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### Viewing cable 05TAIPEI2003, MEDIA REACTION: CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05TAIPEI2003 | 2005-05-03 07:51 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 TAIPEI 002003

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/RSP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD -
    ROBERT PALLADINO
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS

    ¶1. Summary: As Taiwan dailies continued to cover KMT
    Chairman Lien Chan's China trip May 3, the focus has
    shifted to President Chen Shui-bian's speech Monday to
    the Parliament of the Marshall Islands with regard to
    cross-Strait confidence-building measures.  The pro-
    unification "United Daily News" ran a banner headline
    on its front page that read "Bian: both sides of the
    Strait should establish confidence-building measures."
    Other major Chinese-language dailies also carried the
    same news story in their inside pages.  The centrist,
    pro-status quo "China Times" reported on page two that
    "Both sides of the Taiwan Strait have for the first
    time shared the same view with regard to a military
    mutual trust mechanism."  The pro-unification "United
    Daily News" also printed a banner headline on page
    three that read: "Lien: confidence-building measures
    are auxiliary to a peace agreement."

    ¶2.  In terms of editorials and commentaries, a "Liberty
    Times" editorial strongly criticized President Chen
    with regard to his changed attitude toward Lien's visit
    to China.  A "Taiwan Daily" editorial blasted Lien's
    trip as helping China to succeed with its `united front
    strategy' toward Taiwan.  A "United Daily News"
    editorial, on the other hand, commented on Lien's
    preliminary success in his visit to China, noting that
    Lien has brought a win-win idea into the plan of a
    cross-Strait common market.  A "China Times" news
    analysis noted that the opposition party leaders'
    visits to China has forced Chen to re-focus his
    attention to China and thus regained his leadership in
    the cross-Strait issues.  A "United Daily News"
    commentary discussed the change in China's policy
    toward Taiwan and urged the Taiwan government to
    respond to it with care.  "China Times" Washington
    correspondent Norman Fu discussed the U.S. role in
    cross-Strait relations, saying the United States has
    not lost control over cross-Strait issues because China
    still relies on the United States to solve the Taiwan
    issue.   End summary.

    A) "What Exactly Does President Chen Shui-bian Have in
    Mind?"

    The pro-independence "Liberty Times" [circulation:
    800,000] editorialized (5/3):

    ". President Chen Shui-bian gave his blessings to the
    visits conducted by the opposition leaders to China.
    Chen regarded positively KMT Chairman Lien Chan's talks
    and behaviors in China and asked PFP Chairman James
    Soong to be his envoy to China.  Hence, it is evident
    that Chen's `China fever' is as serious as that of
    Lien's and Soong's.  The fact that Lien and Soong
    concurred with the `1992 consensus' in China is already
    [powerful] enough to enable the Beijing authorities to
    display fully its united front strategy and to divide
    the Taiwan people.  If Chen also dreams about a meeting
    with China's President Hu Jintao, Hu will be more than
    happy to act as an arbitrator between Taiwan's ruling
    party and opposition parties.  As a result, Taiwan will
    lose in the game [toward its struggle with China] for
    sure.  High-ranking DPP officials recently warned
    Taiwan people not to show [positive] emotions toward
    China, adding that what's happening to Taiwan now and
    here is the most important thing.  The officials also
    said Taiwan should not shake hands with China in haste,
    and it is more important for the ruling party to work
    on domestic affairs in collaboration with the
    opposition parties.  Based on such comments, we believe
    the government and the DPP should have consistent and
    not divided opinions."

    B) "Lien Chan's Talks and Behaviors in China Have Made
    Taiwan Businessmen Assume That Both Sides of the Taiwan
    Strait Belong to One Country and Have Enabled China's
    United Front Strategy That Seeks to `Force the
    Government through Businesses' to Succeed"

    The pro-independence "Taiwan Daily" editorialized
    (5/3):

    ".  [I]n fact, either a cross-Strait peace treaty or
    the establishment of a military mutual trust mechanism
    will have to be built on the foundation that both sides
    of the Taiwan Strait are standing on an equal footing.
    How can there be a peace treaty between the two sides
    of the Taiwan Strait if China still insists that [cross-
    Strait talks] be conducted under the `one China'
    principle, or if it still requests that Taiwan accept
    the `1992 consensus,' which is in nature the `one
    China' principle?  How can China establish a military
    mutual trust mechanism with Taiwan if it does not
    remove the 700 missiles aimed at the island, guarantee
    that it will not use force against Taiwan, or abolish
    the Anti-Secession Law?  During his China trip, Lien
    Chan failed to talk about all these issues that are
    directly related to Taiwan's interest.  Instead, he
    still believes that it is of major significance that he
    has obtained a `positive response' from the Chinese
    authorities.  We, however, do not see any significance
    [in China's response]."

    C) "The Win-Win Concept and a Common Market across the
    Taiwan Strait"

    The pro-unification "United Daily News" [circulation:
    600,000] commented in an editorial (5/3):

    "KMT Chairman Lien Chan will return to Taiwan today,
    and the long-term effects of his `journey of peace'
    still remain to be seen.  But overall, Lien has, to a
    certain extent, sown the seeds of peace and a win-win
    idea [for both sides of the Taiwan Strait]. .

    "When the Taiwan authorities still have doubts about
    `opening up' and `exchanges' [across the Taiwan
    Strait], the idea of a `common market' is a
    comparatively more possible way to cooperate [with
    China]. .

    "The precondition for any type of economic integration
    is to seek a win-win situation.  It is more and more
    evident that Taiwan needs to integrate with China in
    terms of economic resources, and the integration as a
    result will benefit Taiwan.  Otherwise, how come Chi
    Mei Group Founder Hsu Wen-lung would write such an open
    letter before China's passage of the Anti-Secession
    Law?

    "When several countries in Asia are proposing to form
    the `ASEAN plus 3,' `East Asia Community,' `East Asia
    Free Trade Area,' and all kinds of bilateral
    agreements, Taiwan will be forced to enter a dilemma of
    being marginalized if it does not come to some kind of
    understanding or agreement with China with regard to
    Taiwan's space in the international community. ."

    D) "Bian Wins back His Bargaining Chips [with Regard to
    Cross-Strait Issues] by Refocusing His Attention to
    China"

    Journalist Hsiao Hsu-chen noted in the "My Views"
    column of the centrist, pro-status quo "China Times"
    [circulation: 600,000] (5/3):

    "Despite the People First Party's attempt to clarify
    for its chairman, James Soong's role as the first
    public `envoy' across the Taiwan Strait is basically
    settled following President Chen Shui-bian's
    announcement Sunday.  Chen's decision to take the first
    formal step in breaking the ice between the two sides
    of the Taiwan Strait is evident to show that he has
    gradually deviated from the tune about China set by
    former President Lee Teng-hui and is willing to re-
    evaluate the new Chinese regime headed by Hu Jintao or
    at least to try some new approaches [in dealing with
    China.] .

    "Judged from this perspective, Lien's trip to China is
    both a crisis and a turning point for President Chen.
    Chen has come to a point where he has to face the cross-
    Strait issues directly, and this also offered him an
    opportunity to take a close look at the new approaches
    adopted by Hu's regime toward Taiwan. .

    "It is a top priority for Taiwan to re-evaluate China
    and to set a strategic tune on China and on the cross-
    Strait relations in the new era.  Over the past few
    years, the Taipei government has been busy securing its
    power and running around for its campaigns.  Some of
    these efforts may be helpful in building the Taiwan
    consciousness, but in the meantime, because of its
    negligence of the evolvement of China, the government
    has also missed the chances to take advantage of some
    of strategic situations.  [KMT Chairman] Lien Chan's
    trip to China, followed by that of Soong's, have
    finally forced the government to face the issue
    directly. .  The re-positioning of cross-Strait
    relations and Chen's [willingness] to step out of the
    frame set up by former President Lee and to try to
    start a new round of talks with the Chinese leaders .
    will create a new opportunity for the happiness and
    peace of the Taiwan people."

    E) "Change in Beijing's Strategic Thinking toward
    Taiwan"

    Journalist Sun Yang-ming observed in the "United Notes"
    column of the pro-unification "United Daily News"
    [circulation: 600,000] (5/3):

    "The results of the meeting between [KMT Chairman] Lien
    Chan and [Chinese President] Hu Jintao revealed that
    Beijing has changed its strategic thinking toward
    Taiwan.  The Chen Shui-bian administration will be put
    in a passive position if it fails to deal with the
    change appropriately.

    "During the period of [former Chinese President] Jiang
    Zemin, Beijing's policy guideline toward Taiwan was
    that `both sides could talk about anything under the
    one China principle.'  Such a dogma-like approach has
    put Beijing in a passive and reactive position when
    dealing with the Taiwan issue because Taipei distrusts
    Beijing and Taiwan people has seen no `concrete
    goodwill gestures' from Beijing.  As a result, former
    President Lee Teng-hui and the Chen Shui-bian
    administration could easily control Taiwan people's
    attitude toward China.

    "Fundamental change happened to Beijing's attitude
    since [Chinese President] Hu Jintao came to power.  He
    no longer talked about empty principles but directly
    appeals to the Taiwanese people with substantive
    interests in order to obtain strategic preemptiveness.

    "The so-called strategic preemptiveness means that
    Beijing will observe what Taiwan people want, re-
    package it in a way that is acceptable for Beijing and
    throw it back to the Chen Shui-bian administration and
    Taipei to worry about what to do.  Take Taiwan's bid to
    join the WHO as an example.  It is said that Beijing is
    very likely to allow Taiwan to join the WHO or attend
    the WHA in the name of `Taipei China.' .

    "The KMT's landing on China has enabled Beijing to tell
    Taiwan people its requests directly, making the Chen
    Shui-bian unable to interpret Beijing's policy the way
    it likes.  Such a channel of communication will become
    systemized as the KMT and Chinese Communist Party
    started talking.  The Chen Shui-bian administration, as
    a result, will have to reconsider or adjust its cross-
    Strait strategy."

    F) "Is the United States' Cross-Strait Policy out of
    Control?"

    Washington correspondent Norman Fu said in the
    "Washington Outlook" column of the centrist, pro-status
    quo "China Times" [circulation: 600,000] (5/3):

    ". In general, the United States still continued to
    stand in a critical leading position with regard to
    cross-Strait relations.  Washington's leadership does
    not change because of the direct talks between Taiwan's
    opposition leaders and Beijing because it will be
    impossible for Beijing to resolve the Taiwan issue
    without Washington's consent or [tacit consent].  That
    is why Beijing has been trying to befriend Washington
    over the past few years, hoping that the United States
    will help it stop Taiwan from moving toward
    independence.  As for the roles of the KMT and the PFP
    in the cross-Strait relations, they are just part of
    Beijing's strategies and they are not strong enough to
    diminish or change Washington's significant position.
    The United States of course hopes that Beijing could
    talk to the Chen Shui-bian administration directly, but
    it still depends on whether Beijing has confidence in
    Chen and the future prospects of the DPP government."

    PAAL

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