locog chief executive, Paul Deighton, said it was 'getting very late' to do so   
and had no indication that the company would pull out.\"                                                                                                                                                                      
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/nov/15/olympic-dow-sponsorship-protests-mps http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/poll/2011/nov/15/olympics-2012-dow?newsfeed=true                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Labour Party reported just Tessa Jowell's three points of concern she says \"Dow Chemical needs to urgently answer\":                                                                                                      
-  Is Dow's conduct since the UCC acquisition \"consistent with the Olympics' sustainability aims?\"                                                                                                                           
-  Did LOCOG seek input from other groups than Dow on the Bhopal issue?                                                                                                                                                      
-  \"...even if Dow win their legal battles against Bhopal survivors and the Indian Government, is there a reputational risk to London 2012 in their sponsorship of the Olympic Stadium wrap?\"\"                               
http://www.labour.org.uk/dow-chemical-needs-to-answer-questions-regarding-bhopal,2011-11-15                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
UK communist media Morning Star posted a brief report on LOCOG's commitment to Dow's sponsorship, the \"Indian athletes and rights organizations\" letters to LOCOG, and Dow's position on the Bhopal issue.                   
http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/news/content/view/full/111989                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/16 The Guardian published a report on the activist coalition press statement, with a little more detail on the activist groups and the campaign itself. The groups described Coe as \"stonewalling\" questions about the    
sponsorship. Coe's responses to the questions on the selection process and Dow's compliance with LOCOG requirements are also included. This article does not appear to be currently available online; full text available on 
request.                                                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/16 Indian media reported on Tuesday's events in London events.                                                                                                                                                            
- IBNS posted a report calling Dow's sponsorship \"tainted\" and said \"British MPs are up in arms\" over the issue, despite Coe's commitment to the stadium wrap deal. The wire story covered the activist coalition press      
statement and quoted from UK media on Coe describing Dow's selection. Dow's position statement is given at the end, and is unique in including the sentence regarding the MP state's control of the site and responsibility  
for remediation.                                                                                                                                                                                                             
http://www.indiablooms.com/SportsDetailsPage/2011/sportsDetails161111c.php                                                                                                                                                   
- ANI issued a short wire report on Coe's statements to the committee.                                                                                                                                                       
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/lord-coe-defends-blood-bhopal-dows-sponsorship-london-064028359.html                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/17 The Hindu summarized this week's media on the Dow Olympic sponsorship, drawing mainly from the activist coalition statements. Dow's position on Bhopal and Lord Coe's statements on the matter were included. The      
article appeared in the Delhi print edition.                                                                                                                                                                                 
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2633719.ece                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/17 The Independent published a column by Diane Abbott, MP for Hackney North and Stoke Newington and Shadow Public Health Minister, who complained the Games have \"lost touch with reality,\" and that corporate            
sponsorships have not helped the matter. She called Dow's sponsorship \"distinctly unhealthy.\"                                                                                                                                
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/diane-abbott-the-games-that-lost-touch-with-reality-6263191.html                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/18 Around the Rings published a Sponsor Spotlight report with a brief report on Lord Coe's statements defending the Dow sponsorship.                                                                                      
http://www.aroundtherings.com/articles/view.aspx?id=38533                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/15-18 Local media: MDN, MLive, WNEM; UK local letters and columns                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/15 Local MIchigan media picked up the AP report on events in London regarding Dow's Olympic sponsorship, including MLive.com (Saginaw News), WNEM TV-5 websites, and the print edition of the Midland Daily News - p2     
across the fold on the left side.                                                                                                                                                                                            
http://www.mlive.com/newsflash/index.ssf/story/london-olympic-organizers-wont-scrap-dow-deal/e9f9eec28189496ba544ed04469c081f                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
11/17-18 Local UK media columns and letters addressed the Dow sponsorship and the Olympics in general.                                                                                                                       
 - Wharf.uk reported on the activist coalition press event. http://www.wharf.co.uk/2011/11/mps-urge-locog-to-ditch-deal-w.html                                                                                               
 - Scottish Daily Record columnist Joan Burnie used the Dow sponsorship controversy to complain about the Games overall as \"becoming more farcical, as well as expensive, by the day.\"                                       
http://blogs.dailyrecord.co.uk/joanburnie/2011/11/watching-our-money-go-up-in-olympic-flam.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheDailyRecord%2FJoanBurnie+%28The+Daily+Record+-+Joan+Burnie%29  
-  East End Advertiser published a letter by Agent Orange activist Len Aldis criticizing Dow's sponsorship and invoking the AO and napalm issues. Bhopal was not mentioned. Full text available on request.                  
 - East End Advertiser also published a comment that Bethnal Green and Bow MP Rushanara Ali \"has called upon\" LOCOG to \"rethink their use of the Dow Chemical Company as a stadium sponsor.\" Full text available on request. 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/14 Saginaw News: Reporter questions whether Bhopal \"shadow\" affects Dow                                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Saginaw News posted an MLive.com article titled \"Is the Bhopal disaster still casting a shadow on Dow Chemical?\" by business and economic issues reporter Kathryn Lynch-Morin.                                               
The context of the article is Liveris' possibly being \"dropped from\" the Indo-US CEO Forum and the company's connection, or lack thereof, to the Bhopal gas tragedy.                                                         
Morin cited Dow statements regarding the CEO Forum, the Bhopal gas tragedy, and Responsible Care.                                                                                                                            
After mentioning the press statements in India regarding the ICJB's Olympic athlete petition, Lynch-Morin closed with:                                                                                                       
\"Is the Bhopal disaster still unfairly casting a shadow on Dow Chemical?\"                                                                                                                                                    
No comments were posted on this item.                                                                                                                                                                                        
http://www.mlive.com/business/mid-michigan/index.ssf/2011/11/is_the_bhopal_disaster_still_c.html                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/12 Hindustan Times: GoI cancelled registrations for four Dow Agrosciences products                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Hindustan Times reported the registrations for the four DAS India pesticides that have been at issue in the De-Nocil cases have been cancelled by the GoI.                                                                   
http://www.hindustantimes.com/India-news/NewDelhi/Govt-bars-Dow-unit-from-selling-4-pesticides/Article1-768367.aspx                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/15 Ummid: Pervez Bari article on Olympics and standing activist allegations against Dow                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Ummid published a long article by Indian Muslim reporter Pervez Bari, who folded together several topics regarding Bhopal.                                                                                                   
He started with the information from the Bhopal and Chennai press conferences, listed the 21 former Olympians who signed the ICJB petition, and text from the ICJB press statement. He included expanded comments from       
Dhingra saying the UK MPs actions are based on \"initiative of the BGIA\" (Bhopal Group for Information and Action).                                                                                                           
Bari revisited the activist allegations regarding Dow, its relationship to and responsibilities for UCC, the polluter pays principle, UCC's lease obligation to return the factory site to the MP govt \"in its original      
condition,\" the GoI court petition for Dow to fund the site remediation, and the activist claim of double standards and racist policies regarding UCC business in the US and India.                                          
http://ummid.com/news/2011/November/15.11.2011/olymipans_against_dow_chemicals.htm                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/18 IANS, Telegraph: Greenpeace, \"Bhopal survivors\" object to new nuclear civil liabilities rules                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
India's Telegraph and IANS reported Greenpeace and \"Bhopal survivors\" reacted angrily at the terms of the GoI's Rules of the Civil Liability for Nuclear Damages Act that were issued on Thursday. \"Campaigners...warned of  
'another Bhopal'\" in terms of compensation and environmental contamination, should a nuclear facility accident occur. Greenpeace member Karuna Raina alleged the GoI places \"foreign interest...above the wellbeing of its   
people.\"                                                                                                                                                                                                                     
Telegraph: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/india/8896591/India-angers-Bhopal-survivors-over-nuclear-decision.html                                                                                             
IANS: http://www.inewsone.com/2011/11/17/india-caved-in-to-foreign-pressure-on-nuclear-liability/90944                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/14 Asian Voice: Keith Vaz interview of Colin Toogood on Bhopal and BMA                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Asian Voice, a UK tabloid newspaper, published an interview with BMA's Toogood done by Keith Vaz. Toogood talked a little about his life before BMA, what he does for BMA, and long term goals. Dow is not                   
mentioned. Toogood focuses on providing services for the gas victims \"and hopefully the justice they deserve.\" He cited the \"ongoing environmental contamination\" and the \"second disaster\" of water contamination. He       
acknowledged BMA is a \"tiny charity,\" \"there is so little awareness\" of continuing issues in Bhopal, and people assume \"the Bhopal disaster was all resolved many years ago.\" Full text available on request.                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/14-11/17 Independent, Socialist Party UK: BMHRC drug trials commentary                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
UK Independent posted two articles on the Bhopal Memorial Hospital and Research Center drug trials:                                                                                                                          
- The first focused on pharmaceutical companies using impoverished Indian people as \"guinea pigs,\" with one short paragraph on the drug trials. Full text available on request.                                              
- The second article was specific to the BMHRC. Writer Nina Lakhani said the information sources were \"secret reports\" showing \"drug trials funded by western pharmaceutical firms at the Indian hospital set up for         
survivors of the Bhopal disaster violated international ethical standards and could have put patients at risk.\"The reports cited are likely documents accessed by ICJB leader Rachna Dhingra via RTI requests that have been 
reported here previously. Dow is not mentioned, the article focuses on pharmaceutical companies including Theravance, Pfizer, GSK and Sanofi, and the drug trial practices at the hospital. Dhingra termed the conduct of    
the trials \"disgusting and appalling,\" and the Bhopal gas survivors who were subjected to the trials \"doubly victimized.\" A case study of Ramadhar Shrivastave is included; he is the same patient highlighted in recent     
media items about the drug trial controversy.                                                                                                                                                                                
http://feeds.bignewsnetwork.com/?rid=201028415&cat=hfu8sjsy4hjfjdha                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
- Daily News & Analysis published a commentary on Monday's broader Independent report on drug trials in India. Full text available on request.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
- The Socialist Party UK media also included a brief report on the BMHRC drug trials controversy.                                                                                                                            
http://www.socialistparty.org.uk/issue/694/13161/16-11-2011/fast-news                                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/17 Hard News: activist RTI requests GoI documents on Anderson extradition                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Indian media Hard News published a report on an activist's RTI requests to access GoI documents on the Warren Anderson extradition efforts. Afroz Alam Sahil was provided with CBI and Ministry of External Affairs          
documents from 1992-94, which he said indicated the agencies did not try to expedite the process.                                                                                                                            
The lengthy article mentioned the curative petition on Bhopal victims compensation was originally scheduled to begin hearings on Oct. 17, \"but it has been postponed.\"                                                       
http://www.hardnewsmedia.com/2011/11/4214                                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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11/18 Derby Evening Telegraph: Animal's People review                                                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The UK's Derby Evening Telegraph published a local book group review of Indra Sinha's novel Animal's People. Full text available on request.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Bhopali film: Screenings scheduled in Amsterdam, Toronto, London, NYC, Pittsburgh, Boston                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Upcoming screenings scheduled for the Bhopali documentary include:                                                                                                                                                           
-        11/18-11/23, International Documentary Film Festival Amsterdam (IDFA) - four screenings: 11/18, 19, 20, 23. No indication whether either Carlson or Payalan will attend.                                            
-        11/25. Amnesty Int'l Film Festival - Toronto screening with Ellen Shifrin, ICJB North America advisory board member, also AI Toronto Business & Human Rights Team, and Aube Giroux, a Canadian activist filmmaker.  
-        11/30 Frontier Club, London. Writer and BMA co-founder Indra Sinha will attend (host/present?)                                                                                                                      
-        12/1 The Indie Screen in Brooklyn, NY                                                                                                                                                                               
-        12/1 Pittsburgh University, presented by AID Pittsburgh                                                                                                                                                             
-        12/2 Amnesty International Film Festival, Bloor Street United Church of Canada in Toronto                                                                                                                           
-        12/3 MIT campus at 6:30 p.m. \"followed by a Q&A with members of ICJB.                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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ICJB website: new front page layout; Rail Roko information/justification                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The front page of the ICJB website, Bhopal.net, front page has undergone a partial transition, with a new image of a Bhopal torch light rally and a reorganization of the information on the page. The site's interior pages 
do not appear to have changed.                                                                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The site was also updated with five pages of information regarding the Rail Roko protest that is planned for Bhopal on Dec. 3.                                                                                               
The posts include:                                                                                                                                                                                                           
- An appeal for readers to \"change your reservations now\" to avoid traveling by train on 12/3. The text includes an apology for the inconvenience, \"but stopping the trains is the only effective way we can think of to get 
our urgent and important message through to the prime minister & government.\"                                                                                                                                                
- The posts are all about compensation for the gas victims - the UCC settlement amount, how it was calculated, the GoI's \"promise to make amends for its betrayal in 1989\" with the curative petition on compensation, and   
the claimed inaccuracy of data submitted with the curative petition, as compared to ICMR data. Comparisons using charts and tables are made between settlements for the U.S. Sept. 11, 2001 attacks, the \"Mangalore rail     
crash,\" and \"Uphaar cinema fire.\"                                                                                                                                                                                            
- A page on \"the first betrayal\" claims Warren Anderson met with the Indian ambassador in Washington early in 1985 and was told the GoI \"had an open mind\" but wanted UCC \"to take the first step\" in proposing a            
settlement. A proposal was reportedly delivered at a subsequent \"top secret meeting\" between UCC, UCIL and GoI officials, followed by the formal proposal on March 4, 1985.                                                  
Full text attached.                                                                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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BMA website: media items on Dow's Olympic sponsorship; play day for Chingari Trust children                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
BMA posted four new items on its website, including three of the recent media items on Dow's Olympic sponsorship:                                                                                                            
-        An excerpt from the Independent's initial article on Tuesday, 11/15, with the title \"Coe shrugs off Bhopal protest.\"                                                                                                
-        The Guardian's poll on whether LOCOG should drop Dow's sponsorship.                                                                                                                                                 
-        The Channel 4 article on the sponsorship issue.                                                                                                                                                                     
-        Photos and description of a picnic and play day for Chingari Trust children at a park in Bhopal.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Amnesty: Bhopal presentation slides for Group 133; Annual Write-A-Thon on Dec. 11                                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Amnesty Group 133 (Somerville, MA) message board posted the slides from Leonid Chindelevitch's ICJB presentation Nov. 8. The 28 slides do not contain much new information. The Olympics campaign plan is the same that  
was posted on the AID Boston chapter minutes from 10/23. The new items are:                                                                                                                                                  
  * Dates for local events - 12/3  Bhopali documentary screening at MIT; a workshop on 11/13 \"on activism-life balance\" - by Hillary Rettig.                                                                                 
  * The 'Plan of Action\" reiterated:                                                                                                                                                                                         
       * \"reach out - US Olympians, Dow victims from all 5 continents, Allies (Amnesty International, AID, Agent Orange, Greenpeace, BMA, etc)                                                                               
       * \"Mobilize awareness on Dec 3rd and 10th                                                                                                                                                                             
       * \"Hold parallel Olympics for Dow victims                                                                                                                                                                             
       * \"Strategy via the Olympic organizing committee\" (no further explanation of this)                                                                                                                                    
  * A victory over \"Dow's hypocrisy\" was claimed because 6 ICJB members \"disrupted\" the Live Earth Run in 2010 and \"It was not held again in 2011!\"                                                                          
  * Past events mentioned included the walks from Bhopal to Delhi and the \"B'eau Pal Water\" Yes Men/BMA prank                                                                                                                
Due to the file size, the slides are available on request.                                                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Amnesty Group 133 plans to hold its Annual Global Write-A-Thon on Sunday, Dec. 11 in the Center Court of Boston's Prudential Building. The ICJB Boston action plan regarding Dow's Olympics sponsorship includes Dec. 10,    
World Human Rights Day, as an action date this year. Given Chindelevitch's recent presentation, the public event is a candidate for some type of ICJB activity.                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Change.org petition now over 1,000 signatures                                                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
As of Nov. 18, the Change.org petition addressed to Lord Coe currently has about 1,030 signatures.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Activist email: Dhingra, Edwards send media items to Remember-Bhopal list                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Rachna Dhingra emailed to the Remember-Bhopal distribution list the full text of Tuesday's Independent article claiming \"secret reports\" as the source material for reporting on the BMHRC drug trials.                      
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Dhingra and Tim Edwards each emailed Wednesday's poll URL to the \"Remember-Bhopal\" distribution list and encouraged recipients to vote \"Yes.\"                                                                                
Edwards also emailed 8 URLs for a \"selection of UK coverage\" on Tuesday.                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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AID: new chapter at George Washington Univ.                                                                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
There is a new AID chapter at George Washington University in Washington, D.C. No details have been released about the group, other than it was founded \"with the help of a few AID JHU (Johns Hopkins Univ) students.\"      
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Message boards: Games Monitor; Chennai and Delhi enviro groups                                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Games Monitor watchdog blog and message board posted Tuesday's BMA press announcement and Times of India's report on Coe's hearing testimony on the Dow sponsorship.                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
ICJB activist Shweta Nayaran shared the Guardian poll link on the message boards for the Chennai-based environmental group Lets Save Our Oceans and Reclaim Our Beaches, and the IITD4Bhopal IIT Delhi group.                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Blogs: BMA volunteer Ian Jarvis updates on life at clinic                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Sambhavna Clinic volunteer therapist Ian Jarvis posted a Week 11 diary update about life at the clinic. His main topics are the Muslim Eid festival, and challenges of electrical power access at the clinic.                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Social media: BMA Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube; anti-Dow Olympics Facebook                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
BMA's Facebook page was updated with the same three posts as the website:                                                                                                                                                    
-       An excerpt from the Independent's initial article on Tuesday, 11/15, with the title \"Coe shrugs off Bhopal protest.                                                                                                  
-       The Guardian's poll on whether LOCOG should drop Dow's sponsorship.                                                                                                                                                  
-       The Channel 4 article on the sponsorship issue.                                                                                                                                                                      
The page also included a link to the Hindustan Times article from 11/12 about GoI cancelling registrations for the four DAS India products. Photojournalist Jack Laurenson posted several comments criticizing Dow's Olympic 
sponsorship and remarks made by Lord Coe regarding the issue.                                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
BMA's Twitter account tweeted the link to the Guardian's poll, announcing that 91.6% thought Dow should be removed as a sponsor. The account also posted several links to recent media, and a link to the Bhopali Facebook   
announcement of the film screening at MIT on Dec. 1.                                                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Al Jazeera's video report on the anti-Dow UK activists was \"liked\" by BMA on YouTube.                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The anti-Dow Olympic sponsorship Facebook page has many of the same posts as the BMA page, and a few others.                                                                                                                 
-        Rosalind Hardie posted a link to the KIM Foundation, with the comment \"Dow were also manufacturers of Agent Orange and Napalm used against civilians in the Vietnam War.\"                                           
-        Lorraine Close posted the Ecologist article on the PAN people's tribunal session about the agrichemical companies                                                                                                   
-        Close also remarked her Change.org petition exceeded 1,000 signatures, and asked for continued sharing of the link to it.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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Yes Men: Yes Lab actions at APEC in Hawai'i; Bonanno to conduct Yes Lab in Sweden 12/14-16; Mark Rudd at Yes Lab 11/17                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Yes Men reported a Yes Lab action took place at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) conference in Honolulu, Hawai'i on 11/12, where Occupy Hawai'i activist and \"renowned guitarist Makana\" was to perform      
instrumental music, but instead sang a protest song he called \"We Are the Many\" and displayed a shirt reading \"Occupy With Aloha.\" The audience included heads of states from the U.S., China, Canada, Indonesia and         
elsewhere.                                                                                                                                                                                                                   
The prank received local media coverage in the Honolulu Star Advertiser, as well as blog posts by the Yes Men.                                                                                                               
http://www.staradvertiser.com/s?action=login&f=y  (requires subscription or available on request)                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Univ. of Hawai'i  Manoa media Ka Leo had reported successively on Yes Man Mike Bonanno's appearances in the state at the \"alterna* APEC's Forum(to)Festival\" event Nov. 9-13. Bonanno encouraged forum participants to       
respond creatively to \"give APEC the attention it deserves.\" There was no mention of Makana as a forum participant.                                                                                                          
http://www.kaleo.org/news/forum-encourages-creative-response-to-apec-1.2667628                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
Bonanno is scheduled to appear on Dec. 14 at Stockholm arts blog Sugarcube Gallery to lecture and \"conduct a yeslab [sic] in various sites, including KKH, Sugarcube and Stockholm at large.\" Bonanno's visit is to be Dec.  
14-16. The event is \"part of the Budget Recalcitrance Program conceived by Amanda Newall at the Royal Institute of Art.\"                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
The Nov. 17 Occupy Wall Street day of action was promoted by the Yes Lab blog, which concurrently announced the week's \"Revolutionaries Live!\" speaker was Mark Rudd, who was a \"national symbol of student revolt\" as part  
of the SDS faction the Weathermen in the 1960s..                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Table of Contents 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
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                                                                                            Allis Information Management, Inc..                                                                                              

   Please remove me from this mailing list.

    
","2011-11-19 00:39:50",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/407784_dow-confidential-bhopal-monitoring-report-friday-november-18.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","mongoven@stratfor.com","attach/35/35124_Activist email 11-14-11 ICJB press release.pdf
attach/35/35125_Activist info 11-14-11 ICJB Olympian Endorsements.pdf
attach/35/35128_Activist info 11-14-11 ICJB athlete petition.pdf
attach/35/35551_Activist info 11-17-11 ICJB - Rail Roko.pdf
attach/37/37070_PAN_-_PPT_press_release_11-14-11.pdf
attach/37/37073_Activist_info_11-12-11_BMA_press_statement.pdf
attach/37/37074_PPT_AgChem_case_summary_11-16-11.pdf"
408316,"Bhopal update - 11-30-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   UK media continued reporting on the IOA not voting on an Olympic boycott,
   with the latest items including a comment from Lord Coe: \"I have very,
   very close links with the Indian national Olympic committee and I have
   never had any sense at all, privately or publicly, that there was any
   appetite for a boycott.\"

   Articles have been seen the Guardian, the Mirror, some local/regional
   outlets and a few international outlets. The texts are all very similar.

   Guardian: 
   http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2011/nov/29/lord-coe-india-boycott-london-2012?newsfeed=true

   Midland Daily News today has the AP article from Monday, located on page
   A3 at the top.

   Indian sports media SportzPower published an article reporting the IOA
   meeting on 12/5 \"is not going to happen,\" partly because IOA secretary
   general Raja Randhir Singh will be traveling to Lausanne, Switzerland that
   day. Unidentified \"top sources\" also indicated none of the former
   Olympians who signed are IOA members, and that none of the active athletes
   \"have written anything\" about the Dow sponsorship.

   This article reported the IOC \"has been circulating\" a document with
   background on the Bhopal gas accident and subsequent activities of the
   Indian governments and UCC \"to place on the table the facts of the case
   against the detractors, who are linking Dow Chemical Company with Union
   Carbide Company.\"

   http://www.sportzpower.com/?q=content/dow-chemicals-issue-no-concern-ioa-has-no-issue-london-2012-0

   Marketing Week published a commentary about Olympic sponsorships in
   general, that sponsoring companies comprise \"a veritable rogues gallery of
   the corporate reputation that hardly adheres to the Olympic motto of
   `faster, higher, stronger.\" BP, Lloyds TSB and Thomas Cook are named in
   this regard. Further comment includes: \"Today, most of the companies big
   enough to afford an Olympic sponsorship and desperate enough to seek out
   global recognition are often those most in need of reputational rescue.\"

   -       Tim Edwards emailed a link to the article to the Remember-Bhopal
   distribution list and included the last item quoted.

   http://www.marketingweek.co.uk/opinion/the-olympic-rings-hide-a-multitude-of-sins/3032347.article

   IBNS published the ICJB press statement about Sambhavna staff
   participation in the Bhopal anniversary events. DNA published a brief item
   from that.

   PTI reported Abdul Jabbar \"threatened of holding a dharna\" on 12/2-3 at CM
   Chouhan's residence as an anniversary observance. Jabbar addressed the
   media, complaining the \"district court\" has \"a total lack of seriousness\"
   in hearing the case on enhancing the sentences in the Bhopal criminal
   case. He also said the GoI and MP state have not implemented the several
   projects or programs for the gas victims that have been announced \"in the
   last 18 months.\"

   http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report_bhopal-gas-tragedy-organisation-accuses-centre-state-of-inaction_1619422

   In Nagpur, the Hitavada reported DRDO joint director, Dr. G P Meshram,
   presented at an Indo Finland workshop at NEERI on \"The Genomic Tools in
   Bio-remediation.\" The Hitavada asked Meshram about possible applications
   of bio-remediation for the Bhopal factory waste, to which he apparently
   responded positively. (The writing and grammar are not entirely clear.)
   Full text available on request.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-11-30 18:51:55",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/408316_bhopal-update-11-30-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
408906,"Bhopal update - 07-26-11
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Bhopal gas NGOs held a \"huge rally\" (photo in DNA paper looks like
   300-400 people), marched from the Bhopal Talkies theatre and presented to
   the Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister and Governor a memo for Prime Minister
   Singh calling for the curative petition on compensation and the UCC
   settlement to be revised with \"facts and figures consistent with the
   actual damage caused by the disaster.\" Rachna Dhingra was quoted on behalf
   of the Bhopal Group for Information and Action, offering to \"point out
   lacunae [gaps/holes] in the curative petition.\"

   She said the current form of the curative petition \"would only serve to
   misinform the Supreme Court regarding the extent of damage caused by the
   corporation and it would thus be an obstruction to the delivery of justice
   to the Bhopal victims.\"

   The DNA article was not found online, but the Daily Pioneer also reported
   on the protest. DNA's coverage was on p5 of the Indore edition at the top
   of the page with one short column of text and a 3-column wide photo.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/355968/Gas-tragedy-survivors-submit-memorandum-to-Guv-seek-PMs-intervention.html

   Mail Today published an editorial comment on the curative petition and
   called for it to be \"withdrawn from the Supreme Court, amended suitably
   and filed again.\"

   The article was not found online.

   Al Jazeera published a lengthy article by high-profile activist Vandana
   Shiva in which she cited the Bhopal gas disaster as an example of
   corporations as sources of \"toxic pollution.\" The article was a general
   condemnation of capitalism and the current Indian administration.

   http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/07/2011722134648714404.html

   CSR Wire published a review by Elaine Cohen of a book titled \"Corporate
   Social Responsibility: An Ethical Approach,\" by Mark Schwarz. Cohen wrote:
   \"The heart of the book, however, is a grand debate between Milton Friedman
   and The Body Shop positions on a range of CSR-related case studies\" and
   the Bhopal gas tragedy is grouped with the Johnson & Johnson Tylenol
   contamination incident and \"the river blindness story and Merck, the
   pharmaceutical company.\"

   http://www.csrwire.com/blog/posts/65-a-review-of-corporate-social-responsibility-an-ethical-approach

   Express News Service reported a film festival at Thiruvananthapuram will
   include \"After the Genocide,\" based on the Bhopal tragedy. (This film is
   not familiar to me) 
   http://expressbuzz.com/cities/thiruvananthapuram/old-partner-to-be-opening-film/297801.html

   The BMA website posted the India Today article on the NGOs' press
   statement about the compensation and mortality/morbidity figures, and
   posted Twitter and Facebook links to the post.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-07-26 17:11:41",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/408906_bhopal-update-07-26-11-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
408954,"Re: Ambassador Djalal
","   You guys need a life. Or dinner on my deck when temp goes down 10 or 20
   degrees. And you both hang out with women who are way beyond your low
   stations in life. As do I. K
    
   From: Karl Rove [mailto:kr@rove.com]
   Sent: Sunday, September 04, 2011 07:43 PM
   To: George Friedman <gfriedman@stratfor.com>
   Cc: Kerry Cammack
   Subject: Re: Ambassador Djalal
    
   I've been doing it for years and little has helped
   On Sep 4, 2011, at 7:38 PM, George Friedman wrote:

     Thanks. I'm already doing damage control on teh Cammack matter.

     On 09/04/11 19:30 , Karl Rove wrote:

       will do -- he has a call into me as well
       I will tell him you inquired and then make it happen
       both of us need to worry about what the public knowledge that we know
       Cammack could do to our respective reputations
       On Sep 4, 2011, at 6:45 PM, George Friedman wrote:

         Karl:

         Dino Djalal is the Indonesian Ambassador to the United States and
         someone I have known for a bit.  On a trip to Jakarta where I met
         with the President, he approached me asking whether I could help in
         arranging a visit for him with President Bush in order to offer his
         formal gratitude for improving relations with Indonesia during his
         administration. I gathered that this visit was of importance to his
         President who is deeply grateful to President Bush and wants it
         formally transmitted.

         I said that I would do what I could, which in m case consists of
         bringing the matter to Kerry's attention.  I certainly am not aware
         of all of the dynamics here, but I do know that President Bush was
         regarded very fondly in Indonesia during my visit. I do not think
         there is any hidden agenda in this.  Should such a visit be
         possible, it would certainly please the Ambassador and President of
         Indonesia.

         If there is any way I can help facilitate this, please let me know. 
         Thank you for your help in advance.

         Best,

         George Friedman
         On 09/04/11 13:01 , Kerry Cammack wrote:

           George, please contact Karl to coordinate the request you are
           honoring from the Indonesian ambassador to the US for a courtesy
           call and visit with President Bush.  Karl believes the President
           would favorably respond to the request but of course that is
           contingent on timing and other scheduling commitments.  Karl, the
           ambassador is a friend of Georgei? 1/2s who has reached out to 
           him for assistance in arranging this meeting.  Thanks for helping
           my friend George respond to this request.   Best,  Kerry

            

           Kerry N. Cammack

           Cammack & Strong, P.C.

           919 Congress Avenue, Suite 1400

           Austin, TX 78701

           Tele:(512) 472-9919

           Fax:(512) 476-6441

            

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         STRATFOR

         221 West 6th Street

         Suite 400

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         Phone: 512-744-4319

         Fax: 512-744-4334

          

     --

     George Friedman

     Founder and CEO

     STRATFOR

     221 West 6th Street

     Suite 400

     Austin, Texas 78701

      

     Phone: 512-744-4319

     Fax: 512-744-4334

      
","2011-09-05 04:16:21",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/408954_re-ambassador-djalal-.html","kncammack@cammacklaw.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com,kr@rove.com",""
409205,"Bhopal update - 08-08-11 media
","   Scot, Tomm,

   Coverage of the activist displeasure over the Olympic stadium wrap is
   mainly in India at this point in time.

   Chemical Week, however, published an article by Alex Scott that is more
   critical of the wrap's sustainability than the Bhopal issue. Scott
   referred to the Express Sunday article \"Olympic Stadium `is Stained by the
   Blood of Bhopal\" and wrote, \"Dow purchased Union Carbide several years ago
   and with it the burden of any outstanding  blame for the accident.\" He
   also said, \"Some environmental experts I have talked to are not
   particularly impressed by the Wrap material, however\"; but he did not cite
   anyone in particular. Scott is CW's Executive Editor, Web and Environment.

   http://www.chemweek.com/chem_ideas/Alex-Scott/Dow-Olympic-Wrap-Shrouded-in-Criticism-too-Much-Looking-Back-or-Not-Enough-Looking-Forward_36770.html

   PTI reported they received a statement from the London Olympic Committee
   defending the Dow sponsorship, saying \"\"It is a matter of record that the
   plant at the time of this human tragedy was not owned by Dow Chemical. Dow
   was appointed as the supplier of the wrap following a rigorous procurement
   process.  All of our suppliers must work within our own sustainable
   sourcing code and reflect our values and sustainability requirements.\"

   The report combined the LOC statement; Dow's press information on the
   wrap; Rachna Dhingra's comment on the \"message to Seb Coe\" and Dow's \"PR
   machine working for them day and night; Greenpeace's characterization of
   the sponsorship as \"offensive\"; and BMA activist Lorrain Close's comment
   regarding \"abuse and neglect\" of \"some of the poorest people, while being
   positively reinforced by Olympic organizers and the UK government.\"
   Multiple pickups by online media.

   http://www.asianage.com/india/dow-chemicals-icing-cake-london-olympics-activists-furious-392

   Print edition coverage

   -       Hindustan Times' front pages of all four English language editions
   today had the in-house report by Depankar De Sarkar. The Kolkata edition
   had the article at as the lead story with the child's funeral image, while
   New Delhi, Mumbai and Chandigarh editions placed the piece at the bottom
   of the page with a photo of the Olympic stadium.

   -       HT's sports also had the hockey players' reactions condemning the
   Olympics deal.  New Delhi - p18 top, Kolkata - p16 top, Chandigarh - p13
   bottom, Mumbai - p18 middle below the fold

   -       Times of India's Mumbai edition had an introduction to the
   Olympics story on the bottom of the front page, the story on p22

   -       Economic Times had the ANI report on p4 in a \"pitch report\" column
   and a \"thumbs down\" rating.

   NewsXLive posted a 49-second video report on YouTube: a London anchor read
   bullet points from activist statement over images from the 1984 gas leak:

   \"campaigners outraged\"; \"Children in the city [Bhopal] are still being
   born maimed\" and activists called for \"widespread protest\" and \"Bhopal
   Olympics.\" Only Greenpeace was specifically cited, with text shown from GP
   spokesperson Arundhati Muthu. Fewer than a dozen views at 8 a.m.

   IBNS reported the ICJB will be joining anti-corruption activist Anna
   Hazare in agitations over the GoI's anti-corruption bill that they
   \"condemn.\" Protests over this are planned in Bhopal on Tuesday \"at the
   Union Carbide factory,\" and unspecified \"solidarity action in Bhopal from
   August 16.\" The ICJB is again raising the issue of \"irregularities in the
   purchase of medicine for gas victims.\" They had held a 19-day fast in
   March 2007 over this, which resulted in several being charged with
   attempted suicide, which have not been resolved. The survivors groups
   claim the Ministry of Bhopal Gas Tragedy has \"sabotaged\" the Supreme
   Court's Monitoring Committee that was supposed to have oversight.

   http://www.indiablooms.com/NewsDetailsPage/newsDetails080811k.php

   AlterNet picked up the Al Jazeera report on pharmaceutical testing on poor
   populations in India, including at the Bhopal Memorial Hospital and
   Research Center.

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-08-08 17:53:50",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/409205_bhopal-update-08-08-11-media-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
412101,"Fwd: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power
 struggle, etc. - VZ302
","     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: watchofficer@statfor.com
   Sent: Monday, December 5, 2011 9:13:24 PM
   Subject: INSIGHT - VENEZUELA - Update on Chavez's health, power struggle,
   etc. - VZ302

   SOURCE: VZ302
   ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: well-connected VZ source working with Israel
   PUBLICATION: Yes
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: B - source is anti-Chavez, but I've gotten better at
   reading him over the years to tell when he's feeding me shit and when he's
   giving useful info - his info on the VZ regime has checked out, but i tend
   to be more skeptical on iran-related info
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: B
   SPECIAL HANDLING: Alpha, scrub source info and also make sure rest of
   latam team sees this
   SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

   Chavez's health - the tumor started as a growth close to the prostate, it
   spread to the colon, which is what led to a lot of confusion in the OS
   about the treatment of prostate v. colon cancer  in hormonal v.
   chemotherapy. A reliable source on the medical has explained that the
   cancer has spread to the lymph nodes and into the bone marrow up to the
   spine, ie. very serious.

   Chavez temporarily stopped the chemo in order to make an appearance at the
   recent CELAC meeting.  The medical team is made up of both Russian and
   Cuban doctors. Both sides are clashing.  THe Russian team blamed the
   Cubans for an improper surgery the first time in trying to remove the
   tumor. The second surgery over the summer was basically the Russian team
   trying to clean up the Cuban team's mistakes. The Russians complain that
   the Cubans dont have the right imagery treatment to properly treat
   Chavez.  The Cuban medical diagnosis is 2 years. The Russian medical
   diagnosis, due to improper medical equipment, is less than one year. The
   source on the medical team complains that Chavez is a very 'bad patient.'
   He doesn't listen to his doctors, he ceases treatment when he has to make
   a public appearance. Now the Russian and the Chinese doctors are going at
   it because Chavez sought hte advice of a Chinese doctor that advocates
   more natural treatments and the Russians are saying this is horse shit
   treatment. only chavez can get the most politicized medical team in the
   world.
   (note - if you see medical reports on Chavez's health in WSJ or Brazil's
   Veja magazine, it's probably coming from this source.)

   Who replaces Chavez?
   I would keep my eye on FM Nicolas Maduro. Maduro is loyal as a dog to
   Chavez. (the source knows Maduro personally, from the days that Maduro was
   a driver of the metro bus.)  At the same time, maduro is seen as the most
   pragmatic in the regime.  If Chavez's health deteriorates significantly
   before the scheduled Oct 2012 elections, expect him to proclaim Maduro as
   his successor in one way or another. You can already see him propping up
   Maduro in a lot of ways. This is less risky than Chavez going through with
   elections, winning, suddenly dying and then a power struggle among the
   Chavistas breaking out. It will be much harder in this latter scenario for
   Maduro to assert himself against rival Chavistas like Diosdado Cabello,
   Rafiel Ramirez, etc.

   Remember that there are four key players propping up the regime - China,
   Cuba, Russia, Iran. All four are split on how to manage a post-Chavez
   regime. China and Russia are more insulated, as they've tried to get away
   from Chavez the personality, to preserving Chavismo, the regime. Russia
   has set up a specific task force (note the Patrushev visits) to help
   manage the post-chavez transition. Both China and Russia are backing
   Maduro as their preferred successor. Cuba, however, is in trouble.  They
   can't count on a Maduro to continue subsidizing them with thousands of
   barrels of oil every day. No one is really paying attention to Cuba - they
   can;t count on the Europeans for investment. Without VZ, they're screwed.
   The Cubans so far have been backing Adan Chavez (Chavez's brother) as the
   preferred candidate, but he doesnt have the same following. Cuba may shift
   to backing Maduro. (At this point in the convo, i brought up the
   possibility of Cuba, having the best intel on VZ, using that intel to
   leverage with the US and open up its options - he agreed that's what the
   Castros will do to survive but he hasnt seen serious signs of this.. yet.)

   Maduro is seen as more of a Lula candidate. He has a following, he has
   charisma, but he's also a balancer. He's the kind of guy that would open
   up to the US and keep tight with everyone else, but that still makes Iran
   nervous.  The source seems to think that Obama in his second term would
   open up to Maduro (and this is something that he is actively working on.)

   The opposition -
   Venezuela is divided into 5 different strata - A, B, C, D, E - A ++ is the
   elite of the elite, the boli-bourgeoisie that that Chavez has very
   successfully vilified. Chavez doesn't give a shit about these guys. His
   base is the D and E.
   Capriles Radonski, Leopoldo Lopez, Maria Corina Machado are all the A++ -
   way too elitist. They can't win over the chavista vote.
   The only one that has a real chance is Pablo Perez - Zulia governor - he's
   actually seen as one of the people.  The conversation between him adn the
   Castros is jsut starting up. (i asked if Perez is talking to Maduro yet -
   he says not yet.)

   guess who has been most cooperative with us lately?   The military elite. 
   These guys have been living the good life. They love women... lots of
   women. THey love booze. They love bora bora. They are easy to bribe. They
   dont care about chavez. they care about maintaining their current
   lifestyles. We've seen a lot of these military elite reach out to us
   lately, trying to insulate themselves in a post-Chavez scenario.

   This is why you'll see Chavez investing a lot of time and money in
   developing the militia. They're his best insurance policy. The more of a
   problem the militia can create on the streets, the more the military elite
   will hestiate before acting against him or his potential successor.

   The intent of the ley de precios is very simple. The money laundering
   schemes in food, pharmaceuticals, energy parts, etc. etc. have gotten
   worse./ Completely unchecked.  This price controls law is the government's
   way of controlling opposition campaign spending. Very straightforward -
   they have the legal justification to intimidate corporations into cutting
   back their support for the opposition, or else, their company is taken
   over. This will allow the state more control of the private sector.

   (side note) - we were talking a bit about a recent PdVSA-Iran joint
   venture. They shifted their main base of operations from Caracas to
   Ankara, though. This has become a trend lately, where a lot of Iran's
   sanctions circumventing oeprations in VZ are quietly being relocated to
   Turkey. Part of Turkey's balancing act with Iran.

   these were the main points. will update with more..little fuzzy from wine
   right now.
","2011-12-06 03:14:51",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/412101_fwd-insight-venezuela-update-on-chavez-s-health-power.html","bhalla@stratfor.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com",""
412522,"Bhopal update 12-02-11 Media 2
","   Scot, Tomm,

   The Hindu reported on the letter to LOCOG signed by MPs, \"celebrities\" and
   others. Prof. Noam Chomsky is quoted in this item, describing the Bhopal
   gas victims as having \"every right to expect us to join them in their
   courageous efforts\" at enforcing accountability for \"one of the worst
   corporate crimes in history, and to gain some compensation for their
   suffering.\" Gardiner and Livingstone are also quoted on the rationale for
   asking LOCOG to reconsider Dow's sponsorship.

   http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/article2681773.ece

   The Hindu's Business Line expanded on the reporting on the above-mentioned
   letter, quoting Ken Livingstone, apparently from today's press conference
   in London:

   \"We will certainly be looking at the possibility of a legal challenge. If
   we can't afford a wrap for the stadium I'd rather not have one than have
   one contaminated by the death of 25,000 people.\"

   Coe's statement of confidence in Dow not having liabilities for the Bhopal
   gas leak, and a brief rendition of the history of the stadium wrap
   conclude the article.

   http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/article2681580.ece?ref=wl_agri-biz

   Daily Mail posted a series of photos from the day's protests in Bhopal,
   showing the Coe, Malhotra and stadium effigies prior to and while being
   burned; an official photo of Coe; and images of the protesters.

   http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2069167/Sebastian-Coe-effigy-burned-Bhopal-protesters-furious-chemical-firms-links-2012-London-Olympics.html

   Indian media have reported further on the rail roko event planned for
   Saturday.

   -       The Hindu reported Rachna Dhingra said the NGOs have been talking
   with the government for six months about changing the data used in the
   curative petition on compensation. The groups intend to keep the trains
   stopped until the GoI capitulates to their demand.

   http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2681980.ece

   -       Daily Pioneer reported details of locations where the blockades
   are likely to occur. Law enforcement is to be deployed. Activist
   Balkrishna Namdeo said the protests are to be non-violent, but they are
   willing to be arrested.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25028-voluntary-organisations-call-for-rail-roko-today.html

   Daily Pioneer reported BJP state president and MP Prabhat Jha claimed
   solidarity with the gas NGOs and said the government should do more for
   them.

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/24937-bjp-fight-for-gas-tragedy-victims-will-continue-jha.html

   Indian media also reported on other stories related to the anniversary
   protests: the ICJB press statements and the effigy burnings. Daily Pioneer
   reported Navin Shah said now he has begun a petition asking \"people from
   India and UK to create pressure on LOCOG to reconsider its position.\"

   http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/bhopal/25022-protestors-burn-olympic-games-partners-effigies.html

   The UK's Guardian environment blog reported on the PAN People's Tribunal
   \"trial of pesticide companies\" that begins in Bangalore on Saturday. The
   blog post focuses on bee colony collapse syndrome that is blamed on
   neonicotiniod pesticides.

   http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2011/dec/02/pesticides-bees?newsfeed=true

   The Friday Indian print editions included two items on Daily News &
   Analysis' Bhopal page in the Indore edition. One reported on the Chingari
   Trust children's rally held on Dec. 1 to commemorate the Bhopal accident
   anniversary, the other reported the ICMR's call for research proposals to
   study the long term effects of MIC exposure in the gas tragedy victims has
   only received two responses, so the submission deadline has been extended
   to Dec. 31.

   -       Two Hindustan Times editions - New Delhi and Chandigarh - included
   the article \"British MPs want Dow ousted.\" Both were in the sports
   sections off to the right side of the page - one at the top and the other
   across the fold.

   Also, Sports Illustrated columnist Brian Cazeneuve updated and corrected
   Thursday's post about the London Olympics and Dow's sponsorship.

   http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/brian_cazeneuve/11/30/Olympic-Notebook/index.html?eref=si_more

   Ann Sigsby

   Senior Analyst

   Allis Information Management

   www.allisinfo.com

   989-835-5811

   The pages comprising this e-mail contain CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION from
   Allis Information Management, Inc. This information is intended solely for
   use by the individual entity named as the recipient, be aware that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or use of the contents of this e-mail
   is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please
   forward back to the sender immediately.    
","2011-12-03 00:38:10",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/412522_bhopal-update-12-02-11-media-2-.html","asigsby@allisinfo.com","","sbwheeler@dow.com,tomm_sprick@yahoo.com,mediarelations@unioncarbide.com,CMKnochel@dow.com",""
725029,"Punish Dow Chemicals: US legislators
","Punish Dow Chemicals: US legislators                                                                     
14 Jun 2008, 2225 hrs IST,IANS                                                                           
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Pollution/Punish_Dow_Chemicals_US_legislators/articleshow/3129704.cms 
                                                                                                         
                                                                                                         
                                                                                                         
NEW DELHI: Expressing solidarity with the Bhopal gas leak victims, 16 US House of Congress members led   
by Padma Bhushan Frank Pallone Jr have urged Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to bring Dow Chemicals to     
justice.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                         
Their letter dated June 5 is strong in its criticism of the US-based Dow Chemical, which took over Union 
Carbide, in whose plant the disaster took place on December 2-3, 1984.                                   
                                                                                                         
\"The conduct of American corporations outside the US is a long-standing concern of ours. In this case,   
US corporations have refused to submit to the jurisdiction of foreign (Indian) courts. It is outrageous  
that the executives of Union Carbide and its successor, Dow Chemical, have yet to be brought to          
justice,\" the letter reads.                                                                              
                                                                                                         
In the Bhopal gas leak holocaust, often called the world's worst industrial disaster, the Union Carbide  
pesticide plant leaked over 40 tonnes of methyl isocyanate (MIC) gas, which killed at least 3,800 people 
and affected many thousands.                                                                             
                                                                                                         
The US legislators' letter is the latest in a tide of support that has flowed in from overseas,          
including endorsements from British and Scottish MPs, Amnesty International, and more than 100 eminent   
writers and artists.                                                                                     
                                                                                                         
The letter, a copy of which was given to the media by a group of survivors holding protests and an       
indefinite hunger strike here, said: \"We are writing to express our support for the people of Bhopal,    
India, victims of the world's worst industrial disaster in 1984.                                         
                                                                                                         
\"The survivors marched 500 miles in February and March from Bhopal to New Delhi, where they have been    
for over 60 days. We urge you to personally meet the survivor groups and address their long-standing     
demands for justice and a life of dignity,\" said the letter addressed to the prime minister.             
                                                                                                         
Nearly 100 people including survivors, victims' family members and activists supporting the cause are    
protesting near Jantar Mantar in the heart of New Delhi. They say they won't stop the protest unless     
Manmohan Singh meets them and solves their problems.                                                     
Besides Pallone Jr, the Congress members who have signed the letter include Patrick Kennedy, Barbara Lee 
and Steve Rothman.                                                                                       
                                                                                                         
Nityanand Jayraman, an activist on protest, said that the Prime Minister's Office (PMO) has received     
over 5,027 faxes urging him to meet the victims and listen to their demands.                             
                                                                                                         
While the PMO responded to their demands with a letter, organisations of gas leak survivors have found   
the response unsatisfactory.                                                                             
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/725029_punish-dow-chemicals-us-legislators-.html","animesh.roul@stratfor.com","","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com",""
745547,"Re: [CT] [TACTICAL]  Palantir (software)
","   Oh shit, I was way off.  I mixed these guys up with another company in my
   head.  Kerley is right about it's analytical functions.  The main public
   platform they are selling can crunch a lot of data and is used to identify
   and track fraudulent activity. These guys also came up for working with
   HBGary in trying to monitor wikileaks.

   I think Palantir is up to some shadier stuff to.  Including funding
   facebook........  (palantir's CEO is even depicted in the movie)

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Sean Noonan\" <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
   To: \"CT AOR\" <ct@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, November 8, 2011 3:30:52 PM
   Subject: Re: [CT] [TACTICAL]  Palantir (software)

   Yes, I think they do deep packet inspection stuff.  To oversimplify, this
   means the ability to look through internet traffic very carefully. 
   Similar to the stuff the Syrians were recently reported to be using. 

   Great for monitoring people who think they are anonymous, and, wait for
   it.......attribution!

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Rodger Baker\" <rbaker@stratfor.com>
   To: \"CT AOR\" <ct@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"TACTICAL\" <tactical@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, November 8, 2011 3:27:23 PM
   Subject: Re: [TACTICAL] [CT] Palantir (software)

   I'm pretty sure I demoed one of their systems once.

   http://www.palantirtech.com/government

   On Nov 8, 2011, at 3:16 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

   > ** anybody heard of this software?
   >
   > --------------------------------------------------------------------
   >
   > a company called Palantir, and it was their software that DHS/ICE used
   > to help light up the Zeta network. You'll recall that the sweep of
   > arrests was massive. I think there was a report that said there was some
   > kind of law enforcement action in all 50 states, in addition to Mexico
   > and other countries.

   --
   Sean Noonan
   Tactical Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: +1 512-279-9479 A| M: +1 512-758-5967
   www.STRATFOR.com

   --
   Sean Noonan
   Tactical Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: +1 512-279-9479 A| M: +1 512-758-5967
   www.STRATFOR.com
","2011-11-08 23:07:18",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/745547_re-ct-tactical-palantir-software-.html","sean.noonan@stratfor.com","mailto:ct@stratfor.com","ct@stratfor.com",""
866124,"Random Business Idea - Network Security
","   I'm sure this has been thought of before at STRATFOR so excuse the
   redundancy. I was reading a solid Forbes article on Assange and it said
   that a large number of deep pocket corporations were looking into
   leak-focused network security after these Wikileak episodes.

   I was wondering if it was possible for us to get some of that
   \"leak-focused\" gravy train. This is an obvious fear sale, so that's a good
   thing. And we have something to offer that the IT security companies
   don't, mainly our focus on counter-intelligence and surveillance that Fred
   and Stick know better than anyone on the planet.

   We do a lot of good work with all the personal/executive security analysis
   as well. Could we develop some ideas and procedures on the idea of
   \"leak-focused\" network security that focuses on preventing one's own
   employees from leaking sensitive information.

   The point here is that I am sure there are certain procedures and
   precautions that companies should employ that go beyond installing network
   security network to deal with potential leaks. In fact, Im not so sure
   this is an IT problem that requires an IT solution.

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-12-09 02:38:51",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/866124_random-business-idea-network-security-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
870971,"RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security
","   I believe this is the article Marko is talking about.

    

   WikiLeaks' next target is big business, Assange says

   Andy Greenberg, Forbes.com

   Date: Wed. Dec. 1 2010 7:39 PM ET

   http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/World/20101201/forbes-assange-interview-101201/

    

   In a rare interview, Assange tells Forbes that the release of Pentagon and
   State Department documents are just the beginning. His next target: big
   business.

    

   Early next year, Julian Assange says, a major American bank will suddenly
   find itself turned inside out. Tens of thousands of its internal documents
   will be exposed on Wikileaks.org with no polite requests for executives'
   response or other forewarnings. The data dump will lay bare the finance
   firm's secrets on the Web for every customer, every competitor, every
   regulator to examine and pass judgment on.

    

   When? Which bank? What documents? Cagey as always, Assange won't say, so
   his claim is impossible to verify. But he has always followed through on
   his threats. Sitting for a rare interview in a London garden flat on a
   rainy November day, he compares what he is ready to unleash to the damning
   e-mails that poured out of the Enron trial: a comprehensive vivisection of
   corporate bad behavior. \"You could call it the ecosystem of corruption,\"
   he says, refusing to characterize the coming release in more detail. \"But
   it's also all the regular decision making that turns a blind eye to and
   supports unethical practices: the oversight that's not done, the
   priorities of executives, how they think they're fulfilling their own
   self-interest.\"

    

   This is Assange: a moral ideologue, a champion of openness, a control
   freak. He pauses to think-a process that occasionally puts our
   conversation on hold for awkwardly long interludes. The slim 39-year-old
   WikiLeaks founder wears a navy suit over his 6-foot-2 frame, and his once
   shaggy white hair, recently dyed brown, has been cropped to a sandy
   patchwork of blonde and tan. He says he colors it when he's \"being
   tracked.\"

    

   \"These big-package releases. There should be a cute name for them,\" he
   says, then pauses again.

    

   \"Megaleaks?\" I suggest, trying to move things along.

    

   \"Yes, that's good-megaleaks.\" His voice is a hoarse, Aussie-tinged
   baritone. As a teenage hacker in Melbourne its pitch helped him
   impersonate IT staff to trick companies' employees into revealing their
   passwords over the phone, and today it's deeper still after a recent bout
   of flu. \"These megaleaks . . . they're an important phenomenon. And
   they're only going to increase.\"

    

   He'll see to that. By the time you're reading this another giant dump of
   classified U.S. documents may well be public. Assange refused to discuss
   the leak at the time FORBES went to press, but he claims it is part of a
   series that will have the greatest impact of any WikiLeaks release yet.
   Assange calls the shots: choosing the media outlets that splash his
   exposes, holding them to a strict embargo, running the leaks
   simultaneously on his site. Past megaleaks from his information insurgency
   over the last year have included 76,000 secret Afghan war documents and
   another trove of 392,000 files from the Iraq war. Those data explosions,
   the largest classified military security breaches in history, have roused
   antiwar activists and enraged the Pentagon.

    

   Admire Assange or revile him, he is the prophet of a coming age of
   involuntary transparency. Having exposed military misconduct on a grand
   scale, he is now gunning for corporate America. Does Assange have
   unpublished, damaging documents on pharmaceutical companies? Yes, he says.
   Finance? Yes, many more than the single bank scandal we've been
   discussing. Energy? Plenty, on everything from BP to an Albanian oil firm
   that he says attempted to sabotage its competitors' wells. Like
   informational IEDs, these damaging revelations can be detonated at will.

    

   Long gone are the days when Daniel Ellsberg had to photocopy thousands of
   Vietnam War documents to leak the Pentagon Papers. Modern whistleblowers,
   or employees with a grudge, can zip up their troves of incriminating
   documents on a laptop, USB stick or portable hard drive, spirit them out
   through personal e-mail accounts or online drop sites-or simply submit
   them directly to WikiLeaks.

    

   What do large companies think of the threat? If they're terrified, they're
   not saying. None would talk to us. Nor would the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
   WikiLeaks \"is high profile, legally insulated and transnational,\" says
   former Commerce Department official James Lewis, who follows cybersecurity
   for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. \"That adds up to a
   reputational risk that companies didn't have to think about a year ago.\"

    

   Already U.S. laws wrapped into financial reform this year expand
   whistleblower incentives to offer six- and seven-digit rewards to staffers
   in any industry who report malfeasance. WikiLeaks adds another, new form
   of corporate data breach: It offers the conscience-stricken and vindictive
   alike a chance to publish documents largely unfiltered, without censors or
   personal repercussions, thanks to privacy and encryption technologies that
   make anonymity easier than ever before. WikiLeaks' technical and
   ideological example has inspired copycats from Africa to China and rallied
   transparency advocates to push for a new, legal promised land in the
   unlikely haven of Iceland. It's also fueling a race in the cybersecurity
   industry and in Washington to find technology that can plug information
   leaks once for all.

    

   Today Assange looks tired, his eyes narrowed and the skin beneath them
   puffy, as if he's unused to even England's gloomy daylight. He has no
   permanent home. \"We're like a traveling production company; everyone moves
   somewhere, and we put on a production,\" he sighs. \"We haven't had any rest
   since April.\" In Sweden, where many of the group's servers are based, a
   warrant has now been issued for his arrest on rape charges. He's denied
   the accusations, arguing they amount to smear tactics. He's also afraid to
   set foot in several other countries, including the U.S., fearing that
   officials will find reasons to detain him. No question that WikiLeaks
   would be in trouble if he were jailed: A spokeswoman says it has a
   \"contingency plan,\" but without Assange there is no public face.
   Meanwhile, his resources have been drained by defections from his
   organization; some old friends and associates have taken issue with his
   autocratic style.

    

   None of which has stopped him from picking new fights. The promised
   release of bank documents would be the largest assault by WikiLeaks on the
   corporate sector, and Assange says the business community should expect
   plenty of sequels. In early October the site shut down its
   document-submission system; Assange says it was receiving more information
   than it could find resources to publish, thousands of additions a day at
   some points. The total is more gigabytes of data than he can count. \"Our
   pipeline of leaks has been increasing exponentially as our profile rises,\"
   he says, drawing a curve upward in the air with one hand.

    

   If even a fraction of his claims are borne out, he's already sitting on a
   crypt of data any three-letter spy agency would kill for. The world's most
   vocal transparency advocate is now one of the world's biggest keepers of
   secrets. And about half of those revelations, says Assange, relate to the
   private sector.

    

   Over the last four years he has been so busy embarrassing various
   governments, from Washington to the corrupt Kenyan regime of Daniel arap
   Moi, that many forget the corporate scandals already on WikiLeaks' trophy
   wall. In January 2008 the site posted documents alleging that the Swiss
   bank Julius Baer hid clients' profits from even the Swiss government,
   concealing them in what seemed to be shell companies in the Cayman
   Islands. The bank filed a lawsuit against WikiLeaks for publishing data
   stolen from its clients. Baer later dropped the suit-but managed to stir
   up embarrassing publicity for itself. The next year WikiLeaks published
   documents from a pharma trade group implying that its lobbyists were
   receiving confidential documents from and exerting influence over a World
   Health Organization project to fund drug research in the developing world.
   The resulting attention helped crater the WHO project.

    

   In September 2009 commodities giant Trafigura filed an injunction that
   prevented British media from mentioning a damaging internal report. The
   memo showed the company had dumped tons of toxic waste in the Ivory Coast,
   chemicals that allegedly sickened 100,000 locals. But it couldn't stop
   WikiLeaks from publishing the information. Trafigura eventually paid more
   than $200 million in settlements.

    

   How can an American corporation respond to a Wiki attack? Lawsuits won't
   work: WikiLeaks is legally shielded in the U.S. by its role as a mere
   conduit for documents. Even if a company somehow won a judgment against
   WikiLeaks, that wouldn't shut it down. Assange spreads the site's assets
   over many countries. \"There's no single target to drop a bomb on,\" says
   Eric Goldman, a law professor at Santa Clara University.

    

   The best protection? With a dash of irony Icelandic WikiLeaks staffer
   Kristinn Hrafnsson suggests that companies change their ways to avoid
   targeting. \"They should resist the temptation to enter into corruption,\"
   he says. Don Tapscott, coauthor of The Naked Corporation (Free Press,
   2003), agrees. His simplistic conclusion: \"Open your own kimono. You're
   going to be naked. So you have to dig deep, look at your whole operation,
   make sure that integrity is part of your bones.\"

    

   Most corporations, instead, are turning to cybersecurity to shield their
   private parts. Despite dozens of calls to companies in tech, energy and
   finance, none wanted to talk about antileaking strategies. But a Forrester
   Research study found that about a quarter of companies in the U.S., the
   U.K., France, Germany and Canada were implementing leak-focused security
   software in 2010, and another third are considering that option. A study
   last year by the Ponemon Institute, a privacy-research consultancy in
   Traverse City, Mich., found that 60% of employees admit to taking
   sensitive data before they leave a company.

    

   *****

    

   Some of the more intriguing antileak work is being done by Uncle Sam. In
   an unmarked government building on the edge of a residential Arlington,
   Va. neighborhood, a cybersecurity researcher named Peiter Zatko shows just
   how easily leaks can occur. He lays out a blow-by-blow history of one
   insider data theft: The suspect searched broadly over the network to find
   anything related to critical infrastructure, then returned to manually
   probe a few interesting files. \"Then he walked away with enough
   information to shut down big chunks of the telephone systems in the United
   States,\" Zatko says matter-of-factly.

    

   Who was that shadowy data smuggler? \"That was me,\" says the 39-year-old
   researcher, giggling bashfully.

    

   Zatko is not your typical Department of Defense employee. Even in his new
   Beltway digs, he prefers to be called \"Mudge,\" the hacker handle he used
   during decades of exploring the dark corners of the Internet. Frank Heidt,
   a former security staffer at MCI and several military contractors, says
   that when he first read Zatko's exploit research in mid-1990s hacker
   zines, he thought that Mudge must be the pseudonym of a group. \"He was so
   prolific that I thought he couldn't be one person,\" Heidt says. In 1998,
   as part of the L0pht hacker think tank, Zatko testified in a congressional
   hearing that he and his friends could shut down the Internet in 30
   minutes.

    

   Since March Zatko has also been a lead cybersecurity researcher at the
   Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the mad-scientist wing of the
   Pentagon devoted to projects that occasionally result in breakthroughs
   like the Internet and GPS. Zatko's new pet project may be equally
   ambitious: He aims to rid the world of digital leaks.

    

   The telephone system theft case that Zatko dissected in a Darpa conference
   room was a test, demonstrating that anyone with access to a network could
   steal data without detection, despite the system's expensive security
   software. Now his challenge is to fix the problem. Since August he has led
   a project known as the Cyber Insider Threat, or Cinder. Like most Darpa
   initiatives it's an X-Prize-style open invitation for ideas; recipients
   typically get tens of millions of dollars in government funding.
   Thirty-five entrants, mostly tiny companies, have already publicly signed
   up, many more in secret. \"We're looking to everyone from academia to
   startups to large government contractors,\" says Zatko. \"We're not looking
   for evolutionary improvement. We want to pull the rug out from the problem
   altogether.\"

    

   It's a well-worn carpet. Since late 2007 every major security software
   vendor, from McAfee to Symantec to Trend Micro, has spent hundreds of
   millions of dollars to acquire companies in the so-called Data-Leak
   Prevention (DLP) industry-software designed to locate and tag sensitive
   information, and then guard against its escape at the edges of a firm's
   network.

    

   The problem: DLP doesn't work. Data is simply created too quickly, and
   moved around too often, for a mere filter to catch it, says Richard
   Stiennon, an analyst for security consultancy IT-Harvest, in Birmingham,
   Mich. \"For DLP to function, all the stars have to align,\" he says. \"This
   is a huge problem that can't be stopped with a single layer of
   infrastructure.\"

    

   More fashionable now is network forensics: the process of constantly
   collecting every fingerprint on a company's servers to trace an intruder
   or leaker after the fact-and, perhaps, deter the next one. That's a bit
   like fighting the next war according to the last one. Still, revenue at
   NetWitness, a prominent Herndon, Va. startup in that budding field, has
   leaped from $250,000 to $40 million since 2006. While the software
   generally gathers data and makes it easily available to queries, it
   doesn't pinpoint culprits. \"There's nothing in current technology that can
   do this in an automated fashion,\" says Shawn Carpenter, principal
   forensics analyst at NetWitness. \"You need a Columbo.\"

    

   Or, better yet, a robo-Columbo. Darpa's Zatko has been working on a system
   of automatically identifying what he calls \"malicious missions\": insider
   activity aimed at stealing data from inside a company's firewall, whether
   it's a Dell PC remotely hijacked by a Chinese cyberspy or Bradley
   Mannings, the U.S. soldier accused of leaking classified documents about
   combat in Afghanistan to WikiLeaks. Zatko's system would monitor networks
   in real-time for just the sort of data-stealing behavior he would perform
   himself: steps like scouring large areas of the network for a certain
   file, dumping piles of data to external storage hardware or sending
   encrypted files out over the Internet. No single episode would signal a
   leak; instead, the software would link acts in a probabilistic chain,
   triggering an alert only if a string of events points to purposeful data
   theft.

    

   Some of that leaky behavior isn't what a casual observer might expect.
   Consider the cyber footprints left by Robert Hanssen, a former FBI agent
   serving a life sentence in a Colorado supermax prison for selling
   intelligence to the Soviets over two decades. Every few days Hanssen would
   stop his normal activities and make a single query to a server across the
   network, a pattern he repeated for years. That server, Zatko says, held
   the counterintelligence database. Hanssen was searching for himself, a
   routine check to see if he'd finally been found out.

    

   \"You put all these things together into the different components of the
   mission,\" says Zatko. \"I'm looking for these new rhythms, new tells, new
   interrelations and requirements.\"

    

   Cinder wasn't created to combat WikiLeaks-in fact, it predates WikiLeaks'
   biggest military scandals. But Zatko has nonetheless found himself
   squarely in opposition to Assange's mission-a strange face-off, given that
   the two men once traveled in the same hacker circles, during the years
   when Assange went by the hacker handle Mendax (a Latin reference to the
   \"splendidly deceptive\" in the poet Horace's Odes) and reveled in accessing
   corporate and government systems without authorization. Neither will
   reveal much about their past encounters, but Assange says that they \"were
   in the same milieu.\" Asked about Assange, Zatko says only, \"I have very
   pleasant memories of those old days.\"

    

   WikiLeaks' founder, in fact, seems to have trouble accepting that Mudge is
   working for the other side. \"He's a clever guy, and he's also highly
   ethical,\" says Assange. \"I suspect he would have concerns about creating a
   system to conceal genuine abuses.\" He dismisses Cinder as just another
   system of digital censorship. And those systems, he says, will always
   fail, just as China's Great Firewall can't stop well-informed and
   determined dissident Internet users. \"Censorship might work for the
   average person but not for highly motivated people,\" Assange says. \"And
   our people are highly motivated.\"

    

   *****

    

   Shutting down WikiLeaks wouldn't stop the growing movement of transparency
   agitators. They now have a nation-size ally: Iceland. Since WikiLeaks
   scored a major scoop unearthing the corrupt loans that helped destroy that
   country's largest bank, the volcanic island is fast on its way to becoming
   the conduit for a global flood of leaks.

    

   It began when Kaupthing Bank collapsed in October 2008-a calamitous chain
   reaction that has strapped Iceland with $128 billion in debts, around
   $400,000 per capita. Ten months later Bogi Agustsson, a Walter
   Cronkite-ish anchor for Icelandic national broadcaster RUV, appeared on
   the evening news and explained that a legal injunction had prevented the
   station from airing a prepared expose on Kaupthing. Viewers who wanted to
   see the material, he suggested, should visit a site called Wikileaks.org.

    

   Those who took Agustsson's advice found a summary of Kaupthing's loan book
   posted on the site, detailing more than $6 billion funneled from
   Kaupthing's coffers to its own proprietors and companies they owned, often
   with little or no collateral; $900 million went to Olafur Olafsson, a
   major investor in Kaupthing who, on his birthday, flew in Elton John from
   England, along with a grand piano, for a one-hour concert. \"The banks had
   been eaten from the inside out,\" says Kristinn Hrafnsson, a former
   investigative reporter in Reykjavik who now works with WikiLeaks.

    

   A government investigation is still going on; no criminal charges have
   been filed. But WikiLeaks became a household name in Iceland. In December
   2009 Assange and Daniel Domscheit-Berg, a German who then worked with
   WikiLeaks, were invited to keynote a free-speech conference in Reykjavik.
   Their talk echoed an idea from American cyberlibertarian John Perry
   Barlow, calling for a \"Switzerland of bits.\" Iceland, with its independent
   spirit and recent taste of explosive whistle-blowing, they suggested,
   could become the digital doppelga:nger of a tax haven: a safe harbor for
   transparency, where it's open season on government and business
   secrets-and leakers are protected by law.

    

   The idea might have gone nowhere if not for Birgitta Jonsdottir. Assange's
   message captivated the 43-year-old poet and self-styled
   \"realist-anarchist.\" She wasn't just another idealistic protester with a
   goth wardrobe and hipster haircut. In the chaotic political environment
   that followed the national financial crisis, Jonsdottir had been elected
   to Iceland's parliament, the Althingi, in April 2009.

    

   Working with the country's transparency activists, she pulled together the
   Icelandic Modern Media Initiative, or Immi. The initiative would bring to
   Iceland all the source-protection, freedom of information and transparency
   laws from around the world and even set up a Nobel-style international
   award for work in the field of free expression. Jonsdottir pushed through
   a unanimous resolution to create a series of bills to implement Immi. They
   would also make Iceland the most friendly legal base for whistleblowers on
   Earth.

    

   Velkomin, as Icelanders would say, to Leakistan.

    

   \"The more that companies resist, the more information will get out about
   them,\" says Jonsdottir when we meet in Reykjavik's Hressingarskalinn cafe,
   around the corner from the parliament building. \"They can't hide anymore.
   The war is over. They lost.\" In Jonsdottir's vision Iceland will attract
   both mainstream media and WikiLeaks-like organizations to move their data
   to Iceland, enjoying legal protection, just as another firm might
   incorporate in a tax-sheltering island in the Caribbean.

    

   She may be getting a bit ahead of herself. Immi has yet to become law,
   though it has backing from powerful figures, including both Iceland's
   minister of justice and the head of its progressive party. Even if it
   does, Immi likely wouldn't offer much legal protection to organizations
   whose assets and staff aren't physically in the country; they could still
   be sued anywhere else in the world, given that their digital and print
   publications could appear globally. Immi could also face resistance from
   the U.S. and the EU-particularly when it comes to military matters. As
   Marc Thiessen, a conservative pundit, wrote on the blog of the American
   Enterprise Institute in August, \"Immi calls into question Iceland's
   seriousness as a NATO ally, and Iceland needs to realize there will be
   consequences for its actions.\" There could be a backlash for exposing
   corporate secrets, too. Alastair Mullis, a professor of law at East Anglia
   University in Britain, says, \"It's possible that Iceland will become the
   defamation capital of the world.\"

    

   Jonsdottir and fellow Immi creator Smari McCarthy are pushing ahead
   anyway. Immi, they say, doesn't fashion new laws; it cherry-picks existing
   statutes from around the world (source shields from Sweden, libel
   protection from New York State, protected communications with journalists
   from Belgium, among them). \"We're basing our legislation on laws that have
   already withstood attacks,\" says Jonsdottir. Defamation and other concerns
   like child pornography and copyright violations, she argues, would still
   be illegal in Iceland and wouldn't be sheltered.

    

   Nor is the idea to protect WikiLeaks itself, Jonsdottir points out. The
   site doesn't need help: Its data and submissions process are carefully
   encrypted, and its infrastructure is spread over enough
   countries-including some servers in a bombproof, underground bunker in
   Sweden-that taking it offline is already nearly impossible.

   Instead Immi would foster a new wave of media organizations and
   whistleblower outlets that don't rely on WikiLeaks' technical savvy or
   resources. Already a handful of smaller, leak-focused conduits-regional
   sites like Africa-focused SaharaReporters or Thaileaks.info-have published
   damning data. Immi's McCarthy says he's been approached by media
   organizations from Rwanda to Chechnya. German WikiLeaks staffer Daniel
   Domscheit-Berg, disgruntled with Assange's laser focus on infrequent
   megaleaks, has left the organization along with several others to create
   his own spinoff. \"In the end there must be a thousand WikiLeaks,\" he told
   Der Spiegel in September.

    

   Iceland certainly has the infrastructure for a lot of informational
   mischief. Half an hour outside Reykjavik, on a landscape that resembles
   Mars covered in snow, the Thor Data Center is preparing for an influx of
   bytes. By 2011 it hopes to have thousands of servers in its
   aluminum-plant-turned-server-farm, powered by ultracheap geothermal energy
   and cooled by free arctic air. Iceland's biggest Web host, ironically
   named 1984 Web Hosting, is excited about the boost Immi could give its
   business. \"I created this company to prevent thought control,\" says Mordur
   Ingolfsson, its chief executive. \"In my humble opinion, Immi is the most
   important thing to happen to this godforsaken island since the Sagas were
   written.\" (That's 600-plus years.)

    

   Jonsdottir agrees: \"WikiLeaks was an important icebreaker. It was the tip.
   Immi is the rest of the wedge, and it will open up everything.\" (She is
   less thrilled to learn that Assange speaks of Immi as his personal
   creation.)I ask Assange how he expects companies to cope with a world
   where hundreds of WikiLeak-alikes may soon exist. His three-part
   prescription is earnest-if a bit patronizing: \"Do things to encourage
   leaks from dishonest competitors. Be as open and honest as possible. Treat
   your employees well.\"

   He also wants to clear up a misunderstanding. Despite his revolutionary
   reputation, he's not antibusiness. He bristles at the media's focus on his
   teenage years as a computer hacker who broke into dozens of systems, from
   the Department of Defense to Nortel, and was eventually convicted on 25
   charges of computer fraud and fined thousands of dollars.

    

   Instead, he prefers to think of himself as an entrepreneur. He tells the
   story of a free-speech-focused Internet service provider he cofounded in
   1993, known as Suburbia. It was, to hear him tell it, the blueprint for
   WikiLeaks-in one instance, when the Church of Scientology demanded to know
   who had posted antichurch information on one site, he refused to help.
   (\"He has titanium balls,\" says David Gerard, that site's creator.) \"I saw
   it early on, without realizing it: potentiating people to reveal their
   information, creating a conduit,\" Assange says. \"Without having any other
   robust publisher in the market, people came to us.\"

    

   Leaks merely lubricate the free market, he says, settling into the couch
   and clearly enjoying giving me a lecture on economics. (Later, as a
   45-minute interview pushes into two hours, he ignores his handler, who
   keeps urging him to leave for his next appointment.) He cites the example
   of the Chinese Sanlu Group, whose milk powder contained toxic melamine in
   2008. While poisoning its customers, Sanlu also gained an advantage over
   competitors and might have forced more of them to taint their products,
   too, or go bankrupt-if Sanlu hadn't been exposed in the Chinese press. \"In
   the struggle between open and honest companies and dishonest and closed
   companies, we're creating a tremendous reputational tax on the unethical
   companies,\" he says.

    

   Of course, Assange's tax isn't as equitable as it sounds. He alone decides
   where to apply the penalty, choosing the targets and when to expose them
   with a touch of theatrical grandstanding-and with zero accountability. For
   better-and worse-WikiLeaks has become the Julian Assange Show. As a
   photographer begins shooting, Assange wonders aloud if the coat he's
   wearing might have been produced by a labor-exploiting company. A few
   minutes later he jokes about his \"messiah complex.\"

    

   Like any true believer, Assange sees his work in simple terms. Markets, he
   reminds me, can't exist without information. Business will come to
   appreciate what he offers. And if that requires a few painful scandals in
   the process?

    

   Assange doesn't miss a beat. \"Pain for the guilty.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Wednesday, December 08, 2010 19:39
   To: analysts
   Subject: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   I'm sure this has been thought of before at STRATFOR so excuse the
   redundancy. I was reading a solid Forbes article on Assange and it said
   that a large number of deep pocket corporations were looking into
   leak-focused network security after these Wikileak episodes.

   I was wondering if it was possible for us to get some of that
   \"leak-focused\" gravy train. This is an obvious fear sale, so that's a good
   thing. And we have something to offer that the IT security companies
   don't, mainly our focus on counter-intelligence and surveillance that Fred
   and Stick know better than anyone on the planet.

   We do a lot of good work with all the personal/executive security analysis
   as well. Could we develop some ideas and procedures on the idea of
   \"leak-focused\" network security that focuses on preventing one's own
   employees from leaking sensitive information.

   The point here is that I am sure there are certain procedures and
   precautions that companies should employ that go beyond installing network
   security network to deal with potential leaks. In fact, Im not so sure
   this is an IT problem that requires an IT solution.

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-12-09 07:11:02",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/870971_re-random-business-idea-network-security-.html","kevin.stech@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
874103,"Re: [latam] Falklands Monitoring/Repping Guidance
","   I believe they have had a sub rotation in the region since 82

   Nate Hughes wrote:

     We want to watch the Ocean Guardian rig and any Argentinian attempt to
     interfere or intimidate operations. Any Argentine naval or air activity
     in the vicinity of the Falklands right now should at the very least be
     noted, if not repped. Any UK reinforcements being deployed or arriving
     on station in the Falklands should be noted and repped unless they are
     simply rotational (one destroyer or detachment of fighters replacing
     another, for example.

     The heart of this is watching for actual developments and physical
     deployments. There will be no shortage of rhetoric flying out of Buenos
     Aires on this. But it is a keen awareness of what is actually happening
     that will help us sift through the rhetoric.

     UK assets on station:
     -the guided missile destroyer HMS York (D98)
     -the offshore patrol vessel HMS Clyde (P-284)
     -the Royal Fleet Auxiliary tanker Wave Ruler (A-390)
     -four Typhoon air superiority fighters

     You probably won't see it, but keep an eye out for any indication that
     there is a British sub on station.

     Probably want to dig and see if we can find a Falkland Islands paper.
     --
     Nathan Hughes
     Director of Military Analysis
     STRATFOR
     nathan.hughes@stratfor.com

 --
 Alex Posey
 Tactical Analyst
 STRATFOR
 alex.posey@stratfor.com
","2010-02-22 16:11:32",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/874103_re-latam-falklands-monitoring-repping-guidance-.html","alex.posey@stratfor.com","mailto:latam@stratfor.com","hughes@stratfor.com,latam@stratfor.com",""
875135,"RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security
","   You're right that it's really not a technological issue. There's a great
   technology for keeping your private data private already. It's called
   mandatory access control and it's been around for decades. The issue is
   more subtle since you're dealing with people leaking stuff they've been
   cleared to see. And now you're in the realm of grey matter.

    

   And it seems to me that here, as in many other things, an ounce of
   prevention is worth a pound of cure. I think that prevention can be boiled
   down to having a cohesive team with members that feel enfranchised. You
   don't leak your classified material, you leak their classified material.
   So if you want to be shady and exploit other people, fine. Just make sure
   you are on the same page with your co-conspirators and everybody gets a
   cut.

    

   If your company sells baby cribs and your employees are church-going
   soccer moms, then you might want to tone down the Dr. Evil routine.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Thursday, December 09, 2010 00:16
   To: Analyst List
   Subject: Re: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   That is the one...

   Forbes mentions how companies are now focusing on \"leak-proof\" network
   security. Interesting. I think that we would have a possible in there
   since that is not just about IT. But I don't really know what I am talking
   about.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, December 9, 2010 12:11:02 AM
   Subject: RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security

   I believe this is the article Marko is talking about.

    

   WikiLeaks' next target is big business, Assange says

   Andy Greenberg, Forbes.com

   Date: Wed. Dec. 1 2010 7:39 PM ET

   http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/World/20101201/forbes-assange-interview-101201/

    

   In a rare interview, Assange tells Forbes that the release of Pentagon and
   State Department documents are just the beginning. His next target: big
   business.

    

   Early next year, Julian Assange says, a major American bank will suddenly
   find itself turned inside out. Tens of thousands of its internal documents
   will be exposed on Wikileaks.org with no polite requests for executives'
   response or other forewarnings. The data dump will lay bare the finance
   firm's secrets on the Web for every customer, every competitor, every
   regulator to examine and pass judgment on.

    

   When? Which bank? What documents? Cagey as always, Assange won't say, so
   his claim is impossible to verify. But he has always followed through on
   his threats. Sitting for a rare interview in a London garden flat on a
   rainy November day, he compares what he is ready to unleash to the damning
   e-mails that poured out of the Enron trial: a comprehensive vivisection of
   corporate bad behavior. \"You could call it the ecosystem of corruption,\"
   he says, refusing to characterize the coming release in more detail. \"But
   it's also all the regular decision making that turns a blind eye to and
   supports unethical practices: the oversight that's not done, the
   priorities of executives, how they think they're fulfilling their own
   self-interest.\"

    

   This is Assange: a moral ideologue, a champion of openness, a control
   freak. He pauses to think-a process that occasionally puts our
   conversation on hold for awkwardly long interludes. The slim 39-year-old
   WikiLeaks founder wears a navy suit over his 6-foot-2 frame, and his once
   shaggy white hair, recently dyed brown, has been cropped to a sandy
   patchwork of blonde and tan. He says he colors it when he's \"being
   tracked.\"

    

   \"These big-package releases. There should be a cute name for them,\" he
   says, then pauses again.

    

   \"Megaleaks?\" I suggest, trying to move things along.

    

   \"Yes, that's good-megaleaks.\" His voice is a hoarse, Aussie-tinged
   baritone. As a teenage hacker in Melbourne its pitch helped him
   impersonate IT staff to trick companies' employees into revealing their
   passwords over the phone, and today it's deeper still after a recent bout
   of flu. \"These megaleaks . . . they're an important phenomenon. And
   they're only going to increase.\"

    

   He'll see to that. By the time you're reading this another giant dump of
   classified U.S. documents may well be public. Assange refused to discuss
   the leak at the time FORBES went to press, but he claims it is part of a
   series that will have the greatest impact of any WikiLeaks release yet.
   Assange calls the shots: choosing the media outlets that splash his
   exposes, holding them to a strict embargo, running the leaks
   simultaneously on his site. Past megaleaks from his information insurgency
   over the last year have included 76,000 secret Afghan war documents and
   another trove of 392,000 files from the Iraq war. Those data explosions,
   the largest classified military security breaches in history, have roused
   antiwar activists and enraged the Pentagon.

    

   Admire Assange or revile him, he is the prophet of a coming age of
   involuntary transparency. Having exposed military misconduct on a grand
   scale, he is now gunning for corporate America. Does Assange have
   unpublished, damaging documents on pharmaceutical companies? Yes, he says.
   Finance? Yes, many more than the single bank scandal we've been
   discussing. Energy? Plenty, on everything from BP to an Albanian oil firm
   that he says attempted to sabotage its competitors' wells. Like
   informational IEDs, these damaging revelations can be detonated at will.

    

   Long gone are the days when Daniel Ellsberg had to photocopy thousands of
   Vietnam War documents to leak the Pentagon Papers. Modern whistleblowers,
   or employees with a grudge, can zip up their troves of incriminating
   documents on a laptop, USB stick or portable hard drive, spirit them out
   through personal e-mail accounts or online drop sites-or simply submit
   them directly to WikiLeaks.

    

   What do large companies think of the threat? If they're terrified, they're
   not saying. None would talk to us. Nor would the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
   WikiLeaks \"is high profile, legally insulated and transnational,\" says
   former Commerce Department official James Lewis, who follows cybersecurity
   for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. \"That adds up to a
   reputational risk that companies didn't have to think about a year ago.\"

    

   Already U.S. laws wrapped into financial reform this year expand
   whistleblower incentives to offer six- and seven-digit rewards to staffers
   in any industry who report malfeasance. WikiLeaks adds another, new form
   of corporate data breach: It offers the conscience-stricken and vindictive
   alike a chance to publish documents largely unfiltered, without censors or
   personal repercussions, thanks to privacy and encryption technologies that
   make anonymity easier than ever before. WikiLeaks' technical and
   ideological example has inspired copycats from Africa to China and rallied
   transparency advocates to push for a new, legal promised land in the
   unlikely haven of Iceland. It's also fueling a race in the cybersecurity
   industry and in Washington to find technology that can plug information
   leaks once for all.

    

   Today Assange looks tired, his eyes narrowed and the skin beneath them
   puffy, as if he's unused to even England's gloomy daylight. He has no
   permanent home. \"We're like a traveling production company; everyone moves
   somewhere, and we put on a production,\" he sighs. \"We haven't had any rest
   since April.\" In Sweden, where many of the group's servers are based, a
   warrant has now been issued for his arrest on rape charges. He's denied
   the accusations, arguing they amount to smear tactics. He's also afraid to
   set foot in several other countries, including the U.S., fearing that
   officials will find reasons to detain him. No question that WikiLeaks
   would be in trouble if he were jailed: A spokeswoman says it has a
   \"contingency plan,\" but without Assange there is no public face.
   Meanwhile, his resources have been drained by defections from his
   organization; some old friends and associates have taken issue with his
   autocratic style.

    

   None of which has stopped him from picking new fights. The promised
   release of bank documents would be the largest assault by WikiLeaks on the
   corporate sector, and Assange says the business community should expect
   plenty of sequels. In early October the site shut down its
   document-submission system; Assange says it was receiving more information
   than it could find resources to publish, thousands of additions a day at
   some points. The total is more gigabytes of data than he can count. \"Our
   pipeline of leaks has been increasing exponentially as our profile rises,\"
   he says, drawing a curve upward in the air with one hand.

    

   If even a fraction of his claims are borne out, he's already sitting on a
   crypt of data any three-letter spy agency would kill for. The world's most
   vocal transparency advocate is now one of the world's biggest keepers of
   secrets. And about half of those revelations, says Assange, relate to the
   private sector.

    

   Over the last four years he has been so busy embarrassing various
   governments, from Washington to the corrupt Kenyan regime of Daniel arap
   Moi, that many forget the corporate scandals already on WikiLeaks' trophy
   wall. In January 2008 the site posted documents alleging that the Swiss
   bank Julius Baer hid clients' profits from even the Swiss government,
   concealing them in what seemed to be shell companies in the Cayman
   Islands. The bank filed a lawsuit against WikiLeaks for publishing data
   stolen from its clients. Baer later dropped the suit-but managed to stir
   up embarrassing publicity for itself. The next year WikiLeaks published
   documents from a pharma trade group implying that its lobbyists were
   receiving confidential documents from and exerting influence over a World
   Health Organization project to fund drug research in the developing world.
   The resulting attention helped crater the WHO project.

    

   In September 2009 commodities giant Trafigura filed an injunction that
   prevented British media from mentioning a damaging internal report. The
   memo showed the company had dumped tons of toxic waste in the Ivory Coast,
   chemicals that allegedly sickened 100,000 locals. But it couldn't stop
   WikiLeaks from publishing the information. Trafigura eventually paid more
   than $200 million in settlements.

    

   How can an American corporation respond to a Wiki attack? Lawsuits won't
   work: WikiLeaks is legally shielded in the U.S. by its role as a mere
   conduit for documents. Even if a company somehow won a judgment against
   WikiLeaks, that wouldn't shut it down. Assange spreads the site's assets
   over many countries. \"There's no single target to drop a bomb on,\" says
   Eric Goldman, a law professor at Santa Clara University.

    

   The best protection? With a dash of irony Icelandic WikiLeaks staffer
   Kristinn Hrafnsson suggests that companies change their ways to avoid
   targeting. \"They should resist the temptation to enter into corruption,\"
   he says. Don Tapscott, coauthor of The Naked Corporation (Free Press,
   2003), agrees. His simplistic conclusion: \"Open your own kimono. You're
   going to be naked. So you have to dig deep, look at your whole operation,
   make sure that integrity is part of your bones.\"

    

   Most corporations, instead, are turning to cybersecurity to shield their
   private parts. Despite dozens of calls to companies in tech, energy and
   finance, none wanted to talk about antileaking strategies. But a Forrester
   Research study found that about a quarter of companies in the U.S., the
   U.K., France, Germany and Canada were implementing leak-focused security
   software in 2010, and another third are considering that option. A study
   last year by the Ponemon Institute, a privacy-research consultancy in
   Traverse City, Mich., found that 60% of employees admit to taking
   sensitive data before they leave a company.

    

   *****

    

   Some of the more intriguing antileak work is being done by Uncle Sam. In
   an unmarked government building on the edge of a residential Arlington,
   Va. neighborhood, a cybersecurity researcher named Peiter Zatko shows just
   how easily leaks can occur. He lays out a blow-by-blow history of one
   insider data theft: The suspect searched broadly over the network to find
   anything related to critical infrastructure, then returned to manually
   probe a few interesting files. \"Then he walked away with enough
   information to shut down big chunks of the telephone systems in the United
   States,\" Zatko says matter-of-factly.

    

   Who was that shadowy data smuggler? \"That was me,\" says the 39-year-old
   researcher, giggling bashfully.

    

   Zatko is not your typical Department of Defense employee. Even in his new
   Beltway digs, he prefers to be called \"Mudge,\" the hacker handle he used
   during decades of exploring the dark corners of the Internet. Frank Heidt,
   a former security staffer at MCI and several military contractors, says
   that when he first read Zatko's exploit research in mid-1990s hacker
   zines, he thought that Mudge must be the pseudonym of a group. \"He was so
   prolific that I thought he couldn't be one person,\" Heidt says. In 1998,
   as part of the L0pht hacker think tank, Zatko testified in a congressional
   hearing that he and his friends could shut down the Internet in 30
   minutes.

    

   Since March Zatko has also been a lead cybersecurity researcher at the
   Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the mad-scientist wing of the
   Pentagon devoted to projects that occasionally result in breakthroughs
   like the Internet and GPS. Zatko's new pet project may be equally
   ambitious: He aims to rid the world of digital leaks.

    

   The telephone system theft case that Zatko dissected in a Darpa conference
   room was a test, demonstrating that anyone with access to a network could
   steal data without detection, despite the system's expensive security
   software. Now his challenge is to fix the problem. Since August he has led
   a project known as the Cyber Insider Threat, or Cinder. Like most Darpa
   initiatives it's an X-Prize-style open invitation for ideas; recipients
   typically get tens of millions of dollars in government funding.
   Thirty-five entrants, mostly tiny companies, have already publicly signed
   up, many more in secret. \"We're looking to everyone from academia to
   startups to large government contractors,\" says Zatko. \"We're not looking
   for evolutionary improvement. We want to pull the rug out from the problem
   altogether.\"

    

   It's a well-worn carpet. Since late 2007 every major security software
   vendor, from McAfee to Symantec to Trend Micro, has spent hundreds of
   millions of dollars to acquire companies in the so-called Data-Leak
   Prevention (DLP) industry-software designed to locate and tag sensitive
   information, and then guard against its escape at the edges of a firm's
   network.

    

   The problem: DLP doesn't work. Data is simply created too quickly, and
   moved around too often, for a mere filter to catch it, says Richard
   Stiennon, an analyst for security consultancy IT-Harvest, in Birmingham,
   Mich. \"For DLP to function, all the stars have to align,\" he says. \"This
   is a huge problem that can't be stopped with a single layer of
   infrastructure.\"

    

   More fashionable now is network forensics: the process of constantly
   collecting every fingerprint on a company's servers to trace an intruder
   or leaker after the fact-and, perhaps, deter the next one. That's a bit
   like fighting the next war according to the last one. Still, revenue at
   NetWitness, a prominent Herndon, Va. startup in that budding field, has
   leaped from $250,000 to $40 million since 2006. While the software
   generally gathers data and makes it easily available to queries, it
   doesn't pinpoint culprits. \"There's nothing in current technology that can
   do this in an automated fashion,\" says Shawn Carpenter, principal
   forensics analyst at NetWitness. \"You need a Columbo.\"

    

   Or, better yet, a robo-Columbo. Darpa's Zatko has been working on a system
   of automatically identifying what he calls \"malicious missions\": insider
   activity aimed at stealing data from inside a company's firewall, whether
   it's a Dell PC remotely hijacked by a Chinese cyberspy or Bradley
   Mannings, the U.S. soldier accused of leaking classified documents about
   combat in Afghanistan to WikiLeaks. Zatko's system would monitor networks
   in real-time for just the sort of data-stealing behavior he would perform
   himself: steps like scouring large areas of the network for a certain
   file, dumping piles of data to external storage hardware or sending
   encrypted files out over the Internet. No single episode would signal a
   leak; instead, the software would link acts in a probabilistic chain,
   triggering an alert only if a string of events points to purposeful data
   theft.

    

   Some of that leaky behavior isn't what a casual observer might expect.
   Consider the cyber footprints left by Robert Hanssen, a former FBI agent
   serving a life sentence in a Colorado supermax prison for selling
   intelligence to the Soviets over two decades. Every few days Hanssen would
   stop his normal activities and make a single query to a server across the
   network, a pattern he repeated for years. That server, Zatko says, held
   the counterintelligence database. Hanssen was searching for himself, a
   routine check to see if he'd finally been found out.

    

   \"You put all these things together into the different components of the
   mission,\" says Zatko. \"I'm looking for these new rhythms, new tells, new
   interrelations and requirements.\"

    

   Cinder wasn't created to combat WikiLeaks-in fact, it predates WikiLeaks'
   biggest military scandals. But Zatko has nonetheless found himself
   squarely in opposition to Assange's mission-a strange face-off, given that
   the two men once traveled in the same hacker circles, during the years
   when Assange went by the hacker handle Mendax (a Latin reference to the
   \"splendidly deceptive\" in the poet Horace's Odes) and reveled in accessing
   corporate and government systems without authorization. Neither will
   reveal much about their past encounters, but Assange says that they \"were
   in the same milieu.\" Asked about Assange, Zatko says only, \"I have very
   pleasant memories of those old days.\"

    

   WikiLeaks' founder, in fact, seems to have trouble accepting that Mudge is
   working for the other side. \"He's a clever guy, and he's also highly
   ethical,\" says Assange. \"I suspect he would have concerns about creating a
   system to conceal genuine abuses.\" He dismisses Cinder as just another
   system of digital censorship. And those systems, he says, will always
   fail, just as China's Great Firewall can't stop well-informed and
   determined dissident Internet users. \"Censorship might work for the
   average person but not for highly motivated people,\" Assange says. \"And
   our people are highly motivated.\"

    

   *****

    

   Shutting down WikiLeaks wouldn't stop the growing movement of transparency
   agitators. They now have a nation-size ally: Iceland. Since WikiLeaks
   scored a major scoop unearthing the corrupt loans that helped destroy that
   country's largest bank, the volcanic island is fast on its way to becoming
   the conduit for a global flood of leaks.

    

   It began when Kaupthing Bank collapsed in October 2008-a calamitous chain
   reaction that has strapped Iceland with $128 billion in debts, around
   $400,000 per capita. Ten months later Bogi Agustsson, a Walter
   Cronkite-ish anchor for Icelandic national broadcaster RUV, appeared on
   the evening news and explained that a legal injunction had prevented the
   station from airing a prepared expose on Kaupthing. Viewers who wanted to
   see the material, he suggested, should visit a site called Wikileaks.org.

    

   Those who took Agustsson's advice found a summary of Kaupthing's loan book
   posted on the site, detailing more than $6 billion funneled from
   Kaupthing's coffers to its own proprietors and companies they owned, often
   with little or no collateral; $900 million went to Olafur Olafsson, a
   major investor in Kaupthing who, on his birthday, flew in Elton John from
   England, along with a grand piano, for a one-hour concert. \"The banks had
   been eaten from the inside out,\" says Kristinn Hrafnsson, a former
   investigative reporter in Reykjavik who now works with WikiLeaks.

    

   A government investigation is still going on; no criminal charges have
   been filed. But WikiLeaks became a household name in Iceland. In December
   2009 Assange and Daniel Domscheit-Berg, a German who then worked with
   WikiLeaks, were invited to keynote a free-speech conference in Reykjavik.
   Their talk echoed an idea from American cyberlibertarian John Perry
   Barlow, calling for a \"Switzerland of bits.\" Iceland, with its independent
   spirit and recent taste of explosive whistle-blowing, they suggested,
   could become the digital doppelga:nger of a tax haven: a safe harbor for
   transparency, where it's open season on government and business
   secrets-and leakers are protected by law.

    

   The idea might have gone nowhere if not for Birgitta Jonsdottir. Assange's
   message captivated the 43-year-old poet and self-styled
   \"realist-anarchist.\" She wasn't just another idealistic protester with a
   goth wardrobe and hipster haircut. In the chaotic political environment
   that followed the national financial crisis, Jonsdottir had been elected
   to Iceland's parliament, the Althingi, in April 2009.

    

   Working with the country's transparency activists, she pulled together the
   Icelandic Modern Media Initiative, or Immi. The initiative would bring to
   Iceland all the source-protection, freedom of information and transparency
   laws from around the world and even set up a Nobel-style international
   award for work in the field of free expression. Jonsdottir pushed through
   a unanimous resolution to create a series of bills to implement Immi. They
   would also make Iceland the most friendly legal base for whistleblowers on
   Earth.

    

   Velkomin, as Icelanders would say, to Leakistan.

    

   \"The more that companies resist, the more information will get out about
   them,\" says Jonsdottir when we meet in Reykjavik's Hressingarskalinn cafe,
   around the corner from the parliament building. \"They can't hide anymore.
   The war is over. They lost.\" In Jonsdottir's vision Iceland will attract
   both mainstream media and WikiLeaks-like organizations to move their data
   to Iceland, enjoying legal protection, just as another firm might
   incorporate in a tax-sheltering island in the Caribbean.

    

   She may be getting a bit ahead of herself. Immi has yet to become law,
   though it has backing from powerful figures, including both Iceland's
   minister of justice and the head of its progressive party. Even if it
   does, Immi likely wouldn't offer much legal protection to organizations
   whose assets and staff aren't physically in the country; they could still
   be sued anywhere else in the world, given that their digital and print
   publications could appear globally. Immi could also face resistance from
   the U.S. and the EU-particularly when it comes to military matters. As
   Marc Thiessen, a conservative pundit, wrote on the blog of the American
   Enterprise Institute in August, \"Immi calls into question Iceland's
   seriousness as a NATO ally, and Iceland needs to realize there will be
   consequences for its actions.\" There could be a backlash for exposing
   corporate secrets, too. Alastair Mullis, a professor of law at East Anglia
   University in Britain, says, \"It's possible that Iceland will become the
   defamation capital of the world.\"

    

   Jonsdottir and fellow Immi creator Smari McCarthy are pushing ahead
   anyway. Immi, they say, doesn't fashion new laws; it cherry-picks existing
   statutes from around the world (source shields from Sweden, libel
   protection from New York State, protected communications with journalists
   from Belgium, among them). \"We're basing our legislation on laws that have
   already withstood attacks,\" says Jonsdottir. Defamation and other concerns
   like child pornography and copyright violations, she argues, would still
   be illegal in Iceland and wouldn't be sheltered.

    

   Nor is the idea to protect WikiLeaks itself, Jonsdottir points out. The
   site doesn't need help: Its data and submissions process are carefully
   encrypted, and its infrastructure is spread over enough
   countries-including some servers in a bombproof, underground bunker in
   Sweden-that taking it offline is already nearly impossible.

   Instead Immi would foster a new wave of media organizations and
   whistleblower outlets that don't rely on WikiLeaks' technical savvy or
   resources. Already a handful of smaller, leak-focused conduits-regional
   sites like Africa-focused SaharaReporters or Thaileaks.info-have published
   damning data. Immi's McCarthy says he's been approached by media
   organizations from Rwanda to Chechnya. German WikiLeaks staffer Daniel
   Domscheit-Berg, disgruntled with Assange's laser focus on infrequent
   megaleaks, has left the organization along with several others to create
   his own spinoff. \"In the end there must be a thousand WikiLeaks,\" he told
   Der Spiegel in September.

    

   Iceland certainly has the infrastructure for a lot of informational
   mischief. Half an hour outside Reykjavik, on a landscape that resembles
   Mars covered in snow, the Thor Data Center is preparing for an influx of
   bytes. By 2011 it hopes to have thousands of servers in its
   aluminum-plant-turned-server-farm, powered by ultracheap geothermal energy
   and cooled by free arctic air. Iceland's biggest Web host, ironically
   named 1984 Web Hosting, is excited about the boost Immi could give its
   business. \"I created this company to prevent thought control,\" says Mordur
   Ingolfsson, its chief executive. \"In my humble opinion, Immi is the most
   important thing to happen to this godforsaken island since the Sagas were
   written.\" (That's 600-plus years.)

    

   Jonsdottir agrees: \"WikiLeaks was an important icebreaker. It was the tip.
   Immi is the rest of the wedge, and it will open up everything.\" (She is
   less thrilled to learn that Assange speaks of Immi as his personal
   creation.)I ask Assange how he expects companies to cope with a world
   where hundreds of WikiLeak-alikes may soon exist. His three-part
   prescription is earnest-if a bit patronizing: \"Do things to encourage
   leaks from dishonest competitors. Be as open and honest as possible. Treat
   your employees well.\"

   He also wants to clear up a misunderstanding. Despite his revolutionary
   reputation, he's not antibusiness. He bristles at the media's focus on his
   teenage years as a computer hacker who broke into dozens of systems, from
   the Department of Defense to Nortel, and was eventually convicted on 25
   charges of computer fraud and fined thousands of dollars.

    

   Instead, he prefers to think of himself as an entrepreneur. He tells the
   story of a free-speech-focused Internet service provider he cofounded in
   1993, known as Suburbia. It was, to hear him tell it, the blueprint for
   WikiLeaks-in one instance, when the Church of Scientology demanded to know
   who had posted antichurch information on one site, he refused to help.
   (\"He has titanium balls,\" says David Gerard, that site's creator.) \"I saw
   it early on, without realizing it: potentiating people to reveal their
   information, creating a conduit,\" Assange says. \"Without having any other
   robust publisher in the market, people came to us.\"

    

   Leaks merely lubricate the free market, he says, settling into the couch
   and clearly enjoying giving me a lecture on economics. (Later, as a
   45-minute interview pushes into two hours, he ignores his handler, who
   keeps urging him to leave for his next appointment.) He cites the example
   of the Chinese Sanlu Group, whose milk powder contained toxic melamine in
   2008. While poisoning its customers, Sanlu also gained an advantage over
   competitors and might have forced more of them to taint their products,
   too, or go bankrupt-if Sanlu hadn't been exposed in the Chinese press. \"In
   the struggle between open and honest companies and dishonest and closed
   companies, we're creating a tremendous reputational tax on the unethical
   companies,\" he says.

    

   Of course, Assange's tax isn't as equitable as it sounds. He alone decides
   where to apply the penalty, choosing the targets and when to expose them
   with a touch of theatrical grandstanding-and with zero accountability. For
   better-and worse-WikiLeaks has become the Julian Assange Show. As a
   photographer begins shooting, Assange wonders aloud if the coat he's
   wearing might have been produced by a labor-exploiting company. A few
   minutes later he jokes about his \"messiah complex.\"

    

   Like any true believer, Assange sees his work in simple terms. Markets, he
   reminds me, can't exist without information. Business will come to
   appreciate what he offers. And if that requires a few painful scandals in
   the process?

    

   Assange doesn't miss a beat. \"Pain for the guilty.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Wednesday, December 08, 2010 19:39
   To: analysts
   Subject: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   I'm sure this has been thought of before at STRATFOR so excuse the
   redundancy. I was reading a solid Forbes article on Assange and it said
   that a large number of deep pocket corporations were looking into
   leak-focused network security after these Wikileak episodes.

   I was wondering if it was possible for us to get some of that
   \"leak-focused\" gravy train. This is an obvious fear sale, so that's a good
   thing. And we have something to offer that the IT security companies
   don't, mainly our focus on counter-intelligence and surveillance that Fred
   and Stick know better than anyone on the planet.

   We do a lot of good work with all the personal/executive security analysis
   as well. Could we develop some ideas and procedures on the idea of
   \"leak-focused\" network security that focuses on preventing one's own
   employees from leaking sensitive information.

   The point here is that I am sure there are certain procedures and
   precautions that companies should employ that go beyond installing network
   security network to deal with potential leaks. In fact, Im not so sure
   this is an IT problem that requires an IT solution.

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-12-09 07:34:50",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/875135_re-random-business-idea-network-security-.html","kevin.stech@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
882131,"Re: Random Business Idea - Network Security
","   That is the one...

   Forbes mentions how companies are now focusing on \"leak-proof\" network
   security. Interesting. I think that we would have a possible in there
   since that is not just about IT. But I don't really know what I am talking
   about.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, December 9, 2010 12:11:02 AM
   Subject: RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security

   I believe this is the article Marko is talking about.

    

   WikiLeaks' next target is big business, Assange says

   Andy Greenberg, Forbes.com

   Date: Wed. Dec. 1 2010 7:39 PM ET

   http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/World/20101201/forbes-assange-interview-101201/

    

   In a rare interview, Assange tells Forbes that the release of Pentagon and
   State Department documents are just the beginning. His next target: big
   business.

    

   Early next year, Julian Assange says, a major American bank will suddenly
   find itself turned inside out. Tens of thousands of its internal documents
   will be exposed on Wikileaks.org with no polite requests for executivesa**
   response or other forewarnings. The data dump will lay bare the finance
   firma**s secrets on the Web for every customer, every competitor, every
   regulator to examine and pass judgment on.

    

   When? Which bank? What documents? Cagey as always, Assange wona**t say, so
   his claim is impossible to verify. But he has always followed through on
   his threats. Sitting for a rare interview in a London garden flat on a
   rainy November day, he compares what he is ready to unleash to the damning
   e-mails that poured out of the Enron trial: a comprehensive vivisection of
   corporate bad behavior. a**You could call it the ecosystem of
   corruption,a** he says, refusing to characterize the coming release in
   more detail. a**But ita**s also all the regular decision making that turns
   a blind eye to and supports unethical practices: the oversight thata**s
   not done, the priorities of executives, how they think theya**re
   fulfilling their own self-interest.a**

    

   This is Assange: a moral ideologue, a champion of openness, a control
   freak. He pauses to thinka**a process that occasionally puts our
   conversation on hold for awkwardly long interludes. The slim 39-year-old
   WikiALeaks founder wears a navy suit over his 6-foot-2 frame, and his once
   shaggy white hair, recently dyed brown, has been cropped to a sandy
   patchwork of blonde and tan. He says he colors it when hea**s a**being
   tracked.a**

    

   a**These big-package releases. There should be a cute name for them,a** he
   says, then pauses again.

    

   a**Megaleaks?a** I suggest, trying to move things along.

    

   a**Yes, thata**s gooda**megaleaks.a** His voice is a hoarse, Aussie-tinged
   baritone. As a teenage hacker in Melbourne its pitch helped him
   impersonate IT staff to trick companiesa** employees into revealing their
   passwords over the phone, and today ita**s deeper still after a recent
   bout of flu. a**These megaleaks . . . theya**re an important phenomenon.
   And theya**re only going to increase.a**

    

   Hea**ll see to that. By the time youa**re reading this another giant dump
   of classified U.S. documents may well be public. Assange refused to
   discuss the leak at the time FORBES went to press, but he claims it is
   part of a series that will have the greatest impact of any WikiLeaks
   release yet. Assange calls the shots: choosing the media outlets that
   splash his exposA(c)s, holding them to a strict embargo, running the leaks
   simultaneously on his site. Past megaleaks from his information insurgency
   over the last year have included 76,000 secret Afghan war documents and
   another trove of 392,000 files from the Iraq war. Those data explosions,
   the largest classified military security breaches in history, have roused
   antiwar activists and enraged the Pentagon.

    

   Admire Assange or revile him, he is the prophet of a coming age of
   involuntary transparency. Having exposed military misconduct on a grand
   scale, he is now gunning for corporate America. Does Assange have
   unpublished, damaging documents on pharmaceutical companies? Yes, he says.
   Finance? Yes, many more than the single bank scandal wea**ve been
   discussing. Energy? Plenty, on everything from BP to an Albanian oil firm
   that he says attempted to sabotage its competitorsa** wells. Like
   informational IEDs, these damaging revelations can be detonated at will.

    

   Long gone are the days when Daniel Ellsberg had to photocopy thousands of
   Vietnam War documents to leak the Pentagon Papers. Modern whistleblowers,
   or employees with a grudge, can zip up their troves of incriminating
   documents on a laptop, USB stick or portable hard drive, spirit them out
   through personal e-mail accounts or online drop sitesa**or simply submit
   them directly to WikiLeaks.

    

   What do large companies think of the threat? If theya**re terrified,
   theya**re not saying. None would talk to us. Nor would the U.S. Chamber of
   Commerce. WikiLeaks a**is high profile, legally Ainsulated and
   transnational,a** says former Commerce Department official James Lewis,
   who follows cybersecurity for the Center for Strategic & International
   Studies. a**That adds up to a reputational risk that companies didna**t
   have to think about a year ago.a**

    

   Already U.S. laws wrapped into financial reform this year expand
   whistleblower incentives to offer six- and seven-digit rewards to staffers
   in any industry who report malfeasance. WikiALeaks adds another, new form
   of corporate data breach: It offers the conscience-stricken and vindictive
   alike a chance to publish documents largely unfiltered, without censors or
   personal repercussions, thanks to privacy and encryption technologies that
   make anonymity easier than ever before. WikiALeaksa** technical and
   ideological example has inspired copycats from Africa to China and rallied
   transparency advocates to push for a new, legal promised land in the
   unlikely haven of Iceland. Ita**s also fueling a race in the
   cyberAsecurity industry and in Washington to find technology that can plug
   information leaks once for all.

    

   Today Assange looks tired, his eyes narrowed and the skin beneath them
   puffy, as if hea**s unused to even Englanda**s gloomy daylight. He has no
   permanent home. a**Wea**re like a traveling production company; everyone
   moves somewhere, and we put on a production,a** he sighs. a**We havena**t
   had any rest since April.a** In Sweden, where many of the groupa**s
   servers are based, a warrant has now been issued for his arrest on rape
   charges. Hea**s denied the accusations, arguing they amount to smear
   tactics. Hea**s also afraid to set foot in several other countries,
   including the U.S., fearing that officials will find reasons to detain
   him. No question that WikiALeaks would be in trouble if he were jailed: A
   spokeswoman says it has a a**contingency plan,a** but without Assange
   there is no public face. Meanwhile, his resources have been drained by
   defections from his organization; some old friends and associates have
   taken issue with his autocratic style.

    

   None of which has stopped him from picking new fights. The promised
   release of bank documents would be the largest assault by WikiLeaks on the
   corporate sector, and Assange says the business community should expect
   plenty of sequels. In early October the site shut down its
   document-submission system; Assange says it was receiving more information
   than it could find resources to publish, thousands of additions a day at
   some points. The total is more gigabytes of data than he can count. a**Our
   pipeline of leaks has been increasing exponentially as our profile
   rises,a** he says, drawing a curve upward in the air with one hand.

    

   If even a fraction of his claims are borne out, hea**s already sitting on
   a crypt of data any three-letter spy agency would kill for. The worlda**s
   most vocal transparency advocate is now one of the worlda**s biggest
   keepers of secrets. And about half of those revelations, says Assange,
   relate to the private sector.

    

   Over the last four years he has been so busy embarrassing various
   governments, from Washington to the corrupt Kenyan regime of Daniel arap
   Moi, that many forget the corporate scandals already on WikiLeaksa**
   trophy wall. In January 2008 the site posted documents alleging that the
   Swiss bank Julius Baer hid clientsa** profits from even the Swiss
   government, concealing them in what seemed to be shell companies in the
   Cayman Islands. The bank filed a lawsuit against WikiLeaks for publishing
   data stolen from its clients. Baer later dropped the suita**but managed to
   stir up embarrassing publicity for itself. The next year WikiLeaks
   published documents from a pharma trade group implying that its lobbyists
   were receiving confidential documents from and exerting influence over a
   World Health Organization project to fund drug research in the developing
   world. The resulting attention helped crater the WHO project.

    

   In September 2009 commodities giant Trafigura filed an injunction that
   prevented British media from mentioning a damaging internal report. The
   memo showed the company had dumped tons of toxic waste in the Ivory Coast,
   chemicals that allegedly sickened 100,000 locals. But it couldna**t stop
   WikiLeaks from publishing the information. Trafigura eventually paid more
   than $200 million in settlements.

    

   How can an American corporation respond to a Wiki attack? Lawsuits wona**t
   work: WikiLeaks is legally shielded in the U.S. by its role as a mere
   conduit for documents. Even if a company somehow won a judgment against
   WikiLeaks, that wouldna**t shut it down. Assange spreads the sitea**s
   assets over many countries. a**Therea**s no single target to drop a bomb
   on,a** says Eric Goldman, a law professor at Santa Clara University.

    

   The best protection? With a dash of irony Icelandic WikiALeaks staffer
   Kristinn Hrafnsson suggests that companies change their ways to avoid
   targeting. a**They should resist the temptation to enter into
   corruption,a** he says. Don Tapscott, coauthor of The Naked Corporation
   (Free Press, 2003), agrees. His simplistic conclusion: a**Open your own
   kimono. Youa**re going to be naked. So you have to dig deep, look at your
   whole operation, make sure that integrity is part of your bones.a**

    

   Most corporations, instead, are turning to cybersecurity to shield their
   private parts. Despite dozens of calls to companies in tech, energy and
   finance, none wanted to talk about antileaking strategies. But a Forrester
   Research study found that about a quarter of companies in the U.S., the
   U.K., France, Germany and Canada were implementing leak-Afocused security
   software in 2010, and another third are considering that option. A study
   last year by the Ponemon Institute, a privacy-research consultancy in
   Traverse City, Mich., found that 60% of employees admit to taking
   sensitive data before they leave a company.

    

   *****

    

   Some of the more intriguing antileak work is being done by Uncle Sam. In
   an unmarked government building on the edge of a residential Arlington,
   Va. neighborhood, a cybersecurity researcher named Peiter Zatko shows just
   how easily leaks can occur. He lays out a blow-by-blow history of one
   insider data theft: The suspect searched broadly over the network to find
   anything related to critical infrastructure, then returned to manually
   probe a few interesting files. a**Then he walked away with enough
   information to shut down big chunks of the telephone systems in the United
   States,a** Zatko says matter-of-factly.

    

   Who was that shadowy data smuggler? a**That was me,a** says the
   39-year-old researcher, giggling bashfully.

    

   Zatko is not your typical Department of Defense employee. Even in his new
   Beltway digs, he prefers to be called a**Mudge,a** the hacker handle he
   used during decades of exploring the dark corners of the Internet. Frank
   Heidt, a former security staffer at MCI and several military contractors,
   says that when he first read Zatkoa**s exploit research in mid-1990s
   hacker zines, he thought that Mudge must be the pseudonym of a group.
   a**He was so prolific that I thought he couldna**t be one person,a** Heidt
   says. In 1998, as part of the L0pht hacker think tank, Zatko testified in
   a congressional hearing that he and his friends could shut down the
   Internet in 30 minutes.

    

   Since March Zatko has also been a lead cybersecurity researcher at the
   Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the mad-scientist wing of the
   Pentagon devoted to projects that occasionally result in breakthroughs
   like the Internet and GPS. Zatkoa**s new pet project may be equally
   ambitious: He aims to rid the world of digital leaks.

    

   The telephone system theft case that Zatko dissected in a Darpa conference
   room was a test, demonstrating that anyone with access to a network could
   steal data without detection, despite the systema**s expensive security
   software. Now his challenge is to fix the problem. Since August he has led
   a project known as the Cyber Insider Threat, or Cinder. Like most Darpa
   initiatives ita**s an X-Prize-style open invitation for ideas; recipients
   typically get tens of millions of dollars in government funding.
   Thirty-five entrants, mostly tiny companies, have already publicly signed
   up, many more in secret. a**Wea**re looking to everyone from academia to
   startups to large government contractors,a** says Zatko. a**Wea**re not
   looking for evolutionary improvement. We want to pull the rug out from the
   problem altogether.a**

    

   Ita**s a well-worn carpet. Since late 2007 every major security software
   vendor, from McAfee to Symantec to Trend Micro, has spent hundreds of
   millions of dollars to acquire companies in the so-called Data-Leak
   Prevention (DLP) industrya**software designed to locate and tag sensitive
   information, and then guard against its escape at the edges of a firma**s
   network.

    

   The problem: DLP doesna**t work. Data is simply created too quickly, and
   moved around too often, for a mere filter to catch it, says Richard
   Stiennon, an analyst for security consultancy IT-Harvest, in Birmingham,
   Mich. a**For DLP to function, all the stars have to align,a** he says.
   a**This is a huge problem that cana**t be stopped with a single layer of
   infrastructure.a**

    

   More fashionable now is network forensics: the process of constantly
   collecting every fingerprint on a companya**s servers to trace an intruder
   or leaker after the facta**and, perhaps, deter the next one. Thata**s a
   bit like fighting the next war according to the last one. Still, revenue
   at NetWitness, a prominent Herndon, Va. startup in that budding field, has
   leaped from $250,000 to $40 million since 2006. While the software
   generally gathers data and makes it easily available to queries, it
   doesna**t pinpoint culprits. a**Therea**s nothing in current technology
   that can do this in an automated fashion,a** says Shawn Carpenter,
   principal forensics analyst at NetAWitness. a**You need a Columbo.a**

    

   Or, better yet, a robo-Columbo. Darpaa**s Zatko has been working on a
   system of automatically identifying what he calls a**malicious
   missionsa**: insider activity aimed at stealing data from inside a
   companya**s firewall, whether ita**s a Dell PC remotely hijacked by a
   Chinese cyberspy or Bradley Mannings, the U.S. soldier accused of leaking
   classified documents about combat in Afghanistan to WikiLeaks. Zatkoa**s
   system would monitor networks in real-time for just the sort of
   data-stealing behavior he would perform himself: steps like scouring large
   areas of the network for a certain file, dumping piles of data to external
   storage hardware or sending encrypted files out over the Internet. No
   single episode would signal a leak; instead, the software would link acts
   in a probabilistic chain, triggering an alert only if a string of events
   points to purposeful data theft.

    

   Some of that leaky behavior isna**t what a casual observer might expect.
   Consider the cyber footprints left by Robert Hanssen, a former FBI agent
   serving a life sentence in a Colorado supermax prison for selling
   intelligence to the Soviets over two decades. Every few days Hanssen would
   stop his normal activities and make a single query to a server across the
   network, a pattern he repeated for years. That server, Zatko says, held
   the counterintelligence database. Hanssen was searching for himself, a
   routine check to see if hea**d finally been found out.

    

   a**You put all these things together into the different components of the
   mission,a** says Zatko. a**Ia**m looking for these new rhythms, new tells,
   new interrelations and requirements.a**

    

   Cinder wasna**t created to combat WikiLeaksa**in fact, it predates
   WikiLeaksa** biggest military scandals. But Zatko has nonetheless found
   himself squarely in opposition to Assangea**s missiona**a strange
   face-off, given that the two men once traveled in the same hacker circles,
   during the years when Assange went by the hacker handle Mendax (a Latin
   reference to the a**splendidly deceptivea** in the poet Horacea**s Odes)
   and reveled in accessing corporate and government systems without
   authorization. Neither will reveal much about their past encounters, but
   Assange says that they a**were in the same milieu.a** Asked about Assange,
   Zatko says only, a**I have very pleasant memories of those old days.a**

    

   WikiLeaksa** founder, in fact, seems to have trouble accepting that Mudge
   is working for the other side. a**Hea**s a clever guy, and hea**s also
   highly ethical,a** says Assange. a**I suspect he would have concerns about
   creating a system to conceal genuine abuses.a** He dismisses Cinder as
   just another system of digital censorship. And those systems, he says,
   will always fail, just as Chinaa**s Great Firewall cana**t stop
   well-informed and determined dissident Internet users. a**Censorship might
   work for the average person but not for highly motivated people,a**
   Assange says. a**And our people are highly motivated.a**

    

   *****

    

   Shutting down WikiLeaks wouldn't stop the growing movement of transparency
   agitators. They now have a nation-size ally: Iceland. Since WikiLeaks
   scored a major scoop unearthing the corrupt loans that helped destroy that
   countrya**s largest bank, the volcanic island is fast on its way to
   becoming the conduit for a global flood of leaks.

    

   It began when Kaupthing Bank collapsed in October 2008a**a calamitous
   chain reaction that has strapped Iceland with $128 billion in debts,
   around $400,000 per capita. Ten months later Bogi Agustsson, a Walter
   Cronkite-ish anchor for Icelandic national broadcaster RUV, appeared on
   the evening news and explained that a legal injunction had prevented the
   station from airing a prepared exposA(c) on Kaupthing. Viewers who wanted
   to see the material, he suggested, should visit a site called
   Wikileaks.org.

    

   Those who took Agustssona**s advice found a summary of Kaupthinga**s loan
   book posted on the site, detailing more than $6 billion funneled from
   Kaupthinga**s coffers to its own proprietors and companies they owned,
   often with little or no collateral; $900 million went to Olafur Olafsson,
   a major investor in Kaupthing who, on his birthday, flew in Elton John
   from England, along with a grand piano, for a one-hour concert. a**The
   banks had been eaten from the inside out,a** says Kristinn Hrafnsson, a
   former investigative reporter in Reykjavik who now works with WikiLeaks.

    

   A government investigation is still going on; no criminal charges have
   been filed. But WikiLeaks became a household name in Iceland. In December
   2009 Assange and Daniel Domscheit-Berg, a German who then worked with
   WikiALeaks, were invited to keynote a free-speech conference in Reykjavik.
   Their talk echoed an idea from American cyberAlibertarian John Perry
   Barlow, calling for a a**Switzerland of bits.a** Iceland, with its
   independent spirit and recent taste of explosive whistle-blowing, they
   suggested, could become the digital doppelgACURnger of a tax haven: a safe
   harbor for transparency, where ita**s open season on government and
   business secretsa**and leakers are protected by law.

    

   The idea might have gone nowhere if not for Birgitta Jonsdottir.
   Assangea**s message captivated the 43-year-old poet and self-styled
   a**realist-anarchist.a** She wasna**t just another idealistic protester
   with a goth wardrobe and hipster haircut. In the chaotic political
   environment that followed the national financial crisis, Jonsdottir had
   been elected to Icelanda**s parliament, the Althingi, in April 2009.

    

   Working with the countrya**s transparency activists, she pulled together
   the Icelandic Modern Media Initiative, or Immi. The initiative would bring
   to Iceland all the source-protection, freedom of information and
   transparency laws from around the world and even set up a Nobel-style
   international award for work in the field of free expression. Jonsdottir
   pushed through a unanimous resolution to create a series of bills to
   implement Immi. They would also make Iceland the most friendly legal base
   for whistleblowers on Earth.

    

   Velkomin, as Icelanders would say, to Leakistan.

    

   a**The more that companies resist, the more information will get out about
   them,a** says Jonsdottir when we meet in Reykjavika**s Hressingarskalinn
   cafA(c), around the corner from the parliament building. a**They cana**t
   hide anymore. The war is over. They lost.a** In Jonsdottira**s vision
   Iceland will attract both mainstream media and WikiALeaks-like
   organizations to move their data to Iceland, enjoying legal protection,
   just as another firm might incorporate in a tax-sheltering island in the
   Caribbean.

    

   She may be getting a bit ahead of herself. Immi has yet to become law,
   though it has backing from powerful figures, including both Icelanda**s
   minister of justice and the head of its progressive party. Even if it
   does, Immi likely wouldna**t offer much legal protection to organizations
   whose assets and staff arena**t physically in the country; they could
   still be sued anywhere else in the world, given that their digital and
   print publications could appear globally. Immi could also face resistance
   from the U.S. and the EUa**particularly when it comes to military matters.
   As Marc Thiessen, a conservative pundit, wrote on the blog of the American
   Enterprise Institute in August, a**Immi calls into question Icelanda**s
   seriousness as a NATO ally, and Iceland needs to realize there will be
   consequences for its actions.a** There could be a backlash for exposing
   corporate secrets, too. Alastair Mullis, a professor of law at East Anglia
   University in Britain, says, a**Ita**s possible that Iceland will become
   the defamation capital of the world.a**

    

   Jonsdottir and fellow Immi creator Smari McCarthy are pushing ahead
   anyway. Immi, they say, doesna**t fashion new laws; it cherry-picks
   existing statutes from around the world (source shields from Sweden, libel
   protection from New York State, protected communications with journalists
   from Belgium, among them). a**Wea**re basing our legislation on laws that
   have already withstood attacks,a** says Jonsdottir. Defamation and other
   concerns like child pornography and copyright violations, she argues,
   would still be illegal in Iceland and wouldna**t be sheltered.

    

   Nor is the idea to protect WikiLeaks itself, Jonsdottir points out. The
   site doesna**t need help: Its data and submissions process are carefully
   encrypted, and its infrastructure is spread over enough
   countriesa**including some servers in a bombproof, underground bunker in
   Swedena**that taking it offline is already nearly impossible.

   Instead Immi would foster a new wave of media organizations and
   whistleblower outlets that dona**t rely on WikiALeaksa** technical savvy
   or resources. Already a handful of smaller, leak-focused
   conduitsa**regional sites like Africa-focused SaharaReporters or
   Thaileaks.infoa**have published damning data. Immia**s McCarthy says
   hea**s been approached by media organizations from Rwanda to Chechnya.
   German WikiLeaks staffer Daniel Domscheit-Berg, disgruntled with
   Assangea**s laser focus on infrequent megaleaks, has left the organization
   along with several others to create his own spinoff. a**In the end there
   must be a thousand WikiLeaks,a** he told Der Spiegel in September.

    

   Iceland certainly has the infrastructure for a lot of informational
   mischief. Half an hour outside Reykjavik, on a landscape that resembles
   Mars covered in snow, the Thor Data Center is preparing for an influx of
   bytes. By 2011 it hopes to have thousands of servers in its
   aluminum-plant-turned-server-farm, powered by ultracheap geothermal energy
   and cooled by free arctic air. Icelanda**s biggest Web host, ironically
   named 1984 Web Hosting, is excited about the boost Immi could give its
   business. a**I created this company to prevent thought control,a** says
   Mordur Ingolfsson, its chief executive. a**In my humble opinion, Immi is
   the most important thing to happen to this godforsaken island since the
   Sagas were written.a** (Thata**s 600-plus years.)

    

   Jonsdottir agrees: a**WikiLeaks was an important icebreaker. It was the
   tip. Immi is the rest of the wedge, and it will open up everything.a**
   (She is less thrilled to learn that Assange speaks of Immi as his personal
   creation.)I ask Assange how he expects companies to cope with a world
   where hundreds of WikiLeak-alikes may soon exist. His three-part
   prescription is earnesta**if a bit patronizing: a**Do things to encourage
   leaks from dishonest competitors. Be as open and honest as possible. Treat
   your employees well.a**

   He also wants to clear up a misunderstanding. Despite his revolutionary
   reputation, hea**s not antibusiness. He bristles at the mediaa**s focus on
   his teenage years as a computer hacker who broke into dozens of systems,
   from the Department of Defense to Nortel, and was eventually convicted on
   25 charges of computer fraud and fined thousands of dollars.

    

   Instead, he prefers to think of himself as an entrepreneur. He tells the
   story of a free-speech-focused Internet service provider he cofounded in
   1993, known as Suburbia. It was, to hear him tell it, the blueprint for
   WikiLeaksa**in one instance, when the Church of Scientology demanded to
   know who had posted antichurch information on one site, he refused to
   help. (a**He has titanium balls,a** says David Gerard, that sitea**s
   creator.) a**I saw it early on, without realizing it: potentiating people
   to reveal their information, creating a conduit,a** Assange says.
   a**Without having any other robust publisher in the market, people came to
   us.a**

    

   Leaks merely lubricate the free market, he says, settling into the couch
   and clearly enjoying giving me a lecture on economics. (Later, as a
   45-minute interview pushes into two hours, he ignores his handler, who
   keeps urging him to leave for his next appointment.) He cites the example
   of the Chinese Sanlu Group, whose milk powder contained toxic melamine in
   2008. While poisoning its customers, Sanlu also gained an advantage over
   competitors and might have forced more of them to taint their products,
   too, or go bankrupta**if Sanlu hadna**t been exposed in the Chinese press.
   a**In the struggle between open and honest companies and dishonest and
   closed companies, wea**re creating a tremendous reputational tax on the
   unethical companies,a** he says.

    

   Of course, Assangea**s tax isna**t as equitable as it sounds. He alone
   decides where to apply the penalty, choosing the targets and when to
   expose them with a touch of theatrical grandstandinga**and with zero
   accountability. For bettera**and worsea**WikiLeaks has become the Julian
   Assange Show. As a photographer begins shooting, Assange wonders aloud if
   the coat hea**s wearing might have been produced by a labor-exploiting
   company. A few minutes later he jokes about his a**messiah complex.a**

    

   Like any true believer, Assange sees his work in simple terms. Markets, he
   reminds me, cana**t exist without information. Business will come to
   appreciate what he offers. And if that requires a few painful scandals in
   the process?

    

   Assange doesna**t miss a beat. a**Pain for the guilty.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Wednesday, December 08, 2010 19:39
   To: analysts
   Subject: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   I'm sure this has been thought of before at STRATFOR so excuse the
   redundancy. I was reading a solid Forbes article on Assange and it said
   that a large number of deep pocket corporations were looking into
   leak-focused network security after these Wikileak episodes.

   I was wondering if it was possible for us to get some of that
   \"leak-focused\" gravy train. This is an obvious fear sale, so that's a good
   thing. And we have something to offer that the IT security companies
   don't, mainly our focus on counter-intelligence and surveillance that Fred
   and Stick know better than anyone on the planet.

   We do a lot of good work with all the personal/executive security analysis
   as well. Could we develop some ideas and procedures on the idea of
   \"leak-focused\" network security that focuses on preventing one's own
   employees from leaking sensitive information.

   The point here is that I am sure there are certain procedures and
   precautions that companies should employ that go beyond installing network
   security network to deal with potential leaks. In fact, Im not so sure
   this is an IT problem that requires an IT solution.

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-12-09 07:16:08",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/882131_re-random-business-idea-network-security-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
895998,"falklands so far
","   Summary

    

   On the twenty-fifth anniversary of the Falklands War, Argentina has cut
   off oil exploration cooperation with the UK in the area and is ramping up
   rhetoric claiming full sovereignty over the islands and their resources. 
   President Kirchner likely intends for this to serve as an outlet for
   domestic unrest that might otherwise sour prospects for upcoming
   presidential elections in October.  This unrest includes strikes and
   protests due to inflation/wage concerns, political feuds and demands for
   stronger investigations into past government atrocities.  His
   administration will maintain its provocative rhetoric for the rest of the
   year, but steer clear of actual confrontation with the UK.

    

   Analysis

    

   Argentina announced late March 27 that it is withdrawing from an oil and
   gas exploration partnership with the UK around the Falkland Islands
   (Spanish: Malvinas), territory contested by both countries in a war
   twenty-five years ago.  Simultaneously, government officials are loudly
   discussing the country's claim to sovereignty over the area, an issue that
   has not been spotlighted for some time.

    

   This is a calculated decision on the part of the Argentine government,
   designed to channel public discontent away from domestic problems where
   the government might be to blame, and towards a foreign object where the
   government represents the peoples' own nationalist passions.  This
   suggests that Argentina will take a hard stance on the issue for several
   months, but will avoid taking it so far that it would jeopardize its
   diplomatic relationship with the UK.

    

   Argentina will have presidential elections in October, and President
   Nestor Kirchner is widely expected to be reelected if he chooses to run;
   otherwise his wife Cristina, currently a Senator, is expected to succeed
   her husband.  The Kirchners have enjoyed widespread popularity over the
   past three years while overseeing sustained 8 percent economic growth
   rates, pulling the country out of its dismal economic collapse in 2001.  

    

   Yet beneath the surface, discontent has been brewing. 

    

    
","2007-03-28 19:48:04",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/895998_falklands-so-far-.html","kornfield@stratfor.com","","araceli.santos@stratfor.com",""
901056,"[alpha] source evaluations - must read
","   This is the first in several emails on our sourcing and insight
   collections.  To begin with, we will be meeting with everyone who has
   sources to evaluate them on the criteria and scoring below.  I will be in
   touch with everyone who has a source list within the next few weeks.  If
   you have sources but no source list, then you need to create one.  I will
   give details on this in a separate email. 

   All of those who need to update or create their list need to do so by
   Monday and send them to both myself and Anya.  If you need a source code
   number range, email me and I will get this set up for you so you can start
   the process.  For analysts with compiled lists with uncoded sources,
   please code these ASAP unless they are genuinely a one-off and then give
   an explanation.

   In the meantime, it would be best if everyone with sources start to
   evaluate each source by looking at least the past five insights and start
   to score them based on the criteria and scoring below so you are not
   scrambling when we are ready to set up an evaluation with you.  Also, from
   here on out, start to think about sources with these criteria and scoring
   in mind.  This will be the first of many periodic insight evaluations so
   its best for everyone to get acquainted with this method.

   For Watch Officers, please also start to think along these lines when you
   are reading insight.  In the future we will also look to you as objective
   source evaluators.  Also, please start to read the insight carefully and
   comment on it the same as you would a piece from OS.  As Reva said in our
   meeting today, we are starting to refocus on intel and insight.  As Watch
   Officers, you are well placed to comment on any anomalies presented in
   insights and compare it with what is being said in the media.

   If there are any questions or concerns, please ask.

   Jen

                               Sourcing Criteria

   The following are the proposed criteria for analyzing both sources and
   insight.

    

   1.     Source Timeliness

   2.     Source Accessibility/Position

   3.     Source Availability

   4.     Insight Credibility

   5.     Insight Uniqueness

    

    

   Source Timeliness:  This is the average grade on how long this particular
   source turns around tasks and replies to inquiries.  It may change but is
   more of a static indicator.

    

   Source Accessibility: Accessibility weighs the source's position to have
   certain knowledge in a particular field.  So, for example, if we are
   looking for energy insight and the source is an official in an energy
   agency, his or her Accessibility would be ranked higher than if s/he was a
   banker giving insight on energy.  While we would welcome a banker giving
   his/her insight, a good source may not have a high accessibility ranking
   if they aren't in a position to offer reliable insight on a certain topic.
   The source's access to decision makers, specific training or education in
   the desired topic area, specific knowledge of events/situations/incidents
   can also be considered.

    

   Source Availability:  How often can we go to this source?  Are they
   someone we can tap daily, weekly, monthly, yearly?

    

   Insight Credibility:  This is our assessment of the veracity of the
   insight offered.  Here we need to consider whether or not this is
   disinformation, speculation, correct data or knowledgeable interpretation.
   Any bias that the source is displaying or any specific viewpoints or
   personal background the source is using in the assessment provided should
   also be considered.

    

   Insight Uniqueness:  Is this insight something that could be found in OS? 
   If it is but the analysis of the information is unique, it would still
   have a high uniqueness ranking.  Or, if it is concrete data, but is
   something that is only offered to industry insiders, i.e. stats that
   aren't published but that aren't secret, it would still have a high
   uniqueness score.

    

    

                                    Scoring

   All of the above factors will be scored on an A-F scale, with A being
   exemplary and F being useless. 

    

   Source Timeliness:

   A = turnaround within 24 hours

   B = turnaround within 48 hours

   C = turnaround within a week

   D = turnaround within a month

   F = lucky to receive a reply at all

    

   Source Accessibility:

   A = Someone with intimate knowledge of the particular insight

   B = Someone within the industry but whose knowledge of the topic is not
   exact (e.g. if we were asking someone in the oil industry about natural
   gas)

   C = Someone working close to the industry who doesn't have intimate
   knowledge of a particular topic but can speak to it intelligently (e.g. a
   financial consultant asked to gauge the movement of the stock market)

   D = Someone who may know a country but doesn't have any concrete insight
   into a particular topic but can offer rumors and discussions heard on the
   topic

   F = Someone who has no knowledge of a particular industry at all

    

   Source Availability:

   A = Available pretty much whenever

   B = Can tap around once a week

   C = Can tap about once a month

   D = Can tap only several times a year

   F = Very limited availability

    

   Insight Credibility:

   A = We can take this information to the bank

   B = Good insight but maybe not entirely precise

   C = Insight is only partially true

   D = There may be some interest in the insight, but it is mostly false or
   just pure speculation.

   F = Likely to be disinformation

    

   Insight Uniqueness:

   A = Can't be found anywhere else

   B = Can only be found in limited circles

   C = Insight can be found in OS, but the source has an interesting
   take/analysis

   D = Insight can be found in OS, but still may not be common knowledge

   F = Insight is accessible in numerous locations

    

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2011-08-10 04:51:43",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/901056_-alpha-source-evaluations-must-read-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","watchofficer@stratfor.com,alpha@stratfor.com",""
904949,"Re: [latam] INTRO: Falklands/Malvinas drilling
","   er, weak.
   look forward to seeing what Allison and Paulo can collect on this. This
   could make a good analysis on Brazil's FP outlook for the region
   On Sep 21, 2010, at 2:10 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

     so brazil is establishing itself as a protector of Argentina?
     interesting...
     i guess they can afford to do so if they perceive Argentina as being
     that week
     On Sep 21, 2010, at 2:09 PM, Paulo Gregoire wrote:

       Yes I will try to get insight. Brazil has mentioned a few times that
       the South Atlantic is a  blue amazon  and that no northern country
       should be occupying it.  Since Lula came to power Brazil has shown
       signs of support to Argentina in the Malvinas issue.
       They do not want to have the UK next to the pre-salt reserves.

       Paulo Gregoire
       STRATFOR
       www.stratfor.com

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
       To: \"LatAm AOR\" <latam@stratfor.com>
       Sent: Wednesday, September 22, 2010 3:37:57 AM
       Subject: Re: [latam] INTRO: Falklands/Malvinas drilling

       This is very strange that Petrobras is involved (also interesting that
       Spain is backing Argentina up).
       Paulo, can you try to collect insight on what is going on here?
       Petrobras participating in this project is a pretty strong show of
       support for Argentina in a dispute where Argentina has looked
       completely helpless.  Why is Brazil/Petrobras doing this?
       On Sep 21, 2010, at 1:35 PM, Allison Fedirka wrote:

         Not sure who Mercopress is but they tend to report on
         Malvinas/Falklands stuff more completely than other news outlets and
         a bit faster than Argentine press.  The two articles below are the
         initial announcement (was repped) that the Govt plans its own
         exploration activities and the second is the most recent article
         saying that exploration plans are still on track for the start of
         Dec 2010.  The initial announcement was well timed, just about a
         week after the natl holiday for Malvinas in Argentina (April 2).

         For now it looks like YPF-Repsol, Petrobras and Pan American Energy
         will participate in the exploration.  Not sure how PAE's association
         with British Petroleum would affect things (if at all).  I'm not
         sure why I though Uruguay was somehow involved (wishful
         thinking?).  

         April 9th 2010 - 02:57 UTC
         - http://en.mercopress.com/2010/04/09/argentina-to-drill-two-wells-next-to-falklands-waters-in-last-quarter

     Argentina to drill two wells next to Falklands* waters in last quarter

         Several oil companies operating in Argentina have teamed up to begin
         hydrocarbons explorations close to Falklands* waters. The companies
         have programmed to spend 140 million US dollars in two exploratory
         wells for which they have contracted a special drilling vessel,
         according to reports in the Buenos Aires press.
         Companies involved are YPF, Brazil*s Petrobras and PAE which is an
         association of Argentina*s Bridas and British Petroleum.
         The vessel *Stena DriMax* is scheduled to drill two 2.000 metres
         wells in an area 320 kilometres from Rio Grande and 498 kilometres
         from Rio Gallegos.
         Although not many details of the operation have been disclosed
         *Stena DriMax* should be arriving in the last quarter of the year
         and will count with three support vessels operating from Comodoro
         Rivadavia as the logistics base.
         An estimated 250 people will be involved in the drilling round, says
         the Buenos Aires press. The vessel can accommodate 180 people.
         YPF has drilled in the South Atlantic, mainly offshore Chubut
         province in relatively shallow waters but this time the operation is
         to take place at an average depth of 500 metres according to the
         Buenos Aires press.
         Stena DrillMax is currently operating off-shore Brazil contracted by
         YPF parent company, Spain*s Repsol.
         The initiative apparently has been spurred by the Argentine
         government in response to the exploratory drilling round in
         Falklands* waters by four British companies with the oil rig Ocean
         Guardian, and which has infuriated Argentine authorities and upset
         public opinion.
         The first well drilled in the north Falkland basin by Desire
         Petroleum showed abundant signs of oil and gas but was finally
         sealed since it lacked the sufficient commercial volumes.
         According to the Stena Drilling website, the company is a wholly
         owned subsidiary of Stena AB, Gothenburg, Sweden and is one of the
         world's foremost independent drilling contractors.
         In 1989 and 1996 Stena acquired Houlder Marine Drilling and Ben Line
         Steamers / Atlantic Drilling respectively; and with them, history
         and pedigree dating back to the mid-1970s. The acquisitions were
         strategic in providing Stena Drilling, not only with worthy drilling
         units, but also with staff and personnel, who brought invaluable
         operational experience and success into the Company.
         Today, Stena Drilling manages a global business, holding a portfolio
         of successful, past and present operations in the North Sea, US Gulf
         of Mexico, South East Asia, Mediterranean, Caribbean, South America,
         Australia, North Africa and West Africa. In expanding its fleet of
         well-maintained drilling units, the Company has had an active role
         in building and converting rigs and, in doing so, pioneering some of
         the most leading-edge technologies and innovations in the drilling
         world.
         The 228 metres long Stena DrillMax was built by Samsung Heavy
         Industries, South Korea and is described as a dynamically positioned
         drilling vessels designed for year round world wide operations in
         ultra deep waters. She has a water depth capacity of 10.000 ft and
         35.000 deep drilling with a variable deck load of 15.000 tons. 

         Argentina confirms drilling in Malvinas basin for next December
         September 15th 2010 - 05:46
         UTC - http://en.mercopress.com/2010/09/15/argentina-confirms-drilling-in-malvinas-basin-for-next-december
         The Argentine press confirmed that following the contracting of a
         semi-submersible rig from the Swedish company Stensa, a consortium
         of Argentine based oil companies will begin exploratory drilling in
         the Malvinas basin next December.
         The consortium which includes YPF-Repsol, Pan American Energy and
         Petrobras will be drilling half way between the Falkland Islands and
         Tierra del Fuego, in what is considered the most austral
         hydrocarbons offshore exploratory operation in Argentine history.
         The initiative is seen as a strong reply from Argentina to the
         exploratory round in Falklands* waters which the government of
         President Cristina Kirchner has condemned and rejected as *illegal*
         since these are *disputed waters*, according to the Argentine
         argument.
         At least five London quoted companies have drilled or have announced
         plans to drill in Falklands* waters taking advantage of the *Ocean
         Guardian* rig.
         In Buenos Aires Defence ministry strategy considers the southwest
         Atlantic as *the soft belly of Argentina* and the policy has been to
         sponsor oil related activities in the area to contain the
         *encroaching* British companies, according to Argentina*s Cronista
         Comercial, a financial newspaper close to the government.
         *A positive result in the area would give a boost to the industry,
         and investments, and also most importantly signal defence of our
         sovereignty*, said an Argentine Defence ministry source.
         The consortium involved in the coming drilling round is estimated to
         pour into the operation 140 million US dollars. A 3D survey of the
         area to be explored was recently finished and analyzed.
         Apparently the project was almost cancelled at the end of last year,
         but YPF was finally able to contract a semi-submersible rig which
         has the necessary fittings to stand weather conditions in the South
         Atlantic. Built to stand ten metre waves the rig is permanently
         fixed to its position by a GPS system and four independent turbines.
         The vessel will be operating in waters 1.500 metres deep and
         drilling is expected to exceed 3.000 metres.
         Spain*s Repsol-YPF has sold some of its YPF assets back to Argentine
         interests, particularly the Eskenazi family which is very close to
         the Kirchner couple and had promised to go ahead with the Malvinas
         basin project.
","2010-09-21 21:15:37",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/904949_re-latam-intro-falklands-malvinas-drilling-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:latam@stratfor.com","latam@stratfor.com",""
909781,"Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
","   We need to change that.  A simple email to IT before a trip gets you off
   the list. 
   From: Kamran Bokhari <bokhari@stratfor.com>
   Reply-To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 16:51:42 -0400
   To: <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
   Ok, but even when I have been outside the continent I have still been on
   secure. 
   On 7/29/11 4:03 PM, scott stewart wrote:

     Yeah. We don't consider Canada to really be overseas.  
     From: Kamran Bokhari <bokhari@stratfor.com>
     Reply-To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
     Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 15:49:34 -0400
     To: <alpha@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
     I have always been secure even though I am always overseas.

     On 7/29/11 2:59 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       Ok, good question.

       The secure list is not supposed to have anyone overseas on it.  (And
       as a side note, if you are traveling overseas you need to get yourself
       off this list while out of the country.)  We have many WOs overseas
       and so when we send something to secure it is just one more way we are
       trying to protect sourcing by not having it sent over international
       wires (yes, of course, there are many ways that foreigners can access
       any insight sent from anywhere at anytime, but it is somewhat more
       secure when we email only within CONUS).  So either a source or
       insight that is highly sensitive needs to go to the secure list only,
       and that means that we send it in ourselves because the overseas WOs
       won't be able to pick it up.

       Alpha goes to analysts/writers (and the few others selected on this
       list) and not ADPs or Interns, including to analysts/writers overseas.

       On 7/29/11 1:50 PM, Lauren Goodrich wrote:

         your last line in the P.S.... said to send things directly to
         secure... I wanted to know if that meant only to secure or to alpha
         too.
         I think there is still some confusion over which list is which.
         On 7/29/11 1:47 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

           I don't understand your question.  This applies to both lists. 
           All sources need IDs (as mentioned in my PS - does that answer
           your question?).

           As to the question of sending from BBs, I definitely understand
           that issue.  When you return to your computer, please reply to the
           insight sent out with the full coding.  We need this info to
           really track insight and any changes over time.

           On 7/29/11 1:45 PM, Lauren Goodrich wrote:

             secure or alpha?

             On 7/29/11 1:41 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

 We've gotten lazy on insight source IDs again.  Not only do you need to
 put the source code in the subject line, but all of these categories
 need to be filled out for every single insight sent to the list.

 SOURCE: code
 ATTRIBUTION: this is what we should say if we use this info in a
 publication, e.g. STRATFOR source/source in the medical industry/source
 on the ground, etc
 SOURCE DESCRIPTION: this is where we put the more concrete details of
 the source for our internal consumption so we can better understand the
 source's background and ability to make the assessments in the insight
 PUBLICATION: Yes or no.  If you put yes it doesn't mean that we will
 publish it, but only that we can publish it.
 SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.  this
 grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests
 ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1-10, 1 being the best and 10 being the worst (we may
 change the range here in the future).  this changes a lot based on the
 info provided.  1 is \"you can take this to the bank\" and 10 would be an
 example of maybe - \"this is a totally ridiculous rumor but something
 that is spreading on the ground\"
 SPECIAL HANDLING: often this is \"none\" but it may be something like, \"if
 you use this we need to be sure not to mention the part about XXX in the
 publication\" or any other special notes
 SOURCE HANDLER: the person who can take follow-up questions and
 communicate with the source

 If you have any questions, concerns or suggestions, let me know.  I'll
 be back in the office next Tues so if you want to discuss this process
 in person we can do so soon.  In the meantime, remember that every piece
 of insight needs this ENTIRE ID unless it is just something that you
 picked up off the ground from a source that you will likely not hear
 from again.  Even then, you should fill out the entire ID and in the
 SOURCE field simply say - n/a with a description on why we are not
 coding them.

 Jen
 PS: Also remember that is something is highly sensitive to send directly
 - not thru a WO - to the \"secure\" list.  Secure list insights still need
 the above ID tags.


             --
             Lauren Goodrich
             Senior Eurasia Analyst
             STRATFOR
             T: 512.744.4311
             F: 512.744.4334
             lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
             www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com

         --
         Lauren Goodrich
         Senior Eurasia Analyst
         STRATFOR
         T: 512.744.4311
         F: 512.744.4334
         lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
         www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com
","2011-07-29 22:58:35",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/909781_re-alpha-sourcing-insight-.html","stewart@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
910301,"Re: [latam] INTRO: Falklands/Malvinas drilling
","   They think that Argentina is not a threat. They are more afraid of the UK
   because they associate it with NATO.

   The latest Brazil s national plan of defense says that the South Atlantic
   should be one of Brazils security priorities.

    

   Paulo Gregoire
   STRATFOR
   www.stratfor.com

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: \"LatAm AOR\" <latam@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Wednesday, September 22, 2010 4:10:46 AM
   Subject: Re: [latam] INTRO: Falklands/Malvinas drilling

   so brazil is establishing itself as a protector of Argentina?

   interesting...
   i guess they can afford to do so if they perceive Argentina as being that
   week
   On Sep 21, 2010, at 2:09 PM, Paulo Gregoire wrote:

     Yes I will try to get insight. Brazil has mentioned a few times that the
     South Atlantic is a  blue amazon  and that no northern country should
     be occupying it.  Since Lula came to power Brazil has shown signs of
     support to Argentina in the Malvinas issue.
     They do not want to have the UK next to the pre-salt reserves.

     Paulo Gregoire
     STRATFOR
     www.stratfor.com

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
     To: \"LatAm AOR\" <latam@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Wednesday, September 22, 2010 3:37:57 AM
     Subject: Re: [latam] INTRO: Falklands/Malvinas drilling

     This is very strange that Petrobras is involved (also interesting that
     Spain is backing Argentina up).
     Paulo, can you try to collect insight on what is going on here?
     Petrobras participating in this project is a pretty strong show of
     support for Argentina in a dispute where Argentina has looked completely
     helpless.  Why is Brazil/Petrobras doing this?
     On Sep 21, 2010, at 1:35 PM, Allison Fedirka wrote:

       Not sure who Mercopress is but they tend to report on
       Malvinas/Falklands stuff more completely than other news outlets and a
       bit faster than Argentine press.  The two articles below are the
       initial announcement (was repped) that the Govt plans its own
       exploration activities and the second is the most recent article
       saying that exploration plans are still on track for the start of Dec
       2010.  The initial announcement was well timed, just about a week
       after the natl holiday for Malvinas in Argentina (April 2).

       For now it looks like YPF-Repsol, Petrobras and Pan American Energy
       will participate in the exploration.  Not sure how PAE's association
       with British Petroleum would affect things (if at all).  I'm not sure
       why I though Uruguay was somehow involved (wishful thinking?).  

       April 9th 2010 - 02:57 UTC
       - http://en.mercopress.com/2010/04/09/argentina-to-drill-two-wells-next-to-falklands-waters-in-last-quarter

    Argentina to drill two wells next to Falklandsa** waters in last quarter

       Several oil companies operating in Argentina have teamed up to begin
       hydrocarbons explorations close to Falklandsa** waters. The companies
       have programmed to spend 140 million US dollars in two exploratory
       wells for which they have contracted a special drilling vessel,
       according to reports in the Buenos Aires press.
       Companies involved are YPF, Brazila**s Petrobras and PAE which is an
       association of Argentinaa**s Bridas and British Petroleum.
       The vessel a**Stena DriMaxa** is scheduled to drill two 2.000 metres
       wells in an area 320 kilometres from Rio Grande and 498 kilometres
       from Rio Gallegos.
       Although not many details of the operation have been disclosed
       a**Stena DriMaxa** should be arriving in the last quarter of the year
       and will count with three support vessels operating from Comodoro
       Rivadavia as the logistics base.
       An estimated 250 people will be involved in the drilling round, says
       the Buenos Aires press. The vessel can accommodate 180 people.
       YPF has drilled in the South Atlantic, mainly offshore Chubut province
       in relatively shallow waters but this time the operation is to take
       place at an average depth of 500 metres according to the Buenos Aires
       press.
       Stena DrillMax is currently operating off-shore Brazil contracted by
       YPF parent company, Spaina**s Repsol.
       The initiative apparently has been spurred by the Argentine government
       in response to the exploratory drilling round in Falklandsa** waters
       by four British companies with the oil rig Ocean Guardian, and which
       has infuriated Argentine authorities and upset public opinion.
       The first well drilled in the north Falkland basin by Desire Petroleum
       showed abundant signs of oil and gas but was finally sealed since it
       lacked the sufficient commercial volumes.
       According to the Stena Drilling website, the company is a wholly owned
       subsidiary of Stena AB, Gothenburg, Sweden and is one of the world's
       foremost independent drilling contractors.
       In 1989 and 1996 Stena acquired Houlder Marine Drilling and Ben Line
       Steamers / Atlantic Drilling respectively; and with them, history and
       pedigree dating back to the mid-1970s. The acquisitions were strategic
       in providing Stena Drilling, not only with worthy drilling units, but
       also with staff and personnel, who brought invaluable operational
       experience and success into the Company.
       Today, Stena Drilling manages a global business, holding a portfolio
       of successful, past and present operations in the North Sea, US Gulf
       of Mexico, South East Asia, Mediterranean, Caribbean, South America,
       Australia, North Africa and West Africa. In expanding its fleet of
       well-maintained drilling units, the Company has had an active role in
       building and converting rigs and, in doing so, pioneering some of the
       most leading-edge technologies and innovations in the drilling world.
       The 228 metres long Stena DrillMax was built by Samsung Heavy
       Industries, South Korea and is described as a dynamically positioned
       drilling vessels designed for year round world wide operations in
       ultra deep waters. She has a water depth capacity of 10.000 ft and
       35.000 deep drilling with a variable deck load of 15.000 tons. 

       Argentina confirms drilling in Malvinas basin for next December
       September 15th 2010 - 05:46
       UTC - http://en.mercopress.com/2010/09/15/argentina-confirms-drilling-in-malvinas-basin-for-next-december
       The Argentine press confirmed that following the contracting of a
       semi-submersible rig from the Swedish company Stensa, a consortium of
       Argentine based oil companies will begin exploratory drilling in the
       Malvinas basin next December.
       The consortium which includes YPF-Repsol, Pan American Energy and
       Petrobras will be drilling half way between the Falkland Islands and
       Tierra del Fuego, in what is considered the most austral hydrocarbons
       offshore exploratory operation in Argentine history.
       The initiative is seen as a strong reply from Argentina to the
       exploratory round in Falklandsa** waters which the government of
       President Cristina Kirchner has condemned and rejected as
       a**illegala** since these are a**disputed watersa**, according to the
       Argentine argument.
       At least five London quoted companies have drilled or have announced
       plans to drill in Falklandsa** waters taking advantage of the a**Ocean
       Guardiana** rig.
       In Buenos Aires Defence ministry strategy considers the southwest
       Atlantic as a**the soft belly of Argentinaa** and the policy has been
       to sponsor oil related activities in the area to contain the
       a**encroachinga** British companies, according to Argentinaa**s
       Cronista Comercial, a financial newspaper close to the government.
       a**A positive result in the area would give a boost to the industry,
       and investments, and also most importantly signal defence of our
       sovereigntya**, said an Argentine Defence ministry source.
       The consortium involved in the coming drilling round is estimated to
       pour into the operation 140 million US dollars. A 3D survey of the
       area to be explored was recently finished and analyzed.
       Apparently the project was almost cancelled at the end of last year,
       but YPF was finally able to contract a semi-submersible rig which has
       the necessary fittings to stand weather conditions in the South
       Atlantic. Built to stand ten metre waves the rig is permanently fixed
       to its position by a GPS system and four independent turbines. The
       vessel will be operating in waters 1.500 metres deep and drilling is
       expected to exceed 3.000 metres.
       Spaina**s Repsol-YPF has sold some of its YPF assets back to Argentine
       interests, particularly the Eskenazi family which is very close to the
       Kirchner couple and had promised to go ahead with the Malvinas basin
       project.
","2010-09-21 21:15:38",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/910301_re-latam-intro-falklands-malvinas-drilling-.html","paulo.gregoire@stratfor.com","mailto:latam@stratfor.com","latam@stratfor.com",""
971109,"Re: INSIGHT - BRAZIL - On military purchases
","   there was a lengthy Economist article just recently about how a German
   industrial giant (maybe Siemens) had really turned around after years of
   corrupt practices. It is one thing to make it illegal, it is another to
   actually clean house and end the practices. So the French may be further
   behind the curve on the latter -- also, they're getting desperate on the
   Rafale, since they're going to have to start shutting down the line
   eventually...

   On 10/18/2010 11:08 AM, Marko Papic wrote:

     PUBLICATION: If needed
     SOURCE: US505
     ATTRIBUTION: U.S. officials in Brazil
     SOURCE DESCRIPTION: FSO stationed in Rio, in charge of econ cooperation
     SOURCE  Reliability : A
     ITEM CREDIBILITY:
     DISTRIBUTION: Secure
     SPECIAL HANDLING: Marko

     Asked a good source of mine in Rio what he thought about our internal
     discussion on Brazil and its military purchases. This was a phone
     conversation from Sunday, so I am going from memory on a lot of this.
     This was his answer:

     You are correct to be asking yourself what in God's name Brasilia is
     doing. Look, Brazilian navy is shit. It is a joke, and I would know
     because I talk to our military personnel at the consulate all the time
     about this. That they went for nuclear subs makes no sense. In fact, the
     fact they want the Rafale's and Gripen's is a joke too. The F-18 is the
     best piece of hardware. We even gave them as much tech transfer as we
     give anyone, short of the Israelis. We literally gave them a package
     that said \"you get everything, shade under the Israeli deal.\" It is a
     great deal and anyone would love to have it. Instead they're looking at
     the Rafale, which is overpriced even with price cuts, and the Gripen
     which is just shit. You purchase Gripen's if you're Slovakia.

     Our thinking, and we are pretty unified on this view, here at the
     Consulate and in the wider diplo community is that there are some
     serious kick backs going on. Brazil is an astonishingly corrupt country.
     However, our Treasury Department forbids us to pad their wallets the way
     the French can. That really is it. Remember that deal in Pakistan that
     led to the deaths of a bunch of French officials? Guess what that was
     about? Sale of three French submarines for $1 billion. The French
     supposedly had a kick back deal with Pakistan, which is why Pakistan
     bought the subs in the first place. [MP: later the French reneged on
     paying the kickback, which -- the theory goes -- resulted in the deaths
     of French engineers in 2002].

     I can't prove anything, and don't quote me on this, but the purchase of
     the submarines is so singularly stupid that it has to be part of some
     kickbacks. Lula is probably looking for retirement money. And look, the
     purchase came interestingly close to the end of his term. Same with the
     jets. Our Treasury Department is really vindictive on bribes. We can't
     do any real business because of it in a corrupt place like Brazil. The
     French have no such problems [MP: not saying I disagree, but I believe
     the French have also made bribing illegal].

     So I am sorry that I can't give you some grand explanation that talks of
     Brazil's grand strategy. It is our assessment that this is purely about
     bribes and the French using strategies they have applied in the past
     here in Brazil. The only difference is that Brazil now has money, lots
     of it, so it can do this stuff. I mean is it a coincidence that they are
     buying so much French stuff? The French know how to bribe.

     --

     - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

     Marko Papic

     Geopol Analyst - Eurasia

     STRATFOR

     700 Lavaca Street - 900

     Austin, Texas

     78701 USA

     P: + 1-512-744-4094

     marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-10-18 17:14:03",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/971109_re-insight-brazil-on-military-purchases-.html","hughes@stratfor.com","","marko.papic@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
991928,"INSIGHT - US/Pakistan - Government and Military Relations - PK700
","   Source Code: PK700
   ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR security source
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Former Pakistani intelligence officer
   PUBLICATION: Yes
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: C (personal opinion/analysis and speculation)
   SPECIAL HANDLING: None
   SOURCE HANDLER: Fred

   Source sent these comments with the article \"Thinking the Unthinkable\" by
   Abdus Salam Akhtar:

   A sample of the reaction to Mullens statement in Pakistan. I think the
   trust and the partnership has been very very badly damaged. People think
   this as the third betrayal of Pakistan by USA and the worst outcome has
   been the opportunity to those opposing Pakistan,s help/participation  to
   gloat and have something to say. The more US media or the officials blame
   The ISI the more they make it impossible for any one to even utter a word
   of support for US. 
   I am surprised that the US authorities have not yet learnt that in
   Pakistan there is very high value placed on respect. You can achieve a lot
   by talking nicely and secretly but insulting a nation and behaving like
   the proverbial ugly American will only earn you hostility. The national
   make up of Afghans and Pakistanis is not very different and both have
   fairly pronounced suicidal tendencies. I pray better sense prevails and
   damage repair exercise is undertaken. The entire political leadership
   across the board met yesterday and agreed to stand with the Army and The
   ISI.
","2011-09-30 18:43:15",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/991928_insight-us-pakistan-government-and-military-relations-pk700-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","fred.burton@stratfor.com,watchofficer@stratfor.com",""
994037,"INSIGHT - ECON/IRELAND - Moody's LATEST Analyses on Ireland
","   Not yet published, DO NOT FORWARD TO ANYONE.

   --

   - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

   Marko Papic

   Geopol Analyst - Eurasia

   STRATFOR

   700 Lavaca Street - 900

   Austin, Texas

   78701 USA

   P: + 1-512-744-4094

   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-11-10 20:40:32",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/994037_insight-econ-ireland-moody-s-latest-analyses-on-ireland-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","mailto:econ@stratfor.com","econ@stratfor.com","attach/97/97446_sovereign risk report 11 8_Final dg.pdf
attach/97/97447_ireland againV2.docx"
999236,"Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
","   he is impeccably dressed. the most beautiful hair... so silky and shiny! i
   might ask him what shampoo he uses
   On Nov 16, 2010, at 3:41 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

     Como se dice \"Movember\" en espanol?

     <moz-screenshot-68.png>

     On 11/16/10 3:33 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

       Uh, how about a party for stratfor in his (or one of his friends')
       mediterranean villa?

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: Michael Wilson <michael.wilson@stratfor.com>
       Sender: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com
       Date: Tue, 16 Nov 2010 15:32:32 -0600
       To: Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com>
       ReplyTo: Analyst List <analysts@stratfor.com>
       Subject: Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
       can i crash on his couch?

       On 11/16/10 3:26 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

         can you just tell him \"good call on blaming ETA\" for me?

         On 11/16/10 3:18 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

           he's teaching our class today

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com
","2010-11-16 22:44:36",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/999236_re-anybody-have-questions-for-former-spanish-pm-aznar-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1001359,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   Haha, I'm glad you noticed those gorgeous locks as well
   Aznar could have been exaggerating the ETA in VZ stuff, but who knows

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Nov 16, 2010, at 6:35 PM, Reginald Thompson
   <reginald.thompson@stratfor.com> wrote:

     At least 20 camps? Pretty impressive. That's more than I've seen in OS,
     where so far all they've been focusing on is the Guasdalito camp where
     Cubillas was allegedly at, but it's quite possible all those former
     etarras are spread out all over the place. I would he's a lot more open
     about heaping criticisms on Chavez since I heard him speak at Trinity
     back in 2004, where he referred to him as \"an interesting man.\" My
     brother has a picture of himself with Aznar at that event. Every time I
     look at it I really do think, it's always his hair that I notice.....

     -----------------
     Reginald Thompson

     Cell: (011) 504 8990-7741

     OSINT
     Stratfor

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
     To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 2010 5:26:21 PM
     Subject: Former Spanish PM Azner

     Wow, SeA+-or presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the  
     Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all  
     terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat  
     them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists  
     and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He  
     attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their  
     larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz  
     is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says  
     poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid  
     policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time  
     buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt  
     encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they  
     can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to Spanish-
     speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams are in  
     the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela and  
     ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

     Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the  
     personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is  
     embarassed by his loss)

     Also, great hair.

     Sent from my iPhone
","2010-11-17 00:44:52",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1001359_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1004860,"Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
","   Uh, how about a party for stratfor in his (or one of his friends')
   mediterranean villa?

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Michael Wilson <michael.wilson@stratfor.com>
   Sender: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com
   Date: Tue, 16 Nov 2010 15:32:32 -0600
   To: Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com>
   ReplyTo: Analyst List <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
   can i crash on his couch?

   On 11/16/10 3:26 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

     can you just tell him \"good call on blaming ETA\" for me?

     On 11/16/10 3:18 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

       he's teaching our class today

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com
","2010-11-16 22:33:58",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1004860_re-anybody-have-questions-for-former-spanish-pm-aznar-.html","sean.noonan@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1006351,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   At least 20 camps? Pretty impressive. That's more than I've seen in OS,
   where so far all they've been focusing on is the Guasdalito camp where
   Cubillas was allegedly at, but it's quite possible all those former
   etarras are spread out all over the place. I would he's a lot more open
   about heaping criticisms on Chavez since I heard him speak at Trinity back
   in 2004, where he referred to him as \"an interesting man.\" My brother has
   a picture of himself with Aznar at that event. Every time I look at it I
   really do think, it's always his hair that I notice.....

   -----------------
   Reginald Thompson

   Cell: (011) 504 8990-7741

   OSINT
   Stratfor

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 2010 5:26:21 PM
   Subject: Former Spanish PM Azner

   Wow, SeA+-or presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the  
   Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all  
   terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat  
   them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists  
   and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He  
   attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their  
   larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz  
   is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says  
   poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid  
   policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time  
   buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt  
   encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they  
   can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to Spanish-
   speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams are in  
   the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela and  
   ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

   Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the  
   personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is  
   embarassed by his loss)

   Also, great hair.

   Sent from my iPhone
","2010-11-17 00:35:40",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1006351_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","reginald.thompson@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1009309,"Re: Research Request - Europe/MIL - Fighter Jet Market
","   Here is my summary of Gripen and its place in Saab.  More information is
   in the attached document.

   Military aeronautics sales account for 9,183 million Swedish Kroners
   (about 1.3 billion dollars), or about 38% of Saab's total business, and
   Gripen fighters are the core of this.  Gripen has sold a total of about 50
   aircraft overseas since it started production in the mid 90's.  The
   company has made a big push for large sales in Brazil and India, and
   without one or both of these contracts coming through it seems unlikely
   that Gripen will continue as a major player past 2012.  The Gripen NG is
   the newest model, and has yet to find a buyer.  The JSF and Eurofighter
   have too much of the market claimed between them, and the natural clients
   for the Gripen fighters, second-tier powers looking to upgrade their air
   capabilities, are mostly facing financial constraints. When Norway and the
   Netherlands chose the JSF in the last year it was a big blow to Gripen. 
   The following Bloomberg article is an excellent summary of their problems:
   http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=conewsstory&tkr=BA:US&sid=a48CogGIxMy0

   Marko Papic wrote:

     Yeah... the \"born of jets\" is just a tag line ;)

     ----- Original Message -----
     From: \"Nate Hughes\" <hughes@stratfor.com>
     To: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
     Cc: \"Kristen Cooper\" <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>, \"Rami Naser\"
     <rami.naser@stratfor.com>, \"Matthew Powers\"
     <matthew.powers@stratfor.com>, \"Antonia Colibasanu\"
     <colibasanu@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 1:56:43 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada
     Central
     Subject: Re: Research Request - Europe/MIL - Fighter Jet Market

     heh. then we need a first look at Saab the corporate entity. Ignore any
     news about the automotive arm.

     Marko Papic wrote:

       Saab has not owned the car wing since 1990.

       ----- Original Message -----
       From: \"Nate Hughes\" <hughes@stratfor.com>
       To: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
       Cc: \"Kristen Cooper\" <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>, \"Rami Naser\"
       <rami.naser@stratfor.com>, \"Matthew Powers\"
       <matthew.powers@stratfor.com>, \"Antonia Colibasanu\"
       <colibasanu@stratfor.com>
       Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 1:45:38 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada
       Central
       Subject: Re: Research Request - Europe/MIL - Fighter Jet Market

       Let's take a closer look at Saab as a corporate entity. Did GM just
       own the Saab car brand/the automotive arm of Saab? Saab's automotive
       troubles are just one element of Saab as an industrial entity, just
       like the Gripen is. Let's map it out and get a sense of the
       overarching corporate status of Saab as an entity.

       Marko Papic wrote:

         Thanks guys... I will hit you up with questions if I have them.

         I am going to do the piece on Gripen then, probably for tmrw.

         ----- Original Message -----
         From: \"Kristen Cooper\" <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>
         To: \"Nate Hughes\" <hughes@stratfor.com>
         Cc: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Rami Naser\"
         <rami.naser@stratfor.com>, \"Matthew Powers\"
         <matthew.powers@stratfor.com>, \"Antonia Colibasanu\"
         <colibasanu@stratfor.com>
         Sent: Wednesday, September 30, 2009 1:09:38 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada
         Central
         Subject: Re: Research Request - Europe/MIL - Fighter Jet Market

         nate and marko - attached and below is the research on the first
         tranche of questions. Much thanks to Antonia, Matthew and Rami for
         helping pull info on this.

         Matthew is currently looking into the specifics of each company as
         requested in the second part of the research and Rami is taking the
         more detailed look into the global fighter jet market.

         hit me up with any questions - kristen

         Contents

         i. Details of proposed price, technology transfer and indigenous
         production

         a. France - Dassault Aviationn SA's (AM.FR)

                     b. US - Boeing Co. (BA) F-18

                     c. Sweden - Saab Gripen NG

         ii. Saab's economic situation

         iii. Gripen sales and tenders

                     a. Gripen NG tenders

                     b. Gripens in service

          

          

          

         Brazil's Embraer is looking to purchase 36 fighter planes under the
         country's proposed FX-2 program.

          

         i. Three Potential Deals:

          

         a. France - Dassault Aviationn SA's (AM.FR)

          

           o Deal for 36 Rafale fighters
           o est. pricing ranges from $82 to $130 million price per unit (not
             including weapons and support)
                o ~$4 to 7 billion for aircraft sales alone - est. $10
                  billion in total sale
           o Sept. 10 - a Brazilian official speaking to AFP on condition of
             anonymity said Sarkozy wrote to da Silva promising \"unrestricted
             access to technology\" in the Dassault offer - this statement
             prompted issuing of similar statements by both US and Saab
             representatives
           o Sept. 29 - According to statement by Embraer's VP, Rafales deal
             woud be for \"flight-ready planes\" (limiting local industry
             participation)

          

          

         Rafale Fighter Deal:

           o Sept. 8 - France has struck a landmark outline accord to sell 36
             Rafale fighters for between four and seven billion dollars to
             Brazil, potentially the first foreign customer for the expensive
             jet, officials said.
           o A Dassault spokesman said the company hopes to finalize the sale
             in 2010
           o Throughout its tender process, Brazil has emphasized that full
             technology-sharing took priority over cost.

          

         French-Brazil Strategic Relationship:

           o Lula said that his country wanted closer military ties with
             France. \"We are definitively consolidating a strategic
             partnership we started in 2005,\" Lula said in a joint news
             conference with Sarkozy in Brasilia.
           o The deal adds to 10 billion dollars' worth of agreements Brazil
             has already struck with France to buy five submarines (one to be
             converted to nuclear power) and 50 military transport
             helicopters.
           o Brazil's only aircraft carrier is a mothballed vessel bought
             from France in 2000.
           o France is also to buy about 10 military transport aircraft
             Brazil's air force plans to build with Embraer, the national
             aircraft manufacturer.
           o The military transport planes that Brazil is selling, the
             KC-390, are designed to carry lighter loads than the delayed
             Airbus A400 heavy military transport plane France is committed
             to.

          

          

         French Company:

           o France would back Dassault Aviation's bid for the contract to
             build 36 fighter planes for Brazil's air force, the official
             said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of palace
             rules.
           o The deal would be key for Dassault, which has not yet had a
             foreign buyer for its Rafale.
           o The Rafale is one of three planes in competition for the
             Brazilian contract, along with Chicago-based Boeing's F-18 Super
             Hornet and Saab's Gripen NG.
           o French daily Le Monde, which participated in the interview,
             quoted the Brazilian leader as suggesting the French bid had a
             \"comparative advantage\" over those of its rivals.

          

         Brazil's Request:

           o Brazil's air force has not given a price tag for the 36 jets,
             which it hopes to have delivered by 2014. The total number of
             jets ordered could also increase up to 100.
           o Agencia Estado news service said it could be between $2.2
             billion and $2.5billion.

          

          

         b. US - Boeing Co. (BA) F-18

           o Aug. 10 - Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) notifies
             Congress of potential sale to Government of Brazil including:

         .        28  F/A-18E Super Hornet Aircraft

         .        8    F/A-18F Super Hornet Aircraft

         .        72  F414-GE-400 installed engines

         .        host of spare parts and munitions

          

         Estimated value of total sale = $7 billion

         ~ $90 million per unit for the F/A-18s

          

           o Sept. 9 - US Embassy in Brazil issues statement:

          

              o US govt. has issued a final approval on transfer of \"all
                necessary and advanced technologies associated with the U.S.
                Government's offer of the F/A-18 Super Hornet\"

          

              o \"Boeing's multi-billion dollar offset package to be invested
                directly into the Brazilian aerospace industry will transfer
                technology related to military design and production, provide
                autonomy in key areas of program support, and develop a broad
                Brazilian aerospace industry beyond just fighter aircraft,
                through direct involvement with the world's largest aerospace
                company.\"

          

         *Note: the US government's notification to Congress of a possible
         sale to Brazil of F-18s states that \"offsets agreements associated
         with this proposed sale are expected,\" it does not mention either
         advanced technology transfer or local assembly, as claimed in the
         statement made by the US Embassy in Brazil.

          

          

          

         c. Sweden - Saab Gripen NG

          

           o Tender for 36 Gripen NGs

         ~ $60 million per unit

          

           o Sept. 29 - According to a statement from Embraer's VP, Saab is
             offering a \"pre-production deal giving Brazil opportunity to
             develop from scratch-knowledge of the plane\" - and that the NGs
             would have \"important locally produced components\" - and the
             development of the jet would bring \"important technological
             benefits\"

          

          

         From Saab's NG tender proposal to Brazil -

          

          - Transfer of Technology

         The Transfer of Technology (ToT) programme will guarantee full
         involvement in future capability development and maximize Brazilian
         industrial autonomy through the transfer of unique and highly
         advanced competencies.

         The ToT will include:

           o Design, development and integration of hardware, avionics,
             software and systems on the Gripen NG
           o Transfer of Advanced Technologies and key High-Tech competencies
             for example Sensor Fusion, Low-Observability (LO) and Stealth.

         Saab guarantees unrivalled access to all levels of technology,
         including full access to Gripen NG source codes.

          - Offset

         The proposal will deliver Offset equal to the contract value. The
         Offset programme will transfer unique and advanced technologies and
         know-how to appropriate Brazilian industrial and institutional
         parties with the objective of developing national capabilities.

         - Support solution

         The logistics concept is designed to meet the requirements of
         the Brazilian Air Force and makes maximum usage of existing
         Brazilian infrastructure.

         The training programme utilizes the existing infra-structure
         together with synthetic training aids and the Gripen system in order
         to maximize the training benefit.

         - Partnership

         COMAER and Brazilian industry would become partners with the Swedish
         Air Force and Saab in the design, development and integration of
         future technology programmes for the Gripen NG.

         Early Brazilian involvement in the Gripen NG design and development
         will give the Brazilian Air Force and industry unrivalled access to
         all levels of technology now and for the future.

         *Note: According to a recent interview with Jane's analyst, Craig
         Cafferty -

         \"While Saab could offer good industrial participation and
         technology, \"some of the key components included in the Gripen NG
         such as the engine and AESA radar are not made by Saab or a Swedish
         company thereby making full technology transfer impossible.\"

         The Gripen's engine is made by US company General Electric, and
         therefore subject to US export controls, while the advanced
         active-array, multi-targeting radar is made by Italian firm Selex.\"

          

          

          

         ii. Saab's economic situation

          

         1.      Saab - Gripen history (not nec related, but just in case you
         need it) - see here:
         http://www.gripen.com/en/GripenFighter/TheGripenFighter.htm

         2.      Saab problems starting in 2008: GM decided to sell Saab this
         year due to financial problems. They are still in talks and there is
         certain that there is pressure on the future of Saab... with all
         that it can mean for its financial stability. The Swedish government
         has announced (Jan. 2009) plans to provide up to $3.19 billion in
         credit guarantees and emergency loans to Saab and Volvo, which Ford
         Motor Co. put up for sale last month in a bid to raise additional
         funds. (http://www.thelocal.se/16808/20090109/) That's all I could
         find on the guarantees part.

         Last details on the deal:

           o The buy-out of Saab Automobile by the Koenigsegg Group hangs in
             the balance after co-owner Baard Eker states the company could
             withdraw if business is not concluded in the next few days.
             According to an article in business daily Dagens Industri the
             deal is at risk of caving in. \"If things aren't in place by
             September 30, then we are out,\" Eker told Norwegian newspaper
             Dagens Naeringsliv. They include negotiations with the European
             Investment Bank (EIB) over a loan of around four billion Swedish
             crowns as well as discussions with Sweden's National Debt Office
             (Riksga:lden) to secure the EIB loan. Saab intend to use the
             money to develop new technology in the areas of environment and
             security. - http://www.thelocal.se/22312/20090926/
           o GM has agreed to put money in to assure it gets rid of Saab -
             http://www.thelocal.se/22098/20090915/
           o In August GM talked about the sale to Koenigsegg Group. But the
             problem is that Koenigsegg must prepare for 4 billion kronor or
             500 million dollars to take over. The report says that Beijing
             Automotive Industry Holdings, BAIC has written a letter of
             memorandum with Koenigsegg to become a small owner with capital.
              http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90884/6755109.html

          

         Figures:

         With the collapse of the auto market, it has become a particularly
         weak division, selling less than 94,000 cars in 2008, down from a
         peak of 133,000 in 2006.
         http://gm-volt.com/2009/02/20/saab-becomes-independent-from-gm-and-declares-bankruptcy/

         Under GM's stewardship, Saab rarely posted a profit and last year
         lost 3.0 billion kronor ($496.9 million at the time).

         Saab's financial woes eased a bit Jan. 17 when a Swedish court
         approved an application to write down 75 percent of the automaker's
         debts -- previously some 10 billion kronor.
         http://www.asiaone.com/Motoring/News/Story/A1Story20090618-149231.html

          

         Nice talk on how sweet Saab is if it gets the deal:

         \"The Swedish government and the Saab motor company are 100 percent
         committed to making the technology transfer,\" Swedish State
         Secretary for Defense Haakan Jevrell said at a press conference,
         accompanied by a Saab representative.
         (http://www.thelocal.se/22150/20090918/)

          

          

         iii. Gripen NG Sales

          

         a. It appears that no nation has purchased the Gripen NG model since
         Saab began trying to make sales in 2008.

         :

         As of early 2009, Saab claims to have Gripen tenders for:

         - Denmark

         - India

         - Romania

         - Brazil

         - Switzerland

          

         In addition, Saab has responded to requests for information from
         Bulgaria, Croatia, and the Netherlands.

          

          

         The Gripen NG was being considered by the Netherlands and Norway,
         but these nations have elected to go with the JSF.

          

         Denmark is still considering an offer for the Gripen NG.

          

         Gripen NG's are being considered for a huge purchase by the Indian
         airforce (100+ aircraft), but no decision is likely for some time.

          

         Brazil is the only other country that is currently considering the
         NG.

         a. Gripens currently in service:

          

         Gripen is in service with the Swedish, Czech Republic, Hungarian and
         South African Air Forces and has also been ordered by Thailand. The
         UK Empire Test Pilots' School (ETPS) is also operating Gripen as its
         advanced fast jet platform for test pilots worldwide.

           o Gripen was declared operational in the Swedish Air Force in
             1997, and 204 aircraft, including 28 two seaters, have been
             delivered.

          

           o Gripen is in full operational service with the Czech Republic
             Air Force, which has taken delivery of all of its 14 aircraft
             (12 single-seat and 2 two-seaters) to meet its national,
             European and NATO defence needs.

          

           o Gripen is also in full operational service with the Hungarian
             Air Force, which has taken delivery of all of its 14 aircraft
             (12 single-seat and 2 two-seaters) to meet its national,
             European and NATO needs.

          

           o South Africa, Gripen's first export customer, has ordered a
             fleet of 26 aircraft (9 two-seat and 17 single seat aircraft) to
             replace its existing front-line aircraft. Deliveries started in
             2008 and will be completed by 2012.

          

           o The United Kingdom's (UK) Empire Test Pilots' School (ETPS) is
             also operating Gripen as its advanced fast jet platform for test
             pilots worldwide.

          

           o In October 2007, the government of Thailand approved the
             procurement of Gripen fighters to replace the Royal Thai Air
             Force's ageing F-5 fleet, and in February 2008 Thailand and
             Sweden signed contracts for the supply of the initial six Gripen
             aircraft for the Royal Thai Air Force (RTAF) with aircraft
             delivered during 2011.

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

          

                                    Sources:

                              Gripen NG for Brazil

         Gripen offers Brazil a complete solution. Gripen NG is the world's
         most technologically advanced multi-role fighter aircraft with built
         in Net centric warfare (NCW) technologies and capabilities developed
         specifically for Brazil.

          

         The Gripen NG for Brazil in short:

           o A powerful and proven engine
           o AESA radar
           o Advanced Communication systems
           o Tactical Data Link
           o Supercruise
           o Advanced Electronic warfare
           o Strategic reach
           o Advanced Weapons Capacity

Why Brazil should choose Gripen

           o Gripen NG is the world's most technologically advanced
             multi-role fighter aircraft with built in Net centric warfare
             (NCW) technologies and capabilities developed specifically for
             Brazil.
           o Gripen will meet or exceed every operational requirement raised
             by the Brazilian Air Force in all roles - Air to Air Fighter
             BVR/WVR, Air to Surface land and sea, and recce.
           o Gripen will provide exceptional autonomous multi and swing role
             capability in normal and hostile FOB operations, and act as a
             perfect force multiplier.
           o Gripen will, over life, have a substantially lower real Life
             Cycle Cost than its nearest single engined competitor, and is
             able to operate at a fraction of the cost of its twin engined
             competitors.
           o Gripen NG is the only option for Brazil delivering next
             generation technical and military capabilities.
           o Gripen NG will allow Brazil to become a significant partner in
             the development programme and become a platform for future
             technology programmes.
           o In combination with the Industrial Cooperation program, Gripen's
             program for FAB, Brazilian Defence and industrial establishment
             will make Brazil by 2020 completely independent of the need to
             purchase combat aircraft from other countries and make it an
             exporter of aircraft like Sweden.

          

Operational capability

         As a Next Generation multi-role fighter Gripen NG has the
         operational range, payload and built-in Net Centric Warfare (NCW)
         capability to meet all the roles as defined by the Brazilian Air
         Force; both national and regional expeditionary. Brazil's NCW
         capability will be significantly enhanced by operating the Gripen NG
         in combination with the Embraer E-99 ERIEYE system.

Advanced Weapons System

         Gripen NG has a fully integrated sensor suite with total weapon
         flexibility and is able to carry weapons sourced from suppliers
         worldwide. Survivability is assured through a balance between low
         radar, Infra-Red and visible signatures and a highly advanced
         modular Electronic Warfare and Self-Protection system.

Support solution

         The logistics concept is designed to meet the requirements of
         the Brazilian Air Force and makes maximum usage of existing
         Brazilian infrastructure.

         The training programme utilizes the existing infra-structure
         together with synthetic training aids and the Gripen system in order
         to maximize the training benefit.

Partnership

         COMAER and Brazilian industry would become partners with the Swedish
         Air Force and Saab in the design, development and integration of
         future technology programmes for the Gripen NG.

         Early Brazilian involvement in the Gripen NG design and development
         will give the Brazilian Air Force and industry unrivalled access to
         all levels of technology now and for the future.

Offset

         The proposal will deliver Offset equal to the contract value. The
         Offset programme will transfer unique and advanced technologies and
         know-how to appropriate Brazilian industrial and institutional
         parties with the objective of developing national capabilities.

Production and Maintenance

         The commitment to Brazilian aerospace includes the option for
         manufacturing of Gripen NG parts and assemblies and Gripen NG Final
         assembly in Brazil.

         The maintenance concept is tailored to meet the requirements and
         capabilities of the Brazilian Industry and the FAB through:

           o Establishment of a Gripen NG maintenance centre in
             Brazil ensuring national autonomy
           o Extensive usage of existing Brazilian infra-structure securing
             cost savings and ensuring commonality

Transfer of Technology

         The Transfer of Technology (ToT) programme will guarantee full
         involvement in future capability development and maximize Brazilian
         industrial autonomy through the transfer of unique and highly
         advanced competencies.

         The ToT will include:

           o Design, development and integration of hardware, avionics,
             software and systems on the Gripen NG
           o Transfer of Advanced Technologies and key High-Tech competencies
             for example Sensor Fusion, Low-Observability (LO) and Stealth.

         Saab guarantees unrivalled access to all levels of technology,
         including full access to Gripen NG source codes.

Continued Enhancement

         Gripen Next Generation (NG) is a considerably enhanced version of
         the already proven and in-service Gripen C/D multi-role fighter.

         Designed for combat in the 21st Century Net Centric Warfare (NCW)
         environment Gripen's flexible and modular design makes continuous
         development and enhancement both low risk and cost effective. The
         Gripen NG programme covers development of all major sensors and
         avionics including data communication, self-protection systems,
         weapons integration, as well as airframe and propulsion
         enhancements.

Continued Growth

         Gripen NG is a 'low risk' platform with a funded ongoing development
         programme and guaranteed enhancements. The Gripen NG has substantial
         growth capability which will ensure that Gripen NG meets all future
         requirements.

          

          

          

         US Deal

          

          

          

         Brazil - F/A-18E/F Super Hornet Aircraft  
         (Source: US Defense Security Cooperation Agency; dated Aug. 6,
         web-posted Aug. 10, 2009)
          
           WASHINGTON --- Today the Defense Security Cooperation Agency
         (DSCA) notified Congress of a possible Foreign Military Sale to the
         Government of Brazil of 28 F/A-18E Super Hornet Aircraft, eight
         F/A-18F Super Hornet Aircraft, 72 F414-GE-400 installed engines, a
         host of spare parts and munitions at an estimated value of $7.0
         billion.

         The Government of Brazil has requested proposals from several
         foreign suppliers, including the United States, to provide the next
         generation fighter for the Brazilian Air Force. In this \"FX-2\"
         competition, the Government of Brazil has yet to select the United
         States Navy-Boeing proposal.

         This notification is being made in advance of receipt of a letter of
         request so that, in the event that the US Navy-Boeing proposal is
         selected, the United States might move as quickly as possible to
         implement the sale.

         If the Government of Brazil selects the U.S. Navy-Boeing proposal,
         the Government of Brazil will request a possible sale of:

         -- 28 F/A-18E Super Hornet Aircraft,
         -- eight F/A-18F Super Hornet Aircraft,
         -- 72 F414-GE-400 installed engines,
         -- four F414-GE-400 spare engines,
         -- 36 AN/APG-79 Radar Systems,
         -- 36 M61A2 20mm Gun Systems,
         -- 36 AN/ALR-67(V) three Radar Warning Receivers,
         -- 144 LAU-127 Launchers,
         -- 44 Joint Helmet Mounted Cueing Systems (JHMCS),
         -- 28 AIM-120C-7 Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles (AMRAAM),
         -- 28 AIM-9M Sidewinder Missiles,
         -- 60 GBU-31/32 Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM),
         -- 36 AGM-154 Joint Standoff Weapons (JSOW),
         -- 10 AGM-88B HARM Missiles, and
         -- 36 AN/ASQ-228 (V2) Advanced Targeting Forward-Looking Infrared
         (ATFLIR) Pods.

         Also included are 36 AN/ALQ-214 Radio Frequency Countermeasures. 40
         AN/ALE-47 Electronic Warfare Countermeasures Systems, 112 AN/ALE-50
         Towed Decoys, Joint Mission Planning System, support equipment,
         spare and repair parts, personnel training and training equipment,
         ferry and tanker support, flight test, software support,
         publications and technical documents, U.S. Government and contractor
         engineering, technical and logistics support services, and other
         related elements of logistics and program support.

         This proposed sale will contribute to the foreign policy and
         national security of the United States by helping to improve the
         security of a friendly country that has been, and continues to be,
         an important force for political stability and economic progress in
         South America.

         Brazil needs these aircraft to meet current and future threats. The
         proposed sale of F/A-18E/F aircraft will enhance Brazil's tactical
         aviation capabilities. An increase in capability will be accrued
         primarily due to the larger number of aircraft and the larger range
         and endurance of the F/A-18E/F. Brazil will have no difficulty
         absorbing these aircraft into its aircraft inventory. The proposed
         sale of this equipment and support will not alter the basic military
         balance in the region.

         The principal contractors will be:
         --The Boeing Company St. Louis, Mo.
         --General Electric Aircraft Engines Lynn, Mass.
         --Northrop Grumman Corporation El Segundo, Calif.
         --Raytheon Corporation El Segundo, Calif.
         --Lockheed Martin Bethesda, Md.

         Offsets agreements associated with this proposed sale are expected;
         however, specific agreements are undetermined and will be defined
         during negotiations between the purchaser and contractor.

         Implementation of this sale will require approximately eight
         contractor representatives to provide technical and logistics
         support in Brazil for two years. U.S. Government and contractor
         representatives will also participate in program management and
         technical reviews for one-week intervals twice semi-annually.

         There will be no adverse impact on U.S. defense readiness as a
         result of this proposed sale.

         This notice of a potential sale is required by law and does not mean
         the sale has been concluded.

         -ends-

         Nate Hughes wrote:

           Rami can take the lead on this, but we've got a few things on his
           plate today and Marko was hoping to get this rolling ASAP. The
           priority is the first tranche of questions for the initial Gripen
           piece.

           First, for the Gripen piece:
             * A clear understanding of the three offerings before Brazil:
                  * What has each offered specifically in terms of price,
                    tech transfer and indigenous assembly/production (not all
                    may be available, but we need to know what's out there --
                    particularly the price drop of the Gripen and price point
                    of the Rafale)
             * Just how dire/desperate is Saab? Are they trying to secure the
               deal in order to secure the deal? Or are they in more dire
               straits than that?
             * Any other takers for the NG? Even follow-on orders or for
               upgrades?
             * What has Saab managed to sell of the Gripen NGs thus far?
           Overall:
             * A careful look at each company in turn. Obviously we're
               starting with Saab. Dassault next, since I think the Rafale
               may be in worse shape than the Gripen. Eurofighter is the most
               coherent of the three at this point, I believe. For each:
                  * brief history of genesis of the program, and the business
                    case for it -- how many was each intending to sell to the
                    primary customer and how many were intended to be sold
                    abroad?
                  * In particular, what was the scheme and why did it fail?
                    For example, the Gripen was specifically designed as a
                    low cost, and low-life cycle-cost alternative to the
                    other designs on the market. Supposed to be a solid
                    plane. Certainly not competing directly with the Joint
                    Strike Fighter. What gives?
                  * Let's get a key sense of exactly where each fighter was
                    supposed to be sold... country by country. Marko can then
                    quickly lay out the macroeconomics of why country X or Y
                    could no longer afford this or that fighter.
                  * Key export agreements/failures to secure them. Timeline
                    for each. (I want to be careful about correlation of the
                    Iraq war with the sales of the Gripen. Even if they
                    correlate, that doesn't mean causation necessarily. Let's
                    get dates but also look at the production schedule for
                    the Gripen)
             * Might be good to get a bit of a sense of the evolution of the
               global fighter jet market as a whole, so we can fit European
               efforts in with American and Russian efforts.
             * Can we get a sense of all NEW Jet Fighter orders from 2000
               onwards? I am making 2000 up as arbitrary number... but it
               would be good to get a really detailed excel worksheet going
               with ALL fighter jet sales. Let's concentrate first on NEW
               fighters, not repurchased, since that will make things easier
               and we can decide if we need repurchased later. There has to
               be a study out there on this.
             * Let's see if we can't dig up some analysis of this situation.
               We're not the first to contemplate this. What are industry
               rags and European circles saying about it?
           --
           Nathan Hughes
           Director of Military Analysis
           STRATFOR
           512.744.4300 ext. 4097
           nathan.hughes@stratfor.com

 --
 Kristen Cooper
 Researcher
 STRATFOR
 www.stratfor.com
 512.744.4093 - office
 512.619.9414 - cell
 kristen.cooper@stratfor.com

 --
 Matthew Powers
 STRATFOR Intern
 Matthew.Powers@stratfor.com

 --
 Matthew Powers
 STRATFOR Intern
 Matthew.Powers@stratfor.com
","2009-09-30 21:39:12",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1009309_re-research-request-europe-mil-fighter-jet-market-.html","matthew.powers@stratfor.com","","researchers@stratfor.com","attach/97/97774_Gripen Company Summary.doc"
1013806,"Re: Research Request - Europe/MIL - Fighter Jet Market
","   Attached is my summary of the Dassault and Rafale's place in it.

   The Rafale is not the main component of Dassault's business.  62% of sales
   come from sales of the Falcon business jet. Defense sales make up the
   rest, with 31% from sales to France; while foreign defense sales account
   for only 7%.  However, no Rafales have been sold overseas.  Total sales
   were 3.75 Billion euros in 2008.

   The Rafale was designed primarily for use by the French government, but
   also for export.  They said they tried to develop the fighter to meet
   worldwide, as opposed to strictly western European needs.  As of 2008 120
   Rafales have been ordered by, or delivered to, the French government. 

   Kristen Cooper wrote:

     Just FYI -

     I'm working on the first bullet in the first tranche of questions

     Antonia is taking a look into Saab's situation right now.

     Kristen Cooper wrote:

       Got it.
       On Sep 30, 2009, at 10:20 AM, Nate Hughes wrote:

         Rami can take the lead on this, but we've got a few things on his
         plate today and Marko was hoping to get this rolling ASAP. The
         priority is the first tranche of questions for the initial Gripen
         piece.

         First, for the Gripen piece:
           * A clear understanding of the three offerings before Brazil:
                * What has each offered specifically in terms of price, tech
                  transfer and indigenous assembly/production (not all may be
                  available, but we need to know what's out there --
                  particularly the price drop of the Gripen and price point
                  of the Rafale)
           * Just how dire/desperate is Saab? Are they trying to secure the
             deal in order to secure the deal? Or are they in more dire
             straits than that?
           * Any other takers for the NG? Even follow-on orders or for
             upgrades?
           * What has Saab managed to sell of the Gripen NGs thus far? 
         Overall:
           * A careful look at each company in turn. Obviously we're starting
             with Saab. Dassault next, since I think the Rafale may be in
             worse shape than the Gripen. Eurofighter is the most coherent of
             the three at this point, I believe. For each:
                * brief history of genesis of the program, and the business
                  case for it -- how many was each intending to sell to the
                  primary customer and how many were intended to be sold
                  abroad?
                * In particular, what was the scheme and why did it fail? For
                  example, the Gripen was specifically designed as a low
                  cost, and low-life cycle-cost alternative to the other
                  designs on the market. Supposed to be a solid plane.
                  Certainly not competing directly with the Joint Strike
                  Fighter. What gives? 
                * Let's get a key sense of exactly where each fighter was
                  supposed to be sold... country by country. Marko can then
                  quickly lay out the macroeconomics of why country X or Y
                  could no longer afford this or that fighter. 
                * Key export agreements/failures to secure them. Timeline for
                  each. (I want to be careful about correlation of the Iraq
                  war with the sales of the Gripen. Even if they correlate,
                  that doesn't mean causation necessarily. Let's get dates
                  but also look at the production schedule for the Gripen)
           * Might be good to get a bit of a sense of the evolution of the
             global fighter jet market as a whole, so we can fit European
             efforts in with American and Russian efforts.
           * Can we get a sense of all NEW Jet Fighter orders from 2000
             onwards? I am making 2000 up as arbitrary number... but it would
             be good to get a really detailed excel worksheet going with ALL
             fighter jet sales. Let's concentrate first on NEW fighters, not
             repurchased, since that will make things easier and we can
             decide if we need repurchased later. There has to be a study out
             there on this. 
           * Let's see if we can't dig up some analysis of this situation.
             We're not the first to contemplate this. What are industry rags
             and European circles saying about it?
         -- 
         Nathan Hughes
         Director of Military Analysis
         STRATFOR
         512.744.4300 ext. 4097
         nathan.hughes@stratfor.com

 --
 Kristen Cooper
 Researcher
 STRATFOR
 www.stratfor.com
 512.744.4093 - office
 512.619.9414 - cell
 kristen.cooper@stratfor.com

 --
 Matthew Powers
 STRATFOR Intern
 Matthew.Powers@stratfor.com
","2009-09-30 22:44:11",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1013806_re-research-request-europe-mil-fighter-jet-market-.html","matthew.powers@stratfor.com","","hughes@stratfor.com,marko.papic@stratfor.com,kristen.cooper@stratfor.com,researchers@stratfor.com","attach/97/97874_Dassault Company Summary.doc"
1017421,"Re: G3* - ARGENTINA/MIL - Govt secretly developing mid-range missiles
","   How much time, technology and money does this type of improvement/upgrade
   take?  I know they've been at it for a year, but Argentina has a tendency
   to talk big but not have enough money or organization for follow through. 
   (for example Paris Club debt - they announced that payment in Fall 2008
   and still have not negotiated terms with the Club nor has the
   govt/Congress agreed on using reserves to pay the debt)  Just want to
   check how realistic implementing these changes is.

   On 11/23/2010 9:28 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

     In Dec. 2009, Arg test launched the Gradicom PXC, which used solid fuel
     tech to launch a little bit over 100 km. The aim now is to improve the
     Condor II missile (which was reportedly abandoned by the Menem admin in
     the 90s). The Condor II was supposed to have a range of 1,000 miles and
     a payload of 500 kilos.  The med-term goal, according to this report, is
     for Arg to develop mid-range missiles that could carry a payload of at
     least 500 kilos up to 300 km, which would reach the Falklands.
     Nate, any thoughts on this?
     On Nov 23, 2010, at 9:21 AM, Allison Fedirka wrote:

       Falklands are about 300 miles (482 km) off the coast of Argentina. 
       I'm not much of missile expert to comment on the weapon's capabilities

       Also, to put this in context.  Yesterday was a new holiday in
       Argentina - Dia de la nacionalidad.  So there was lots of hype about
       Falkland sovereignty, etc.

         Rodger says look into this see if they can hit the falklands

         On 11/23/10 8:28 AM, Michael Wilson wrote:

           Argentine Govt secretly developing mid-range missiles
           dialogbot@smtp.stratfor.com
           - Buenos Aires Perfil's Fernando Oz reports on 20 November that
           the Defence Ministry is working \"in secret\" on the development of
           a medium-range missile, Gradicom PXC 2009, and tested it
           successfully in Cordoba last December.The Planning Ministry is
           also involved in the project and plans to produce the missile on
           an industrial scale.Nobody in the Defense Ministry wants to
           comment and the US Embassy said that \"we will make no comments.\"
           En secreto, el Gobierno disena un misil nacional de mediano
           alcance
           21 de Noviembre de 2010 07:41  -
           http://www.contexto.com.ar/vernota.php?id=39144

           Desde el Ministerio de Defensa desarrollan el arma y el ministro
           De Vido lo alienta. Las Fuerzas Armadas argentinas lo usarian y el
           remanente se exportaria. Sucede al Condor II, el proyecto que veto
           EEUU.

           El Gobierno trabaja en secreto en el desarrollo de un misil de
           mediano alcance que podria igualar las prestaciones del Condor II.

           La prueba experimental del cohete Gradicom PXC 2009, que se
           realizo hace un ano, fue motivo de festejos en el Edificio
           Libertador. Ahora, los cientificos y tecnicos que trabajan en el
           proyecto tienen el visto bueno para repotenciarlo, dotarlo de un
           moderno sistema de guiado, y producirlo a escala industrial.

           Despues de realizar una profunda transformacion de la politica de
           derechos humanos en las Fuerza Armadas, la ministra de Defensa,
           Nilda Garre, busca modernizar los sistemas de defensa y ampliar la
           capacidad disuasiva del pais a traves \"del crecimiento tecnologico
           y la produccion para la defensa\".

           A principios de diciembre de 2009 se probo con exito, en la
           localidad cordobesa de Serrezuela, el lanzamiento del cohete
           Gradicom PXC 2009.

           Su combustible solido lo hace apto para aplicaciones militares,
           aunque aun no se lo utilizo con cargas explosivas y el dia de su
           bautismo de lanzamiento apenas supero los cien kilometros.

           \"Quisieramos que el nuevo misil supere los 500 kilometros de
           distancia, que tenga una propulsion con separacion y guiado, pero
           falta mucho para eso\", confio una fuente cientifica del Ministerio
           de Defensa que esta trabajando en el proyecto.

           El proyecto Gradicom (Grandes Dimensiones Compuestos) es mejorar
           \"tecnologicamente\" al misil Condor II, que fue desmantelado por el
           ex presidente Carlos Menem en los 90, como consecuencia de la
           politica exterior basada en las \"relaciones carnales\" con los
           Estados Unidos.

           El Condor II tenia un alcance de mil kilometros y podia
           transportar una bomba de 500 kilos. Por ser un misil de alcance
           medio y su uso estaba cuestionado por el Regimen de Control de la
           Tecnologia Misilistica (MTCR).

           El MTCR, establecido en abril de 1987, es una sociedad informal y
           voluntaria entre 34 paises -Argentina se incorporo en 1993- para
           prevenir la proliferacion de tecnologia misilistica. Una de sus
           misiones es contener la extension de los sistemas sin tripulacion
           de la entrega para las armas nucleares, especificamente los que
           podrian llevar una carga util minima de 500 km, al menos, hasta
           300 km.

            

           Pero en el Edificio Libertador aseguran que el proyecto Gradicom
           no viola ningun tratado internacional.

           Una segunda fuente, allegada a la Secretaria de Planeamiento del
           Ministerio de Defensa, reconocio a este diario que se trabaja para
           \"aumentar el alcance\" del misil, aunque aclaro que \"todo se hace
           dentro del marco de los tratados internacionales firmados por el
           pais\".

           La idea del Ministerio de Planificacion, tambien involucrado en el
           proyecto, es potenciar el nuevo misil y llevarlo a escala
           industrial para la exportacion y uso militar de las Fuerzas
           Armadas argentinas. Pero para eso, faltan otros pasos: \"Lo
           primero, que fue la propulsion, ya esta. Ahora estamos trabajando
           en la propulsion con separacion, y una tercera etapa sera la
           telemetria, los sensores. Lo mas complejo es el sistema de guiado
           y control completo\", explico uno de los cientificos que trabaja en
           el proyecto que se esta disenando en el Centro de Investigaciones
           Cientificas y Tecnicas de las Fuerzas Armadas (Citefa).

           \"No vamos hacer comentarios sobre el tema\", se limitaron a decir
           en la Embajada de Estados Unidos en Buenos Aires, cuando PERFIL
           consulto sobre el nuevo emprendimiento militar argentino. En los
           90, fueron las presiones norteamericanas las que terminaron con el
           Condor II.

           En la cartera que conduce Garre, nadie quiere hablar sobre las
           etapas del misterioso misil. \"Se informo lo que se debia en su
           momento, el resto es secreto porque se esta trabajando\", se
           disculparon en el entorno de la titular de Defensa. El ministro de
           Planificacion, Julio De Vido, es uno de los mas entusiasmados con
           el proyecto que en la Casa Rosada califican como \"una cuestion de
           Estado\".

           \"Vamos a poner Fabricaciones Militares (que depende de
           Planificacion) a disposicion del Ministerio de Defensa para tener
           la posibilidad de fabricar en serie el PCX 2009\", aseguro De Vido
           cuando los tecnicos civiles y militares le explicaron cuales eran
           los proximos objetivos.

           Garre y los ascensos

           La ministra de Defensa, Nilda Garre, afirmo en relacion con la
           polemica por los ascensos de los oficiales superiores de las
           Fuerzas Armadas que \"la Presidenta, como Comandante en Jefe de las
           Fuerzas Armadas, tiene facultades discrecionales y por razones de
           merito, oportunidad y conveniencia puede seleccionar o sacar de la
           lista que le han elevado las Fuerzas, a traves del Ministerio de
           Defensa, alguno de esos oficiales propuestos\".

           La funcionaria explico que \"de ninguna manera importa de quien es
           hijo el candidato a considerar\", y agrego que \"hay gente que con
           su accionar y predica ha demostrado una vocacion democratica
           clara\".

           Senalo que \"algunos de ellos son hijos de personas que estan en
           este momento condenadas por delitos graves\".

           La funcionaria cito como ejemplos, el cargo del actual general de
           brigada Diaz Bessone, con quien \"he tratado esporadicamente y es
           un hombre democratico, claramente no suscribe las ideas de su
           padre\". En este sentido, explico Garre, \"se elige el mejor
           perfil\". /perfil.com

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com
","2010-11-23 16:39:35",1,"2012-02-27 22:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1017421_re-g3-argentina-mil-govt-secretly-developing-mid-range.html","allison.fedirka@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1061018,"RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security
","   Well governments are another matter I think. There is almost no possible
   way, with probably a couple tiny exceptions, to enfranchise your entire
   bureaucracy. So instead billions will be spent on wildly complex
   mechanisms to not only control the information you don't have access to,
   but to control the information you do have access to. Which basically
   amounts to controlling you.

    

   From: Marko Papic [mailto:marko.papic@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, December 09, 2010 00:38
   To: Kevin Stech
   Subject: Re: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   Or as Assange says in that interview: \"treat your employees well\".

   Great point. Problem is, that doesn't sell. ;)

   Imagine telling that to our leadership... lol

   On 12/9/10 12:34 AM, Kevin Stech wrote:

   You're right that it's really not a technological issue. There's a great
   technology for keeping your private data private already. It's called
   mandatory access control and it's been around for decades. The issue is
   more subtle since you're dealing with people leaking stuff they've been
   cleared to see. And now you're in the realm of grey matter.

    

   And it seems to me that here, as in many other things, an ounce of
   prevention is worth a pound of cure. I think that prevention can be boiled
   down to having a cohesive team with members that feel enfranchised. You
   don't leak your classified material, you leak their classified material.
   So if you want to be shady and exploit other people, fine. Just make sure
   you are on the same page with your co-conspirators and everybody gets a
   cut.

    

   If your company sells baby cribs and your employees are church-going
   soccer moms, then you might want to tone down the Dr. Evil routine.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Thursday, December 09, 2010 00:16
   To: Analyst List
   Subject: Re: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   That is the one...

   Forbes mentions how companies are now focusing on \"leak-proof\" network
   security. Interesting. I think that we would have a possible in there
   since that is not just about IT. But I don't really know what I am talking
   about.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, December 9, 2010 12:11:02 AM
   Subject: RE: Random Business Idea - Network Security

   I believe this is the article Marko is talking about.

    

   WikiLeaks' next target is big business, Assange says

   Andy Greenberg, Forbes.com

   Date: Wed. Dec. 1 2010 7:39 PM ET

   http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/World/20101201/forbes-assange-interview-101201/

    

   In a rare interview, Assange tells Forbes that the release of Pentagon and
   State Department documents are just the beginning. His next target: big
   business.

    

   Early next year, Julian Assange says, a major American bank will suddenly
   find itself turned inside out. Tens of thousands of its internal documents
   will be exposed on Wikileaks.org with no polite requests for executives'
   response or other forewarnings. The data dump will lay bare the finance
   firm's secrets on the Web for every customer, every competitor, every
   regulator to examine and pass judgment on.

    

   When? Which bank? What documents? Cagey as always, Assange won't say, so
   his claim is impossible to verify. But he has always followed through on
   his threats. Sitting for a rare interview in a London garden flat on a
   rainy November day, he compares what he is ready to unleash to the damning
   e-mails that poured out of the Enron trial: a comprehensive vivisection of
   corporate bad behavior. \"You could call it the ecosystem of corruption,\"
   he says, refusing to characterize the coming release in more detail. \"But
   it's also all the regular decision making that turns a blind eye to and
   supports unethical practices: the oversight that's not done, the
   priorities of executives, how they think they're fulfilling their own
   self-interest.\"

    

   This is Assange: a moral ideologue, a champion of openness, a control
   freak. He pauses to think-a process that occasionally puts our
   conversation on hold for awkwardly long interludes. The slim 39-year-old
   WikiLeaks founder wears a navy suit over his 6-foot-2 frame, and his once
   shaggy white hair, recently dyed brown, has been cropped to a sandy
   patchwork of blonde and tan. He says he colors it when he's \"being
   tracked.\"

    

   \"These big-package releases. There should be a cute name for them,\" he
   says, then pauses again.

    

   \"Megaleaks?\" I suggest, trying to move things along.

    

   \"Yes, that's good-megaleaks.\" His voice is a hoarse, Aussie-tinged
   baritone. As a teenage hacker in Melbourne its pitch helped him
   impersonate IT staff to trick companies' employees into revealing their
   passwords over the phone, and today it's deeper still after a recent bout
   of flu. \"These megaleaks . . . they're an important phenomenon. And
   they're only going to increase.\"

    

   He'll see to that. By the time you're reading this another giant dump of
   classified U.S. documents may well be public. Assange refused to discuss
   the leak at the time FORBES went to press, but he claims it is part of a
   series that will have the greatest impact of any WikiLeaks release yet.
   Assange calls the shots: choosing the media outlets that splash his
   exposes, holding them to a strict embargo, running the leaks
   simultaneously on his site. Past megaleaks from his information insurgency
   over the last year have included 76,000 secret Afghan war documents and
   another trove of 392,000 files from the Iraq war. Those data explosions,
   the largest classified military security breaches in history, have roused
   antiwar activists and enraged the Pentagon.

    

   Admire Assange or revile him, he is the prophet of a coming age of
   involuntary transparency. Having exposed military misconduct on a grand
   scale, he is now gunning for corporate America. Does Assange have
   unpublished, damaging documents on pharmaceutical companies? Yes, he says.
   Finance? Yes, many more than the single bank scandal we've been
   discussing. Energy? Plenty, on everything from BP to an Albanian oil firm
   that he says attempted to sabotage its competitors' wells. Like
   informational IEDs, these damaging revelations can be detonated at will.

    

   Long gone are the days when Daniel Ellsberg had to photocopy thousands of
   Vietnam War documents to leak the Pentagon Papers. Modern whistleblowers,
   or employees with a grudge, can zip up their troves of incriminating
   documents on a laptop, USB stick or portable hard drive, spirit them out
   through personal e-mail accounts or online drop sites-or simply submit
   them directly to WikiLeaks.

    

   What do large companies think of the threat? If they're terrified, they're
   not saying. None would talk to us. Nor would the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
   WikiLeaks \"is high profile, legally insulated and transnational,\" says
   former Commerce Department official James Lewis, who follows cybersecurity
   for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. \"That adds up to a
   reputational risk that companies didn't have to think about a year ago.\"

    

   Already U.S. laws wrapped into financial reform this year expand
   whistleblower incentives to offer six- and seven-digit rewards to staffers
   in any industry who report malfeasance. WikiLeaks adds another, new form
   of corporate data breach: It offers the conscience-stricken and vindictive
   alike a chance to publish documents largely unfiltered, without censors or
   personal repercussions, thanks to privacy and encryption technologies that
   make anonymity easier than ever before. WikiLeaks' technical and
   ideological example has inspired copycats from Africa to China and rallied
   transparency advocates to push for a new, legal promised land in the
   unlikely haven of Iceland. It's also fueling a race in the cybersecurity
   industry and in Washington to find technology that can plug information
   leaks once for all.

    

   Today Assange looks tired, his eyes narrowed and the skin beneath them
   puffy, as if he's unused to even England's gloomy daylight. He has no
   permanent home. \"We're like a traveling production company; everyone moves
   somewhere, and we put on a production,\" he sighs. \"We haven't had any rest
   since April.\" In Sweden, where many of the group's servers are based, a
   warrant has now been issued for his arrest on rape charges. He's denied
   the accusations, arguing they amount to smear tactics. He's also afraid to
   set foot in several other countries, including the U.S., fearing that
   officials will find reasons to detain him. No question that WikiLeaks
   would be in trouble if he were jailed: A spokeswoman says it has a
   \"contingency plan,\" but without Assange there is no public face.
   Meanwhile, his resources have been drained by defections from his
   organization; some old friends and associates have taken issue with his
   autocratic style.

    

   None of which has stopped him from picking new fights. The promised
   release of bank documents would be the largest assault by WikiLeaks on the
   corporate sector, and Assange says the business community should expect
   plenty of sequels. In early October the site shut down its
   document-submission system; Assange says it was receiving more information
   than it could find resources to publish, thousands of additions a day at
   some points. The total is more gigabytes of data than he can count. \"Our
   pipeline of leaks has been increasing exponentially as our profile rises,\"
   he says, drawing a curve upward in the air with one hand.

    

   If even a fraction of his claims are borne out, he's already sitting on a
   crypt of data any three-letter spy agency would kill for. The world's most
   vocal transparency advocate is now one of the world's biggest keepers of
   secrets. And about half of those revelations, says Assange, relate to the
   private sector.

    

   Over the last four years he has been so busy embarrassing various
   governments, from Washington to the corrupt Kenyan regime of Daniel arap
   Moi, that many forget the corporate scandals already on WikiLeaks' trophy
   wall. In January 2008 the site posted documents alleging that the Swiss
   bank Julius Baer hid clients' profits from even the Swiss government,
   concealing them in what seemed to be shell companies in the Cayman
   Islands. The bank filed a lawsuit against WikiLeaks for publishing data
   stolen from its clients. Baer later dropped the suit-but managed to stir
   up embarrassing publicity for itself. The next year WikiLeaks published
   documents from a pharma trade group implying that its lobbyists were
   receiving confidential documents from and exerting influence over a World
   Health Organization project to fund drug research in the developing world.
   The resulting attention helped crater the WHO project.

    

   In September 2009 commodities giant Trafigura filed an injunction that
   prevented British media from mentioning a damaging internal report. The
   memo showed the company had dumped tons of toxic waste in the Ivory Coast,
   chemicals that allegedly sickened 100,000 locals. But it couldn't stop
   WikiLeaks from publishing the information. Trafigura eventually paid more
   than $200 million in settlements.

    

   How can an American corporation respond to a Wiki attack? Lawsuits won't
   work: WikiLeaks is legally shielded in the U.S. by its role as a mere
   conduit for documents. Even if a company somehow won a judgment against
   WikiLeaks, that wouldn't shut it down. Assange spreads the site's assets
   over many countries. \"There's no single target to drop a bomb on,\" says
   Eric Goldman, a law professor at Santa Clara University.

    

   The best protection? With a dash of irony Icelandic WikiLeaks staffer
   Kristinn Hrafnsson suggests that companies change their ways to avoid
   targeting. \"They should resist the temptation to enter into corruption,\"
   he says. Don Tapscott, coauthor of The Naked Corporation (Free Press,
   2003), agrees. His simplistic conclusion: \"Open your own kimono. You're
   going to be naked. So you have to dig deep, look at your whole operation,
   make sure that integrity is part of your bones.\"

    

   Most corporations, instead, are turning to cybersecurity to shield their
   private parts. Despite dozens of calls to companies in tech, energy and
   finance, none wanted to talk about antileaking strategies. But a Forrester
   Research study found that about a quarter of companies in the U.S., the
   U.K., France, Germany and Canada were implementing leak-focused security
   software in 2010, and another third are considering that option. A study
   last year by the Ponemon Institute, a privacy-research consultancy in
   Traverse City, Mich., found that 60% of employees admit to taking
   sensitive data before they leave a company.

    

   *****

    

   Some of the more intriguing antileak work is being done by Uncle Sam. In
   an unmarked government building on the edge of a residential Arlington,
   Va. neighborhood, a cybersecurity researcher named Peiter Zatko shows just
   how easily leaks can occur. He lays out a blow-by-blow history of one
   insider data theft: The suspect searched broadly over the network to find
   anything related to critical infrastructure, then returned to manually
   probe a few interesting files. \"Then he walked away with enough
   information to shut down big chunks of the telephone systems in the United
   States,\" Zatko says matter-of-factly.

    

   Who was that shadowy data smuggler? \"That was me,\" says the 39-year-old
   researcher, giggling bashfully.

    

   Zatko is not your typical Department of Defense employee. Even in his new
   Beltway digs, he prefers to be called \"Mudge,\" the hacker handle he used
   during decades of exploring the dark corners of the Internet. Frank Heidt,
   a former security staffer at MCI and several military contractors, says
   that when he first read Zatko's exploit research in mid-1990s hacker
   zines, he thought that Mudge must be the pseudonym of a group. \"He was so
   prolific that I thought he couldn't be one person,\" Heidt says. In 1998,
   as part of the L0pht hacker think tank, Zatko testified in a congressional
   hearing that he and his friends could shut down the Internet in 30
   minutes.

    

   Since March Zatko has also been a lead cybersecurity researcher at the
   Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the mad-scientist wing of the
   Pentagon devoted to projects that occasionally result in breakthroughs
   like the Internet and GPS. Zatko's new pet project may be equally
   ambitious: He aims to rid the world of digital leaks.

    

   The telephone system theft case that Zatko dissected in a Darpa conference
   room was a test, demonstrating that anyone with access to a network could
   steal data without detection, despite the system's expensive security
   software. Now his challenge is to fix the problem. Since August he has led
   a project known as the Cyber Insider Threat, or Cinder. Like most Darpa
   initiatives it's an X-Prize-style open invitation for ideas; recipients
   typically get tens of millions of dollars in government funding.
   Thirty-five entrants, mostly tiny companies, have already publicly signed
   up, many more in secret. \"We're looking to everyone from academia to
   startups to large government contractors,\" says Zatko. \"We're not looking
   for evolutionary improvement. We want to pull the rug out from the problem
   altogether.\"

    

   It's a well-worn carpet. Since late 2007 every major security software
   vendor, from McAfee to Symantec to Trend Micro, has spent hundreds of
   millions of dollars to acquire companies in the so-called Data-Leak
   Prevention (DLP) industry-software designed to locate and tag sensitive
   information, and then guard against its escape at the edges of a firm's
   network.

    

   The problem: DLP doesn't work. Data is simply created too quickly, and
   moved around too often, for a mere filter to catch it, says Richard
   Stiennon, an analyst for security consultancy IT-Harvest, in Birmingham,
   Mich. \"For DLP to function, all the stars have to align,\" he says. \"This
   is a huge problem that can't be stopped with a single layer of
   infrastructure.\"

    

   More fashionable now is network forensics: the process of constantly
   collecting every fingerprint on a company's servers to trace an intruder
   or leaker after the fact-and, perhaps, deter the next one. That's a bit
   like fighting the next war according to the last one. Still, revenue at
   NetWitness, a prominent Herndon, Va. startup in that budding field, has
   leaped from $250,000 to $40 million since 2006. While the software
   generally gathers data and makes it easily available to queries, it
   doesn't pinpoint culprits. \"There's nothing in current technology that can
   do this in an automated fashion,\" says Shawn Carpenter, principal
   forensics analyst at NetWitness. \"You need a Columbo.\"

    

   Or, better yet, a robo-Columbo. Darpa's Zatko has been working on a system
   of automatically identifying what he calls \"malicious missions\": insider
   activity aimed at stealing data from inside a company's firewall, whether
   it's a Dell PC remotely hijacked by a Chinese cyberspy or Bradley
   Mannings, the U.S. soldier accused of leaking classified documents about
   combat in Afghanistan to WikiLeaks. Zatko's system would monitor networks
   in real-time for just the sort of data-stealing behavior he would perform
   himself: steps like scouring large areas of the network for a certain
   file, dumping piles of data to external storage hardware or sending
   encrypted files out over the Internet. No single episode would signal a
   leak; instead, the software would link acts in a probabilistic chain,
   triggering an alert only if a string of events points to purposeful data
   theft.

    

   Some of that leaky behavior isn't what a casual observer might expect.
   Consider the cyber footprints left by Robert Hanssen, a former FBI agent
   serving a life sentence in a Colorado supermax prison for selling
   intelligence to the Soviets over two decades. Every few days Hanssen would
   stop his normal activities and make a single query to a server across the
   network, a pattern he repeated for years. That server, Zatko says, held
   the counterintelligence database. Hanssen was searching for himself, a
   routine check to see if he'd finally been found out.

    

   \"You put all these things together into the different components of the
   mission,\" says Zatko. \"I'm looking for these new rhythms, new tells, new
   interrelations and requirements.\"

    

   Cinder wasn't created to combat WikiLeaks-in fact, it predates WikiLeaks'
   biggest military scandals. But Zatko has nonetheless found himself
   squarely in opposition to Assange's mission-a strange face-off, given that
   the two men once traveled in the same hacker circles, during the years
   when Assange went by the hacker handle Mendax (a Latin reference to the
   \"splendidly deceptive\" in the poet Horace's Odes) and reveled in accessing
   corporate and government systems without authorization. Neither will
   reveal much about their past encounters, but Assange says that they \"were
   in the same milieu.\" Asked about Assange, Zatko says only, \"I have very
   pleasant memories of those old days.\"

    

   WikiLeaks' founder, in fact, seems to have trouble accepting that Mudge is
   working for the other side. \"He's a clever guy, and he's also highly
   ethical,\" says Assange. \"I suspect he would have concerns about creating a
   system to conceal genuine abuses.\" He dismisses Cinder as just another
   system of digital censorship. And those systems, he says, will always
   fail, just as China's Great Firewall can't stop well-informed and
   determined dissident Internet users. \"Censorship might work for the
   average person but not for highly motivated people,\" Assange says. \"And
   our people are highly motivated.\"

    

   *****

    

   Shutting down WikiLeaks wouldn't stop the growing movement of transparency
   agitators. They now have a nation-size ally: Iceland. Since WikiLeaks
   scored a major scoop unearthing the corrupt loans that helped destroy that
   country's largest bank, the volcanic island is fast on its way to becoming
   the conduit for a global flood of leaks.

    

   It began when Kaupthing Bank collapsed in October 2008-a calamitous chain
   reaction that has strapped Iceland with $128 billion in debts, around
   $400,000 per capita. Ten months later Bogi Agustsson, a Walter
   Cronkite-ish anchor for Icelandic national broadcaster RUV, appeared on
   the evening news and explained that a legal injunction had prevented the
   station from airing a prepared expose on Kaupthing. Viewers who wanted to
   see the material, he suggested, should visit a site called Wikileaks.org.

    

   Those who took Agustsson's advice found a summary of Kaupthing's loan book
   posted on the site, detailing more than $6 billion funneled from
   Kaupthing's coffers to its own proprietors and companies they owned, often
   with little or no collateral; $900 million went to Olafur Olafsson, a
   major investor in Kaupthing who, on his birthday, flew in Elton John from
   England, along with a grand piano, for a one-hour concert. \"The banks had
   been eaten from the inside out,\" says Kristinn Hrafnsson, a former
   investigative reporter in Reykjavik who now works with WikiLeaks.

    

   A government investigation is still going on; no criminal charges have
   been filed. But WikiLeaks became a household name in Iceland. In December
   2009 Assange and Daniel Domscheit-Berg, a German who then worked with
   WikiLeaks, were invited to keynote a free-speech conference in Reykjavik.
   Their talk echoed an idea from American cyberlibertarian John Perry
   Barlow, calling for a \"Switzerland of bits.\" Iceland, with its independent
   spirit and recent taste of explosive whistle-blowing, they suggested,
   could become the digital doppelga:nger of a tax haven: a safe harbor for
   transparency, where it's open season on government and business
   secrets-and leakers are protected by law.

    

   The idea might have gone nowhere if not for Birgitta Jonsdottir. Assange's
   message captivated the 43-year-old poet and self-styled
   \"realist-anarchist.\" She wasn't just another idealistic protester with a
   goth wardrobe and hipster haircut. In the chaotic political environment
   that followed the national financial crisis, Jonsdottir had been elected
   to Iceland's parliament, the Althingi, in April 2009.

    

   Working with the country's transparency activists, she pulled together the
   Icelandic Modern Media Initiative, or Immi. The initiative would bring to
   Iceland all the source-protection, freedom of information and transparency
   laws from around the world and even set up a Nobel-style international
   award for work in the field of free expression. Jonsdottir pushed through
   a unanimous resolution to create a series of bills to implement Immi. They
   would also make Iceland the most friendly legal base for whistleblowers on
   Earth.

    

   Velkomin, as Icelanders would say, to Leakistan.

    

   \"The more that companies resist, the more information will get out about
   them,\" says Jonsdottir when we meet in Reykjavik's Hressingarskalinn cafe,
   around the corner from the parliament building. \"They can't hide anymore.
   The war is over. They lost.\" In Jonsdottir's vision Iceland will attract
   both mainstream media and WikiLeaks-like organizations to move their data
   to Iceland, enjoying legal protection, just as another firm might
   incorporate in a tax-sheltering island in the Caribbean.

    

   She may be getting a bit ahead of herself. Immi has yet to become law,
   though it has backing from powerful figures, including both Iceland's
   minister of justice and the head of its progressive party. Even if it
   does, Immi likely wouldn't offer much legal protection to organizations
   whose assets and staff aren't physically in the country; they could still
   be sued anywhere else in the world, given that their digital and print
   publications could appear globally. Immi could also face resistance from
   the U.S. and the EU-particularly when it comes to military matters. As
   Marc Thiessen, a conservative pundit, wrote on the blog of the American
   Enterprise Institute in August, \"Immi calls into question Iceland's
   seriousness as a NATO ally, and Iceland needs to realize there will be
   consequences for its actions.\" There could be a backlash for exposing
   corporate secrets, too. Alastair Mullis, a professor of law at East Anglia
   University in Britain, says, \"It's possible that Iceland will become the
   defamation capital of the world.\"

    

   Jonsdottir and fellow Immi creator Smari McCarthy are pushing ahead
   anyway. Immi, they say, doesn't fashion new laws; it cherry-picks existing
   statutes from around the world (source shields from Sweden, libel
   protection from New York State, protected communications with journalists
   from Belgium, among them). \"We're basing our legislation on laws that have
   already withstood attacks,\" says Jonsdottir. Defamation and other concerns
   like child pornography and copyright violations, she argues, would still
   be illegal in Iceland and wouldn't be sheltered.

    

   Nor is the idea to protect WikiLeaks itself, Jonsdottir points out. The
   site doesn't need help: Its data and submissions process are carefully
   encrypted, and its infrastructure is spread over enough
   countries-including some servers in a bombproof, underground bunker in
   Sweden-that taking it offline is already nearly impossible.

   Instead Immi would foster a new wave of media organizations and
   whistleblower outlets that don't rely on WikiLeaks' technical savvy or
   resources. Already a handful of smaller, leak-focused conduits-regional
   sites like Africa-focused SaharaReporters or Thaileaks.info-have published
   damning data. Immi's McCarthy says he's been approached by media
   organizations from Rwanda to Chechnya. German WikiLeaks staffer Daniel
   Domscheit-Berg, disgruntled with Assange's laser focus on infrequent
   megaleaks, has left the organization along with several others to create
   his own spinoff. \"In the end there must be a thousand WikiLeaks,\" he told
   Der Spiegel in September.

    

   Iceland certainly has the infrastructure for a lot of informational
   mischief. Half an hour outside Reykjavik, on a landscape that resembles
   Mars covered in snow, the Thor Data Center is preparing for an influx of
   bytes. By 2011 it hopes to have thousands of servers in its
   aluminum-plant-turned-server-farm, powered by ultracheap geothermal energy
   and cooled by free arctic air. Iceland's biggest Web host, ironically
   named 1984 Web Hosting, is excited about the boost Immi could give its
   business. \"I created this company to prevent thought control,\" says Mordur
   Ingolfsson, its chief executive. \"In my humble opinion, Immi is the most
   important thing to happen to this godforsaken island since the Sagas were
   written.\" (That's 600-plus years.)

    

   Jonsdottir agrees: \"WikiLeaks was an important icebreaker. It was the tip.
   Immi is the rest of the wedge, and it will open up everything.\" (She is
   less thrilled to learn that Assange speaks of Immi as his personal
   creation.)I ask Assange how he expects companies to cope with a world
   where hundreds of WikiLeak-alikes may soon exist. His three-part
   prescription is earnest-if a bit patronizing: \"Do things to encourage
   leaks from dishonest competitors. Be as open and honest as possible. Treat
   your employees well.\"

   He also wants to clear up a misunderstanding. Despite his revolutionary
   reputation, he's not antibusiness. He bristles at the media's focus on his
   teenage years as a computer hacker who broke into dozens of systems, from
   the Department of Defense to Nortel, and was eventually convicted on 25
   charges of computer fraud and fined thousands of dollars.

    

   Instead, he prefers to think of himself as an entrepreneur. He tells the
   story of a free-speech-focused Internet service provider he cofounded in
   1993, known as Suburbia. It was, to hear him tell it, the blueprint for
   WikiLeaks-in one instance, when the Church of Scientology demanded to know
   who had posted antichurch information on one site, he refused to help.
   (\"He has titanium balls,\" says David Gerard, that site's creator.) \"I saw
   it early on, without realizing it: potentiating people to reveal their
   information, creating a conduit,\" Assange says. \"Without having any other
   robust publisher in the market, people came to us.\"

    

   Leaks merely lubricate the free market, he says, settling into the couch
   and clearly enjoying giving me a lecture on economics. (Later, as a
   45-minute interview pushes into two hours, he ignores his handler, who
   keeps urging him to leave for his next appointment.) He cites the example
   of the Chinese Sanlu Group, whose milk powder contained toxic melamine in
   2008. While poisoning its customers, Sanlu also gained an advantage over
   competitors and might have forced more of them to taint their products,
   too, or go bankrupt-if Sanlu hadn't been exposed in the Chinese press. \"In
   the struggle between open and honest companies and dishonest and closed
   companies, we're creating a tremendous reputational tax on the unethical
   companies,\" he says.

    

   Of course, Assange's tax isn't as equitable as it sounds. He alone decides
   where to apply the penalty, choosing the targets and when to expose them
   with a touch of theatrical grandstanding-and with zero accountability. For
   better-and worse-WikiLeaks has become the Julian Assange Show. As a
   photographer begins shooting, Assange wonders aloud if the coat he's
   wearing might have been produced by a labor-exploiting company. A few
   minutes later he jokes about his \"messiah complex.\"

    

   Like any true believer, Assange sees his work in simple terms. Markets, he
   reminds me, can't exist without information. Business will come to
   appreciate what he offers. And if that requires a few painful scandals in
   the process?

    

   Assange doesn't miss a beat. \"Pain for the guilty.

    

   From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
   On Behalf Of Marko Papic
   Sent: Wednesday, December 08, 2010 19:39
   To: analysts
   Subject: Random Business Idea - Network Security

    

   I'm sure this has been thought of before at STRATFOR so excuse the
   redundancy. I was reading a solid Forbes article on Assange and it said
   that a large number of deep pocket corporations were looking into
   leak-focused network security after these Wikileak episodes.

   I was wondering if it was possible for us to get some of that
   \"leak-focused\" gravy train. This is an obvious fear sale, so that's a good
   thing. And we have something to offer that the IT security companies
   don't, mainly our focus on counter-intelligence and surveillance that Fred
   and Stick know better than anyone on the planet.

   We do a lot of good work with all the personal/executive security analysis
   as well. Could we develop some ideas and procedures on the idea of
   \"leak-focused\" network security that focuses on preventing one's own
   employees from leaking sensitive information.

   The point here is that I am sure there are certain procedures and
   precautions that companies should employ that go beyond installing network
   security network to deal with potential leaks. In fact, Im not so sure
   this is an IT problem that requires an IT solution.

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com

   --
   Marko Papic

   STRATFOR Analyst
   C: + 1-512-905-3091
   marko.papic@stratfor.com

    

   --

   - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

   Marko Papic

   Geopol Analyst - Eurasia

   STRATFOR

   700 Lavaca Street - 900

   Austin, Texas

   78701 USA

   P: + 1-512-744-4094

   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-12-09 07:44:55",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1061018_re-random-business-idea-network-security-.html","","","marko.papic@stratfor.com",""
1101457,"continuation of insinuating reva sleeps with sources
","(17:09) Bayless Parsley: you have been the latam analyst for like two 
seconds
(17:10) Bayless Parsley: how the fuck did you get all this
(17:10) Reva Bhalla: coffee  
(17:10) Bayless Parsley: so that's what they're calling it these days, huh
(17:10) Reva Bhalla: haha
(17:10) Reva Bhalla: shut the hell up
(17:10) Bayless Parsley: amazing
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: it's a good thing G doesn't want you as the new 
africa analyst
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: risk of AIDS is too high
(17:12) Reva Bhalla: OMG
(17:12) Reva Bhalla: BAYLESS
(17:12) Reva Bhalla: FUCKING
(17:12) Reva Bhalla: PARSLEY
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: ????
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: i'm talking about if you have an open cut
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: and your source, also has an open cut
(17:12) Bayless Parsley: and you accidentally bump into him with open cuts!!
(17:13) Reva Bhalla: haha i hate you
","2010-02-11 00:13:41",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1101457_continuation-of-insinuating-reva-sleeps-with-sources-.html","bayless.parsley@stratfor.com","","kevin.stech@stratfor.com",""
1115826,"Re: US Bank - Dirty Money
","   I have a cost. It is money spent on something and that has a profit.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
   Date: Thu, 5 May 2011 15:07:13 -0500 (CDT)
   To: <friedman@att.blackberry.net>; 'Karen Hooper'<hooper@stratfor.com>;
   'Sean Noonan'<sean.noonan@stratfor.com>; 'Secure
   List'<secure@stratfor.com>
   Subject: RE: US Bank - Dirty Money

   What do you mean by \"flow through effect\"

    

   From: George Friedman [mailto:friedman@att.blackberry.net]
   Sent: Thursday, May 05, 2011 15:05
   To: Kevin Stech; Karen Hooper; Sean Noonan; Secure List
   Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

    

   Those numbers assume a profit margin of 25 percent which is absurdly low.
   Moreover it fails to take into account that the primary cost is labor
   which has a massive flow through effect.

   The likely profit margin on drugs is about 80 percent for the primary
   transporter. No one is going to risk his life on a 25 percent margin deal.
   Youre better investing in other things without risk.

   Dying for a 25 percent return doesnt happen. Smuggle drugs is dramarically
   more profitable.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>

   Date: Thu, 5 May 2011 14:58:49 -0500 (CDT)

   To: 'Karen Hooper'<hooper@stratfor.com>; <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>;
   <secure@stratfor.com>

   Subject: RE: US Bank - Dirty Money

    

   The $40 bn estimate is revenues, not profits. The common profit estimates
   you see are in the $10 bn range.

    

   From: Karen Hooper [mailto:hooper@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, May 05, 2011 12:30
   To: sean.noonan@stratfor.com; secure@stratfor.com
   Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

    

   WF bought wachovia, and yeah, the case was settled last year with no
   criminal charges pursued. Sounds like Fred's contact is doing a follow up
   investigation. I'm less interested in the laundering so much as the size
   of it and where it ends up. The exit of that much money from Mexico is no
   small thing. We're never going to get a full picture of how the drug trade
   affects the financial system in Mex, but it's worth tracking the pieces.
   Also, the $40 bn estimate of drug profits has always seemed low, and these
   data points reinforce that.

   Sent from my iPhone

   On May 5, 2011, at 13:11, \"Sean Noonan\" <sean.noonan@stratfor.com> wrote:

     Btw, if this is new it is wells fargo not wachovia.

     WF already paid fines for some of these shenanigans

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Karen Hooper <hooper@stratfor.com>

     Date: Thu, 5 May 2011 11:55:57 -0500 (CDT)

     To: 'Secure List'<secure@stratfor.com>

     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

      

     Two different things here: 1) The Wachovia bust detailed in the article
     I sent out said that Wachovia handled $378.4 bn in transfers from casas
     de cambio (CDC) in 2004-2007 that they're calling shady (though they
     haven't verified just HOW shady all of it is). 2) Fred's contact says
     his contact has seen $70 bn laundered as a part of an ongoing
     investigation, but we don't know yet know over what timeframe.

     Could be that the CDC transfers are majority legitimate, but why
     transfer cash TO the United States? Usually the flow of legitimate
     remittances goes the other way, and that's the amount the DEA case
     sanctioned Wachovia for failing to properly monitor under money
     laundering laws.

     I'll try to dig up more details from the Wachovia investigation.

      

     On 5/5/11 12:43 PM, scott stewart wrote:

     Wait, so it was way more than $70B?

      

     Maybe not all of that was cartel cash... 

      

     From: Karen Hooper [mailto:hooper@stratfor.com]
     Sent: Thursday, May 05, 2011 12:24 PM
     To: 'Secure List'
     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

      

     Right. What i'm saying is that Wachovia ALONE handled ~$125 billion per
     year in shady cash from Mexico from 2004-2007. And that doesn't even
     count the money that stayed in cash, went to the Bahamas or stayed in
     Mexico.

     That makes the $40 bn per year stat seem pretty miniscule, no?
      

      

     On 5/5/11 12:00 PM, scott stewart wrote:

     That is $40B a year. Not all of it was laundered by one institution.
     Some is still physically hauled as bulk cash.

      

     From: Karen Hooper [mailto:hooper@stratfor.com]
     Sent: Thursday, May 05, 2011 11:45 AM
     To: Secure List
     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

      

     Any word on the rate of flow? $70 bn is much bigger than the $40 billion
     estimates that we've seen over the years. 

      

     The volume of cash handled in the Wachovia case also suggests something
     on the order of $125 bn per year being laundered by a single method.
     That's a LOT of money, and a lot more than we've discussed.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: burton@stratfor.com
     To: \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>, \"Secure List\"
     <secure@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Thursday, May 5, 2011 11:25:50 AM
     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

     The money laundered was new, framed as exposing next week or words to
     that effect.

     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Karen Hooper <hooper@stratfor.com>

     Date: Thu, 5 May 2011 09:39:12 -0500 (CDT)

     To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>

     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

      

     Over what timeframe did your contact handle that $70 billion?

     On 5/5/11 10:31 AM, burton@stratfor.com wrote:

     The GOM has hired the ex-CIA group to find additional monies laundered
     by Wachovia. Same group are being used against British Tobacco.

     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Karen Hooper <hooper@stratfor.com>

     Date: Thu, 5 May 2011 09:27:48 -0500 (CDT)

     To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>

     Subject: Re: US Bank - Dirty Money

      

     Here's a good one:

     How a big US bank laundered billions from Mexico's murderous drug gangs
     Ed Vulliamy
     The Observer,     Sunday 3 April 2011
     http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/apr/03/us-bank-mexico-drug-gangs

     A soldier guards marijuana that is being incinerated in Tijuana, Mexico.
     Photograph: Guillermo Arias/AP
     On 10 April 2006, a DC-9 jet landed in the port city of Ciudad del
     Carmen, on the Gulf of Mexico, as the sun was setting. Mexican soldiers,
     waiting to intercept it, found 128 cases packed with 5.7 tons of
     cocaine, valued at $100m. But something else - more important and
     far-reaching - was discovered in the paper trail behind the purchase of
     the plane by the Sinaloa narco-trafficking cartel.

     During a 22-month investigation by agents from the US Drug Enforcement
     Administration, the Internal Revenue Service and others, it emerged that
     the cocaine smugglers had bought the plane with money they had laundered
     through one of the biggest banks in the United States: Wachovia, now
     part of the giant Wells Fargo.

     The authorities uncovered billions of dollars in wire transfers,
     traveller's cheques and cash shipments through Mexican exchanges into
     Wachovia accounts. Wachovia was put under immediate investigation for
     failing to maintain an effective anti-money laundering programme. Of
     special significance was that the period concerned began in 2004, which
     coincided with the first escalation of violence along the US-Mexico
     border that ignited the current drugs war.

     Criminal proceedings were brought against Wachovia, though not against
     any individual, but the case never came to court. In March 2010,
     Wachovia settled the biggest action brought under the US bank secrecy
     act, through the US district court in Miami. Now that the year's
     \"deferred prosecution\" has expired, the bank is in effect in the clear.
     It paid federal authorities $110m in forfeiture, for allowing
     transactions later proved to be connected to drug smuggling, and
     incurred a $50m fine for failing to monitor cash used to ship 22 tons of
     cocaine.

     More shocking, and more important, the bank was sanctioned for failing
     to apply the proper anti-laundering strictures to the transfer of
     $378.4bn - a sum equivalent to one-third of Mexico's gross national
     product - into dollar accounts from so-called casas de cambio (CDCs) in
     Mexico, currency exchange houses with which the bank did business.

     \"Wachovia's blatant disregard for our banking laws gave international
     cocaine cartels a virtual carte blanche to finance their operations,\"
     said Jeffrey Sloman, the federal prosecutor. Yet the total fine was less
     than 2% of the bank's $12.3bn profit for 2009. On 24 March 2010, Wells
     Fargo stock traded at $30.86 - up 1% on the week of the court
     settlement.

     The conclusion to the case was only the tip of an iceberg, demonstrating
     the role of the \"legal\" banking sector in swilling hundreds of billions
     of dollars - the blood money from the murderous drug trade in Mexico and
     other places in the world - around their global operations, now bailed
     out by the taxpayer.

     At the height of the 2008 banking crisis, Antonio Maria Costa, then head
     of the United Nations office on drugs and crime, said he had evidence to
     suggest the proceeds from drugs and crime were \"the only liquid
     investment capital\" available to banks on the brink of collapse.
     \"Inter-bank loans were funded by money that originated from the drugs
     trade,\" he said. \"There were signs that some banks were rescued that
     way.\"

     Wachovia was acquired by Wells Fargo during the 2008 crash, just as
     Wells Fargo became a beneficiary of $25bn in taxpayers' money.
     Wachovia's prosecutors were clear, however, that there was no suggestion
     Wells Fargo had behaved improperly; it had co-operated fully with the
     investigation. Mexico is the US's third largest international trading
     partner and Wachovia was understandably interested in this volume of
     legitimate trade.

     Jose Luis Marmolejo, who prosecuted those running one of the casas de
     cambio at the Mexican end, said: \"Wachovia handled all the transfers.
     They never reported any as suspicious.\"

     \"As early as 2004, Wachovia understood the risk,\" the bank admitted in
     the statement of settlement with the federal government, but, \"despite
     these warnings, Wachovia remained in the business\". There is, of course,
     the legitimate use of CDCs as a way into the Hispanic market. In 2005
     the World Bank said that Mexico was receiving $8.1bn in remittances.

     During research into the Wachovia Mexican case, the Observer obtained
     documents previously provided to financial regulators. It emerged that
     the alarm that was ignored came from, among other places, London, as a
     result of the diligence of one of the most important whistleblowers of
     our time. A man who, in a series of interviews with the Observer, adds
     detail to the documents, laying bare the story of how Wachovia was at
     the centre of one of the world's biggest money-laundering operations.

     Martin Woods, a Liverpudlian in his mid-40s, joined the London office of
     Wachovia Bank in February 2005 as a senior anti-money laundering
     officer. He had previously served with the Metropolitan police drug
     squad. As a detective he joined the money-laundering investigation team
     of the National Crime Squad, where he worked on the British end of the
     Bank of New York money-laundering scandal in the late 1990s.

     Woods talks like a police officer - in the best sense of the word:
     punctilious, exact, with a roguish humour, but moral at the core. He was
     an ideal appointment for any bank eager to operate a diligent and
     effective risk management policy against the lucrative scourge of high
     finance: laundering, knowing or otherwise, the vast proceeds of
     criminality, tax-evasion, and dealing in arms and drugs.

     Woods had a police officer's eye and a police officer's instincts - not
     those of a banker. And this influenced not only his methods, but his
     mentality. \"I think that a lot of things matter more than money - and
     that marks you out in a culture which appears to prevail in many of the
     banks in the world,\" he says.

     Woods was set apart by his modus operandi. His speciality, he explains,
     was his application of a \"know your client\", or KYC, policing strategy
     to identifying dirty money. \"KYC is a fundamental approach to anti-money
     laundering, going after tax evasion or counter-terrorist financing. Who
     are your clients? Is the documentation right? Good, responsible banking
     involved always knowing your customer and it still does.\"

     When he looked at Wachovia, the first thing Woods noticed was a
     deficiency in KYC information. And among his first reports to his
     superiors at the bank's headquarters in Charlotte, North Carolina, were
     observations on a shortfall in KYC at Wachovia's operation in London,
     which he set about correcting, while at the same time implementing what
     was known as an enhanced transaction monitoring programme, gathering
     more information on clients whose money came through the bank's offices
     in the City, in sterling or euros. By August 2006, Woods had identified
     a number of suspicious transactions relating to casas de cambio
     customers in Mexico.

     Primarily, these involved deposits of traveller's cheques in euros. They
     had sequential numbers and deposited larger amounts of money than any
     innocent travelling person would need, with inadequate or no KYC
     information on them and what seemed to a trained eye to be dubious
     signatures. \"It was basic work,\" he says. \"They didn't answer the
     obvious questions: 'Is the transaction real, or does it look synthetic?
     Does the traveller's cheque meet the protocols? Is it all there, and if
     not, why not?'\"

     Woods discussed the matter with Wachovia's global head of anti-money
     laundering for correspondent banking, who believed the cheques could
     signify tax evasion. He then undertook what banks call a \"look back\" at
     previous transactions and saw fit to submit a series of SARs, or
     suspicious activity reports, to the authorities in the UK and his
     superiors in Charlotte, urging the blocking of named parties and large
     series of sequentially numbered traveller's cheques from Mexico. He
     issued a number of SARs in 2006, of which 50 related to the casas de
     cambio in Mexico. To his amazement, the response from Wachovia's Miami
     office, the centre for Latin American business, was anything but
     supportive - he felt it was quite the reverse.

     As it turned out, however, Woods was on the right track. Wachovia's
     business in Mexico was coming under closer and closer scrutiny by US
     federal law enforcement. Wachovia was issued with a number of subpoenas
     for information on its Mexican operation. Woods has subsequently been
     informed that Wachovia had six or seven thousand subpoenas. He says this
     was \"An absurd number. So at what point does someone at the highest
     level not get the feeling that something is very, very wrong?\"

     In April and May 2007, Wachovia - as a result of increasing interest and
     pressure from the US attorney's office - began to close its relationship
     with some of the casas de cambio. But rather than launch an internal
     investigation into Woods's alerts over Mexico, Woods claims Wachovia
     hung its own money-laundering expert out to dry. The records show that
     during 2007 Woods \"continued to submit more SARs related to the casas de
     cambio\".

     In July 2007, all of Wachovia's remaining 10 Mexican casa de cambio
     clients operating through London suddenly stopped doing so. Later in
     2007, after the investigation of Wachovia was reported in the US
     financial media, the bank decided to end its remaining relationships
     with the Mexican casas de cambio globally. By this time, Woods says, he
     found his personal situation within the bank untenable; while the bank
     acted on one level to protect itself from the federal investigation into
     its shortcomings, on another, it rounded on the man who had been among
     the first to spot them.

     On 16 June Woods was told by Wachovia's head of compliance that his
     latest SAR need not have been filed, that he had no legal requirement to
     investigate an overseas case and no right of access to documents held
     overseas from Britain, even if they were held by Wachovia.

     Woods's life went into freefall. He went to hospital with a prolapsed
     disc, reported sick and was told by the bank that he not done so in the
     appropriate manner, as directed by the employees' handbook. He was off
     work for three weeks, returning in August 2007 to find a letter from the
     bank's compliance managing director, which was unrelenting in its tone
     and words of warning.

     The letter addressed itself to what the manager called \"specific
     examples of your failure to perform at an acceptable standard\". Woods,
     on the edge of a breakdown, was put on sick leave by his GP; he was
     later given psychiatric treatment, enrolled on a stress management
     course and put on medication.

     Late in 2007, Woods attended a function at Scotland Yard where
     colleagues from the US were being entertained. There, he sought out a
     representative of the Drug Enforcement Administration and told him about
     the casas de cambio, the SARs and his employer's reaction. The Federal
     Reserve and officials of the office of comptroller of currency in
     Washington DC then \"spent a lot of time examining the SARs\" that had
     been sent by Woods to Charlotte from London.

     \"They got back in touch with me a while afterwards and we began to put
     the pieces of the jigsaw together,\" says Woods. What they found was - as
     Costa says - the tip of the iceberg of what was happening to drug money
     in the banking industry, but at least it was visible and it had a name:
     Wachovia.

     In June 2005, the DEA, the criminal division of the Internal Revenue
     Service and the US attorney's office in southern Florida began
     investigating wire transfers from Mexico to the US. They were traced
     back to correspondent bank accounts held by casas de cambio at Wachovia.
     The CDC accounts were supervised and managed by a business unit of
     Wachovia in the bank's Miami offices.

     \"Through CDCs,\" said the court document, \"persons in Mexico can use hard
     currency and ... wire transfer the value of that currency to US bank
     accounts to purchase items in the United States or other countries. The
     nature of the CDC business allows money launderers the opportunity to
     move drug dollars that are in Mexico into CDCs and ultimately into the
     US banking system.

     \"On numerous occasions,\" say the court papers, \"monies were deposited
     into a CDC by a drug-trafficking organisation. Using false identities,
     the CDC then wired that money through its Wachovia correspondent bank
     accounts for the purchase of airplanes for drug-trafficking
     organisations.\" The court settlement of 2010 would detail that \"nearly
     $13m went through correspondent bank accounts at Wachovia for the
     purchase of aircraft to be used in the illegal narcotics trade. From
     these aircraft, more than 20,000kg of cocaine were seized.\"

     All this occurred despite the fact that Wachovia's office was in Miami,
     designated by the US government as a \"high-intensity money laundering
     and related financial crime area\", and a \"high-intensity drug
     trafficking area\". Since the drug cartel war began in 2005, Mexico had
     been designated a high-risk source of money laundering.

     \"As early as 2004,\" the court settlement would read, \"Wachovia
     understood the risk that was associated with doing business with the
     Mexican CDCs. Wachovia was aware of the general industry warnings. As
     early as July 2005, Wachovia was aware that other large US banks were
     exiting the CDC business based on [anti-money laundering] concerns ...
     despite these warnings, Wachovia remained in business.\"

     On 16 March 2010, Douglas Edwards, senior vice-president of Wachovia
     Bank, put his signature to page 10 of a 25-page settlement, in which the
     bank admitted its role as outlined by the prosecutors. On page 11, he
     signed again, as senior vice-president of Wells Fargo. The documents
     show Wachovia providing three services to 22 CDCs in Mexico: wire
     transfers, a \"bulk cash service\" and a \"pouch deposit service\", to
     accept \"deposit items drawn on US banks, eg cheques and traveller's
     cheques\", as spotted by Woods.

     \"For the time period of 1 May 2004 through 31 May 2007, Wachovia
     processed at least $$373.6bn in CDCs, $4.7bn in bulk cash\" - a total of
     more than $378.3bn, a sum that dwarfs the budgets debated by US state
     and UK local authorities to provide services to citizens.

     The document gives a fascinating insight into how the laundering of drug
     money works. It details how investigators \"found readily identifiable
     evidence of red flags of large-scale money laundering\". There were
     \"structured wire transfers\" whereby \"it was commonplace in the CDC
     accounts for round-number wire transfers to be made on the same day or
     in close succession, by the same wire senders, for the ... same
     account\".

     Over two days, 10 wire transfers by four individuals \"went though
     Wachovia for deposit into an aircraft broker's account. All of the
     transfers were in round numbers. None of the individuals of business
     that wired money had any connection to the aircraft or the entity that
     allegedly owned the aircraft. The investigation has further revealed
     that the identities of the individuals who sent the money were false and
     that the business was a shell entity. That plane was subsequently seized
     with approximately 2,000kg of cocaine on board.\"

     Many of the sequentially numbered traveller's cheques, of the kind dealt
     with by Woods, contained \"unusual markings\" or \"lacked any legible
     signature\". Also, \"many of the CDCs that used Wachovia's bulk cash
     service sent significantly more cash to Wachovia than what Wachovia had
     expected. More specifically, many of the CDCs exceeded their monthly
     activity by at least 50%.\"

     Recognising these \"red flags\", the US attorney's office in Miami, the
     IRS and the DEA began investigating Wachovia, later joined by FinCEN,
     one of the US Treasury's agencies to fight money laundering, while the
     office of the comptroller of the currency carried out a parallel
     investigation. The violations they found were, says the document,
     \"serious and systemic and allowed certain Wachovia customers to launder
     millions of dollars of proceeds from the sale of illegal narcotics
     through Wachovia accounts over an extended time period. The
     investigation has identified that at least $110m in drug proceeds were
     funnelled through the CDC accounts held at Wachovia.\"

     The settlement concludes by discussing Wachovia's \"considerable
     co-operation and remedial actions\" since the prosecution was initiated,
     after the bank was bought by Wells Fargo. \"In consideration of
     Wachovia's remedial actions,\" concludes the prosecutor, \"the United
     States shall recommend to the court ... that prosecution of Wachovia on
     the information filed ... be deferred for a period of 12 months.\"

     But while the federal prosecution proceeded, Woods had remained out in
     the cold. On Christmas Eve 2008, his lawyers filed tribunal proceedings
     against Wachovia for bullying and detrimental treatment of a
     whistleblower. The case was settled in May 2009, by which time Woods
     felt as though he was \"the most toxic person in the bank\". Wachovia
     agreed to pay an undisclosed amount, in return for which Woods left the
     bank and said he would not make public the terms of the settlement.

     After years of tribulation, Woods was finally formally vindicated,
     though not by Wachovia: a letter arrived from John Dugan, the
     comptroller of the currency in Washington DC, dated 19 March 2010 -
     three days after the settlement in Miami. Dugan said he was \"writing to
     personally recognise and express my appreciation for the role you played
     in the actions brought against Wachovia Bank for violations of the bank
     secrecy act ... Not only did the information that you provided
     facilitate our investigation, but you demonstrated great personal
     courage and integrity by speaking up. Without the efforts of individuals
     like you, actions such as the one taken against Wachovia would not be
     possible.\"

     The so-called \"deferred prosecution\" detailed in the Miami document is a
     form of probation whereby if the bank abides by the law for a year,
     charges are dropped. So this March the bank was in the clear. The week
     that the deferred prosecution expired, a spokeswoman for Wells Fargo
     said the parent bank had no comment to make on the documentation
     pertaining to Woods's case, or his allegations. She added that there was
     no comment on Sloman's remarks to the court; a provision in the
     settlement stipulated Wachovia was not allowed to issue public
     statements that contradicted it.

     But the settlement leaves a sour taste in many mouths - and certainly in
     Woods's. The deferred prosecution is part of this \"cop-out all round\",
     he says. \"The regulatory authorities do not have to spend any more time
     on it, and they don't have to push it as far as a criminal trial. They
     just issue criminal proceedings, and settle. The law enforcement people
     do what they are supposed to do, but what's the point? All those people
     dealing with all that money from drug-trafficking and murder, and no one
     goes to jail?\"

     One of the foremost figures in the training of anti-money laundering
     officers is Robert Mazur, lead infiltrator for US law enforcement of the
     Colombian Medellin cartel during the epic prosecution and collapse of
     the BCCI banking business in 1991 (his story was made famous by his
     memoir, The Infiltrator, which became a movie).

     Mazur, whose firm Chase and Associates works closely with law
     enforcement agencies and trains officers for bank anti-money laundering,
     cast a keen eye over the case against Wachovia, and he says now that
     \"the only thing that will make the banks properly vigilant to what is
     happening is when they hear the rattle of handcuffs in the boardroom\".

     Mazur said that \"a lot of the law enforcement people were disappointed
     to see a settlement\" between the administration and Wachovia. \"But I
     know there were external circumstances that worked to Wachovia's
     benefit, not least that the US banking system was on the edge of
     collapse.\"

     What concerns Mazur is that what law enforcement agencies and
     politicians hope to achieve against the cartels is limited, and falls
     short of the obvious attack the US could make in its war on drugs: go
     after the money. \"We're thinking way too small,\" Mazur says. \"I train
     law enforcement officers, thousands of them every year, and they say to
     me that if they tried to do half of what I did, they'd be arrested. But
     I tell them: 'You got to think big. The headlines you will be reading in
     seven years' time will be the result of the work you begin now.' With
     BCCI, we had to spend two years setting it up, two years doing
     undercover work, and another two years getting it to trial. If they want
     to do something big, like go after the money, that's how long it takes.\"

     But Mazur warns: \"If you look at the career ladders of law enforcement,
     there's no incentive to go after the big money. People move every two to
     three years. The DEA is focused on drug trafficking rather than money
     laundering. You get a quicker result that way - they want to get the
     traffickers and seize their assets. But this is like treating a sick
     plant by cutting off a few branches - it just grows new ones. Going
     after the big money is cutting down the plant - it's a harder door to
     knock on, it's a longer haul, and it won't get you the short-term
     riches.\"

      

     The office of the comptroller of the currency is still examining whether
     individuals in Wachovia are criminally liable. Sources at FinCEN say
     that a so-called \"look-back\" is in process, as directed by the
     settlement and agreed to by Wachovia, into the $378.4bn that was not
     directly associated with the aircraft purchases and cocaine hauls, but
     neither was it subject to the proper anti-laundering checks. A FinCEN
     source says that $20bn already examined appears to have \"suspicious
     origins\". But this is just the beginning.

     Antonio Maria Costa, who was executive director of the UN's office on
     drugs and crime from May 2002 to August 2010, charts the history of the
     contamination of the global banking industry by drug and criminal money
     since his first initiatives to try to curb it from the European
     commission during the 1990s. \"The connection between organised crime and
     financial institutions started in the late 1970s, early 1980s,\" he says,
     \"when the mafia became globalised.\"

     Until then, criminal money had circulated largely in cash, with the
     authorities making the occasional, spectacular \"sting\" or haul. During
     Costa's time as director for economics and finance at the EC in
     Brussels, from 1987, inroads were made against penetration of banks by
     criminal laundering, and \"criminal money started moving back to cash,
     out of the financial institutions and banks. Then two things happened:
     the financial crisis in Russia, after the emergence of the Russian
     mafia, and the crises of 2003 and 2007-08.

     \"With these crises,\" says Costa, \"the banking sector was short of
     liquidity, the banks exposed themselves to the criminal syndicates, who
     had cash in hand.\"

     Costa questions the readiness of governments and their regulatory
     structures to challenge this large-scale corruption of the global
     economy: \"Government regulators showed what they were capable of when
     the issue suddenly changed to laundering money for terrorism - on that,
     they suddenly became serious and changed their attitude.\"

     Hardly surprising, then, that Wachovia does not appear to be the end of
     the line. In August 2010, it emerged in quarterly disclosures by HSBC
     that the US justice department was seeking to fine it for anti-money
     laundering compliance problems reported to include dealings with Mexico.

      

     \"Wachovia had my resume, they knew who I was,\" says Woods. \"But they did
     not want to know - their attitude was, 'Why are you doing this?' They
     should have been on my side, because they were compliance people, not
     commercial people. But really they were commercial people all along.
     We're talking about hundreds of millions of dollars. This is the biggest
     money-laundering scandal of our time.

     \"These are the proceeds of murder and misery in Mexico, and of drugs
     sold around the world,\" he says. \"All the law enforcement people wanted
     to see this come to trial. But no one goes to jail. \"What does the
     settlement do to fight the cartels? Nothing - it doesn't make the job of
     law enforcement easier and it encourages the cartels and anyone who
     wants to make money by laundering their blood dollars. Where's the risk?
     There is none.

     \"Is it in the interest of the American people to encourage both the drug
     cartels and the banks in this way? Is it in the interest of the Mexican
     people? It's simple: if you don't see the correlation between the money
     laundering by banks and the 30,000 people killed in Mexico, you're
     missing the point.\"

     Woods feels unable to rest on his laurels. He tours the world for a
     consultancy he now runs, Hermes Forensic Solutions, counselling and
     speaking to banks on the dangers of laundering criminal money, and how
     to spot and stop it. \"New York and London,\" says Woods, \"have become the
     world's two biggest laundries of criminal and drug money, and offshore
     tax havens. Not the Cayman Islands, not the Isle of Man or Jersey. The
     big laundering is right through the City of London and Wall Street.

     \"After the Wachovia case, no one in the regulatory community has sat
     down with me and asked, 'What happened?' or 'What can we do to avoid
     this happening to other banks?' They are not interested. They are the
     same people who attack the whistleblowers and this is a position the
     [British] Financial Services Authority at least has adopted on legal
     advice: it has been advised that the confidentiality of banking and
     bankers takes primacy over the public information disclosure act. That
     is how the priorities work: secrecy first, public interest second.

     \"Meanwhile, the drug industry has two products: money and suffering. On
     one hand, you have massive profits and enrichment. On the other, you
     have massive suffering, misery and death. You cannot separate one from
     the other.

     \"What happened at Wachovia was symptomatic of the failure of the entire
     regulatory system to apply the kind of proper governance and adequate
     risk management which would have prevented not just the laundering of
     blood money, but the global crisis.\"

     On 5/4/11 9:29 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

     this is in OS. 

     Many big stories on it. 

     On 5/4/11 7:53 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

 One of my trusted former CIA cronies reports Wachovia laundered $70

 billion (yes billion) for the MX drug cartels per an on-going

 investigation.  His company has been hired by the MX govt to look for

 drug money.

  

  

      

     --

     Sean Noonan

     Tactical Analyst

     Office: +1 512-279-9479

     Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

     Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

     www.stratfor.com
","2011-05-05 22:12:26",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1115826_re-us-bank-dirty-money-.html","friedman@att.blackberry.net","","kevin.stech@stratfor.com",""
1116544,"Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
","   No wonder Medvedev has 2 trips planned to Turkey this spring..... Russia
   will try to take advantage.

   Reva Bhalla wrote:

     yes... turkey isn't only using Iran as the cause for the break. look at
     turkey's public outrage over the Israeli offensive in Gaza as an
     example. Turkey is already pretty tight with Russia, but this doesn't
     mean Turkey has to necessarily get closer to Russia. Turkey will play
     nice with the Russians but also wants to show it can play on its own
     On Feb 20, 2010, at 11:14 AM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       I meant to say, if not for Iran, would he look for other
       places/weaknesses in the US/Israel relationship to cause a break? 
       And, if he did break with these two, would it mean necessarily that he
       would move closer to Russia?

       Reva Bhalla wrote:

         US and Israel are the ones that matter. it's about redefining
         Turkey's role as an independent power
         On Feb 20, 2010, at 11:04 AM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

           Erdogan is looking to break with the US and Israel?  Are there
           other possible places he could do this, if he is actively trying?

           George Friedman wrote:

             Turkey would break with israel and the united states. It would
             be an opportunity erdogan is looking for. 

             Iran would become more visible but not more powerful. A year
             after the attack its underlying weakness would still be there
             and its dependence on turkey greater. 

             In my view the ourtcome of this is turkish power. But remeber,
             my insight is not that israel will attack. Its that kissinger
             thinks they will attack. Huge difference. 

             $

             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:55:16 +0000
             To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             All my sources - regardless of factional affiliation - are
             convinced that Iran is preparing for war and one that will make
             the regime more stronger. Did you see Bob Baer make the same
             argument in TIME? Any attack on Iran will make it very difficult
             for Turkey. It will be forced to take a stand against the war
             and there could be trouble with the United States. Such a
             conflict will be a test of Turkey's resurgence and moves towards
             a more independent foreign policy. 

             ---

             Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"George Friedman\" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:47:49 +0000
             To: Kamran Bokhari<bokhari@stratfor.com>; George
             Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; Secure
             List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             I believe th us will premempt. But there is no clear time line.

             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:43:38 +0000
             To: George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; Secure
             List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             Understood. What is your own assessment of the view that the
             Israelis will attack?

             ---

             Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: George Friedman <gfriedman@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 09:41:03 -0600
             To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             Internal use only

             Some nuggets from meeting:

             Kissinger believes that the Israelis are in a panic and will
             attack Iran.  Erdogan has made it clear to him that he plans to
             break with Israel at some point and reorient toward the Islamic
             world. He intends to be their leader.  Paul Volcker regards the
             Greek crisis as potentially a mortal blow for the EU. He would
             like to see an IMF tranche.  He also said that Nicholas Brady is
             behind both this and the Volcker principles Obama adopted.  When
             I asked Brady how he expects to get the the U.S. to go along
             with an IMF bailout, he shrugged and said they won't, but that's
             the only choice.  Volcker is now doubtful the Euro can survive. 
             Brady is convinced it will.  Kissinger thinks Volcker and Brady
             are missing the real crisis which is in Iran and potentially
             Russia. Volcker also says that the Bank of England and the
             French will go along with the Volcker rules on an international
             basis--that is returning to a variety of Glass-Steagal.  The
             Japanese will do whatever is said, and in Germany only Deutsche
             Bank really makes decisions. Sarkozy told him he would come in. 
             So there may be an international convention on restructuring
             banks under way--Volcker is pretty careful in what he says and
             doesn't promote himself more than the average bear, so this may
             be the case.  Nick Brady thinks so too.

             Total confusion on situation in China, but more on Obama.  They
             don't understand who is running China policy. The decision to
             meet with the Dalia Lama strikes them as particularly bizarre. 
             But China is the least of the discussion.  It is about Greece
             and Iran.  China is kind of an afterthought.

             I asked Tim Reed who ran Resolution Trust Corporation during the
             S&L crisis under Nick Brady whether a new RTC would have been
             better as a supplement to TARP and he agreed but said that
             Paulsen was so panicked he wasn't thinking and Bernaecke and he
             were just responding.  

             One sense I'm getting here is that the American elite, along
             with Europe's, China's and just about everyone but Russia's his
             suffering from three problems:  First, none are really aware of
             the political pressures on other elites.  Second, they
             completely misunderstand the alienation of the publics, three,
             except for Volcker, they think this can be handled by the elites
             among themselves.  We have a crisis of the elites, in my view.  

             I get to hold forth in an hour or so, and I'm going to argue
             that Iran is going out of control because of the elite crisis. 
             No decision making is going on and the decisions that are being
             made won't be supported in the public. The only country that is
             acting decisively and can do so is Russia.

             This is for our own internal use.  This must not be published or
             discussed outside Stratfor.
             -- 
             George Friedman
             Founder and CEO
             Stratfor
             700 Lavaca Street
             Suite 900
             Austin, Texas 78701
             Phone  512-744-4319
             Fax  512-744-4334

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director, Stratfor
 US Mobile: (512) 422-9335
 China Mobile: (86) 15801890731
 Email: richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com



    

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director, Stratfor
 US Mobile: (512) 422-9335
 China Mobile: (86) 15801890731
 Email: richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com



    

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   Stratfor
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2010-02-20 20:37:58",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1116544_re-insight-for-internal-use-only-on-pain-of-agony-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","bokhari@stratfor.com,richmond@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com,friedman@att.blackberry.net,secure@stratfor.com",""
1142108,"Re: INSIGHT-BOLIVIA-St. Dept source's take on Morales
","Back in the day, we would have been planning his (and Chavez's)
helicopter \"accident.\"  Guess I'm getting old, I think its best to keep
these lads around for comic relief.  Evo and Chevez belong in the US
Congress and could probably get elected.

Korena Zucha wrote:
> SOURCE CODE: BOL701
> ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR security source
> SOURCE DESCRIPTION: State Dept. source in Bolivia
> PUBLICATION: if desired
> SOURCE RELIABILITY: Still testing
> ITEM CREDIBILITY: Still testing
> DISTRIBUTION: Secure
> SPECIAL HANDLING:  None
> SOURCE HANDLER: Fred
> 
> In response to Evo Morales saying 'Chicken causes baldness and
> homosexuality'--
> 
> Evo says stupid things every day, but the local media here (which is
> under his thumb) protects him in their 'lack of reporting' or twisting
> it for disinformation purposes.  Unfortunately for him, he was
> addressing an international audience so he could not be protected by his
> lackey media drones from the international press.  For the first time,
> the world got to see firsthand what a buffoon this 4th grade educated,
> narco-trafficking, murderous thug is.  He is NOT the messiah and genius
> that everyone touts him to be.  His rhetoric is anti-US and
> anti-Capitalism, so he is the darling to the ultra-left and self-hating
> US citizens (Danny Glover, Sean Penn, Oliver Stone, etc.)  He is
> destroying Bolivia like Chavez is destroying Venezuela.  However, there
> are now chinks in his armor.  His recent hypocrisy was to dispatch his
> Minister of Finance last week to the US to engage those 'evil
> capitalists' there to invest in Bolivia.  And, this was only a few days
> after he lashed out (ala MO of Fidel Castro) on the evils of capitalism
> and how the US was responsible for everything bad in the world.  Over
> the weekend, Evo announced his government is engaging Vietnam and North
> Korea to establish formal diplomatic relations with them, open embassies
> and exchange ambassadors in an attempt to strengthen socialist
> governments to destroy the US and capitalism.  He speaks of Robert
> Mugabe as a 'dear freedom fighter' who is doing great things for
> Zimbabwe.  If George W. Bush made a stupid statement like his
> genetically modified chicken (and drinking Coca Cola, consuming Alka
> Shelzer, both were made in his diatribes but omitted by the media), the
> MSM (CNN, MSBNC, et all) would beat this Bush statement to death.  You
> hear nothing from them when idiots like Chavez and Evo speak.  This
> media bias is the double standard the left-leaning MSM media is guilty
> of.  If they were doing their job, instead of being coconspirators in
> their liberal politics, FoxNews would not be needed to balance out
> objectivity.  Finally, the nomination of Evo for the Nobel Peace Prize
> was just formally accepted yesterday as a result for his \"Mother Earth\"
> Summit [aka, vehement anti-US, anti-Capitalism (specifically targeting
> Coca Cola), anti-UN, pro-coca (sic cocaine) and narco-trafficking
> platform that was embraced by 22,000 anti-US, left-wing anarchists in
> attendance] as a result of the recent Climate Change Summit in Cochabamba.
","2010-04-27 19:06:01",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1142108_re-insight-bolivia-st-dept-source-s-take-on-morales-.html","burton@stratfor.com","","zucha@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
1146487,"Re: OBL take -- quick response needed
","   ISI should know by now since they have the homeowner.  There is much more
   to the story on The Courier which ISI doesn't know. 

   On 5/13/2011 6:18 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

     You know this reminds me of a discussion I had on NPR's Diane Rehm Show
     back in July '07. I was on with Peter Brookes (former deputy assistant
     secretary of defense for Asian and Pacific affairs in the second Bush
     administration) and the State Dept's current CT Coordinator, Daniel
     Benjamin. These two guys kept saying how ObL was in the tribal belt
     while I argued that he was much deeper in K-P province. God knows how
     many years were wasted chasing the sob in the tribal belt.

     On 5/13/2011 7:04 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

       The investigative key would be two prong to uncover the links to Paki
       ISI and Mil:

       1) The Homeowner

       2) The Courier

       Both are known quantities.

       On 5/13/2011 5:56 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

         Could be anyone of Lt. Col or below rank. Then again it could be a
         retired military officer still serving as a civie in the
         directorate. Or a consultant/contractor who work in the field. Or
         even a civilian official (60 percent are civilians in the ISI).
         Since most army officers including the chief are deputed to the ISI
         for a max of 3 years, we are really talking about people who are
         career intel officers. Then there is a large cadre of retired army
         personnel outside the security establishment. Good luck sifting
         through the jungle.

         On 5/13/2011 5:29 PM, Fred Burton wrote:

           Not further specified.  But, it may help explain why the ISI chief
           has offered to resign, which is the noble way out.  He can be the
           fall guy for domestic consumption.   It would be best if he
           defected. 

           On 5/13/2011 4:23 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

             What does source mean by mid to senior level. As for retired, I
             can think of a number of them. So, that is not really
             surprising. 

             On 5/13/2011 2:27 PM, burton@stratfor.com wrote:

               Same response as before:

               Mid to senior level ISI and Pak Mil with one retired Pak Mil
               General that had knowledge of the OBL arrangements and safe
               house.

               Names unk to me and not provided.

               Specific ranks unk to me and not provided.

               But, I get a very clear sense we (US intel) know names and
               ranks.

               I also do not know if we have passed this info to the GOP.

               If I was in command, I would not pass the info to the GOP,
               because we can't trust them. I would piece meal the names off
               and bury in a list of other non-related names for internal ISI
               traces in a non-alerting fashion, to see what the Pakis tell
               us.

               I may also trade one or two names for the captured tail
               rudder.

               Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

               From: Fred Burton <burton@stratfor.com>
               Date: Fri, 13 May 2011 12:22:31 -0500 (CDT)
               To: Kamran Bokhari<bokhari@stratfor.com>
               Cc: Sean Noonan<sean.noonan@stratfor.com>; Secure
               List<secure@stratfor.com>
               Subject: Re: OBL take -- quick response needed
               I may be able to get that, let me ask. 

               On 5/13/2011 12:21 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

                 No surprises here. We will never find out their departments
                 but their ranks would be very telling.

                 On 5/13/2011 11:19 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

                   awesome.  Please see what you can find out about what kind
                   of department they are in, or area they cover. 

                   On 5/13/11 9:58 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

 More on # 3 --

 Several w/in ISI and Pak Mil, less than 12.

 More on this later.


 On 5/12/2011 3:26 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

 1 specific operational plans

 2 communications with franchise groups (like AQAP)

 3 connections to anyone associated with the Pakistani state


 ------Original Message------
 From: Fred Burton
 To: Secure List
 Subject: OBL take -- quick response needed
 Sent: May 12, 2011 15:25

 I can get access to the materials seized from the OBL safe house.

 What are the top (not 45) questions we want addressed?


                   --

                   Sean Noonan

                   Tactical Analyst

                   Office: +1 512-279-9479

                   Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

                   Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

                   www.stratfor.com

                 --

             --

         --

     --
","2011-05-14 01:47:27",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1146487_re-obl-take-quick-response-needed-.html","burton@stratfor.com","","bokhari@stratfor.com,sean.noonan@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com","attach/6/6434_Signature.JPG"
1148174,"MORE (reply from CN65) Re: INSIGHT - CHINA/MINING - new source(s)
","   SOURCE: CN65
   ATTRIBUTION: Australian contact connected with the government and 
   natural resources
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION:  Former Australian Senator.  Source is 
   well-connected politically, militarily and economically.  He has become a
   private businessman helping foreign companies with M&As
   PUBLICATION: Yes
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2
   DISTRIBUTION: Analysts
   SPECIAL HANDLING: None
   SOURCE HANDLER: Jen

   I think that small companies cannot compete in terms of technology or
   capital.  Of that there is no doubt.  But where foreign companies do get
   access to tenements, they always seem to lose out because the mining
   sector in China is one of the most corrupt sectors of all.
   In witness of the latter point consider a recent case that came to light
   in China about May 25-26 in the China Daily.  It involved a suit brought
   by a local magistrate against a mining company owner in Southern China for
   profits he claims should have been distributed out of the mine.  The
   magistrate was a shareholder.
   The company owner disputed the claim on the basis that the magistrate had
   somehow forfeited or abandoned his shares in the company (there seems to
   have been some capital reconstruction at some stage in the past).  The
   main reason for this argument was that in 2005 (?) the government had
   prohibited government officials, and especially magistrates, from being
   shareholders in mining companies because of the endemic corruption this
   engendered.
   The magistrate won his case. The company owner was seeking an appeal.
    Informed commentary said that the magistrate was entitled to win in
   contract law, but the local court in the area had failed to consider the
   fact he should not have had any shareholding at all.
   This is the supervening corruption which makes issues of government policy
   of marginal importance.
   Ironically, this corruption is one of the impediments to Chinese interests
   not having accumulated even greater stakes in the resources sector in
   Australia.  They simply cannot get it in their heads that the rule of law
   applies to mining projects in Australia.  They refuse to believe that they
   have a right to receive a mining lease subject only to complying with
   relevant environmental permitting conditions.  They think you have no
   credibility unless you tell them they need to bribe someone!!!

   Antonia Colibasanu wrote:

     Source code: New acquaintance 
     Publication: If so desired but more useful as back ground info
     Source description: Source has worked for a number of Chinese mining
     groups and works in close contact with the Ministry of Land and
     Resources
     Attribution: Mining source in China
     Source reliability: B/C (source is new to me)
     Item credibility: 1-2 (pretty commonly held knowledge)
     Distribution: analysts
     Source handler: Chris

     Chit chat from a BBQ last night. 
     Source tells me: 
     - of a foreign company that had paid for prospecting rights near Dalian
     and when they finally found gold the government told them that they
     couldn't dig it up for environmental reasons. Now of course the Chinese
     are getting ready to dig it up. 
     Another group (who I know the GM of as well) who had gone through 7
     years of prep, building local infrastructure, getting screwed by local
     forms and extorted by the local security orgs was finally ready to begin
     extraction when the Chinese gave them some BS reason and kicked them out
     of the project. The Chinese are now of course removing that gold from
     the ground themselves. 
     Local mining interests have pressured the government to block foreign
     mining investment because the locals cannot compete with foreign
     technology. 
     Another chap at the BBQ, a foreigner who seems to be pretty with it here
     and runs a pretty profitable marketing/PR firm tells me that he has been
     in the \"war room\" of CIC and says that it was breathe taking. He says
     that divided up in to industries are all the companies that export to
     China and there are internal departments that collect share holder info
     for each company and who's task it is to buy up ownership of said
     exporters to China. 
     Will be chatting to these guys more down the track. 

     --

     Chris Farnham
     Watch Officer/Beijing Correspondent , STRATFOR
     China Mobile: (86) 1581 1579142
     Email: chris.farnham@stratfor.com
     www.stratfor.com

     --

     Chris Farnham
     Watch Officer/Beijing Correspondent , STRATFOR
     China Mobile: (86) 1581 1579142
     Email: chris.farnham@stratfor.com
     www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director, Stratfor
 US Mobile: (512) 422-9335
 China Mobile: (86) 15801890731
 Email: richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2010-06-07 17:42:55",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1148174_more-reply-from-cn65-re-insight-china-mining-new-source-s-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1149294,"Confed Fuckhouse
"," --
 Matthew Powers
 STRATFOR Senior Researcher
 Matthew.Powers@stratfor.com
","2011-04-04 23:14:10",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1149294_confed-fuckhouse-.html","matthew.powers@stratfor.com","","kevin.stech@stratfor.com","attach/102/102203_stratfor - confederation program.xlsx"
1220381,"signed/pending spreadsheet
","14","2011-12-09 19:16:16",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1220381_signed-pending-spreadsheet-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","","mfriedman@stratfor.com","attach/106/106104_signed partnerships.xlsx"
1239829,"fyi
","","2007-09-05 15:42:07",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1239829_fyi-.html","gfriedman@stratfor.com","","mfriedman@stratfor.com,eisenstein@stratfor.com","attach/107/107978_Intelligence Glossary.doc"
1318720,"Re: [Fwd: Fred letter]
","   My edits, incorporating Matt's edits:

   Figuring out who Fred Burton is and what he does at STRATFOR isn't easy.
   His first book was called Ghost and it's a fitting title for him.

    

   Inside of STRATFOR, Fred is Chief Security Officer. He oversees a group we
   call \"tactical intelligence.\" Tactical intelligence sweats the small
   things because small things frequently turn out not to be small at all. So
   if it is something that goes boom, something that involves mayhem,
   something where people disappear, kill each other or smuggle drugs-Fred
   and his team work on it. At first glance, you may think such short-term
   details don't belong at STRATFOR, since our focus is the big picture of
   geopolitics. But those are the details that keep us honest, that can throw
   a wrench into our entire big picture assessment, forcing us to
   re-evaluate. Fred and his team constantly challenge our assumptions.

    

   To do this, Fred uses a skill set and experiences few people in the world
   possess. He began as a cop, and then moved on to the Department of State
   Security service, which protects foreign diplomats in the United States
   and American diplomats abroad. During his time in DSS, Fred got involved
   in investigations himself, in particular capturing Ramsey Youssef, the
   terrorist who bombed the World Trade Center in 1993.

    

   He's written a new book (didn't realize Fred could write; always thought
   his specialty was wisecracking at the coffee station) that's called
   \"Chasing Shadows.\" It's about the unsolved murder of an Israeli air
   attache in the 1970s in Washington and Fred's decades-long quest to solve
   it. The case sheds light on how intelligence services operate-and how
   nations play hardball with each other. It starts with the tactical details
   and builds up to the big picture of international relations, much like the
   way our tactical and geopolitical teams work together.

    

   Despite his elusive persona, Fred's more than a colleague. He's my friend
   and he covers my back-or, more precisely, he thinks I can't cover my back
   myself. Either way he's a good man and STRATFOR is lucky to have him. I
   highly recommend this book because in a fluid and personable fashion it
   tells an important story from 1973 with a lasting effect on geopolitics
   today.

    

   If you enjoy the book, you'll love the work Fred & his team produce at
   STRATFOR.... [sales pitch here?]

   On 3/7/11 4:50 PM, Matthew Solomon wrote:

     My cut at George's letter

     Figuring out who Fred Burton is and what he does isn't easy.  His first
     book was called Ghost and it's a fitting title for him.

      

     Inside of STRATFOR, Fred is Chief Security Officer. He oversees our
     security analysis, which is part of a division of the company we call
     \"tactical intelligence.  Tactical sweats the small stuff, because small
     stuff frequently turns out to be not small at all. If something goes
     boom, something involves mayhem, something makes people disappear-Fred
     and his team in tactical intelligence work on it. At first glance you
     may think this doesn't belong at STRATFOR, our focus being the big
     picture, geopolitics and the like. But the big picture can't be
     understood without the individual smaller pieces, and sometimes those
     little things are clues the ordinary mind would have never suspected.

      

     To do this, Fred uses a skill set and experiences few other people in
     the world possess. During his time in DSS, Fred ran a program that paid
     bounties to those who turned in terrorists. He eventually got involved
     in investigations himself, in particular capturing Ramsey Youssef, the
     terrorist who initially bombed the World Trade Center in 1993.

      

     He's written a new book (didn't realize Fred could write; always thought
     his specialty was wisecracking at the coffee machine) that's called
     \"Chasing Shadows.\" It's about the unsolved assassination of an Israeli
     air attache in the 1970s and how the case's unraveling sheds light on
     the manner in which intelligence services operate-and therefore how they
     play hardball with each other. It starts with small things and builds to
     the big things; similar to the way our security team builds its
     analysis.

      

     Despite his elusive persona and frequent disappearing acts, personally
     Fred's more than a colleague. He's a friend and contributes a lot to
     this organization. Either way he's a good man and STRATFOR is lucky to
     have him. I recommend you read this book because, in a fluid and
     personable fashion it tells an important story and gives you a sense
     what STRATFOR does behind the scenes and how it does it. It is an
     interesting insight into how we think and things we worry about that
     might surprise you.

     On 3/7/11 4:39 PM, Megan Headley wrote:

       Rodger's response to why we have Fred: \"eye candy\"

       On 3/7/11 3:03 PM, Darryl O'Connor wrote:

         fyi

     --

     Matthew Solomon
     Online Sales Manager
     STRATFOR

     T: 512-744-4300 ext 4095
     F: 512-744-4334
     C: 817-271-7709
     www.stratfor.com
","2011-03-08 00:15:49",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1318720_re-fwd-fred-letter-.html","megan.headley@stratfor.com","","oconnor@stratfor.com,matthew.solomon@stratfor.com",""
1409763,"Re: Follow Up from teleconference last week
","   Steve,
   I am in Kentucky threw Wednesday and in back to back meetings Thursday, so
   Friday is the first time I can meet.  In the meantime, I know Rob and
   Holly have worked on many of those tasks so hopefully we will have
   everything at least identified regarding assignment by Friday.
   -Don
   Don R. Kuykendall 
   President & Chief Financial Officer 
   STRATFOR 
   512.744.4314 phone 
   512.744.4334 fax 
   kuykendall@stratfor.com 
     
   _______________________ 
     
   http://www.stratfor.com 
   STRATFOR 
   221 W. 6th Street 
   Suite 400 
   Austin, Texas 78701 
   From: Stephen Feldhaus <sf@feldhauslaw.com>
   Date: Fri, 17 Jun 2011 12:03:00 -0400
   To: Holly Sparkman <hsparkman@roriesparkman.com>
   Cc: Don Kuykendall <kuykendall@stratfor.com>, Rob Bassetti
   <rob.bassetti@stratfor.com>, 'Dan Rorie' <drorie@roriesparkman.com>
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

   Don,

    

   Here is the flow chart and the closing checklist.

    

   My best days next week are Tuesday after 9 Texas time and Wednesday before
   11 Texas time.

    

   I am also attaching the information that I sent to Rob and Don on April 29
   regarding the information we need to gather to be able to list all the
   contracts that we are going to assign to the new operating LLC.  We also
   need this list in order to be able to review the contracts to determine
   whether we need to obtain the approval of any of our customers/etc., for
   the assignment of their contracts.  For example, I would bet that OSIS
   requires that it approve any assignment of its contract.

    

   Rob and Don, I don't know what work has been done on this list,  but we
   need to get on top of it ASAP.  Please let me know when you have something
   that you are ready to share.  Can we schedule a call at the end of next
   week on this, say Thursday afternoon at 3 Texas time?  Holly and Dan don't
   need to be on this call.

    

   Best,

    

   Steve

    

    

    

    

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

   In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
   given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
   used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
   tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
   party any transaction or matter addressed herein.

    

                             

   This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
   belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
   intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
   are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
   the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
   have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
   return e-mail, then delete the original message.

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 1:39 PM
   To: Feldhaus, Stephen
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   If the entity is wholly owned by Stratfor, it will get pulled into GAAP
   and IRS audits which is what we are trying to avoid.  Let's discuss
   further when we speak next.  Using Philmont may be an option.

    

   Agreed on the bigger concern.

    

   Holly Sparkman

   Rorie Sparkman & Associates LLC

   512-600-3212 t

   512-350-4736 m

   www.roriesparkman.com

    

   The information contained in this e-mail is confidential and may contain
   privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information.  If received in
   error, please destroy and notify sender.  Sender does not waive
   confidentiality or privilege, and use is prohibited.

    

    

   From: Feldhaus, Stephen [mailto:sf@feldhauslaw.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 12:35 PM
   To: Holly Sparkman
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Holly,

    

   More on the other items later, as I am tied up until after 3:30 or so
   today, and then only free until 4:00, but I wanted to reply about NEWCO. 
   My strong advice would be to try to form a disregarded entity wholly owned
   by Stratfor to make the payments.  We are doing that now with Philmont in
   the Bahamas for overseas payments.  We could even use Philmont for that
   matter.

    

   A bigger concern is to ensure that the recipients are in fact independent
   contractors and not employees, and also that we have a mechanism to ensure
   that we can show that these are not prohibited payments, for example,
   prohibited by the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act.

    

   Best,

    

   Steve

    

    

    

    

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

   In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
   given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
   used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
   tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
   party any transaction or matter addressed herein.

    

                             

   This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
   belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
   intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
   are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
   the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
   have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
   return e-mail, then delete the original message.

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 12:34 PM
   To: Feldhaus, Stephen
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Dear Steve:

    

   I thought I sent this email on Tuesday, but I'm not sure I ever hit the
   send button.

    

   Have you had the opportunity get on Robert Philpott's schedule for next
   week for a conference call with Dan Rorie to follow up on tax
   structure/issues (item 5 below)?  I think we discussed June 15, 16 or
   17th.  Dan and I are scheduled to meet Monday to prepare an agenda list.

    

   Also, please see attached write up per item 9 below for your review.  I
   believe Don and Rob have spoken to Meredith who is supportive of the
   concept. Realistically, the Newco could be owned by anyone (Don or George)
   who is a minority shareholder of the Inc or LLC to avoid common ownership
   for purposes of GAAP audit.  Dan mentioned, too that there was a Nevada
   corporation that was set up years ago for this purpose (Universal
   Analytics), however, by search on the Nevada Secretary of State site, that
   corporation has been dissolved.  Once the approved, we are happy to do the
   legwork internally since I know you have a lot on your plate right now.

    

   Please let us know if you have any questions or need assistance with
   meeting any of the proposed due dates below.

    

   Sincerely,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   512-350-4736

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, June 01, 2011 2:33 PM
   To: 'Stephen Feldhaus'
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Dear Steve:

    

   Below is a list of notes from last Thursday's conference call regarding
   more immediate pending items.    I took the liberty of suggesting internal
   \"due date\" for tasks below.  Please let me know if you have any questions,
   require further information, or wish to suggest a different due date.

    

   1)    Steve (June 10) to request copy of Certificate of Formation and IRS
   SS-4/EIN for new Delaware LLC, provide copy to Holly/Rob

   2)      Steve (June 10)  to provide flow chart view of new proposed entity
   structure

   3)      Steve (June 10) to provide closing task list for Aug 1, 12am close

   4)      Steve (June 10) to review missing data per shareholder spreadsheet
   provided and discussed last week (and attached for your convenience), upon
   Steve's review and updates, Rob to follow up on missing data

   a.       Missing Restricted Stock Agreements: 

                                                                  i.     
   Grant Perry

                                                                ii.      Jay
   Young

   b.      Series A documentation discrepancies

                                                                  i.     
   Fred (ck/cert)

                                                                ii.      Bart
   Mongoven (agreement/cert)

                                                               iii.     
   Van/Feldhaus (dates)

   c.       83(b) elections missing copies for 5 people

   d.      Series B documentation: various

   e.      Preferred Stock, do not have copies of certificates being issued

   5)      Steve (June 3) to schedule conference call with Robert Philpott
   for week of June 13th with Dan Rorie, Don, Rob and Holly to discuss tax
   considerations for all legal entities (related to recording transaction as
   well as go forward profit allocations, etc)  Dan/Holly to prepare list of
   topics for discussion by June 10th.

   6)      Holly (June 10)  to consult with Maxwell Locke & Ritter regarding
   GAAP issues for transaction recording and go-forward audit considerations

   7)      Holly/Rob (June 10) to provide outline of state jurisdiction
   issues including employees by state with broad job description and
   coordinate with Feldhaus/Philpott for new LLC registration/recommendations
   for appropriate states

   8)      Rob (June 10)  to clean up old State of Texas registrations

   9)      Holly (June 3) to provide write up for proposed new legal entity
   to handle anonymous source payment

   10)   Holly to update shareholder list to include following (done--see
   attached)

   a.       Correction for rounding error

   b.      Removal of restricted stock distinction

   c.       Change 75% voting list to 2/3 vote list

   11)   Rob/Holly (June 17) to review files for copies of old p/s tax
   returns and work with Don to restructure current tax basis for major
   shareholders (Don, George, Feldhaus, etc), note, Holly reviewed
   preliminarily with Dan Rorie, we have expectation that there was zero tax
   basis at time of 2003 LLC treated as partnership for Federal tax was
   merged/converted to C Corp.  To extent more money was put into C Corp in
   the form of equity, may be tax basis.

         12)  Rob (June 17) to handle opening new operating account with TCB
   for new legal entity once item (1) above is received, need account open
   and ready to receive funds prior to closing.

         13)  Holly/Rob (June 30) to ready new Quickbooks online account for
   new LLC for operations prior to closing.

          14)  Rob/Holly/Fernando (June 17) to provide master contracts
   schedule identifying any contract assignment issues for discussion the
   week of June 13.

    

   Thanks,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   Rorie Sparkman & Associates LLC

   1250 S. Capital of Texas Hwy

   Bldg 1, Suite 300

   Austin, TX  78746

   512-600-3212 t

   512-327-3411 f

   512-350-4736 m

   www.roriesparkman.com

    

   The information contained in this e-mail is confidential and may contain
   privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information.  If received in
   error, please destroy and notify sender.  Sender does not waive
   confidentiality or privilege, and use is prohibited.

    

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   No virus found in this message.
   Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
   Version: 10.0.1375 / Virus Database: 1511/3673 - Release Date: 06/01/11
","2011-06-17 21:16:18",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1409763_re-follow-up-from-teleconference-last-week-.html","kuykendall@stratfor.com","","sf@feldhauslaw.com,rob.bassetti@stratfor.com,hsparkman@roriesparkman.com,drorie@roriesparkman.com",""
1413968,"Departmental Reports
","","2011-10-20 22:08:39",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1413968_departmental-reports-.html","bassetti@stratfor.com","","kuykendall@stratfor.com,holly.sparkman@stratfor.com,fernando.jaimes@stratfor.com","attach/120/120577_511-Finance_HR, September 2011.pdf
attach/120/120579_514-IT, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120580_534-Customer Service, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120581_563-ADP, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120582_562-Strategic Intelligence, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120583_567-Multimedia, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120584_561-Op Center, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120585_564-Tactical Intelligence, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120586_566-Graphics, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120587_512-Austin Facilities, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120589_513-DC Facilities, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120590_533-Individual Sales, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120591_568-OSINT, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120592_531-Executive, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120593_535-Institutional Sales, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120595_841-International, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120596_565-Editors, 9_2011.pdf
attach/120/120636_000-All Departments Summary Sheet1.pdf"
1414158,"Re: ME1 pay increase
","   Does Don get these emails?  He should.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Rob Bassetti\" <bassetti@stratfor.com>
   To: \"payroll\" <payroll@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Monday, October 17, 2011 11:22:42 AM
   Subject: ME1 pay increase

   Just received word from Meredith to increase pay for ME1 to $6000 per
   month, half coded to current department, half coded to 570 (Stratcap).

   --
   Rob Bassetti
   STRATFOR
   Finance Department
   512-744-4081
   bassetti@stratfor.com
","2011-10-17 21:22:41",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1414158_re-me1-pay-increase-.html","holly.sparkman@stratfor.com","","bassetti@stratfor.com",""
1429763,"Client working list
","","2011-04-23 06:54:15",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1429763_client-working-list-.html","","","sf@feldhauslaw.com,Don.kuykendall@stratfor.com","attach/5/5728_image001.png
attach/37/37035_client list.xls"
1429826,"categories for clients
","","2010-11-27 17:52:32",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1429826_categories-for-clients-.html","","","kuykendall@stratfor.com,darryl.oconnor@stratfor.com,holly.sparkman@stratfor.com","attach/5/5728_image001.png
attach/122/122407_Client list.xls"
1458921,"RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week
","   Holly,

    

   I guess I don't understand the IRS and GAAP concerns.  It seems to me that
   we are going to have to account for these expenses in any event, so I
   don't how GAAP is relevant, and I would think that this structure makes us
   more, not less, susceptible to an IRS attack.  Let's discuss early next
   week.

    

   Best,

    

   Steve

    

    

    

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

   In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
   given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
   used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
   tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
   party any transaction or matter addressed herein.

    

                             

   This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
   belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
   intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
   are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
   the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
   have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
   return e-mail, then delete the original message.

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 1:39 PM
   To: Feldhaus, Stephen
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   If the entity is wholly owned by Stratfor, it will get pulled into GAAP
   and IRS audits which is what we are trying to avoid.  Let's discuss
   further when we speak next.  Using Philmont may be an option.

    

   Agreed on the bigger concern.

    

   Holly Sparkman

   Rorie Sparkman & Associates LLC

   512-600-3212 t

   512-350-4736 m

   www.roriesparkman.com

    

   The information contained in this e-mail is confidential and may contain
   privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information.  If received in
   error, please destroy and notify sender.  Sender does not waive
   confidentiality or privilege, and use is prohibited.

    

    

   From: Feldhaus, Stephen [mailto:sf@feldhauslaw.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 12:35 PM
   To: Holly Sparkman
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Holly,

    

   More on the other items later, as I am tied up until after 3:30 or so
   today, and then only free until 4:00, but I wanted to reply about NEWCO. 
   My strong advice would be to try to form a disregarded entity wholly owned
   by Stratfor to make the payments.  We are doing that now with Philmont in
   the Bahamas for overseas payments.  We could even use Philmont for that
   matter.

    

   A bigger concern is to ensure that the recipients are in fact independent
   contractors and not employees, and also that we have a mechanism to ensure
   that we can show that these are not prohibited payments, for example,
   prohibited by the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act.

    

   Best,

    

   Steve

    

    

    

    

                              CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE

   In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
   given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
   used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
   tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
   party any transaction or matter addressed herein.

    

                             

   This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
   belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
   intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
   are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
   disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
   the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
   have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
   return e-mail, then delete the original message.

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Friday, June 10, 2011 12:34 PM
   To: Feldhaus, Stephen
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: RE: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Dear Steve:

    

   I thought I sent this email on Tuesday, but I'm not sure I ever hit the
   send button.

    

   Have you had the opportunity get on Robert Philpott's schedule for next
   week for a conference call with Dan Rorie to follow up on tax
   structure/issues (item 5 below)?  I think we discussed June 15, 16 or
   17th.  Dan and I are scheduled to meet Monday to prepare an agenda list.

    

   Also, please see attached write up per item 9 below for your review.  I
   believe Don and Rob have spoken to Meredith who is supportive of the
   concept. Realistically, the Newco could be owned by anyone (Don or George)
   who is a minority shareholder of the Inc or LLC to avoid common ownership
   for purposes of GAAP audit.  Dan mentioned, too that there was a Nevada
   corporation that was set up years ago for this purpose (Universal
   Analytics), however, by search on the Nevada Secretary of State site, that
   corporation has been dissolved.  Once the approved, we are happy to do the
   legwork internally since I know you have a lot on your plate right now.

    

   Please let us know if you have any questions or need assistance with
   meeting any of the proposed due dates below.

    

   Sincerely,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   512-350-4736

    

   From: Holly Sparkman [mailto:hsparkman@roriesparkman.com]
   Sent: Wednesday, June 01, 2011 2:33 PM
   To: 'Stephen Feldhaus'
   Cc: 'Don Kuykendall'; 'Rob Bassetti'; 'Dan Rorie'
   Subject: Follow Up from teleconference last week

    

   Dear Steve:

    

   Below is a list of notes from last Thursday's conference call regarding
   more immediate pending items.    I took the liberty of suggesting internal
   \"due date\" for tasks below.  Please let me know if you have any questions,
   require further information, or wish to suggest a different due date.

    

   1)    Steve (June 10) to request copy of Certificate of Formation and IRS
   SS-4/EIN for new Delaware LLC, provide copy to Holly/Rob

   2)      Steve (June 10)  to provide flow chart view of new proposed entity
   structure

   3)      Steve (June 10) to provide closing task list for Aug 1, 12am close

   4)      Steve (June 10) to review missing data per shareholder spreadsheet
   provided and discussed last week (and attached for your convenience), upon
   Steve's review and updates, Rob to follow up on missing data

   a.       Missing Restricted Stock Agreements: 

                                                                  i.     
   Grant Perry

                                                                ii.      Jay
   Young

   b.      Series A documentation discrepancies

                                                                  i.     
   Fred (ck/cert)

                                                                ii.      Bart
   Mongoven (agreement/cert)

                                                               iii.     
   Van/Feldhaus (dates)

   c.       83(b) elections missing copies for 5 people

   d.      Series B documentation: various

   e.      Preferred Stock, do not have copies of certificates being issued

   5)      Steve (June 3) to schedule conference call with Robert Philpott
   for week of June 13th with Dan Rorie, Don, Rob and Holly to discuss tax
   considerations for all legal entities (related to recording transaction as
   well as go forward profit allocations, etc)  Dan/Holly to prepare list of
   topics for discussion by June 10th.

   6)      Holly (June 10)  to consult with Maxwell Locke & Ritter regarding
   GAAP issues for transaction recording and go-forward audit considerations

   7)      Holly/Rob (June 10) to provide outline of state jurisdiction
   issues including employees by state with broad job description and
   coordinate with Feldhaus/Philpott for new LLC registration/recommendations
   for appropriate states

   8)      Rob (June 10)  to clean up old State of Texas registrations

   9)      Holly (June 3) to provide write up for proposed new legal entity
   to handle anonymous source payment

   10)   Holly to update shareholder list to include following (done--see
   attached)

   a.       Correction for rounding error

   b.      Removal of restricted stock distinction

   c.       Change 75% voting list to 2/3 vote list

   11)   Rob/Holly (June 17) to review files for copies of old p/s tax
   returns and work with Don to restructure current tax basis for major
   shareholders (Don, George, Feldhaus, etc), note, Holly reviewed
   preliminarily with Dan Rorie, we have expectation that there was zero tax
   basis at time of 2003 LLC treated as partnership for Federal tax was
   merged/converted to C Corp.  To extent more money was put into C Corp in
   the form of equity, may be tax basis.

         12)  Rob (June 17) to handle opening new operating account with TCB
   for new legal entity once item (1) above is received, need account open
   and ready to receive funds prior to closing.

         13)  Holly/Rob (June 30) to ready new Quickbooks online account for
   new LLC for operations prior to closing.

          14)  Rob/Holly/Fernando (June 17) to provide master contracts
   schedule identifying any contract assignment issues for discussion the
   week of June 13.

    

   Thanks,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   Rorie Sparkman & Associates LLC

   1250 S. Capital of Texas Hwy

   Bldg 1, Suite 300

   Austin, TX  78746

   512-600-3212 t

   512-327-3411 f

   512-350-4736 m

   www.roriesparkman.com

    

   The information contained in this e-mail is confidential and may contain
   privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information.  If received in
   error, please destroy and notify sender.  Sender does not waive
   confidentiality or privilege, and use is prohibited.

    

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   No virus found in this message.
   Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
   Version: 10.0.1375 / Virus Database: 1511/3673 - Release Date: 06/01/11
","2011-06-10 19:41:29",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1458921_re-follow-up-from-teleconference-last-week-.html","sf@feldhauslaw.com","","kuykendall@stratfor.com,rob.bassetti@stratfor.com,hsparkman@roriesparkman.com,drorie@roriesparkman.com",""
1459746,"Fwd: New action item list
","   Hi Rob,

    

   Please keep on top of your deadlines below and let me know how I can
   help.  I'll plan for thorough review if needed when I return from
   vacation.

    

   Thanks,

   Holly

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Holly Sparkman\" <holly.sparkman@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Stephen Feldhaus\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>, \"Don Kuykendall\"
   <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Rob Bassetti\" <rob.bassetti@stratfor.com>, \"Dan Rorie\"
   <drorie@roriesparkman.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, July 5, 2011 9:31:20 AM
   Subject: Re: New action item list

   correction to the correction (sorry), I misunderstood.  It is recommended
   to escrow a total of $300k for prior tax obligations.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Holly Sparkman\" <holly.sparkman@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Stephen Feldhaus\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>, \"Don Kuykendall\"
   <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Rob Bassetti\" <rob.bassetti@stratfor.com>, \"Dan Rorie\"
   <drorie@roriesparkman.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, July 5, 2011 9:29:07 AM
   Subject: Re: New action item list

   correction to 1. below, per Dan and Don's discussions last week,
   recommended $150k tax escrow.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Holly Sparkman\" <holly.sparkman@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Stephen Feldhaus\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>, \"Don Kuykendall\"
   <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Rob Bassetti\" <rob.bassetti@stratfor.com>, \"Dan Rorie\"
   <drorie@roriesparkman.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, July 5, 2011 9:02:22 AM
   Subject: New action item list

   Good morning, Gentlemen:
    
   Below is an attempt at outlining the remaining action items for completion
   prior to deal close on July 31.  Please let me know if there is anything
   I've missed.  Rob and I are devoted to month-end close this week, so
   we've pushed deadlines to next week on other items we are responsible for.
    
   Holly
    
   Holly Sparkman
   512-350-4736
     
   NEW LIST:
    
   1.  Steve:  (July 8) Tax estimate resolution:  Currently estimating approx
   $127k to be escrowed for the payment of taxes.  I will recommend an
   additional 10% contigenency and recommend $140k be escrowed. 
   2.  Steve:  (July 8) 382 analysis feedback from Bobby.
   3. Steve:  (July 15) Pending approval for pursuing SS4/tax ID for Stratfor
   Enterprises LLC in order to open bank account and set up
   payroll/benefits/insurance contracts prior to deal close.  Received
   certificiate of formation for Stratfor Enterprises LLC and SM Stratfor
   Partners LLC. 
   4.  Steve:  (July 15) will need Cert of Formation for Newco #2 (to be
   distributed to Stratfor s/h) and Newco #3 (to hold interest in Stratcap)
   along with SS4/tax id #
   5. Rob:  (July 15) key man life insurance - new beneficiary form for
   George's policy
   6.  Rob:  (July 15) completion of files for closing, including client,
   vendor, and employee contracts needing assignment
   7.  Rob:  (July 15) commercial insurance transition as needed (add
   Stratfor Enterprises LLC, Newco #2 and Newco #3 to policies)
   8.  Letecia/Rob:  (July 15) paychex transition plan, health insurance and
   other benefits (401k, COBRA, other) contract transition as needed (add
   Stratfor Enterprises LLC to policies)
   9.  Steve/Rob (July 15) resolution of outstanding capital stock issues for
   Strategic Forecasting Inc.
   10.  Holly:  (July 15) follow up with Maxwell Locke & Ritter on any GAAP
   issues
   11. Steve/Rob (July 15) address multi-state jurisdiction issues
   for franchise, income and sales taxes and registration as needed for
   Stratfor Enterprises LLC
   12.  Holly: (July 31) prepare new online QB for Newco transition
   13.  Steve/Holly:  (July 15) address issues related to anonymous source
   payments
    
   From: Holly Sparkman <holly.sparkman@stratfor.com>
   Date: Thu, 16 Jun 2011 09:10:37 -0500 (CDT)
   To: Stephen Feldhaus <sf@feldhauslaw.com>, Don Kuykendall
   <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   Cc: Don Kuykendall <kuykendall@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Fwd: Follow Up from teleconference last week

   Hi Steve:

    

   I'm hoping we can speak with Philpott tomorrow while we have him on the
   phone about item 7 below. Will Bobby have an update for us per the list
   Rob sent previously regarding employees in states outside Texas and
   related nexus issues?

    

   Also, perhaps once we finish the tax and state jurisdiction overview with
   Bobby and Dan, we can stay on the line and provide updates on the other
   items listed below.  I've provided updates in red that I'm aware of.

    

   Thank you,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   512-350-4736

   -------- Original Message --------

   Subject: Follow Up from teleconference last week                           
      Date: Wed, 1 Jun 2011 14:33:22 -0500                                    
      From: Holly Sparkman <hsparkman@roriesparkman.com>                      
        To: 'Stephen Feldhaus' <sf@feldhauslaw.com>                           
        CC: 'Don Kuykendall' <kuykendall@stratfor.com>, 'Rob Bassetti'        
            <rob.bassetti@stratfor.com>, 'Dan Rorie'                          
            <drorie@roriesparkman.com>                                        

   Dear Steve:

    

   Below is a list of notes from last Thursdaya**s conference call regarding
   more immediate pending items.    I took the liberty of suggesting internal
   a**due datea** for tasks below.  Please let me know if you have any
   questions, require further information, or wish to suggest a different due
   date.

    

   1)    Steve (June 10) to request copy of Certificate of Formation and IRS
   SS-4/EIN for new Delaware LLC, provide copy to Holly/Rob PENDING

   2)      Steve (June 10)  to provide flow chart view of new proposed entity
   structure RECEIVED COPY FROM DON, ON AGENDA FOR TAX DISCUSSION

   3)      Steve (June 10) to provide closing task list for Aug 1, 12am close
   PENDING

   4)      Steve (June 10) to review missing data per shareholder spreadsheet
   provided and discussed last week (and attached for your convenience), upon
   Stevea**s review and updates, Rob to follow up on missing data PENDING

   a.       Missing Restricted Stock Agreements: 

                                                                  i.     
   Grant Perry

                                                                ii.      Jay
   Young

   b.      Series A documentation discrepancies

                                                                  i.     
   Fred (ck/cert)

                                                                ii.      Bart
   Mongoven (agreement/cert)

                                                               iii.     
   Van/Feldhaus (dates)

   c.       83(b) elections missing copies for 5 people

   d.      Series B documentation: various

   e.      Preferred Stock, do not have copies of certificates being issued

   5)      Steve (June 3) to schedule conference call with Robert Philpott
   for week of June 13th with Dan Rorie, Don, Rob and Holly to discuss tax
   considerations for all legal entities (related to recording transaction as
   well as go forward profit allocations, etc)  Dan/Holly to prepare list of
   topics for discussion by June 10th. SCHEDULED, AGENDA TO GO OUT BY 3PM CST
   TODAY

   6)      Holly (June 10)  to consult with Maxwell Locke & Ritter regarding
   GAAP issues for transaction recording and go-forward audit considerations
   DONE, MLR IN PROGRESS OF REVIEW, EXPECT FEEDBACK BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK

   7)      Holly/Rob (June 10) to provide outline of state jurisdiction
   issues including employees by state with broad job description and
   coordinate with Feldhaus/Philpott for new LLC registration/recommendations
   for appropriate states, ROB PROVIDED LIST, PENDING UPDATE FROM
   FELDHAUS/PHILPOTT

   8)      Rob (June 10)  to clean up old State of Texas registrations
   SUBSTANTIALLY DONE, A FEW LOOSE ENDS IN PROGRESS BY ROB

   9)      Holly (June 3) to provide write up for proposed new legal entity
   to handle anonymous source payment, HOLLY PROVIDED MEMO, NEEDS FURTHER
   DISCUSSION WITH STEVE AND ACTION

   10)   Holly to update shareholder list to include following (done--see
   attached)

   a.       Correction for rounding error

   b.      Removal of restricted stock distinction

   c.       Change 75% voting list to 2/3 vote list

   11)   Rob/Holly (June 17) to review files for copies of old p/s tax
   returns and work with Don to restructure current tax basis for major
   shareholders (Don, George, Feldhaus, etc), note, Holly reviewed
   preliminarily with Dan Rorie, we have expectation that there was zero tax
   basis at time of 2003 LLC treated as partnership for Federal tax was
   merged/converted to C Corp.  To extent more money was put into C Corp in
   the form of equity, may be tax basis. IN PROGRESS

         12)  Rob (June 17) to handle opening new operating account with TCB
   for new legal entity once item (1) above is received, need account open
   and ready to receive funds prior to closing. PENDING RECEIPT OF ITEM 1
   ABOVE

         13)  Holly/Rob (June 30) to ready new Quickbooks online account for
   new LLC for operations prior to closing. PENDING

          14)  Rob/Holly/Fernando (June 17) to provide master contracts
   schedule identifying any contract assignment issues for discussion the
   week of June 13. PENDING

    

   Thanks,

   Holly

    

   Holly Sparkman

   Rorie Sparkman & Associates LLC

   1250 S. Capital of Texas Hwy

   Bldg 1, Suite 300

   Austin, TX  78746

   512-600-3212 t

   512-327-3411 f

   512-350-4736 m

   www.roriesparkman.com

    

   The information contained in this e-mail is confidential and may contain
   privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information.  If received in
   error, please destroy and notify sender.  Sender does not waive
   confidentiality or privilege, and use is prohibited.

    

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   No virus found in this message.
   Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
   Version: 10.0.1375 / Virus Database: 1511/3673 - Release Date: 06/01/11
","2011-07-11 22:29:43",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1459746_fwd-new-action-item-list-.html","holly.sparkman@stratfor.com","","rob.bassetti@stratfor.com",""
1593553,"Re: [Fwd: RE: Mossad agent arrested over Dubai murder]
","I have VERY good information this was a contract job.  The mission was
contracted by the MOSSAD.  In essence, subbed out under contract.  The
last few hits have been subbed out.  I also have VERY good information
that the Iranian physicist hit was also a subbed out job.  More in
person at the T meeting Tuesday, can't put anything in writing.

Sean Noonan wrote:
> Ah, that makes more sense. That daily mail story was pretty sensationalized.
> 
> Looks like Melman is doing his job.  I enjoyed his article on the matter:
> 
> http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/germany-may-have-intentionally-leaked-alleged-mossad-man-s-arrest-1.295977
> 
> Fred Burton wrote:
>> No, I made no statement.  Forwarded Yossi the link to the story and that
>> was his response.
>>
>> Sean Noonan wrote:
>>   
>>> Was your statement that the arrest was over the Dubai murder? Brodsky is
>>> wanted for the passport issue.  The Sherrif of Dubai, Lt. Gen. Dhahi
>>> Khalfan Tamim (remember him?), has said they have no interest in the
>>> suspect unless directly linked to the murders themselves. 
>>>
>>> Fred Burton wrote:
>>>     
>>>> -------- Original Message --------
>>>> Subject: 	RE: Mossad agent arrested over Dubai murder
>>>> Date: 	Mon, 14 Jun 2010 08:44:02 +0300
>>>> From: 	Yossi Melman <Ymelman@haaretz.co.il>
>>>> To: 	Fred Burton <burton@stratfor.com>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Not true he was arrested by a request of germany and not dubai over the
>>>> obtaining a german passport deceptively which Was used in the murder/
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>   
>>>>       
>>> -- 
>>> Sean Noonan
>>> Tactical Analyst
>>> Mobile: +1 512-758-5967
>>> Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
>>> www.stratfor.com
>>>
>>>     
> 
> -- 
> Sean Noonan
> Tactical Analyst
> Mobile: +1 512-758-5967
> Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
> www.stratfor.com
> 
","2010-06-14 16:41:36",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1593553_re-fwd-re-mossad-agent-arrested-over-dubai-murder-.html","burton@stratfor.com","","sean.noonan@stratfor.com,tactical@stratfor.com",""
1644852,"INSIGHT - Guatemala - Elections in Guatemala
","Source Code: NONE
PUBLICATION: no
SOURCE DESCRIPTION:  Head of Governance for Defense Firm in Europe
SOURCE  RELIABILITY:  A
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 4
SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: Secure Only
SPECIAL HANDLING: Confidential - Please do not disseminate outside the 
Secure list
SOURCE HANDLER: Colby

in the context of the report on the presidential candidates family 
fleeing Peten - I maintain that the Coloms are collaborating with the 
Mexicans. They are from HueHue after all...
","2011-05-20 17:40:25",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1644852_insight-guatemala-elections-in-guatemala-.html","colby.martin@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
1681491,"Re: INSIGHT - France's change of heart
","   Can we confirm they are talking about Total? Don't forget the EDF and GDF
   deals with SouthStream, NorthStream respectively... Those deals happened
   pretty close to the Kouchner statement to be coincidence... It's just too
   much at the same time, it reeks of coordination.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>, \"Aaron Colvin\"
   <aaron.colvin@stratfor.com>, \"Secure List\" <secure@stratfor.com>, \"George
   Friedman\" <gfriedman@stratfor.com>, \"Eugene Chausovsky\"
   <eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com>, \"Catherine Durbin\"
   <catherine.durbin@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 11:02:07 AM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - France's change of heart

   Gotcha.

    

   From: Lauren Goodrich [mailto:goodrich@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 11:42 AM
   To: Kamran Bokhari
   Cc: 'Reva Bhalla'; 'Aaron Colvin'; 'Secure List'; 'George Friedman';
   'Eugene Chausovsky'; 'Catherine Durbin'
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - France's change of heart

    

   Monster = Total ... all the energy giants are called monsters in Russia,
   it is a joke that makes no sense

   Kamran Bokhari wrote:

   Monster= Sarko?

    

   From: Lauren Goodrich [mailto:goodrich@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 11:03 AM
   To: Reva Bhalla
   Cc: Aaron Colvin; Secure List; George Friedman; Eugene Chausovsky;
   Catherine Durbin
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - France's change of heart

    

   not yet

   Reva Bhalla wrote:

   but do we know what Russia did to pressure Total?

    

   On Sep 22, 2009, at 10:00 AM, Aaron Colvin wrote:

   **decided to keep my entire BB conversation on this, so you could see my
   questions.

   CODE: RU108
   PUBLICATION: yes
   ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in the Moscow
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: senior at Putina**s think-group
   SOURCES LEVEL: high
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
   DISSEMINATION: Secure, George, Eugene, Catherine
   SOURCE HANDLER: Lauren
    
   LG: The French seem to have a change of heart today in continuing their
   cheerleading of the sanctions. Know what changed their heart?
    
   RU108: They had some nice conversations this week.
    
   LG: Putin set them straight?
    
   RU108: Yes. And their own monster doesna**t want to be part of the US
   plans.
    
   LG: So Total also pressuring Sarko?
    
   RU108: We had a nice chat with them too. Yachts are good for that sort of
   thing.
    
   LG: Ah, got it. So ya**all got to both Paris and Total.
    
   RU108: It isna**t absolute. They want to be part of this moment. But they
   are not blindly following anymore.
    
   LG: So France is weighing all its options right now.
    
   RU108: Your leader has built a house of cards.
    
    
    
    

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com

    

    

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com

    

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1681491_re-insight-france-s-change-of-heart-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com,goodrich@stratfor.com,bokhari@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com,catherine.durbin@stratfor.com,eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com,aaron.colvin@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
1687728,"Re: INSIGHT - TURKMENISTAN - new daddy warbucks
","   Yeah, think about it... the financial \"groundwork\" does not in any way
   shape or form easily translate into military framework... You're talking
   about Russia's soft underbelly. If this was Africa, or Latin America, or
   some equally distant place where the Beijing and Moscow were starting off
   on the same level, I would agree with you Reva.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Rodger Baker\" <rbaker@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Cc: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Lauren Goodrich\"
   <goodrich@stratfor.com>, \"Secure List\" <secure@stratfor.com>, \"Eugene
   Chausovsky\" <eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, June 23, 2009 11:19:42 AM GMT -05:00 Colombia
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - TURKMENISTAN - new daddy warbucks

   its gonna take a hell of a paradigm shift for the chinese to deploy troops
   into central asia to take on the russians. 
   On Jun 23, 2009, at 11:16 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

     if China lays the financial groundwork now in Central Asia, what stops
     Beijing from raising that to a military level down the line?   Would it
     necessarily be deterred by the Russians every time?
     On Jun 23, 2009, at 11:15 AM, Marko Papic wrote:

       Again though, Russia feels that it can... on a long enough of a
       timeline... overcome any Chinese influence built up by loans to the
       region. I am not saying that this PoV is going to prove correct for
       Russia, just that this is how Russia thinks. 

       Therefore, how is this latest Chinese loan any different from Chinese
       presence in the region in the past 5 years. Russia has allowed all of
       it to come to pass because they feel they can swoop in and reap the
       benefits at a later point when the investments bear fruits. 

       The question there is whether that is the point when Russia and China
       start having some real beef... whether such conflict is \"built-in\" by
       the Russian attitude right now. But that is an alltogether different
       question. 

       ----- Original Message -----
       From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
       To: \"Rodger Baker\" <rbaker@stratfor.com>
       Cc: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Lauren Goodrich\"
       <goodrich@stratfor.com>, \"Secure List\" <secure@stratfor.com>, \"Eugene
       Chausovsky\" <eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com>
       Sent: Tuesday, June 23, 2009 11:10:37 AM GMT -05:00 Colombia
       Subject: Re: INSIGHT - TURKMENISTAN - new daddy warbucks

       I asked the same thing. Lauren said separate. and turkmenistan isn't
       in SCO
       On Jun 23, 2009, at 11:09 AM, Rodger Baker wrote:

         china was never harmless, though, which is what I was saying. But
         russia would allow China to play around because eventually perhaps
         Russia still has the upper hand in influence, and can gain more
         control over assets in region. That said, China is making numerous
         cash offers - do we know, for example, if this loan is under the
         recent deal China announced at SCO or separate? 
         But what will russia do in return? it aint gonna attack china. it
         did (again) delay its pipeline in the north to China. 
         On Jun 23, 2009, at 11:07 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

           it's thrown money, but we're in a slightly different context now.
           The region is getting hammered by the financial crisis and Russia
           has gone out of its way to screw turkmenistan. Then here comes
           China to the rescue.
           that's not very harmless from moscow's PoV, at least in my mind
           On Jun 23, 2009, at 10:56 AM, Rodger Baker wrote:

             Careful?
             China has thrown money after central asia. it is only careful in
             that it doesnt send troops like russia does. 
             On Jun 23, 2009, at 10:52 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

               now how does this balance out with Russian security guarantees
               for the Central Asians?
               China has always been very careful in treading on Moscow's
               turf. Isn't this the kind of thing that would escalate
               tensions?
               On Jun 23, 2009, at 10:49 AM, Marko Papic wrote:

                 Nice, the Chinese are a real alternative to BOTH IMF and
                 Russia... plus they have more money essentially than both. 

                 Eugene, take note of this situation... Good to maybe mention
                 in the overall Russian loan piece. 

                 ----- Original Message -----
                 From: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                 To: \"Secure List\" <secure@stratfor.com>, \"Eugene Chausovsky\"
                 <eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com>
                 Sent: Tuesday, June 23, 2009 10:24:02 AM GMT -05:00 Colombia
                 Subject: INSIGHT - TURKMENISTAN - new daddy warbucks

                 I literally and accidentally ran into the Turkmen energy
                 minister in the swimming pool today while we were both doing
                 lapsa*| we got to talking on the side of the pool. (no code
                 bc he won't be a regular source of course)
                   
                 We started off lightly talking about who is getting projects
                 in the country with him confirming Russia snagging a lot of
                 the infrastructure, but that China is getting some very real
                 projects like South Yolotan field which he says holds 6 tcm
                 (which would make it one of the top 5 deposits in the
                 world). China will pay $3 billion for it. 
                   
                 Then I brought up the continued Russian cut-off of natural
                 gas. He said that hea**ll return to Ashgabat on Thursday
                 where hea**ll be in meetings with Beredimukhammedov and
                 Zubkov(who is pretty much in charge of Russo-Turkmen
                 relations for the Kremlin now). Zubkov is already in
                 Ashgabat and is planning on staying a**as long as needed to
                 get things sorteda** with the Turkmen. 
                   
                 I asked if thing could get sorted with Russia in a hell of a
                 position and not budging yet. He said he did not know but
                 that when he talked to Berdimukhammedov about the Russians
                 that the prez was a**furiousa** at Russiaa**s gall to treat
                 them this way. 
                   
                 I then very uncomfortably brought up the fact that theya**re
                 losing a billion a month and that this could potentially
                 bankrupt their country. He smiled really big and said that
                 they would be just fine. That their situation looked
                 terrible this past month. Turkmen FM Meredov had gone and
                 talked to the Europeans a few weeks ago to see if they had
                 any solutions (meaning IMF loans, etc.), but that they were
                 no help at all. 
                   
                 So Meredov went to China last week striking the Yolotan
                 deal, but also another deal in which China would a**loana**
                 Turkemenistan $3-5 billion. The terms have not been
                 finalized, but China said they could get them the cash
                 quickly, which is what Ashgabat needs.
                 -- 
                 Lauren Goodrich
                 Director of Analysis
                 Senior Eurasia Analyst
                 STRATFOR
                 T: 512.744.4311
                 F: 512.744.4334
                 lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                 www.stratfor.com
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1687728_re-insight-turkmenistan-new-daddy-warbucks-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","rbaker@stratfor.com,goodrich@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com,eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
1697484,"Some random thoughts about training
","   Hi Rodger,

   Here are some thoughts on training... just random musing that you said you
   wanted to download from me. These come from my experience both as an
   intern, junior analyst, analyst and as intern coordiator.

   First, I really think it is absolutely crucial that when it comes to
   training, we have senior analyst VERY visibly in charge of the process.
   Sure the administrative work of running the intern program is something
   the junior staff can do, but for training to be successful, there has to
   be sufficient authority behind it.

   Some thoughts on STRATFOR culture:

   1. First on this list is that I think we need to make it clear that saying
   \"I don't know... I need to find out\" is perfectly fine. This is not clear
   to interns. Discussions on the analyst list and in person often devolve
   into analysts doing intellectual gymnastics to prove they have an opinion
   or knowledge on everything going on. This is not productive as it is
   simply impossible to know everything. I have honestly heard analyst say \"I
   don't know\" maybe 5 times in my 2.5 years here. This seeps into interns
   who then think they need to pretend to know everything to get hired. Not
   good.

   2. We can be very mean/aggressive/bitchy at each othe when discussing
   work, especially when we feel we are stepping into each other's AORs
   (which is funny, since G says this is the main downfall of the CIA). This
   has a different effect on different people. For example, it makes some
   recruits think they can act the same way (think Aaron Moore). Second,
   there is this FANTASY (note: F A N T A S Y) that STRATFOR is a place where
   young, brilliant, ambitious people get together, rip each other apart, and
   then come up with an idea/analysis that is the sum of the parts. In
   reality, STRATFOR is divided between those who can yell and those who are
   yelled at. This is VERY clear to everyone on the junior staff. What
   happens is two things: a) junior analysts/interns/recruits decide to fight
   back and incur the wrath of senior staff and labeled as
   inflexible/un-trainable or b) junior analysts/interns/recruits decide that
   it is much easier to not fight back and become \"yes men\". Neither is what
   we want. We need to make it clear that at some point discussion STOPS. We
   are a BUSINESS. We do not have the luxury of academia or government to
   endlessly bullshit. BUT, this does not mean that we need to do it in an
   aggressive manner. And besides, if one needs to raise their voice to
   exercise authority, then they have already lost it (isn't that like a
   Confucius quote or something?)

   3. Analysts have to be more relaxed on being challenged. I think it may be
   good to start building some sort of a routinized criticism sessions, if
   for nothing else than to develop a culture of being able to take
   criticism. We are not going to be able to criticize ourselves (truly) if
   we don't accept criticism from others. So maybe some sort of a Maoist
   session where one analyst's analysis is destroyed could be a good
   exercise. I don't know...

   4. I think we are getting sloppy and we are starting to lose our drive to
   research things in depth. We are simply covering too much with too few
   people and our daily output, considering staffing, is making it impossible
   to be more thorough. How do we fix this? We talked about this... I don't
   know. But we are NOT doing a good job balancing daily \"for today\" with
   long term work.

   Here's an idea to resolve this problem. One of the qualities that ALL of
   our analysts should have (even regional) is situational awareness of the
   entire globe. That means that it would do good for Kamran, Matt or shit
   even YOU to write an analysis on Zimbabwe. Plus its kind of fun. PLUS, it
   gets different analysts working with different analysts (so for example
   instead of you working with me on ONE analysis in 2.5 years, you get to
   see my work on more opportunities).

   So think if Mark had to tell you what he wanted written for today's Zimb
   piece and what he wanted researched. Or if he told me. Or if I told Mark
   what I wanted for a Romania analysis. Now you have different analysts
   helping out on for today tasks on different AORs. Makes them much more
   involved... They start making connections on how different AORs operate,
   unearthing patterns that could help them in forecasting their own AOR

   Why am I suggesting this?

   Because maybe we can assign \"long-term project\" days. So an analyst would
   work intensely on FOR TODAY for 3 or 4 days of the week and the other 1-2
   days he/she would be either working on monographs or doing that
   \"INTELLIGENCE\" work you were telling me about this afternoon... you know,
   when you can actually mull about long-term changes and trends and pour
   over data to unearth anomalies. If I can just walk Mark or Karen through
   the Romania analysis in the am, and then \"red team\" it by making sure it
   is up to my liking, I can concentrate the rest of the day on long term
   stuff and not worry about putting out fires. And then next day I help
   Karen or Mark with their AOR, giving THEM time to do long term and
   expanding my horizons.

   Ok, I just bored you to death.
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1697484_some-random-thoughts-about-training-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","rodger.baker@stratfor.com",""
1717932,"Re: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)
","   Wow... Putin is letting it go both ways then.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Secure List\" <secure@stratfor.com>, \"George Friedman\"
   <gfriedman@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Monday, December 21, 2009 1:01:49 PM GMT -06:00 Central America
   Subject: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)

   CODE: RU101
   PUBLICATION:  checking
   ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in the Kremlin
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION:  The Prosecutor General
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1
   HANDLER: Lauren
    
   The past few weeks have been particularly difficult between the clans.
    
   Surkov/Medvedev tandem has purge a slew of people from
   Sechin/Patrusheva**s clan. 21 officials from the Interior Ministry, 5 FSB
   Generals in the Defense Ministry and Moscowa**s police chief Pronin have
   all been purged.
    
   In response, Sechin/Patrusheva**s group has decided that they need to come
   after me and my groupa**the Prosecutor Generala**s office. They have used
   their foot soldier, Alexander Bastrykin, in the Investigative Committee to
   launch a purge within my office. Bastrykin vows to not be owned by Sechin,
   though I have never believed this and now my proof is here. Thus far they
   have gotten fired the head of my Investigative Committee, Anatoli
   Bagmeta**who was critical to aiding me in my work inside our
   investigations against the Siloviki. Bastrykin is planning on firing the
   heads of the regional Investigative Committees as well, 12 in all.
    
   The problem is that Sechin/Patrushev want to come after me (Chaika), but
   Surkov will not allow such a move. What I have been told is that Putin has
   laid ground rules on how far each clan can go to  purge the other. For
   example, Surkova**s request to have Interior Minister Nurgaliyev sacked
   was quickly nixed by Putin. Now that Sechina**s move to get me fired has
   also been shielded from above. So instead there are a lot of purges
   happening on the second tier, like these in the past few weeks.
   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1717932_re-insight-russia-latest-in-clan-wars-protect-for-now-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","goodrich@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
1720327,"New-tern Info...
","","2009-05-11 22:15:18",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1720327_new-tern-info-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","marko.papic@stratfor.com,robert.reinfrank@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126614_Team Eurasia 090302.xls
attach/126/126615_READING LIST.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc"
1727162,"Re: INSIGHT - SWEDEN: Carl Bildt
","   Hey Aaric,

   That sounds good... That was just two days (really day and a half) in
   Strasbourg as well. 

   I am back on November 6th. So let's plan to sit down and mull after that.

   Cheers,

   Marko

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: \"Aaric Eisenstein\" <eisenstein@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2009 9:29:26 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT - SWEDEN: Carl Bildt

   If you're up at 4, you're insane.  I'll make the introductions when you're
   back.  When's that?
    
   You're getting some amazing shit over there, just amazing.  I want to sit
   down with you when you get back and plot and scheme on how we can turn it
   into cash.
    
   Later,
    
   AA
    
   Aaric S. Eisenstein
   SVP Publishing
   STRATFOR
   512-744-4308
   512-744-4334 fax
   aaric.eisenstein@stratfor.com
   Follow us on http://Twitter.com/stratfor
    

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Marko Papic [mailto:marko.papic@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2009 8:58 PM
   To: eisenstein@stratfor.com
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - SWEDEN: Carl Bildt
   But I don't know who Grant Perry is... or do I? It's 4am here so I may be
   completely insane.

   ----- Original Message -----
   From: eisenstein@stratfor.com
   To: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2009 8:56:11 PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
   Subject: Re: INSIGHT - SWEDEN: Carl Bildt

   Believe grant Perry knows Bildt. Check with Grant if you need

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Sep 17, 2009, at 7:30 PM, Marko Papic <marko.papic@stratfor.com> wrote:

     SOURCE CODE: SW501 (SW501 is a very well connected Swedish MEP with
     extremely close links to both the FM Carl Bildt -- his closest ally
     basically -- and the Balkans).
     PUBLICATION: No
     ATTRIBUTION:
     SOURCE RELIABILITY: NA
     ITEM CREDIBILITY: NA
     SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION:
     SPECIAL HANDLING: Secure
     SOURCE HANDLER: Marko

     I got a lot of info on Carl Bildt. Our Swedish MEP contact is basically
     his main ally. Bildt is apparently super tall, has photographic memory
     and is very smart. He has a very rocky relationship with the current
     Prime Minister because Reinfeldt was the youth leader of the Moderate
     Party when Bildt was the Prime Minister briefly and the two did not get
     along.

     Bildt believes that Sweden should become a world power. He talks a lot
     about the traditional sphere of Swedish influence in the Baltic (sort of
     like our monograph). From his experiences in the Balkans he has decided
     that he does not like Croats and Albanians.

     He is also very critical of Russia. He called Putin a \"chetnik\" in the
     middle of a meeting with an MEP group. He is essentially a personna non
     grata in Moscow. He is also at odds with Sarkozy because before Sweden
     received its EU Presidency he essentially told the French not to pull
     the same stuff they did with Czech Republic.

     He is very involved with enlargement. Sweden sees enlargement as a way
     to break the German-Frenc stranglehold on the EU. His personal goal is
     to see every Balkan state make one step forward towards accession during
     his premiership.

     I did meet his wife, who is also an MEP in the Parliament. She is
     apparently Italian and does not speak really good Swedish, so she
     couldn't get into the Swedish parliament. Instead, she campaigned for
     the European and got in.
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1727162_re-insight-sweden-carl-bildt-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","eisenstein@stratfor.com",""
1739377,"[Eurasia] [Fwd: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Iskander Missile]
","   Just to remind everyone about the Iskander info from December.

   -------- Original Message --------

   Subject: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Iskander Missile                               
      Date: Sun, 13 Dec 2009 15:33:19 -0600                                   
      From: Lauren Goodrich <goodrich@stratfor.com>                           
        To: 'Secure List' <secure@stratfor.com>, George Friedman              
            <gfriedman@stratfor.com>                                          

   CODE: RU153
   PUBLICATION:  yes
   ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR sources Moscow
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION:  Russia's Defense Council (group of defense
   specialists from Ministry, Militaries & GRU) that report to Puty
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: 2
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: high
   HANDLER: Lauren

   The Iskandar is of great use to Russia and much focus. It has been highly
   successful both technologically and strategically. They consider the
   Iskander the most effective and deadly nonstrategic (and even perhaps
   strategic) ballistic missile in existence.
    
   It is better than the Oka, which worried the US so much because of its
   accuracy. But the Iskander is considered so much better. INF wiped out the
   Oka, but the Iskander falls underneath the INF-for now. The Oka was/is to
   replace the Elbrus, Tochka and Tockka-U and now the Iskandar replaces them
   both, but with a new and more modern highly accurate propellant of a
   short-range ballistic missile with a range of 500 km. Its accuracy is now
   averaging of 10 meters or better. Its high velocity allows the missile to
   penetrate antimissile defenses. It can fly low and make evasive maneuvers
   in order to prevent interception by surface air missiles. It has
   conventional warhead options and more recently Russia has been toying with
   adding a nuclear warhead (but not officially).
    
   There are two types of Iskanders. The 9K723 Iskander-M that is now
   deployed in Russia and the 9K720 Iskander-E that is for export. The
   former's range is of 450-500 km and the latter is of 280 km because of the
   MTCR limits.
    
   [he went on about the delivery vehicles with a ton of technical jargon I
   am  too tired to translate, but will if you're interested].
    
   Each Iskander operational battalions has two TEL reload vehicles, two
   command and control vehicles and a crew. Russia has created missile
   brigades for each system-this is new for Russia. (Each brigade ideally-in
   the future-- will have 3 missile battalions, with 12 TELs and 12
   transporter-load vehicles with a total of 48 ballistic missiles).
    
   The state tests for Iskander were done in 2004 and the batallions were
   formed and put into service by the end of 2007.
    
   Now the developers of the Iskander system are toying with further
   development of its warfighting capabilities, including the integration of
   the high-precision R-500 subsonic cruise missile. The R-500 is a more
   conventional version of the old Soviet 3M10 long-range cruise missile with
   a range of 2600 km, which was put on the Russian nuclear attack subs.
   These were eliminated also under INF-for now. This testing will be wrapped
   up by the end of 2009, since it has been successful thus far. After that
   it is a political decision in whether to put it into service, though 6
   missles with the R-500s are already ready to be implemented. 
    
   So at present everything that Russia has \"implemented\" falls under INF-but
   that seems to be a short time issue at present, which is why Russia is
   playing with the options.
    
   By the time 2015 rolls around, 60 Iskanders will have been produced and
   implemented.
    
   There are already 5 Iskander Missile Brigades in service and stationed
   across Russia.
   26th - Luga, near St. Petersburg (in training and implementation stage)
   92nd - in Kamenka, near Penza/Volga-Urals (done with training and
   implementation)
   103rd - in Ulan-Ude, in Siberia (in training and implementation stage)
   107th in Semistochni, near Birobidzhan/Far East (done with training and
   almost done with implementation)
   114th in Znamensk, near Astrakhan in the Northern Caucasus. (in training
   and implementation stage)
    
   These are the brigades that did have the Tochka and Tochka-U. The 92nd and
   107th were the first to get it and the 26th, 103rd and 114th are still
   currently being implemented and trained but should be completed by the end
   of 2011.
    
   Note that this does not include a Brigade in Kaliningrad, the two from
   Moscow district or the other Northern Caucasus brigades. These will have
   to wait until after the first 5 brigades are ready, trained and
   implemented. Also, the Kaliningrad decision is highly political, since it
   could reach into Germany or take out any American bmd system. If the R-500
   system were ever implemented, it would be able to take out targets all
   across Europe with highly precise accuracy-again, a political decision.
    
   The 630th Iskander Brigade - which trains the other Brigades - took part
   in the Russia-Georgia war. [LG: he wouldn't go further into how the
   Iskander was or the other missiles the Brigade uses were used in the
   war..... but I had heard of Iskanders possibly used against Georgian tank
   battalions in Gori, but never heard confirmation of such.... This seems
   like partial confirmation to me]. 
   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   Stratfor
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2010-08-11 20:11:55",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1739377_-eurasia-fwd-insight-russia-iskander-missile-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","mailto:eurasia@stratfor.com","scott.stewart@stratfor.com,eurasia@stratfor.com,military@stratfor.com",""
1808255,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   At least 20 camps? Pretty impressive. That's more than I've seen in OS,
   where so far all they've been focusing on is the Guasdalito camp where
   Cubillas was allegedly at, but it's quite possible all those former
   etarras are spread out all over the place. I would he's a lot more open
   about heaping criticisms on Chavez since I heard him speak at Trinity back
   in 2004, where he referred to him as \"an interesting man.\" My brother has
   a picture of himself with Aznar at that event. Every time I look at it I
   really do think, it's always his hair that I notice.....

   -----------------
   Reginald Thompson

   Cell: (011) 504 8990-7741

   OSINT
   Stratfor

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 2010 5:26:21 PM
   Subject: Former Spanish PM Azner

   Wow, SeA+-or presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the  
   Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all  
   terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat  
   them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists  
   and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He  
   attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their  
   larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz  
   is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says  
   poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid  
   policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time  
   buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt  
   encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they  
   can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to Spanish-
   speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams are in  
   the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela and  
   ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

   Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the  
   personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is  
   embarassed by his loss)

   Also, great hair.

   Sent from my iPhone
","2010-11-17 00:35:40",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1808255_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","reginald.thompson@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1814928,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   Yes, awesome hair.

   Also, I don't think he is ideological or necessarily hardline. I would
   argue that about half of all Spaniards definitely agree with him. The
   problem with Spain is that half of the country is worried about external
   threats coming over from North Africa and the other half thinks that the
   biggest threat is Madrid.

   On 11/16/10 4:26 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

     Wow, Senor presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the
     Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all
     terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat
     them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists
     and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He
     attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their
     larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz
     is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says
     poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid
     policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time
     buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt
     encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they
     can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to
     Spanish-speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams
     are in the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela
     and ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

     Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the
     personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is embarassed
     by his loss)

     Also, great hair.

     Sent from my iPhone

   --

   - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

   Marko Papic

   Geopol Analyst - Eurasia

   STRATFOR

   700 Lavaca Street - 900

   Austin, Texas

   78701 USA

   P: + 1-512-744-4094

   marko.papic@stratfor.com
","2010-11-17 00:31:32",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1814928_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","marko.papic@stratfor.com","","analysts@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com",""
1815209,"Re: Former Spanish PM Azner
","   Haha, I'm glad you noticed those gorgeous locks as well
   Aznar could have been exaggerating the ETA in VZ stuff, but who knows

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Nov 16, 2010, at 6:35 PM, Reginald Thompson
   <reginald.thompson@stratfor.com> wrote:

     At least 20 camps? Pretty impressive. That's more than I've seen in OS,
     where so far all they've been focusing on is the Guasdalito camp where
     Cubillas was allegedly at, but it's quite possible all those former
     etarras are spread out all over the place. I would he's a lot more open
     about heaping criticisms on Chavez since I heard him speak at Trinity
     back in 2004, where he referred to him as \"an interesting man.\" My
     brother has a picture of himself with Aznar at that event. Every time I
     look at it I really do think, it's always his hair that I notice.....

     -----------------
     Reginald Thompson

     Cell: (011) 504 8990-7741

     OSINT
     Stratfor

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
     To: \"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Tuesday, November 16, 2010 5:26:21 PM
     Subject: Former Spanish PM Azner

     Wow, SeA+-or presidente is hardcore.. Way more extreme than even the  
     Israeli officials I've heard speak. He honestly believes that all  
     terrorists are the same and that nothing short of total war can defeat  
     them. He is adamantly against any kind of negotiation with terrorists  
     and criticizes France, Germany and others heavily in this regard. He  
     attributes French and German \"weakness\" on counterterrorism to their  
     larger Muslim populations. He said OBL's statement on retaking Andaluz  
     is all he heard and the Germans and French just didn't get it. He says  
     poverty has zero connection to terrorism and that developmental aid  
     policies are useless. On ETA, he said the ceasefires are just time  
     buying measures, nothing more. In Catalonia he says the regional govt  
     encourages Muslim immigration from Pakistan, Algeria, etc because they  
     can more easily linguistically integrate them as opposed to Spanish-
     speaking immigrants. This is also where the most radical imams are in  
     the country. He also said ETA has at least 20 camps in Venezuela and  
     ggat farc and eta work with each other in training l, weapons, etc.

     Overall, he's very ideological and hardline. Good reminder of the  
     personal role in poltics (though he also paid for that and is  
     embarassed by his loss)

     Also, great hair.

     Sent from my iPhone
","2010-11-17 00:44:52",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1815209_re-former-spanish-pm-azner-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1824461,"Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
","   he is impeccably dressed. the most beautiful hair... so silky and shiny! i
   might ask him what shampoo he uses
   On Nov 16, 2010, at 3:41 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

     Como se dice \"Movember\" en espanol?

     <moz-screenshot-68.png>

     On 11/16/10 3:33 PM, Sean Noonan wrote:

       Uh, how about a party for stratfor in his (or one of his friends')
       mediterranean villa?

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: Michael Wilson <michael.wilson@stratfor.com>
       Sender: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com
       Date: Tue, 16 Nov 2010 15:32:32 -0600
       To: Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com>
       ReplyTo: Analyst List <analysts@stratfor.com>
       Subject: Re: anybody have questions for former Spanish PM Aznar
       can i crash on his couch?

       On 11/16/10 3:26 PM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

         can you just tell him \"good call on blaming ETA\" for me?

         On 11/16/10 3:18 PM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

           he's teaching our class today

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com
","2010-11-16 22:44:36",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1824461_re-anybody-have-questions-for-former-spanish-pm-aznar-.html","reva.bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
1891085,"Re: [CT] INSIGHT - Mexico - ICE Hit - US706
","   Here is a recap of insight from Fred's fed LE contacts that we drafted
   this morning. Fred suggests we take out some specifics if we write on it
   for the website though, like specific reference to Subway so we don't get
   his sources in trouble. 

   According to STRATFOR sources with knowledge of the investigation and
   details surrounding the attack, the working theory behind the attack
   against the two ICE agents was that they were the target of a \"hit\"
   sanctioned by the top ranks of the Los Zetas cartel. Originally it was
   thought that the men were targeted because they were driving in (according
   to sources) a high-profile, fully-armored navy blue Suburban SUV, a valued
   commodity amongst cartel members. 

   While a carjacking may have been the original intent once the vehicle was
   first spotted, according to STRATFOR sources, the two agents stopped for
   lunch at a Subway fast-food restaurant along the route before the
   incident. While the distance between the restaurant and the roadblock
   where the shooting took place is not yet known, it is possible that
   stopping while in route from Mexico City to Monterrey may have led to them
   to be identified as U.S. law enforcement and provided time for Zetas
   associates to put an operation in place to target the two agents at the
   roadblock (we believe a rolling roadblock) along Hwy 57.  This is
   especially possible since according to sources, the vehicle they were
   driving had diplomatic mission license plates. As the agents stopped (or
   were forced/boxed in) at the roadblock (which they thought was that of the
   military), it would be difficult for the gunmen not to have noticed the
   specialized plates indicating the vehicle as that of U.S. federal law
   enforcement.   There is a specific two-letter code issued on license
   plates to federal agents inside Mexico.

   As the ICE agent who survived begins to provide more details, the tactical
   operation and motive of the attack will become clearer. Still, we are left
   with the question of why the gunmen did not kill both men, not leaving any
   witnesses if they did know the two men were U.S. agents. However, this
   insight from well-placed U.S. federal security sources indicates that the
   agents may have been targeted because of their status as U.S. federal
   agents, a possibility which we are continuing to explore.
   On 2/17/11 2:56 PM, scott stewart wrote:

     I'm open to it.

      

     What it the evidence that points us in that direction?

      

      

      

     From: ct-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:ct-bounces@stratfor.com] On Behalf
     Of Sean Noonan
     Sent: Thursday, February 17, 2011 2:33 PM
     To: CT AOR
     Subject: Re: [CT] INSIGHT - Mexico - ICE Hit - US706

      

     readers and sources seem pretty critical of our point that it was a
     carjacking.  I wouldn't know, but should we reevaluate?

     On 2/17/11 11:30 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

 Its not the federal working theory however.

  

 Scott Stewart wrote:

 That is one of the points I made yesterday..

  

 ------------------------------------------------------------------------

 *From: *\"Michael Wilson\" <michael.wilson@stratfor.com>

 *To: *\"Analyst List\" <analysts@stratfor.com>

 *Sent: *Thursday, February 17, 2011 11:19:26 AM

 *Subject: *INSIGHT - Mexico - ICE Hit - US706

  

  

  

 Source Code: US706

 ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR security source

 SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Investigative journalist close to Mexican DTOs

 SOURCE  RELIABILITY:  B

 ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2

 SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION:  analysts

 SOURCE HANDLER: Fred

  

  

 Reports from FOX are claiming that the ICE agents were the intended

 targets..... I find it hard to believe that the attack was

 premeditated---the Zetas don't often leave living witnesses...

  

  

  

      

     --

     Sean Noonan

     Tactical Analyst

     Office: +1 512-279-9479

     Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

     Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

     www.stratfor.com
","2011-02-17 23:17:21",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1891085_re-ct-insight-mexico-ice-hit-us706-.html","zucha@stratfor.com","mailto:ct@stratfor.com","scott.stewart@stratfor.com,ct@stratfor.com",""
1966214,"INDIA/CT - Bhopal gas leak convictions not enough, say campaigners
","            Bhopal gas leak convictions not enough, say campaigners

   http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/south_asia/10260109.stm
   Monday, 7 June 2010 19:29 UK

   Convictions over a gas plant leak that killed thousands of people in 1984
   in the Indian city of Bhopal have been heavily criticised by campaigners.

   Amnesty International described the two-year sentences for eight people as
   \"too little, too late\".

   The convictions are the first since the disaster at the Union Carbide
   plant - the world's worst industrial accident.

   The eight Indians, all former plant employees, were convicted of \"death by
   negligence\".

   One was convicted posthumously. The others are expected to appeal.

   Nityanand Jayaraman, of the International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal
   campaign group, told the BBC the punishment imposed on Union Carbide was
   wholly inadequate.

   \"I share the Bhopalis' sense of outrage and betrayal,\" he said.

   \"I feel that it portends ill for the country that industrialists and
   corporations are being told that they can actually get away with murder,
   and today's verdict is essentially that - a signal that [after] the
   world's worst industrial disaster, the people who were accused of that are
   just being let off with a rap on the knuckles.\"

   Satinath Sarangi, an activist also campaigning on behalf of Bhopal
   victims, told the BBC that justice would not be done until US executives
   from Union Carbide at the time of the incident - including the company's
   former head, Warren Anderson - were brought to India to face justice.

   \"This is not the justice that we have been waiting for, because the
   principal accused - Warren Anderson, Union Carbide corporation USA - are
   not here,\" he said.

   \"The charges that have been [laid] on the Indian accused have essentially
   been the charges that you would put for a traffic accident. This is indeed
   a very sad day for us.\"

   Forty tonnes of a toxin called methyl isocyanate leaked from the pesticide
   factory and settled over slums in Bhopal on 3 December 1984.

   Official figures show at least 3,000 people died at the time and as many
   as 15,000 have died since.

   Campaigners put the death toll as high as 25,000 and say the horrific
   effects of the gas continue to this day.

   'Unacceptable'

   Amnesty International also called on the Indian and US governments to take
   legal action against US executives of Union Carbide.

   \"These are historic convictions, but it is too little, too late,\" said
   Audrey Gaughran, an Amnesty director.

   \"Twenty-five years is an unacceptable length of time for the survivors of
   the disaster and families of the dead to have waited for a criminal trial
   to reach a conclusion.

   \"While the Indian employees have now been tried and convicted, the foreign
   accused have been able to evade justice simply by remaining abroad. This
   is totally unacceptable.\"

   Rashida Bee, president of the Bhopal Gas Women's Workers group, told the
   AFP news agency that \"justice will be done in Bhopal only if individuals
   and corporations responsible are punished in an exemplary manner\".

   Although Warren Anderson was named as an accused and later declared an
   \"absconder\" by the court, he was not mentioned in Monday's verdict.

   The eight convicted on Monday were Keshub Mahindra, the chairman of the
   Indian arm of the Union Carbide (UCIL); VP Gokhale, managing director;
   Kishore Kamdar, vice-president; J Mukund, works manager; SP Chowdhury,
   production manager; KV Shetty, plant superintendent; SI Qureshi,
   production assistant. All of them are Indians.

   The seven former employees, some of whom are now in their 70s, were also
   ordered to pay fines of 100,000 Indian rupees (A-L-1,467; $2,125) apiece.

   The site of the former pesticide plant is now abandoned.

   It was taken over by the state government of Madhya Pradesh in 1998, but
   environmentalists say poison is still found there.

   Campaigners say Bhopal has an unusually high incidence of children with
   birth defects and growth deficiency, as well as cancers, diabetes and
   other chronic illnesses.

   Twenty years ago Union Carbide paid $470m (A-L-282m) in compensation to
   the Indian government.

   Dow Chemicals, which bought the company in 1999, says this settlement
   resolved all existing and future claims against the company.

   Paulo Gregoire
   ADP
   STRATFOR
   www.stratfor.com
","1970-01-01 01:00:00",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1966214_india-ct-bhopal-gas-leak-convictions-not-enough-say.html","paulo.gregoire@stratfor.com","","os@stratfor.com",""
1977338,"Re: [alpha] Musings on The Outfit
","   I know. Kid needs backup

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
   Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2011 10:36:18 -0500 (CDT)
   To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
   ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: [alpha] Musings on The Outfit
   I think that was his point.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"George Friedman\" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
   To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Wednesday, July 6, 2011 10:35:24 AM
   Subject: Re: [alpha] Musings on The Outfit

   Actually byu grads do try that. And die.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Marko Papic <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
   Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
   Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2011 10:30:37 -0500 (CDT)
   To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
   ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: [alpha] Musings on The Outfit
   I disagree... It's not a small percentage of field-jobs and it is not
   always about the right skills in the right places. This goes beyond gender
   discrimination. It has to also deal with cultural understandings,
   experience, etc. Let's forget that the thread is about women. It would be
   like putting a BYU grad with 6 weeks of Serbo-Croatian training to
   negotiate with Red Berets in 1999. Good luck with that.

   I think one could use this thread as an S-weekly topic.

   On 7/6/11 10:24 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

     Like I said, its a question of how resources are put to use. Some skills
     come naturally, some skills come with training (and that enhances the
     former category) and a few others are based on gender, such as
     conversing with a male islamist. But look how specific that last example
     is- whether its interrogation or recruiting, that's a very small
     percentage of jobs.

     Put the people with the right skills in the right places.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Karen Hooper <hooper@stratfor.com>
     Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
     Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2011 10:11:56 -0500 (CDT)
     To: Alpha List<alpha@stratfor.com>
     ReplyTo: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Re: [alpha] Musings on The Outfit
     Gender discrimination is appropriate in many circumstances. My only
     objection is to the assumption that women cannot be trained to react
     appropriately in a given situation. Clearly Khost was a fuck up. It was
     not a fuck up because she was a woman, but because she mishandled the
     situation. It sounds like her boss compounded the problem by failing to
     oversee the operation. Given that he was a white male and not a muslim
     detainee, I don't think we can excuse him from having done his job as a
     supervisor because she was a woman.

     There many be institutional pressures for him to fail at his job and for
     her to be poorly trained, but that's clearly an institutional problem.
     Your daughter had the grace and intelligence to put men in jobs where
     men should be. That should be the standard, and it should be clearly
     articulated. I don't think we're disagreeing on that.

     On 7/6/11 10:03 AM, George Friedman wrote:

       Gender does matter.  Sending a woman to interrogate a Muslim creates
       vast problems for example.  These are different cultures, different
       views of gender and human lives are at stake.  Using women in
       societies that hold them in contempt might be satisfying to American
       ideals and principles, but they can get people killed.  My daughter
       was ran an interrogation center in Iraq where the result of failure
       was death to many Americans. She couldn't be effective in that
       environment and had the grace to know it, so she did not do her job
       but handed off to men.  Iraqi men who would talk to American men would
       possibly be willing to die rather than talk to women.

       We talk about multi-culturalism and we talk about gender and the fact
       is that there are cultures in which women cannot be effect in doing
       intelligence. Placing women in jobs where the culture will make them
       fail is irresponsible and women demanding those jobs because of
       ideology is criminal.  It's a big world out there and the way others
       live isn't the way we live. Intelligence is not about reforming the
       world but getting information. There are places I wouldn't send a man
       and places I wouldn't send a woman.  Pretending that gender isn't a
       determining factor gets people killed.  I sometimes think that some of
       the gender fanatics are less concerned with that than with pretending
       that men and women can get all jobs done equally well.  They just
       can't. 

       My problem with the number of women in field positions is that they
       are going to fail because they are in that culture and they are women
       and people will die as a result.

       The policy of using women in posts where they will do more harm than
       good in order to push American ideology regardless of consequences is
       what the Agency is doing and it is one of the reasons, among others,
       that we experience intelligence failures.

       On 07/06/11 09:52 , Karen Hooper wrote:

         100 percent on board with that, and those are all things we've
         discussed quite a bit.

         I just want to make sure we're talking about crappy management and
         training, not gender.

         On 7/6/11 9:10 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

           She also arranged \"in the field\" for the 16 (yes 16) greeters to
           meet the GID asset and aQ double-agent  like it was a Stratfor
           happy hour.

           Sources are never met that way.  Its a 1x1 business. 

           Don't get me wrong, I'm grateful for her being there in the first
           place, but boneheaded mistakes by dumb assed bosses get people
           killed. 

           On 7/6/2011 9:03 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

             Career analyst w/out field ops experience. 

             The internal Agency report took the management team to the
             woodshed for sending her there without ops training. 

             On 7/6/2011 8:59 AM, Karen Hooper wrote:

               .... because she was a woman?

               On 7/6/11 8:39 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

                 The base chief woman (analyst) who died in Khost had been a
                 reports officer in London, prior to Khost.  Simply not
                 qualified for the field job. 

                 On 7/6/2011 8:26 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

                   women are also arguably better at recruiting assets.  Then
                   number is not at all a bad thing, it's more a question of
                   how resources are put to use. 
                   On 7/6/11 7:44 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

 Baer advised the CIA is now 50% women.   The \"gender political
 correctness\" is causing the outfit to ship women to places they
 shouldn't be operating in the field (such as Khost.)   The bulk of the
 Agency have been hired post 9-11 with FNG's also in places they
 shouldn't be.  As a result, the Agency is re-hiring annuitants
 (retirees) for base chief jobs.  The influx of the women has created a
 can of worms with many wanting to be Station Chief's in places they also
 should not be.  The old white males can't say anything about assignments
 for fear of blow-back and lawsuits.

                   --

                   Sean Noonan

                   Tactical Analyst

                   Office: +1 512-279-9479

                   Mobile: +1 512-758-5967

                   Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

                   www.stratfor.com

       --

       George Friedman

       Founder and CEO

       STRATFOR

       221 West 6th Street

       Suite 400

       Austin, Texas 78701

        

       Phone: 512-744-4319

       Fax: 512-744-4334

        

 --
 Marko Papic
 Senior Analyst
 STRATFOR
 + 1-512-744-4094 (O)
 + 1-512-905-3091 (C)
 221 W. 6th St., 400
 Austin, TX 78701 - USA
 www.stratfor.com
 @marko_papic
","2011-07-06 17:46:21",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1977338_re-alpha-musings-on-the-outfit-.html","friedman@att.blackberry.net","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
2000103,"Re: [alpha] G3* - PAKISTAN/MIL - 19 brigadiers promoted to major
	generals
","   We have a source among these 19 and he is a rising star within the
   hierarchy and is seen as having a really good shot at the top job.

   On 8/10/11 9:53 AM, Benjamin Preisler wrote:

     19 brigadiers promoted to major generals
     http://www.geo.tv/8-10-2011/84810.htm

      Updated at: 1335 PST,  Wednesday, August 10, 2011
     19 brigadiers promoted to major generals RAWALPINDI: The Pakistan Army
     Promotion Board approved the promotion of 19 brigadiers to the rank of
     major general on Wednesday, Geo News reported.

     The decision was made at the promotion board meeting held at the General
     Headquarters in Rawalpindi chaired by Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq
     Pervez Kayani. All corps commanders, principal staff officers and senior
     army officials were also present in the meeting.

     The names of 19 brigadiers who were promoted to major general include:
     Umar Durrani, Ahmed Mahmood, Tariq Masood, Tahir Javed, Nazir Butt,
     Mazhar Saleem, Mohammad Jaffar, Najamul Hasan, Ghulam Qamar, Ali Abbas,
     Amir Riaz, Abid Rafeeq, Asif Khatak, Jameel Rehmat, Saleem Raza, Malik
     Abbas, Syed Badshah Hussain, Shahab Naqvi and M. Junaid.

     19 brigadiers promoted to major generals
     Published: August 10, 2011

     http://tribune.com.pk/story/228284/19-brigadiers-promoted-to-major-generals/

     RAWALPINDI: The Pakistan Army Promotion Board approved the elevation of
     19 brigadiers to the rank of major general on Wednesday.

     The decision was made at the promotion board meeting held at the General
     Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

     The meeting was headed by Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Pervez
     Kayani and attended by all corps commanders, principal staff officers
     and senior army officials.

     After the two day meeting, the names of 19 brigadiers who will be
     promoted to the rank of major general, were finally approved today.

     19 Brigadier promoted to rank of Major General
     RAWALPINDI - 10th August 2011 (8 hours ago)
     By APP
     http://www.aaj.tv/2011/08/19-brigadiers-promoted-to-major-generals/
     The selection board for promotion of brigadier to the rank of major
     general approved promotions of 19 brigadiers of different arms and
     services of Pakistan Army.

     The decision was made at the promotion board meeting held at the General
     Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

     The meeting was headed by Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Pervez
     Kayani and attended by all corps commanders, principal staff officers
     and senior army officials.

     According to well-placed sources here on Wednesday, those officers who
     have been promoted include, Brig Umar Durrani, Brig. Ahmed Mehmood, Brig
     Tariq Masood, Brig. Tahir Javed, Brig. Nazir Butt, Brig. Mazhar Saleem,
     Brig. Muhammad Jafar, Brig. Najam ul Hassan, Brig. Ghulam Qamar, Brig.
     Ali Abbas, Brig. Aamir Riaz, Brig. Abid Rafique, Brig Asif Khattak,
     Brig. Jamil Rehmat Vance, Brig. Ali Raza, Brig. Malik Abbas, Brig. Syed
     Badshah Hussain, Brig. Shahab Naqvi and Brig. M. Junaid.

         19 brigadiers promoted to major generals
     http://www.pakwatan.com/latest_news1.php?id=2744
     10/08/11  RAWALPINDI -The Pakistan Army Promotion Board approved the
     elevation of 19 brigadiers to the rank of major general on Wednesday.

     The decision was made at the promotion board meeting held at the General
     Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

     The meeting was headed by Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Pervez
     Kayani and attended by all corps commanders, principal staff officers
     and senior army officials.

     After the two day meeting, the names of 19 brigadiers who will be
     promoted to the rank of major general, were finally approved today.

     19 brigadiers who promoted to the rank of major general are Umar
     Durrani, Tariq Masood, Ahmed Mahmood, Tahir jawed, Nazir Batt, Mazhar
     Saleem, Amir Riaz, Najam ul Hassan, Muhammad Jafar, Ali Abbas, Malik
     Abbas, Malik Badshah Hussain, Shahab Naqvi, M. Junaid, Ghulam Qamar,
     Abid Rafiq, Asif Khatak, Saleem Raza and Jameel Rehmat.

 --

 Benjamin Preisler
 +216 22 73 23 19
","2011-08-10 23:06:21",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2000103_re-alpha-g3-pakistan-mil-19-brigadiers-promoted-to-major.html","bokhari@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
2312421,"Re: Fwd: Labor Day Review of Where We Are
","   hey. thanks. yeah... i read this. kind of amazing. i fully intend to stage
   a hostile takeover over of the board with james brown after morenz gets
   tased by fred in a dark stairwell.

   but... really, thanks for looking out for us. i can say without feeling
   like a suckup that i'm glad to be here regardless of pay, even if my
   mother-in-law called me \"an unpaid apprentice.\"

   kindest regards,
   phillip d. orchard

   word apprentice
   geography enthusiast
   keynesian
   canadian
   university of texas at austin bachelors of science of journalism of class
   of 2005
   rose bowl sideline stander
   hemophiliac
   512.574.6964

   On 9/6/11 7:41 PM, Brad Foster wrote:

     Hey you two, don't know if you saw this, but potentially, this is good
     news for you. Our CEO is basically saying we need to hire more people,
     including in the publishing side (the side you're on). Look at the parts
     I highlighted below. I know ya'll want a job, and although there are
     never any guarantees, it is looking pretty good for yall if you work
     hard as an intern this semester and make good friends with Maverick and
     Jenna (which is pretty damn easy, just be a nice, fun person and a
     diligent worker.) I am not the smartest cat in the sandbox, but I showed
     up as an intern everyday and showed eagerness to learn and to work, and
     I got rewarded for it. Just don't want ya'll to be discouraged by the
     lack of pay (my offer to take yall interns out for lunch sometime still
     stands, you deserve more appreciation) at the moment, even though it's
     annoying. Everyone started where you were at at some point. That is how
     the process works.
     *I never sent you this email. Don't mention it*
     BTW, heres the long version of my signature for your entertainment:
     Brad Foster
     Africa Monitor
     Operations Center Officer
     Writer
     STRATFOR
     512.944.4909

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"George Friedman\" <gfriedman@stratfor.com>
     To: \"allstratfor\" <allstratfor@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Monday, September 5, 2011 2:55:16 PM
     Subject: Labor Day Review of Where We Are

     THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS DOCUMENT OR
     DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

      

      

      

     I hope you've all had a great Labor Day Weekend. This Labor Day marks a
     turning point in Stratfor's history, and I wanted to share my thoughts
     with you and some plans. It used to be, not so long ago, that we were so
     small that information flowed to all hands by itself.  It is hard for me
     to recognize sometimes that this is no longer true, so I will provide an
     extensive review of where we are and what is coming.  Some of this will
     be old hat to some of you; some of this will be new.  This is an attempt
     to start getting everyone on the same page. 

      

     Historically, Stratfor was unique in a number of ways. First, we
     accepted no advertising. Second, we charged for our subscriptions.
     Finally, we were revenue driven. We build the company from our
     revenues.  This kept us independent, it kept us free to experiment-and
     at times fail, it kept us tight. We were reaching a point where we our
     revenues did not keep up with our needs and market opportunities.

      

     Shea Morenz provided us with two opportunities.  First, he made an
     investment in Stratfor designed to give us the capital needed to build
     our staff and our marketing.  Second, he proposed a new venture,
     StratCap, which would allow us to utilize the intelligence we were
     gathering about the world in a new but related venue-an investment fund.
     Where we had previously advised other hedge funds. We would now have our
     own, itself fully funded by Shea.  Shea invested over $2 million in
     Stratfor and more in StratCap. In return he took a seat on Stratfor's
     board and a minority position in Stratfor, whose control remains in
     Don's and my hands.  It was a good deal for Stratfor, a good deal for
     StratCap, and since the deal closed officially on August 1, we now have
     the task of doing what we all want-building Stratfor and StratCap.

      

     Our cash position is not spectacular by any means, but we have the
     resources to build the kind of company we want, when that investment is
     combined with our revenues.  With cash under control we need to address
     the next problem-people. We all are doing more than our share to keep
     things going.  In some ways that good but it can be overdone, and we are
     overdoing it throughout the company.  Our job now is to expand the
     team.  Money is one element of that, but relieving the pressure we are
     under in a way increases the pressure, because we have to recruit and
     train new people. So it gets harder before it gets easier, and that's
     the point we are at.

      

     Let's divide our departments into two groups.  There are those
     departments that must train their own people, particularly in
     intelligence beyond the normal training needed by new employees.  We do
     that because no one thinks of the world like Stratfor, and that means
     that we can't hire people from other organizations, or at least not
     without a major training programming, which in our experience lasts up
     to two years.  Then there are departments that don't have this burden
     and that can hire people readily from other organizations.  Both groups
     of departments must grow and train, but the burden of training is much
     heavier in the Intelligence departments that train their staff from the
     bottom up than on other departments.  It is important for everyone to
     understand this distinction.  It is not that people in Intelligence are
     more important or more valuable than those in other departments.  It
     just means they face different problems in growing and that if they
     don't grow, other things can't happen.

      

     Now let's consider the tasks ahead.  First and foremost-and always first
     and foremost-we must be the world's leading private intelligence
     organization (and one of the finest intelligence organizations, period)
     and we must sell our intelligence through publishing.  Our current staff
     has done an outstanding job, but they are thin and sometimes we are
     weak.  We must do better in economics, and we must make certain that no
     AOR depends on only one person. There are lots of things that are
     needed. 

      

     Second, we are committed to supporting StratCap, a private fund that
     will begin operations some time this coming spring. What StratCap will
     do is use our Stratfor's intelligence and analysis to trade in a range
     of geopolitical instruments, particularly government bonds, currency and
     the like in the world's emerging markets.  Shea Morenz initiated this
     idea and leads it.  At the root of StratCap is a simple idea: Stratfor
     should put its money where its mouth is.  It does not conflict with
     Stratfor, but is an extension of it.

      

     Do not think of StratCap as an outside organization.  It will be
     integral to Stratfor, in the sense that much of the intelligence we are
     developing is useful to Stratcap as well as Stratfor.  The
     organizational and legal distinctions are real and important, but
     StratCap is linked to Stratfor intellectually and contractually.  It
     will be useful to you if, for the sake of convenience, you think of it
     as another aspect of Stratfor and Shea as another executive in
     Stratfor. 

      

     Let me also add that it is our commitment that all our team will benefit
     if StratCap is successful through some mechanism to be defined. This
     isn't an attempt to get you to work harder for the same money.  But that
     discussion must wait until the legal and administrative relationships of
     StratCap and its relation to Stratfor are worked out and reviewed by
     something called \"compliance officers,\" people who make certain that we
     do not violate any regulations. 

      

     From that point of view, StratCap is something under construction.  You
     can see Shea Morenz hammering away building it in the corner office he
     took from Darryl. In the world of StratCap, corner offices are marketing
     tools.  This points to the fact that StratCap will be building its own
     staff and they come from a different world from Stratfor with a
     different culture.  That said, we have a great deal to learn from
     StratCap to strengthen Stratfor's understanding of economics and it has
     much to learn from us.  We are already working on mock portfolios and
     trades, testing our skills.  Kendra, Korena, Melissa, Jen, Peter,
     Meredith and myself are all involved in this along with Shea and
     Alfredo, a trader that makes us easy to understand compared to him. It's
     going pretty well in fact, but supporting StratCap will be a cultural
     and intellectual challenge.  It's important now to recognize that it is
     already here, growing and we will accommodate to it and it to us.

      

     I want to emphasize is that there is neither a legal, intellectual nor
     moral tension between Stratfor and StratCap.  We will continue to
     publish what we think is true.  StratCap is interested in our broad
     ideas but mostly in the obscure nuggets picked up by intelligence that
     are usually of little interest to our general readers.  My pledge to you
     and our readers is that our publication will remain untouched by
     StratCap-because they are merely different sides of the same coin,
     intelligence.

      

     We have also been asked to help the United States Marine Corps and other
     government intelligence organizations to teach them how Stratfor does
     what it does, and train them in becoming government Stratfors. We are
     beginning this project by preparing a three-year forecast for the
     Commandant of the Corps.  This is a double honor for us.  First, the
     professional intelligence community is acknowledging us as being the
     gold standard of intelligence.  Second, we are being asked to use our
     honest and unhedged views to support what is for Stratfor-an American
     company-its homeland.  Again, as with StratCap, there is no tension. We
     will tell the U.S. government precisely what we tell our readers and we
     think ourselves.  Our first lesson to the government is that
     intelligence organizations exist to make decision makers uncomfortable,
     not to make them feel better about their decisions. I didn't come this
     far to compromise on that. 

      

     Add to this that the fact that Turkish Chamber of Commerce (not its name
     but close enough; its name is TUSIAD) asked us to preside over their
     40th anniversary celebration, and that the Turkish Foreign Minister and
     Energy Minister will speak at the event, and you can see both our global
     recognition and our commitment to speak the same words to every country.
     We can serve the world from the same platform.

      

     So think about it.  We have three triumphs.  First, our publication is
     now read by almost 300,000 people (counting our corporate accounts).  We
     are a major force around the world.  Second, Shea-a guy who has played
     with the big boys at Goldman Sachs, asked us to play in the majors with
     him.  Third, the USMC has asked for our help, and with them others in
     the defense community.  These are three validations of us that are
     precious to me.

      

     Obviously, there is no way in the world that we can do all these
     things-plus the endless little projects that we must do all the
     time-with the staff we have.  And given that we take two years to train
     new analysts, and all of this is on us now-we have an urgent problem. 
     We can't punt opportunities at hand and continue at our current size.
     Nor can we easily expand.  So we will therefore expand with difficulty. 
     There is no choice.  Our Analyst Development Program is the means where
     we train people and find new analysts as well as find some staff for
     publishing (watch officers, monitors, operations center and writers all
     under Jenna Colley). We will have the largest group of ADPs ever this
     fall, starting next week.  About 13 people at last count will be joining
     us.  This is a huge percentage of the number of analysts on staff.
     Ideally all will work out well and our crisis will be over.  That's
     unlikely but our crisis will be mitigated by January 1. Doing this will
     put a huge burden on Intelligence, who must do their work and also train
     these people, but there is no choice.  This is the year when we break
     out.  I promise to work side by side with the team in training and
     growing he organization.  I also promise that if we succeed, we will
     become one of the most significant and prestigious foreign policy
     publications in the world-and those that made it happen will be known. 
     I know there are questions about by-lines. You know my hesitation, but
     we will figure out together someway to make sure that the glory is
     shared.

      

     Intelligence is divided into three parts.  There is Strategic
     Intelligence (under Rodger assisted by Reva) that is organized
     geographically.  There is Tactical Intelligence (under Stick, assisted
     by Nate Hughes) that is organized thematically-organized crime,
     cyber-warfare, military, terrorism, security, financial flows, supply
     chain and so on.  There is then intelligence gathering, under Meredith,
     assisted by Jen Richmond that is building sources from around the
     world.  All of them must grow dramatically.  The first two will grow
     mostly out of the ADP pool. The latter will be done by extensive work in
     the field.  But it is the Writers Group that is making the most
     impressive evolution.  Under Jenna (and Tim French and Maverick) it has
     moved into the heart of intelligence, writing as well as editing. 
     Everyone should watch this team. They are pioneering things the world
     hasn't seen yet. Along with Watch Officers, monitors and the operations
     center, this unit is translating intelligence into product with
     increasing effectiveness.  It is now organizationally mature and ready
     to both grow and sustain the growth of Intelligence.

      

     This growth will put a tremendous strain on other departments. Leticia
     has done a tremendous job in Human Resources, but the job has grown much
     greater than she can possibly manage.  Just the process of getting visas
     for new ADPs is overwhelming, and at least half of these come from other
     countries.  We have selected an HR consulting firm to support her in the
     coming months and other solutions will be found to sustain this. HR will
     become more effective in the next months. In addition, we are retaining
     a law firm to create a policy for Stratfor on Foreign Corrupt Practices
     Act.  I don't plan to do the perp walk and I don't want anyone here
     doing it either.  We need some clear guidelines on the law and are
     getting them, particularly as we ramp our intelligence capability.
     Similarly finance has kept us all going and similarly it has to expand,
     although it is a shade less pressured than HR is.

      

     IT faces a huge challenge.  Traditional IT organizations focus on the
     development of new capabilities for a company and sustaining complex
     systems. At Stratfor, the focus must also be on sustaining basic systems
     like phones, email, configuring and fixing laptops and cell phones and
     so on-the basic tools that make our work possible and which are a
     particular challenge in a global company operating 24-7.  That gives our
     IT department a different shape and tempo than exists in other
     companies. With this class of ADPs, 24-7 will become very real.  IT is
     under pressure to maintain its focus on improving the web site and
     corporate systems but has a special and intense mission of supporting a
     growing, global company at the ground level, and the pressure is never
     going to be greater than now with all the new people coming on board in
     all departments. Creating an IT department that fits our peculiar needs
     will be Frank's challenge.

      

     I want to also point to two departments that are performing extremely
     well.  Customer Service at Stratfor is among the best in the business. 
     We daily get emails praising their work. John Gibbons has done an
     amazing job keeping this going.  More subscribers mean more customer
     service of course.

      

     Also to be mentioned is he on-line marketing team who has just done
     something very impressive. There is usually a slump in subscriptions
     after a Red Alert, and there was one, but in a matter of weeks they
     pitched in and turned it around with some strange and wonderful
     campaigns.  They have broken their forecast in spite of a pretty quiet
     world.  Its amazing the kind of ads that work!

      

     Let's turn to marketing and sales and the future.  Our readership is now
     about 5 percent of the Economist when we exclude corporate (not sure why
     we exclude corporate but that's what we do).  That means that we have
     probably saturated a good part of the early adopters market-the early
     adopters who love us and have built us-and put up with our weaknesses.
     It's kind of like people who supported Apple in its dark days, putting
     up with promising but not yet mature computers.  If you haven't read,
     \"Crossing the Chasm,\" a rare business book that is actually helpful,
     please take a look at it.  It will explain much of what we are trying to
     achieve in marketing.

      

     We have no choice but to grow.  If we stay this size someone larger,
     with deep pockets will notice the market we have created and come in
     after us.  We won't be able to compete.  The only protection is market
     share, to be so dominant a force in the market that no one challenges us
     and our own deep pockets.  For this we must grow revenue and that means
     readership.  The place we must grow is in the mainstream.  I don't mean
     by mainstream CNN. I mean readers who are interested in what we have,
     but aren't fanatics, groupies and wannabes.  These people have higher
     standards in production values, and less forgiveness for mistakes. They
     don't buy the mystique.  They buy the publication. That's where most of
     our customers are and where we have to go.

      

     Obviously this is one of the reasons we need more people.  It is also
     the reason we must deliver in new ways.  Grant Perry and his team are
     looking at ways to create a unique, Stratfor video culture. I see this
     myself as consisting of much longer and serious conversations among
     analysts moderated by an anchor, documentaries, briefings. Perhaps our
     Sitreps should all be delivered via video and audio (there is I think
     huge demand for audio products in cars, or so many people tell me).  All
     of this will evolve in unexpected directions under Grant, Colin, Brian,
     Andrew and others who will join them. This is part of our own evolution
     into the mainstream, on our own terms, with our own voice. What you see
     above, by the way, are simply my own ideas, not fully thought out. 
     Whatever Grant and his team produce will be uniquely Stratfor.

      

     Other than that we shall see.  What markets we will enter, and how we
     enter them is not yet known. We do know that the current Stratfor
     product, however enhanced, will be our only offering.  We will not be
     developing new products for markets. 

      

     We have hired a consultant, Mark Stacey, who will guide this process. 
     We will also be bringing in a consulting firm to do survey research and
     interviews to teach us more about our current readers, readers who won't
     buy us, and readers who would buy us if they had heard of us.  Our
     choice was between hiring staff to give us a plan or hiring consultants
     to give us a plan and then hiring permanent staff to execute it.  The
     latter is the safest-we avoid a staff without the skill to do what we
     need whom instead craft a plan to do what they already know.  In
     addition to this initiative, we are participating in the University of
     Texas Business School program where a team of graduate students will
     essentially parallel the work of our outside consultants, giving us a
     double check on the data. 

      

     The goal here is to have a marketing and sales plan in place for
     execution on January 1.  From where I sit, the biggest challenge we have
     is that too many people have never heard of us.  At a meeting I can
     encounter someone who has subscribed for years and next to him is a
     person in the same industry that has never heard of us.  It is difficult
     selling to people who have never heard of us.  So our challenge-before
     trying to sell to them-is to increase awareness of who we are.  This is
     called branding and it's different from selling.  It is the precursor. 
     We will start with branding in January. That means there will be
     marketing people around asking many questions in the coming months,
     frequently the same ones. Please work with all of them.  In the end, we
     will have a plan with a high likelihood of success.

      

     Parallel to all of this, the executives (without Don, Steve Feldhaus or
     myself-the board members) are going through a planning process of their
     own, coordinated by Frank Ginac.  Not being on it (and not wanting to be
     informed of what is going on as there should be yet another set of eyes
     on things other than mine) I can't tell you what they are doing. 
     However, the deal we have on this is that as CEO, I will proceed with
     implementing my own plans that I've outlined here, and will consider
     their proposals when I see them. If the decision point is past when they
     make their recommendation on a subject, the recommendation will not be
     considered.  If they come in with recommendations before decision
     points, their recommendations will be taken very seriously.  This allows
     the company to move forward and an alternative planning model to be
     brought on line when it is ready.

      

     The company has become too large and complex for any one person to know
     what is going on.  I am moving (with difficulty) from the role of an
     early entrepreneur, knowing everything going on and getting involved in
     it, to the CEO of a company at the inflexion point.   The inflexion
     point is the point all companies dream of and few achieve-when they
     start really taking off.  This is a great point and a dangerous one. 
     Unless the company changes the way it does things, inflexion aborts.  I
     am trying to change what I do.

      

     There are some things that have to remain my responsibility.  Building
     Intelligence and publishing and particularly training new staff are
     things that I should oversee.  Building the intelligence capabilities of
     the company along with Meredith is also my responsibility.  Creating new
     models to support Stratcap and helping to train Stratcap in the
     capabilities of Stratfor is mine. Overseeing our training of the Marine
     Corps is something I want to do.  Kendra will be my deputy for this, but
     this leaves a large load on me.

      

     Along with this, for better or worse, I am the public face of Stratfor. 
     My speeches and travels build the brand, create intelligence
     opportunities, and give me a clearer vision of how the world works.  I
     will be doing a lot of traveling to do these things, and I will combine
     them with the Geopolitical Journeys concept that seems to have hit a
     nerve.  During my travels I will be doing articles, videos and writing a
     book based on those journeys, on the world's borderlands.  Between that
     and making contacts for Stratfor and StratCap, I will be busy.

      

     Along with that load is going to be setting the broad direction of the
     company.  Through long and sometimes painful experience I have learned
     that ultimate responsibility can be delegated but not abandoned.  It's
     an old military principle that applies here. I have a vision for
     Stratfor and while I will delegate, I will not turn over responsibility
     because I can't.

      

     That means that we will need an evolving management structure.  I've
     asked Don who is formally President of Stratfor to join Darryl in both
     the day to day management of the company and in what we still call \"the
     business side.\"  One day we will simply be one company, but right now we
     are still two sides of one company.  Don and Darryl will now manage that
     side, implementing our plans there.  I will not disappear, but become
     intermittent on daily management but deeply focused on intelligence.

      

     One of the other things I must do is prepare a succession plan.  In some
     parts that are well developed, I already have that plan.  In other
     parts, we have to build an organization to have a succession plan.  But
     it is my intention that Stratfor survive me (no, I'm not feeling poorly
     and can still kick your ass).  I want to build this into the world's
     finest intelligence service, private and free to speak its mind.  I see
     this as the most lasting contribution I can make, and I am serious about
     making sure Stratfor goes on.

      

     We are all at the inflexion point where the level of effort temporarily
     soars until new resources are brought on line.  They couldn't have been
     staged in earlier because there weren't resources available.  But now
     they can't wait, because the moment will pass and perhaps never return. 
     For everything there is a \"now.\"  This is now.

      

     I ask only one specific thing of all of you. If you don't understanding
     anything here; if you want to learn more; if something worries you and
     your boss can't clear it up, come directly to me. I will be available
     until the last week of September when I go with others to Turkey. 
     Please, please, please, do not engage in a round of paranoia or
     speculation based on lack of data.  Just set a time to see me and let's
     discuss it.  StratFantasy (a new term) is I really believe the greatest
     danger to success that we have face.

      

     This is a long review, but many have said they'd like to know where we
     are and what we are doing.  This is about as comprehensive as I can get.
     There will be more such reports.  There are no short versions about
     where we are and what we are doing.

      

      

     OH YES-THIS IS FOR INTERNAL STRATFOR USE ONLY. DO NOT SHARE THIS
     DOCUMENT OR DISCUSS IT OUTSIDE OF STRATFOR.

      

     --

     George Friedman

     Founder and CEO

     STRATFOR

     221 West 6th Street

     Suite 400

     Austin, Texas 78701

      

     Phone: 512-744-4319

     Fax: 512-744-4334

      
","2011-09-07 15:42:45",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2312421_re-fwd-labor-day-review-of-where-we-are-.html","phillip.orchard@stratfor.com","","brad.foster@stratfor.com,sophie.steiner@stratfor.com",""
2539287,"Re: PUBLIC CONFESSION -the Lunch on me? scandal
","   Ignore all following rules.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Adam Wagh <adam.wagh@stratfor.com>
   Sender: stratforaustin-bounces@stratfor.com
   Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2011 14:28:35 -0500 (CDT)
   To: STRATFOR AUSTIN List<stratforaustin@stratfor.com>
   ReplyTo: STRATFOR AUSTIN List <stratforaustin@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: PUBLIC CONFESSION -the Lunch on me? scandal
   You have much to teach me Fred...Whats Fred's rule #1 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Fred Burton\" <burton@stratfor.com>
   To: stratforaustin@stratfor.com
   Sent: Tuesday, August 30, 2011 2:25:51 PM
   Subject: Re: PUBLIC CONFESSION -the Lunch on me? scandal

   You ate the bait.  

   Fred's rule # 2 -

   Admit nothing, deny everything and make counter-accusations. 

   On 8/30/2011 2:21 PM, Adam Wagh wrote:

     ATTENTION ALL - 
     Unfortunately, I think the culprit might be me. I usually keep a spare
     lunch in the freezer in case i forget to grab one before I leave the
     house (most often Amy's products including the pesto tortellini) and I
     did eat some today thinking it was my spare. I will of course replace
     the meal I ate, and try to be much more careful in the future. SORRY
     ROB!! 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Rob Bassetti\" <bassetti@stratfor.com>
     To: \"STRATFOR AUSTIN List\" <stratforaustin@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Tuesday, August 30, 2011 1:42:59 PM
     Subject: Lunch on me?

     Now that I've got your attention, someone has taken the lunch that I
     brought in (Amy's Pesto Tortellini bowl in freezer).  A good rule of
     thumb regarding food is that you do not take and consume what you didn't
     purchase.  That's commonly known as stealing.

     Rob

     --
     Rob Bassetti
     STRATFOR
     Finance Department
     512-744-4081
     bassetti@stratfor.com
","2011-08-30 21:37:18",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2539287_re-public-confession-the-lunch-on-me-scandal-.html","friedman@att.blackberry.net","mailto:stratforaustin@stratfor.com","Stratforaustin@stratfor.com",""
2557319,"[Eurasia] source coding
","   Hey Team,  
   As we're coding our sources, I wanted to make sure we weren't overlapping
   coding...
   Previously, I was 101-299 numbers. And others were 300 or 500s... meaning
   starting with the odd #s.
   If I go over 299 (my Russia sources in a few years just may as I'm at 188
   already). Then I may count backwards from 101.
   Anyway, I have some overarching sources that are part of more than one
   country... so I have sources as:
   CA-FSU - for Central Asia
   EU - for EU states/European states
   Anyway, lemme know if you have any issues with all of this. We need to be
   on the same page.
   Go Team!
   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2011-09-01 03:19:21",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2557319_-eurasia-source-coding-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","mailto:eurasia@stratfor.com","eurasia@stratfor.com",""
2600489,"[alpha] Fwd: Fwd: Fwd: ATFE, DHS, EPIC, FBI (UNCLASSIFIED)
"," >


 --
 Michael Wilson
 Director of Watch Officer Group, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 michael.wilson@stratfor.com
","2011-06-28 17:46:55",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2600489_-alpha-fwd-fwd-fwd-atfe-dhs-epic-fbi-unclassified-.html","michael.wilson@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com","attach/10/10382_Attached Message Part
attach/10/10383_ATFE Firearms Trafficking Utah to Venezuela.pdf
attach/10/10384_Attached Message Part-16
attach/10/10385_DHS Mexican Fe.pdf
attach/10/10386_FMSO JRIC Lati.pdf
attach/10/10387_FBI Jihadist W.pdf
attach/10/10388_FBI Mexican Co.pdf
attach/10/10389_FBI A Popular .pdf
attach/10/10390_FBI Hempstead .pdf
attach/10/10391_FBI Illicit Dr.pdf
attach/10/10392_EPIC Bulletin EB11-44.pdf
attach/10/10393_FBI Identifica.pdf
attach/10/10394_FBI Burning of.pdf
attach/10/10395_FBI Sovereign Citizens and the Internet.pdf
attach/10/10396_FBI Identifica-1.pdf
attach/10/10397_FBI Hells Ange.pdf
attach/10/10398_FBI Gambino an.pdf
attach/10/10399_FBI Solicitati.pdf
attach/10/10400_FBI Cleveland .pdf"
2606228,"Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
","   I think you should make responsiveness a separate category. Like we do
   with our red, orange, yellow classifications during source list reviews.
   That is responsiveness/accessibility, and it is distinct from
   reliability. 
   From: Jennifer Richmond <richmond@stratfor.com>
   Reply-To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 15:05:28 -0500
   To: <alpha@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: [alpha] sourcing insight
   As Stick said earlier, you can have a reliable source that is highly
   responsive that sometimes sends crap.  Item credibility is the place where
   you assess the information, and this changes from insight to insight. 
   Reliability is more about source responsiveness.  That said, and as Stick
   notes, reliability also speaks to the overall source's access to
   information as well as dependability.  In part some of this should also be
   addressed in the source description.

   We'll be fleshing these out a bit more in the next few weeks, and all
   suggestions are welcomed.

   On 7/29/11 2:51 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

     My understanding of source reliability has always been the contact's
     personal reliability as a person who can provide accurate information.
     On 7/29/11 2:54 PM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       Sending to the list since these are good questions.  My responses in
       red.

       On 7/29/11 1:48 PM, Allison Fedirka wrote:

         I have 2 questions on this item.
         SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.
          this
         grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests

         1) If this is based solely on turn around time, do we have company
         standards for the letters.  Like A = a couple of hours, D = a couple
         of weeks, etc?  We do need to better identify what each letter
         means.  In the meantime, in my book A=within 24 hours, B=48 hours,
         C=a couple of days, D=over a week, F=lucky if we get a response
         2) Also I previously thought this item reflected both reliability in
         turn around time and also reliability to give good information.  So
         like if someone was obviously anti-chavez or exaggerates a lot, I
         would bump them down a bit since the insight should be taken with a
         grain of salt.  How do you want us to inform others of potential
         bias or questionable material?  In the description section? It is
         mainly addresses their reliability to respond.  ITEM CREDIBILITY is
         the place where we code the information.  In most cases this changes
         from insight to insight whereas SOURCE RELIABILITY is a little more
         static.  Some sources know nothing about politics but give excellent
         info on econ.  So, credibilty changes frequently even with the same
         source and one of the reasons why we need to keep up with the entire
         ID tags when sending in insight.  As to the last question, I usually
         make a note of their bias for a particular insight in the
         credibility section.  In the description section you can write out
         their personal biases - e.g. the dude only hangs with the wealthy so
         this insight is likely to be skewed towards elite perceptions, or
         something like that. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

         From: \"Jennifer Richmond\" <richmond@stratfor.com>
         To: \"Alpha List\" <alpha@stratfor.com>
         Sent: Friday, July 29, 2011 1:41:39 PM
         Subject: [alpha] sourcing insight

         We've gotten lazy on insight source IDs again.  Not only do you need
         to
         put the source code in the subject line, but all of these categories
         need to be filled out for every single insight sent to the list.

         SOURCE: code
         ATTRIBUTION: this is what we should say if we use this info in a
         publication, e.g. STRATFOR source/source in the medical
         industry/source
         on the ground, etc
         SOURCE DESCRIPTION: this is where we put the more concrete details
         of
         the source for our internal consumption so we can better understand
         the
         source's background and ability to make the assessments in the
         insight
         PUBLICATION: Yes or no.  If you put yes it doesn't mean that we will
         publish it, but only that we can publish it.
         SOURCE RELIABILITY: A-F, A being the best and F being the worst.
          this
         grades the turnaround time of this source in responding to requests
         ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1-10, 1 being the best and 10 being the worst (we
         may
         change the range here in the future).  this changes a lot based on
         the
         info provided.  1 is \"you can take this to the bank\" and 10 would be
         an
         example of maybe - \"this is a totally ridiculous rumor but something
         that is spreading on the ground\"
         SPECIAL HANDLING: often this is \"none\" but it may be something like,
         \"if
         you use this we need to be sure not to mention the part about XXX in
         the
         publication\" or any other special notes
         SOURCE HANDLER: the person who can take follow-up questions and
         communicate with the source

         If you have any questions, concerns or suggestions, let me know.
          I'll
         be back in the office next Tues so if you want to discuss this
         process
         in person we can do so soon.  In the meantime, remember that every
         piece
         of insight needs this ENTIRE ID unless it is just something that you
         picked up off the ground from a source that you will likely not hear
         from again.  Even then, you should fill out the entire ID and in the
         SOURCE field simply say - n/a with a description on why we are not
         coding them.

         Jen
         PS: Also remember that is something is highly sensitive to send
         directly
         - not thru a WO - to the \"secure\" list.  Secure list insights still
         need
         the above ID tags.

         --
         Jennifer Richmond
         STRATFOR
         China Director
         Director of International Projects
         (512) 422-9335
         richmond@stratfor.com
         www.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.comwww.stratfor.com
","2011-07-29 22:08:01",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2606228_re-alpha-sourcing-insight-.html","stewart@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
2799900,"Geronimo source payment
","Hello Fred,=20

Can you send us an \"approved\" email for the source that Marko left with you=
. Geronimo, $1200 monthly payment.=20

Since this is a recurring payment, you can also send us something like \"I a=
pprove this expense for the remainder of the term, or until I say otherwise=
.=20

Thanks,=20

Fernando Jaimes=20
Staff Accountant=20
STRATFOR=20
221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
T: 512-279-9469 =A6 F: 512-744-4105
www.STRATFOR.com
","2011-12-06 21:28:10",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2799900_geronimo-source-payment-.html","fernando.jaimes@stratfor.com","","ar@stratfor.com,fred.burton@core.stratfor.com",""
2800258,"Org Chart 2011
","12","2011-12-12 17:51:02",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2800258_org-chart-2011-.html","","","isaiah.massey@stratfor.com","attach/135/135464_Employee Org Chart as of CYE.xlsx"
2800966,"Jen Richmond's Source
","14","2011-12-14 22:39:49",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2800966_jen-richmond-s-source-.html","fernando.jaimes@stratfor.com","","mfriedman@stratfor.com,ar@stratfor.com","attach/122/122530_Bill or Credit - STRATFOR - QuickBooks Online Plus.pdf"
2851550,"Wires for Approval Template
","16","2011-12-06 23:38:04",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2851550_wires-for-approval-template-.html","","","ar@stratfor.com","attach/136/136715_Wires to Contractors for Approval Contractor payments.pdf"
2917676,"Follow-up
","","2011-08-30 16:12:44",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2917676_follow-up-.html","dedwards@heidrick.com","","shea.morenz@stratfor.com,psmith@heidrick.com,rtiminsky@heidrick.com","attach/137/137777_JS - Stratcap CIO.doc
attach/137/137778_CL - Stratfor CIO.doc"
2917714,"FW: Stratfor - Execution versions of documents
","","2011-08-02 21:05:30",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2917714_fw-stratfor-execution-versions-of-documents-.html","BHerzog@willkie.com","","kuykendall@stratfor.com,sf@feldhauslaw.com,shea.morenz@stratfor.com,MSilver@willkie.com","attach/121/121440_1 Amendment to Contribution and Subscription Agreement.pdf
attach/121/121441_8 Stratfor_ Re.pdf
attach/121/121442_20 Morenz - Stratfor - Services Agreement.pdf
attach/121/121444_9 Stratfor_ Re.pdf
attach/121/121446_15 16 Morenz - Stratfor - Incentive Unit Agreement.pdf
attach/121/121447_14 Morenz - Stratfor - Stratfor Enterprises LLC Agreement.pdf
attach/121/121448_11 Stratfor_ R.pdf
attach/121/121449_10 Stratfor_ R.pdf
attach/121/121450_2 General Conveyance Assignment Contribution and Assumption Agreement.pdf
attach/121/121452_7 Stratfor_ Re.pdf
attach/137/137783_30 31 Resolutions of SM Stratfor Partners, LLC.pdf
attach/137/137784_19 Stratcap Management Company Agreement.pdf"
2926405,"FW: Stratcap International Organizational Chart (SA Ventures) -
 Attorney/Client Privileged Communication
","43","2011-12-05 23:37:05",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2926405_fw-stratcap-international-organizational-chart-sa-ventures.html","bknippa@jw.com","","shea.morenz@stratfor.com,hope.massey@stratfor.com,stammwc@gmail.com,jstephenson@jw.com,cmcdowell@jw.com","attach/137/137921_rmlist.doc
attach/137/137922_SovereignCyprusNames.doc
attach/137/137923_Stratcap Inter.VSD
attach/137/137924_image001.gif
attach/137/137925_Sovereign due diligence requirements 2.doc
attach/137/137926_.pdf
attach/137/137927_.doc
attach/137/137928_Application Trust Cyprus.doc"
2928884,"<no subject>
","","2011-12-10 21:11:46",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2928884_-no-subject-.html","shea.morenz@stratfor.com","","shea.morenz@stratfor.com","attach/138/138161_STRATCAP COMP.xlsx"
2975424,"RE: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters
","That is very clear, thank you!

--
Shea Morenz
Managing Partner
STRATFOR
221 W. 6th Street
Suite 400
Austin, Texas 78701

O: 512-583-7721 ¦ M: 713.410.9719 ¦ F: 512.744.4105

 www.STRATFOR.com


-----Original Message-----
From: Feldhaus, Stephen [mailto:sf@feldhauslaw.com]
Sent: Tuesday, December 13, 2011 10:58 AM
To: Knippa, Brad; Shea B. Morenz
Cc: Mr. Don R. Kuykendall; Craig Stamm; McDowell, Cale; Mr. George
Friedman
Subject: RE: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters

Shea,

Brad and Cale and I had a very thorough and good discussion about all of
the outstanding issues.  There is no suggestion on anyone's part that the
August 1 transaction was not properly documented, or that it was not
properly approved by the shareholders of Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

Shareholders of Strategic Forecasting, Inc., holding more than 80% of the
voting shares of Strategic Forecasting, Inc., approved ALL of the
transactions that occurred effective April 25 and August 1.  That approval
included the formation of Stratcap Management Company, LLC, the
shareholding therein by Stratfor Holdings, LLC, and by Stratfor
Enterprises, LLC, as well as the Services Agreement being entered into by
Stratfor Enterprises, LLC, and Stratcap Management Company, LLC.
Furthermore, each of the signatories of the shareholders consent of
Strategic Forecsting, Inc., had the final documents in hand for every
transaction, including the specific ones referenced above, when they
signed the shareholder consent.

I am reciting the foregoing to make it clear that the purpose of our
exercise is not to correct an error that occurred at the time of the
original closing, which I take it from your comments and email yesterday
seems to be the impression that you had.

Having said the foregoing, I and we are delighted to work with Brad and
Cale to provide as broad a shareholder approval as you may want for any
aspect of our relationship, including to obtain the approval of most of
the rest of the shareholders of strategic Forecasting, Inc. to the
original transaction.

Brad, Cale, and I are in agreement that the Consolidated relationship
should be blessed by as many of the shareholders of Strategic Forecasting,
Inc., as possible, to document their approval of that transactions, to
document the intention that Strategic Forecasting, Inc., and Stratfor
Enterprises, LLC, will respectively participate in these types of
transactions in the future with an equity participation no less than their
participation in Stratcap, and to obtain shareholder approval for George
and Don's participation in Consolidated.

Don't hesitate to let me know if you have any questions.

Best,

Steve

CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE
In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
party any transaction or matter addressed herein.


This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
return e-mail, then delete the original message.

-----Original Message-----
From: Feldhaus, Stephen
Sent: Tuesday, December 13, 2011 9:22 AM
To: 'Knippa, Brad'; Shea B. Morenz
Cc: Mr. Don R. Kuykendall; Craig Stamm; McDowell, Cale; Mr. George
Friedman
Subject: RE: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters

Perfect.


CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE
In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
party any transaction or matter addressed herein.


This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
return e-mail, then delete the original message.

-----Original Message-----
From: Knippa, Brad [mailto:bknippa@jw.com]
Sent: Tuesday, December 13, 2011 9:17 AM
To: Feldhaus, Stephen; Shea B. Morenz
Cc: Mr. Don R. Kuykendall; Craig Stamm; McDowell, Cale; Mr. George
Friedman
Subject: RE: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters

I'd be pleased to visit.  I'm stepping into a meeting but will try to
reach you on your cell at 9:30.  Thanks.

Bradley S. Knippa, JD, CPA
Jackson Walker L.L.P.
100 Congress Avenue, Suite 1100
Austin, Texas 78701
Direct: (512) 236-2284
Mobile: (512) 431-8336
Facsimile: (512) 391-2126
E-mail: bknippa@jw.com
Web: www.jw.com

This message and any attachments contain privileged and confidential
attorney client information and/or attorney work product exclusively for
intended recipients. Please do not forward or distribute to anyone else.
If you have received this e-mail in error, please call (512) 236-2284 to
report the error then delete this message from your system.  The
statements contained herein are not intended to and do not constitute an
opinion as to any tax or other matter. They are not intended or written to
be used, and may not be relied upon, by you or any other person for the
purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed under any Federal tax
law or otherwise.


-----Original Message-----
From: Feldhaus, Stephen [mailto:sf@feldhauslaw.com]
Sent: Tuesday, December 13, 2011 8:01 AM
To: Shea B. Morenz; Feldhaus, Stephen
Cc: Knippa, Brad; Mr. Don R. Kuykendall; Craig Stamm; McDowell, Cale; Mr.
George Friedman
Subject: Re: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters

Brad,

Let's chat this morning to see what's behind Shea's impression that there
is something wrong with the Stockholders Consent I sent around last
evening. My cell is 202-531-2211.

Best,

Steve
-----Original Message-----
From: Shea Morenz <shea.morenz@stratfor.com>
Date: Tue, 13 Dec 2011 06:47:45
To: Feldhaus, Stephen<sf@feldhauslaw.com>
Cc: Knippa, Brad<bknippa@jw.com>; Don Kuykendall<kuykendall@stratfor.com>;
Craig Stamm<stammwc@gmail.com>; McDowell, Cale<cmcdowell@jw.com>; George
Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>
Subject: Re: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters

Simply trying to get all on the same page... Glad we are on this point as
I was not under that impression. Anything misinterpreted in the other
points?
Thx

--
Shea Morenz
STRATFOR
Managing Partner
office: 512.583.7721
Cell: 713.410.9719
shea.morenz@stratfor.com

(Sent from my iPhone)

On Dec 12, 2011, at 11:33 PM, \"Feldhaus, Stephen\" <sf@feldhauslaw.com>
wrote:

> Shea,
>
> It is late but I notice a sense of urgency and perhaps even more in your
highlighted section and the comment following below.
>
> Please note that your attorney, Bruce Herzog, approved the Strategic
Forecasting, Inc. shareholder consent that was executed as part of the
closing.  Please also note that this consent, which is attached, is, as I
told you today, a very broad consent, and is more than adequate to
constitute the consent of the signing shareholders of Strategic
Forecasting, Inc, for the Stratcap investment and Services Agreement.  I
am glad to provide a broader consent as you indicate you wish, and to
provide copies of all the documents to the other shareholders as you
indicate you wish, and to attempt to obtain the approval of as many of the
other shareholders as we can, but your implication that you are surprised
at what happened is equally surprising to me, since Bruce was fully aware
of everything that we did, and was fine with it and with the language of
the attached consent (which he specifically approved) at the time of our
August 1 closing.
>
> I am hopeful that there has been a miscommunication somewhere along the
line on your side, because the implication of your email that Stratfor has
done something improper that could imperil your ability to recruit
candidates is alarming and I truly do not believe is correct in any
respect.
>
> Again, I do hope that a miscommunication has occurred.  I felt that Brad
and I understood what each was saying.  I do not concur with the
implication of your email that Stratfor has done anything improper, and I
do know that Bruce certainly did not believe that we did anything
improper, because he approved the language of the consent.
>
> My plane leaves at 11:30 in the morning.  I am available before then or
after my arrival at 3:30 your time to discuss any of this as fully and
completely as you or Brad would like.  I am also more than willing to take
any action that you or Brad feel is needed to provide Stratcap with the
best offering memorandum possible.  But I do not accept that Stratfor has
failed to do something properly that imperils the Stratcap venture in any
way.
>
> Best,
>
> Steve
>
>
>
>
>
> CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE
> In accordance with Treasury Regulations, please note that any tax advice
given herein (and in any attachments) is not intended or written to be
used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of (i) avoiding
tax penalties or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another
party any transaction or matter addressed herein.
>
> 
> This e-mail and any attachments may contain confidential information
belonging to the sender which is legally privileged. The information is
intended only for the use of the individual or entity named above. If you
are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any
disclosure, copying, distribution, or the taking of any action regarding
the contents of this e-mailed information is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this transmission in error, please immediately notify us by
return e-mail, then delete the original message.
>
> From: Shea Morenz [mailto:shea.morenz@stratfor.com]
> Sent: Monday, December 12, 2011 10:06 PM
> To: Knippa, Brad; Don Kuykendall
> Cc: Feldhaus, Stephen; 'Craig Stamm'; McDowell, Cale; George Friedman
> Subject: Re: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters
>
> Steve, pls confirm / correct the key follow-up points from today as I
certain I have missed something:
>
> 1. Squeeze-out merger/Subchapter S election of Strategic Forecasting,
> Inc. (\"Stratfor Inc.\") -we will exchange the preferred Inc shares for
> a note, which requires the approval of Don and Steve alone -we will
> get all 65 shareholders to approve the transaction
>
> 2. Stratfor Enterprises, LLC (\"Enterprises\") transaction -we will
> ensure that all non-consenting shareholders get adequate disclosure of
> the transactions under DGCL § 228(e)
>
> 3. Stratcap Management, LLC (\"Stratcap\") / Stratcap International
> Consolidated Inc. (\"Stratcap Consolidated\")
>
> \"Second, the scope of the consent granted by the shareholders of
Stratfor Inc. appears to have been limited to SM/Stratfor's investment in
Stratfor, the formation of Enterprises, and the contribution to
Enterprises of the assets of Stratfor Inc., and did not include the
formation of Stratcap, the grant of interests in Stratcap to each of Shea
and George, or the terms of the Services Agreement between Enterprises and
Stratcap (collectively, the \"Stratcap Matters\").  Given the dynamics here,
Steve, Cale and I all agreed that the proper course of action is to seek
the approval of the shareholders of Stratfor Inc. to those transactions,
as well as the formation of Stratcap International Consolidated Inc.
(\"Stratcap Consolidated\") and the participation of George, Don and Shea in
that entity.\"
>
> I can't believe that STRATCAP has never even been granted consent from
the majority of the shareholders? Steve, you suggested otherwise today,
which is correct? Obviously, I am very concerned about recruiting
candidates to move to Austin, who will review all documents, without
shareholder approval of this transaction. This cannot slow our progress!
>
> Thus, we are planning to simultaneously execute all these items
immediately alongside of the S-Corp transaction, which means that we are
including all 65 shareholders in each case so we can properly approve the
ENTERPRISES and STRATCAP transactions executed in August in order to
finalize all related issues by January 31.
>
> Thanks.
>
> --
> Shea Morenz
> Managing Partner
> STRATFOR
> 221 West 6th Street
> Suite 400
> Austin, Texas 78701
>
> shea.morenz@stratfor.com
> Phone: 512.583.7721
> Cell: 713.410.9719
>
> From: Brad Knippa <bknippa@jw.com<mailto:bknippa@jw.com>>
> Date: Sat, 10 Dec 2011 08:33:36 -0600
> To: Brad Knippa <bknippa@jw.com<mailto:bknippa@jw.com>>, Shea Morenz
> <shea.morenz@stratfor.com<mailto:shea.morenz@stratfor.com>>, Don
> Kuykendall <kuykendall@stratfor.com<mailto:kuykendall@stratfor.com>>
> Cc: Stephen Feldhaus <sf@feldhauslaw.com<mailto:sf@feldhauslaw.com>>,
> 'Craig Stamm' <stammwc@gmail.com<mailto:stammwc@gmail.com>>,
> \"McDowell, Cale\" <cmcdowell@jw.com<mailto:cmcdowell@jw.com>>
> Subject: RE: Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters
>
> To clarify, the last sentence should state \"Our presumption . . .\"
> Pardon my suspect proof-reading.  BK
>
> _____________________________________________
> From:    Knippa, Brad
> Sent:   Saturday, December 10, 2011 8:28 AM
> To:     Shea Morenz; 'Don Kuykendall'
> Cc:     Stephen Feldhaus; 'Craig Stamm'; McDowell, Cale
> Subject:        Stratfor/Stratcap Structure Matters
>
> Shea and Don,
>
> As we discussed on Thursday, Cale and I had a good, constructive
conversation with Steve Feldhaus regarding some of the fiduciary issues
that we are analyzing in connection with the formation of Stratcap
International Consolidated, LLC (\"Stratcap Consolidated\").
>
> In brief summary, its our understanding that we have arrived on the
following conclusions/recommendations:
>
> A.  Upon the completion of the notice and consent process relating to
the squeeze-out merger/Subchapter S election of Strategic Forecasting,
Inc. (\"Stratfor Inc.\"), the remaining shareholders of Stratfor Inc. should
be provided an update regarding the progress by Stratcap Management, LLC
(\"Stratcap\") regarding fund and investment matters, and concurrently be
provided a comprehensive disclosure document which informs them the terms
upon which Stratcap was formed, will be owned, and will operate before
finalizing the ownership of Stratcap Consolidated.
>
> B.  In the meantime, we can proceed with the formation of the new
Cypriot entity, the execution of the note evidencing Stratcap's obligation
to repay amounts loaned by Shea's entity SM/Stratfor Partners, LLC
(\"SM/Stratfor\"), and the engagement of Sipho, but all under a slightly
revised interim structure (explained below).
>
> C.  We need to confirm that the capitalization of each of Stratcap and
Stratfor Inc. reflects the agreement of the parties, in light of certain
conflicting information we noted in the organizational chart and
underlying documentation JW was provided.
>
> The following discussion expands on the points above:
>
> 1. Prior Shareholder Approvals
>
> From our conversation with Steve and review of documents, it appears
that a majority of the shareholders of Stratfor Inc. received copies of
the Contribution & Subscription Agreement (as amended) and the company
agreement of Stratfor Enterprises, LLC (\"Enterprises\")in connection with
the action by written consent to approve the recent restructuring
transaction.  Assuming that these matters were approved in accordance with
the governing documents of Stratfor Inc. (which we have not yet reviewed),
the restructuring transaction was properly effected and the consenting
shareholders have received proper disclosure of, and have approved,
SM/Stratfor's investment in Stratfor, the formation of Enterprises, and
the contribution to Enterprises of the assets of Stratfor Inc.
>
> This leaves open two items for consideration:
>
> First, the above-referenced consent was not unanimous, which means that
there is a small group of non-consenting shareholders who would not be
estopped from complaining about the reorganization of Stratfor and the
terms of SM/Stratfor's investment. We should consider whether these
non-consenting shareholders received adequate disclosure of the
transactions under DGCL § 228(e).  These concerns are, however, somewhat
mitigated by the fact that the non-consenting shareholders' ownership
interests are small enough that any damages would be limited (and 16 of
them will \"go away\" when the total number of shareholders is reduced from
65 to 49 in the merger transaction).
>
> Second, the scope of the consent granted by the shareholders of Stratfor
Inc. appears to have been limited to SM/Stratfor's investment in Stratfor,
the formation of Enterprises, and the contribution to Enterprises of the
assets of Stratfor Inc., and did not include the formation of Stratcap,
the grant of interests in Stratcap to each of Shea and George, or the
terms of the Services Agreement between Enterprises and Stratcap
(collectively, the \"Stratcap Matters\").  Given the dynamics here, Steve,
Cale and I all agreed that the proper course of action is to seek the
approval of the shareholders of Stratfor Inc. to those transactions, as
well as the formation of Stratcap International Consolidated Inc.
(\"Stratcap Consolidated\") and the participation of George, Don and Shea in
that entity.
>
> 2. Stratcap Consolidated
>
> Given the lack of approval of the Stratcap Matters, we cannot (as we
previously hoped) rely on the percentage interests granted to each of
Enterprises and Stratfor Holdings, LLC (resulting in a combined 22.5%
beneficial interest to the shareholders of Stratfor Inc.) as a model by
which to eliminate any damages suffered by those shareholders in
connection with the Stratcap Matters.  In other words, because the
capitalization of Stratcap has not been ratified by the shareholders of
Stratfor Inc., modeling the capitalization of future entities after
Stratcap affords no protection against claims of self-dealing, breach of
fiduciary duty, etc.  Accordingly, we would be well advised to hold off on
finalizing the formation of Stratcap Consolidated until we are able to
confirm approval of the Stratcap Matters from the shareholders of Stratfor
Inc.
>
> 3. Timing & Interim Solution
>
> We understand that Stratfor Inc. is preparing to send materials to its
shareholders relating to a proposed squeeze-out merger and the election to
treat Stratfor Inc. as a Subchapter S corporation.  Once this has been
completed, Stratfor Inc. will be in a position to approach the remaining
shareholders to request that they approve the Stratcap Matters.  Steve
believes that we would be able to obtain close to 100% approval of the
Stratcap Matters, which would dramatically reduce the fiduciary duty risks
associated with the formation and operation of Stratcap and its related
entities.  These two consecutive approval processes may, however, take us
into January, which necessitates an interim solution.
>
> To that end, we propose to use Stratcap as a surrogate entity until we
are able to obtain shareholder approval of the formation of Stratcap
Consolidated (together with the other Stratcap Matters).  We should be
able to proceed with the formation of the Cypriot entity that was to be a
subsidiary of Stratcap Consolidated as a subsidiary of Stratcap instead.
Using Stratcap as a surrogate would also entail reworking the SM/Stratfor
promissory note to allow Shea's cash advances to go to Stratcap rather
than to Stratcap Consolidated. With regard to Sipho, his consulting
agreement could be set up to belong to the newly formed Cypriot entity
(which we will ultimately move under Stratcap Consolidated).
>
> Note that, though Sipho's consulting agreement provides for the
calculation of his \"performance bonus\" on the basis of 77.5% of
\"distributed cash\" (i.e., distributed cash after subtracting the 22.5%
beneficial interest of Stratfor Inc.), and, as noted above, this 22.5%
figure has been disendowed of its \"magic\" protective status, we see no
purely legal reason that the consulting agreement with Sipho (being an
arms-length transaction) cannot use this figure if it is acceptable to you
from a business perspective.  Of course, whatever terms you agree upon
with Sipho will benefit the owners of Stratcap, and (by extension)
Stratfor Inc., ratably, regardless of the percentage of distributed cash
you agree to make available to Sipho.  The proper percentage to use in
this context is a business question rather than a legal one.
>
> If these interim measures are acceptable, we should be able to move
forward with finalizing the Cypriot entity and the consulting agreement
with Sipho while working on the Stratfor Inc. shareholder approvals in
parallel.
>
> 4. Capitalization
>
> On a more perfunctory note, we need to confirm the capitalization of
Stratcap and Enterprises.  It appears that the percentages reflected on
the organizational chart that we received do exactly tie-out with the
percentages in the ownership documents we reviewed.  The difference are
not material, and they may simply result from the organizational chart's
of approximate percentages, but we want to be sure to nail-town the
precise calculations.
>
> See below for a summary of (i) the percentages reflected on the
organizational chart with respect to each entity, (ii) the number of units
assigned to each member in the respective company agreements, (iii) each
member's non-incentive ownership percentage, based on units held (per
company agreements), and (iv) each member's total ownership percentage
(incentive and non-incentive, assuming no forfeiture), based on units held
(per company agreements).
>
> Stratcap Management LLC
>
> (i)
> Org. Chart
>
> (ii)
> Company Agreement (Units)
>
> (iii)
> Co. Agmt. Percentage (w/o incentive units)
>
> (iv)
> Co. Agmt. Percentage (with incentive units)
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Stratfor Holdings, LLC (Class A Units)
>
> 18%
>
> 180,000
>
> 20.00%
>
> 19.15%
>
> Stratfor Enterprises, LLC (Class A Units)
>
> 5%
>
> 45,000
>
> 5.00%
>
> 4.79%
>
> SM/Stratfor Partners, LLC (Class A Units)
>
> 72%
>
> 630,000
>
> 70.00%
>
> 67.02%
>
> SM/Stratfor Partners, LLC (Series 1 Incentive)
>
> --
>
> 20,000
>
> --
>
> 2.13%
>
> Shea Morenz (Series 2 Incentive)
>
> --
>
> 20,000
>
> --
>
> 2.13%
>
> George Freidman (Class A Units)
>
> 5%
>
> 45,000
>
> 5.00%
>
> 4.79%
>
> TOTAL:
>
> 100%
>
> 940,000
>
> 100.00%
>
> 100.00%
>
>
> Stratfor Enterprises, LLC
>
> Org. Chart
>
> Company Agreement (Units)
>
> Co. Agmt. Percentage (w/o incentive units)
>
> Co. Agmt. Percentage (with incentive units)
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Class A Units)
>
> 90%
>
> 180,000
>
> 90.00%
>
> 81.82%
>
> SM/Stratfor Partners, LLC (Class A Units)
>
> 10%
>
> 20,000
>
> 10.00%
>
> 9.09%
>
> Shea Morenz (Incentive Units)
>
> --
>
> 20,000
>
> --
>
> 9.09%
>
> TOTAL
>
> 100%
>
> 220,000
>
> 100.00%
>
> 100.00%
>
>
> Is are presumption that figures in column (ii) accurately reflect the
deal that was made with respect to Stratcap and Enterprises, and that the
organizational chart should be revised accordingly.  We'll go with this
assumption unless you inform us to the contrary.
>
> Steve, feel free to chime in with any additions and/or corrections.
>
> Thanks.
>
> BK
>
> Bradley S. Knippa, JD, CPA
> Jackson Walker L.L.P.
> 100 Congress Avenue, Suite 1100
> Austin, Texas 78701
> Direct: (512) 236-2284
> Mobile: (512) 431-8336
> Facsimile: (512) 391-2126
> E-mail: bknippa@jw.com<mailto:bknippa@jw.com>
> Web: www.jw.com
>
> This message and any attachments contain privileged and confidential
attorney client information and/or attorney work product exclusively for
intended recipients. Please do not forward or distribute to anyone else.
If you have received this e-mail in error, please call (512) 236-2284 to
report the error then delete this message from your system.  The
statements contained herein are not intended to and do not constitute an
opinion as to any tax or other matter. They are not intended or written to
be used, and may not be relied upon, by you or any other person for the
purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed under any Federal tax
law or otherwise.
>
>
> <27 stratfor - consent of the stockholders of strategic forecasting,
> inc..pdf>
","2011-12-13 18:08:42",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/2975424_re-stratfor-stratcap-structure-matters-.html","","","gfriedman@stratfor.com,kuykendall@stratfor.com,sf@feldhauslaw.com,stammwc@gmail.com,bknippa@jw.com,cmcdowell@jw.com",""
3016788,"International Deal Structure (Stratcap)
","120","2011-09-29 00:29:15",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/3016788_international-deal-structure-stratcap-.html","bknippa@jw.com","","shea.morenz@stratfor.com,JHill@mpwcpa.com,jstephenson@jw.com,asolomon@jw.com,bjanes@jw.com","attach/36/36383_International Deal Structure - Stratcap.pdf"
3438302,"FW: CIA head of analysis fired
","I wanted to forward these comments from George to the entire team so that
everyone at Stratfor is aware of the incredible opportunity/challenge we are
faced with. 

Iser 

-----Original Message-----
From: George Friedman [mailto:gfriedman@stratfor.com] 
Sent: Wednesday, December 29, 2004 9:13 AM
To: analysts@stratfor.com; exec@stratfor.com
Subject: CIA head of analysis fired

Jamie Miscik, Deputy Director of Intelligence at the CIA was fired today. As
DDI, she ran the analytic shop. According to media reports, she was fired
for squandering resources on day to day reports while ignoring the broad
trends. In other words, she was fired for looking at the trees and being
unable to see the forest. She was also accused of spending too much time
updating policy makers and too little time trying to grasp the broad
trends--giving customers what they wanted instead of what they needed. In
the end, it was her customers that turned on her.
My charge against her was and remains that she took no pride in her craft
and turned intelligence into PR and shoddy process. She and her gang are now
history.

This gives Stratfor an enormous, historic opportunity. The CIA model of
analysis has been invalidated. The ponderous, process driven machine that
could only manage the small things now needs to be replaced by a robust,
visionary, courageous analytic system. Stratfor has the opportunity to show
the way. In fact, we are showing the way. Everyone in Langley knows that we
do things they have never been able to do with a small fraction of their
resources. They have always asked how we did it. We can now show them and
maybe they can learn.

Our annual and decade forecast will, I guarantee you, be read by everyone at
the CIA. They are looking for new models and they are looking at us. Every
ounce of excellence that Stratfor owns will go into those two pieces. This
will not only be good business, it will serve our country. They will be a
road map to the craft of intelligence.

Allan Dulles said that intelligence was a craft. It is not a mass production
line. The architects of misbegotten process in intelligence have failed and
are out. It is our chance to step to the plate. It's a rare moment and I
want everyone in intelligence to take a break from working to think, dream
and imagine. This is our chance to do it right. 

It is Stratfor's chance to make intelligence history and build a major
business at the same time. It is a moment I have been waiting for--and knew
was coming--since 1996, when George Tenet was appointed DCI and Stratfor was
founded. I, for one, am going to show them how it's done. I invite each of
you to join me. This, ladies and gentlemen, is it.
","2004-12-29 16:54:06",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/3438302_fw-cia-head-of-analysis-fired-.html","iser@stratfor.com","","allstratfor@stratfor.com",""
3527637,"Global Vantage Clients 
","","2006-02-07 23:51:07",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/3527637_global-vantage-clients-.html","glass@stratfor.com","","service@stratfor.com","attach/150/150549_GV Client List rev. 1-31-06.xls"
4966214,"[OS] RUSSIA/GEORGIA - Russia trying to \"enslave\" Georgia,
	president says
","","2011-11-22 18:58:11",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/4966214_-os-russia-georgia-russia-trying-to-enslave-georgia.html","marc.lanthemann@stratfor.com","mailto:os@stratfor.com","os@stratfor.com",""
5008523,"Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - GERMANY/AFGHANISTAN - German security company
 in Afghanistan
","   Good work, Hoor.

   On 8/4/11 4:10 PM, Hoor Jangda wrote:

     Kunduz isn't part of phase 1 of the handover so there are foreign forces
     still in the province.

     On Thursday, 8/4/11 3:10 PM, Kristen Cooper wrote:

       Is Kunduz among the initial areas where they are trying to hand over
       security to the Afghan forces?

       On 8/4/11 3:50 PM, Michael Wilson wrote:

         PUBLICATION: Check with Hoor first
         SOURCE: New source, DE1000
         ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor source
         SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Former intelligence analyst in Afghanistan.
         SOURCE  Reliability : (new source not sure yet)
         ITEM CREDIBILITY: (not sure yet)
         DISTRIBUTION: Alpha
         SPECIAL HANDLING:
         SOURCE HANDLER: Hoor

         This is someone that I spoke to post the Kunduz attack (August 2) at
         the German security office. These are the main questions I asked
         after the attack: There is quite a bit here. If you have any
         questions you want asked let me know.

         Questions I asked:
         What do you think will happen with Kunduz? does it appear that the
         security situation will get worse? Any idea what the Taliban
         structure in Kunduz is currently looking like?

         His response :
         Dear Hoor,

         Many thanks for your reply. It's great to discuss analytical
         intricacies with someone at Stratfor, which I've been reading and
         greatly appreciating as a subscriber for some 9 years now.

         The company, LANTdefence, actually belongs to EXOP GmbH, a small
         German security and intelligence firm. The main client base
         consisted of humanitarian organisations active in Afghanistan and
         Pakistan, particularly German ones. I traveled a lot to and within
         Pakistan for a corporate client, building up an intelligence and
         early warning infrastructure for their project sites. I still have a
         number of good contacts in the humanitarian and security environment
         in Afghanistan. Later this year I might actually go back to
         Afghanistan for a few weeks on a consulting assignment.

         Re. the situation in Kunduz: I visited Kunduz several times in 2009
         and 2010, and even back then, the security situation was decidedly
         worse than in Mazar and even Kabul. International aid workers could
         only move around the city with local escort. Whether the escorts
         were armed or not pretty much depended on the approach of the
         respective humanitarian organisation/company: The Germans (GIZ) were
         generally travelling without armed escort, while the UN and actors
         like DAI (contractor of USAID) had different approaches. The main
         character of Kunduz City has long been the fact that it is basically
         surrounded by Taliban or Taliban-friendly insurgents, who have also
         been known to have a permanent if somewhat subtle presence in the
         city. Insurgent influence on the city was always palpable - e.g.
         when I spent a few days there in May 2010 it was a fact of life that
         cell phones didn't work between 6pm and 5am because the Taliban
         forced the providers to switch off networks during the night.
         Western nationals working with aid agencies could generally not be
         present beyond city limits. Even locals working for Western
         organisations were increasingly threatened.

         The current situation in Kunduz has further deteriorated, compared
         to 2010, according to my contacts in Kunduz and Kabul. The German
         Bundeswehr which is based near Kunduz airport has dramatically
         failed in their stabilisation efforts, largely due to not
         understanding the concept of COIN. (I have talked to many German
         officers every time I was in Kunduz, and have researched the German
         COIN approach in my 2008 dissertation at King's College London.)
         This does not bode well for the future security situation in Kunduz.
         US forces are largely dictating the pace and degree of pressure on
         the insurgents, but NATO forces in the area are on the backfoot as
         everyone is well aware that NATO will leave within the next 2-3
         years. Local power brokers (Taliban, arbaki, corrupt police, ANA,
         etc.) are preparing to fight for the power gap that NATO forces will
         leave behind when they will eventually draw back.

         I am not too sure about the insurgent structure in Kunduz at the
         moment - at least I don't have a complete picture. However, I know
         from conversations with local police and foreign intel people there
         that apart from the local Taliban structure, foreign fighters have
         always posed a particular problem in Kunduz. There has always been
         talk about 'the Uzbeks', referring to Islamist militants from
         Uzbekistan who have been known to live in local safehouses in the
         city. Also, Kunduz police chief Aqtash told me in a 90-min meeting
         last year that there is a hotspot village about 20km northwest of
         Kunduz City where according to his estimates around 100 Haqqani
         militants or sympathisers are based. Furthermore, recent information
         from German authorities (and Youtube videos) show that there is a
         small but seemingly constant stream of jihadi fighters with German
         passports who join the insurgents in the Kunduz area. From what I
         know these are German militants who first take the usual route
         Turkey-Zahedan (Iran)-Pakistani tribal areas and are then moved on
         to Northern Afghanistan via Kunar/Nuristan and Badakhshan.

         Lastly, a few words on the 02 Aug attack in Kunduz. I agree with you
         in considering this a particularly interesting event. While it is
         not unheard of that local guards employed by international orgs get
         injured or killed in attacks, direct attacks on Western security
         companies are quite rare in Afghanistan according to my reading. The
         January 2011 attack on the 'Finest' supermarket in Kabul was such an
         attack, but in that case an individual XE employee had been tracked
         and assaulted while shopping at the supermarket. The attack now on
         LANTdefence (and their local partner Kabora) is therefore a
         significant thing in my view. Such a suicide attack after just one
         year of presence in Kunduz is certainly a setback - other Western
         security companies have operated in Kunduz for years without getting
         hit. The fact that the Taliban have hightlighted the attack in their
         claim of responsibility as being against a 'German intelligence
         centre' leaves no doubt that it was LANTdefence/EXOP that was the
         intended target. The problem for LANTdefence/EXOP were always the,
         let's say, close ties to German intelligence that did certainly not
         go unnoticed among local house staff, local guards and drivers etc.
         Plenty of opportunities for the Taliban to gather target intel, if
         the right sort of pressure is put on the families of local staff,
         for example. On the other side, almost all foreign security
         companies are rumoured to have intelligence ties, so the Taliban
         could very well have only done some guess-work.

         The attack was apparently meant to be a strong warning against the
         company, but was not actually designed to annihilate it completely.
         (The main LANTdefence office is in Kabul anyway.) I know the
         compound in Kunduz pretty well, and any attacker could have expected
         to run into resistance from anything between 6 and 10 armed guards
         and their German ex-army supervisors. Still, only two insurgent
         gunmen stormed the house after the initial blast that opened the
         main gate. They were not killed by responding police, but detonated
         their explosives belts themselves after 1-2 hours of firefight.

         The attack will certainly have implications for the security of
         foreign aid workers, especially Germans in the area and probably
         country-wide. As I said before, LANTdefence, partnering with Kabora,
         is responsible for all GIZ physical security all over Afghanistan.
         Now that LANTdefence themselves have become the target of an attack
         and have been singled out by Taliban spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid as
         'German intelligence', the company will be forced to drastically
         step up their own security measures, which leaves less bandwidth for
         protecting their clients. Also, if for example the Kabul HQ of the
         company would be attacked, the neighbouring GIZ building on one
         side, and the other neighbours, the French NGO ACF, would be
         severely affected as well. It is surely a problem when a security
         provider becomes a security risk themselves.

         Anyway - I could go on forever but have to cut short now. I hope my
         info is useful for you to even better understand the local context.
         As I said in my initial message, if you plan to incorporate some of
         the more sensitive info into your analyses, such as the background
         on LANTdefence/EXOP, that's fine, but please do not hint at whom you
         have it from. If you have questions on the above or on anything
         else, don't hesitate to get back in touch.

         Thanks and all best,

 --
 Hoor Jangda
 Tactical Analyst
 Mobile: 281 639 1225
 Email: hoor.jangda@stratfor.com
 STRATFOR, Austin

 --
 Michael Wilson
 Director of Watch Officer Group, STRATFOR
 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
 michael.wilson@stratfor.com


 --
 Hoor Jangda
 Tactical Analyst
 Mobile: 281 639 1225
 Email: hoor.jangda@stratfor.com
 STRATFOR, Austin
","2011-08-04 22:20:06",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5008523_re-alpha-insight-germany-afghanistan-german-security-company.html","bokhari@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
5070598,"[alpha] RESENDING - MUST READ Fwd: source evaluations - must read
","   It has come to my attention that if something is sent at night it is not
   seen as valuable as if it were sent during 8a-5p so I'm resending this. 
   This needs to change.  We operate 24/7.  This is mandatory for everyone to
   read and process.

   I also resent the insight lists this morning with the correct
   spreadsheet.  That is also mandatory reading.  If you need me to resend
   that as well, let me know.

   If there are any questions, please ask.  I will send an email later today
   or tomorrow on the intel meeting next week as mentioned in another email
   also sent last night.

   Jen

   -------- Original Message --------

    Subject: [alpha] source evaluations - must read                     
       Date: Tue, 09 Aug 2011 21:51:43 -0500                            
       From: Jennifer Richmond <richmond@stratfor.com>                  
   Reply-To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>                            
         To: Alpha List <alpha@stratfor.com>, watchofficer@stratfor.com 

   This is the first in several emails on our sourcing and insight
   collections.  To begin with, we will be meeting with everyone who has
   sources to evaluate them on the criteria and scoring below.  I will be in
   touch with everyone who has a source list within the next few weeks.  If
   you have sources but no source list, then you need to create one.  I will
   give details on this in a separate email. 

   All of those who need to update or create their list need to do so by
   Monday and send them to both myself and Anya.  If you need a source code
   number range, email me and I will get this set up for you so you can start
   the process.  For analysts with compiled lists with uncoded sources,
   please code these ASAP unless they are genuinely a one-off and then give
   an explanation.

   In the meantime, it would be best if everyone with sources start to
   evaluate each source by looking at least the past five insights and start
   to score them based on the criteria and scoring below so you are not
   scrambling when we are ready to set up an evaluation with you.  Also, from
   here on out, start to think about sources with these criteria and scoring
   in mind.  This will be the first of many periodic insight evaluations so
   its best for everyone to get acquainted with this method.

   For Watch Officers, please also start to think along these lines when you
   are reading insight.  In the future we will also look to you as objective
   source evaluators.  Also, please start to read the insight carefully and
   comment on it the same as you would a piece from OS.  As Reva said in our
   meeting today, we are starting to refocus on intel and insight.  As Watch
   Officers, you are well placed to comment on any anomalies presented in
   insights and compare it with what is being said in the media.

   If there are any questions or concerns, please ask.

   Jen

                               Sourcing Criteria

   The following are the proposed criteria for analyzing both sources and
   insight.

    

   1.     Source Timeliness

   2.     Source Accessibility/Position

   3.     Source Availability

   4.     Insight Credibility

   5.     Insight Uniqueness

    

    

   Source Timeliness:  This is the average grade on how long this particular
   source turns around tasks and replies to inquiries.  It may change but is
   more of a static indicator.

    

   Source Accessibility: Accessibility weighs the source's position to have
   certain knowledge in a particular field.  So, for example, if we are
   looking for energy insight and the source is an official in an energy
   agency, his or her Accessibility would be ranked higher than if s/he was a
   banker giving insight on energy.  While we would welcome a banker giving
   his/her insight, a good source may not have a high accessibility ranking
   if they aren't in a position to offer reliable insight on a certain topic.
   The source's access to decision makers, specific training or education in
   the desired topic area, specific knowledge of events/situations/incidents
   can also be considered.

    

   Source Availability:  How often can we go to this source?  Are they
   someone we can tap daily, weekly, monthly, yearly?

    

   Insight Credibility:  This is our assessment of the veracity of the
   insight offered.  Here we need to consider whether or not this is
   disinformation, speculation, correct data or knowledgeable interpretation.
   Any bias that the source is displaying or any specific viewpoints or
   personal background the source is using in the assessment provided should
   also be considered.

    

   Insight Uniqueness:  Is this insight something that could be found in OS? 
   If it is but the analysis of the information is unique, it would still
   have a high uniqueness ranking.  Or, if it is concrete data, but is
   something that is only offered to industry insiders, i.e. stats that
   aren't published but that aren't secret, it would still have a high
   uniqueness score.

    

    

                                    Scoring

   All of the above factors will be scored on an A-F scale, with A being
   exemplary and F being useless. 

    

   Source Timeliness:

   A = turnaround within 24 hours

   B = turnaround within 48 hours

   C = turnaround within a week

   D = turnaround within a month

   F = lucky to receive a reply at all

    

   Source Accessibility:

   A = Someone with intimate knowledge of the particular insight

   B = Someone within the industry but whose knowledge of the topic is not
   exact (e.g. if we were asking someone in the oil industry about natural
   gas)

   C = Someone working close to the industry who doesn't have intimate
   knowledge of a particular topic but can speak to it intelligently (e.g. a
   financial consultant asked to gauge the movement of the stock market)

   D = Someone who may know a country but doesn't have any concrete insight
   into a particular topic but can offer rumors and discussions heard on the
   topic

   F = Someone who has no knowledge of a particular industry at all

    

   Source Availability:

   A = Available pretty much whenever

   B = Can tap around once a week

   C = Can tap about once a month

   D = Can tap only several times a year

   F = Very limited availability

    

   Insight Credibility:

   A = We can take this information to the bank

   B = Good insight but maybe not entirely precise

   C = Insight is only partially true

   D = There may be some interest in the insight, but it is mostly false or
   just pure speculation.

   F = Likely to be disinformation

    

   Insight Uniqueness:

   A = Can't be found anywhere else

   B = Can only be found in limited circles

   C = Insight can be found in OS, but the source has an interesting
   take/analysis

   D = Insight can be found in OS, but still may not be common knowledge

   F = Insight is accessible in numerous locations

    

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 STRATFOR
 China Director
 Director of International Projects
 (512) 422-9335
 richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com
","2011-08-10 21:05:56",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5070598_-alpha-resending-must-read-fwd-source-evaluations-must-read-.html","richmond@stratfor.com","mailto:alpha@stratfor.com","alpha@stratfor.com",""
5091635,"Re: A thought on open source practice
","   Well put.

   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Brian Genchur
   Date: Mon, 30 Mar 2009 22:44:22 -0500
   To: Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: A thought on open source practice

   I'd add another example to George's point.  The reason media come to us
   for information and analysis is because we are, by definition, not open
   source.  If we named all of our sources the same way the NYT does, then
   they would likely go to the 'primary source' of the information (where we
   collected it) rather than us.  The NYT wouldn't analyze it as well, but
   that's another point. 

   STRATFOR analysts BECOME sources for news outlets by using intelligence
   and analytical methods as opposed to purely news gathering techniques. 
   Journalists collect information and write down what others say.  You guys
   use your brains to analyze the information after collection, and then you
   say what that all means in context - something I think is far more
   valuable and interesting.  You then use history, analysis, whatever other
   magic you guys do...  to forecast.  By doing so, you add so much value to
   the information (open source or otherwise) that you become the NOT open
   source that you are - or more precisely - that STRATFOR is not.

   A journalist is taught to be a \"public watchdog\".  The 4th Estate.  Expose
   the information and let the public decide what it means (though with
   commentators, entertainers and columnists these days, the line is
   blurring).  I'm pretty sure that \"public watchdog\" wouldn't be the first
   way you'd describe yourself when it comes to what you do.  Though, I may
   be wrong.  A \"public watchdog\"'s role is to MAKE information open source.

   George Friedman wrote:

 And that is the weakness of the government vision and why I never use the term open source in relation to us.  When you talk to me1 or jen talks to china or the ct team spins up a source it is a degree of secret material. It is stone secret. The idea that clandestine collection is a government specialty has never worked with shell oil.  The government confuses the dissemination of information with the collection of information.  We are not at all like the nyt because their reporters always identify themselves as such. We may or may not as it suits us. This is the fundamental difference between journalism and intelligence. The source may never know he was a source, which is the definition of clandestine.   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T  -----Original Message----- From: Reva Bhalla <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>  Date: Mon, 30 Mar 2009 21:52:42 To: <friedman@att.blackberry.net>; Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com> Subject: Re: A thought on open source practice   that's true, the way the govt defines open sources is:  Any and all information that can be derived from overt collection: all types of media, government reports, scientific research, Internet, commercial vendors of info, etc. The main qualifies to open source information are that it does not require any type of clandestine collection techniques to obtain it.  for the USG, it doesn't require clandestine collection to obtain what Strat writes. But STrat product does require some level of secret sourcing. So by this definition, Stratfor isn't any definition than a NYT reporter with a source.  On Mar 30, 2009, at 9:47 PM, George Friedman wrote:   

 I agree except that I don't regard us as open source. We publish much of what we know but our souring includes what will be a growing amount of non open source material. So I'm rejecting the government definition of open source. We publush our findings but our sources are far from open. Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T  -----Original Message----- From: Reva Bhalla <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>  Date: Mon, 30 Mar 2009 21:41:34 To: <friedman@att.blackberry.net>; Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com> Subject: Re: A thought on open source practice   agree, and those all good points, but the industry is also slowly transforming to greater appreciate open source intelligence, like Stratfor. With technological advancements, information is everywhere. Some of it highly misleading written on blogs by the crazy Kazakhs and Ukrainians who write to us. Others, like Strat and other valuable databases of information, are accessed regularly by top policymakers, creating a crisis for many within the covert source realm. in reality, both can't survive without each other. there is a strong case for both open source and covert sources, but there will always be that so- called elitism in the classified world.  regardless, as an open source institution, there is a good niche for us in this market and we should all take pride in the different ways we build up our reputation, whether through the open source material we collect and disseminate, through the intel we collect through our own sources, through the analysis we piece together, through the PR efforts to get our name out there, etc.     On Mar 30, 2009, at 9:32 PM, George Friedman wrote:     

 In order for this to be understood we must distinguish the proper use of open source from the governments use.  For usg, open source is anything not classified. The most secret source used by stratfor is still open source in their mind.  Open source should be defined as published and publicly accessible sources. Covert sources are unpublished sources.  What needs to be added to this mix is common gossip.  This is a form of intelligence that sometimes contains value but too frequently is simply idle chatter.  Too much of what is called intelligence is idle chatter by people who don't really know anything.  This is the trap.  So nyes point on published material is valid. Most of what is true is widely known and published. But his definition of covert intelligence is insufficient. The assumption that classified information is superior to covert intelligence gathered by others is the conceit of the intelligence community and leads them into constant error.   Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T  -----Original Message----- From: Reva Bhalla <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>  Date: Mon, 30 Mar 2009 21:17:18 To: Analyst List<analysts@stratfor.com> Subject: A thought on open source practice   Joseph Nye, during his tenure at the NIC, said:  \"open source intelligence is the outer pieces of the jigsaw puzzle, without which one can neither begin nor complete the puzzle\"  if you think about our daily work, we rely heavily on open source to fill out the frame of our analysis, and fill in the real picture with critical pieces of intel. After much time and labor, we can finally complete the picture, and that should be the ultimate satisfaction of the analyst and the collector.  just a thought..      

   

 -- {\rtf1\ansi\ansicpg1252\cocoartf949\cocoasubrtf430 {\fonttbl\f0\fswiss\fcharset0 Helvetica;} {\colortbl;\red255\green255\blue255;} \margl1440\margr1440\vieww9000\viewh8400\viewkind0 \pard\tx720\tx1440\tx2160\tx2880\tx3600\tx4320\tx5040\tx5760\tx6480\tx7200\tx7920\tx8640\ql\qnatural\pardirnatural  \f0\fs24 \cf0 Brian Genchur\ Public Relations Manager\ STRATFOR\pr@stratfor.com\ 512 744 4309}
","2009-03-31 05:50:37",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5091635_re-a-thought-on-open-source-practice-.html","friedman@att.blackberry.net","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com",""
5280688,"Re: Fwd: RE: Pls fwd to Fred
","   Do we trust everyone on the list enough to reveal the source's physical
   location?  I was going to remove it, just in case...

   On 9/14/11 9:19 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

     Go, we may want to find that house; note grid coordinates.  I would post
     in context to the threat. 

     On 9/14/2011 8:16 AM, Anya Alfano wrote:

       Okay to post?

       On 9/14/11 9:15 AM, Fred Burton wrote:

         Good skinny.  This is what is defined as a credible source.  Not
         some windbag Paki academic belching and passing gas. 

         -------- Original Message --------

         Subject: RE: Pls fwd to Fred                         
            Date: Wed, 14 Sep 2011 09:12:30 -0400             
            From: James F. Smith <jamie@scginternational.com> 
              To: Fred Burton <burton@stratfor.com>           

         Completely.

         Last week of August I was at a house here (32DEG 52.552'N / 13DEG
         8.512'E) owned by a man last name Hakin (like the MOD Hakin but not
         the same man).

         After midnight we recv'd ph call from anonymous caller telling him
         to get ready for a vehicle to come by to pick him up and take him to
         a pos so he could pickup some money.

         We then called a contact at MOD and ran it by them, they knew of the
         ruse somehow and said it was a trap aimed at the real Hakin (MOD
         head) and that we should vacate asap.

         We grabbed weapons, go-bag and moved out of the house on foot down
         the streets (can't drive this area due to roadblocks at every
         corner) to a safe(r) house. I happened to be solo that night. I
         moved him to the top of the house (3rd deck), barricaded the door on
         ground and the access to the roof, then put him down and maintained
         overwatch of the street below from the roof til dawn.

         This happens frequently here. Definite threat to NTC and lower level
         brigade leadership as well.

          

         From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
         Sent: Wednesday, September 14, 2011 9:06 AM
         To: James F. Smith
         Subject: Re: Pls fwd to Fred

          

         Credible in your eyes? 

         On 9/14/2011 8:02 AM, James F. Smith wrote:

         Rgr//thank you.

          

         From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
         Sent: Wednesday, September 14, 2011 8:49 AM
         To: James F. Smith
         Subject: Re: Pls fwd to Fred

          

         Libyan source warns of possible assassination operations against NTC
         members

         Excerpt from report by Saudi-owned leading pan-Arab daily Al-Sharq
         al-Awsat website on 14 September

         [Report by Khalid Mahmud in Cairo: \"Libya: Revolutionaries'
         Disagreements Impede Search for Fugitive Al-Qadhafi\"]

         The efforts to arrest the fugitive Libyan Colonel Mu'ammar
         al-Qadhafi, who is still somewhere unknown inside Libyan
         territories, receded relatively yesterday as the revolutionaries and
         the Transitional National Council [NTC] became preoccupied with
         disagreements that escalated and surfaced for the first time with
         Islamic political groups that opened fire early at the NTC at an
         unexpected end of the honeymoon which did not last long between the
         two sides.

         While NTC Chairman Counsellor Mustafa Abd-al-Jalil was issuing from
         Martyrs Square in the Libyan capital Tripoli messages to assure the
         Western coalition backing the revolutionaries that he would not
         allow any extremist ideology, whether from the right or the left,
         Ali al-Salabi, the prominent leader in the Muslim Brotherhood [MB]
         group, came out with unprecedented violent and sharp criticisms of
         Dr Mahmud Jibril, chairman of the NTC's Executive Bureau, which
         reached the point of demanding his resignation.

         These developments prompted a high-level official in the NTC to warn
         of possible assassinations against some NTC members, particularly in
         view of the proliferation of weapons all over the country. This
         official, who asked to remain unnamed, said by telephone from
         Tripoli \"we fear that the political clash will lead to a military
         one. There are fears of assassination operations like that of martyr
         Major General Abd-al-Fattah Yunus\", the former commander of the
         revolutionaries forces who was assassinated in mysterious
         circumstances by gunmen believed to be Islamists in Benghazi at the
         end of July. [Passage omitted on Abd-al-Jalil's speech, Al-Salabi's
         statements]

         In view of this unexpected attack by Al-Salabi, sources close to
         Jibril disclosed to Al-Sharq al-Awsat that Jibril refused to give
         the MB more than one ministerial portfolio in the government he
         intends to form from about 20 ministers. The sources said the MB
         sought in the past to persuade Jibril to give it five ministerial
         portfolios, among them the awqaf, information, and interior
         ministries, but he refused from the premise that this would put the
         country within the framework of a quota government and not a
         government of technocrats that carries out its responsibilities
         during the transitional period of 18 months.

         Libyan activists and politicians told Al-Sharq al-Awsat yesterday
         that they called for a march that was supposed to be staged last
         night from outside Al-Mahari Hotel in Tripoli to denounce
         Al-Salabi's statements as part of similar demonstrations aimed at
         stressing that there is a public opinion against such views.

         A NTC official told Al-Sharq al-Awsat the NTC is being subjected to
         what he called \"a campaign of distortion\" by some political trends
         which believe it threatens their interests and endeavours to occupy
         leading posts in the next government. The official, who asked to
         remain unnamed, added \"this is an overt and public blackmail
         campaign. We will not allow the NTC and its government to be dragged
         to these dirty tricks. We still have before us momentous and very
         grave tasks and what is happening is mere political drivel whose
         time has not yet come.\"

         Al-Sharq al-Awsat has learned that Dr Jibril is coming under
         political pressures from the armed groups and revolutionaries to
         give them ministerial posts too. An official connected to the
         upcoming government told this newspaper: \"Yes, he (Jibril) is coming
         under pressures but refuses to yield to them. His task as he sees it
         is to form a national government based on the principle of
         competence and professionalism before any other considerations.\"

         But a NTC member said the formation of the new government might not
         be easy because it would not have everybody's support and pointed
         out that all the political forces are now aspiring to play a public
         political role and obtain the price for their participation in or
         backing for the Libyan people's uprising against Al-Qadhafi.

         Amidst these political disagreements which prove that the honeymoon
         between the Islamists and NTC has ended prematurely, the efforts to
         locate the whereabouts of the fugitive Col. Al-Qadhafi, his sons,
         and his senior military and security aides have slowed down at a
         time when the revolutionaries are fighting fierce battles with the
         colonel's remnant forces to retake his last strongholds in Sirte and
         Bani Walid.

         A security official in the special unit hunting Al-Qadhafi said the
         efforts exerted to pinpoint his whereabouts since his escape from
         Tripoli on 21 August were mostly unsuccessful. Speaking by telephone
         from Tripoli on condition of remaining anonymous, the official added
         \"we have conflicting information. No one has anything definite about
         his (Al-Qadhafi's) hideout. We are still hoping to reach him as
         quickly as possible.\" He pointed out that the reason for the delay
         in forming the new government under Dr Jibril has to do with
         Al-Qadhafi's arrest or killing, adding \"we want the announcement of
         the government to be done with the announcement with the regime's
         official and final downfall and this cannot be done if we do not
         arrest Al-Qadhafi or kill him if he refused to surrender.\"

         In the field, the revolutionaries appeared yesterday to be on the
         verge of attacking the city of Bani Walid where forces loyal to
         Al-Qadhafi are entrenched amidst the large-scale exodus of the
         city's citizens who described the living conditions inside it as
         miserable because of the communications and electricity stoppages.
         The revolutionaries stopped their advance to resolve the city's fate
         for some time so as to enable these citizens to escape somewhere far
         from the fighting while Al-Qadhafi's forces reinforced their
         military positions inside the city and made rooftops the pads for
         missile launchers, according to remarks by military sources to the
         revolutionaries' \"Libya al-Ahrar\" channel.

         Violent clashes erupted between the revolutionaries and the
         regiments in the streets of Sirte, Al-Qadhafi's birthplace, as
         reports circulated that his son Al-Mu'tasim, who is the national
         security adviser, is in the city. The revolutionaries succeeded in
         forcing Al-Qadhafi's forces to retreat towards Harawah which is
         situated 70 km east of Sirte before advancing for 50 km from the
         west to announce also that they had reached the outskirts of Brak
         al-Shati which is only 70 km from Sabha.

         Source: Al-Sharq al-Awsat website, London, in Arabic 14 Sep 11

         BBC Mon ME1 MEPol vs

         On 9/12/2011 1:51 PM, James F. Smith wrote:

 No, mainly tac ground training and psd for key figures.

  

 Sent from my iPhone

  

 On Sep 12, 2011, at 14:28, \"Fred Burton\" <burton@stratfor.com<mailto:burton@stratfor.com>> wrote:

  

 Tactical and intel support too?

  

 On 9/12/2011 10:49 AM, James F. Smith wrote:

  

 Certainly are. They need it. At the request of a usg committee and the rebs. Been there since no-fly.

 JS

 Sent by mobile device

  

 ________________________________

 From: Fred Burton <<mailto:burton@stratfor.com>burton@stratfor.com<mailto:burton@stratfor.com>>

 To: James F. Smith

 Sent: Mon Sep 12 11:21:44 2011

 Subject: Re: Fwd: Fwd: Pls fwd to Fred

 Interesting.  You guys lending the opposition a hand?  I would hope so.

  

 On 9/12/2011 9:59 AM, James F. Smith wrote:

  

 I just got back and am heading back either this week or next. Still working logs on travel.

 JS

 Sent by mobile device

  

 ________________________________

 From: Fred Burton <<mailto:burton@stratfor.com>burton@stratfor.com<mailto:burton@stratfor.com>>

 To: James F. Smith

 Sent: Mon Sep 12 10:52:34 2011

 Subject: Fwd: Fwd: Pls fwd to Fred

 Hello James,   Very interesting and thorough report.   Are you heading into Libya?   Thanks, Fred

  

 ---

  

 Fred,

  

 I tried sending this via Yahoo, but it was kicked back by your servers.

 Let me know if you get this. I'm going back to the AO next week.

 Any RFI's just let me know.

 Yes, we have a stratfor acct under this email address.

  

 James Smith

 SCG, LLC

 www.scginternational.com<http://www.scginternational.com/>

 jamie@scginternational.com<mailto:jamie@scginternational.com>

 +1 757 469 9512 m

 +1 757 390 3356 o

 +1 703 995 4550 f

 1369 Laskin Road, Suite 5

 Virginia Beach, Virginia 23451, USA

  

 U.S. Veteran Owned & Operated

 The information in this communication and any attachments herein are confidential and may be legally privileged. It is intended solely for the use of the individual or entity to whom it is addressed and others authorized to receive it. This email may also contain information in reference to certain commodities that are not able to be exported without a valid license issued by the U.S. Department of State - Directorate of Defense Trade Controls, as prescribed in the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), Title 22, Code of Federal Regulation, Parts 120-130. If you are not the intended recipient you are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking action in reliance of the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful.

  
","2011-09-14 15:23:53",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5280688_re-fwd-re-pls-fwd-to-fred-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,korena.zucha@stratfor.com",""
5282628,"Re: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
","   Interesting, thanks Fred.

   Fred Burton wrote:

     The FBI has a classified investigation on PETA operatives. I'll see what
     I can uncover.

     Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"scott stewart\"
     Date: Tue, 2 Jun 2009 11:01:30 -0400
     To: 'bart mongoven'<bart.mongoven@stratfor.com>
     Subject: RE: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
     Yeah, I'm not sure how that works now either.  Bart, is this something
     you guys can still help with?
      
      
      
      
      

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Anya Alfano [mailto:anya.alfano@stratfor.com]
     Sent: Tuesday, June 02, 2009 10:56 AM
     To: Fred Burton; scott stewart
     Subject: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
     Coca-Cola just sent me a long list of questions regarding PETA/Animal
     Activism and the upcoming Olympics in Vancouver--I've pasted the
     questions below.  I'm not entirely clear on how much we can task the
     public policy group at this point--is there any guidance you can give me
     on that front?  Coke has asked for a short teleconference with one of
     our analysts to discuss this issue--is that something I could ask Kathy,
     Bart or Joe to do, or would that be off the table at this point?  Stick,
     are these questions something that you have a handle on, if we aren't
     able to get info from the policy folks? 

     Any thoughts or guidance would be helpful. Thanks, Anya

     Questions---
     -- How many PETA supporters are there in Canada?
     -- How many of these are inclined toward activism?
     -- To what extent will US-based PETA supporters travel to Canada to
     support activism?
     -- What is PETA's methodology for planning and executing activism?
      (Understanding this better would certainly help us to recognize
     indicators should they appear.)
     -- To what extent is PETA in Canada linked to PETA in the US or
     elsewhere?
     -- To what extent are the actions of PETA in one country controlled by
     an oversight board/governing body?
     -- To what extent could non-PETA hangers-on (such as anarchists or ALF
     supporters) get involved in any protest activity?
","2009-06-02 17:21:18",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5282628_re-public-policy-question-for-coca-cola-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,scott.stewart@stratfor.com,bart.mongoven@stratfor.com,burtonfb@att.blackberry.net",""
5305447,"Updated Sales Force Contacts
","14","2010-09-21 12:00:35",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5305447_updated-sales-force-contacts-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","zucha@stratfor.com,amy.fisher@stratfor.com","attach/171/171512_Sales Force Contacts.xls"
5308234,"Re: sourcing evaluations on Thurs/Fri
","41","2011-08-10 09:16:20",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5308234_re-sourcing-evaluations-on-thurs-fri-.html","colibasanu@stratfor.com","","mfriedman@stratfor.com,richmond@stratfor.com,anya.alfano@stratfor.com,eugene.chausovsky@stratfor.com,antonia.colibasanu@stratfor.com","attach/171/171609_Sources.docx"
5334702,"Research Request
","   Hi Ben,
   As we discussed, I'd like to put a really good research-oriented intern on
   the case to find the following information.

   - How many PETA supporters are there in Canada?
   -- How many of these are inclined toward activism?
   -- To what extent is PETA in Canada linked to PETA in the US or elsewhere?
   --What sort of attacks has PETA carried out in Canada?
   -- To what extent could non-PETA hangers-on (such as anarchists or ALF
   supporters) get involved in any protest activity?

   To put some context onto this request, our client is looking forward
   toward the 2010 Olympics in Vancouver and is somewhat concerned that PETA
   affiliates might be interested in carry out direct action against Olympic
   sponsors and events during that time frame.  Any information we can give
   them regarding their activities and what might be expected if the
   organization chooses to participate in direct actions would be very
   helpful to their planning. 

   Please let me know if there are any questions.  I need all the information
   our talented interns can dig up by COB tomorrow, Wednesday, June 3. 
   Thanks,
   Anya
","2009-06-02 21:10:02",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5334702_research-request-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","ben.west@stratfor.com",""
5410884,"RE: INSIGHT -RUSSIA - head of MAJOR criminal group arrested... + chaika craziness
","   Can you get more granular data on the safe room construction?
    
   Also, what MNC's or industries could be affected by this move?
    
   If this OC figure controls the ports (per Peter), what kinds of kickbacks
   could be taking place with outbound containers? 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Tuesday, September 04, 2007 6:11 AM
   To: 'Lauren Goodrich'; 'Secure List'; 'EurAsia Team'; 'George Friedman';
   'scott stewart'
   Subject: RE: INSIGHT -RUSSIA - head of MAJOR criminal group arrested... +
   chaika craziness
   What kind of crime did he control? 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Lauren Goodrich [mailto:goodrich@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Monday, September 03, 2007 10:50 PM
   To: 'Secure List'; 'EurAsia Team'; George Friedman; Fred Burton; scott
   stewart
   Subject: INSIGHT -RUSSIA - head of MAJOR criminal group arrested... +
   chaika craziness
   [**more coming on all of this, I could only chat briefly with Chaika...
   pls keep the fact that he gave us this info under wraps, but we can use
   the info other than that]
   I'm leaning towards the fact that Putin is really cracking down on any
   power player that doesn't play in his arena... and that the Tambov Clan
   was soooo powerful and didn't listen to Putin as much as he wanted. This
   is a HUGE nab for Chaika (congrats to him)... also a good note for Chaika
   to leave on (he's quitting the Kremlin, so he says... and that is
   classified info for the next week until I get the green light to go
   forward on that huge Kremlin re-shuffle)
   TAMBOV CRIMINAL GROUP
    
   The head of the Tambov Criminal Group Vladimir Barsukov was arrested on
   this past week by the Prosecutor General Chaika's group. Barsukov, also
   known as Kumarin, based his group out of St. Petersburg.
    
   He has many old friends within the inner circle, especially Alexei
   Mordashov (Severstal) and Vladimir Yakunin (railways minister). Barsurkov
   was a person that many in Russia tolerated because of his connections and
   the fact that he was in charge of the highly powerful Tambov gang. But
   Putin considered him a relic of a by-gone era and was eager to get rid of
   him, though he was instrumental during Putin's earlier years. Putin
   himself was \"familiar\" with Barsukov when he worked in the St. Petersburg
   mayoral office.
    
   The entire operation to bring him down was orchestrated by Chaika along
   with FSB head Nikolai Patrushev and Interior Min Rashid Nurgaliev, though
   many tried to stop him-especially Yakunin and Mordashov. [sidenote:
   Yakunin and Chaika have never been close and after the last attack on the
   train from Moscow to St. Petersburg, the security forces turned to Chaika,
   not Yakunin, for information and cooperation.]
    
   Barsukov was in a safe room and it took hours to pry him open from his
   home. They had a huge amount of OMAN police forces with them, knowing that
   this could have become really gross really fast.
    
   One of the breaking points was the fact that Barsukov wanted to gain
   control over many oil infrastructure assets in St. Petersburg... Chaika
   said that this was shocking because no real criminal organizations dare to
   take claim on energy infrastructure. The joke Chaika said was, \"they may
   be crime bosses, but they don't want to mess with Surkov, Sechin,
   Bogdanchikov or others or else they may learn what real pressure and
   tactics looks like.\"
    
   The arrest of Barsurkov is expected to create a few repercussions... 1)
   there will be a power struggle within the Tambov clan [I need to break
   down what they control, can the CT team help?] 2) Chaika and others expect
   atleast some retaliation, though they feel confident in their infiltration
   of the organization to head most of it off 3) Yakunin and Mordashov will
   really be after Chaika, Nurgaliev and Patrushev... Chaika isn't too
   worried about this, but says that Yakunin is really petty about
   retaliation.
    
   OTHER ISSUES...
    
   Chaika said he has already been under a lot of heat because of the
   Politkovskaya arrests. He said that he would rather not tell me about the
   \"Chechen mastermind\" they arrested. I asked if this was because he was not
   really a mastermind and Chaika said that \"many things needed to be tied up
   as we head into this election and the end of Putin's reign.\" [I know this
   is strange, but he kept saying things like, \"Ivanov needs to have control
   over the situation he's about to enter into.... Ivanov is known for his
   distance from such situations, so they need to be wrapped up.\"]
","2007-09-04 17:07:05",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5410884_re-insight-russia-head-of-major-criminal-group-arrested.html","burton@stratfor.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com,burton@stratfor.com,goodrich@stratfor.com,scott.stewart@stratfor.com,eurasia@stratfor.com,secure@stratfor.com",""
5413843,"Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
","   Coca-Cola just sent me a long list of questions regarding PETA/Animal
   Activism and the upcoming Olympics in Vancouver--I've pasted the questions
   below.  I'm not entirely clear on how much we can task the public policy
   group at this point--is there any guidance you can give me on that front? 
   Coke has asked for a short teleconference with one of our analysts to
   discuss this issue--is that something I could ask Kathy, Bart or Joe to
   do, or would that be off the table at this point?  Stick, are these
   questions something that you have a handle on, if we aren't able to get
   info from the policy folks? 

   Any thoughts or guidance would be helpful. Thanks, Anya

   Questions---
   -- How many PETA supporters are there in Canada?
   -- How many of these are inclined toward activism?
   -- To what extent will US-based PETA supporters travel to Canada to
   support activism?
   -- What is PETA's methodology for planning and executing activism?
    (Understanding this better would certainly help us to recognize
   indicators should they appear.)
   -- To what extent is PETA in Canada linked to PETA in the US or elsewhere?
   -- To what extent are the actions of PETA in one country controlled by an
   oversight board/governing body?
   -- To what extent could non-PETA hangers-on (such as anarchists or ALF
   supporters) get involved in any protest activity?
","2009-06-02 16:56:13",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5413843_public-policy-question-for-coca-cola-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,scott.stewart@stratfor.com",""
5413863,"Re: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
","   Stick, do you have access to email addresses?  I won't be able to get it
   until tomorrow.

   Bart and I talked and he's willing to help.  I put one of our interns on
   the search for details--Bart and I will discuss what our intern has
   collected on Thursday and decide if we need to do more research, or if the
   research and Bart's existing knowledge is enough to handle the request. 
   I'll keep you updated on how it turns out. 

   Fred Burton wrote:

     I know Flanagan, pls send me his email and I'll probe around. 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Anya Alfano [mailto:anya.alfano@stratfor.com]
     Sent: Tuesday, June 02, 2009 1:50 PM
     To: Fred Burton
     Cc: 'scott stewart'
     Subject: Re: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
     Kevin Flanagan

     Fred Burton wrote:

       Who is RSO Ottawa?

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: Anya Alfano [mailto:anya.alfano@stratfor.com]
       Sent: Tuesday, June 02, 2009 9:56 AM
       To: Fred Burton; scott stewart
       Subject: Public Policy Question for Coca-Cola
       Coca-Cola just sent me a long list of questions regarding PETA/Animal
       Activism and the upcoming Olympics in Vancouver--I've pasted the
       questions below.  I'm not entirely clear on how much we can task the
       public policy group at this point--is there any guidance you can give
       me on that front?  Coke has asked for a short teleconference with one
       of our analysts to discuss this issue--is that something I could ask
       Kathy, Bart or Joe to do, or would that be off the table at this
       point?  Stick, are these questions something that you have a handle
       on, if we aren't able to get info from the policy folks? 

       Any thoughts or guidance would be helpful. Thanks, Anya

       Questions---
       -- How many PETA supporters are there in Canada?
       -- How many of these are inclined toward activism?
       -- To what extent will US-based PETA supporters travel to Canada to
       support activism?
       -- What is PETA's methodology for planning and executing activism?
        (Understanding this better would certainly help us to recognize
       indicators should they appear.)
       -- To what extent is PETA in Canada linked to PETA in the US or
       elsewhere?
       -- To what extent are the actions of PETA in one country controlled by
       an oversight board/governing body?
       -- To what extent could non-PETA hangers-on (such as anarchists or ALF
       supporters) get involved in any protest activity?
","2009-06-02 21:25:55",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5413863_re-public-policy-question-for-coca-cola-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","burton@stratfor.com,scott.stewart@stratfor.com",""
5417207,"New-tern (Aaron) reading list...
","","2009-03-04 17:07:12",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5417207_new-tern-aaron-reading-list-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","nathan.hughes@stratfor.com,eurasia@stratfor.com,kristen.cooper@stratfor.com,aaron.moore@stratfor.com","attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174265_Team Eurasia 090302.xls
attach/174/174276_FSU Parliaments.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc"
5417564,"Sam Kent & Halliburton 
","   **for internal use only pls
    
   I had lunch yesterday in Houston with former-Federal Judge Sam Kent (the
   first Federal Judge found guilty of serious crimes in the US) and he told
   me why he thinks he was prosecuted.
    
   For those who haven't followed this, he was found guilty on perjury &
   sexual misconduct. Yes, he slept with those two women, but it was
   consensual. Actually, they were old affairs and long over.
    
   What Sam said was that \"isn't is strange that the Justice Department
   begins sniffing around for dirt to throw at me just weeks after I ruled a
   heavy case against Halliburton. Then a small set of affairs turn into an
   untrue situation and then spun up into an unprecedented case against a
   Federal Judge.\"  
    
   Of course, I told him he was nuts to rule anything against Halliburton.
   I also told him that this sounds like a John Grisham plotline.
   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2009-03-08 22:11:04",1,"2012-02-27 09:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5417564_sam-kent-and-halliburton-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","secure@stratfor.com",""
5437150,"Overview of the Source Review Process
","   Meredith,
   As we discussed, I've included my thoughts about the review process
   below.  Please let me know if you have any questions.  Hope you have a
   safe trip and a good weekend!
   Anya

   This document is meant to provide my observations about the sources that
   have been evaluated to date and our use of those sources.  I've also
   included some other observations about the source review process and the
   thoughts about how to make our source process function more effectively.

    

   To date the groups of sources that have not been reviewed include:

   .      MESA - All of Reva's sources, aside from ME1

   .      FSU - Lauren's Russia sources, aside from the first 20 and new
   sources that Eugene has developed while in the region

   .      East Asia - All sources not managed by Jen (Rodger, Zhixing, Colby,
   Chris, Lena)

   .      Topic Specific Sources - Sources that can discuss economics,
   military, energy, minerals and other similar topics in multiple regions
   and countries

    

   Regional Overviews -

    

   .      Latam - We have a wide range of sources in Latin America that cover
   political, security and economic matters, but we don't have a particular
   depth in any one country or area, with the possible exception of security
   sources in Mexico. Our coverage in Brazil could be especially good as both
   Paulo and Allison further develop their current contacts.  Paulo appears
   to have a good selection of political, security, military and econ
   contacts, though we don't have a good track record of information from
   these contacts at this point. In other countries, we have a scattered
   selection of sources that appear to be primarily political. We have some
   gaps in full country coverage in Latin America, especially in Central
   America, since these areas haven't been particularly important in the
   past. We have some gaps in economics throughout the region, though we also
   are largely lacking tactical details about events and situations within
   the region.

    

   .      East Asia - The sources we've reviewed to date have been handled by
   Jen, so there may be other gems buried among the team. Jen has a few
   select sources that have a deep and broad base of knowledge about specific
   subjects inside China, but mostly they have information specific to
   certain corporations, industries or situations. Jen has several contacts
   with economic and finance related information and analysis that we
   currently utilize. There are also several sources with a solid
   understanding of the political situation, as well as tactical events in
   the country. Moving forward, it may be useful to us to establish
   additional sources outside of Beijing and Shanghai to fill geographic
   gaps, as most of our contacts are currently located in those areas. Our
   coverage of Southeast Asia is largely dependent on two sources in each
   country. We currently have good sources covering several countries that
   all appear to have a good personal network of their own sources to assist
   us. These networks appear to fill most gaps in our coverage throughout the
   sub region.

    

   .      Europe/FSU - Of all regions, I was most troubled by our contacts in
   the FSU region.  While we have some contacts in Romania and Ukraine that
   cover political and economic matters, there are very few contacts that
   have proven to send us information on a reliable basis, and most of these
   contacts have a very narrow focus. That said, both Eugene and Antonia have
   identified a number of potential sources that could fill the gaps that we
   currently see in these areas. Our sources in Kazakhstan include both broad
   and narrowly focused areas of interest, though we don't have a good track
   record of information from many of the sources that would appear to be
   most valuable. This is also the case in many of the smaller countries in
   the region. We've only covered the first 20 of Lauren's Russia sources,
   though so far we appear to have a good grasp of political and energy
   matters in the country. Europe-not including countries of the Former
   Soviet Union - appears to be our weakest region by far. To date, we've
   seen fewer than 10 sources in this region, but this may be due only to our
   focus on other lesser-developed areas.

    

   .      MESA - We don't yet have a complete look at our capabilities in
   MESA without a more detailed examination of the information that's being
   provided by ME1's sub-sources and a review of Reva's sources outside of
   ME1. While we have that information that ME1 has submitted in the archive,
   it's not readily identifiable as belonging to any specific sources, thus
   it's difficult to judge the credibility of the individuals providing
   information.  We also need to evaluate the rest of Reva's non-ME1
   contacts.  Kamran has a broad network of contacts with deep knowledge of
   the history and strategic issues surrounding the Middle East. Changes in
   coding systems and lack of coding for previous insight means we don't have
   a good handle on the information that has previously been provided by
   these contacts. Despite their vast knowledge, the majority of these
   contacts do not have a tactical understanding of the day-to-day affairs in
   the Middle East, or economic affairs throughout the region. While ME1
   likely has sources that can cover these issues in the Levant, we have
   significant gaps in coverage of tactical issues in most Middle Eastern
   countries.  The notable exceptions to these thoughts are Turkey and
   Afghanistan, where we have several sources that can provide information on
   both the strategic and tactical situations related to politics and
   security.  We also have a good selection of Turkish sources with economic
   information, though we don't have a solid track record of information from
   those contacts yet.

    

   .      Africa - Mark has a very large list of contacts that could provide
   information on a wide variety of topics.  However, outside of South
   Africa, the majority of his sources appear to have a very narrow scope of
   interest and are typically not easily accessible.  Additionally, most of
   these contacts are not regularly in communication with Mark, which may
   make it difficult for us to tap into their knowledge on a regular basis.
   Many would be useful in very specific circumstances, but few could be
   considered to have an in-depth knowledge and expertise of broader topics
   or fields of study. Mark has some sources in South Africa that have a
   broader understanding of the political and security situation in South
   Africa and the energy and mining situations throughout the southern Africa
   region. However, most of the contact list appears to be related to
   security, or specific corporations, leaving gags in the area of economics.
   There are also gaps in some countries throughout the continent and gaps in
   our understanding of larger economic, mining, and energy issues outside of
   the southern regions.

    

   General Impressions

   .      We found that many analysts frequently had not been sending insight
   information, either because it they did not consider their information to
   be insight, or because they had not yet coded the contact providing the
   insight.  A simplified way to provide source codes and updated guidance on
   when a source should be given a code and what information should be sent
   will solve this problem.

   .      In previous years, I would estimate that more than 50% of all
   insight sent to the lists did not include a source code.  Now that we're
   attempting to evaluate each source based on the information that they're
   providing, it's more important that source codes are used each time a
   piece of insight is sent.  The Watch Officers have already been extremely
   helpful in making sure the analysts are using codes when possible.  This
   should aid in the next evaluation.

   .      Our use of sources is currently limited by the fact that the
   analysts don't always know that a source exists.  Obviously this is due in
   part to operational security, but it may be beneficial if source
   descriptions are provided among regional team members to make sure that
   everyone is aware a certain source exists and it may be possible to tap
   that individual for information.

   .      We have very few sources that are proactive in providing us with
   information, despite some very long and beneficial relationships.

   .      Of all media sources, multiple regions noted that they frequently
   interact with Reuters news agency more than others. I'm not sure if that
   means something specific, but our analysts seem to interact with Reuters
   journalists and bureau chiefs very frequently.

   .      I didn't see any specific trends related to the use of
   Confederation partners among regions. While some have been very useful to
   date, it seems that there may be a mismatch between the individuals our
   analysts are speaking with and the people who actually have the
   information we're seeking. In some cases, it seems like this might be
   deliberate, or may be related to perceptions that we're competition within
   the industry.  In some cases, these partnerships appear to be flourishing
   and providing us with good information. I don't recall hearing from any
   analyst that the relationship was too draining or too demanding for us to
   fulfill.

   .      Several analysts brought up the idea of \"tag-teaming\" some sources,
   especially when dealing with confederation partners and indicated that
   this was a good strategy for an all-sides approach to the company so that
   we can try to ensure we're connecting as much as possible, especially in
   cases where one person \"clicks\" more with the partner involved.

    

    
","2011-10-01 01:28:43",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5437150_overview-of-the-source-review-process-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","mfriedman@stratfor.com",""
5440404,"Re: Discussion - Georgia Update
","   do I have permission to write?

   POSSIBLE BUDGET - Stratfor has been long following the tit-for-tat
   struggle between Georgia and Russia [LINK] and as there has been an
   escalation seemed to be near breaking point [LINK], but has subsided for
   now since Tbilisi knows that no one is coming to its defense against its
   big bear of a neighbor. However, the question to watch now is if Moscow
   will again push the issue since it seems as if it is getting its internal
   issues out of the way, which could free it up to concentrate on other
   things, like its struggle with Georgia.

   Lauren Goodrich wrote:

     crisis has subsided for now...
     though the Georgians are still trying to get the Europeans behind
     them... they won't bite.
     but could flare up again if the Kremlin get a better free hand
     internally.

     friedman@att.blackberry.net wrote:

 So has the crisis subsided or was it never really there? 
 Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

 -----Original Message-----
 From: Lauren Goodrich <goodrich@stratfor.com>

 Date: Mon, 12 May 2008 11:13:28
 To:Analyst List <analysts@stratfor.com>
 Subject: Discussion - Georgia Update


 We haven't seen any large moves over the weekend for 2 reasons:
      1) Georgia is still negotiating with the Europeans... though they seem to not be giving anything to Tbilisi
      2) Germany and France would have to make the decision for that to change... doubt that will happen, esp with Russia and Germany meeting tomorrow on the issue
      2) Kremlin has been locked away on domestic issues, which could end soon with some of the shifts Putin is making so he can concentrate on other issues.
 
  Lauren Goodrich wrote: CODE: GE101, UA102
  PUBLICATION: yes
  ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in Tbilisi & Moscow
  SOURCES RELIABILITY: C-D
  ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2-4
  SPECIAL HANDLING: Analysts
  SOURCE HANDLER: Lauren
   
   
  SOURCE 1:
  The Foreign Ministers' dinner between select Europeans-president of EU, Poland, Lithuania, etc-- and the Georgians is about to just wrap up. Leaks from it are that the Europeans can not send any help to Georgia, especially since Germany and France have forbid it; In all honesty, Germany and France also were not in favor of the trip to Tbilisi, so it is not even EU sanctioned, though under the banner of the EU since its president is on the trip.
   
  SOURCE 2:
  Lithuania is not backing down to the EU's push for it to drop its veto against Russia. It is saying that its veto is even more important with the conflict rising between Georgia and Russia. Lithuania seems to be Georgia's most vocal supporter at the moment, much to the rest of the EU's ire.
   
  Steinmeier is suppose to meet with Lavrov tomorrow. They are suppose to be telling Germany to continue keeping out of the conflict with Georgia.
   
  

     --

     Lauren Goodrich
     Director of Analysis
     Senior Eurasia Analyst
     Stratfor
     Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
     T: 512.744.4311
     F: 512.744.4334
     lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
     www.stratfor.com

       ------------------------------------------------------------------

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   --

   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   Stratfor
   Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2008-05-12 18:36:56",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5440404_re-discussion-georgia-update-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","gfriedman@stratfor.com",""
5447352,"Re: PETA
","   Hi Van,
   I'm checking with our analysts to find out what information we already
   have on the subject.  I'll get back to you soon with more information.
   Best regards,
   Anya

   Van C. Wilberding wrote:

     Hi Anya,

     Thanks again for your help with respect to the Korean Peninsula
     situation.

     We are now looking at PETA and the potential for protests at the
     Vancouver Olympics and related events.  (Please see the following
     questions below.)  We'd like to schedule a time for a conference call
     with you and/or your analyst(s) on this topic.

     -- How many PETA supporters are there in Canada?
     -- How many of these are inclined toward activism?
     -- To what extent will US-based PETA supporters travel to Canada to
     support activism?
     -- What is PETA's methodology for planning and executing activism?
      (Understanding this better would certainly help us to recognize
     indicators should they appear.)
     -- To what extent is PETA in Canada linked to PETA in the US or
     elsewhere?
     -- To what extent are the actions of PETA in one country controlled by
     an oversight board/governing body?
     -- To what extent could non-PETA hangers-on (such as anarchists or ALF
     supporters) get involved in any protest activity?

     Please let us know what works in terms of timing of the conference call.

     Thanks again,

     Van
     Coca-Cola: LIVE POSITIVELY - Our Company and leaders have supported
     education for more than 100 years. Learn about our education programs
     around the world.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     
     This message (including any attachments) contains information that may
     be confidential. Unless you are the intended recipient (or authorized to
     receive for the intended recipient), you may not read, print, retain,
     use, copy, distribute or disclose to anyone the message or any
     information contained in the message. If you have received the message
     in error, please advise the sender by reply e-mail, and destroy all
     copies of the original message (including any attachments).
","2009-06-02 17:23:15",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5447352_re-peta-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","vwilberding@na.ko.com,genbrown@na.ko.com",""
5454900,"For the New-Tern
","","2008-08-19 18:47:41",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5454900_for-the-new-tern-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","gordon.wilkins@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5465308,"FOR NEW-TERN CATHERINE
","","2009-01-06 04:37:37",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5465308_for-new-tern-catherine-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","eurasia@stratfor.com,catherine.durbin@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174276_FSU Parliaments.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5466187,"[Fwd: [Eurasia] FOR NEW-TERN CATHERINE]
","","2009-01-23 22:00:16",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5466187_-fwd-eurasia-for-new-tern-catherine-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","marko.papic@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174276_FSU Parliaments.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5485587,"New-tern info
","","2008-09-03 16:44:45",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5485587_new-tern-info-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","christya.parobii@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5493154,"[Eurasia] For the New-Terns
","9","2008-06-27 20:58:41",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5493154_-eurasia-for-the-new-terns-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","mailto:eurasia@stratfor.com","eurasia@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/177/177181_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5496389,"[Fwd: New-tern info]
","2","2008-09-03 16:48:06",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5496389_-fwd-new-tern-info-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","goodrich@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5498748,"Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model
","   telling surkov no and not providing an alternative?

   that's just suicide

   Lauren Goodrich wrote:

     as long as you give me options for fun

     Peter Zeihan wrote:

       all the time i bet -- you can't kill x, but feel free to have fun with
       y

       Lauren Goodrich wrote:

         does Medvedev ever tell Surkov that? Always squashing my fun. :-(

         Peter Zeihan wrote:

           no executions of the analysts

           we have some extra researchers however....

             Lauren Goodrich wrote:

               I like this game... can I really make the order?

               Marko Papic wrote:

                 Hmmm... I don't really care whether you live or die... In
                 fact, I find your chess prowess a good substitute of
                 otherworldly manliness in your otherwise wimpy persona.
                 Nonetheless, if ordered by my puppet master, I will make
                 your internal organs slowly bleed you to death.

                 ----- Original Message -----
                 From: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                 To: \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>
                 Cc: \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Reva Bhalla\"
                 <bhalla@stratfor.com>, \"Peter Zeihan\" <zeihan@stratfor.com>,
                 \"Matt Gertken\" <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>, \"nate hughes\"
                 <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>, \"Kristen Cooper\"
                 <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>, \"Kevin Stech\"
                 <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
                 Sent: Monday, November 17, 2008 12:14:17 PM GMT -05:00
                 Columbia
                 Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model

                 hey... you live outside of big bad russia though & you have
                 tons of US backers.

                 Karen Hooper wrote:

                   That's right, i'm an ineffective democratist in an
                   authoritarian state. and you ALL WANT ME DEAD.

                   I see how it is.

                   Marko Papic wrote:

                     AHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHA

                     Sweet!

                     ----- Original Message -----
                     From: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                     To: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
                     Cc: \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>, \"Reva Bhalla\"
                     <bhalla@stratfor.com>, \"Peter Zeihan\"
                     <zeihan@stratfor.com>, \"Marko Papic\"
                     <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Matt Gertken\"
                     <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>, \"nate hughes\"
                     <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>, \"Kristen Cooper\"
                     <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>
                     Sent: Monday, November 17, 2008 12:08:08 PM GMT -05:00
                     Columbia
                     Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model

                     Karen is officially Kasparov (Reva recognized it)...
                     they are both freedom-loving, loud-mouth hippies. :)

                     Kevin Stech wrote:

                       Yes, good point.  You haven't made it till you got a
                       kremlin double.

                       Karen Hooper wrote:

                         Pffft. Whatever, at least you HAVE a kremlin double.

                         Kevin Stech wrote:

                           THAT'S COOL I SEE HOW IT IS

                           Lauren Goodrich wrote:

                             I am trying to hedge my recommendation for Kev,
                             y'all.... I feel bad...  you're not helping. 
                             ;-)

                             Reva Bhalla wrote:

                               ahahahahahhahahaaaa
                               i think peter just called kevy bear an ass
                               ----- Original Message -----
                               From: \"Peter Zeihan\" <zeihan@stratfor.com>
                               To: \"Lauren Goodrich\" <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                               Cc: \"Kevin Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>,
                               \"Marko Papic\" <marko.papic@stratfor.com>,
                               \"Matt Gertken\" <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>,
                               \"Reva Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>,
                               \"nate hughes\" <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>,
                               \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>, \"Kristen
                               Cooper\" <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>
                               Sent: Thursday, November 13, 2008 7:35:36 AM
                               GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
                               Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model

                               deeply
                               truly

                               he's an ass

                               Lauren Goodrich wrote:

                                 NO! Gref is deeply respected. 

                                 Sent from my iPhone
                                 On Nov 12, 2008, at 9:38 PM, Kevin Stech
                                 <kevin.stech@stratfor.com> wrote:

                                   so the analogy runs pretty deep? ;-)

                                   Marko Papic wrote:

                                     AHAHAHHAHA, you forgot to mention that
                                     also everyone hates him!

                                     ----- Original Message -----
                                     From: \"Lauren Goodrich\"
                                     <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                                     To: \"Marko Papic\"
                                     <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
                                     Cc: \"Matt Gertken\"
                                     <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>, \"Peter
                                     Zeihan\" <zeihan@stratfor.com>, \"Reva
                                     Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>,
                                     \"nate hughes\"
                                     <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>, \"Kevin
                                     Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>,
                                     \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>,
                                     \"Kristen Cooper\"
                                     <kristen.cooper@stratfor.com>
                                     Sent: Tuesday, November 11, 2008 3:54:03
                                     PM GMT -06:00 US/Canada Central
                                     Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model

                                     NEW ADDITION.....
                                     Kevin as German Gref.... Gref is former
                                     Economic Minister & one of the most
                                     genius minds to serve in Russia...
                                     however, he is highly aggressive in his
                                     manner and treats everyone like they're
                                     dumb.
                                     (sorry kev... luv you.... hey, i called
                                     you a genius)

                                     Marko Papic wrote:

                                       hmmmm... ok, sold.

                                       ----- Original Message -----
                                       From: \"Lauren Goodrich\"
                                       <goodrich@stratfor.com>
                                       To: \"Marko Papic\"
                                       <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
                                       Cc: \"Matt Gertken\"
                                       <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>, \"Peter
                                       Zeihan\" <zeihan@stratfor.com>, \"Reva
                                       Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>,
                                       \"nate hughes\"
                                       <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>, \"Kevin
                                       Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>,
                                       \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>
                                       Sent: Tuesday, November 11, 2008
                                       10:09:14 AM GMT -06:00 US/Canada
                                       Central
                                       Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin Model

                                       you like to wrestle tigers?

                                       Marko Papic wrote:

                                         I'm a dirty Chechen?!

                                         ----- Original Message -----
                                         From: \"Matt Gertken\"
                                         <matt.gertken@stratfor.com>
                                         To: \"Karen Hooper\"
                                         <hooper@stratfor.com>
                                         Cc: \"Lauren Goodrich\"
                                         <goodrich@stratfor.com>, \"Peter
                                         Zeihan\" <zeihan@stratfor.com>,
                                         \"Marko Papic\"
                                         <marko.papic@stratfor.com>, \"Reva
                                         Bhalla\" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>,
                                         \"nate hughes\"
                                         <nathan.hughes@stratfor.com>, \"Kevin
                                         Stech\" <kevin.stech@stratfor.com>
                                         Sent: Tuesday, November 11, 2008
                                         9:32:23 AM GMT -06:00 US/Canada
                                         Central
                                         Subject: Re: Stratfor's Kremlin
                                         Model

                                         My guess, Karen, is that you are way
                                         too nice and cheerful to be matched
                                         with anyone in the Kremlin.

                                         Karen Hooper wrote:

                                           what about
                                           meeeeeeeeeeeeeee????????

                                           Lauren Goodrich wrote:

                                             **from a Reva-Peter conversation
                                             that snowballed into a new
                                             Stratfor-Kremlin model... please
                                             add to the list
                                             Keep this to the list of emails
                                             above for now pls
                                             New Additions:
                                             Marko is Kadyrov (scary, but
                                             thinks his race should rule)
                                             Matt is Kiriyenko or Naryushkin
                                             (brilliant, but doesn't try to
                                             take others down with it)
                                             Nate is Serdyukov (understands
                                             that military isn't just about
                                             saying you have weapons)
                                             Meredith is Lavrov (diplomatic,
                                             knows everything, can be
                                             aggressive at the best moments)
                                             Fred is Patryushev (intelligence
                                             & connected)
                                             Laura is Rogozin (ambassador to
                                             Europe, but always says what not
                                             suppose to)
                                             Already assigned:
                                             George is Putin (kingmaker and
                                             pushes decisions through no
                                             matter what... both short & with
                                             a complex)
                                             Peter is Medvedev (more
                                             pragmatic decisionmaker... but
                                             still kinda dorky)
                                             Jeff is Kudrin (brains and
                                             money... who knew a checkbook
                                             could be balanced)
                                             Lauren is Surkov (wants to know
                                             everything, can skin a person in
                                             under 3 minuets, but doesn't
                                             want to be top dog)
                                             Stick is Sechin (has his fingers
                                             in the shadier stuff)
                                             Reva is Ivanov (one of the
                                             decision-makers, willing to
                                             stand up to Putin)

                                             Peter Zeihan wrote:

                                               Putin = George model...
                                               PZeihanStratfor (8:26:48 AM):
                                               kudrin is the kremlin's jeff
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:26:56 AM):
                                               ooh
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:26:59 AM):
                                               who do you get to be
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:27:09 AM):
                                               who gets to be surkov
                                               PZeihanStratfor (8:27:19 AM):
                                               lauren of course
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:27:24 AM):
                                               ah of course
                                               PZeihanStratfor (8:27:30 AM):
                                               stick is sechin
                                               PZeihanStratfor (8:27:34 AM):
                                               i'm medvedev
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:27:37 AM):
                                               haha
                                               PZeihanStratfor (8:27:39 AM):
                                               you're ivanov
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:27:41 AM):
                                               that totall works
                                               rbhallastratfor (8:27:43 AM):
                                               sweet!

                                             --
                                             Lauren Goodrich
                                             Director of Analysis
                                             Senior Eurasia Analyst
                                             Stratfor
                                             T: 512.744.4311
                                             F: 512.744.4334
                                             lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                                             www.stratfor.com

                                           --
                                           Karen Hooper
                                           Latin America Analyst
                                           Stratfor
                                           206.755.6541
                                           www.stratfor.com

                                         --
                                         Marko Papic

                                         Stratfor Junior Analyst
                                         C: + 1-512-905-3091
                                         marko.papic@stratfor.com
                                         AIM: mpapicstratfor

                                       --
                                       Lauren Goodrich
                                       Director of Analysis
                                       Senior Eurasia Analyst
                                       Stratfor
                                       T: 512.744.4311
                                       F: 512.744.4334
                                       lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                                       www.stratfor.com

                                       --
                                       Marko Papic

                                       Stratfor Junior Analyst
                                       C: + 1-512-905-3091
                                       marko.papic@stratfor.com
                                       AIM: mpapicstratfor

                                     --
                                     Lauren Goodrich
                                     Director of Analysis
                                     Senior Eurasia Analyst
                                     Stratfor
                                     T: 512.744.4311
                                     F: 512.744.4334
                                     lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                                     www.stratfor.com

                                     --
                                     Marko Papic

                                     Stratfor Junior Analyst
                                     C: + 1-512-905-3091
                                     marko.papic@stratfor.com
                                     AIM: mpapicstratfor

 --
 Kevin R. Stech
 STRATFOR
 Monitor/Researcher
 P: 512.744.4086
 M: 512.671.0981
 E: kevin.stech@stratfor.com

                             --
                             Lauren Goodrich
                             Director of Analysis
                             Senior Eurasia Analyst
                             Stratfor
                             T: 512.744.4311
                             F: 512.744.4334
                             lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                             www.stratfor.com

 --
 Kevin R. Stech
 STRATFOR
 Monitor/Researcher
 P: 512.744.4086
 M: 512.671.0981
 E: kevin.stech@stratfor.com

                         --
                         Karen Hooper
                         Latin America Analyst
                         Stratfor
                         206.755.6541
                         www.stratfor.com

 --
 Kevin R. Stech
 STRATFOR
 Monitor/Researcher
 P: 512.744.4086
 M: 512.671.0981
 E: kevin.stech@stratfor.com

                     --
                     Lauren Goodrich
                     Director of Analysis
                     Senior Eurasia Analyst
                     Stratfor
                     T: 512.744.4311
                     F: 512.744.4334
                     lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                     www.stratfor.com

                     --
                     Marko Papic

                     Stratfor Junior Analyst
                     C: + 1-512-905-3091
                     marko.papic@stratfor.com
                     AIM: mpapicstratfor

                   --
                   Karen Hooper
                   Latin America Analyst
                   Stratfor
                   206.755.6541
                   www.stratfor.com

                 --
                 Lauren Goodrich
                 Director of Analysis
                 Senior Eurasia Analyst
                 Stratfor
                 T: 512.744.4311
                 F: 512.744.4334
                 lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
                 www.stratfor.com

                 --
                 Marko Papic

                 Stratfor Junior Analyst
                 C: + 1-512-905-3091
                 marko.papic@stratfor.com
                 AIM: mpapicstratfor

               --
               Lauren Goodrich
               Director of Analysis
               Senior Eurasia Analyst
               Stratfor
               T: 512.744.4311
               F: 512.744.4334
               lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
               www.stratfor.com

             --
             Karen Hooper
             Latin America Analyst
             Stratfor
             206.755.6541
             www.stratfor.com

         --
         Lauren Goodrich
         Director of Analysis
         Senior Eurasia Analyst
         Stratfor
         T: 512.744.4311
         F: 512.744.4334
         lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
         www.stratfor.com

     --
     Lauren Goodrich
     Director of Analysis
     Senior Eurasia Analyst
     Stratfor
     T: 512.744.4311
     F: 512.744.4334
     lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
     www.stratfor.com
","2008-11-17 18:46:09",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5498748_re-stratfor-s-kremlin-model-.html","zeihan@stratfor.com","","bhalla@stratfor.com,goodrich@stratfor.com,hooper@stratfor.com,nathan.hughes@stratfor.com,marko.papic@stratfor.com,matt.gertken@stratfor.com,kristen.cooper@stratfor.com,kevin.stech@stratfor.com",""
5501231,"Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE: Missteps in
 the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort
","   i trust ME1 on this question. i hate this region, aaaaargh

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: \"Karen Hooper\" <hooper@stratfor.com>
   To: \"Middle East AOR\" <mesa@stratfor.com>
   Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 1:56:47 PM
   Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE: Missteps
   in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort

   I found OS reports of them being Alawite, as well, but it was a truly
   mixed bag. Nothing seems to agree.

   Karen Hooper
   Latin America Analyst
   STRATFOR
   T: 512.744.4300 x4103
   C: 512.750.7234
   www.STRATFOR.com
   On 12/15/11 1:45 PM, Nick Grinstead wrote:

     could ME1 be wrong? We've got overwhelming OS vs one source. Not saying
     that ME1 is lying but maybe they're misinformed as well. We should dig
     into this more before we give an answer.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: \"Omar Lamrani\" <omar.lamrani@stratfor.com>
     To: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
     Cc: \"Middle East AOR\" <mesa@stratfor.com>, \"CT AOR\" <ct@stratfor.com>
     Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 8:52:28 PM
     Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
     Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort

     Wow, that is crazy. Overwhelmingly OS is reporting that they are Sunni.
     Some reports even talk about the exact tribal affiliation of Shawkat as
     coming from the Sunni tribe of Bani Khaled.

     On 12/15/11 11:36 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

       well, shit.  most of the OS info on them is wrong. ME1 is saying
       they're Alawites.

       Goddamnit. I'll write to the reader and work with the writers to
       include a correction.  Lesson learned - don't trust OS on verifying
       sectarian affiliation.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

       From: \"Omar Lamrani\" <omar.lamrani@stratfor.com>
       To: \"Middle East AOR\" <mesa@stratfor.com>
       Cc: \"Reva Bhalla\" <bhalla@stratfor.com>, \"CT AOR\" <ct@stratfor.com>
       Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 9:50:16 AM
       Subject: Re: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
       Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort

       I concur with Reva, I have read multiple reports in multiple languages
       that indicate these guys are Sunni.

       On 12/15/11 9:32 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

         the background material I've seen and re-read on these two guys is
         that they are Sunni.  I sent a message to ME1 this morning to verify
         once again what their sect is

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

         From: \"scott stewart\" <stewart@stratfor.com>
         To: \"Middle East AOR\" <mesa@stratfor.com>, \"CT AOR\"
         <ct@stratfor.com>
         Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2011 9:21:56 AM
         Subject: [MESA] FW: [Analytical & Intelligence Comments] RE:
         Missteps in the Syrian Opposition's Propaganda Effort

         Is this guy correct?

         On 12/15/11 9:58 AM, \"yacoubtaleb@gmail.com\" <yacoubtaleb@gmail.com>
         wrote:

         >yacoubtaleb@gmail.com sent a message using the contact form at
         >https://www.stratfor.com/contact.
         >
         >In your analysis you have mentioned that Assef Shawkat and Ali
         Mamalouk
         >are  
         >Sunni Muslim. That is wrong they both are Alawite. Mistakes like
         that put
         >
         >your credibility in question.
         >
         >
         >
         >
         >Source:  
         >http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20111213-missteps-syrian-oppositions-prop
         >aganda-effort

 --
 Omar Lamrani
 ADP
 STRATFOR
 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
 Austin, TX 78701
 www.STARTFOR.com

 --
 Omar Lamrani
 ADP
 STRATFOR
 221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
 Austin, TX 78701
 www.STARTFOR.com

     --
     Nick Grinstead
     Regional Monitor
     STRATFOR
     Beirut, Lebanon
     +96171969463
","2011-12-15 21:10:45",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5501231_re-mesa-fw-analytical-and-intelligence-comments-re-missteps.html","bhalla@stratfor.com","mailto:mesa@stratfor.com","mesa@stratfor.com",""
5502132,"CONFED REMINDER - Brazil Wish List
","   I will be sending the guidance list to our confed partner tomorrow. 
   Thanks to those who have responded.  I've included and example list of
   items at the end of this email. Please feel free to add on to it.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   Hi everyone,

   Yesterday I met with a Brazilian confederation partner, a major newspaper
   here.  Yesterday I met with the main POC as well as the head of the paper
   to discuss how we could make our partnership more productive.

   One of the things the paper requested from us was a list of particular
   items we are interested in.  Our POC is willing to put us in contact to
   the various reporters that are experts in our areas of interest.  These
   people will be available for general chats and also specific questions. 
   So, what I need is a list of items that we are interested in.  They need
   to be a nice balance between specific versus general.

   One we turn this in, they will have a better idea of who to put us in
   touch with.  From there we can send specific questions, for example: how
   will the Chevron spill affect oil regulations?

   Yesterday I met people who can help with macroeconomics/policy,
   infrastructure and Brazilian politics. So, those would be good areas to
   have some items of interest.  This list will be helpful for both the
   cooperation and updating our guidance.  I would like to get this list to
   our POC late Monday of next week or Tuesday at the latest.  

   Thanks,
   Allison

   ECONOMY
   - Policy decision regarding growth, inflation
   - Trade disputes with Argentina
   - Relationship with china; energy investments, dumping goods, industry
   competition

   INFRASTRUCTURE
   - Port modernization projects
   - Measure being implemented to make sure World Cup projects are completed
   on time

   DEFENSE
   - Military exercises along the border
   - 13 treaties with border countries to coordinate efforts in anti-drug
   fight
   - Any pressure on military budgets in the face of financial constratints

   BRAZILIAN POLITICS
   - Jan cabinet reshuffle
   - Outcome and consequences of Para state division vote
","2011-12-05 15:33:37",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5502132_confed-reminder-brazil-wish-list-.html","allison.fedirka@stratfor.com","mailto:econ@stratfor.com","econ@stratfor.com,latam@stratfor.com",""
5505395,"INSIGHT - Pakistan Military attempts to influence US policy - PK700
","   Source Code: PK700
   ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR security source
   SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Former Pakistani intelligence officer
   SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
   ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
   SOURCE HANDLER: Fred

 Pakistan bashing continues. How convenient it is to ignore the huge size of India cocuss and the campaign funding they receive from India through Indian Americans acting as conduits. No one talks about the covert and overt influence israel enjoys through funding American congressmen and the control Israel has on American policies through coercion and fear of Jewish lobby. Since FBI is involved the blessing of US administration is obvious. Unfortunately this PAK bashing is earning hatred for US in a normally pro US country specially it's Armed Forces. This campaign to browbeat or pressurize Pakistan will have an opposite effect in a society where respect is valued and enmities leave memories for generations
","2011-07-21 00:00:24",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5505395_insight-pakistan-military-attempts-to-influence-us-policy.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","zucha@stratfor.com,fred.burton@stratfor.com,watchofficer@stratfor.com",""
5507507,"Re: URS - New GV Business [REVENUE]
","   Thanks, Don.  Much appreciated.
   Anya

   On 8/31/11 4:50 PM, Don Kuykendall wrote:

     Talked to Debora.  Fine and dandy.
     -Don
     Don R. Kuykendall 
     President & Chief Financial Officer 
     STRATFOR 
     512.744.4314 phone 
     512.744.4334 fax 
     kuykendall@stratfor.com 
       
     _______________________ 
       
     http://www.stratfor.com 
     STRATFOR 
     221 W. 6th Street 
     Suite 400 
     Austin, Texas 78701 
     From: Anya Alfano <anya.alfano@stratfor.com>
     Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2011 15:35:57 -0400
     To: Debora Wright <wright@stratfor.com>
     Cc: Don Kuykendall <don.kuykendall@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Re: URS - New GV Business [REVENUE]
     Hi Don,
     Per Debora's earlier message, I've copied our draft scope of work for
     the URS work below.  Essentially, the client is interested in having two
     areas of interest covered at all times and then the ability to have a
     third topic of interest that will change through the contract period. 
     We'll need to task the monitors to do some additional work to do
     watching their first topic of interest, but we already cover the second
     topic very well.  The topic that they mentioned as an example of a
     rotating topic of interest was the security situation in Mexico, which
     we also cover well.  

     Please let me know your thoughts on the draft below--I'm also available
     to speak on the phone if you think it would be helpful.
     Thanks,
     Anya

     SCOPE OF WORK  - Global Vantage Services for URS

     STRATFOR will provide URS with continual monitoring of two topics of
     continual concern and one additional topic of concern that will change
     periodically during the term of service. The goal of these monitoring
     services is to provide better understanding of the security environment
     in the areas of interest that could impact URS personnel, facilities,
     operations and interests.

      

                             I.     Standing Issue of Interest - STRATFOR
     will monitor militant threats to URS and other similarly situated
     corporations to determine any change to the level of threat to these
     entities. STRATFOR will alert the client to any emerging threats and
     help the client to determine whether these developments signify a threat
     to their interests.

                            II.     Standing Issue of Interest - STRATFOR
     will monitor security developments--including those stemming from war,
     insurgency and terrorism-- in Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistan to
     determine if there are changes to the company's baseline threat
     assessment and operational environment in these areas.

                          III.     Rotating Area of Interest - URS will
     determine one rotating area of interest with the ability to change this
     topic once every two months. These areas of interest would primarily
     focus on the security issues present in a single country, with a special
     focus on how security issues impact the business environment. A STRATFOR
     Briefer will work with the client to ensure that the chosen topic of
     interest does not require an extraordinary level of resource usage from
     STRATFOR's intelligence team.

      

     DELIVERABLES

      

     .       Three URS representatives will receive access to a STRATFOR
     Intelligence Briefer who collaborates with the STRATFOR analyst team and
     tracks open source and proprietary global intelligence as it pertains to
     the Scope of Work outlined above:

     -       The Briefer will provide alerts and updates on significant
     developments related to the Scope of Work via email or phone call

     -       The Briefer will also be available for consultation via email or
     phone on strategic questions related to the Scope of Work and can
     provide updates and recommendations during crisis and red alert
     situations.  The Briefer will alert URS if any request requires an
     extraordinary level of monitoring, intelligence resources or research
     and is therefore not included within the scope of this contract

      

     .       Three URS users will receive access to STRATFOR's Enterprise
     database of daily content/archives of global briefings, analysis,
     forecasts, videos and special reports

     On 8/31/11 2:48 PM, Debora Wright wrote:

       Hi Don -

       Anya and I just got off the phone with URS and we are finalizing the
       scope of work/deliverables for this new GV business.  Anya will send
       the scope of work shortly for your review and approval. 

       As a quick reminder, here are the details about this business:

       URS has a budget of $28K, so we have been clear with URS that STRATFOR
       will have to limit the service to meet their budget.  It is basically
       a proof of concept year - so in 6 months, Anya and I will visit with
       them again to consider the success of GV within their organization,
       discuss other topics they may want us to monitor,  and provide pricing
       options for 2012 so they will have ample time to budget for a larger
       purchase of GV Services.
       If you are good with what Anya sends, please let me know so that I may
       forward to the customer, get his approval and close the business.

       Thanks,
       Debora
","2011-08-31 23:00:41",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5507507_re-urs-new-gv-business-revenue-.html","Anya.Alfano@stratfor.com","","kuykendall@stratfor.com,wright@stratfor.com",""
5509401,"Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
","   No wonder Medvedev has 2 trips planned to Turkey this spring..... Russia
   will try to take advantage.

   Reva Bhalla wrote:

     yes... turkey isn't only using Iran as the cause for the break. look at
     turkey's public outrage over the Israeli offensive in Gaza as an
     example. Turkey is already pretty tight with Russia, but this doesn't
     mean Turkey has to necessarily get closer to Russia. Turkey will play
     nice with the Russians but also wants to show it can play on its own
     On Feb 20, 2010, at 11:14 AM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

       I meant to say, if not for Iran, would he look for other
       places/weaknesses in the US/Israel relationship to cause a break? 
       And, if he did break with these two, would it mean necessarily that he
       would move closer to Russia?

       Reva Bhalla wrote:

         US and Israel are the ones that matter. it's about redefining
         Turkey's role as an independent power
         On Feb 20, 2010, at 11:04 AM, Jennifer Richmond wrote:

           Erdogan is looking to break with the US and Israel?  Are there
           other possible places he could do this, if he is actively trying?

           George Friedman wrote:

             Turkey would break with israel and the united states. It would
             be an opportunity erdogan is looking for. 

             Iran would become more visible but not more powerful. A year
             after the attack its underlying weakness would still be there
             and its dependence on turkey greater. 

             In my view the ourtcome of this is turkish power. But remeber,
             my insight is not that israel will attack. Its that kissinger
             thinks they will attack. Huge difference. 

             $

             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:55:16 +0000
             To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             All my sources - regardless of factional affiliation - are
             convinced that Iran is preparing for war and one that will make
             the regime more stronger. Did you see Bob Baer make the same
             argument in TIME? Any attack on Iran will make it very difficult
             for Turkey. It will be forced to take a stand against the war
             and there could be trouble with the United States. Such a
             conflict will be a test of Turkey's resurgence and moves towards
             a more independent foreign policy. 

             ---

             Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"George Friedman\" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:47:49 +0000
             To: Kamran Bokhari<bokhari@stratfor.com>; George
             Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; Secure
             List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             I believe th us will premempt. But there is no clear time line.

             Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: \"Kamran Bokhari\" <bokhari@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 15:43:38 +0000
             To: George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>; Secure
             List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Re: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             Understood. What is your own assessment of the view that the
             Israelis will attack?

             ---

             Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network 

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

             From: George Friedman <gfriedman@stratfor.com>
             Date: Sat, 20 Feb 2010 09:41:03 -0600
             To: Secure List<secure@stratfor.com>
             Subject: Insight--for internal use only--On pain of agony
             Internal use only

             Some nuggets from meeting:

             Kissinger believes that the Israelis are in a panic and will
             attack Iran.  Erdogan has made it clear to him that he plans to
             break with Israel at some point and reorient toward the Islamic
             world. He intends to be their leader.  Paul Volcker regards the
             Greek crisis as potentially a mortal blow for the EU. He would
             like to see an IMF tranche.  He also said that Nicholas Brady is
             behind both this and the Volcker principles Obama adopted.  When
             I asked Brady how he expects to get the the U.S. to go along
             with an IMF bailout, he shrugged and said they won't, but that's
             the only choice.  Volcker is now doubtful the Euro can survive. 
             Brady is convinced it will.  Kissinger thinks Volcker and Brady
             are missing the real crisis which is in Iran and potentially
             Russia. Volcker also says that the Bank of England and the
             French will go along with the Volcker rules on an international
             basis--that is returning to a variety of Glass-Steagal.  The
             Japanese will do whatever is said, and in Germany only Deutsche
             Bank really makes decisions. Sarkozy told him he would come in. 
             So there may be an international convention on restructuring
             banks under way--Volcker is pretty careful in what he says and
             doesn't promote himself more than the average bear, so this may
             be the case.  Nick Brady thinks so too.

             Total confusion on situation in China, but more on Obama.  They
             don't understand who is running China policy. The decision to
             meet with the Dalia Lama strikes them as particularly bizarre. 
             But China is the least of the discussion.  It is about Greece
             and Iran.  China is kind of an afterthought.

             I asked Tim Reed who ran Resolution Trust Corporation during the
             S&L crisis under Nick Brady whether a new RTC would have been
             better as a supplement to TARP and he agreed but said that
             Paulsen was so panicked he wasn't thinking and Bernaecke and he
             were just responding.  

             One sense I'm getting here is that the American elite, along
             with Europe's, China's and just about everyone but Russia's his
             suffering from three problems:  First, none are really aware of
             the political pressures on other elites.  Second, they
             completely misunderstand the alienation of the publics, three,
             except for Volcker, they think this can be handled by the elites
             among themselves.  We have a crisis of the elites, in my view.  

             I get to hold forth in an hour or so, and I'm going to argue
             that Iran is going out of control because of the elite crisis. 
             No decision making is going on and the decisions that are being
             made won't be supported in the public. The only country that is
             acting decisively and can do so is Russia.

             This is for our own internal use.  This must not be published or
             discussed outside Stratfor.
             -- 
             George Friedman
             Founder and CEO
             Stratfor
             700 Lavaca Street
             Suite 900
             Austin, Texas 78701
             Phone  512-744-4319
             Fax  512-744-4334

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director, Stratfor
 US Mobile: (512) 422-9335
 China Mobile: (86) 15801890731
 Email: richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com



    

 --
 Jennifer Richmond
 China Director, Stratfor
 US Mobile: (512) 422-9335
 China Mobile: (86) 15801890731
 Email: richmond@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com



    

   --
   Lauren Goodrich
   Director of Analysis
   Senior Eurasia Analyst
   Stratfor
   T: 512.744.4311
   F: 512.744.4334
   lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
   www.stratfor.com
","2010-02-20 20:37:58",1,"2012-02-27 01:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5509401_re-insight-for-internal-use-only-on-pain-of-agony-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","bokhari@stratfor.com,richmond@stratfor.com,reva.bhalla@stratfor.com,friedman@att.blackberry.net,secure@stratfor.com",""
5512760,"[CT] Mexico hippy bombers
","   http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20090930_mexico_emergence_unexpected_threat

                   Mexico: Emergence of an Unexpected Threat

     * View
     * Revisions
   September 30, 2009 | 1745 GMT

                           Decrease Text     Normal Text    Increase Text     
   PRINTPRINT Text Resize: Size              Size           Size              

    0 0ShareThis6

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   Algeria: Taking the Pulse of AQIM

   By Scott Stewart

   At approximately 2 a.m. on Sept. 25, a small improvised explosive device
   (IED) consisting of three or four butane canisters was used to attack a
   Banamex bank branch in the Milpa Alta delegation of Mexico City. The
   device damaged an ATM and shattered the bank's front windows. It was not
   an isolated event. The bombing was the seventh recorded IED attack in the
   Federal District - and the fifth such attack against a local bank branch -
   since the beginning of September.

   The attack was claimed in a communique posted to a Spanish-language
   anarchist Web site by a group calling itself the Subversive Alliance for
   the Liberation of the Earth, Animals and Humans (ASLTAH). The note said,
   \"Once again we have proven who our enemies are,\" indicating that the
   organization's \"cells for the dissolution of civilization\" were behind the
   other, similar attacks. The communique noted that the organization had
   attacked Banamex because it was a \"business that promotes torture,
   destruction and slavery\" and vowed that ASLTAH would not stop attacking
   \"until we see your ashes.\" The group closed its communique by sending
   greetings to the Earth Liberation Front (ELF), the Animal Liberation Front
   (ALF) and the \"eco-pyromaniacs for the liberation of the earth in this
   place.\" Communiques have also claimed some of the other recent IED attacks
   in the name of ASLTAH.

   On Sept. 22, authorities also discovered and disabled a small IED left
   outside of a MetLife insurance office in Guadalajara, Jalisco state. A
   message spray-painted on a wall near where the device was found read,
   \"Novartis stop torturing animals,\" a reference to the multinational
   pharmaceutical company, which has an office near where the IED was found
   and which has been heavily targeted by the group Stop Huntingdon Animal
   Cruelty (SHAC). Novartis is a large customer of Huntingdon Life Sciences,
   the research company SHAC was formed to destroy because Huntingdon uses
   animals in its testing for harmful side effects of drugs, chemicals and
   consumer items. A second message spray-painted on a wall near where the
   device was found on Sept. 22 read, \"Novartis break with HLS.\" Two other
   IEDs were detonated at banks in Mexico City on the same day.

   These IED attacks are the most recent incidents in a wave of anarchist,
   animal rights, and eco-protest attacks that have swept across Mexico this
   year. Activists have conducted literally hundreds of incidents of
   vandalism, arson and, in more recent months, IED attacks in various
   locations across the country. The most active cells are in Mexico City and
   Guadalajara.

   For a country in the midst of a bloody cartel war in which thousands of
   people are killed every year - and where serious crimes
   like kidnapping terrorize nearly every segment of society - direct-action
   attacks by militant activists are hardly the biggest threat faced by the
   Mexican government. However, the escalation of direct-action attacks in
   Mexico that has resulted in the more frequent use of IEDs shows no sign of
   abating, and these attacks are likely to grow more frequent, spectacular
   and deadly.

  The Wave

   Precisely quantifying the wave of direct-action attacks in Mexico is
   difficult for a number of reasons. One is that the reporting of such
   incidents is spotty and the police, the press and the activists themselves
   are often not consistent in what they report and how. Moreover, is often
   hard to separate direct-action vandalism from incidents of plain old
   non-political vandalism or tell the difference between an anarchist IED
   attack against a bank and an IED attack against a bank conducted by
   a Marxist group such as the Popular Revolutionary Army (EPR). Then there
   is the issue of counting. Should a series of five Molotov cocktail attacks
   against ATMs or the destruction of 20 Telmex phone booths in one night be
   counted as one attack or as separate incidents?

   If we count conservatively - e.g., consider a series of like incidents as
   one - we can say there have been around 200 direct-action attacks to date
   in 2009. But if we count each incident separately, we can easily claim
   there have been more than 400 such attacks. For example, by our count,
   there have been more than 350 Telmex phone booths smashed, burned or
   otherwise vandalized so far this year. (Activists will do things like glue
   metal shavings into the calling-card and coin slots.) However, for the
   sake of this analysis we'll go with the conservative number of about 200
   attacks.

   Now, Telmex seems to be the most popular target so far for direct-action
   attacks. In addition to hitting phone booths, activists also have attacked
   Telmex vehicles and offices and have cut Telmex cables. From their
   statements, the activists appear to hold a special hatred for Carlos Slim,
   one of the richest men in the world and the chairman of Telmex and several
   other companies. In many ways, Slim - a patriarchal billionaire
   industrialist - is the personification of almost everything that the
   anarchistic activists hate. In addition to Telmex and banks, the activists
   also have attacked other targets such as restaurants (including McDonald's
   and KFC), meat shops, pet shops, fur and leather stores, luxury vehicles,
   and construction equipment.

   The activists' most common tactics tend to be on the lower end of the
   violence scale and include graffiti and paint (frequently red to symbolize
   the blood of animals) to vandalize a target. They also frequently release
   captive birds or animals as well as use superglue and pieces of metal to
   obstruct locks, pay phones and ATM card readers. Moving up the violence
   continuum, activists less frequently will break windows, burn buildings
   and vehicles, and make bomb threats - there have been at least 157
   incidents involving arson or incendiary devices so far in 2009. To help
   put this into perspective, these activists have conducted more arson
   attacks in Mexico to date in 2009 than their American counterparts have
   conducted in the United States since 2001.

   At the high end of the violence spectrum are the IED attacks, and this is
   where there has really been an increase in activity in recent weeks. In
   the first six months of 2009, there were several bomb threats and hoaxes
   and a few acid bombs, but only two real IEDs were used. In June, July and
   August there was one IED attack per month - and so far in September there
   have been seven IED attacks in Mexico City alone and one successful attack
   and one attempted attack in Guadalajara. Again, by way of comparison,
   these eight IED attacks by Mexican activists in September are more than
   American activists have conducted in the United States since 2001.

  Proliferation of IEDs

   There are several factors that can explain this trend toward the
   activists' increasing use of IEDs. The first is, quite simply, that IEDs
   generate more attention than graffiti, glue or even an arson attack -
   indeed, here we are devoting a weekly security report to activist IED
   attacks in Mexico. In light of the overall level of violence in Mexico,
   most observers have ignored the past lower-level activity by these
   activist groups, and IEDs help cut through the noise and bring attention
   to the activists' causes. The scope and frequency of IED attacks this
   month ensured that they could not be overlooked.

   The second factor is the learning curve of the cells' bombmakers. As a
   bombmaker becomes more proficient in his tradecraft, the devices he crafts
   tend to become both more reliable and more powerful. The improvement in
   tradecraft also means that the bombmaker is able to increase his
   operational tempo and deploy devices more frequently. It is quite possible
   that the few IEDs that were reported as hoaxes in March, April and May
   could have been IEDs that did not function properly - a common occurrence
   for new bombmakers who do not extensively test their devices.

   The third factor is thrill and ego. In many past cases, militant activists
   have launched progressively larger attacks. One reason for this is that
   after a series of direct-action attacks, the activists get bored doing
   lower-level things like gluing locks or paint-stripping cars and they move
   to more destructive and spectacular attacks, such as those using timed
   incendiary devices. For many activists, there is a thrill associated with
   getting increased attention for the cause, in causing more damage to their
   targets and in getting away with increasingly brazen attacks.

   Finally, in recent years, we have noted a shift among activist groups away
   from a strict concern for human life. Many activists are becoming
   convinced that less violent tactics have been ineffective, and if they
   really want to save the Earth and animals, they need to take more
   aggressive action. There is a small but growing fringe of hard-core
   activists who believe that, to paraphrase Lenin, you have to break eggs to
   make an omelet.

   The Ruckus Society, a direct-action activist training organization,
   explains it this way in a training document: \"There is a law against
   breaking into a house. However, if you break into a house as part of a
   greater good, such as rushing into the house to save a child from a fire,
   it is permissible to break that law. In fact, you can say that there is
   even a moral obligation to break that law. In the same way then, it is
   permissible to break minor laws to save the Earth.\" In general, activists
   do not condone violent action directed at humans, but neither do they
   always condemn it in very strong terms - they often explain that the anger
   that prompts such violence is \"understandable\" in light of what they
   perceive as ecological injustice and cruelty to animals.

   In recent years there has been a polarization in the animal rights and
   environmental movements, with fringe activists becoming increasingly
   isolated and violent - and more likely to use potentially deadly tools
   like IEDs in their attacks.

  Confluences

   The very name of ASLTAH - the Subversive Alliance for the Liberation of
   the Earth, Animals and Humans - illustrates the interesting confluence of
   animal rights, ecological activism and anti-imperialism/anarchism that
   inhabit the radical fringe. It is not uncommon for one cell of independent
   activists to claim it carried out its attacks under the banner of
   \"organizations\" such as ELF, ALF or SHAC. In true anarchistic style,
   however, these organizations are amorphous and nonhierarchical - there is
   no single ELF, ALF or SHAC. Rather, the individual activists and cells who
   act on behalf of the organizations control their own activities while
   adhering to guidelines circulated in meetings and conferences, via the
   Internet, and in various magazines, newsletters and other publications.
   These individual activists and cells are driven only by their consciences,
   or by group decisions within the cell. This results in a level of
   operational security that can be hard for law enforcement and security
   officials to breach.

   As noted above, these activists have been far more active in Mexico than
   they have in the United States. One reason for this is that the operating
   environment north of the border is markedly different than it is in
   Mexico. In the United States, the FBI and local and state police agencies
   have focused hard on these activists, and groups like ELF and ALF have
   been branded as domestic terrorists. There have been several major
   investigations into these groups in recent years.

   South of the border it is a different matter. Mexican authorities are
   plagued with problems ranging from drug cartels to Marxist
   terrorist/insurgent groups like the EPR to rampant police and government
   corruption. Simply put, there is a vacuum of law and order in Mexico and
   that vacuum is clearly reflected in statistics such as the number of
   kidnappings inside the country every year. The overall level of violence
   in Mexico and this vacuum of authority provide room for the activists to
   operate, and the host of other crime and violence issues plaguing the
   country works to ensure that the authorities are simply too busy to place
   much emphasis on investigating activist attacks and catching those
   responsible for them. Therefore, the activists operate boldly and with a
   sense of impunity that often leads to an increase in violence - especially
   within the context of a very violent place, which Mexico is at the present
   time.

   This atmosphere means that the activist cells behind the increase in IED
   attacks will be able to continue their campaigns against assorted
   capitalist, animal and ecological targets with very little chance of being
   seriously pursued. Consequently, as the IED campaign continues, the
   attacks will likely become more frequent and more destructive. And given
   Mexico's densely populated cities and the activists' target sets, this
   escalation will ensure that the attacks will eventually turn deadly.

   Read more: Mexico: Emergence of an Unexpected Threat | STRATFOR 
","2011-12-12 15:33:57",1,"2012-02-27 12:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5512760_-ct-mexico-hippy-bombers-.html","stewart@stratfor.com","mailto:ct@stratfor.com","ct@stratfor.com",""
5513222,"Re: Watch officers - Please read
","   This is good stuff, Karen. Looking at this it is clear we need to do a
   better job of sending stuff to GV alerts - it makes it to OS (meaning
   monitors are doing their jobs) but not to gvalerts (shame on us). I
   commented on three below, but the point remains that we're missing GV-able
   items. The simplest solution is probably just WOs taking more time to
   become familiar with the client list so that we recognize GV items quickly
   when we're in a hurry.

   I think the breakdown of misses is very helpful. Perhaps as Orit suggested
   we should do this regularly - evaluate the previous shift's work each
   shift? This would be brutal, but it would also be a good exercise (both
   for the person being evaluated and the person doing the evaluating).
   Looking back when there is more time to consider each item, it is easier
   to see my mistakes and as such I'm much less likely to make them again.
   The evaluations would be up for comment by any of the WOs, which would
   help us improve as well. I'll (sheepishly) offer my shift today as the
   first for evaluation if Karen thinks she'll have time to grade me tonight.
   Karen, if you do, go for it - it's nighttime in Orit-land so we probably
   won't hear from her for several more hours. Probably we would only need to
   do this for a week more or less, but it wouldn't have to be a permanent
   fixture as it could become quite time-consuming.

   Here's to more effective WOs!
   Orit Gal-Nur wrote:

     These graphs definitely help us see the layout of our coverage.  It's
     also something we can do every two weeks to monitor AOR coverage from
     the OS and Alerts lists.  But we also need to consider that some of the
     AORs will have more reppable items, such as the Middle East and Europe. 
     Agree on this. Latam is important for mining/lng/oil issues for clients,
     but these don't always make it to reps.
     One side note about the list you compiled below, is it possible that my
     OS box differs from yours?  In my thunderbird, one item on the list
     below was forwarded to alerts, and a few others did not show up at all
     in OS (I don't delete anything from OS). 
     While a crucial aspect of our job is speed, sometimes it's hard to
     balance this with accuracy.  As Karen mentioned, the double and triple
     fact checking is mandatory, but it can slow us in tackling the OS in a
     timely manner.  Sometimes during the quick decision making in whether to
     rep or not, I pass a potential rep only to rep it later after reading
     another article and either seeing it a different perspective or with
     just different wording. Agreed on this, too. We should be fast, but we
     should also be accurate. The solution is to get better at both.
     We need to have exercises that allow us to look critically at our work. 
     One might be the graph below, done on a consistent basis, to see how our
     sweeping and repping is covered.  Another exercise could be to compare
     the time frames from certain days as Karen did, giving us each a chance
     to analyze the lists and eachothers'  repping mistakes.  This type of
     feedback and learning will spread to all aspects of the job and
     influence all our decision making.
     Thanks Karen, this is a good start.

     Karen Hooper wrote:

       Hi all,

       It is clear that we need more accountability and discussion of the
       principles that drive Watch Officer decision-making at Stratfor. Below
       is my own evaluation of the relationship between the OS list and the
       Alerts list between 5 am cst and 1 pm cst Feb. 4. During that time,
       there were a total of 24 items sent to the alerts list and 20 items
       sent to the gvalerts list. There were only three items sent to the GV
       alerts list between 7 am CST and 8 pm CST yesterday, which is a
       problem.

       The alerts list is closer to where it ought to be, but we may have
       missed a few items that should at the very least be brought to the
       attention of the company. We are also just not as fast as we could be.
       I know that I sometimes get caught up in sweeping, consulting with
       monitors and analysts, and double and triple checking things before i
       rep them, which puts me in a position where I've not forwarded alert
       items the list as fast as I ought to. This is something we all need to
       be acutely aware of -- we have to be reactive, and we must err on the
       side of overreaction.

       At the very bottom of this email is a graph showing our sitrepping
       patterns over the last two weeks. The data only include weekdays, and
       do double-count reps that qualify for more than one AOR. I'm not sure
       what is to be learned from it, except our sitrep coverage of Latin
       America is decidedly less than awesome and our coverage of East Asia
       is spotty. Latin America is pretty internally focused right now, but
       we need at the very  least to be picking up the cartel violence. I
       will take the lead on talking to our two monitors who touch on latam
       and putting together some tactical guidance for WOs and Monitors.

       To date, we've been really focused on the monitors, getting them up to
       speed, working out scheduling, etc. It's definitely time that we took
       a look at our own performance, and we need to be thinking about ways
       that we can improve our consistency, speed and thoroughness. Reva has
       pointed out the need to be more careful in our highlighting process,
       which is something she sees easily, first thing in the morning. But we
       are the only ones who can easily go through the OS list -- and we
       should do so in with the aim of keeping each other honest.

       By controlling the flow of information, the watch officers hold the
       family jewels of the company. This will become increasingly true, and
       it's our job to make the right call, every time.

       Below is the result of a sample i took from 5 am CST to 1 pm CST. The
       lists below are of items that probably should have been sent to alerts
       or GValerts:

       GV:
       [OS] TURKEY/ENERGY - Ankara delays natural gas tender for March 14
       [OS] ENERGY - Trans-Black Sea pipeline studies under way
       [OS] UAE/IB - Abu Dhabi plans investment of $280 bln
       [OS] KUWAIT/KSA/ENERGY - Kuwait,    Saudi to increase Neutral Zone oil
       capacity
       [OS] LITHUANIA/POLAND/SWEDEN/ENERGY - Seimas passes nuclear bill I may
       be overlooking something, but I don't see that this one should have
       been GVd.
       [OS] NORWAY/ENERGY - Turbine fire shuts down 20, 000 barrel per day
       Njord A oil platform off Norwa
       [OS] RUSSIA/SOMALIA/CT - Pirates seize Russians, British man off
       Somalia (More details) A similar article was sent to gvalerts prior to
       this one. But it raised a question in my mind - what kinds of updates
       do we need for GV items? So I asked Joe. He says there's no need to
       update a story unless it changes the fundamentals or a briefer
       contacts the WO to say it is important enough to a client to warrant
       tracking more minute changes.
       [OS] ANGOLA/SOUTH AFRICA/IB - Angolan mining potential in focus in
       South Africa I don't think this one needed to be sent to GValerts. The
       only new information is that a presentation is being given.
       S2 - NIGERIA/CT - Rebels claim Nigerian oil delta attack
       [OS] BRAZIL/TURKEY/ENERGY/IB - Petrobras, Turkiye Petrolleri Find
       Black Sea Oil, Referans Says
       [OS] CHINA/IB - Copper Rises as Costs May Curb China's Output; Nickel
       Declines
       [OS] SERBIA/US/PP/IB - Serbia, US Steel sign environmental protection
       deal
       [OS] COLOMBIA/ENERGY - Colombia To Auction Rights To Seek Oil In 151
       Blocks In 2008
       [OS] FRANCE/VENEZUELA/ENERGY/IB - Total Signs 2 Heavy Oil Study Deals
       With PDVSA
       [OS] IB - Airbus Completes First Civil Aircraft Test Flight With
       Alternative Fuel

       Alerts:
       [OS] IRAQ/IRAN/ENERGY - Baghdad protests against Iranian violations of
       Iraqi oilfields
       [OS] JAPAN/CHINA/IB - Japan sends mission to China over food poisoning
       incidents
       [OS] CHAD/CT/UN - EU Chad mission suspended but will go ahead-Solana
       [OS] US/MIL/CT- U.S. Citizen in Singapore Accused of Selling Military
       Hardware to Iran [It was too old to rep, but it should have been sent
       out]
       [OS] IB - White House Budget Request
       [OS] FRANCE/VENEZUELA/ENERGY/IB - Total Signs 2 Heavy Oil Study Deals
       With PDVSA
       [OS] ITALY - Berlusconi Rejects Government as Early Election Looms

       Other issues:
       [OS] EGYPT/GAZA/CT - Palestinian gunfire wounds 2 Egyptian policemen 
       [this was sent to the OS list three times, it was repped over an hour
       after it was first sent to the list]
       [OS] COLOMBIA/CT - Colombians in anti-Farc protests [i repped this
       later, when the numbers were made clear (half a million protesters),
       but it was still pretty impt when sent out at the beginning of the
       day]
       [OS] SPAIN/CT - Spanish police arrest Basque separatists [This was
       repped, but not until an hour after it was sent to the OS list]
       INDIA/MALAYSIA - India, Malaysia seeking ways to join hands in
       fighting terror  [this should have been resent to the OS list with a
       CT tag]

       Sitrepping by AOR over the past two weeks:

                Feb.  Feb.  Jan.  Jan.  Jan.  Jan.  Jan.  Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 
                4     1     31    30    29    28    25    24   23   22   21   
       East         3     6     5     7     3    16     4    3    8    6    8 
       Asia     
       Middle      15    15     7     8     8    17    15   11   17   14   12 
       East     
       Latin        3     4     3     3     3     2     2    1    3    4    6 
       America  
       South        6     9    11     4     5     6    11    6   11   10    5 
       Asia     
       Africa       6     8     6     2     5     1     5    1    7    3    6 
       Europe       6     7     4     8     6     3    16    9    7    9    8 
       FSU          3     5     6     7     6     9     9   11    7    6    4 

 --
 Orit Gal-Nur
 Watch Officer
 Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
 orit.gal-nur@stratfor.com

  

 --
 Thomas Davison
 Watch Officer
 Stratfor
 (512) 366-0196
","2008-02-05 20:06:05",1,"2012-02-27 02:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5513222_re-watch-officers-please-read-.html","davison@stratfor.com","","hooper@stratfor.com,watchofficer@stratfor.com,orit.gal-nur@stratfor.com",""
5513250,"For the New-Terns
","","2008-06-27 20:58:41",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5513250_for-the-new-terns-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","eurasia@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/177/177181_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5514758,"[Fwd: For the New-Tern]
","","2008-08-19 19:01:46",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5514758_-fwd-for-the-new-tern-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","goodrich@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5514984,"[Eurasia] FOR NEW-TERN CATHERINE
","9","2009-01-06 04:37:37",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5514984_-eurasia-for-new-tern-catherine-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","mailto:eurasia@stratfor.com","eurasia@stratfor.com,catherine.durbin@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174276_FSU Parliaments.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5515132,"[Fwd: New-tern info]
","2","2008-09-03 16:48:06",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5515132_-fwd-new-tern-info-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","goodrich@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
5521421,"Re: note from Yemeni diplomatic source
","   Pinged.

   On 1/3/2011 11:24 AM, scott stewart wrote:

     Kamran,

      

     Can you ask ISI for confirmation?

      

     If he was really in Pakistan, it would either indicate closer
     coordination that we had thought - or that the pressure on AQAP is
     greater than we had thought.

      

     Still, there is a pretty robust leadership cadre in AQAP, so his loss
     would not be all that great, even if he really were killed in Pakistan.

      

      

      

     From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com
     [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com] On Behalf Of Michael Wilson
     Sent: Monday, January 03, 2011 11:02 AM
     To: Analyst List
     Subject: Re: note from Yemeni diplomatic source

      

     here is the original btw

     Bin Laden aide killed in U.S. drone attack in Pakistan: officials+
     Jan 2 07:38 PM US/Eastern
     http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9KGHKT80&show_article=1
     ISLAMABAD, Jan. 3 (AP) - (Kyodo)-Nasir al Wahishi, a Yemeni national who
     reportedly served as an aide of al-Qaida chief Osama bin Laden, was
     killed in a U.S. drone attack in northwestern Pakistan late last year,
     Pakistani security officials said Sunday.

     The officials, who sought anonymity, said Wahishi, 32, was killed on
     Dec. 28 when two missiles were fired on a militant camp at the Ghulam
     Khan sub-district of North Waziristan.

     The officials claimed Wahishi had served as personal assistant of bin
     Laden until 2000.

     On 1/3/11 9:17 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:

     Pakistani Intelligence leaked news of a drone strike killing Nasir
     Wahayshi, Emir of AQAP in Pakistan....
     Lol early aprils fool... first they said fad quso was  eliminated
      now this

     http://ibnlive.in.com/news/osamas-top-aide-of-killed-in-drone-strike/139261-2.html

     I apologize If I made any spelling or grammar mistakes
                                       .iPad message.

 --

 Michael Wilson

 Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR

 Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112

 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com

  

   --
","2011-01-03 17:33:58",1,"2012-02-27 15:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5521421_re-note-from-yemeni-diplomatic-source-.html","bokhari@stratfor.com","mailto:analysts@stratfor.com","analysts@stratfor.com","attach/6/6434_Signature.JPG"
5528818,"New-tern Info...
","","2009-05-11 22:15:18",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5528818_new-tern-info-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","marko.papic@stratfor.com,robert.reinfrank@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126614_Team Eurasia 090302.xls
attach/126/126615_READING LIST.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc"
5542676,"[Fwd: For the New-Tern]
","","2008-08-19 19:01:46",1,"2012-02-27 00:00:00","http://www.wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/5542676_-fwd-for-the-new-tern-.html","goodrich@stratfor.com","","goodrich@stratfor.com","attach/126/126613_FSU sweep list.doc
attach/126/126616_GV Client List for Team.doc
attach/174/174277_FSU sites.doc
attach/175/175579_GEOPOLITICAL IMPERATIVE - RUSSIA.doc"
