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### Viewing cable 06MANAGUA85, CIRCUS ENDS AS ASSEMBLY ELECTS CONSENSUS BOARD ON

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MANAGUA85 | 2006-01-18 00:17 | 2011-06-01 08:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Managua

Appears in these articles:
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758456.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758467.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758468.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758464.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4103/la-embusa-y-el-gabinete-de-ortega
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4104/d-rsquo-escoto-en-onu-ldquo-un-desafio-de-ortega-a-ee-uu-rdquo
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4102/estrada-y-la-ldquo-doble-cara-rdquo-ante-ee-uu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3966/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-ee-uu-en-el-2006
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2758764.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2758753.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4041/millones-de-dolares-sin-control-y-a-discrecion
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4040/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-venezuela-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4047/rodrigo-barreto-enviado-de-ldquo-vacaciones-rdquo
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2757239.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2746658.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2757244.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2746673.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3991/dra-yadira-centeno-desmiente-cable-diplomatico-eeuu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3968/pellas-pronostico-a-eeuu-victoria-de-ortega-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3967/barreto-era-ldquo-fuente-confiable-rdquo-para-eeuu

`

    VZCZCXRO3945
    OO RUEHLMC
    DE RUEHMU #0085/01 0180017
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    O 180017Z JAN 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MANAGUA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4912
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 MANAGUA 000085

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR WHA/CEN

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/17/2016
    TAGS: KDEM NU PGOV PINR PREL KCOR
    SUBJECT: CIRCUS ENDS AS ASSEMBLY ELECTS CONSENSUS BOARD ON
    SEVENTH ATTEMPT

    REF: MANAGUA 00050

    Classified By: Ambassador Paul A. Trivelli. Reasons 1.4 (B,D).

    ¶1. (C) Summary: On its seventh attempt, the National Assembly
    unanimously elected a consensus board of directors (Junta).
    The Junta selected lawmaker Eduardo Gomez (APRE) as
    president.  Two Sandinista (FSLN) deputies; two Liberal
    Constitutional Party (PLC) lawmakers; and one deputy each
    from the Camino Cristiano and Alternativa Cristiana complete
    the new Junta.  Noticeably absent from the board is
    representation from Eduardo Montealegre's ALN-PC caucus.
    Eduardo Gomez Lopez appears to have little political backbone
    and he may allow the PLC and FSLN to maintain their dominance
    over the Assembly Junta.  Deputies from the minor caucuses
    are also weak or prone to influence, while the FSLN and PLC
    have kept their first-stringers from last year's cutthroat
    Assembly.  Montealegre's decision to remove his caucus from
    the  ruckus over the Junta election may have been his best
    option.  If his caucus had associated with the FSLN in
    selecting the Junta it may have prompted some potential
    voters to question his allegi
    ance to Liberalism, while Montealegre's associating with the
    PLC would cause him to lose credibility with independent
    voters who seek leadership independent from Nicaragua's PLC
    and FSLN caudillos.  Remaining outside of the Assembly's
    inner circle in an election year will also enable
    Montealegre's caucus to focus on the electoral process.  End
    Summary.

    A Consensus Vote at Last
    - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶2. (U) After postponing the vote on the Assembly's new board
    of directors (Junta) six times, on January 17, Assembly
    deputies voted 91 to 0 for consensus candidate Eduardo Gomez
    (former member of the Liberal Constitutional Party -PLC --
    and currently associated with President Bolanos-affiliated
    party Alianza por La Republica - APRE -- to lead the Junta.
    The Junta also voted unanimously for Sandinista (FSLN) deputy
    Rene Nunez; Camino Cristiano lawmaker Reverend Guillermo
    Osorno as second VP; and Alternativa Cristiana deputy Orlando
    Tardencilla - who supports FSLN dissident Herty Lewites - as
    third VP.  PLC deputy Maria Auxiliadora Aleman (PLC) was
    reelected Junta first secretary, while PLC deputy Eduardo
    Mena and FSLN lawmaker Jose Figueroa were elected second and
    third secretary, respectively.

    A Saga of False Starts and Setbacks
    - - -   - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶3. (SBU) An update (Reftel) chronology of the twisted and
    prolonged saga continues:

    --On January 11, the National Assembly failed for the second
    time to vote for its new board of directors (Junta), at first
    postponing the vote until Friday, January 13.  The morning of
    January 11, Eduardo Montealegre's ALN-PC caucus claimed it
    had 46 votes (7 ALN-PC votes, 38 FSLN votes, plus independent
    Jaime Morales).

    --Meanwhile, Miguel Lopez Baldizon's APRE asserted it had 45
    votes (2 APRE, 40 PLC, 2 Camino Cristiano, and 1 of Alianza
    Herty (Lewites) 2006.  Then, according to Embassy contacts,
    President Bolanos met with Cardinal Obando, Daniel Ortega,
    and representatives of the ALN-PC to break the impasse.  PLC
    deputy Maximino Rodriguez told us that APRE deputy Eduardo
    Gomez (Chinandega department) and Camino Cristiano deputy
    Delia Arellano will provide the 46th and 47th votes required
    to elect the new ALN-PC/FSLN brokered Junta, possibly with
    ALN-PC deputy Augusto Valle, or former PLC/now ANL-PC deputy
    Alfonso Ortega Urbina as president.

    --Veiled and not so subtle references to Eduardo
    Montealegre's willingness to reach consensus with the FSLN
    over the composition of the Assembly Junta were abundant,
    especially from APRE leader Miguel Lopez Baldizon, who saw
    his hopes to chair the Assembly dashed by President Bolanos'
    and Montealegre's refusal to support his candidacy.

    --News reports later on 11 January asserted that the PLC
    might compromise and join the ALN-PC/FSLN initiative if the
    PLC (possibly Eduardo Mena and Maria Auxiliadora Aleman) were
    to be accorded two key Junta positions.  Unable again to get
    the required quorum to open the Assembly session, Jose
    Castillo Osorio, president of the National Assembly's

    MANAGUA 00000085  002 OF 003

    temporary board of directors (Junta de Edad) announced that
    the Assembly would reconvene on January 12 to vote on the new
    Junta.

    --Nonetheless, the impasse continued though January 12, as
    Assembly deputies and presidential candidates and their
    supporters traded accusations that their competitors were
    obstructive and politicizing the process to the detriment of
    the Assembly and the nation.  Osejo postponed the session to
    Friday, January 13.

    --On the evening of the January 12, President Bolanos, Daniel
    Ortega, and Eduardo Montealegre informed the media that they
    had found a "consensus candidate in APRE deputy Eduardo Gomez
    (formerly PLC).

    --By the afternoon of Friday 13, the National Assembly's
    diverse caucuses appeared to have reached consensus on a
    compromise candidate for the Junta presidency.  However,
    deliberations over the remaining Junta positions continued.
    The PLC, APRE, and the Camino Cristiano boycotted Rene
    Nunez's candidacy, this time for the vice presidency.  APRE
    leader Miquel Lopez was adamant to the press on January 16,
    reasoning that because the FSLN boycotted their candidate
    (Enrique Quinonez), he would veto Nunez.

    --On January 16 the vote was once more postponed and
    rescheduled for January 17. PLC deputy Maximino Rodriguez
    called polcouns to advise that perhaps the PLC would accept a
    Sandinista for the first vice president -- Edwin Castro or
    Wallmaro Gutierrez would be preferable to Rene Nunez --
    although he preferred Camino Cristiano deputy Delia Arellano
    for the position.

    Of "Pigsties and Troglodytes"
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶4. (U) Verbal insults and jabs on the Assembly floor were
    sharper than usual during the prolonged debate over the
    selection of the National Assembly's new Junta.  Among the
    gems:

    --PLC Deputy Roberto Sanchez lambasted the ALN-PC deputies
    for abandoning the PLC and "for having no feelings for
    Arnoldo (Aleman)" and physically shoved ALN-PC deputy Maria
    Eugenia Sequeira.

    --Independent Jaime Morales Carazo: Referring to PLC deputy
    Roberto Sanchez's verbal assault on former PLC deputy Alfonso
    Ortega Urbina's desertion to Montealegre's ALN-PC caucus,
    Morales called Sanchez a "cavemen, troglodyte."  He lamented
    that "sometimes (in the Assembly) we see pigs performing
    tricks."  At a later date, Morales warned that the "rodents
    would not get any cheese," referring to Eduardo Montealegre
    who is often depicted as Mickey Mouse.

    --PLC deputy Enrique Quinonez (referring to Gerardo Miranda's
    short-lived, reportedly feigned desertion of the Sandinista
    party): "The truth is, only God, Ortega, la Chayo (Ortega's
    wife Rosario Murillo), and Lenin Cerna know what happened."

    --On January 15, Father Bismarck Conde of the Managua
    Cathedral termed the Assembly a "Tower of Babel," criticizing
    Assembly deputies for their selfishness at the expense of
    peace in Nicaragua.

    The Meddling Game, Nicas Surprised U.S. not Brokering Junta
    - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - -

    ¶5. (SBU) On January 11, Arnoldo Aleman's daughter Maria
    Dolores Aleman accused the U.S. Embassy of threatening to
    revoke the visas of at least five PLC deputies if they did
    not desert the PLC.  According to the January 12 edition of
    El Nuevo Diario (END), Miriam Fonseca, Jorge Torres,
    Guillermo Montenegro, Roberto Sanchez and Leonel Panting were
    among the allegedly threatened lawmakers.  To the contrary,
    in El Nuevo Diario's January 16 edition, former Assembly
    president Luis Humberto Guzman (Christian Democratic Union)
    praised the U.S. Embassy's maintaining a discrete distance
    from the Junta selection process.

    ¶6. (C) Comment: Some PLC deputies, although not the ones that
    END mentions, have called embassy officials over the past
    week to seek our intervention in the Junta selection process.
     We have declined, reiterating that this is a Nicaraguan
    affair and that we have no candidates.  Rather, we are

    MANAGUA 00000085  003 OF 003

    encouraging deputies to elect a board that represents the
    Assembly's political diversity and one that will get down to
    the task of legislating for the good of the country.  Maria
    Dolores Aleman's accusations suggest that the PLC is getting
    increasingly desperate over the possibility of desertion of
    some of its deputies to the ALN-PC caucus.  End Comment.

    Montealegre's Caucus the "Odd Man Out"
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - -

    ¶7. (SBU) Noticeably absent from the board is representation
    from Eduardo Montealegre's ALN-PC caucus.  Alianza Liberal
    Nicaraguense-Partido Conservador (ALN-PC) deputy Jose
    Matamoros asserted that his caucus had decided to end the
    Junta selection impasse by withdrawing its candidate and
    supporting a consensus option.  In fact, Montealegre's camp
    probably calculated that the political risks and costs of
    being embroiled in the National Assembly Junta with the FSLN
    and/or the PLC in an election year were not worth the
    potential gains in legislative control.  However, the initial
    assessment in the media was that Montealegre's was the losing
    caucus in the process.

    Comment
    - - - -

    ¶8. (C) According to some Embassy sources, Eduardo Gomez Lopez
    has little political backbone and he may allow the PLC and
    FSLN to maintain their dominance over the Assembly Junta.
    Deputies from the minor caucuses are also weak or prone to
    influence, including Reverend Guillermo Osorno, nicknamed
    Reverendo Soborno ("bribe"), whose voting record suggests he
    swings in the direction of the highest bidder.  Montealegre's
    ultimate decision to remove his caucus from the ruckus over
    the Junta election may have been his best option; if his
    caucus had associated with the FSLN in selecting the Junta it
    may have prompted some potential voters to question his
    allegiance to Liberalism.  Many Liberal voters -- who are
    first and foremost anti-Sandinista -- may take their votes
    elsewhere on election day.  On the other hand, Montealegre's
    associating with the PLC could cause him to lose credibility
    with independent voters who seek leadership independent from
    Nicaragua's PLC and FSLN caudillos.  Remaining outside of the
    Assembly's inner circle in an election year will also enable
    Montealegre's caucus to focus on the electoral process.
    TRIVELLI

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