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### Viewing cable 05CAIRO2280, CODEL PELOSI MARCH 19-20 VISIT TO CAIRO: MUBARAK

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05CAIRO2280 | 2005-03-23 15:29 | 2011-04-20 00:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Cairo
Appears in these articles: http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9135 http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9164 http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9146 http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9147
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9148
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9149
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9150
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9151
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9152
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9153
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9154
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9155
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9156
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9157
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9158
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9159
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9160
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9161
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9157
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9162
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/9163
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10055
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10059
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10057
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10069
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10067
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10076
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10078
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10056
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10059
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10081
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10079
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10075
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10077
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10079
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10070
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10082
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10083
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10058
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10068
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10071
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10072
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10080
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10076
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10058
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10074
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10073
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10185

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 CAIRO 002280

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR NEA, NEA/ELA, H
    NSC STAFF FOR POUNDS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/21/2020
    TAGS: OREP PREL KPAL KDEM IS IZ IR EG
    SUBJECT: CODEL PELOSI MARCH 19-20 VISIT TO CAIRO: MUBARAK
    ON ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS, IRAQ, IRAN, EGYPT'S PRESIDENTIAL
    ELECTION, AND DARFUR

    REF: CAIRO 2203 (NOTAL)

    Classified by Charge Gordon Gray for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

    -------
    Summary
    -------

    ¶1. (C) In a particularly relaxed meeting with CODEL Pelosi
    March 20, President Mubarak reviewed his efforts to convince
    Syrian President Bashar to withdraw all his forces from
    Lebanon (reftel) and reiterated his commitment to improving
    relations with Israel and pressing forward on solving the
    Israeli-Palestinian issue. Mubarak said Egypt was ready to
    train more Iraqi troops and noted strong Iraqi security
    services were the key to success in Iraq. He emphasized that
    Egypt would not be content to allow Iran to develop nuclear
    weapons and expressed support for diplomatic efforts while
    firmly reiterating his opposition to any military action
    against Iran. Mubarak assented that the Sudanese Government
    had made mistakes on Darfur but argued that quiet pressure
    was more effective than public actions. Mubarak also said he
    was "begging" candidates to participate in the
    multi-candidate presidential elections to come from a
    constitutional amendment. End summary.

    ¶2. (SBU) Representative Nancy Pelosi(D-CA), her spouse Paul
    Pelosi, Representative Darrell Issa (R-CA), his spouse
    Katherine Issa, Representative George Miller (D-CA), his
    spouse Cynthia Miller, Representative Henry Waxman (D-CA),
    his spouse Janet Waxman, Representative Edward Markey (D-MA),
    his spouse Susan Blumenthal, Representative Anna Eshoo
    (D-CA), Representative Jim McGovern (D-MA), his spouse Lisa
    McGovern, Representative Linda Sanchez (D-CA), House Sergeant
    at Arms Wilson Livingood, Democratic Leader's office policy
    advisor Michael Sheehy, and Press Secretary to Representative
    Issa Frederick Hill met with President Mubarak for more than
    90 minutes March 20. The CODEL was accompanied by the Charge
    and ECPO MinCouns (notetaker). Presidential spokesman
    Ambassador Soliman Awad joined the President. Mubarak, who
    had just finished an hour-long meeting with an American
    Jewish Committee delegation (scheduled for 30 minutes) was
    extremely relaxed and entertaining, and invited the
    delegation into an adjoining office for numerous photos after
    the formal meeting concluded. Although he walked with a
    stiff gait, he appeared energetic and stood with the group
    throughout the photo session.

    --------------------------------------------- ---
    Mubarak steadily improving relations with Israel
    --------------------------------------------- ---

    ¶3. (C) Representative Pelosi introduced the members of the
    delegation, expressed recognition of Mubarak's leadership in
    the region and progress on domestic economic reforms, and
    requested Mubarak's views on the situation in the Middle
    East. Mubarak explained how he was introducing change at his
    own pace "at the right time." He said he had started working
    quietly on economic reform many years ago and that he had
    introduced his recent dramatic economic reforms at the proper
    time. Segueing into how building relations with Israel also
    took time, Mubarak explained how he had gone from a situation
    seven years ago, when Egyptian businesspeople had refused to
    have anything to do with Israel, to a situation last year
    when the private sector in Egypt had led efforts to gain
    public support for the Qualifying Industrial Zone agreement
    with Israel.

    ¶4. (C) Mubarak discussed his role in organizing the summit
    in Sharm El Sheikh (attended by PM Sharon, King Abdullah, Abu
    Mazen, and Mubarak), noting that the summit was a "golden
    opportunity" and that he had not "interfered" in the
    discussions but had sat down and made his views known to both
    in separate meetings. Mubarak said that following that
    successful summit, the time had been right to invite Israeli
    Defense Minister Mofaz. That March 10 meeting had been
    accepted by the Egyptian public, Mubarak said, and he would
    proceed with more invitations to senior Israelis to visit
    Egypt. Mubarak noted the recent cease-fire agreement reached
    by 13 Palestinian factions in Cairo as another positive step,
    although he cautioned that "just because the leaders agree,
    does not mean there will be no terrorist incidents."
    Representative Issa expressed his confidence in the strength
    of the bilateral relationship and asked about Mubarak's views
    of Lebanon. Mubarak described his persistent efforts to get
    President Asad to agree to full withdrawal of Syrian forces
    from Lebanon (reftel).

    --------------------------------------------- --
    Iraqi elections a success, but security the key
    --------------------------------------------- --

    ¶5. (C) Representative Waxman asked for Mubarak's views on
    Iraq and Iran, and specifically on the recent elections in
    Iraq. Mubarak emphasized that the elections had been "a very
    good thing" but reiterated his view that the Iraqis and
    Iranians were very "tough" people who had no compunctions
    about resorting to violence. Mubarak used examples of Saddam
    Hussein showing him Baghdad's assassination sites and Iraqi
    threats of violence after the Egyptian peace agreement with
    Israel as examples of Iraqi predilection for violence.
    Noting his position that the coalition should not have
    dismantled the Iraqi military and security services, Mubarak
    said that trained individuals from those organizations,
    joined by extremists, now led violence against coalition
    forces in Iraq. Stating that training of Iraqi security
    forces was the key to stability in Iraq, Mubarak noted
    Egypt's offer to train Iraqi soldiers. Only 146 had been
    trained so far, Mubarak complained, and this was "not enough
    to secure a street in Baghdad." He said Egypt was ready to
    train 500-600 Iraqis at a time but the Iraqis had not sent
    more trainees. In response to Representative McGovern's
    question as to why Iraq had not sent more forces to be
    trained and whether the presence of U.S. forces made the
    situation worse, Mubarak responded emphatically that the U.S.
    had to stay the course in Iraq. "Your forces cannot leave
    now," he said, arguing that the U.S. presence is vital to
    stability in Iraq. "You have to train more Iraqi forces,"
    Mubarak added, and when this occurs "you can move out of the
    populated areas."

    ¶6. (C) Representative Eshoo asked whether members of the
    former Iraqi Armed Forces were acceptable in today's Iraqi
    military. Mubarak responded that a mixture of new recruits
    and former military personnel who had not been loyal to
    Saddam should form the basis of an effective security force.

    --------------------------------------------- -------
    Egypt against Iranian nuclear plans; will not pursue nuclear
    arms
    --------------------------------------------- -------

    ¶7. (C) Representative Markey asked the President how he
    viewed Iran's plans to become a nuclear power and whether
    Egypt could live with this result if Iran succeeded.
    Interpreting the question as asking about Egypt's own nuclear
    plans, Mubarak said firmly that Egypt had no plans to acquire
    any nuclear weapons "under any circumstances," and that any
    contrary assertion was "propoganda." All of Egypt's reactors
    and facilities were "completely open" Mubarak emphasized.
    When Representative Markey clarified that he was referring to
    Iran, Mubarak said that Egypt was committed to its policy of
    a Middle East region that was free of weapons of mass
    destruction. This included Iran but also "Israel's nuclear
    weapons," Mubarak clarified. He said his advice on how to
    stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons was to pursue
    "diplomatic means" but not to take military action against
    Iran. Military action would be "a big mistake" he
    emphasized, which would lead to Iran forming terrorist groups
    and attacking U.S. forces throughout the Arabian Gulf region.

    ¶8. (C) In response to Representative Pelosi's question about
    the presence of Iranian Revolutionary Guards in Lebanon,
    Mubarak related his recent experience with Iranian duplicity
    when Iran had sought to reestablish diplomatic relations in
    ¶2004. He said that the Revolutionary Guard operated
    completely independently of Iranian President Khatemi (who he
    termed a "failed reformer") and said he had no information as
    to whether the Guard might be present in Lebanon.

    --------------------------------------------
    Arms smuggling into Gaza; views on Abu Mazen
    --------------------------------------------

    ¶9. (C) Representative Miller thanked Mubarak for his role
    in supporting the Palestinian-Israeli peace process. Mubarak
    explained that he had had particularly good talks with
    Israeli Defense Minister Mofaz and how he had discussed means
    to limit the smuggling of arms into Gaza.

    ¶10. (C) In response to Representative Pelosi's request for
    Mubarak's views on Abu Mazen, Mubarak explained that Abu
    Mazen lacked Arafat's ability to take decisons for the
    Palestinian people. While aknowledging Arafat's many missed
    opportunities, Mubarak said that Arafat had been a leader
    since the 1960s and had the confidence of the Palestinian
    people and could play the various Palestinian factions off
    against each other. Abu Mazen was not that powerful, Mubarak
    explained, stating that "we have to all support him."

    --------------------------------------------- ----
    Mubarak "begging" candidates to run for president
    --------------------------------------------- ----

    ¶11. (C) Representative Issa asked about Mubarak's
    initiative to propose a referendum to amend the constitution
    to allow for multi-candidate elections for President.
    Mubarak explained that he had been considering this move
    since 2003 and had almost announced it in February of 2004,
    "but the time was not right." The move was for "the future,
    not for me," Mubarak declared, stating he was "begging"
    others to participate in the presidential elections.
    Recapping the difficulties he had faced during his tenure as
    President including the growth of population from "43 million
    to 72 million" despite shortages of "water, food, and waste
    disposal," Mubarak said he wanted to "do something for the
    people." Stating that he had built up Egypt's international
    standing from a postition of almost total isolation in the
    Arab world and strained relations with the U.S. and Soviet
    Union to a position of international respect and prominence,
    Mubarak suggested that it was time to do more for the
    domestic situation. But all must be done at the right speed,
    Mubarak cautioned, saying he could not make the people do "a
    high jump" yet.

    ¶12. (C) In response to Representative Waxman's query as to
    whether Mubarak would participate in open presidential
    debates, Mubarak laughed, responding "you can have debates in
    your country," and suggesting that such activities were
    inappropriate for Egypt's political process. Representative
    Issa asked whether Mubarak had thought about the number of
    candidates that would be appropriate to run in a presidential
    election, proposing that a limited number might force groups
    to form serious alliances rather than just running for
    themselves. Mubarak did not respond on the number of
    candidates, noting only that he was most concerned that
    religious extremists would run for president and then take
    over the political system. This possibility was the
    "greatest threat" to the process, Mubarak insisted.

    --------------------------------------------
    Darfur should be settled with quiet pressure
    --------------------------------------------

    ¶13. (C) After Mubarak responded to a question from Mrs.
    Miller on the humanitarian crisis in Sudan by stating that
    Sudan's problems were the result of warring factions, that
    these problems used to be solved amongst themselves, and that
    public attention only made them worse, Representative Pelosi
    underlined concerns in the U.S. about the scope of the
    humanitarian crisis in Darfur and the indiscriminate actions
    of armed groups that may have been supported by the
    Government of Sudan. Mubarak acknowledged that the GOS had
    made mistakes and that it was very important that food and
    medicine get to the region. However, he said he was not sure
    that the scope of the tragedy was as big as some
    international observers believed. He said the GOE was
    working with Libyan leader Qadhafi to use Libyan funds to
    work for a solution in Darfur, noted the presence of Egyptian
    doctors and medical facilities, and said pressure needed to
    be applied on the Khartoum Government, but it needed to be
    done out of the public eye.

    ¶14. (U) CODEL Pelosi did not have an opportunity to clear
    this messge before departing Cairo.

    ¶15. (U) Minimize considered.

    Visit Embassy Cairo's Classified Website:
    http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/nea/cairo

    You can also access this site through the
    State Department's Classified SIPRNET website.

    GRAY

`