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### Viewing cable 04TELAVIV2119, ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
04TELAVIV2119 | 2004-04-08 12:52 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 TEL AVIV 002119

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR NEA, NEA/IPA, NEA/PPD

    WHITE HOUSE FOR PRESS OFFICE, SIT ROOM
    NSC FOR NEA STAFF

    JERUSALEM ALSO FOR ICD
    LONDON ALSO FOR HKANONA AND POL
    PARIS ALSO FOR POL
    ROME FOR MFO
    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: IS KMDR MEDIA REACTION REPORT
    SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

    --------------------------------
    SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT:
    --------------------------------

    ¶1.  Mideast

    ¶2.  Iraq

    -------------------------
    Key stories in the media:
    -------------------------

    All media highlighted the situation in Iraq.  (Maariv's
    banner: "America in Trouble"; banners in Yediot and
    Hatzofe evoke the "Iraqi quagmire.")  At least 150
    Iraqis and 40 Americans were killed in Wednesday's
    fighting.  Jerusalem Post quoted leaders of Moqtada al-
    Sadr's Shi'ite militia in Baghdad as saying Wednesday
    that Palestinian fedayeen fighters have joined the
    ranks of the rebel Mahdi Army.  Ha'aretz and Jerusalem
    Post reported on anti-American demonstrations in the
    territories.

    Yediot and Globes led with what Israel could get in
    exchange from the U.S. for its disengagement plan: both
    newspapers reported that the U.S. Administration is
    considering granting Israel billions of USD to develop
    the Negev and to fight terrorism.  Yediot cited up-to-
    date GOI assessments that the disengagement plan could
    cost 4 to 5 billion shekels (around USD 900 million to
    1.1 billion).  Jerusalem Post and other media reported
    that Wednesday British PM Tony Blair became the first
    European leader to clearly back PM Sharon's
    disengagement plan.  Reporting that Blair called
    Sharon, Jerusalem Post wrote that a British diplomatic
    official confirmed that the conversation took place,
    but that he would not reveal any details.

    Ha'aretz reported (lead story in its English Ed.) that
    the Hamas, Fatah and Islamic Jihad leaderships in Gaza
    have prepared a still non-binding draft "National Plan"
    that "emphasizes the right to use violence to oppose
    the occupation and the settlements, while avoiding
    turning civilians from either side into targets for
    attack."

    Jerusalem Post reported that Wednesday the PA rejected
    a U.S. warning against integrating Hamas and Islamic
    Jihad into its political structure, saying that
    Washington has no right to interfere in its internal
    affairs.  Ha'aretz reported that militant Palestinian
    groups, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad militants,
    will resume discussions on the Gaza Strip Saturday.
    The newspaper notes that interest in this meeting has
    been heightened by Hamas's agreement in principle to
    join the PLO and the PA.

    Ha'aretz reported that five terrorist attacks took
    place in the first quarter of 2004, in a descending
    curve since 40 attacks occurred in the first quarter of
    ¶2002.  The newspaper says that Hamas is still looking
    for a flaw in the security system to perpetrate what it
    regards as a suitable act of retribution for the
    killing of Sheikh Ahmed Yassin.  Jerusalem Post quoted
    Brig. Gen. (res.) Dani Arditi, Sharon's adviser on
    counterterrorism, as saying that Israelis are becoming
    too complacent about security and that they are
    ignoring warnings to steer clear of dangerous sites.
    Ha'aretz reported that Sunday a Palestinian youth from
    the Balata refugee camp on the West Bank died of wounds
    sustained during clashes with IDF troops the day
    earlier.  The newspaper also reported that Wednesday
    two Israeli and some 20 Palestinian demonstrators were
    moderately injured in clashes with IDF soldiers during
    protests against the construction of the separation
    fence at Biddu village, northwest of Jerusalem.  Israel
    Radio reported that the police have arrested 10 young
    members of an extremist branch of Bratzlav ultra-
    Orthodox for attacking and beating up Arabs in
    Jerusalem over the recent period.

    Ha'aretz reported that the GOI has approved a new,
    tougher, directive for the monitoring of nuclear,
    biological and chemical materials, which follows
    guidelines used in Western countries.

    Yediot cited Thai government warnings of possible
    attacks of tourist sites by Muslim extremists.  The
    newspaper cited a GOI travel advisory for Thailand.
    Yediot and other media reported that last week an
    extremist Muslim group, the "European-Arab League,"
    warned that organizations such as Hamas could attack
    the Jewish community of Antwerp, Belgium, if it does
    not denounce Israel's policy.

    Over the past few days, the media cited claims by Roman
    Catholic Church officials that Israel has delayed
    granting visas to dozens of Roman Catholic clergy.
    Leading media noted that Latin Patriarch Michel Sabbah
    called it an issue of survival for the church in the
    Holy Land.

    Ha'aretz reported that the Defense Ministry is
    investigating a complaint that a company called Globus
    Aviation Ltd. was involved in a transaction in which
    surplus IDF helicopters ended up in Columbia, where
    they could have fallen into the hands of criminal
    elements.

    ------------
    ¶1.  Mideast:
    ------------

                           Summary:
                           --------

    Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in
    independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz: "Not since the
    Balfour Declaration has there been a document that has
    raised so many expectations as the one President George
    Bush is supposed to give Prime Minister Ariel
    Sharon.... One should not take the Bush letter too
    seriously."

    Liberal columnist Yehuda Litani wrote in mass-
    circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot: "Both the
    Israeli establishment and the Palestinian establishment
    are adamantly opposed to the activity [of Palestinian
    moderates]."

    Middle East affairs commentator Guy Bechor, a lecturer
    at the Interdisciplinary Center, wrote in mass-
    circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot: "The [Tunis]
    summit collapsed because the Arab world has changed in
    the past decade beyond recognition."

                         Block Quotes:
                         -------------

    ¶I.  "Balfour to Bush, Vietnam to Israel"

    Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in
    independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz (April 8): "Not
    since the Balfour Declaration has there been a document
    that has raised so many expectations as the one
    President George Bush is supposed to give Prime
    Minister Ariel Sharon, detailing American quid pro quos
    for the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and four isolated
    settlements in the northern West Bank.... On his way to
    his meeting with Bush in Washington, Sharon ought to
    read 'The Palace File,' which documents how the U.S.
    abandoned its closest ally in Asia, South Vietnam,
    where so many tens of thousands of American servicemen
    died fighting for its independence.... There are many
    worlds of difference between South Vietnam and Israel.
    Israel has never asked America to fight for it and die
    for it.  But despite the differences in the
    circumstances, it is difficult to ignore the historical
    lesson: political promises are meant to solve urgent
    political problems and are always only good for the
    moment they are made.  Don't regard them as a
    'political insurance policy'.... So why entrap the
    Americans into articles of an agreement that will never
    be formed?  It is doubtful that a Democratic
    administration would honor the Bush letter.... For all
    those reasons, it is evident that one should not take
    the Bush letter too seriously.  Its importance will
    evaporate with the closing of the Likud referendum
    poll, when the disengagement plan is brought to the
    government for its approval."

    II.  "Moderates Crushed Between Hammer and Anvil"

    Liberal columnist Yehuda Litani wrote in mass-
    circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot (April 8): "If
    Prof. Sari Nusseibeh had a private army, the Al-Aqsa
    Martyrs Brigades would not dare threaten him.... Caught
    between a rock and a hard place, the Palestinians who
    support dialogue are not even capable of making a faint
    sound.  They still remember the lynching that was
    nearly staged against Palestinian activists who
    participated in the signing ceremony of the Geneva
    Accord, and narrowly escaped this fate upon returning
    to Gaza.  If some of their brothers view them as
    traitors, many Israelis believe that they are a
    'gimmick,' that there is no difference between them and
    the extremist Palestinians; their goal is the same,
    Israel's destruction, and only their tactics are
    different.  Both the Israeli establishment and the
    Palestinian establishment are adamantly opposed to
    their activity.  In our bloody ethnic conflict, as in
    other similar conflicts from India to Ireland, the only
    question is: Are you with us or against us?  White or
    black.  Shades of gray fade, dissipate and at times are
    even wiped out."

    III.  "A Different Middle East is Forming Before Our
    Very Eyes"

    Middle East affairs commentator Guy Bechor, a lecturer
    at the Interdisciplinary Center, wrote in mass-
    circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot (April 8): "The
    [Tunis] summit collapsed because the Arab world has
    changed in the past decade beyond recognition.... A
    different Middle East is forming before our very eyes:
    countries and groups that once were dominant and
    deciding forces have become marginal, while the former
    members of the periphery have become the center.  These
    changes are of immense strategic importance.  Neither
    Egypt nor Syria lead the entire Arab world in their
    footsteps any longer, as we assumed to be the case just
    a decade or two ago.  Perhaps on the contrary.  Perhaps
    ties with the 'peripheral' states will ultimately
    prompt Syria or Egypt to truly reconcile themselves to
    reality.  Moreover, the Palestinians, Egypt and Syria
    have lost their veto power over Israel's ties in the
    region.  As a consequence, the price Israel will be
    forced to pay for ties with the Arabs has changed as
    well.... That does not mean that Israel needs to adopt
    a condescending and reckless Middle Eastern policy and
    to heedlessly exploit the Arab confusion.... The Arab
    dissolution should also spark sober Israeli thinking.
    Among themselves, they are incapable of reaching mutual
    trust; no Arab country has normal, intrigue-less
    relations with any other Arab country.  Is it even
    remotely likely that they will forge romantic peace
    relations based on reconciliation, recognition and
    coexistence with Israel, the ultimate enemy?  Thus, the
    collapse of the Arab summit is also a lesson for us not
    about what is to be desired in the Middle East, but
    about what exists and what is possible in the Middle
    East."
    ---------
    ¶2.  Iraq:
    ---------

                           Summary:
                           --------

    Veteran op-ed writer Yaron London opined in the lead
    editorial of mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot
    Aharonot: "The Americans will eventually leave Iraq,
    whether they win the battle or lose it, but we will
    continue to live in the same neighborhood as our
    victims.  The perpetual proximity compels us to adhere
    to different rules of behavior than those the American
    passers-by can allow themselves."

    Senior Middle East affairs analyst Zvi Bar'el wrote in
    independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz: "That kind of
    reaction [by the Iraqi Governing Council] should make
    clear to the Americans just how powerful an Iraqi
    government they'll need to hand over responsibility to
    at the end of June."

    Hebrew University Professor of Political Science and
    former Foreign Ministry director-general Shlomo Avineri
    wrote in Yediot Aharonot: "Should three states arise
    [in Iraq] there could be a chance for stability of some
    kind."

    Yoav Frummer wrote from New York in popular, pluralist
    Maariv: "Bush still has one last political trump card
    in his pocket -- that of a war president.  Continued
    deterioration of the situation in Iraq and the
    dispatching of additional troops overseas would cost
    Bush not only his last cards, but also his position."

                         Block Quotes:
                         -------------

    ¶I.  "Why Is It Permitted For the Americans?"

    Veteran op-ed writer Yaron London opined in the lead
    editorial of mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot
    Aharonot (April 8): "Malicious joy is not a laudable
    emotion, but it is easy to understand the anger over
    the fact that giants are judged by forgiving standards,
    while midgets are subject to stringent standards.  The
    American giant is not afraid to call the punitive
    operation in Fallujah by the name of 'revenge,' while
    we would never admit this motive, which originates in a
    boiling heart and paralyzed brain.  Indeed, they are
    permitted what we are barred from doing.   And what is
    the lesson?  We will ignore the moral issues and
    concentrate on the practical questions: the Americans
    will eventually leave Iraq, whether they win the battle
    or lose it, but we will continue to live in the same
    neighborhood as our victims.  The perpetual proximity
    compels us to adhere to different rules of behavior
    than those the American passers-by can allow
    themselves."

    II.  "A War Waged For Prestige in Iraq"
    Senior Middle East affairs analyst Zvi Bar'el wrote in
    independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz (April 8):
    "[Fallujah]'s 300,000 residents have been under curfew
    for three days and under cover of that curfew American
    forces are going house to house to find the terrorists
    responsible for the lynching of four Americans and the
    mutilation of their bodies.  Finding those responsible
    has became a matter of prestige for the American armed
    forces, who could yet turn the campaign in Fallujah
    into one of those watershed moments that characterize
    many wars, when a city or site becomes a symbol....
    Meanwhile, the impotence of the Iraqi Governing Council
    is patently evident.   It has been unable to calm the
    situation and a few council members are making do with
    calls for a probe of the activities of the American
    forces, and at least two council members have
    threatened to resign.  That kind of reaction should
    make clear to the Americans just how powerful an Iraqi
    government they'll need to hand over responsibility to
    at the end of June."

    III.  "Iraq: Mission Impossible"

    Hebrew University Professor of Political Science and
    former Foreign Ministry director-general Shlomo Avineri
    wrote in Yediot Aharonot (April 8): "The current
    increasing hardships endured by the Americans in Iraq
    are evidence of the hopelessness of the attempt to
    establish democracy in a society that utterly lacks the
    foundations needed for that purpose.... During the last
    decade the Kurds have enjoyed a de-facto autonomy
    sponsored by the U.S.  They have established a regime
    that performs in an impressive fashion.  It is doubtful
    whether they would agree to find themselves again under
    an Arab regime.... The current violence in Iraq is
    indeed directed at the Americans and their allies, but
    this is in fact a domestic civil war symbolizing the
    end of Sunni hegemony in Iraq.  In such a situation,
    something can be learned from the example of
    Yugoslavia.... It won't be easy to convince the
    international community -- the U.S. in a first stage --
    that it will be very hard to reestablish a united Iraq,
    the original British dream of 'Mesopotamia.'  Should
    three states arise -- a Kurdish one in the north, an
    Arab-Sunni one in the center and an Arab-Shi'ite one in
    the south -- there could be a chance for stability of
    some kind.  If this doesn't happen, what would be
    awaiting Iraq would be what characterized Yugoslavia in
    the '90s.  That lesson had better be learned."

    IV.  "Cracks in Bush's Armor"

    Yoav Frummer wrote from New York in popular, pluralist
    Maariv (April 8): "A quick glance at the years of
    George Bush's presidency over the largest superpower in
    the world doesn't reveal a success story.... The
    American nation was ready to fight Iraqi terrorism --
    but only to a point.  This week's events, which revived
    memories from Vietnam that have for a long time
    reverberated under the surface anyway, were the last
    thing that the U.S. Administration needed seven months
    before the elections.... Despite his expected contest
    with John Kerry ... President Bush will be the man who
    will determine the results in November.  As of now, his
    situation is far from being assured.  But Bush still
    has one last political trump card in his pocket -- that
    of a war president.  Continued deterioration of the
    situation in Iraq and the dispatching of additional
    troops overseas would cost Bush not only his last
    cards, but also his position."

    LEBARON

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