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### Viewing cable 05TAIPEI1863, MEDIA REACTION: CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS, SINO-

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05TAIPEI1863 | 2005-04-21 03:01 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

    210301Z Apr 05

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 TAIPEI 001863

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/RSP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD -
    ROBERT PALLADINO
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS, SINO-
    JAPANESE DISPUTES

    ¶1. Summary: The upcoming trips to China by KMT Chairman
    Lien Chan and PFP Chairman James Soong have received
    wide coverage in the Taipei dailies April 20, as to be
    expected after Taiwan's Presidential Office April 19
    announcement put the visits in a somewhat different
    light.  The Presidential Office announced Tuesday that
    no one would disagree with the fact that the 10-point
    consensus reached by President Chen Shui-bian and PFP
    Chairman James Soong in late February represents Chen's
    position.  That possibly implies that Soong's visit, at
    least, is not contrary to President Chen's wishes.  The
    pro-independence "Liberty Times," Taiwan biggest daily,
    ran a banner headline on its front page that said:
    "Lien and Soong to visit China, the Green Camp proposes
    three oppositions and three insistences."  The sub-
    headline added: "DPP Executive Committee passed a
    resolution and is firmly opposed to using the
    acceptance of one China and the 1992 consensus as the
    pre-condition for [Taiwan] political party leaders'
    visits to China.  [The DPP] will use the resolution [as
    a criteria] to examine Lien and Soong."  The "Liberty
    Times" also carried a news story on page two which said
    "In the face of Lien's and Soong's China's trips, the
    United States is concerned that the arms procurement
    may not be passed easily."  The sub-headline read:
    "High-ranking sources said the United States believes
    Beijing should contact Taiwan's ruling government and
    [the United States] also says frankly that it hopes
    Taiwan will not further delay the U.S. arms
    procurements by switching the focus."  The centrist
    "China Times," however, carried a story on page four
    that quoted the PFP as saying that should a consensus
    be reached by Soong and Chinese President Hu Jintao, it
    might become the basis for both sides of the Taiwan
    Strait to resume dialogue.

    ¶2. The "Liberty Times" ran an editorial strongly
    criticizing the planned visits to China by Taiwan's
    opposition party leaders.  It urged the Taiwan
    government not to treat Lien's and Soong's visits
    differently, or it will fall into a trap set by China.
    A limited-circulation, pro-independence English-
    language "Taipei Times" editorial called on the leaders
    of the three main parties to hold a summit on national
    affairs and to pass the U.S. arms procurement bill
    before Lien and Soong visit China.  A "China Times"
    news analysis said that Beijing's plan is to have Lien
    and Soong build a bridge first so as to encourage
    President Chen Shui-bian to "take a new route."  The
    limited-circulation, pro-unification English-language
    "China Post" editorial said Lien's and Soong's upcoming
    visits to China reflect a "sea change" in Taiwan's
    domestic politics and may pave the way for Taiwan and
    Beijing to bury the hatchet and move toward political
    reconciliation.

    ¶3. The major Chinese-language Taiwan newspapers'
    coverage of the anti-Japanese disputes has decreased
    further, and only one limited-circulation English-
    language newspaper editorialized on this issue.  The
    pro-independence English-language "Taiwan News" said
    the anti-Japanese riots in China confirm the validity
    of Taiwan's fears of the dangers from extreme "great
    Chinese" nationalism.  End summary.

    ¶1. Cross-Strait Relations

    A) "[We] Will Not Allow [Lien and Soong] to Offer the
    Safety and Well-being of the 23 Million [Taiwan] People
    as Tribute to Curry Favor with China"

    The pro-independence "Liberty Times" [circulation:
    800,000] editorialized (4/20):

    ". In other words, in terms of national sovereignty,
    China is Taiwan's only enemy; as for the aspect of
    economic development, China is Taiwan's biggest
    competitor.  In the face of such an enemy and a rival
    that tries to get all it wants by fair means or foul,
    Taiwan's cross-Strait policy must focus on self-
    protection; namely, it must make sure that the
    foundation of Taiwan's economic developments will not
    be undermined, its freedom and democracy will not be
    sabotaged, and that its national sovereignty will not
    be trampled.  Based on such a pre-condition, Taiwan
    obviously should maintain a certain distance with China
    so as to ensure its safety.  The visits to China by
    Taiwan's opposition party leaders, with or without the
    government's authorization or the ten-point consensus
    reached between Chen and Soong, are inappropriate
    behaviors.  In particular, China is getting more and
    more skillful in applying the united front tactics on
    Taiwan.  It could appeal to the Anti-Secession Law on
    one hand and befriend Lien and Soong on the other so as
    to be ready to launch an attack against the Taiwan
    government simultaneously from within and without.  The
    government will fall into the trap set by China if it
    decides to adopt a differentiate treatment toward Lien
    and Soong. ."

    B) "Expediency Only Goes so Far"

    The pro-independence, English-language "Taipei Times"
    [circulation: 30,000] commented in its editorial
    (4/20):

    ". Before Lien and Soong visit Beijing, it is crucial
    that the leaders of the three main parties hold a
    summit on national affairs.  Only if some level of
    consensus is reached will the KMT and PFP chairmen be
    able to engage in substantive negotiations with
    Beijing. .

    "To ensure that the Taiwanese people emerge as victors
    from these talks, the two party chairmen should demand
    legislators push through the long-delayed arms-
    procurement bill before arriving in China.  We all know
    that peace is built on security, so Taiwan should first
    secure its position before entering into talks with
    China.  Only then will the talks hold any meaning."

    C) "Beijing's Plan Is That Lien and Soong Will Build a
    Bridge [across the Taiwan Strait] for Bian to `Take a
    New Route'"

    Journalist Wang Li-chuan commented in a news analysis
    of the conservative, pro-unification "United Daily
    News" [circulation: 600,000] (4/20):

    "Beijing has been very proactively in inviting the
    chairmen of Taiwan's two major political parties to
    visit mainland China lately in an attempt to open a new
    channel and platform for cross-Strait dialogue and
    communication.  The cross-Strait situation is now at a
    state of `Where the hills and streams end and there
    seems no road beyond, amidst shading willows and
    blooming flowers another village appears' - meaning one
    begins to see hope when all seems lost.  Beijing's
    invitations revealed many of its intentions: in
    addition to show the United States its attitude to
    build the channel of dialogue across the Taiwan Strait
    proactively, China also wants to place pressure on the
    Chen Shui-bian government using the power of Taiwan's
    opposition parties so as to force him to accept the
    `1992 consensus' and to push the cross-Strait ties back
    to the `one China' framework.

    "Judged either from the domestic or international
    perspective, the Chen Shui-bian administration and his
    party will suffer a great pressure following [KMT
    Chairman] Lien Chan's and [PFP] Chairman James Soong's
    visits to China.  In terms of the international
    climate, a stabilized cross-Strait situation is in the
    interests of all countries involved at the current
    stage.  Beijing has more than once told Washington that
    it `will adopt measures to reduce cross-Strait
    tensions,' and its invitations will give U.S. Secretary
    of State Condoleezza Rice, who is always relentless
    about the Beijing regime, no reasons to find fault with
    it.  Beijing's invitations to the leaders of Taiwan's
    two major opposition parties are all the more a gesture
    to show to the international community that even though
    Beijing has passed the Anti-Secession Law, its position
    is to advocate cross-Strait peace and stability. .

    "Lien and Soong will soon visit mainland China
    separately, and a new aspect for the cross-Strait
    relations will be unveiled.  The Beijing authorities
    have more than once sent out signals of
    `reconciliation' to the Chen Shui-bian administration
    and his party; its purpose of hoping that the DPP will
    `take a new route' is more than evident."

    D) "PRC Visits by Lien and Soong Reflect Political Sea
    Change"

    The conservative, pro-unification, English-language
    "China Post" [circulation: 30,000] noted in an
    editorial (4/20):

    "The scheduled historic visits to Beijing in the next
    few weeks by KMT chairman Lien Chan and PFP leaders
    James Soong reflect a sea change in Taiwan's domestic
    politics and may pave the way for this island and its
    arch-rival mainland China to bury the hatchet and move
    toward political reconciliation. .

    "When examined deeply, however, Lien and Soong's coming
    mainland trips mark a shift in a popular mood to
    improve relations with China.  It is this nascent
    opinion shift that has emboldened the KMT and PFP
    leaders to embrace Beijing without having to worry that
    their new policy will cause their parties to lose voter
    support, as they have been in the past.

    "Meanwhile, Lien and Soong's bold initiatives to visit
    Beijing reflect a corresponding decline in Chen's
    political influence and his usually powerful populism.
    He can no longer continue to deny an opposition role in
    the debate on cross-strait policy by painting their
    politicians red by accusing them of selling out Taiwan
    or being the communists' fellow travelers.

    "The current surge in the embrace of China among the
    opposition leaders, in fact, is only part of a recent
    series of developments that underscore a dwindling in
    the influence of the independence movement as a whole,
    and this dwindling was brought about by three major
    factors.

    "First and more important is the DPP's humiliating
    setbacks in the December election.  The inability of
    Chen, who campaigned for a new Constitution and a plan
    to change China-linked names of all government
    institutions, to win a legislative majority has made it
    impossible for him to carry out those plans.  More
    fundamentally, the poll setbacks have weakened his
    legitimacy to push for his political agenda.

    "Another factor was a change in U.S. policy.  For the
    past year or so, Washington has reinforced its stance
    of not supporting Taiwan independence by consistently
    warning Chen not to take any moves to unilaterally
    alter the cross-strait status quo.  Otherwise, he could
    risk losing U.S. backing.

    "A third reason is the impact of Beijing's recently
    enacted anti-secession law, which authorizes the
    mainland to attack Taiwan if it moves toward formal
    independence.  The threat of attack has produced a
    constraining impact on Chen and his administration. ."

    ¶2. Sino-Japanese Disputes

    "Anti-Japanese Riots in China Confirm Taiwan's Worries"

    The pro-independence "Taiwan News" [circulation:
    20,000] commented in its editorial (4/20):

    ". As a victim of 50 years of Japanese colonial
    occupation from 1895 to 1945, Taiwan and its people,
    including many whom directly experienced Japanese
    aggression in China as well, has ample reasons to
    resent Japanese rule and no reason to defend Japan's
    record in the Second World War, but so far have
    remained relatively quiet in the current wave of anti-
    Japanese protests.

    "The prime reason lies in the fact that the Taiwan
    government and most of our people are rather concerned
    about the present and possible future impact of the
    surfacing of a virulent form of great Chinese
    chauvinism than about the undeniable reality of
    Japanese crimes of aggression committed nearly 70 years
    ago. .

    "Given its status as one of the world's greatest
    economic powers and its postwar diplomatic record
    (including its active role in humanitarian aid
    programs), Japan fully deserves a seat on the U.N.
    Security Council even though chauvinist political
    forces still exist and have some influence, as the
    approval of the offending textbooks unfortunately
    shows. .

    "Moreover, the tacit approval of the PRC authorities to
    the overt displays of racism and chauvinism against
    Japanese citizens ahs starkly underlined the validity
    of Taiwan's own concerns of possible aggression by the
    PRC and the all too real possibility that the Beijing
    authorities could stir up similar waves of `popular
    anger' against Taiwan and Taiwan citizens or against
    the people of any country that supports Taiwan someday
    in the future.

    "We hope in particular that global policy-makers will
    take seriously this threat.  In particular, we urge the
    European Union to continue to maintain the EU's embargo
    on the sale of arms to the PRC, imposed in the wake of
    the Tiananmen Incident."

    PAAL

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