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### Viewing cable 08BEIRUT490, LEBANON: JUMBLATT CONCERNED ABOUT UNIIIC DELAYS,

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08BEIRUT490 | 2008-04-08 15:59 | 2011-07-21 00:00 | SECRET | Embassy Beirut

Appears in these articles:
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16545
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16461
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16545
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16546
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16605
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16606
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16703
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16793
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16794
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16636
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16635
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17148
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17149
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17150
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17152
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17155
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17156
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17157
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17158
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17159
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17160
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17161
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17163
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17164
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17165
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17166
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17167
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17169
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17170
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/17171
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16723
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16635
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16636
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16637
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16638
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16639
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16640
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16641
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16642
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16643
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16644
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/16645

`

    VZCZCXRO6543
    OO RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHKUK RUEHROV
    DE RUEHLB #0490/01 0991559
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    O 081559Z APR 08
    FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1479
    INFO RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHROV/AMEMBASSY VATICAN PRIORITY 1149
    RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
    RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 2120
    RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO PRIORITY 2389
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 04 BEIRUT 000490

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR NEA/FO, NEA/ELA, NEA/IPA, PRM/FO, AND PM/FO
    NSC FOR ABRAMS/SINGH/YERGER
    TREASURY FOR U/S LEVEY
    DEPT PASS TO EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/07/2018
    TAGS: PGOV PREL PTER PARM PINR KPAL MASS SY IS LE
    SUBJECT: LEBANON:  JUMBLATT CONCERNED ABOUT UNIIIC DELAYS,
    SUNNI MILITIAS, AND HIZBALLAH FIBER OPTIC NETWORK

    REF: A. BEIRUT 480

         ¶B. BEIRUT 479
         ¶C. BEIRUT 392
         ¶D. BEIRUT 391

    BEIRUT 00000490  001.2 OF 004

    Classified By: CDA Michele J. Sison for reasons
    section 1.4 (b) and (d).

    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1. (S) Druze leader Walid Jumblatt expressed concerns about
    information he had received that former UNIIIC Commissioner
    Serge Brammertz failed to act for the past year-and-a-half to
    act on a key lead discovered by Internal Security Forces
    Intelligence Officer Wissam Eid, who was assassinated one
    week after he discussed the lead with Brammertz' replacement,
    Daniel Bellemare.  Jumblatt also was concerned about reports
    that Saad Hariri's Future Movement was training Sunni
    militias in Beirut and Tripoli.  Finally, Jumblatt wondered
    why PM Siniora was not reacting to Telecom Minister Hamadeh's
    recent report on Hizballah's fiber optic network in Lebanon.

    ¶2. (C) Jumblatt applauded the March 14's Secretariat's
    efforts to unite the coalition (while criticizing March 14
    leaders for saying different things publicly), called
    Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) Commander Michel Sleiman's
    announcement of early retirement "stupid," and said the
    Patriarch was now favoring a "mini" cabinet.  Jumblatt
    objected to Speaker Berri's apparent attempts to be received
    by the French National Assembly, and agreed on the need for
    March 14 to develop better relationships with independent
    Shia.  End summary.

    ¶3. (C) Charge Sison, accompanied by Pol/Econ Chief, met with
    Druze leader Walid Jumblatt at his home in Clemenceau on
    April 8.  Jumblatt was pleased to hear from the Charge that
    March 14 leader Saad Hariri would return to Lebanon before
    the April 17-18 visit of NEA A/S Welch.  He agreed that
    Saad's prolonged absence was "not good," especially if it was
    for purely business reasons, and that the jokes circulating
    about Saad abiding by the Saudi warning to its citizens to
    leave Lebanon were a "bad sign."

    ¶4. (C) Jumblatt acknowledged that the current visit of PM
    Siniora to Saudi Arabia, where he would join Saad in a
    meeting with King Abdullah, was a positive development.
    However, he noted, the Saudis had yet to follow through with
    their promised $1 billion deposit for Lebanon's Central Bank,
    he noted, which indicated they were "not serious."

    UNIIIC SAT ON INFORMATION?
    --------------------------

    ¶5. (S) Jumblatt revealed what he deemed a "very serious blow"
    to the UN Commission investigating the assassination of
    former PM Rafiq Hariri and others.  According to information
    he received from Internal Security Forces (ISF) Intelligence
    Director Wissam Hassan the previous evening, Wissam Eid, who
    worked for Hassan and was assassinated January 25, had
    discovered a year and a half ago a link between Abd al-Majid
    Qasim Ghamlush and a network of 17 other cell phone numbers.
    Former UNIIIC Commissioner Brammertz reportedly did not act
    upon this information.

    ¶6. (S) In January 2008, however, after Daniel Bellemare took
    over as Commissioner, Eid met with Bellemare, and was killed
    one week later.  (Note:  UNIIIC contacts have confirmed to us
    that Eid had met with Bellemare exactly one week prior to his
    death.  End note.)  The assassination of Hizballah leader
    Imad Mougnieh followed two weeks later, leading Jumblatt to
    believe there was a link between Ramloush and Mougnieh,
    "assuming Ramloush was still alive."

    ¶7. (C) The one and a half year delay was a bad sign, Jumblatt
    continued, suggesting that UNIIIC's case, so far, is weak.
    Bellemare's request for a six-month extension of UNIIIC's
    mandate confirms this.  But as time goes on, more suspects
    will disappear and more assassinations will occur, Jumblatt
    warned.

    SUNNI MILITIA PROBLEM
    ---------------------

    ¶8. (S) The second issue Jumblatt raised was Saad's reported
    training of Sunni militias in Lebanon (allegedly 15,000
    members in Beirut and more in Tripoli).  In establishing his
    own "security agencies" in Beirut and Tripoli, Saad was being
    badly advised by "some people," Jumblatt said, such as ISF
    General Ashraf Rifi.  In his meeting with Jumblatt, Hassan
    admitted having knowledge that members of Saad's Future
    Movement were being trained.  Hassan reportedly opposed such
    training, but "people around Saad" (i.e., Rifi) were telling
    him to go ahead.  (Note:  The Jordanians have refused to
    train Internal Security Forces (ISF) members hand-picked and
    vetted by the Embassy to participate in a DA/ATA-funded
    Terrorism Crime Scene Investigation program, reportedly
    because they don't want to be involved in training "Saad's
    militia."  End note.) Jumblatt said Saad's militia would
    cause significant damage to March 14, especially because
    Geagea's Lebanese Forces and Suleiman Franjieh's Marada were
    in line to train their own forces.

    ¶9. (C) Meanwhile, the LAF has lost its morale after the
    January 27 clash with Shia protesters.  Jumblatt also decried
    the casualties inflicted on innocent civilians every time
    celebratory -- and illegal -- gunshots are fired following a
    major political speech.

    HIZBALLAH'S FIBER
    OPTIC NETWORK
    -----------------

    ¶10. (C) Jumblatt's last agenda item was the recent report on
    Hizballah's (illegal) fiber optics network in Lebanon.
    According to fellow Druze and Telecom Minister Marwan
    Hamadeh, under whose auspices the report had been prepared,
    the report had not yet officially been presented to PM
    Siniora, because the "security apparatus" was hesitating to
    make it official.  Jumblatt said that LAF G-2 Intelligence
    Director George Khoury and ISF General Rifi were talking
    about coordinating the report with Hizballah security chief
    Wafiq Safa, who reportedly warned that any action taken
    against the network would be considered an "act of war."
    Jumblatt provided Charge with a copy of the map indicating
    the location of the network.

    ¶11. (C) Jumblatt expressed perplexity at Siniora's failure to
    push on the report.  (Note:  LAF Commander Sleiman asked the
    same question in his conversation last week with the Charge.
    End Note.)  Defense Minister Elias Murr reportedly was
    blaming Khoury for the delay.

    NEXT STEPS FOR MARCH 14
    -----------------------

    ¶12. (C) Jumblatt complained that March 14 (in part due to
    Saad's absence) did not yet have a unified position on
    cabinet expansion, nor on how to respond to Speaker Berri's
    call for a new National Dialogue.  Pulling out a power point
    presentation prepared by the March 14 Secretariat, he
    confirmed, however, that the Secretariat was consulting with
    March 14 leaders on the way forward.  One of the
    Secretariat's ideas was to hold an international conference

    SIPDIS
    for Lebanon, though it was not clear how, where, or who would
    host such a conference.  He agreed with the Charge that March
    14 needed to be proactive, especially to combat the "Lebanon
    fatigue" that was spreading not only in the international
    community, but also in his hometown Chouf region, where the
    people he met with were fed up with the situation.

    MICHEL SLEIMAN'S
    STATEMENT "STUPID"
    ------------------

    ¶13. (C) Never one to mince words, Jumblatt called Lebanese
    Armed Forces (LAF) Commander Michel Sleiman's recent
    announcement that he planned to retire August 21, three
    months before the end of his commission, "stupid."  Jumblatt
    interpreted the announcement as a warning to both the
    majority and opposition to hurry up with the election.  It's
    as if he's asking us to beg him to stay, Jumblatt said,
    adding, "He's a nice guy, but not too bright."  He called the
    As-Safir newspaper editor who had interviewed Sleiman "a bad
    egg."

    PATRIARCH FOR MINI-CABINET?
    ---------------------------

    ¶14. (C) Noting that Druze MP Wael Abu Four had met with
    Patriarch Sfeir the previous day, Jumblatt commented that a
    lot of people "close to the Syrians" were seeing him lately.
    The Patriarch reportedly was "nervous" about pro-Syrian
    Marada leader Suleiman Franjieh (who has made several
    outrageous public statements against the Patriarch in recent
    months) and was demanding an apology.  Sfeir knows that Free
    Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun was behind the attacks,
    Jumblatt said, hence Bishop Matar's recent efforts to
    reconcile Aoun with the Patriarch.

    ¶15. (C) On the ongoing political crisis, the Patriarch
    reportedly favored a "mini" transitional cabinet (NFI).
    Jumblatt had not heard, as some of other contacts have
    claimed recently, that the Patriarch was beginning to accept
    the idea of a simple majority election.

    BERRI TO BE RECEIVED
    BY FRENCH PARLIAMENT?
    ---------------------

    ¶16. (C) Jumblatt also had heard that Speaker Berri was trying
    to get an audience with the French National Assembly during
    his upcoming trip to Paris.  Can you imagine how bad this
    would look, he asked rhetorically, if they receive the
    Lebanese Speaker who has kept parliament closed for 17
    months?  French CDA Andre Parant told Charge Sison April 5
    that, to the best of his knowledge, no invitation was
    forthcoming from either the Assemblee Nationale or the French
    government.

    REACHING OUT TO SHIA
    --------------------

    ¶17. (C) The Charge, noting that some independent Shia were
    frustrated with their lack of access to March 14 leaders,
    especially Saad Hariri, asked what March 14 was doing to
    develop this relationship.  Jumblatt said Saad had received
    money from the Saudis for cultivating both Sunnis and Shia,
    which he was distributing through Future MPs Okab Saqr and
    Bassem Saba'.  He agreed with the Charge, however, that it
    was not possible to "buy" Shia support and that more effort
    was needed.  He encouraged the Charge to talk directly to
    Saad about it or to Saudi Ambassador Khoja, and said he would
    do the same.  Some Shia might prefer to deal directly with
    the Saudis, he explained.  But they also need to have their
    own independent identity, he added.

    ¶18. (C) As for his own Shia contacts, Jumblatt, noting that
    he was having lunch with Ibrahim Shamsaddine later that day,
    said he also dealt with the Mufti of Tyre, Sayyed Ali
    al-Amin, whom he labeled "acceptable."  He also cited Riad
    Assad and Youssef Khalil as other good Shia interlocutors,
    though he dismissed former Ambassador Khalil al-Khalil,
    recalling his "special militias with the Israelis" during
    Lebanon's civil war.

    ¶19. (C) Note:  Shemsaddine, son of Higher Shia Council leader
    Mohammad Mehdi Shemsaddine, is frequently mentioned as a
    possible Shia minister in an expanded Siniora cabinet.
    Ambassador al-Khalil was one of the few Shia who attended the
    recent March 14 convention, as well as a March 13 dinner
    hosted by the Charge for independent Shia (Refs C and B).
    Al-Khalil's distant cousin Youssef, who also attended the
    Charge's dinner, is a close Embassy contact who has a
    reputation as an impressive and well-respected Central Bank
    official.  Riad Assad also is a well-known and respected
    contact and a rival of Ahmad Assad, who earned a scant 700
    votes compared to Riad's 55,000 in the 2005 parliamentary
    elections.  End note.

    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶20. (C) Jumblatt was in reasonably good spirits during this
    meeting.  With the political situation still at an impasse
    and Saad's extended (more than six weeks by our calendar)
    stay abroad, Jumblatt's focus was clearly on intelligence
    matters.  His concerns about Sunni militias are
    understandable, given that in the past such militias were
    used against his own Druze forces.

    ¶21. (C) Though he applauded March 14's efforts to unify the
    coalition, he offered little insights into his own views on
    next steps.  In the past he has shied away from talk of a
    simple majority president based on the belief that March 14
    did not have sufficient international (especially U.S.)
    support to go this route.  For the time being it seems he,
    like many in Lebanon, are waiting for the next big event;
    while we hope that March 14's efforts and those of Saad and
    Siniora in Saudi Arabia -- or even Berri's current Arab trip
    -- will lead to a breakthrough, we share Jumblatt's concerns
    that more assassinations, reports of militia build-ups, and
    illegal networks will be the reality on the ground instead.
    End comment.
    SISON

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