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### Viewing cable 07AITTAIPEI2067, MEDIA REACTION: TAIWAN AND BUSH-HU MEETING

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07AITTAIPEI2067 | 2007-09-07 23:42 | 2011-08-23 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei

`

    VZCZCXYZ0000
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHIN #2067/01 2502342
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 072342Z SEP 07
    FM AIT TAIPEI
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6715
    INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7225
    RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 8482

` `

    UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 002067

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - NIDA EMMONS
    DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
    SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: TAIWAN AND BUSH-HU MEETING

    ¶1. Summary:  Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies gave extensive
    coverage September 7 to the meeting between U.S. President George W.
    Bush and his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao at APEC Thursday, and to
    President Chen Shui-bian's videoconference with the American
    Enterprise Institute Thursday on Taiwan's UN referendum.  Coverage
    also focused on the death of legendary opera tenor Luciano Pavarotti
    Thursday; on a strong earthquake that rocked the island early Friday
    morning; and on the controversial Olympic torch relay route.  The
    pro-independence "Liberty Times" front-paged a banner headline that
    read "UN Referendum Is Not Mentioned in the Bush-Hu Press
    Conference."  The pro-unification "United Daily News," however,
    front-paged a news story with the headline "Bush-Hu Meeting Opposes
    the UN Referendum."  The same paper also ran a banner headline on
    page two that said "Bian: Taiwan Will Join the UN as a New Member."

    ¶2. In terms of editorials and commentaries, a "Liberty Times"
    analysis said the fact that Bush did not further criticize Taiwan
    during his meeting with Hu Jintao showed that Washington does not
    want to create another predicament for itself or put itself in a
    dilemma.  An editorial in the pro-independence, English-language
    "Taiwan News" chimed in by calling Washington's attention to the
    results of a new opinion survey by Taiwan Thinktanks, which showed
    that the majority of Taiwan people remained resolved to support
    Taiwan's UN bid regardless of the U.S. opposition.  A news analysis
    in the centrist, KMT-leaning "China Times," however, said the way
    that Washington and Beijing handled Taiwan's UN referendum reflected
    that Taiwan is being marginalized.  A "United Daily News" analysis
    said Washington has defined Taipei as a "provoker" in the
    cross-Strait relations and has extended the battle line against
    Taiwan's UN referendum to the UN Assembly ten days from now.  End
    summary.

    A) "Slowing down Its Speed on the Taiwan Matter, the United States
    Avoids Creating a Predicament for Itself"

    Deputy Editor-in-Chief Tsou Jiing-wen noted in an analysis in the
    pro-independence "Liberty Times" [circulation: 720,000] (9/7):

    "Following the impertinent remarks that U.S. deputy secretary of
    state and senior director at the National Security Council made to
    Taiwan, [U.S. President George W.] Bush did not choose to have
    himself, obviously of a higher ranking, further criticize Taiwan
    openly during his meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao.  Such a
    development indicated that Washington does not want to create
    another predicament for itself or put itself in a dilemma. ...
    During the closed-door meeting, Bush told Hu in the face that he 'is
    gravely concerned about' Taiwan's UN referendum.  This remark can be
    interpreted as a move to backpedal at an appropriate speed. ...
    Ever since the two major political parties in Taiwan started
    planning to hold a referendum in tandem with next year's
    presidential election, the U.S. criticism against Taiwan has been
    overwhelming, with numerous unpleasant remarks made to the leaders
    of both the Blue and Green camps, but the result Washington has been
    hoping to achieve was nearly zero.  The problem lies in the fact
    that the United States only imposed pressure on the political elites
    but failed to lobby or communicate with the Taiwan people.
    Washington overlooked the nature of democracy, thus its efforts were
    used in a wrong direction.  This is why in the wake of the United
    States' roar, a high percentage of public opinion remained unafraid
    and urged [the government] to continue pushing for the UN
    referendum.

    "The public opinion in Taiwan, slowly but surely, no longer takes
    unreasonable U.S. requests as granted.  In addition to the
    constantly evolving political environment in Taiwan, the crux of
    such elevated consciousness on the Taiwan's part of making one's own
    decision lies in the United States' compromise and concession in
    handling issues concerning totalitarian China over the past few
    years.  Washington might not be at its wit's end, but its
    appeasement and laisser-faire approach have left a deep impression
    on the Taiwan people, who are thus eager to pick its own path. ...

    "Bush has stopped and is looking around for the time being; he may
    be waiting for Taiwan's reaction, and he is also watching China's
    next move.  But under the big banner of opposition to any change in
    the status quo, Taiwan is flying a peace flag -- there is no way
    that Taiwan will allow the UN referendum to dance to the tune of
    China; this is something that Washington will have to take very
    seriously."

    B) "Hu, Bush Scare Turns into Fluff"

    The pro-independence, English-language "Taiwan News" [circulation:
    20,000] editorialized (9/7):

    "... During a news conference after the conclusion of the
    ninety-minute summit meeting in Sydney's Intercontinental last
    night, Bush did not even mention Taiwan and Hu confined himself to

    relating that 'President Bush also explicitly stated the U.S.
    position consistent with a position of opposing any changes in the
    status quo.' ...  Clearly the two heads of state discussed the
    situation in Taiwan at the initiative of the PRC President, but
    obviously did not have a true meeting of minds on the subject,
    despite the evident and openly manifested annoyance in Washington
    with the refusal of democratic Taiwan to 'behave' and cease efforts
    to enter the United Nations and conduct referendums on the subject,
    sponsored separately by the governing DPP and the opposition
    Kuomintang.

    "In addition, Washington was apparently quite annoyed with moves
    engaged by the PRC on the Taiwan issue, notably the statement,
    evidently at Beijing's suggestion, by U.N. Secretary-General Ban
    Ki-moon in late March that 'Taiwan is part of the PRC' and a rumored
    plan by the PRC to submit a U.N. General Assembly resolution that
    would have specifically named Taiwan as part of the PRC. ...  In any
    case, the expected storm in Sydney over Taiwan's U.N. referendums
    failed to congeal as the momentum of the APEC meeting to focus on
    its own agenda has surfaced.

    "Another important development took place in Taipei with the
    announcement of the results of a new opinion poll that should be
    considered by Washington closely as it points to the reason for the
    resolve by President Chen and the DPP to press the question for
    Taiwan's U.N. entry.  The results of an opinion poll of 1,068 Taiwan
    adults conducted from August 30 to September 2 and released
    yesterday by Taiwan Thinktank indicates that while open opposition
    from the U.S. together with the PRC has some impact, the majority of
    Taiwan citizens remain resolved to support Taiwan's application to
    join the U.N.. ...  Moreover, almost the exact same proportion of 56
    percent to 34 percent of Taiwan adults expressed support for
    persisting in holding the DPP's U.N. referendum even though the
    United States has openly opposed the initiative.  We hope Bush and
    other officials in Washington and Beijing take note."

    C) "Washington and Beijing Handle [Taiwan's UN Referendum] Coldly;
    Taiwan Is Being Marginalized"

    Journalist Chinag Hui-chen noted in an analysis in the centrist,
    KMT-leaning "China Times" [circulation: 400,000] (9/7):

    "... The ambiance as a whole revealed by the few-minute press
    conference following the meeting between U.S. President George W.
    Bush and his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao was the contrast between
    a seemingly peaceful rising China and the United States, which is
    trapped in the quagmire of North Korea and Iran.  The rational and
    mild attitude that Hu has tried deliberately to put on is exactly
    the 'peaceful' fireworks China is trying to show to the
    international community before the Olympic Game in 2008.  At the
    Bush-Hu meeting, the 'UN referendum,' a highly controversial issue
    in Taiwan, has turned into China's internal affair.  Bush gave Hu
    promises that he will continue imposing pressure [on Taiwan], while
    Hu, in return, has gained the international support before the
    Olympic Game.

    "The United States has been playing a double-handed strategy against
    Taiwan.  It started by having its national security system on the
    table (i.e. National Security Council senior director for Asian
    affairs Dennis Wilder) and the hearsay under the table (i.e. The
    Nelson Report) make harsh remarks about him being ready to teach
    Taiwan a lesson during the APEC meeting, in an attempt to suppress
    the 'UN referendum.'  But on the APEC stage, Bush let Hu step
    forward to talk about the Taiwan issue instead.  The 'UN
    referendum,' with which Taiwan expects to break the international
    barriers has nothing left but the only value for the Green camp to
    boost its campaigning. ...  Have Beijing and Washington made
    concession to Taiwan?  Has Taiwan's pushing the envelope succeeded
    in helping it move a step forward?  In the wake of the 'Bush-Hu
    meeting,' Taiwan's crisis has not been resolved, but perhaps its
    anxiety has grown heavier."

    D) "Taiwan Has Become a Provoker; Battle Will Extend to the UN
    Assembly"

    Washington correspondent Vincent Chang noted in an analysis in the
    pro-unification "United Daily News" [circulation: 400,000] (9/7):

    "... One might have misevaluated the situation if he took the
    low-profile manner of both Bush and Hu as a concession to Taiwan's
    push for the UN referendum, or even, as a major victory for Taiwan's
    public opinion.  This is because the United States has just extended
    the battle line of its fight against the UN referendum to the 'real'
    UN Assembly ten days from now.  The White House has made it very
    clear that it will continue monitoring the development of Taiwan's
    UN referendum; it even said it 'does not want to see anyone being
    provoked by Taiwan's activities.'  Such remarks were akin to
    defining Taiwan's position, in terms of its push for the UN
    referendum, as a 'provoker' in the cross-Strait relations. ...

    "The U.S. government's remarks are clear enough, but politicians of
    both the DPP and the KMT, who are eager to push for the UN
    referendum, seemed to have never thought of any 'exit mechanism' for
    the referendum under the big framework of U.S.-Taiwan relations and
    regional security.  Perhaps each side is waiting to jeer at the
    other for being a chicken that jumps out of the car first.  But it
    has never occurred to them whether they will bring the car of Taiwan
    down the cliff."

    WANG

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