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### Viewing cable 08DUBLIN568, GOVERNMENT OF IRELAND COUNSELS PATIENCE IN DEALING

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08DUBLIN568 | 2008-10-15 08:54 | 2011-07-22 00:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Dublin

`

    VZCZCXRO5980
    RR RUEHAG RUEHROV
    DE RUEHDL #0568/01 2890854
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    R 150854Z OCT 08
    FM AMEMBASSY DUBLIN
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 9506
    INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES
    RUEHBL/AMCONSUL BELFAST 0808

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 DUBLIN 000568

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/14/2018
    TAGS: PGOV PREL UK EI
    SUBJECT: GOVERNMENT OF IRELAND COUNSELS PATIENCE IN DEALING
    WITH NORTHERN IRELAND

    DUBLIN 00000568  001.2 OF 002

    Classified By: Charge Robert J. Faucher; Reasons 1.4 (B) and (D).

     -------
    Summary
    -------

    ¶1.  (C) EUR/WE Office Director Pamela Spratlen reviewed the
    Northern Ireland peace process with senior Irish government
    officials in the Department of Foreign Affairs, the
    Department of Justice, Equality and Law Reform, and the
    Office of the Taoiseach (Prime Minister), October 7-8.  Each
    government official voiced the opinion that the current
    stalemate in Northern Ireland over the devolution of policing
    and justice is likely to be resolved eventually, though it
    will take time.  In the meantime, they counsel patience by
    all parties and suggest that the U.S. continue to employ
    measures that have worked well in the past: wise counsel
    (e.g., through the Special Envoy), program support (e.g., the
    May 2008 investment conference), and access to the U.S. and
    its leaders (e.g., participation in St. Patrick's Day events
    at the White House).  End summary.

    ¶2.  (C) Spratlen discussed the Northern Ireland peace process
    with Rory Montgomery, Political Director, Department of
    Foreign Affairs, Sean Aylward, Secretary General, Department
    of Justice, Equality and Law Reform, and Maire Flanagan,
    Assistant Principal Officer, Northern Ireland Division,
    Office of the Taoiseach (Prime Minister).  The Irish
    Government believes a fundamental change has occurred in
    Northern Ireland and there will be no going back to the
    violence of the Troubles, according to Montgomery.  However,
    he said, there continues to be an underlying inability of
    political leaders in the North, as well as many citizens
    there, to overcome the emotional baggage and lack of trust
    wrought by 30 years of conflict, especially since Sinn Fein
    and the DUP represent factions of Northern Ireland's society
    that were formerly among the most partisan and violent.
    While Sinn Fein seems to have brought the republican
    community along with them into the peace process, Montgomery
    sees the unionists as more fragmented and thinks that current
    unionist leader Peter Robinson is finding it difficult to
    firmly grasp his leadership mantle.  Robinson is constantly
    looking over his shoulder at his political competitors in
    Montgomery's view.

    ¶3.  (C) Montgomery was confident that the devolution of
    policing and justice, the current crisis of the moment, would
    be resolved eventually, though not until well into 2009.  In
    the meantime, he said, the Irish Government would continue to
    impress upon Sinn Fein the need to be patient and not provoke
    the unionist community.  At the same time, Montgomery said,
    the Irish would continue to insist that unionist leaders
    educate their constituents and better prepare them for full
    power sharing with Sinn Fein in the Northern Ireland
    Assembly.  In many respects, said Montgomery (who has
    unionist relatives in the North), the fundamentals for peace
    are firmly in place and unionist communities are changing
    their views of political, economic, and cultural cooperation
    with Sinn Fein faster than their politicians.  He noted,
    however, that people in the North are becoming increasingly
    disenchanted with the Northern Ireland Assembly, which they
    see as not delivering on its promises over the past 17
    months.  In the meantime, he said, dissident republican
    activity is worrisome.

    ¶4.  (C) Montgomery said that a U.S. withdrawal from the
    process at this point would be premature.  He stated that
    there is still an important role for the U.S. as an honest
    broker who is willing to talk with, and encourage, the
    political leaders of the North.

    ¶5.  (C) Describing the Northern Ireland administration as a
    "daily miracle," Aylward noted how remarkable it was that the
    two former deadly foes were able to come together to form a
    government in May 2007, the current "stasis" in governance in
    the North notwithstanding.  He described DUP leader Peter
    Robinson as lacking the clout of former leader Ian Paisley in
    being able to bring disparate elements of the unionist
    community together, characterizing Robinson as a man who is
    trying to get up the nerve to jump in the face of small
    groups of hardline unionist "bigots," who are "difficult to
    cajole or persuade" and are just waiting for an excuse to try
    to drag Robinson down.  Aylward predicted that the issue of
    devolution of policing and justice would be resolved in due
    course, though it might take a long time.  In the interim, he
    said, patience would be required, adding that there was no
    button the U.S. ) or the Irish - could press to speed up the
    process.

    ¶6.  (C) Flanagan expressed appreciation for the U.S. role in
    the Northern Ireland peace process and also counseled

    DUBLIN 00000568  002.2 OF 002

    patience in dealing with the current stalemate in relations
    between Sinn Fein and the DUP.  She noted that the DUP is not
    yet prepared to discuss the devolution of policing and
    justice, Sinn Fein's sine qua non, within the executive
    committee, while Sinn Fein refuses to participate in an
    executive committee meeting until the devolution of policing
    and justice is on the agenda.

    ---------------------------
    How the U.S. Can Contribute
    ---------------------------

    ¶7.  (C) In addition to exercising patience, our contacts
    urged that the U.S. continue to employ measures that have
    worked well in the past: wise counsel (e.g., through the
    Special Envoy), program support (e.g., the May 2008
    investment conference), and access to the U.S. and its
    leaders (e.g., participation in St. Patrick's Day events at
    the White House and continued issuance of visa waivers to
    Sinn Fein leaders who would otherwise be ineligible to travel
    to the U.S.).

    ¶8.  (U) This report has been cleared by EUR/WE Director
    Pamela Spratlen.
    FAUCHER

`