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### Viewing cable 06BRATISLAVA501, SLOVAK GOV'T AIMS TO REPURCHASE TRANSPETROL

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06BRATISLAVA501 | 2006-06-21 16:00 | 2011-06-26 00:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Bratislava
Appears in these articles: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/05/16/114269/wikileaks-cables-show-oil-a-major.html

`

    VZCZCXRO6385
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
    DE RUEHSL #0501/01 1721600
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 211600Z JUN 06
    FM AMEMBASSY BRATISLAVA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9980
    INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BRATISLAVA 000501

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/21/2016
    TAGS: ENRG ECON EPET PREL PGOV LO RS
    SUBJECT: SLOVAK GOV'T AIMS TO REPURCHASE TRANSPETROL
    PIPELINE

    REF: A. BRATISLAVA 494

         ¶B. VALLEE/PEKALA EMAILS
         ¶C. WARSAW 1167
         ¶D. VILNIUS 512

    Classified By: Ambassador Rodolphe M. Vallee for Reasons 1.4 (B) and (D
    )

    ¶1. (C) Summary - The Slovak government is negotiating with
    Yukos to re-purchase the 49 percent stake in the oil pipeline
    that was originally sold to Yukos in 2002.  Economic Minister
    Jirko Malcharek, who has the lead in the negotiations, is
    attempting to finalize an agreement before the current
    government's mandate ends in the coming days or weeks.
    Although the Russian oil company Russneft had an agreement
    with Yukos Finance to buy the 49 percent stake in February
    for USD 103 million, Slovakia maintains veto authority over
    any deal for the Yukos stake, and has used this power to stop
    the pending sale to Russneft.  In addition to the Russians,
    who remain interested in the Transpetrol stake despite the
    recent rejection, Polish oil company PKN Orlen and a possible
    consortium or U.S. equity investors are also pursuing a deal.
    A non-Russian investor would be more inclined to utilize the
    pipeline's full capacity through a connection to the
    Odessa-Brody pipeline and Caspian light crude. End Summary.

    ---------------------------------
    TRANSPETROL IS STILL UP FOR GRABS
    ---------------------------------

    ¶2. (C) Yukos Board Chairman Viktor Gerashchenko announced two
    weeks ago that the company had failed to sell its 49 percent
    stake, which includes management control, of the Slovak oil
    pipeline firm Transpetrol to Russian oil firm Russneft.
    Yukos Finance, a Yukos subsidiary that is based in the
    Netherlands, had originally purchased the 49 percent stake
    for USD 74 million in 2002.  Russneft reached an agreement in
    February with Yukos Finance to buy the stake for USD 103
    million.  The Slovak Anti-Monopoly Office approved the sale
    to Russneft on May 19. The Slovak government, led by the
    Ministry of Economy, maintains veto authority over any sale
    of the Yukos stake until April 2007 and has not yet approved
    the Russneft deal.

    ¶3. (C)  The Transpetrol pipeline system is a part of the
    Druzba pipeline and runs 515 km from the Ukrainian border in
    the east to the Czech Republic in the west.  The pipeline has
    branches to the Slovnaft refinery in Bratislava and
    refineries in the Czech Republic, as well as a connection to
    the Adria pipeline system running south through Hungary into
    Croatia.  The pipeline currently has a throughput capacity of
    20 million metric tons per year (Mta), but has historically
    been operating at less than half of this amount,
    approximately 10.7 million Mta of heavy crude from western
    Siberia.  In 2005, 5.57 million Mta went to the Bratislava
    Slovnaft refinery owned by the Hungarian energy company MOL,
    and 5.04 million Mta went to Czech refineries (4.26 million
    Mta went to Ceska Rafinerska).  This output would increase by
    another 2 million Mta if a planned Bratislava-Schwechat
    extension to an OMV refinery in Austria were to become
    operational.  (Note: Environmental issues and Yukos problems
    have put this project on hold for the time being.)

    ¶4. (C) According to an article in the daily SME on June 16,
    Russian Ambassador to Slovakia Alexander Udalcov said that
    Russia remains interested in Yukos' stake and Russian
    companies were not out of the running for the deal. It is
    widely believed that under Russian control all of the oil
    traveling the pipeline would continue to be heavy crude from
    western Siberia. A non-Russian investor, on the other hand,
    would be more inclined to diversify to other sources.  The
    main proposal involves connecting the Odessa-Brody-Druzhba
    route to transit Caspian light-crude oil through Ukraine's
    Odessa-Brody oil pipeline and along the southwestern branch
    of the Druzhba pipeline for delivery to refineries in the
    Czech Republic, and eventually Austria and southern Germany.
    While this would require a significant investment to upgrade
    Transpetrol's transit capacity from 20 to 28 Mta, it could
    result in additional transit volumes of more than 17 Mta
    through the Transpetrol pipeline system.

    --------------------------------------------- -------------
    LAME DUCK MINISTER CONTINUES TO PURSUE A DEAL FOR SLOVAKIA
    --------------------------------------------- -------------

    ¶5. (C) Minister of Economy Jirko Malcharek has taken the GOS
    lead in negotiations with Yukos.  According to his top
    advisor and MOE spokesman, Robert Beno, Malcharek's top
    priority in his remaining days in office is to cancel the
    deal with Russneft so that the Slovak government can
    repurchase the Yukos stake in Transpetrol.  (Note:
    Malcharek's political party, Nadej or "Hope", did not meet
    the five percent threshold in last Saturday's parliamentary
    elections and will therefore not be a part of the next
    government.)  100 percent GOS ownership of Transpetrol would
    not only allow Slovakia to diversify supply, but it would
    also help towards meeting the EU goal of having at least 90
    days of reserves.  One expert told us that the oil in the
    pipeline alone could be counted as 10 to 15 days of reserve
    supply.  Transpetrol also owns several back up tanks that
    could be used for this purpose, and would save the government
    from having to build additional storage facilities.  In
    Slovak Crowns the price of the 49 percent stake is actually
    less today (approx. SKK 3 billion) than the GOS sold it for
    in 2002 (approx. SKK 3.5 billion) due to exchange rate
    differences.

    ¶6. (C) According to an article in the June 21 SME newspaper,
    Malcharek met last Thursday (6/15) with Yukos Finance CEO
    Steven Theede to discuss the potential re-purchase of the 49
    percent Transpetrol stake by the Slovak Government.
    Malcharek said that Slovakia needed to act quickly because
    the Russian courts will decide on the Yukos bankruptcy in
    mid-July.  (Note: Yukos chief Stephen Theede has argued that
    since the Transpetrol stake is held by Netherlands-based
    Yukos Finance it is not subject to the bankruptcy proceedings
    in Moscow.  This is the same entity that recently sold
    Lithuania's Mazeikiu Nafta oil refinery to PKN Orlen, as
    outlined in Reftel D.)  The SME article also quotes Malcharek
    as saying that he is not sure that Yukos has actually
    canceled its deal with Russneft despite the recent statements
    by Yukos' Board Chairman.

    ¶7. (C) Malcharek cannot finalize arrangements with Yukos on
    his own and would eventually need the support of the
    governmentto approve any deal.  We heard before the June 17
    election from sources in the Prime Minister's office that the
    current government could take a final decision on the
    Transpetrol sale during the interim period between the
    election and formation of a new government, especially if it
    appeared that the Prime Minister's SDKU party would not be a
    part of the next government (See Reftel A for the latest
    political developments).  SDKU feels it should at least
    consider finalizing deals of "strategic importance" to
    Slovakia before turning over the reigns to a possible
    Smer-led government.  Robert Kalinak, the vice-chair for the
    leading opposition party and top vote-getter Smer, told us
    last week that he did not expect Malcharek to take a decision
    in his final days on the job.  Kalinak noted that Smer would
    prefer that the GOS buy back the shares from Yukos, which is
    ultimately the same goal that Malcharek says he is pursuing.
    Malcharek acknowledges in the SME article that although he
    would like to reach an agreement with Yukos in the coming
    weeks, ultimately the next government would finalize the deal
    over the coming months.

    --------------------------------------------- ---------
    MORE THAN JUST THE SLOVAKS AND RUSSIANS ARE INTERESTED
    --------------------------------------------- ---------

    ¶8. (C) In addition to Russian and GOS interest in the
    Transpetrol stake, Polish oil company PKN Orlen is reportedly
    pursuing a deal for Transpetrol (Reftel B).  In 2005 PKN
    Orlen acquired a 63 percent stake in Unipetrol, the biggest
    refinery and chemical company in the Czech Republic which
    receives two-thirds of the Transpetrol throughput.  The
    chairman of the board at the Bratislava-based refinery
    Slovnaft, Marian Jusko, told us that a Polish bid could be
    politically problematic.  Anything that makes PKN Orlen more
    competitive in the neighboring Czech Republic would likely
    face significant opposition in both Slovakia and Hungary.
    Slovnaft is owned by the Hungarian oil company MOL and
    supplies 70 percent of the Slovak market directly or
    indirectly.  Over the last year Russneft has become a major
    supplier to Slovnaft, and Russians are rumored to have close
    ties with the MOL leadership.  MOL's influence over the deal
    would be strengthened if SMK, the Hungarian party, were a
    part of the next government.

    ¶9. (C) A U.S. company, GlobalNet Financial Solutions, has
    recently contacted us regarding their interest in putting
    together a consortium of U.S. private equity investors to
    make a bid for the Transpetrol stake.  GlobalNet's Managing
    Director in Ukraine, Geoff Berlin, has been working on
    projects related to the Odessa-Brody pipeline for several
    years.  Berlin had not yet presented its proposal to either
    the GOS or to Yukos when we spoke with them last week.  A
    lack of ties to specific suppliers and refineries, if that is
    indeed the case, could be one advantage that GlobalNet brings
    to the table.

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶10. (C) Ambassador is scheduled to meet with Malcharek on
    Friday (6/23) and will have a chance to hear his plans
    firsthand.  With the exception of the Prime Minister, MOE has
    kept other GOS ministries in the dark on their intentions.
    This seems a bit strange since a GOS repurchase of the
    Transpetrol stake has widespread political support (except
    for SMK) and increases the options for diversification of oil
    resources for Slovakia and the region. Such an acquisition by
    the GOS - which is not directly connected to competing
    refineries or suppliers - would be consistent with U.S.
    energy security goals in the region. End Comment.
    VALLEE

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