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### Viewing cable 06BEIJING15388, July 13 Preparatory Meeting for Energy Ministerial

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06BEIJING15388 | 2006-07-25 23:05 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Beijing

`

    VZCZCXRO1063
    RR RUEHCN RUEHGH
    DE RUEHBJ #5388/01 2062305
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 252305Z JUL 06
    FM AMEMBASSY BEIJING
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2344
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
    INFO RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 0754
    RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 9416
    RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 4134
    RUEHSH/AMCONSUL SHENYANG 6611
    RUEHGH/AMCONSUL SHANGHAI 5359
    RUEHCN/AMCONSUL CHENGDU 6844
    RUEHGZ/AMCONSUL GUANGZHOU 1134
    RUEHIN/AIT TAIPEI 5841
    RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 7878

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 05 BEIJING 015388

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE

    DEPT FOR EAP/CM AND EB/ESC SIMONS
    DOE OIC FOR PUMPHREY, OEA FOR CUTLER

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ECON ENRG EINV EPET CH JA KS IN
    SUBJECT: July 13 Preparatory Meeting for Energy Ministerial
    Roundtable

    ¶1.  (SBU) Summary and Comment: On July 13, China's National
    Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) hosted a
    successful preparatory meeting to discuss a proposed five
    country Energy Ministerial Roundtable in Beijing later this
    fall.  Reflecting input from the Japanese and Korean
    delegations, the Chinese proposed the October 24-27
    timeframe as tentative dates for the ministerial, and asked
    delegations to provide feedback by the end of July on the
    suitability of those dates.  Bowing to suggestions from the
    U.S. and other delegations, the Chinese also agreed to
    broaden the scope of the meeting to include separate
    discussions of energy security and strategic oil stocks,
    diversification of energy supply and alternative sources,
    investment and the energy market, major challenges and
    priorities of international cooperation, and energy
    conservation and efficiency.  Participants also made some
    initial progress toward a potential Joint Statement,
    shifting the focus from the original Chinese emphasis on
    oil markets toward a broader effort to point to areas of
    common interest.  Demonstrating a flair for multilateral
    diplomacy, the Chinese delegation adopted a flexible,
    responsive approach to suggestions from the other
    delegations, which should bode well for the success of the
    eventual meeting.  End Summary and Comment.

    -- Five Party Energy Preparatory Meeting

    ¶2. (U)  The Preparatory Meeting for a proposed five country
    Energy Ministerial Roundtable was held in Beijing on June
    13, 2006.  Bringing together representatives from the
    United States, China, South Korea, Japan and India, the
    Chinese sponsored meeting's purpose was to discuss the
    time/venue, agenda, and basic outline of a Joint Statement
    to be issued at the proposed Ministerial.  The U.S. was
    represented by Paul Simons, Deputy Assistant Secretary of
    State for Energy and Sanctions, Tom Cutler, Director of
    Asia and Europe for the Department of Energy, Embassy DOE
    rep, EconMin, and other emboffs.

    ¶3. (U)  China's delegation consisted of senior NDRC
    officials including Vice Chairman Zhang Guobao, Zhao
    Xiaoping, Director General for Energy, Ma Xin, NDRC
    director General for Foreign Affairs, Xu Yongsheng, Deputy
    Director General for Energy, and Li Bin, Deputy Director
    General for Foreign Affairs.

    ¶4. (U)  Prior to the meeting, the U.S. delegation held
    preparatory sessions with the delegations of Japan, Korea
    and India, and also met with U.S. private sector
    representatives for their input.  On the margins of the
    meeting, the U.S. delegation also met with IEA Deputy
    Director General Bill Ramsay, as well as senior officials
    from CNOOC, SINOPEC, the CNPC Research Center, and the NDRC
    Energy Research Institute.

    -- Preparatory Meeting: Chinese Opening Statement

    ¶5.  (U)  NDRC Vice Chairman Zhang Guobao led off with
    opening remarks which focused on the value of this grouping
    of large consuming countries to speak with one voice on
    energy issues.  Speaking without notes, Zhang noted that
    the solution to this problem needed to take into account
    the policies of China and India, which ranked third in
    global energy consumption behind the U.S. and Japan and as
    "rising economies" were increasingly important players.  He
    said the solution would need to encompass a mixture of
    conservation, domestic supply incentives, as well as
    expansion of alternative fuels and renewables, and
    acknowledged that with a high energy consumption/GDP ratio,
    China had "a lot of work to do".  He noted the significance
    of the five countries gathered - all were major oil
    consumers and importers, and all were located in the Asia
    Pacific region.  Zhang pressed for an early ministerial,
    ideally in late August, and expressed confidence that such
    a meeting could help stabilize oil prices by "containing
    speculation" which he said some had quantified as

    BEIJING 00015388  002 OF 005

    accounting for $10-15/bbl of the current high oil market
    prices.  He noted that the meeting had been discussed with
    Secretary Bodman in Doha and that Secretaries Rice and

    SIPDIS
    Deputy Secretary Zoellick had also expressed "interest" in
    China's initiative.  Energy Director Zhao Xiaoping followed
    with remarks which highlighted the important signal such a
    meeting could send to the international community and the
    fact that Chinese consumption alone could not account for
    the current high price levels in international oil markets.

    - Preparatory Meeting: Japan, South Korea and
    India - Opening Remarks

    ¶6.  (SBU)  Kazuhiko Hombu, Deputy Director General of the
    Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry presented Japan's
    opening statements.    Welcoming the five party concept, he
    said that Japan was "positive" about the idea of bringing
    the five countries together.  That said, given the
    likelihood of Japanese parliamentary elections in September,
    he suggested that the proposed ministerial date of late
    August was a "little too early" and more time would be
    needed to prepare.  Hombu said that the Beijing venue was
    "OK" but also noted that Japan might field a vice minister
    for the meeting.  Hombu suggested adding the following
    topics to the agenda: impact of oil on the world economy,
    transparency and investment in energy markets, improvements
    of energy demand structure (conservation, clean coal,
    renewables), use of the Asia Pacific Partnership to promote
    clean and efficient energy, and cooperation on emergency
    response capabilities, including strengthening strategic
    stocks of oil, and developing closer relations between
    China and India and the IEA.  Hombu noted that both the
    agenda and the communiquQ would need to be referred to
    Tokyo for final approval.

    ¶7. (SBU)  Seok Cho, the Director-General of Korea's
    Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy also welcomed the
    five party concept and China's preparatory work.  He
    commented that the proposed date of the meeting was too
    early, and noted that specific items with respect to the
    agenda and the joint statement would need to be reviewed in
    Seoul before final positions could be agreed.

    ¶8. (SBU)  Prabh Das, Joint Secretary of the Indian Ministry
    of Petroleum and Gas, stated that the three key challenges
    of sustainable development, access to resources and price
    stability all should be addressed through the Ministerial
    meeting.  The high cost of oil, he said, was being absorbed
    by developing countries through huge subsidies that
    directed much needed funds away from social and education
    sectors.  Das echoed the Chinese argument that China and
    India were not the principal contributors to current high
    oil prices, noting fairly modest Indian oil demand despite
    an impressive eight percent GDP growth rate last year.  Das
    also pointed to pricing problems for oil in the Asian
    market which he suggested be addressed in the Ministerial.
    Finally, he noted that current high oil prices would spur
    more efficiency and conservation.

    ¶9. (SBU)  Das suggested creating an "Axis of Sustainable
    and Affordable Energy".  He recommended that the following
    areas should be covered in the agenda: structural
    shortcomings, sustainable development and access to
    hydrocarbon resources, a framework for cooperation among
    consumers and producers for security and sustainability of
    energy, increased efficiency, conducting joint research,
    sharing technology, promoting sustainable growth,
    protecting the environment through the use of green fuels
    and promoting alternative sources of energy like biofuels.

    -- Preparatory Meeting: U.S. Delegation Opening Remarks

    ¶10. (SBU)  Summing up the discussion, Department of State
    Deputy Assistant Secretary (DAS) for Economic Affairs Paul
    Simons welcomed the Chinese initiative and noted that it
    was consistent with broader U.S. efforts to bring China and
    India into a more prominent role in global energy

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    discussions.  He noted that the five participating
    countries were increasingly important players on the global
    energy stage, with EIA forecasts suggesting that they would
    account for more than half of global oil consumption by the
    year 2025.

    ¶11.  With respect to the agenda, U.S. representatives noted
    that it would be important to move beyond a narrow focus on
    short term oil markets to a broader approach which
    highlighted the commonality of approach of the five
    countries.  For example, all five participants shared
    interests in the development of a global liquified Natural
    Gas (LNG) market, accelerated uptake of clean coal
    technologies, nuclear energy and energy efficiency.  All
    five countries needed to focus on the use of alternative
    fuels to power their respective transport sectors.  The
    world's energy future would be determined to a large degree
    by how the five participating countries handled those
    issues.  Rather than seeking to influence oil prices
    through a narrowly crafted joint statement, a broader
    approach that focused on shared interests in resolving
    longer term energy security challenges might be a better
    approach.  Such a statement could reference the work of
    existing institutions and fora, including International
    Energy Forum (IEF), International Energy Agency (IEA), APEC,
    Asia Pacific Partnership, and others, while not advocating
    the creation of any new bureaucracy.

    ¶12.  With respect to substantive issues, DAS Simons laid
    out the four suggestions highlighted in previous U.S.
    guidance on the five party ministerial - coordination of
    strategic petroleum reserve management; improving data
    transparency; cooperation on energy use in the
    transportation sector, including biofuels; and a focus on
    market principles for energy, possibly tracking the
    approach to be followed at the G8 summit.

    ¶13. (SBU)  With respect to next steps, DAS Simons suggested
    creation of an email collective; rather than another face
    to face preparatory meeting, he suggested e-mail comments
    or conference calls to resolve remaining issues.  He echoed
    the comments of the Japanese and Korean delegations that
    all issues with respect to timing, agenda, and joint
    statement would need to be endorsed by capitals prior to
    final decisions.

    -- Proposed Ministerial Scheduling: Suggested dates of
    October 24-27

    ¶14. (SBU) Discussion opened on the scheduling of specific
    dates for the Ministerial meeting.  The Chinese opened with
    a proposal for late August; Japan and Korea wanted no
    specific dates but wanted the meeting pushed back into
    October at the earliest; the U.S. suggested "some time in
    the fall".  The Chinese insisted on penciling in tentative
    dates to be taken back to capitals, with a suggestion of 15
    October.  The Korean delegate objected to this timeframe,
    noting that it conflicted with IEA Governing Board meetings.
    The Chinese responded with tentative dates of October 24-27,
    and asked delegations to consult in capitals and confirm by
    end-July if those dates were suitable.

    -- Proposed Ministerial Agenda/Three Days of Meetings, Site
    Visits

    ¶15.  DG Li opened discussion on the agenda, proposing five
    topics to discuss: the energy situation, oil pricing, oil
    substitution, energy efficiency, and energy conservation.
    He proposed that each Minister make a 15-minute keynote
    speech on one topic immediately followed by a 15-minute
    discussion of the topic.  Afterwards, there would be a
    press conference and the issuance of a joint statement on
    the meetings.  The meeting would wrap up in the early
    afternoon.

    ¶16.  Delegates from the other four countries raised a
    number of modifications to the proposed schedule; most

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    supported the U.S. focus on a broader agenda allowing for
    more detailed discussion of key topics.

    ¶17. (SBU) After extensive discussion with the participating
    delegates, the Chinese delegation produced a considerably
    revised second working draft of the agenda, which will be
    shown to the Ministers of each country for approval:

    Day 1

    -- Morning registration

    -- Afternoon bilateral meetings (according to each
    Minister's individual plans)

    -- Evening welcome dinner

    Day 2

    -- 8:30-9:00 NDRC Chairman Ma Kai meets with Ministers (TBD)

    -- 9:00-10:15  15-minute opening Ministerial addresses in
    the following order: China, India, Japan, Korea, the U.S.

    -- 10:15-10:30 Tea break

    -- 10:30-15:30 Structured thematic dialogue led by
    Ministers

    1- Energy security and strategic oil stocks (U.S.)
    2- Diversification of energy supply and alternative sources
    (South Korea)
    3- Investment and the energy market (Japan)
    4- Major challenges and priorities of international
    cooperation (India)
    5- Energy conservation and efficiency improvement (China)

    -- 12:30-13:30 Working lunch

    -- 13:30-15:30 Continue thematic dialogue

    -- 16:00-16:30 Joint Press Conference

    -- 17:00-17:30 State leaders meet with Ministers (TBD)

    -- 18:00-20:00 Farewell dinner

    Day 3

    -- Individual site visits.

    -- Proposed Ministerial: Working the Joint Statement Draft

    ¶18. (SBU) With respect to the draft Joint Statement issued
    by the Chinese, most delegations agreed that it would be
    difficult to make progress on such a document until the
    agenda was finalized and ministers contributions could be
    appropriately incorporated.  The Chinese government
    distributed an initial draft which focused heavily on the
    current oil market situation.  Japan argued for a
    broadening of the document to reflect a commitment to
    market principles; evidence of international cooperation;
    and alternative fuels.  The U.S. delegation remarked that
    in order to be effective, the Joint Statement as well as
    the press conference themes would need to demonstrate a
    united front of the five countries, and that it would be
    particularly important to highlight the shared approaches
    adopted by the five countries to our key medium and long
    term challenges.  The U.S. suggested several edits to the
    draft communiquQ which removed some of the heavy focus on
    current oil market instability, highlighted the importance
    of intensified cooperation on strategic stocks, and
    introduced the concept of diversification of fuels in the
    transport sector.  A revised, bracketed Joint Statement,
    which incorporated most of the U.S. Delegation's and other
    delegations' suggestions, was provided to the respective
    delegations for further review and discussion.

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    ----
    Comment
    ----

    ¶19.  (SBU) Chinese officials adopted a highly flexible
    approach to this multilateral meeting, taking on board
    suggestions from other delegations on the issues of timing,
    agenda, and the joint statement, and clearly seeking to use
    the proposed ministerial to present a united front on
    energy to the broader world stage.  This flexible approach
    - if sustained -- bodes well for the ultimate success of
    the Ministerial gathering.  End Comment.

    ¶20. (SBU) EB/ESC DAS Simons cleared this report.

    RANDT

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