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### Viewing cable 02HARARE2784, ZCTU LEADERS ARRESTED IN ADVANCE OF FIZZLED

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
02HARARE2784 | 2002-12-10 13:12 | 2011-08-24 16:30 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Harare

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 HARARE 002784

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE

    NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR JFRAZER
    LONDON FOR CGURNEY
    NAIROBI FOR PFLAUMER
    PARIS FOR NEARY

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ECON ELAB PHUM PGOV ZI
    SUBJECT: ZCTU LEADERS ARRESTED IN ADVANCE OF FIZZLED
    NCA/MDC-SPONSORED STAYAWAY

    REF: A. HARARE 02620
         ¶B. HARARE 02726

    SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED, NOT FOR INTERNET POSTING

    1.(SBU)  Summary.  Reports indicate that eleven senior
    members of the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU) were
    arrested by Zimbabwean police the day before a planned
    mass-action stayaway which the ZCTU had not even endorsed.
    Participation in the stayaway has been sporadic -- possibly
    because the ZCTU failed to support the stayaway call, which
    originated from the leadership of the National Constitutional
    Assembly (NCA) and the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC).
    Anecdotal reports indicate that while traffic on Harare
    streets is only marginally lighter than normal, at most only
    25-30% of workers have actually heeded the call to stay home
    from work within the capital city, and 20% may have
    participated nationwide -- figures that may well prove
    optimistic.  The ultimate success or failure of eventual mass
    action could depend upon the evolving situation of the ZCTU's
    detained leadership, who ironically chose not to support the
    abortive stayaway.  End summary.

    ZCTU Leaders Pay the Political Price Despite Attempts to
    Distance Themselves
    --------------------------------------------- -------------

    ¶2. (SBU)  Wellington Chibebe, secretary general of the ZCTU
    and a very recent IVP visitor to the US, along with ten other
    high-level ZCTU leaders, was picked up by the police late in
    the evening of December 9 at a labor seminar sponsored by the
    AFL-CIO's Solidarity Center.  According to reports, the
    eleven were removed from the seminar by police although there
    is no indication that they were charged with any criminal
    activity.  Attorneys are urgently attempting to locate the
    eleven as well as obtain their release through the courts.
    In typical GOZ fashion, the eleven detainees were not
    immediately taken to a police station or charged, although
    our contacts have heard unconfirmed reports that they are
    currently being kept in two separate police stations in the
    Mbare high-density area.  Solidarity Center contacts state
    that attorneys have not been granted access to the detainees
    and have received no report on their condition.  When (and
    if) charges are actually brought, the eleven detainees are
    likely to be charged with violating the repressive Public
    Order and Security Act (POSA).  The ZCTU has been very wary
    of endorsing a mass-action stayaway without clear support
    from the rank-and-file membership, reftel b, and they have
    neither advised their membership to participate nor to flout
    the call for a stayaway.  Despite this public neutrality, the
    GOZ has chosen the ZCTU as the most visible target of its
    official displeasure at the call for mass action.

    NCA Estimates 20% Nationwide Participation
    ------------------------------------------

    ¶3. (SBU)  Dr. Lovemore Madhuku, chairperson of the NCA,
    confirmed that he was aware of the ZCTU arrests, and stated
    that he is currently in hiding due to reports that the GOZ is
    also searching for the NCA's leaders.  Madhuku believes that
    they have achieved 25-30% participation in the stayaway among
    workers in the Harare area, although the response outside of
    Harare is believed to be much lower.  Currently, the NCA's
    reports indicate 10% participation in Bulawayo and 20%
    participation in Mutare, Gweru and Masvingo.  Overall,
    Madhuku estimates a 20% participation rate nationwide.

    ¶4. (SBU)  Madhuku speculated on several causes which might
    have had an impact on participation.  He stated that (as with
    the failed ZCTU stayaway in March) a lack of clear
    communication may have limited worker response.  Madhuku also
    theorized that some employers may have refused to grant
    absence without pay, which could have dampened the enthusiasm
    of some workers in this harsh economic climate, especially as
    the expensive outlays of the annual holiday season approach.
    One strategy contemplated by the NCA was to have youths stand
    at commuter omnibus stops to prevent workers from boarding
    public transport.  However, due to reported police presence
    at some bus stops this morning, that strategy apparently
    failed.  There are unconfirmed reports of protests in some of
    the high density areas, including reports that a commuter
    omnibus was set on fire by youths in the Kuwadzana area.
    (Comment:  Kuwadzana was the former seat of recently deceased
    MDC parliamentarian Learnmore Jongwe.  This area, which will
    be strongly contested by ZANU-PF in the upcoming by-election,
    has been the recipient of massive political attention --
    including reports of food distributions solely benefitting
    ZANU-PF cardholders -- in recent weeks.  End comment.)

    Companies Report Little Impact
    ------------------------------

    ¶5. (SBU)  Although many employers are reluctant to give much
    information over the phone due to fears of GOZ retribution,
    several firms with American ties report little impact from
    the stayaway.  While most companies are open for business,
    several have reported that some workers were late but ascribe
    this to the ever-present transport difficulties.

    Street Traffic Lighter, Security Presence Heavier than Usual
    --------------------------------------------- ---------------

    ¶6. (SBU)  The traffic on the streets -- both pedestrian and
    vehicular -- is somewhat lighter than usual, although there
    are several alternative explanations.  Zimbabwean schools are
    not in session, which generally means less omnibus traffic.
    In the downtown area, anecdotal reports indicate that in
    areas where parking spaces were completely occupied by 0830
    yesterday morning, only about 2/3 were occupied at the same
    time this morning.  While some observers attribute this to
    the fuel shortage rather than participation in the stayaway,
    others note that those who drive private vehicles -- managers
    and professionals -- would be less likely to support a mass
    action stayaway than the rank-and-file workers, who are more
    likely to commute via commuter omnibus.

    ¶7. (SBU)  There is an increased military and police presence
    on the streets, although even the MDC concedes that this is
    "nothing too significant."  Laboff and visiting Deskoff,
    returning from an offsite meeting, noticed a passing
    transport truck loaded with police decked out in riot gear.
    Despite the increased security presence, there have been no
    reports of confrontations between security forces and
    stayaway supporters in the business districts.  However, two
    separate sources have reported confrontations with police in
    Chitungwiza and Mabvuku, high-density areas surrounding
    Harare, in which people stoned vehicles including public
    transport buses.

    Comment
    -------

    ¶8. (SBU)  Consistent with previous expectations, see reftels
    a and b, there was little hope of widespread participation in
    this stayaway without massive buy-in from labor groups as
    well as other members of civic society.  Although the NCA and
    the MDC were hoping for support from the ZCTU, the labor
    organization has never publicly endorsed the calls for mass
    action optimistically scheduled for this week.  The ZCTU has
    been very reluctant to call for participation in an action
    which was not widely communicated and clearly destined to
    succeed.  The GOZ's actions in pre-emptively arresting the
    ZCTU's leadership, however, speak loudly to the nervousness
    of ZANU-PF.  These arrests, ironically, may well spur the
    ZCTU to a more aggressive response than they would otherwise
    have chosen.  With eleven top ZCTU elected officials arrested
    despite their failure to endorse a mass stayaway, the GOZ may
    have forced the ZCTU into a corner from which calls for mass
    action are the only legitimate response.
    WHITEHEAD

`