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### Viewing cable 05PARIS3809, MEDIA REACTION REPORT - EU REFERENDUM - NETHERLANDS'

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05PARIS3809 | 2005-06-02 10:26 | 2011-08-24 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Paris

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 PARIS 003809

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR INR/R/MR; IIP/RW; IIP/RNY; BBG/VOA; IIP/WEU; AF/PA;
    EUR/WE /P/SP; D/C (MCCOO); EUR/PA; INR/P; INR/EUC; PM; OSC ISA
    FOR ILN; NEA; WHITE HOUSE FOR NSC/WEUROPE; DOC FOR ITA/EUR/FR
    AND PASS USTR/PA; USINCEUR FOR PAO; NATO/PA; MOSCOW/PA;
    ROME/PA; USVIENNA FOR USDEL OSCE.

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR FR
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION REPORT - EU REFERENDUM - NETHERLANDS'
    VOTE - FRENCH CABINET RESHUFFLE AFGHANISTAN
    PARIS - THURSDAY, JUNE 02, 2005

    (A) SUBJECTS COVERED IN TODAY'S REPORT:

    ¶1. EU REFERENDUM - NETHERLANDS' VOTE - FRENCH CABINET
    RESHUFFLE
    ¶2. AFGHANISTAN

    B) SUMMARY OF COVERAGE:

    AFTER THE FRENCH "NON," THE DUTCH "NEE" ON THE EU CONSTITUTION
    IS ONE OF TODAY'S MAJOR STORIES, (SEE PART C) WHILE FRONT
    PAGES ARE OVERWHELMINGLY DEVOTED TO PRIME MINISTER DE
    VILLEPIN'S STRATEGY TO COMBAT UNEMPLOYMENT AND THE DIFFICULT
    DAYS AHEAD, INFLUENCED BY THE FORCED COHABITATION OF DE
    VILLEPIN WITH INTERIOR MINISTER SARKOZY. ACCORDING TO LE
    FIGARO, THEY ARE DIAMETRICALLY OPPOSED. THE MORE TRADITIONAL
    GAULLIST DE VILLEPIN IS CONTRASTED TO THE MORE MODERN,
    `ATLANTICIST' SARKOZY. HIS TRIP TO THE U.S. WHEN HE WAS
    INTERIOR MINISTER IS RECALLED AS HAVING BEEN A SUCCESS. (SEE
    PART C) IN LE MONDE, A REPORT ON U.S. REACTION TO DE
    VILLEPIN'S NOMINATION COMMENTS: "DURING HIS HOUR-LONG PRESS
    BRIEFING PRESIDENT BUSH MADE NO MENTION OF THE FRENCH VOTE ON
    THE CONSTITUTION AND NOT A SINGLE QUESTION WAS ASKED ON DE
    VILLEPIN'S NOMINATION. EUROPE IS NOT A TOPIC WHICH THE
    AMERICANS ARE EAGER TO COMMENT ON. LESS THAN A MONTH AFTER
    WELCOMING FM BARNIER TO THE WHITE HOUSE, THE AMERICANS ARE
    PERPLEXED BY THE CHOICE OF DE VILLEPIN AS PRIME MINISTER, A
    PROMOTER OF A `MULTIPOLAR' WORLD, EVEN IF THEY KNOW THE PM'S
    PORTFOLIO DOES NOT INCLUDE FOREIGN POLICY."

    COMMENTARY ON CHIRAC'S DECISION TO NOMINATE TWO STRONG
    PERSONALITIES TO LEAD THE NATION DOMINATES. LA CROIX SEES
    CHIRAC AS THE "UMPIRE" OF THIS TEAM, BUT WONDERS IF "IN NOT
    CHOOSING BETWEEN THE TWO, CHIRAC MAY BE RUNNING THE RISK OF
    MISSING OUT ON COLLECTING THE ADVANTAGES OF EITHER." DE
    VILLEPIN'S TELEVISED ADDRESS LAST EVENING ELICITS COMMENTARY
    ABOUT HIS RHETORIC AS OPPOSED TO CONCRETE MEASURES TO DEAL
    WITH FRANCE'S UNEMPLOYMENT. (SEE PART C)

    IN INTERNATIONAL NEWS, THE ATTACK IN KANDAHAR IS REPORTED AND
    AN EDITORIAL IN LA CROIX SUGGESTS THAT "PROGRESS IN
    AFGHANISTAN IS STILL TOO SLOW." (SEE PART C)

    THE FRENCH CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION INTO THE DETENTION OF TWO
    FRENCHMEN IN GUANTANAMO IS REPORTED. LEFT-OF-CENTER LIBERATION
    AS WELL AS RIGHT-OF-CENTER LE FIGARO NOTE THAT THIS IS A
    "WORLDWIDE FIRST." IN LIBERATION, ONE OF THE DETAINEES'
    LAWYERS IS QUOTED: "THE MAGISTRATES WILL TRY TO IDENTIFY THOSE
    WHO WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DETENTION CAMP." LIBERATION ALSO
    REPORTS: "THE FRENCH JUDGES WILL BE ASKING FOR COOPERATION
    FROM THE U.S. THEY MAY WELL BE FACING A STONEWALL IN SPITE OF
    THE TREATY FOR JUDICIAL COOPERATION BETWEEN FRANCE AND THE
    U.S." RIGHT-OF-CENTER LE FIGARO STARTS ITS REPORT WITH AN
    "EXPLOSIVE" QUESTION: "WILL FRENCH JUDGES CONCLUDE THAT THE
    U.S. HAS VIOLATED INTERNATIONAL LAW IN AFGHANISTAN AND IN
    GUANTANAMO? THIS EXPLOSIVE QUESTION IS AT THE CORE OF THE
    INVESTIGATION INTO A COMPLAINT FOR `ILLEGAL ARREST AND
    ARBITRARY DETENTION' FILED BY TWO FORMER FRENCH GUANTANAMO
    DETAINEES. THE INVESTIGATION IS AS LEGALLY INTRICATE AS IT IS
    POLITICALLY SENSITIVE."

    THE ECONOMIC PRESS REPORTS EXTENSIVELY ON THE DIFFICULTIES
    AIRBUS IS FACING IN ITS TIMELY DELIVERY OF THE A380.
    LIBERATION COMMENTS IN AN ARTICLE TITLED: "EADS ON
    CATASTROPHIC PILOT." "WITH THE PARIS AIR SHOW TEN DAYS AWAY,
    EADS AND ITS MAIN SUBSIDIARY, AIRBUS, ARE GIVING THEMSELVES
    THE WORST POSSIBLE AD CAMPAIGN. YESTERDAY, EADS STILL HAD NO
    CEO AND AIRBUS WAS FORCED TO ACKNOWLEDGE THAT ITS STAR
    FLAGSHIP, THE A380, WOULD NOT BE DELIVERED ON TIME, FORCING
    AIRBUS TO PAY PENALTIES. ONE CAN ALREADY HEAR THE SNICKERING
    FROM BOEING, WHICH IS FEELING PARTICULARLY STRONG SINCE THE
    U.S. DECISION TO GO BEFORE THE WTO."

    (C) SUPPORTING TEXT/BLOCK QUOTES:

    EU REFERENDUM - NETHERLANDS' VOTE - FRENCH CABINET RESHUFFLE

    "A PRESIDENT UMPIRE"
    FRANCOIS ERNENWEIN IN CATHOLIC LA CROIX (06/02): "BY FORCING
    THE COHABITATION OF TWO SUCH CONTRADICTORY WILLS AND PROJECTS,
    AS THOSE OF DE VILLEPIN AND SARKOZY, PRESIDENT CHIRAC SHOWS HE
    IS REFUSING TO CHOOSE BETWEEN DE VILLEPIN'S GUARANTEED
    CONTINUITY AND SARKOZY'S AVOWED DESIRE FOR A BREAK. BY MIXING
    THE TWO, CHIRAC IS RUNNING THE RISK OF DEPRIVING HIMSELF OF
    THE ADVANTAGES OF ONE VISION AS WELL AS THE BENEFITS OF THE
    OTHER."

    "A GAULLIST VISION VERSUS ATLANTICIST BELIEFS"
    ISABELLE LASSERRE IN RIGHT-OF-CENTER LE FIGARO (06/02): "DE
    VILLEPIN, WHO SPEAKS PERFECT ENGLISH, ANNOYS THE AMERICANS
    BECAUSE OF HIS MILITANT SUPPORT FOR A MULTIPOLAR WORLD, AT THE
    CENTER OF WHICH EUROPE, BUT MOSTLY FRANCE, WOULD PLAY AN
    IMPORTANT ROLE AGAINST THE U.S. CONVERSELY, SARKOZY WHO SPEAKS
    A FALTERING ENGLISH, PRESENTS HIMSELF AS A `FRIEND' OF THE
    AMERICANS, PUTTING HIS ANGLO-SAXON PRAGMATISM AT THE SERVICE
    OF THE TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONSHIP."

    "THE SHOCKWAVE OF MAY 29"
    PIERRE ROUSSELIN IN RIGHT-OF-CENTER LE FIGARO (06/02): "FRANCE
    WILL NOT HAVE STAYED LONG ALONE IN THE CAMP OF THE `NO.' IT
    HAS NOW BEEN JOINED BY THE NETHERLANDS, BUT IT IS A MEAGER
    CONSOLATION. THIS SECOND REJECTION OF THE EU CONSTITUTION
    GIVES THE MEASURE OF THE MAGNITUDE OF THE EUROPEAN CRISIS,
    WHICH IS AFFECTING A SMALL COUNTRY WITHOUT ASPIRATIONS OF
    BECOMING A MAJOR POWER, WHICH HAS ALWAYS BEEN PRO-ATLANTIC AND
    ATTACHED TO THE ANGLO-SAXON LIBERAL MODEL. IN BOTH CASES THE
    VOTE INDICATES THERE IS A REJECTION OF A CERTAIN TYPE OF
    EUROPE. ITS EXPANSION, AND THE PROSPECT OF TURKEY'S
    MEMBERSHIP, EXACERBATE IMMIGRATION ISSUES. WITH TWO SUCCESSIVE
    REJECTIONS, THE PROCESS OF RATIFICATION IS SIGNIFICANTLY
    THREATENED. THERE IS A STRONG TEMPTATION TO HALT THE PROCESS.
    AND TONY BLAIR IS THINKING ABOUT CANCELING THE UK REFERENDUM.
    THE CRISIS WHICH STARTED IN FRANCE, AND SPREAD TO THE
    NETHERLANDS COULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD, WITH SERIOUS
    CONSEQUENCES."

    "PLAN B(LAIR)"
    PATRICK SABATIER IN LEFT-OF-CENTER LIBERATION (06/02): "THE
    MASSIVE DUTCH `NEE' IS A CONTINUATION OF THE DISASTER FILM
    WHICH STARTED IN FRANCE. IF THE ROAD TO POLITICAL UNITY IS CUT
    OFF, THE ONLY ALTERNATIVE FOR EUROPE MAY BE BLAIR'S PLAN B:
    KEEPING THE EUROPEAN UNION AS A FREE-TRADE ZONE WITH AS FEW
    REGULATIONS AS POSSIBLE."

    "THE EU'S POLITICAL UNITY IS BRAIN DEAD"
    JEAN QUATREMER IN LEFT-OF-CENTER LIBERATION (06/02): "BLAIR
    HAS A GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY TO IMPOSE HIS LEADERSHIP ON A EUROPE
    IN DISARRAY, AND TO TURN INTO TRIUMPH THE BRITISH VISION OF A
    VAST AND ORGANIZED FREE-TRADE EUROPE THAT WILL NO LONGER
    ASPIRE TO BECOME THE POLITICAL `COUNTERWEIGHT' OF THE U.S. THE
    LANDSCAPE IS ONE OF DESOLATION. AFTER THE TWO `NO' VOTES, THE
    PROJECT OF A EU TREATY IS BRAIN DEAD, DEPRIVING THE EU OF ANY
    ASPIRATION TO POLITICAL UNITY IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THE ATTEMPT
    TO BUILD A POLITICAL EUROPE HAVING FAILED, AND WITH THE FRANCO-
    GERMAN COUPLE DIMINISHED, BLAIR AND HIS PROBABLE SUCCESSOR,
    GORDON BROWN, WILL BE FACING AN OPEN AVENUE TO IMPLEMENT WHAT
    THEY WANT MOST: OPEN COMPETITION, DEREGULATION AND FREE
    TRADE."

    AFGHANISTAN

    "SUCH SLOW PROGRESS"
    JEAN-CHRISTOPHE PLOQUIN IN CATHOLIC LA CROIX (06/02): "A
    COUNTRY THAT HAS BEEN SUBJECTED TO SUCH VIOLENCE FOR SO LONG
    CANNOT GET BACK ON ITS FEET OVERNIGHT. THE VIOLENCE THAT IS
    ERUPTING ONCE MORE AFTER THE WINTER TRUCE OBEYS A CYCLICAL
    SEASONAL RHYTHM. THE TALIBAN ARE ONCE AGAIN DEMONSTRATING
    THEIR PRESENCE. AFGHANISTAN APPEARS ONCE AGAIN TO BE EXTREMELY
    VULNERABLE TO ALL ATTEMPTS TO DESTABILIZE THE COUNTRY.
    PRESIDENT KARZAI ENJOYS THE SUPPORT OF THE U.S. AND NATO IN
    THE NORTH AND THE WEST. BUT THE PRESIDENT APPEARS TO BE
    POLITICALLY AND MILITARILY STILL TOO WEAK TO TRIGGER THE
    COUNTRY'S MODERNIZATION. AFGHANISTAN IS BEING FED
    INTRAVENOUSLY AND MANY WINTERS WILL PASS BEFORE PEACE AND
    DEVELOPMENT CAN TAKE ROOT." WOLFF

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