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### Viewing cable 04TELAVIV6113, ISRAELI MEDIA COVERAGE OF THE U.S.

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
04TELAVIV6113 | 2004-12-06 08:29 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 TEL AVIV 006113

    SIPDIS

    INFO AMCONSUL JERUSALEM
    INFO ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE

    STATE FOR IIP/G/NEA - TERRY SCOTT
    STATE FORINFO NEA/IPA AND NEA/PPD MQUINN/, JSMITH/,
    DBENZE, NEA/IPA
    STATE INFO

    JERUSALEM PASS ICD DANIELS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: IS KPAO KMDR PREL PGOV IS MEDIA REACTION REPORT
    SUBJECT: ISRAELI MEDIA COVERAGE OF THE U.S.
    PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

    ¶1. Summary: The Israeli media followed the U.S.
    Presidential elections with great interest.  From the
    campaign through to the aftermath, commentators focused
    their attention on several issues: the prospects for
    changes in U.S.-Israel policy, the likelihood of
    broader changes in U.S. policy in the Middle East, and
    the impact of the Jewish vote in the United States.
    End summary.

    ¶2. The 2004 U.S. Presidential elections attracted a
    great deal of interest among the Israeli media.  As
    Israel's most important strategic and political ally,
    the U.S. is typically followed quite closely in the
    Israeli press.  From the primary campaigns, and
    particularly since the two party conventions, Israeli
    media covered the elections with great interest.
    Coverage of the campaign and the elections was almost
    daily, with both factual reporting and
    commentary/analysis provided by journalists of all
    levels, academics, experts in various fields, former
    ambassadors, and a very strong contingent of Israeli
    correspondents in the U.S.

    --------------------------------------------- ---
    Coverage of the campaign - Run-up to the Run-off
    --------------------------------------------- ---

    ¶23. The 2004 U.S. Presidential elections attracted a
    great deal of interest among the Israeli media.  As
    Israel's most important strategic and political ally,
    the U.S. is typically followed quite closely in the
    Israeli press.  By the Democratic and Republican Party
    conventions this summer, coverage of the campaign in
    the Israeli media had become almost daily, with both
    factual reporting and commentary/analysis provided by
    journalists of all levels, academics, experts in
    various fields, former ambassadors, and a very strong
    contingent of Israeli correspondents in the U.S.  In
    addition to reporting on campaign activity, the Israeli
    media focused on several key areas of U.S. policy and
    the prospective impact of the election on these areas:
    the U.S.-Israel bilateral relationship, Middle East
    policy, U.S. relations with Europe, and the U.S.
    economy.

    ¶3. In terms of the U.S.-Israel bilateral relationship,
    the Israeli media overwhelmingly agreed that the first
    Bush administration had been a good friend to Israel.
    "Conventional wisdom in Israel," wrote a senior
    columnist from pluralist Yediot Aharonot on November 1,
    "is that Bush was and will be the ideal American
    president from Israel's perspective.  The best there
    is.  Israel has no interest in seeing him replaced, and
    it has every interest in seeing him reelected."  Most
    commentators agreed, however, that both candidates
    shared a political record of support for Israel - for
    better or for worse.  A senior columnist for left-wing
    Ha'aretz observed on October 18 that "regardless of
    whether Bush is reelected or John Kerry takes his
    place, there will be no `pressure' from America" in
    terms of U.S.-Israel relations.

    ¶4. Journalists also felt that regardless of the outcome
    of the elections, they were likely to mark the end of a
    lull in Middle East policy.  A diplomatic correspondent
    for Ha'aretz noted on October 22 that "The elections in
    the United States are fast approaching, and the
    diplomatic arena is waking up and issuing calls to
    increase international involvement in the Israeli-
    Palestinian conflict, which has vanished from both
    candidates' agendas.  Once again the familiar slogans
    are surfacing, about how stability and quiet in the
    land of Israel are essential to the security of the
    entire world, and about how the time has come to
    implement the international road map plan and get on
    with the establishment of the Palestinian state
    alongside Israel. [...] The publication of the
    disengagement plan and the close race in the elections
    in the U.S. have afforded Israel a year of relative
    freedom from international pressure. [...] Now the
    moment of truth is approaching."  In early November,
    many newspapers published articles citing a Ministry of
    Foreign Affairs report on the likely outcome of the
    election, and the implications of that outcome for both
    Israel and the Middle East.

    ¶54. Particular attention was also paid in the Israeli
    press to the Jewish vote in the U.S., especially in the
    English-language newspapers.  An October 22 editorial
    in left-wing Ha'aretz claims that "as the election
    wooing demonstrates, the Jewish vote has not lost its
    force.  And it seems that more than ever before, the
    world is keeping an eye on the Jewish vote."  In
    response to the question "So for whom should a Jew in
    America vote?" raised in a front-page article in
    Ha'aretz on October 22, the author points out that "the
    safest vote, in terms of Israel, is a vote for Bush."
    The Israeli media closely tracked exit poll results,
    reporting on November 4 that President Bush had
    received 22 percent of the Jewish vote.  Several
    newspapers front-paged their analyses of these results,
    sharing the opinion that Bush's perception as the more
    pro-Israel of the two candidates had a great deal to do
    with his 3 percentage point increase among Jewish
    voters.  Ha'aretz quoted a Jewish voter in Brooklyn, NY
    as saying "I don't see how any Jew could not support
    Bush."  The Jewish communities in swing states such as
    Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio were also covered; as
    Ha'aretz noted on November 4, "had [the Kerry campaign]
    only persuaded a number of Jewish retirees [...] in
    southern Florida, Massachusetts senator John Kerry
    would have been elected president."

    --------------------------------------------- --
    (Maybe a Subtitle Here on Absentee
    Voting???"Unprecedented Voter Turnout among
    Expatriates"
    --------------------------------------------- --

    ¶65. Coverage was also given, particularly in the
    English-language press, to the sizable American-Israeli
    community and the logistical issues surrounding
    absentee voting, for which eligible voters in Israel
    registered in record numbers this year.  Throughout
    most of September and October, the organizations
    representing the two parties in Israel, Democrats
    Abroad and Republicans Abroad, also ran advertisements
    in the English-language dailies on a regular basis
    reminding readers to register for absentee ballots and
    announcing events at which eligible voters could come
    to fill out applications for absentee ballots.  Both
    organizations reported unprecedented interest in
    absentee voting this year.  ((Is there any info on
    problems that absentee voters here had?  It might be
    interesting to note either way, given the coverage the
    issue received in ither countries.  Just a thought.))A
    Ha'aretz article from October 29 observed that
    "Estimates for the number of votes cast from Israel
    vary, but even the lowest account - some 30,000 votes -
    is more than double the voter turnout four years ago.
    Some estimates for the upcoming elections go as high as
    60,000 ballots."  The two major English-language
    dailies, Jerusalem Post and Ha'aretz's English edition,
    both paid close attention to difficulties experienced
    by would-be absentee voters who did not receive their
    requested ballots in time to vote.  Both newspapers
    noted the extremely high demand for the Federal Write-
    In Absentee Ballot this year, and cited both in
    articles and in paid advertisements that the American
    Citizen Services units of the U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv
    and the U.S. Consulate General in Jerusalem offered
    extended hours to address the "increased demand for
    voter assistance."

    --------------------------------------------- ---------
    November 2-3: Intense Coverage in the Electronic Media
    --------------------------------------------- ---------

    ¶76. The electronic media also showed great interest in
    the U.S. elections.  Although three channels (Channels
    1, 2, and 10) have Washington-based correspondents,
    they all in addition sent top journalists to cover
    other angles of the elections, such as showing coverage
    of the results from Kerry's headquarters in Boston.
    Most of these journalists left for the U.S. at least a
    week in advance of the elections and broadcast daily
    reports from the country.  On the day of the elections
    (November 2) all TV stations had extensive reports on
    their daily TV news shows covering the election
    results, including interviews with people on the
    streets, and footage from the U.S. and different
    experts.  At 10:00pm local time Channel 1 held a
    special program, "America is Choosing," and Channel 2
    had a "special U.S. elections" program.  Coverage
    resumed early on the morning of November 3.  All three
    channels had special U.S. elections programs that began
    at 06:00am local time and lasted for at least three
    hours.  This coverage of the results continued
    throughout the day with special news bulletins and
    extended news programs.  All the news programs included
    round tables hosting U.S. experts, the station's
    various commentators, Israeli officials; the topics
    discussed were U.S.-Israeli relations; Arab world
    response, Middle East peace process and more.  Local
    radio stations (Israel Radio and IDF Radio) extensively
    reported on the results as they came in during their
    regular morning news shows.  The stations hosted
    experts and aired their analyses of all possible
    scenarios, discussing the technicalities of the
    Electoral College, the rules surrounding Ohio's
    provisional ballots, etc.

    ---------------------------------
    "The Sigh of Relief in Jerusalem"
    ---------------------------------

    ¶87. Commentary on the results of the U.S. elections
    began on November 4 and remained a major topic for
    several days before being eclipsed by news related to
    Yasser Arafat's health.  The media generally agreed
    that Israeli officials were relieved to learn of Bush's
    re-election.  Senior columnists for pluralist Yediot
    Aharonot wrote that "When it became clear that [Bush]
    would remain in the White House for another four years,
    many figures in the political establishment allowed
    themselves a broad smile of relief."  A senior analyst
    for the mass-circulation daily Maariv wrote that "The
    sign of relief in Jerusalem yesterday was heard all the
    way to Washington."  In his front-page analysis in left-
    wing Ha'aretz, Aluf Benn observed that "Prime Minister
    Ariel Sharon gambled big time on George Bush, and
    wasn't disappointed.  Sharon maintained a public
    distance from the U.S. presidential campaign, focusing
    in recent months on domestic matters, but everyone knew
    which candidate had his vote.  The alliance with Bush
    was the cornerstone of Sharon's policy from the day he
    took office, and he stuck to it."

    ¶98. Most commentary explored the implications of Bush's
    re-election for U.S. policy in the Middle East, noting
    that the tenor of the relationship between the U.S. and
    Israel would be subject to change.  "Senior political
    sources believe that Bush, in his second term of
    office, free from the shackles of the Jewish vote, will
    be much more involved in events of the Middle East,"
    wrote senior columnists Itamar Eichner and Orly Azulai
    of Yediot Aharonot.  "The political sources fear that
    Bush could try to rehabilitate his relations with
    Europe and the Arab world and buy quiet in Iraq - at
    Israel's expense."  Senior analyst Ben Caspit of Maariv
    concurred: "We have won, but now we will pay dearly for
    it, because George Bush in his second term could be
    much more dangerous than George Bush in his first.  It
    should not be forgotten that Bush's love affair with
    Sharon came late, and not before Bush had wagged his
    finger and threatened quite a few times.. Throughout
    his first term in office Bush was planning how he would
    get to his second.  He knew he would need Jewish money
    and votes.  Now, throughout his second term, he will be
    planning how he is going to go down in history.  To
    make history he has to get out of Iraq honorably, win
    the war on terrorism, and reduce tension in America.
    Of course, he will not be able to do all of that by
    himself.  Bush will have to mend his bridges with the
    world, to conciliate with Europe, and to prove to the
    Moslem world that he has not declared a crusade against
    it.  The price tag for all these initiatives is simple:
    pressure on Israel.  Bush can deliver the goods at our
    expense, and the pressure on him to do so will be
    considerable."

    ¶109. Reflecting a more skeptical minority view from the
    left, commentator Ben-Dror Yemini of Maariv went
    further, suggesting that a more demanding U.S. policy
    would be a good thing for Israel: "Bush's total support
    for Sharon does not help us to achieve the important
    Zionist aim of a democratic Jewish state.  A little
    more American pressure on the issue of the settlement
    outposts would help us in the struggle against the
    creeping realization of "Greater Palestine" of [...]
    "Greater Israel."  ." ((Ruth Anne - i realize this is a
    quote but it does not actually make sense to say both
    "Greaters" here.  Maybe paraphrase would be clearer?
    But America's complacency is leading to two
    consequences: first, it has given the establishment of
    new outposts a tail wind, and secondly, it has
    exacerbated hostility toward the United States.  The
    West has to support Israel.  But the West is divided,
    partly thanks to Bush.  We would be better served by a
    West united in support for Israel on the basis of a two-
    state solution, one of thethat is ((same here)) Jewish
    and democratic,[...] than a fragmented West in which
    Bush remains president and consequently that solution
    becomes even more remote."

    ¶11. Comment: The intense scrutiny paid to the U.S.
    Presidential elections by the Israeli media is
    reflective of nothing more or less than the vital
    importance that Israel attaches to its relationship
    with the United States.  The broad range of commentary
    on the campaign and the elections simply amplified the
    ongoing discussion in the Israeli media about the
    nature of this relationship.  End comment.

    CRETZ

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