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### Viewing cable 04TELAVIV2470, ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
04TELAVIV2470 | 2004-04-30 11:45 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 TEL AVIV 002470

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR NEA, NEA/IPA, NEA/PPD

    WHITE HOUSE FOR PRESS OFFICE, SIT ROOM
    NSC FOR NEA STAFF

    JERUSALEM ALSO FOR ICD
    LONDON ALSO FOR HKANONA AND POL
    PARIS ALSO FOR POL
    ROME FOR MFO
    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: IS KMDR MEDIA REACTION REPORT
    SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

    --------------------------------
    SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT:
    --------------------------------

    Sharon's Disengagement Plan

    -------------------------
    Key stories in the media:
    -------------------------

    All media highlighted the Likud vote on PM Sharon's
    disengagement plan, which will take place on Sunday at
    polling places around the country.  Maariv and Yediot
    carried similar headlines: "The Fight of His [Sharon's]
    Life."  All media reported concerns that Israel will
    suffer a blow in the U.S. if Sharon fails.  The right-
    wing Jewish-American group Zionist Organization of
    America (ZOA) publishes a full-page paid ad in Yediot:
    "The U.S. will continue to support Israel regardless of
    the referendum's results."  All media reported that
    Sharon and his aides have launched a high-pressure
    offensive to shore up collapsing support in the party.
    Ha'aretz quoted senior Likud members as saying that
    only FM Silvan Shalom, Education Minister Limor Livnat
    and Finance Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who only
    recently proclaimed their support for the plan, can
    save it.  Leading media reported that Thursday Sharon
    told his close associates in Likud not to waste time
    thinking about the "day after" the referendum.
    However, commentators say that he is aware of the
    political consequences of a defeat.  Some commentators
    believe that a national referendum is now needed --
    Maariv also quoted Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz as
    voicing this opinion.  Jerusalem Post notes that
    Sharon's allies have already begun fighting with each
    other amid polls predicting a setback:

    Polls:
    -A Mina Zemach (Dahaf Institute) poll conducted last
    night for Yediot finds that 47 percent of voters in the
    referendum are opposed to the plan (same as Wednesday);
    40.5 percent support it (40.5 percent on Wednesday):
    -The Dialog Institute poll commissioned by Ha'aretz: 43
    percent against the plan (40 percent on April 21); 36
    percent for the plan (47 percent on April 21); 14
    percent are undecided (13 percent on April 21).
    -A Globes poll shows a 1 percent edge in favor of the
    plan's opponents (46 to 45 percent).

    Israel Radio reported that Quartet representatives (the
    United States' A/S William Burns, the EU's Marc Otte,
    the UN's Terje Roed-Larsen and a still unidentified
    Russian representative) will meet today at the U.S.
    Embassy in London to prepare a discussion on the
    situation of the road map.  The talks precede a meeting
    in New York which AP says will be hosted by UN
    Secretary-General Kofi Annan on May 4, and is expected

    SIPDIS
    to be attended by the EU's foreign policy chief Javier
    Solana, Russian FM Sergey Lavrov and U.S. Secretary of
    State Colin Powell.

    Israel Radio reported that an audio tape purportedly
    from suspected Al-Qaida operative Abu Musab al-Zarqawi,
    and broadcast on Al Arabiya-TV, said his group had
    intended to attack Jordanian intelligence, but that it
    denied the Jordanian government's accusation they
    planned a chemical attack.  Israel Radio quoted Al-
    Zarqawi as saying that had Al Qaida possessed chemical
    weapons, it would not have hesitated using them against
    Israeli cities such as Tel Aviv or Eilat.

    Leading media reported that Thursday the IDF admitted
    accidentally killing Dr. Yasser Abu Laimum, a lecturer
    in hospital management at the Arab-American University
    of Jenin, over the weekend.

    Leading media reported that Jewish leaders "won a major
    victory" (Jerusalem Post) Thursday with the
    announcement by the Organization for Security and
    Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) that Israel's actions do
    not legitimize anti-Semitism.  According to the Yediot
    correspondent at the Berlin conference, pressure from
    Muslim states resulted in the conference's final
    declaration condemning attacks motivated by religious
    hatred, without taking into account Muslim anti-
    Semitism and the new anti-Semitism's anti-Zionist
    character.  Jerusalem Post and Hatzofe actually
    highlighted a sentence in the declaration which bears a
    different connotation: "Anti-Semitism, following its
    most devastating manifestation during the Holocaust,
    has assumed new forms and expressions, which along with
    other forms of intolerance, pose a threat to democracy,
    the values of civilization, and, therefore, to overall
    security in the OSCE region and beyond."

    Israel Radio reported that Thursday the Defense
    Ministry and the U.S. Army successfully carried out a
    test of the joint Nautilus laser weapon project.

    Maariv cited an announcement by Casablanca Mayor
    Mohamed Sajid that he will come to Tel Aviv in early
    May to attend the proclamation by UNESCO of the
    inclusion of Tel Aviv's Bauhaus buildings on its World
    Heritage List.

    Ha'aretz reported that International Technologies
    Lasers (ITL), which is based in Rishon Lezion, has
    developed a device that can remotely detect explosives,
    drugs or other materials.

    The media reported on the latest developments in Iraq
    and on the questioning of President Bush and Vice
    President Cheney by the September 11 commission.

    ----------------------------
    Sharon's Disengagement Plan:
    ----------------------------
                           Summary:
                           --------

    Independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized:
    "Those who support peace cannot be partners in a
    government that does not have the political power to
    take a hesitant step in the direction of peace."

    Diplomatic correspondent Ben Caspit wrote on page one
    of popular, pluralist Maariv: "Anyone seeing Sharon
    struggling with the settlers and their rabbis, their
    religious rulings and their messianic fervor, has to
    rub his eyes."

    Veteran print and TV journalist Dan Margalit wrote in
    Maariv: "Sharon deserves this: for the security fence,
    the erection of which he put off for so long; for the
    important secondary role he played in toppling Abu
    Mazen [Mahmoud Abbas]; and for the corruption that has
    spread like a cancer."

    Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in Ha'aretz:
    "Sharon has made the mistake which tripped up the
    greatest commanders in history -- underestimating the
    enemy."

    Former minister of foreign affairs and former minister
    of defense Moshe Arens wrote in Ha'aretz: "Will
    rejection of the [disengagement] plan by the Likud
    membership cause a rift with the U.S.?  Such a
    suggestion completely underestimates the strength and
    solidity of the U.S.-Israel relationship."

    Extreme right-wing columnist Caroline B. Glick wrote on
    page one of conservative, independent Jerusalem Post:
    "Sharon's plan differs from Oslo in that it overtly
    calls for the destruction of Israeli communities.... In
    spite of Sharon's statements to the contrary, those who
    oppose the plan on its merits are not extremists.  They
    are merely people who have learned from the past."

    Nationalist Hatzofe editorialized: "Let us hope ...
    that a great majority of registered Likud voters will
    say 'no' to Ariel Sharon."

                         Block Quotes:
                         -------------

    ¶I.  "The Referendum as a Turning Point"

    Independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized (April
    30): "Three days before the Likud referendum, opinion
    polls are showing an increasing erosion of support for
    the plan to disengage from the Gaza Strip and four
    settlements in the northern West Bank.... Apparently
    the settlers' entreaty and the ideological fixation
    among many Likud members are counterbalanced by support
    for their leader and the support that the President of
    the United States granted Sharon's disengagement
    plan.... In recent days, however, those close to Sharon
    and the Prime Minister himself have started hinting
    that a vote by Likud members against the plan is
    equivalent to a vote of no confidence in the party
    chairman.... Attaching important ramifications to the
    disengagement initiative, in diplomatic, economic and
    security terms, has caused the referendum to become a
    critical test of the [government] coalition.... The
    Israeli political landscape after the referendum cannot
    be the same as it is now.  Whatever the result, there
    will be significant repercussions within the internal
    power structure.  Those who support the settlements
    cannot be partners in a government that disengages from
    the settlements.  Those who support peace cannot be
    partners in a government that does not have the
    political power to take a hesitant step in the
    direction of peace."

    II.  "Only in Israel"

    Diplomatic correspondent Ben Caspit wrote on page one
    of popular, pluralist Maariv (April 30): "Up until now,
    only leaders of the left wing had become accustomed to
    such sights: appeals from the rabbis, a religious
    ruling by the doyen of the mystics, Rabbi Ovadia
    Yosef's Saturday night sermon, thousands of ultra-
    Orthodox Jews at road junctions, flags, sandals, and
    women with their hair covered, and The Land of Israel
    for the Jewish People, and what is 'good for the Jews,'
    and demonstrations, and shouting, and women being
    dragged on the road, and threats.  Yitzhak Rabin, until
    he was murdered, got to know this from personal
    experience.  Shimon Peres knows it by heart.  So does
    Ehud Barak.  And now the melody returns.  You, the
    composer, the originator and the first founder, Ariel
    Sharon.  You of all people, this time, the lonely,
    battered man, facing this swelling tide almost alone,
    helpless, not knowing how or why, who or how many, from
    where it fell on you or where it is going.  Anyone
    seeing Sharon struggling with the settlers and their
    rabbis, their religious rulings and their messianic
    fervor, has to rub his eyes.... The Prime Minister is
    in the middle of a maelstrom.... So what will he do?
    He could ignore the referendum (the Americans have been
    spreading hints to that effect in the past few days).
    He could submit the disengagement plan to the
    government and the Knesset.  He could drop the plan
    temporarily... He could try to initiate elections by
    complex coalition maneuvers and other tricks.  And most
    important, he can draw the appropriate conclusions and
    learn, by bitter experience, not to count his chickens
    before they are hatched."
    III.  "The Day After"

    Veteran print and TV journalist Dan Margalit wrote in
    Maariv (April 30): "What kind of prime minister will
    Ariel Sharon be if he wakes up in 72 hours to a dawn of
    defeat in the Likud members' referendum on his
    disengagement plan?.... Sharon deserves this: for the
    security fence, the erection of which he put off for so
    long; for the important secondary role he played in
    toppling Abu Mazen [Mahmoud Abbas]; and for the
    corruption that has spread like a cancer.... Sharon
    knows that were he to lose, he would have to resign. So
    would Ehud Olmert, as well as Defense Ministry Shaul
    Mofaz, who enlisted with such public valor in the
    campaign for disengagement from the Gaza Strip.
    Indeed, Mofaz won't be able to continue sending
    soldiers to [the isolated Gaza Strip settlement of]
    Netzarim and justify to the ears of bereaved parents
    the killing of their sons in Kfar Darom.... 'No' to
    disengagement constitutes a domestic disaster.  It is a
    step toward a rift in the country that could bring mass
    legitimacy to refusal to serve in the IDF.  Those who
    oppose [the plan] state in their propaganda: 'If you
    vote in favor, you get (Shimon) Peres.'  They must be
    warned: 'If you oppose the plan, you get apartheid.'
    Israel will be isolated and forlorn for years, a leper
    in an anti-Semitic world that is yearning for this."

    IV.  "Last Call For Mr. Comeback"

    Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in Ha'aretz
    (April 30): "It's hard to believe our eyes with the
    polls on the Likud referendum.  Prime Minister Ariel
    Sharon, the man who beat the Egyptians and locked up
    Yasser Arafat, who twice won elections and became the
    darling of the U.S. Administration, who stood steadfast
    in the face of terror attacks, crises and police
    interrogations, is about to lose out to Uzi Landau, the
    minister he sat at the far end of the cabinet table.
    The polls predict a defeat but Sharon, it must be
    remembered, is Mr. Comeback.... [Still], Sharon has
    made the mistake which tripped up the greatest
    commanders in history -- underestimating the enemy....
    Sharon's close aides are still hoping for a last-minute
    win, if only with a tiny majority.... But even then it
    is clear that Sharon's leadership has suffered a
    painful blow, while Landau, who insisted on fighting
    him to the finish, will now have to be upgraded in the
    Likud ranks."

    ¶V.  "Tempest in a Tea Cup"

    Former minister of foreign affairs and former minister
    of defense Moshe Arens wrote in Ha'aretz (April 30):
    "Will rejection of the [disengagement] plan by the
    Likud membership cause a rift with the U.S.?  Such a
    suggestion completely underestimates the strength and
    solidity of the U.S.-Israel relationship -- a
    relationship based on common ideals, common values and
    common interests.  Under no circumstances, and
    certainly not when facing a tough election, would the
    President of the U.S. be looking for a quarrel with
    Israel.  Nor is the government likely to fall.  The
    present government is the most stable government that
    Israel has had in a long time.... So Likudniks can go
    to the polls on May 2, unencumbered by irrelevant
    considerations, considering only the central question:
    is a unilateral withdrawal likely to encourage
    Palestinian terrorists?  The answer seems obvious."

    VI.  "Foreseeable Consequences"

    Extreme right-wing columnist Caroline B. Glick wrote on
    page one of conservative, independent Jerusalem Post
    (April 30): "What the last 42 months of Palestinian
    terror have shown is that regardless of the
    provocation, Israel will never garner international
    support for offensives against Palestinian terrorism.
    Sharon has promised that after the withdrawal, Israel
    will be able to sit in its truncated form for years.
    Yet this cannot be true.  Arafat will continue causing
    chaos to prevent that from happening.  As Arafat's
    foreign minister [sic] Farouk Kaddoumi said this week:
    'Let the Gaza Strip be South Vietnam.  We will use all
    available methods to liberate North Vietnam'....
    Sharon's plan differs from Oslo in that it overtly
    calls for the destruction of Israeli communities.  In
    so doing, it poses a danger to the vitality of Israeli
    society as a whole.... If a majority of Likud voters
    reject Sharon's plan, they will be working to save
    Israel from disaster.  In spite of Sharon's statements
    to the contrary, those who oppose the plan on its
    merits are not extremists.  They are merely people who
    have learned from the past."

    VII.  "Likud Majority Says 'No to Sharon'"

    Nationalist Hatzofe editorialized (April 30): "Sharon
    is endeavoring to present a picture according to which
    President Bush is standing by his policy, as it were.
    Among other things, he offers remarks by the President
    of the U.S. that some of Bush's pronouncements will be
    brought to Congress for approval, turning them into
    [commitments] binding the [U.S.] Administration,
    regardless of who heads it.... One can only regret the
    fact that the Prime Minister, who only a year ago sided
    with the settlers, suddenly changed his mind and has
    now, for some reason, adopted the PLO's policy, acting
    to evacuate the Gaza Strip and parts of Judea and
    Samaria [the West Bank].  Let us hope that the results
    of the referendum, which is predicted to bring a
    majority to the opponents of the evacuation of settlers
    from the Strip, will find their expression in Sunday's
    vote, and that a great majority of registered Likud
    voters will say 'no' to Ariel Sharon."
    KURTZER

`