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### Viewing cable 07AITTAIPEI2451, MEDIA REACTION: US CROSS-STRAIT POLICY

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07AITTAIPEI2451 | 2007-11-06 09:52 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    VZCZCXYZ0007
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHIN #2451 3100952
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 060952Z NOV 07
    FM AIT TAIPEI
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 7311
    INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7420
    RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 8703

` `

    UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 002451

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - NIDA EMMONS
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: US CROSS-STRAIT POLICY

    Summary:  News coverage of Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies
    November 6 still focused on consumer price hikes. They also reported
    on the US Department of Defense (DoD) corrections to a news report
    on its Web site that originally said that the US is against Taiwan
    independence and for peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan.
    Both DoD and the Department of State said the US cross-Strait policy
    remains unchanged.  In terms of editorials and commentaries, an
    editorial in the mass-circulation "Apple Daily" said that, if the
    DoD news report is true, the US may be trying to rid itself of the
    obligation of protecting Taiwan.  End summary.

    A) "The US Secretly Scheming to Get Rid of Taiwan Relations Act"

    The mass-circulation "Apple Daily" [circulation: 530,000]
    editorialed (11/06):

    "During his visit to China US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said
    [President] George W. Bush opposes Taiwan independence and defines
    the referendum on Taiwan's UN bid as a 'referendum on independence.'
     The worst is that President Bush actually said he would be happy to
    see the two sides across the Strait reunify peacefully.

    "The DPP believes the US does not want Taiwan to be unified with
    China, lest it lose an important chess piece with which to hold
    China in check.  Therefore, the US could only privately support the
    DPP's continued rule.  This is a matter of principle.  Even if the
    US does not care if Taiwan unifies with China, as long as Taiwan
    does not want reunification and if China uses force, the US cannot
    but get involved.  This US dilemma toward Taiwan is the reason why
    Ah-bian dares to offend the US.  In other words, Ah-bian, who is
    good at kidnapping other people, has also kidnapped the US.
    However, Bian and the DPP are too naive.

    "Bush's saying that he is happy to see peaceful reunification is
    very grave.  It is much worse than the change of wording from 'not
    support' to 'oppose' Taiwan independence.  Bush seems to have moved
    from being anti-Bian but not anti-Taiwan to being anti-Taiwan.  We
    hope this story is not true.  If it is, Taiwan will be in serious
    danger.  Maybe the US and China would reach some consensus, such as
    'joint management of the Taiwan Strait,' or 'an implicit agreement
    to a military invasion of Taiwan,' etc.  The fact that the 'UN bid
    referendum' has been defined by the US as an 'independence
    referendum' may as well be an action for the US to prepare for
    ridding itself of the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA).

    "The US has been constrained by the TRA for years and faced with
    much quibbling and protest from China.  This has deeply affected the
    broader US global strategy.  In addition to being kidnapped by
    Taiwan, the US side has already made many complaints [to Taiwan].
    The US is only waiting for Taiwan to make violations so that it can
    take the opportunity to get rid of Taiwan and the restraint of the
    TRA.  It can justifiably tell Congress, the media, and the public
    that Taiwan, not the [U.S.] Executive Branch, is to blame.  Taiwan's
    violation is to 'declare independence' or make provocative moves.

    "The US has deployed a trap in order to free itself by publicly
    stating that the TRA protects a Taiwan of the status quo rather than
    a Taiwan that declares independence, provokes China and brings war.
    On the one hand, this is to warn the DPP authorities not to seek
    trouble.  On the other hand, this can be seen as a statement that
    Taiwan's trespassing the red line is the premise for the US to shake
    off its obligation to protect Taiwan.  It is because Taiwan has
    secretly substituted the object in the TRA.  This Taiwan is no long

    SIPDIS
    the original Taiwan as when the TRA was enacted.  Then the US is
    surely not obligated to protect an object that has become not
    related to the TRA.

    "This is the reason and schema in which the US defines the UN
    referendum as an independence referendum.  Following this US logic:
    the UN referendum is equals a referendum on independence, equals a
    Taiwan different from the one mentioned in the TRA, equals no
    obligation for the US to protect Taiwan, equals a cross-Strait war
    in which the US will not be involved, equals US-China relations
    unaffected.  Taiwan's security depends on entangling the US.  How
    can we let the US get away and China take advantage?  It is too
    dangerous.  Do the Bian authorities realize this trap?"

    YOUNG

`