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### Viewing cable 05PORTAUPRINCE1537, Haiti elections update - June 2

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
05PORTAUPRINCE1537 | 2005-06-03 14:13 | 2011-07-14 18:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Port Au Prince
Appears in these articles: http://www.haiti-liberte.com/archives/volume4-52/La%20nomination%20de%20Gousse.asp http://www.haiti-liberte.com/archives/volume4-52/Bernard%20Gousse.asp

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 PORT AU PRINCE 001537

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE

    SOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM KPAO HA
    SUBJECT: Haiti elections update - June 2

    Ref:  State 101620

    ¶1. (U) Summary:  Voter registration continues to lag, but
    MINUSTAH and OAS are making a big push to get a
    significantly increased number of registration centers up
    and running within the next 7-10 days, and believe they are
    still on track for a successful registration program.  The
    CEP's website is functioning and the OAS will begin informal
    email updates on registration numbers in the coming days.
    The CEP is hoping to finalize a slightly revised elections
    calendar (extending the registration period by 9 days); the
    IGOH will need to publish it as a decree, along with the
    decree needed to formalize the voter registration card as a
    national identity card.  A publicity campaign in support of
    registration has finally been launched, and USAID and PD are
    supporting it with their programming.  Political parties
    continue to prepare for elections, with one new Presidential
    candidate announced.  End summary.

    ¶2. (U) For the first time in several weeks, the donor group
    on elections met with nearly the entire CEP May 31 and
    received updates on several key elections issues.
    PolCounselor and USAID elections coordinator met
    subsequently with MINUSTAH and OAS elections officials June
    ¶1.  Updates on several key issues including from those
    discussions follow below, as well as on a few elections-
    related events.

    Registration process
    --------------------

    ¶3. (U)  This remains a source of great concern to us, and
    took up much of the three-hour donors meeting.  As of June
    1, only 17 registration sites (of 424 planned) have been
    opened, and slightly over 80,000 voters have been registered
    nationally.  Where centers are open, the registration
    process has gone smoothly and by all accounts voters are
    showing significant interest in registering.  The problem is
    the serious shortage of open registration centers.  OAS
    elections chief Spehar and MINUSTAH elections chief
    LeChevallier outlined a series of steps to be taken in the
    coming days to address this.  First, OAS has already
    increased the capacity of the open sites to accelerate
    registration there, and has begun sending out close to
    thirty mobile registration teams in different parts of the
    country.  More importantly, they are working to get more
    centers open, focusing on both privately owned buildings,
    churches, schools, and public facilities.

    ¶4.  (SBU) LeChevallier told us that the CEP has within the
    last week finalized contracts with private property owners
    for approximately 100 new sites around the country.  UNOPS
    has been working to refurbish them (several are finished
    already) and within the next 7-10 days the sites will be
    turned over to OAS, which will install the necessary
    equipment and personnel and begin operations.  Separately,
    MINUSTAH has been pressuring the Prime Minister to put at
    the CEP's disposal more government facilities, e.g. mayor's
    offices, to use as registration sites.  LeChevallier told us
    June 1 that he was confident that at least half of the
    planned 424 registration centers would be up and running by
    June 15, and the remaining sites by June 30.

    ¶5. (U) Spehar noted that registration capacity would
    increase gradually over the month of June, and thought that
    they could reach 250,000-300,000 by the end of the month. At
    maximum capacity, which the OAS/CEP would reach once all the
    centers are open, they can register 60,000-70,000 persons
    per day.  Even if this maximum capacity were not reached
    until July 1, this would still leave 40 days (until August
    9, the revised date for closing registration - see below),
    meaning they could realistically reach 3 million registered
    voters out of the 4.4 million estimated.  This was still
    less than desirable, but both she and LeChevallier firmly
    stated that this was a reasonable target.

    ¶6. (SBU) Comment: The UN, OAS, and CEP appear to finally be seized with the needed urgency and are focusing intently on getting registration sites open. This has been helped by the pressure brought to bear by the international community since mid-May and by the Prime Minister's recent engagement with the CEP (he has had several meetings with the CEP, MINUSTAH, and OAS together). We remain concerned that even a best-case scenario (rare here) leaves us well short of full registration. At the moment, many CEP members, as well as LeChevallier and Spehar, are looking carefully at the possibility of moving back the local elections date by a week or two in order to accommodate a longer registration period. This would require a revision to the electoral law, however.

    Information flow
    ----------------

    ¶7.  (U) PolCounselor asked Spehar for more frequent
    information updates on the number of voters registered,
    centers opened, etc., noting the intense interest in
    Washington in remaining as up to date as possible on the
    overall elections process.  Spehar said the OAS was
    consciously letting the CEP itself be out in front on
    information dissemination, as part of the effort to make the
    CEP the principal entity responsible for the elections.  She
    said the CEP website (http://www.cep-ht.org/statistic.html)
    is being updated weekly (usually on Fridays) with
    registration statistics, but agreed to provide more frequent
    information updates to Embassy personnel and other
    interested persons, including in Washington.  (Note: The
    CEP's website includes a section on registration, with
    information on number of registered voters and breakdowns by
    department, age, and other factors.  We will provide Spehar
    with email addresses of members of the sub-PCC on Democracy
    to enable Washington readers to receive unofficial twice-
    weekly updates.  Those should start early next week.

    Elections calendar
    ---------------------

    ¶8. (U) CEP member Duchemin told donors that the CEP intended
    to finalize an electoral calendar by Friday June 3 which
    would be submitted to the government for publication as a
    decree.  Although he (and other CEP members) frankly
    acknowledged it would be a challenge to hold to the original
    timetable, he stressed that no decisions had been taken to
    change the calendar.  For the CEP, the most important date
    was the installation of a new President by February 7, 2006.
    Currently, the CEP was considering the following calendar:

    Aug 9 - registration ends (an extension of the original plan
    to end July 31).  Candidate registration officially opens.

    Aug 16 - finalize voter lists, both global and by electoral
    district.

    Aug 26 --  Candidate registration closes.

    Sep 9 --  Period for appealing and resolving candidate
    registration disputes ends.

    Sep 12 - final candidate lists published and sent to ballot
    printing.  Campaign begins.

    Oct 9 - local elections held.

    Nov 13 - first round of parliamentary and presidential
    elections held.

    Dec 18 --  second round of parliamentary and presidential
    elections held.

    Civic education
    ---------------

    ¶9. (U) The public information campaign in support of
    registration finally began in earnest May 22.  We have been
    hearing frequent radio spots over the last ten days, urging
    Haitians to register.  The campaign is being directed by the
    Haitian PR consortium MEDIACOM-CHP-PROCOM, which won a
    contract overseen by MINUSTAH in mid-May.  The contract
    calls for a total of nearly 15,000 radio spots per month,
    distributed among approximately 100 public and private radio
    stations in the capital and in several provincial capital.
    Absent from the MINUSTAH briefing on this was any
    description of the content of the spots, but from what we
    have heard they are straightforward exhortations to
    register.  A separate element of the campaign is the
    diffusion of small, well-produced Creole-language brochures
    outlining the advantages for citizens of having a voter
    registration/national identify card and showing how the
    registration process works.

    ¶10. (U) Note:  USAID and PD are coordinating with MINUSTAH
    and the CEP to implement a public communications strategy in
    support of the electoral process, drawing on FY 05 ESF and
    PD funds.

    Budget
    ------

    ¶11. (U) LeChevallier distributed an up-to-date budget
    document showing expenditures to date and confirming the
    anticipated budget shortfall of $22,456,156.  (Budget
    document has been forwarded to WHA/CAR.)  PolCounselor took
    advantage of the opportunity to announce to other donors and
    the CEP that the U.S. had decided to contribute an
    additional $8 million to help cover the shortfall.  $2.8
    million of that was immediately available and would be
    provided directly to the OAS to help cover the registration
    portion of the shortage; the remaining $5.2 million would
    come available later in the summer and would be provided to
    the UNDP-managed elections fund.  PolCounselor also noted we
    would make an appeal to other donors in capitals to help
    fill the gap (reftel).

    Legal framework still lacking
    -----------------------------

    ¶12. (SBU)  The IGOH still needs to issue two decrees of
    critical importance to the process.  The first is the
    official electoral timetable, a proposal for which as noted
    above the CEP has said it will submit by June 3.  The second
    is a decree establishing the voter registration card as an
    official identify card for the full range of state services
    and purposes.  Although there is widespread consensus in
    favor of this, and in fact the voter registration campaign
    is already touting the broader benefits to registering,
    technically the card has no legality until the IGOH adopts
    the decree.  LeChevallier complained June 1 that the draft
    decree, which was submitted by the CEP (ghostwritten by
    MINUSTAH) several weeks ago, has been held up in the Council
    of Ministers by Justice Minister Gousse, who has been
    insisting on what LeChevallier called "unhelpful changes."
    LeChevallier also noted he remains concerned about several
    problematic clauses in the basic electoral degree concerning
    the electoral dispute appeals process and other issues.

    International observers
    -----------------------

    ¶13. (U) Donors briefly discussed and agreed to follow up at
    their next meeting the question of establishing a
    coordination mechanism for the many international observers
    likely to come for the elections themselves.  Informally,
    some of our colleagues have suggested that the EU might be
    appropriate to serve in a "lead nation" role as coordinator,
    especially since, given their involvement in organizing the
    elections, the UN and OAS would have an apparent conflict of
    interest.  The Canadian embassy distributed copies of the
    assessment mission for international observers conducted in
    April by David Lee and Andre Bouchard.  Lee and Bouchard
    suggest the possibility of creating an ad hoc international
    consortium to coordinate observers who would likely come
    from several donor and troop-contributing countries,
    CARICOM, the African Union, the EU, and the Organization of
    Francophonie.

    Women's group hosts political parties
    -------------------------------------

    ¶14. (U) A local women's organization, Famn Yo La, hosted a
    three-day seminar for political parties May 30-June 1 in
    Port-au-Prince.  The seminar was funded by Post's public
    diplomacy section and the UN women's rights organ UNIFEM and
    was well attended by most major political parties in Port-au-
    Prince.  Leaders and other representatives from twenty-five
    parties, including among others KID, MODEREH, MIDH, Fanmi
    Lavalas, and FRN, presented their party's ideology and
    addressed the importance of women's participation in the
    political process.

    Another Presidential candidate
    ------------------------------

    ¶15. (U) The conservative coalition Grand Front Centre Droit
    (Great Center-Right Front) held its national conference in
    Petit-Goave on May 29 and officially nominated party leader
    Hubert Deronceray as presidential candidate. Deronceray
    (sometimes spelled De Ronceray) is a strong supporter of re-
    establishing the Haitian army, and a vocal critic of
    Lavalas.

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