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### Viewing cable 07BRASILIA564, BRAZIL: POLITICAL ROUNDUP

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07BRASILIA564 | 2007-03-30 18:23 | 2011-07-11 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Brasilia

`

    VZCZCXRO0650
    RR RUEHRG
    DE RUEHBR #0564/01 0891823
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 301823Z MAR 07
    FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8537
    INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 6019
    RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 4680
    RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 6818
    RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 6159
    RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 6437
    RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO 4114
    RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 9515
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRASILIA 000564

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV EAIR BR
    SUBJECT: BRAZIL: POLITICAL ROUNDUP

    REF: A. BRASILIA 457
         ¶B. BRASILIA 501
         ¶C. BRASILIA 555
         ¶D. BRASILIA 485

    -------------------------------
    Cabinet Shuffle Appears Complete
    --------------------------------

    ¶1.  (SBU)  President Lula has apparently wound up his cabinet
    shuffle after four rounds of swearing-ins, on March 12, 16,
    23 and 29 (refs a, b and c).  The new cabinet aims to satisfy
    all parties in his coalition, although the Brazilian
    Socialist Party was left with, in its view, inadequate
    representation.  Lula may create a Secretariat of Ports, to
    be headed by the former Transportation Minister, Pedro Pritto
    (PSB).  The new head of presidential communications is a
    former underground guerrilla fighter who participated in the
    1969 kidnapping of the U.S. Ambassador to Brazil, Charles
    Elbrick.  The Defense Minister, widely expected to be on his
    way out because of a persistent commercial air traffic
    crisis, stays, at least for now.  Further cabinet shuffle
    details are reported septel and reftels.

    ¶2.  (SBU)  The coalition faithful are mainly satisfied with
    the results.  Federal Deputy Wilson Santiago (PMDB, Paraiba)
    the immediate past leader of the PMDB in the Chamber, is
    typical.  He told poloff on March 27 that he approved of the
    cabinet shuffle, "Above all for of its 'political
    accommodation.'"  He also said the shuffle brought competency
    in the health and justice ministries.  But opposition Federal
    Deputy Fernando Coruja, the Chamber leader of the Socialist
    People's Party (PPS), from Santa Catarina, told poloff on
    March 27 that the new cabinet is "weak, and Lula will be weak
    throughout his second term."  Senator Jarbas Vasconcelos
    (PMDB, Pernambuco) went further.  Speaking from a prepared
    text on March 29 in the Senate plenary, Jarbas said "the
    ministerial reform seems to have turned into only a means to
    meet the voracity of the coalition to the detriment of a
    technical profile more in tune with the country's needs."  He
    also criticized the appointment of Tarso Genro as Justice
    Minister, noting that the appointment of a PT leader to
    oversee the Federal Police now makes all Federal Police
    actions politically suspect.

    --------------------------------------------- ----------------
    Electoral Court Rules Against Party Switching After Elections
    --------------------------------------------- ----------------

    ¶3.  (SBU)  The Superior Electoral Court ruled on March 27
    that elective offices belong to the parties, not the
    individual.  With this ruling it is expected that the seats
    of politicians who switch after taking office may be declared
    vacant and assigned to the alternate ("suplente").  Suplente
    are usually of the same party as the party of the principal
    ("titular") holder of the seat at the time of the election.
    Large parties are celebrating the decision, especially the
    Liberal Front Party (PFL), which filed a case before the TSE
    that brought the decision.  Poloff spoke this week with a
    number of federal deputies from large parties, including the
    Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB), the PFL and the
    PSDB, and they welcomed the decision.

    ¶4.  (SBU)  The party that stands to lose from the decision is
    the mid-sized, non-ideological Party of the Republic (PR).
    The PR has been raiding other parties in the Chamber of
    Deputies and has wooed 15 deputies (from 25 to 40) into its
    ranks since Congress took office in February 1.

    ¶5.  (SBU)  The losing parties have mainly been in the
    opposition camp: the Socialist People's party (PPS) elected
    22 deputies last October, had 17 by February 1, and now has
    only 14.  The PFL and Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)
    elected 65 and 66 deputies respectively but now each have
    only 58.  Party switching had an impact in the Senate as
    well, where the PMDB surpassed the PFL to become the largest
    party between election day and now.

    ¶6.  (SBU)  Federal Deputy Carlos Cadoca (PMDB-Pernambuco) and
    Federal Deputy Alceni Guerra (PFL, Parana) told poloff in
    separate conversations on March 28 and 29 that they
    understood the decision to be an interpretation of existing
    law, rather than a new ruling, and therefore can be applied

    BRASILIA 00000564  002 OF 002

    retroactively.  Guerra added that it was rare for the Supreme
    Court to overturn a decision of the Superior Electoral Court.

    -----------------------
    PFL Becomes "Democrats"
    -----------------------

    ¶7.  (SBU)  The Liberal Front Party (PFL) jettisoned its name
    and took on a new identity as the Democrats ("DEM" in
    Brazilian political shorthand).  In a national convention in
    Brasilia on March 28, party members elected Federal Deputy
    Rodrigo Maia, age 36, as the new president.  He is the son of
    Cesar Maia, the mayor of Rio de Janeiro.  Federal Deputy Jose
    Carlos Aleluia (DEM-Bahia), told poloff over lunch on March
    20 that the party wanted to project a new image, with young
    leaders and a deliberate identification with the U.S.
    Democratic Party, although there is no official connection
    and many in the PFL had always maintained contacts with the
    U.S. Republican Party.  He said the party needed to move away
    from association with the military dictatorship and its aging
    leaders, such as outgoing PFL president Jorge Bornhausen, age
    69, Senator Antonio Carlos Magalhaes, age 79, and Senator
    Marco Maciel, age 66.  (Note: The connection with the
    military regime comes from the PFL's origins in factions of
    other, now defunct, parties that supported the military
    regime.  End note.)  Aleluia said his party still has a
    serious problem because it has a dearth of good candidates,
    and he has always believed that parties need, above all, good
    candidates.

    --------------------------------------------- -----------------
    Supreme Court Gives Green Light for Air Traffic Crisis Inquiry
    --------------------------------------------- -----------------

    ¶8.  (SBU)  A Supreme Court judge ruled that the Congress may
    go ahead with a committee of inquiry ("CPI") into the air
    traffic crisis (ref d).  In a decision that was interpreted
    differently by government and opposition politicians, Judge
    Celso de Mello ruled in favor of opposition forces who want a
    court intervention to override the Chamber plenary's decision
    last week not to establish an inquiry.  Still, the Surpreme
    Court plenary must consider Mello's opinion, and could
    disagree.  For now, the opposition is celebrating, while the
    government side says they await the Court's final decision.
    Even before Mello's ruling, though, Federal Deputy Fernando
    Coruja (PPS-Santa Catarina), told poloff on March 27 that he
    had no doubt the CPI would be established one way or another,
    whether in the Chamber after a Court ruling, or in the
    Senate, or even as a joint committee of inquiry.  He said the
    CPI will reveal improper loans for campaign financing, and
    irregularities in Infraero, the state entity that runs
    airports.  Deputy Nilson Mourao (PT, Acre) told poloff on
    March 27 that "CPIs are not what they appear to be; once
    established, they expand their scope."  He said the
    government's objection to the CPI is that all CPIs become
    political fishing expeditions.  For this reason, he said, any
    investigation into the air traffic crisis must be conducted
    differently.

    Chicola

`