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### Viewing cable 08BRASILIA540, BRAZIL "MONITORS" ZIMBABWE ELECTIONS

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08BRASILIA540 | 2008-04-23 12:03 | 2011-07-11 00:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Brasilia

`

    VZCZCXRO5603
    RR RUEHRG
    DE RUEHBR #0540/01 1141203
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    R 231203Z APR 08
    FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1483
    INFO RUEHSB/AMEMBASSY HARARE 0039
    RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 7942
    RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO 6052
    RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 1923

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BRASILIA 000540

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/23/2018
    TAGS: BR PHUM PREL AF
    SUBJECT: BRAZIL "MONITORS" ZIMBABWE ELECTIONS

    REF: A. BRASILIA 00064
         ¶B. BRASILIA 00057

    Classified By: Deputy Chief of Mission Phillip Chicola for reasons
    1.4 b and d

    Summary
    -------
    ¶1. (SBU) Summary:  Brazil's surprising decision to
    participate in monitoring Zimbabwe's elections was not what
    it initially appeared.  Although Brazil was among those
    countries invited to serve as an observer, it was the
    participation of a federal deputy as an observer on behalf of
    an NGO that forced Brazil's Ministry of External Relations
    (MRE) into an observer role.  Although the Brazilian deputy
    was critical of the process, the Brazilian Ambassador
    uncharacteristically made several comments in the media.  He
    criticized Zimbabwe's opposition for declaring an early
    victory and described Zimbabwe's elections as "exemplary."
    In the end, MRE says that it never had an official delegation
    engaged in election monitoring.  But the incident showed that
    Brazil's increasing global engagement will make it more
    difficult to maintain a low-profile on controversial issues.
    For now, MRE appears determined to follow its usual course on
    such controversial matters by making as few waves as possible
    and maintaining a friendly relationship with the Zimbabwean
    Government.  End Summary.

    Drawn Into the Fray
    -------------------
    ¶2. (SBU) Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe's administration
    offered countries that have never voted against it in
    international fora or otherwise criticized it to participate
    in "election monitoring."  Among those invited were
    Venezuela, China, Iran, and Russia.  MRE, which generally
    avoids placing itself in situations that might require taking
    a controversial stance against another country, had its hand
    forced in this case by Brazilian Federal Deputy Antonio
    Carlos Pannunzio (PSDB -- Brazilian Social Democracy Party,
    Sao Paulo State), who agreed to monitor the elections on
    behalf of an NGO.  This forced Brazilian Ambassador to Harare
    Raul de Taunay to observe along with the deputy.  Pannunzio
    left the elections early, criticizing the process, leaving
    Taunay alone to assess the situation, but Taunay
    uncharacteristically made several public comments, reported
    in the media, in which he criticized Zimbabwe's opposition
    for declaring an early victory and described Zimbabwe's
    elections process as "exemplary."  Taunay heads one of
    Brazil's growing number of single officer posts in Africa,
    part of MRE's South-South diplomatic efforts to gain African
    support for its international ambitions.

    A Difference of Opinion
    -----------------------
    ¶3.  (SBU) Poloff met with Deputy Pannunzio in his office on
    April 2 to discuss his thoughts on the election.  Pannunzio
    explained that he was not asked to observe the elections at
    the behest of the GOB, but received an urgent invitation from
    the NGO Lawyers for Human Rights.  He said that, from his
    perspective on the ground, the elections were well monitored
    by a variety of international observers and the election
    stations were in order; however, he stressed that he was not
    naive enough to think that his brief stint in Harare
    constituted real "election observation."  His assessment from
    his brief time there is that there is an incredible desire
    for change, especially with the infrastructure in chaos and
    no respect for human rights.  He also noted that the delay
    (at the time only a few days) was unacceptable and "worrying"
    for him.  He said that the results were known by officials
    soon after voting closed.  Ambassador Taunay provided him all
    of his logistical support during his visit, he said, but did
    not work with Taunay in the role of observer.

    ¶4. (C) In discussions with Poloff, MRE was on the defensive
    with regard to the Ambassador Taunay's comments.  Taunay said
    that he did not see any problems in the early delay of
    releasing the results, saying that "according to the
    electoral calendar, the announcement of results was foreseen
    as occurring between March 30 and April 1.  Therefore, it is
    within the parameters.  Delays are normal.  Here it's not
    like a Swiss timepiece."  He also said that the opposition
    was premature in celebrating its victory as it did during the
    last election; he said that only a fraction of the results
    had been evaluated when they made their announcement.
    Regarding press reports implying that MRE was willing to
    cover up election irregularities to gain support for Brazil's
    goal of obtaining a UN Security Council seat with African
    Union support, MRE Africa II Division's Camila Silva Leao
    d'Araujo Olsen stressed that not all countries are in as
    advanced stages of democracy as others, by and handed Poloff

    BRASILIA 00000540  002 OF 002

    an op-ed from an MRE official rejecting the accusation.
    There were other observers, including Uruguay and South
    Africa (a careful choice of the more credible), and the EU
    and US Ambassadors were also accredited to observe at the
    time the elections.  When Poloff mentioned that the USG was
    not invited to send an official observer delegation to the
    election process overall, she revealed that the GOB actually
    had never taken up the Zimbabwean offer to send a delegation
    to monitor elections.  She said that MRE passed the
    invitation around within the government, but that no one was
    willing to act as an observer.

    Comment
    -------
    ¶5. (SBU) Comment:  Although it appeared Brazil might at last
    be taking a more assertive position with regard to democracy
    than it traditionally has (ref B), that truth is that the GOB
    responded to the offer to act as an observer to Zimbabwe's
    election in a much more typical way.  Brazil's presence in
    Zimbabwe is itself part of a broader development.  The GOB is
    pushing its South-South strategy with a strong focus on
    Africa (ref A), largely with an eye to Brazil's effort to
    gain support for high-level positions in international fora,
    in particular the UNSC seat.  By the end of this year, Brazil
    will have doubled its presence in Africa to 34 embassies
    since the beginning of President Lula's first term in 2003.
    However, Harare is one of Brazil's Ambassador-only posts, and
    Taunay's statements, made after serving over a year there,
    may be an indication that coordination between such posts and
    Brasilia is proving difficult.  Moreover, in Brasilia, the
    entire African continent is currently covered by just ten
    officers, some of whom are in the midst of preparations to go
    overseas themselves.  As Brazil becomes more recognized as a
    global player, it will undoubtedly become more difficult to
    keep a low profile and avoid taking a position on challenging
    issues.  For now, MRE appears determined to follow its usual
    course on such controversial matters by making as few waves
    as possible and maintaining a friendly relationship with the
    Zimbabwean Government.  End Comment.
    SOBEL

`