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### Viewing cable 06MANAGUA430, DANIELISTAS RIG COURT RULING TO FACILITATE

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MANAGUA430 | 2006-02-24 21:11 | 2011-06-01 08:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Managua

Appears in these articles:
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758456.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758467.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758468.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758464.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4103/la-embusa-y-el-gabinete-de-ortega
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4104/d-rsquo-escoto-en-onu-ldquo-un-desafio-de-ortega-a-ee-uu-rdquo
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4102/estrada-y-la-ldquo-doble-cara-rdquo-ante-ee-uu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3966/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-ee-uu-en-el-2006
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2758764.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2758753.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4041/millones-de-dolares-sin-control-y-a-discrecion
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4040/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-venezuela-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4047/rodrigo-barreto-enviado-de-ldquo-vacaciones-rdquo
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2757239.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2746658.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2757244.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2746673.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3991/dra-yadira-centeno-desmiente-cable-diplomatico-eeuu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3968/pellas-pronostico-a-eeuu-victoria-de-ortega-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3967/barreto-era-ldquo-fuente-confiable-rdquo-para-eeuu

`

    VZCZCXYZ0023
    PP RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHMU #0430/01 0552111
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 242111Z FEB 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MANAGUA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5386
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
    RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 0548
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L MANAGUA 000430

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR WHA/CEN

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/24/2016
    TAGS: KDEM NU PGOV PINR PREL KCOR
    SUBJECT: DANIELISTAS RIG COURT RULING TO FACILITATE
    ELECTORAL COMMISSION COUP

    REF: A) MANAGUA 0304 B) MANAGUA 0281 C) 2005 MANAGUA
         3118

    Classified By: Ambassador Paul A. Trivelli. Reasons 1.4 (B,D).

    ¶1.  (C) Summary:  Embassy is encouraging non-Sandinista
    (FSLN) parties to protest recent Supreme Electoral Council
    (CSE) and the Supreme Court's constitutional chamber
    decisions enabling CSE president Roberto Rivas to replace two
    of the CSE's PLC magistrates with the substitutes of his
    choice, thereby consolidating the FSLN's dominance over the
    electoral body.  OAS technical advisers are refraining from a
    statement at this time, noting the OAS COM Gustavo Fernandez
    enjoys the mandate to do this, but are welcoming written
    complaints.  Liberal Constitutional Party (PLC), Camino
    Cristiano, APRE, and Herty Alliance militants have held a
    joint press conference announcing they will submit to the
    National Assembly a new law interpreting certain Electoral
    Law articles.  For political reasons, Eduardo Montealegre's
    ALN-PC caucus may present its own statement and support the
    draft law.  The Movimiento por Nicaragua (MpN) has joined the
    public outcry, accusing the Sandinistas of seeking total
    hegemony over the CSE.  This crisis is one of the first of
    many we can expect to surface over the next ten months and is
    likely part of the Sandinista strategy to upset and confuse
    the electoral process and distract the National Assembly for
    more substantive endeavors.  End Summary.

    ¶2.  (C) Embassy is encouraging non-FSLN parties to protest
    recent Supreme Electoral Council (CSE) and the Supreme
    Court's constitutional chamber decisions enabling CSE
    president Roberto Rivas to replace two of the CSE's PLC
    magistrates with the substitutes of his choice, thereby
    consolidating the FSLN's dominance over the electoral body.
    On February 21, DCM and polcouns urged Jose Antonio Alvarado,
    who is affiliated with the Alianza por la Republica (APRE)
    party, to protest these CSE/court machinations; Alvarado and
    APRE President Miguel Lopez Baldizon have both publicly done
    so.  Polcouns broached the matter with Eduardo
    Montealegre/ALN-PC supporter Vilma Rosa Leon-York the same
    day.  While agreeing that this is yet another Sandinista
    maneuver, she noted that the fact the court ruling also
    legitimizes the ALN-PC's party name change and emblem changes
    makes it difficult for the party to challenge this court
    ruling (a FSLN tactic to discourage Montealegre from
    protesting).

    ¶3.  (C) On February 22, polcouns talked with Assembly Deputy,
    Reverend Guillermo Osorno (Camino Cristiano), who reported
    that all non-Sandinista parties would convene February 23 at
    10 AM to agree on a joint position and announce it at a press
    conference following the meeting.  Osorno shared that Orlando
    Tardencilla's (Herty Lewites supporter) National Assembly
    substitute, Oscar Carrion, is the drafter of the joint
    position.  Osorno explained that the group intends to file an
    appeal (recurso de amparo) with the Appellate court
    questioning the legality of the ruling (the PLC has already
    filed its own recurso de amparo).   He was responsive to
    Polcouns' suggestion that their group send the joint
    statement to the OAS for its consideration.  According to
    Osorno, while there is some debate over the legality of the
    designation of CSE substitutes, there is no doubt that the
    Supreme Court's constitutional division violated the law by
    deliberately excluding PLC constitutional chamber justices
    from its deliberations whi
    le including an external judge to rule in favor of Rivas.

    ¶4.  (SBU) Polcouns later talked to Oscar Carrion, who
    asserted the following:

    --Article 6 of the Electoral Law allows each magistrate to
    designate his/her substitute to represent him/her as needed.
    This authority is not/not accorded to the CSE president.
    Contrary to what OAS lawyers believe, Carrion said Article 12
    of the Electoral law does not accord Rivas this authority.

    --The constitutional chamber's use of external justices is in
    violation of the law.

    --While the CSE was pressured to reinstate Electoral Law
    articles 41 and 116, it has modified article 41 to limit a
    voter's ability to vote.  Voters who appear on a list that
    notes they have requested to change their voting station
    (JRV) will not/not be allowed to vote elsewhere.

    ¶5.  (SBU)  Later the same day, DCM talked with Patricio

    Gajardo, who reiterated the OAS is not in position to insert
    itself at this moment, partially because COM Gustavo
    Fernandez is away until next week and is the only one
    authorized to speak for the OAS team.  Further, they have not
    received any official complaint or request to intervene on
    the part of the PLC and other parties.  Gajardo pointed out
    that the PLC erred by allowing CSE president Rivas to appoint
    the substitutes because it permitted him to corral the five
    votes necessary to re-elect himself and Lang.  The OAS team
    is now examining all related legal/constitutional issues, and
    will specifically scrutinize the question of whether, if the
    CSJ decision is overturned, such a revocation nullifies
    decisions made by the stacked CSE (it probably will).
    (Comment: Embassy believes that it would be helpful to have
    USOAS urge Biehl, Fernandez, et al, to engage on this issue
    once they have the Carrion position paper and legal analysis
    in hand to expose the
    manipulation and one-party control of the CSE.)

    ¶6.  (C) As expected, representatives from the PLC, Camino
    Cristiano, APRE, and the Herty Alliance convened on February
    23 and held a joint press conference.  Carrion informed
    polcouns that the group did not issue a joint written
    statement, but they did make the following points:

    --The parties/caucuses will draft and submit to the National
    Assembly secretary next week a new law interpreting Electoral
    Law Article 6 regarding the substitution of CSE magistrates
    (Carrion faxed us a draft copy on February 24);

    --Parties represented in the meeting will participate in the
    Atlantic Coast election but under protest;

    --They invite two representatives from Eduardo Montealegre's
    caucus/alliance to future meetings; and,

    --Next week they will submit letters to the OAS, embassies,
    and other entities with their common position.

    Where Does Montealegre Stand?
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶7.  (C) Carrion claimed that Montealegre adviser Eliseo Nunez
    had declined to participate in previous meeting; however,
    Carrion asserted he heard from other Montealegre supporters
    that this absence does not represent Montealegre's opinion.
    Carrion shared that he later approached ALN-PC caucus chair
    Maria Eugenia Sequeira, who he said agreed to "consider" the
    invitation.  Following this conversation, polcouns contacted
    Sequeira, who clarified that personally she will not
    participate in any effort that is clearly dominated by
    Arnoldo Aleman and the PLC/PC.  "The PLC and Aleman are the
    ones that are most responsible for this disaster.  If it
    weren't for the (Aleman-Ortega) pact, this wouldn't have
    happened," exclaimed Sequeira.  Today the Aleman is battling
    Ortega; tomorrow they will renew their pact, she claimed.

    ¶8.  (C) Sequeira did not discard the possibility that other
    ALN-PC representatives might participate in the joint effort.
     However, she believes the ALN-PC is more likely to issue its
    own statement, while supporting the draft law when it is
    presented to the Assembly.  Too close an association with the
    PLC at this time could ruin Montealegre's image and send the
    wrong message to his supporters, explained Sequeira.
    Montealegre confirmed to DCM the evening of February 23 that
    he would make it clear in a television appearance the
    following morning that he and the ALN-PC were against the
    FLSN power-play and blatant partisan manipulation of the CSE.
     In a February 24 press conference, Montealegre rejected the
    court/CSE machinations, called on all CSE magistrates to get
    back to work, sign an OAS-witnessed agreement to maintain
    quorum through the electoral period, and make CSE sessions
    public.

    The Movimiento Joins the Voices of Protest
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶9.  (U) In a widely televised February 23 press conference,
    the Movimiento por Nicaragua (MpN), joined the public outcry.
     MpN member Rosa Maria Zelaya (ex-Sandinista, former CSE
    magistrate) called for the resignation of the CSE board,
    noting the magistrates have lost all legitimacy.  MpN
    affiliate/reformed Sandinista, Carlos Tunnerman  asserted
    that the Atlantic Coast election will be seriously flawed and
    the November election is in serious danger.  These latest
    maneuvers have allowed Daniel Ortega to assume total control

    of the electoral body and are a result of the nefarious
    Ortega-Aleman pact, warned Tunnerman.  The MpN also issued
    its own statement, rejecting the CSE's conduct and
    organization vis a vis the Atlantic Coast elections and
    rejecting the Constitutional Chamber's ruling and Rivas'
    appointment of CSE substitutes in a manner violating the
    Electoral Law.

    Comment
    - - - -

    ¶10.  (C) This crisis is one of the first of many we can
    expect to surface over the next ten months and is likely part
    of the Sandinista strategy to upset and confuse the electoral
    process and distract the National Assembly from more
    substantive pursuits.  Ironically, the FSLN's clearly devious
    antics could foster rapprochement among Nicaragua's divided
    democratic forces who are now confronting a common adversary,
    Ortega.  Embassy will continue to encourage Montealegre and
    his supporters to participate in this effort.
    TRIVELLI

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