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### Viewing cable 05TAIPEI3642, Preliminary report on candidates running for

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05TAIPEI3642 | 2005-09-02 08:06 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 TAIPEI 003642

    SIPDIS

    DEPT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON
    DEPT FOR EAP/TC, INR/EAP

    FROM AIT KAOHSIUNG BRANCH OFFICE

    SENSITIVE

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL ECON TW
    SUBJECT:  Preliminary report on candidates running for
    yearend mayoral/magistrate elections

    ¶1. Summary.  Although the registration for candidates
    running for the year-end mayoral/magistrate elections has
    not yet begun, both the KMT and DPP have already announced
    their candidates. Following are the biographies of the
    candidates nominated thus far, and a synopsis of the current
    outlook.  With the exception of Taitung County, where the
    incumbent is an independent, all incumbents are DPP members.
    Despite the KMT's apparent resurgence following the KMT
    Chairmanship election, Southern Taiwan popular opinion
    continues to tilt heavily "Green" and it seems likely that
    all incumbents will prevail. End Summary.

    Kaohsiung County
    ----------------
    ¶2.  Yang Chiu-hsiung (DPP): incumbent Kaohsiung County
    Magistrate elected in 2001
         Age: 46 years old
         Education: Master, Civil Engineering, National Taiwan
         University Bachelor, Civil Engineering, National Taiwan
         University

    Yang was first elected as a Provincial Assembly Member in
    1994, and as a Legislative Yuan Member in 1998.  Yang has a
    "clean" image and performed well this term.  He has the
    advantage of being an incumbent and people expect that he
    will win his re-election bid.

         Lin Yi-shih (KMT): incumbent Legislator elected first
         in 1998, 2001, and 2004
         Age: 37 years old
         Education: Graduate of Department of Dentistry, Taipei
         Medical College

    Lin is son of Lin Hsien-pao, the leader of the Red Faction
    in Kaohsiung County.  He supported Wang Jin-pyng in the KMT
    Chairman election.  He is well known because he served as
    the emcee for many campaign rallies during the last
    presidential election and because he frequently participates
    in political TV talk shows.

    Chiayi City
    -----------
    ¶3. Chen Li-chen(DPP): incumbent Chiayi City Mayor running
    for re-election
         Age: 44 years old
         Education: Master in Environmental Medicine, China
         Medical College, Taiwan
         BA in Public Hygiene Dept., China Medical College,
         Taiwan

    Chen served as Acting Mayor when former Mayor Chang Po-ya
    was appointed Minister of Interior Ministry in May 2000 and
    she was later elected as Mayor in 2001 with Chang's support.
    She was an independent until 2003 when she joined the DPP.
    Her switch in affiliations surprised Chiayi City residents
    and she had to publicly tell people that Chang was aware of
    her decision.  She won the party primary over the son of the
    President's adviser, Lee Hung-shih, to become the DPP
    candidate.

       Huang Min-hui (KMT), incumbent Legislator elected 2001
       and 2004
            Age: 46 years old
            Education: Bachelor of National Normal University,
            Taipei

    Huang was a former National Assembly member.  Huang's father
    was a Taiwan Provincial Assembly member from 1990 until his
    death in 1998.  Because of the long-time constituent
    services performed as public servants by both her and her
    father, our contact said that Huang has chance to win the
    race.
    Chiayi County
    -------------
    ¶4.  Chen Ming-wen (DPP): incumbent Chiayi County Magistrate,
    running for re-election
         Age: 50 years old
         Education: Bachelor, Philosophy Department of Tung Hai
         University, Taiwan

    Chen is the leader of the Lin Faction, one of the two
    dominant factions in Chiayi County.  He was a KMT member
    until 2001.  He joined the DPP in 2002 and ran as a DPP
    candidate for Chiayi Magistrate against KMT candidate, Weng
    Chung-chun, who is one of the Huang Faction heavyweights.

    KMT candidate -- KMT has not announced its nominee because
    no one of the Huang faction wants to run against the
    incumbent due to Chen's good performance and high approval
    rating.  It is said that KMT will recruit the Director of
    Civil Affairs Bureau of Taipei City Government Ho Hong-Jung
    to run, but this has not yet been confirmed.  Ho Hong-jung
    is a native of Chiayi County.  Judging from the current
    situation, it is expected that incumbent Magistrate Chen has
    a good chance to win his re-election bid.

    Tainan City
    -----------
    ¶5.  Hsu Tain-tsair (DPP): incumbent Tainan City Mayor, he is
    running for re-election
         Age: 55 years old
         Education: BA and MA in Economics, Chinese Culture
         University, Taipei.  Studied at doctoral program in
         Business Administration, Rutgers University, New Jersey

    Hsu studied in the U.S. for more than 10 years during the
    1980's.  He was "blacklisted" by Taiwan authorities because
    of the pro-Taiwan independence views he expressed as a
    student in the U.S.  He was legislator from 1992 to 2001.
    He quit the DPP in 1995 and ran unsuccessfully against
    former Mayor George Chang.  He re-joined the DPP in 2001 and
    was endorsed by President Chen to run against DPP's
    incumbent. Hsu easily won the election. As an incumbent
    facing a weak KMT candidate, Hsu has very good chance to win
    his re-election bid.

         Chen Jung-shen (KMT): KMT candidate ran in 2001 Mayoral
         election, former Provincial Assembly member (1991 -
         1995) and Tainan City Councilor (1987-1991)
         Age: 56 years old
         Education: Bachelor in Public Administration, Tung Hai
         University, Taiwan.  Studies at Seattle City Community
         University

    Chen unsuccessfully ran in the 2001 mayoral election.  He
    became the KMT candidate simply because there was no other
    better KMT candidate. According to our observations, he is
    not popular and has a poor image and his campaign style has
    not appealed to voters so far. One of our contacts in the
    Tainan area even told us that his chance to win is almost
    zero.

    Tainan County
    -------------
    ¶6.  Su Huan-chih (DPP): incumbent Tainan County Magistrate,
    he is running for re-election
         Age: 50 years old
         Education: LL.B., National Taiwan University, Taipei
                    LL.M., Fujen Catholic University, Taipei

    Magistrate Su studied Environmental Science at the
    University of Denver. He was a legislator from 1992 to 2001.
    He was President Chen's campaign assistant in the 1989
    legislation election and First Lady's (Wu Shu-chen)
    assistant when she was a legislator.  Compared with former
    Magistrate Mark Chen's (incumbent Minister of Foreign
    Affairs) performance, Su's performance has not been good,
    especially because of his interactions with his staff and
    the County Council. Since Tainan County is the home of
    President Chen, Chen is expected to campaign strongly on
    Su's behalf, and Su expects that will have a major positive
    impact on his re-election campaign.

       Kuo Tien-tsai (KMT): former Legislator (2001-2004)
        Age: 43 years old
         Education: Doctor in Education, National Cheng Chi
         University, Taipei
         Master in Education, National Kaohsiung Normal
         University, Kaohsiung
         Post-doctorate Research, Illinois University

    Kuo was the Director of the Education Bureau of Changhua
    County before being elected to the Legislature in 2001.  His
    high level of education and his good image appeal to the
    young and middle class. He also has the support of scholars
    because of public service he has completed in the
    educational field. Kuo expects that the new KMT Chairman Ma
    Ying-jeou's support will increase voter turnout for Kuo, but
    Magistrate Su does not think that people who are
    dissatisfied with the ruling party will switch their support
    to KMT candidates because of Ma.

    Pingtung County
    ---------------
    ¶7.  Tsao Chi-hung (DPP): former Legislator (1999-2004), and
    former Provincial Assembly member (1994-1998), and former
    National Assembly member (1992-1994)
         Age: 57 years old
         Education: Bachelor in Education, Chinese Culture
         University, Taipei

    Tsao was a teacher at junior high school before he was

    SIPDIS
    elected to the Legislature.  As a ruling party legislator,
    Tsao feels that "change of Taiwan" cannot rely on

    SIPDIS
    politicians, but he hopes that the enthusiasm in politics
    can carry over to improving one's community.  He has been
    advocating a "community development project" to promote the
    idea of reforming the living environment in Taiwan.

        Wang Chin-shih (KMT): incumbent Pingtung City Mayor,
        elected in 2001
          Age: 57 years old
          Education: Master in Public Affairs, National Sun-Yat-
          Sen University, Kaohsiung

    Wang ran for Pingtung Mayor eleven years ago and lost by a
    small margin.  A journalist for 27 years, he finally was
    elected as Pingtung City Mayor in 2001.  Wang maintains a
    good relationship with the former Magistrate Su Chia-chuan,
    the current Minister of the Interior Ministry. Compared to
    DDP candidate Tsao Chi-hung, Wang's campaign seems to be
    falling behind because of the influence of the KMT
    Chairmanship election and the Central Standing Committee's
    elections.

    Taitung County
    --------------
    ¶8.  Hsu Ching-yuan (Independent): incumbent Magistrate
    elected in 2001.
         Age: 48 years old
         Education: Bachelor in Business Administration,
         National Cheng Kung University

    Hsu began his political career in 1986 as Taitung County
    Councilor while he was KMT member.  He also served as
    Provincial Assembly member (1994-1998).  He withdrew from
    the KMT in 1997 to run for magistrate against the KMT
    candidate, but failed.  In 1998 he defeated the KMT and DPP
    candidates to become the first non-KMT Legislator in
    Taitung.  While serving as Provincial Assembly Member he
    became then Governor James Soong's associate.  When James
    Soong formed the PFP in 2000, he joined the PFP, ran for
    magistrate, and won the election.

    In 2004 legislature election, he campaigned for DPP's
    candidate under the promise that Central Government would
    allocate funds to expand Nan-huei High Way (the highway
    connects Taitung County and Pintung County). In return, the
    DPP did not nominate a candidate to run for magistrate in
    the upcoming election.

         Wu Chun-li (KMT): incumbent Speaker of Taitung County
         Council
         Age: 43 years old
         Education: graduate of Ho-chun Technical Junior
         College, Kaohsiung County

    Wu was the KMT candidate in the 2001 magistrate election.
    He has an aggressive campaign style, but compared to
    Magistrate Hsu, he does not presently appear popular enough
    to win the election.

    Penghu County
    ----------------
    ¶9. The Penghu County Magistrate Lai Feng-wei is serving his
    second term and cannot run again. Lai will seek to be the
    KMT candidate for Kaohsiung City Mayor for the year-end 2006
    election. That leaves the race without an incumbent.

         Chen Kuang-fu (DPP): incumbent DPP Penghu County Office
         Chairman
         Age: 50 years old
         Education: Graduate of Fuhua Senior High School,
         Kaohsiung City

    Chen is a native of Penghu, but has lived in Kaohsiung for a
    long time.  He was elected to the Legislature in 1992 in
    Kaohsiung City and served until 1998.  He returned to Penghu
    to run as the DPP candidate for Magistrate in 2001, but was
    defeated by incumbent Magistrate Lai. He stayed in Penghu to
    serve as DPP Office Chairman in order to cultivate
    connections for the upcoming elections. Because he is doing
    well and people are recognizing his work, he appears to have
    a better chance at winning this time.

         Wang Chien-fa (KMT): incumbent Makung City Mayor (one
         biggest city in Penghu, half of all Penghu residents
         live in the city).
           Age: 56 years old
           Education: Graduate of National Open University

    Wang is a native of Makung City.  His older brother served
    as Penghu Magistrate from 1989 until his death in 1992.
    Before being elected as Makung City Mayor, Wang served in
    the County Government as Director of the Tax Bureau and
    Bureau of Finance.

    If a candidate in the Penghu County elections can win in
    Makung City, then the candidate is ensured of a victory in
    the election. It is still hard to see who presently has the
    upper hand in Makung City.

    THIELE

    KEEGAN

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