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### Viewing cable 04TELAVIV1940, ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
04TELAVIV1940 | 2004-03-31 10:51 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 06 TEL AVIV 001940

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR NEA, NEA/IPA, NEA/PPD

    WHITE HOUSE FOR PRESS OFFICE, SIT ROOM
    NSC FOR NEA STAFF

    JERUSALEM ALSO FOR ICD
    LONDON ALSO FOR HKANONA AND POL
    PARIS ALSO FOR POL
    ROME FOR MFO
    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: IS KMDR MEDIA REACTION REPORT
    SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

    --------------------------------
    SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT:
    --------------------------------

    ¶1.  Gaza Withdrawal Plan

    ¶2.  Greater Middle East Initiative

    -------------------------
    Key stories in the media:
    -------------------------

    All media reported that last night PM Sharon promised
    at the Likud convention that registered Likud members
    would get to vote on his Gaza disengagement plan.
    Ha'aretz says that Sharon's pledge "came under a hail
    of scathing criticism from the right as well as the
    left."  Yediot published the results of a Mina Zemach
    (Dahaf) poll taken last night among register Likud
    members:  51 percent support disengagement; 36 percent
    are opposed to it.  A concurrent Maariv poll finds 51
    percent in support of Sharon's plan, 39 percent opposed
    to it, while 10 percent are undecided.

    Israel Radio quoted GOI sources in Jerusalem as saying
    that following Sharon's talks in Washington, the U.S.
    will recognize Israel's security needs, but not
    settlement blocs in the West Bank.  Yediot filed a
    similar report based on "the draft" of an Israeli-
    American document.  Jerusalem Post quoted Israeli
    diplomatic officials as saying that Israel's request
    that the U.S. formally reject the Palestinian demand
    for refugee repatriation in exchange for disengagement
    is likely to be finessed by a U.S. declaration for two
    states -- one for Jews, and one for Palestinians.
    Ha'aretz reported that Israel has asked the U.S. to
    provide official endorsement of the separation fence
    route, as part of the "benefits basket" which is to be
    provided in exchange for the implementation of the
    disengagement plan.  The newspaper reported that this
    request was submitted as part of an attempt to satisfy
    conditions upon which Finance Minister Binyamin
    Netanyahu has predicated his support for the separation
    plan.  Ha'aretz further reported that Thursday the
    three U.S. envoys -- William Burns, Elliott Abrams and
    Steve Hadley -- will finalize details of the compromise
    with Sharon.  The newspaper reported that the USG is no
    longer lobbying for changes in the barrier's planned
    route.  Ha'aretz reported that the compromise proposal
    was submitted by Defense Ministry D-G Amos Yaron in
    discussions with the U.S. envoys.

    Jerusalem Post featured the story of a 15-year-old
    Palestinian, one of four Nablus boys to whom Islamic
    Jihad promised heaven in exchange for martyrdom as
    suicide bombers.

    Leading media reported that Tuesday and today hundreds
    of members of the security forces clashed with settlers
    during the evacuation the Hazon settler outpost in the
    vicinity of Kiryat Arba, next to Hebron.  IDF Radio and
    Israel Radio reported that this morning six policemen
    were injured by stones thrown during disturbances that
    broke out after members of the Ateret Kohanim movement
    entered homes they had purchased in the Palestinian
    village of Silwan (East Jerusalem).

    Jerusalem Post reported that Tuesday cabinet minister
    Natan Sharansky wrote to the BBC that it employs a
    "gross double standard to the Jewish state" that smacks
    of anti-Semitism.  He was reacting to its coverage of
    the IDF's arrest of a 16-year-old would-be suicide
    bomber last week, which the British corporation
    portrayed as "Israel's cynical manipulation of a
    Palestinian youngster for propaganda purposes."

    All media, except the ultra-Orthodox newspapers,
    reported that the Euroleague basketball championship
    will be played in Israel as planned next month despite
    security concerns.  The media had reported on
    significant protests in Israel about the possibility
    that the games could be moved to Spain.

    Ha'aretz cited a Bank of Israel report released
    Tuesday, according to which the Intifada has cost
    Israel between 31 billion shekels (around USD 6.9
    billion) and 40 billion shekels (around USD 8.85
    billion) so far, but not including defense costs.  The
    amount comes to between 6.2 percent and 8 percent of
    the GDP.  Maariv also cited the document.

    Jerusalem Post reported that, in response to a petition
    signed last week by Palestinian intellectuals and
    activists calling for a peaceful intifada, 81
    Palestinians issued a statement on Tuesday urging the
    Palestinians to continue the fight against Israel until
    they achieve all their rights.

    All media reported that Tuesday the Haifa District
    Court charged Jewish terror suspect Eliran Golan with
    the attempted murder of Arab Knesset Member Issam
    Makhoul and at least three other people in the Haifa
    area.  The court also charged Alex Rabinovitch with
    assistance in attempted murder, conspiracy and
    supplying Golan with bomb-making equipment.  However,
    Golan denied that Rabinovitch had abetted him.

    All media reported that Tuesday thousands of people
    took part in Land Day protests in the Israeli Arab
    sector, which came to pass without incidents.

    Jerusalem Post quotes former Sharon adviser David
    Spector as saying that audio tapes, allegedly in the
    possession of Sharon's son Gilad, will incriminate his
    father and himself, and will strengthen the draft
    indictment against them once they are handed over to
    investigators, as demanded by the High Court of
    Justice.

    Ha'aretz reported that, following the assassination of
    Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, the hosts of a scientific
    conference on desert dunes, which was supposed to be
    held in Layoun, Morocco, in ten days asked the three
    would-be Israeli participants not to come to the event.
    The European organizers of the conference and its
    French financial sponsors subsequently canceled it,
    citing their objection to discrimination.

    Ha'aretz reported on a poll conducted by the
    Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research just
    before the assassination of Sheikh Ahmed Yassin:
    -53 percent of Palestinians support terrorist attacks
    against Israeli civilians (up from 48 percent last
    December).
    -27 percent support Hamas; 20 percent support Fatah; 40
    percent refused to state a preference between the two
    movements.
    -"Are you in favor of Hamas conducting negotiations
    with Israel?"  54 percent are opposed, while 41 percent
    support the idea.

    -------------------------
    ¶1.  Gaza Withdrawal Plan:
    -------------------------

                           Summary:
                           --------

    Veteran op-ed writer and the late prime minister
    Yitzhak Rabin's assistant Eytan Haber opined in the
    lead editorial of mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot
    Aharonot: "From the moment the United States enters the
    picture, accepts the plan and supports it, it is also
    an American plan."

    Political parties correspondent Yossi Verter wrote on
    page one of independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz: "Sharon
    ... will have to resign if his own party members reject
    his diplomatic initiative."

    Senior columnist Nahum Barnea wrote on page one of
    Yediot Aharonot: "Sharon is presently at a low.  The
    comfort is that he can only rise from here."

    Conservative columnist Avraham Tirosh wrote in popular,
    pluralist Maariv: "It is extremely doubtful whether
    there is any point in Sharon traveling as a half-lame
    duck to meet the president of the U.S., in order to
    present a plan to him that could be erased from the
    public agenda within a few weeks along with its
    originator."
                         Block Quotes:
                         -------------

    ¶I.  "We Will Meet on the Barricades"

    Veteran op-ed writer and the late prime minister
    Yitzhak Rabin's assistant Eytan Haber opined in the
    lead editorial of mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot
    Aharonot (March 31): "Commentators will say: Sharon
    believes that the wishes of the registered Likud
    members are identical to the wishes of the general
    population of voters in Israel, who will support the
    disengagement plan en masse, according to public
    opinion polls.  At the same time, the 3,000 Central
    Committee members are more militant and many of them
    are opposed to the disengagement plan.  In other words,
    the Likud party members will carry out a 'bypass
    operation' on the Central Committee members.   Sharon
    will then win and implement his plan.  And if the Likud
    voters reject the plan at the polls?   Then too, the
    plan will be implemented.  Because from the moment the
    United States enters the picture, accepts the plan and
    supports it, it is also an American plan.  In that
    case, no Israeli leader will dare stand up in the Oval
    Office and say: 'I am sorry, my constituency did not
    agree.'  There will not be such a leader, because
    anyone who has ever reached the Prime Minister's Office
    and is familiar with the situation -- Israel's complete
    dependency on the U.S. from the standpoints of defense,
    foreign affairs and economic affairs -- knows that the
    Israeli leader has (almost) never been born who said
    'no' to America, and the last one who behaved this way,
    Yitzhak Shamir, was sent into early retirement by the
    Americans with the support of the Israelis."

    II.  "Conceived in Sin"

    Political parties correspondent Yossi Verter wrote on
    page one of independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz (March
    31): "Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's decision to hold a
    vote among Likud members about his separation plan was
    reached in the usual faltering, belated manner.  This
    time, however, there was a new twist.  This time,
    Sharon's initiative was conceived in sin.... There were
    no counter-proposals, nor was there even an agenda.
    Senior Likud politicians who sat on the dais were
    stunned.  'I thought I knew a thing or two about
    politics,' said Knesset Speaker Reuven Rivlin last
    night. 'But there's always something new to be
    learned'.... The timetable for the referendum dovetails
    with the diplomatic and legal schedules.... Should
    Sharon dodge an indictment, and win majority support
    among Likud members for his separation plan, the
    pullout proposal would go to the government and Knesset
    for approval, and a unity government will come into
    existence.  But should [Attorney General Menachem]
    Mazuz decide to indict Sharon, everything would be
    frozen.  The same would happen if Sharon lost in the
    Likud poll -- he will have to resign if his own party
    members reject his diplomatic initiative."

    III.  "The Arbel Effect"

    Senior columnist Nahum Barnea wrote on page one of
    Yediot Aharonot (March 31): "Sharon is a prime minister
    under duress.  Aside from targeted killings, everything
    he has done on the Palestinian issue was done against
    his will: that is the way he built the fence, supported
    the road map and arrived at the withdrawal from Gaza.
    He knew he would have to get past President Bush, the
    Knesset, the cabinet, and perhaps the general
    electorate as well.  He scorned the institutions of his
    party.  But today's Sharon is not the man he used to
    be.  That is the result of the Edna Arbel effect.  [NB:
    Arbel is the country's State Attorney, who has
    recommended that Sharon be indicted.]  He can pass
    political plans, with a tailwind from the United
    States, but the ability to scorn has been taken from
    him.... Sharon is presently at a low.  The comfort is
    that he can only rise from here.  A sample scenario: he
    travels to the U.S., does not receive many commitments
    ... but his encouraging photographs with the president,
    in rolled-up sleeves, in shirts open at the neck, in
    the rural landscape of Camp David, gladden the nation.
    Then comes a sweeping victory in the referendum,
    followed by the case being closed, accompanied by
    petitions to the High Court of Justice and a
    continuation of investigations in the Cyril Kern
    [corruption] affair, but is still a dynamic of victory.
    The Likud hears the voice of the people and remains
    united.  With a little luck, the right wing ministers
    are also persuaded to stay (and if not, there is always
    Shimon Peres)."

    IV.  "Sharon's Time Is Up"

    Conservative columnist Avraham Tirosh wrote in popular,
    pluralist Maariv (March 31): "It is extremely doubtful
    whether there is any point in Sharon traveling as a
    half-lame duck to meet the president of the U.S., in
    order to present a plan to him that could be erased
    from the public agenda within a few weeks along with
    its originator.  What is clear beyond a doubt is that
    even if he goes to Washington and receives Bush's
    blessing, Sharon will not be able to bring his plan
    before the cabinet for a vote before [Attorney General
    Menachem] Mazuz has spoken his piece.  He is now the
    boss who determines the schedule, and in fact the
    future of the diplomatic initiatives in the region.  He
    and not Sharon, he and not Bush.... There is no longer
    confidence [among the Israeli public] in the man
    himself, as the polls show, apparently due to these
    [alleged corruption] affairs.... In its present
    situation, Israel needs a prime minister with a clean
    head and even cleaner hands."
    -----------------------------------
    ¶2.  Greater Middle East Initiative:
    -----------------------------------
                           Summary:
                           --------

    Conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized:
    "The more forcefully the Bush administration advocates
    [reforms in the Arab world], the more it will put
    repressive Arab regimes on the defensive, and the more
    courage it will give to the best elements in Arab
    society."

                         Block Quotes:
                         -------------

    "Arab Reform Now"

    Conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized
    (March 31): "It strikes us [The Jerusalem Post] as
    strange, to say the least, that the establishment of an
    effective and representative legislature in, say,
    Yemen, hinges on developments in Israel.  It is said
    that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict provides Arab
    regimes with an alibi not to reform.  Perhaps, but that
    would seem to suggest an interest among Arab despots in
    perpetuating the conflict, not resolving it.  At any
    rate, why should the political freedoms of Arab peoples
    be captive to what arch-enemy Israel does or does not
    do?.... Among the conclusions the Bush administration
    drew from September 11 was that the risks of inaction
    outweighed the risks of action; that advocating
    stability above freedom in the Middle East was
    counterproductive, hypocritical, and unworthy of the
    United States; and that reforming the Arab world was a
    sine qua non for defeating terrorism.  We believe these
    conclusions are correct.  The more forcefully the Bush
    administration advocates them, the more it will put
    repressive Arab regimes on the defensive, and the more
    courage it will give to the best elements in Arab
    society.  As policy goes, this may be simplistic, but
    it's the only approach that's likely to succeed."

    KURTZER

`