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### Viewing cable 06AITTAIPEI3834, MEDIA REACTION: U.S. MIDTERM ELECTIONS

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06AITTAIPEI3834 | 2006-11-13 09:16 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    VZCZCXYZ0010
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHIN #3834/01 3170916
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 130916Z NOV 06
    FM AIT TAIPEI
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3002
    INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5924
    RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 7143

` `

    UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 003834

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - DAVID FIRESTEIN
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: U.S. MIDTERM ELECTIONS

    ¶1. Summary:  Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies focused their
    coverage November 10-13 on the aftermath of the prosecutor's
    indictments of First Lady Wu Shu-chen and three Presidential aides
    in early November; on the first televised debates among the Taipei
    mayoral candidates Sunday; and on follow-on investigations into the
    Presidential allowance for state affairs case.  Former Academia
    Sinica President Lee Yuan-tseh and Former Presidential Office
    Secretary General Chen Shih-meng, both close friends of President

    SIPDIS
    Chen Shui-bian, over the weekend openly urged President Chen to step
    down.  The pro-unification "United Daily News" ran a banner headline
    November 13 on page two that read "Blue and Green Each Has Its Own
    Intent; Osting Bian Has Become an Imminent Consensus."  In
    addition, the media reported November 13 that two DPP legislators
    have announced their resignation effective this week because they
    think their party's handling of President Chen's case has failed to
    respond appropriately to Taiwan society's expectations.

    ¶2. Most Taiwan dailies continued to editorialize on President Chen's
    allowance for state affairs case and his and the DPP's political
    future.  Several commentaries and editorials tended to compare
    Chen's future with the results of the U.S. mid-term elections.  A
    "United Daily News" column urged Taiwan voters to wake up and vote
    against the DPP, as the U.S. voters did vis-a-vis the Republican
    Party.  An analysis in the pro-status quo "China Times" said the
    political earthquake caused by the U.S. mid-term elections has
    sounded a death knell for the Republican Party.  The article also
    urged Taiwan not to nurture any wishful thinking about future U.S.
    House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, because even though she may love Taiwan,
    she will not embrace a corrupt Taiwan leader.  An editorial in the
    limited-circulation, conservative, pro-unification "China Post" also
    compared President Chen with President Bush and urged Taiwan voters
    to use their ballots to let Chen know their decision.  An editorial
    in the limited-circulation, pro-independence, English-language
    "Taipei Times," however, said the results of the U.S. mid-term
    elections will have very little impact on U.S.-Taiwan relations.
    End summary.

    A) "The United States Wakes Up, While Taiwan Remains Asleep?"

    The "Black and White" column in the pro-unification "United Daily
    News" [circulation: 400,000] (11/10):

    "The 'George W. Bush's lies' have been exposed, followed by
    disillusionment with the 'George W. Bush myth.'  It is globally
    acknowledged that the severe defeat of the U.S. Republican Party in
    the mid-term elections stems from the fact that voters have cast a
    no-confidence vote against Bush.  There were two means Bush adopted
    that were behind his ascendancy after the September 11 tragedy:  One
    was that he chose a foreign enemy, Saddam Hussein, to inflame the
    American people's sense of justice and desire for revenge.  Second,
    he took advantage of [the slogan of] 'anti-terrorism' to uphold
    'national security' as the highest criterion for judging political
    right and wrong, in an attempt to suppress criticism in the United
    States. ...

    "Bush has used the war in Iraq and the war on terrorism to build an
    autocratic position for himself.  But last week's mid-term elections
    showed that the American people who had once crazily supported
    Bush's war in Iraq have now exposed his lies and spurned this
    populist politician after 3,000 American soldiers and 600,000 Iraqis
    died in the war in Iraq! ...  American voters did not buy Bush's
    story, but will Taiwan voters buy Chen Shui-bian's story?  The
    United States can, but Taiwan cannot?  The United States has woken
    up, but does Taiwan still remain asleep?"

    B) "Political Earthquake of the Mid-term Elections Sounds the Death
    Knell of the Republican Party"

    Washington correspondent Norman Fu noted in the "Washington Outlook"
    column in the pro-status quo "China Times" [circulation: 400,000]
    (11/10):

    "... President George W. Bush immediately fired universally loathed
    Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld following the mid-term elections,
    replacing him with former Central Intelligence Agency Director
    Robert Gates.  Bush reluctantly let his confidant Rumsfeld go, and
    this is a price that the Democratic Party and future U.S. House
    Speaker Nancy Pelosi demanded of him.  All Bush could do was to send
    his favored right hand man who launched the war in Iraq to the altar
    as a sacrifice following the elections. ...  One need not look far
    for a lesson; [Taiwan] must not nurture any wishful thinking about
    [future U.S. House Speaker Leader] Nancy Pelosi.  One must know that
    Pelosi is a vanguard against Republican corruption.   How could she
    possibly like and embrace a Taiwan leader who is used to telling
    lies every day and who is corrupt by nature? ...  It may be true
    that Pelosi loves Taiwan, but it is definitely not Chen Shui-bian
    whom she loves."

    C) "Can President Chen Learn from Bush's Defeat?"

    The conservative, pro-unification, English-language "China Post"
    [circulation: 30,000] editorialized (11/13):

    "George W. Bush's defeat at the polls on Tuesday should have
    surprised nobody.  Although his name was not on the mid-term
    election, the election was all about him - a referendum on his
    leadership, in general, and his war in Iraq, in particular.  After
    six years in the White House, Bush has proved one thing: he is
    perhaps one of the worst American presidents since World War II, if
    not of all time.  He has made lives miserable for both Americans and
    Iraqis. ...

    "Like his American counterpart, President Chen is also famous for
    his hubris, fickleness, and chicaneries.  Although his name is not
    on the ballot for next month's election, the election is all about
    him - a referendum on his integrity and performance.  America's
    mid-term election has proven one thing:  that the American people
    are no longer stupid, at least not as stupid as Bush and his top
    political strategist, Karl Rove, had presumed.  Are voters in Taiwan
    getting smarter?  We'll have the answer next month."

    D)  "Don't Bother Reading US Tea Leaves"

    The pro-independence, English-language "Taipei Times" [circulation:
    30,000] editorialized (11/10):

    "Political analysts look for changes in the Taiwan-US relationship
    after even the most insignificant events, so it is not surprising
    that they will jump into overdrive after a major development such as
    the US midterm election. ...  So when the usual commentators start
    putting their cutting insights into print, telling us how the US
    election is good for the pan-blues, or good for the pan-greens, for
    good for Taiwan, or bad for Taiwan, or whatever their formulation
    might be, we would do well to remember that the election will
    probably have very little impact on US-Taiwan relations.  There are
    manifold reasons for this, but primarily it is because Taiwan is on
    the periphery of political debate in the U.S.   American voters and
    politicians are worried about a lot of things, but on the whole,
    Taiwan isn't foremost among them. ...

    "The common ideological thread that most of these people share,
    however, is support for Taiwan's right to self-determination.  That
    support will continue so long as Taiwanese show that they are
    interested in their own future.  This is why US State Department
    isn't interested in taking sides in the current brouhaha over the
    president.  From the US' point of view, it is immaterial which
    Taiwanese political party or faction has the upper hand from week to
    week.  The important question relates to process.  There is a vast
    difference between red-clad rabble-rousers bringing down the
    president using mob rule, and a prosecutor bringing down the
    president using legal means.  The more rabid extremists may not see
    this, but we must hope that these people remain where they belong:
    on the fringe of popular opinion.  And if that happens, there may
    come a way when people here are confident enough in their own system
    of government that they no longer need to seek affirmation from a
    staid foreign bureaucrat speaking from a podium."

    YOUNG

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