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### Viewing cable 06AITTAIPEI2946, MEDIA REACTION: MOVEMENTS TO OUST PRESIDENT CHEN

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06AITTAIPEI2946 | 2006-08-24 09:00 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    VZCZCXYZ0003
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHIN #2946 2360900
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 240900Z AUG 06
    FM AIT TAIPEI
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1812
    INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5576
    RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 6787

` `

    UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 002946

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - DAVID FIRESTEIN
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A

    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION:  MOVEMENTS TO OUST PRESIDENT CHEN
    SHUI-BIAN

    ¶1. Summary:  Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies focused their
    coverage August 24 on former DPP Chairman Shih Ming-teh's campaign
    to oust President Chen Shui-bian; the many attacks against Shih's
    planned movement and against him personally; and the KMT's
    first-ever party assets report, which was released Wednesday.  The
    pro-status quo "China Times" dedicated two-thirds of its page three
    to carrying a letter by Lung Yin-tai, a well-known writer and
    scholar in both Taiwan and China, explaining why she did not donate
    NT$100 to Shih's campaign but believes President Chen should resign.
     The pro-independence "Liberty Times," Taiwan's biggest daily, on
    the other hand, ran a banner headline on page four that said "Shih
    Ming-teh's [Campaign] to Oust Bian Is Evolving Toward Blue-Green
    Confrontation."  Several papers also carried remarks by an unnamed
    U.S. State Department official regarding President Chen's planned
    transit of Guam in early September.  The official was quoted as
    saying that the U.S. decision over whether to allow Chen to transit
    Guam is unaffected by Taiwan's current political situation and thus
    cannot be interpreted as the United States support for Chen or not.

    ¶2. In terms of editorials and commentaries, an analysis in the
    pro-unification "United Daily News" said Washington's clear
    indication that it will not get involved in Taiwan's political
    situation is the most important reason why President Chen appears to
    be "composed and self-assured."  The article also said that the
    campaign to oust Bian has led Chen to return to the political
    battlefield he is most familiar with, and as a result, September
    could be a crisis and a turning point for Chen.  End summary.

    "Green Camp Keeps Firing Severe Attacks at Shih, Bian Carried Away
    with His Triumph"

    Journalist Huang Ya-shih noted in an analysis in the pro-unification
    "United Daily News" [circulation: 400,000] (8/24):

    "... Bian's confident looks indicated that the atmosphere has
    changed over the past week.  The series of moves taken by Bian's
    team to 'pacify Green supporters and expel outside attacks' gave
    Chen full confidence to win the battle and secure his position.  The
    U.S. side's clear position that it will not get involved in Taiwan's
    political situation was, without a doubt, the most important reason
    that Bian has appeared to be 'composed and self-assured.'  Even
    though Chen's 'unpredictability' often gave the United States
    headaches, Washington has doubts about Vice President Annette Lu
    succeeding Chen as president, and it is even more worried about the
    political upheavals which might be triggered by Chen's resignation.
    Bian chose to transit Guam, an external territory of the United
    States, probably because he was sure that Washington would not
    oppose such a proposal.  Bian can thus seize such an opportunity to
    create the impression that the United States supports him.

    "In Taiwan, even though the movements to oust Bian seem
    overwhelming, the development of the situation...somehow oddly
    reduced the pressure directly imposed by the Blue and Green camps on
    Bian.  The public pressure originally demanding a review of, and
    criticism against, Bian, and for the move to draw a line separate
    Bian and the DPP, used to fall on the DPP and its four top
    heavyweights.  Voices calling for reform of the DPP, from [Bian's]
    ceding some of his powers to the dissolution of the party's
    factions, seemed incessant, and A-bian was constantly in a 'to be
    tortured' position.  But since the emergence of the movements to
    oust Bian, DPP legislators have launched a series of planned moves
    to smear Shih Ming-teh, and as a result, Bian's pressure on the
    Green camp has grown relatively lighter.

    "The movements to oust Bian have even mitigated Bian's crisis with
    the pro-independence activists.  As the campaign to unseat the
    president gained more and more momentum, it has turned into a show
    venue for pan-Blue celebrities, a development that conveniently gave
    the DPP a chance to define the campaign as a copy of the protests
    against the March 19 shooting in 2004.  The deep-Green supporters
    who used to be slightly displeased with A-bian were left with no
    choice but to take his side. ...

    "As for people power, it will be very difficult to bring Chen down
    from his position from within the system.  Chen, who is well-versed
    in the law, is also clearly aware of this; that is why he has
    repeatedly referred to the law, saying 'my term will end in 2008,'
    and that the 'the issue must be resolved via the system.'  Compared
    with the previous beaten and vulnerable position Chen was in, the
    campaign to oust Bian has led him to return to the political
    battlefield that he is most familiar with.  In Bian's eyes,
    September may be a crisis for him, but it may also be a turning
    point for him 'to rise from demise again.'"

    YOUNG

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