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### Viewing cable 07SAOPAULO504, EUROPE: G-8 SUMMIT, RUSSIA, CLIMATE CHANGE; WESTERN

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07SAOPAULO504 | 2007-06-11 17:39 | 2011-07-11 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Consulate Sao Paulo

`

    VZCZCXYZ0015
    OO RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHSO #0504 1621739
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    O 111739Z JUN 07
    FM AMCONSUL SAO PAULO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7080
    INFO RHEHNSC/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC IMMEDIATE
    RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 8190
    RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO PRIORITY 8132
    RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC 2798

` `

    UNCLAS SAO PAULO 000504

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    STATE INR/R/MR; IIP/R/MR; WHA/PD

    DEPT PASS USTR

    USDOC 4322/MAC/OLAC/JAFEE
    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: KMDR OPRC OIIP ETRD BR
    SUBJECT: EUROPE: G-8 SUMMIT, RUSSIA, CLIMATE CHANGE; WESTERN
    HEMISPHERE: VENEZUELA, CHAVEZ'S REGIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL
    INFLUENCE; SCO PAULO

    ¶1. "George and Vladimir"

    Liberal, largest national circulation daily Folha de S. Paulo (6/10)
    editorialized: "Vladimir Putin and George W. Bush did not solve
    their nations' differences at the G-8 Summit, but succeeded in
    moderating the tone of the rhetoric between Russia and the U.S.....
    Both know that part of Putin's rhetoric is aimed at the Russian
    voters. There will be elections for the Russian parliament in
    December and for president in March.... But not everything is
    electoral fireworks. There are, in addition to the missiles, major
    differences between the two nations. The problem in Kosovo involves
    a strong pan-Slavic appeal. The Russian government resents the poor
    reward it received for the support given to the U.S. following
    September 11, when it offered bases and intelligence services to
    defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan.  Anchored in its economic
    recovery resulting from higher oil prices, Russia wants to resume
    its role of a military power, and does not accept the role of a mere
    supporter of the West.... It is good news for a world that was
    complaining, rightly, about U.S. unilateralism."

    ¶2. "Climate Chess"

    An editorial in liberal, largest national circulation daily Folha de
    ¶S. Paulo (6/9) remarked: "At first glance, Angela Merkel was
    defeated at the G-8 Summit. The world's richer nations and Russia
    left the meeting without any commitment to the goal of reducing by
    half gas emissions causing the greenhouse effect by 2050, as the
    German prime minister wanted. From such a biased point of view,
    George W. Bush returns to the U.S. as winner.... This is an at least
    partial, if not equivocated, interpretation. To expect Bush to sign
    a declaration accepting the scientific authority of IPCC forecasts
    was something unthinkable a few weeks ago. One can consider timid
    the commitment of 'seriously considering the decisions made by the
    European Union, Canada and Japan, which include cutting at least by
    half the global emissions by 2050.' Certainly, it would be better
    for the world climate if instead of this vague objective the G-8
    adopted mandatory goals. On the other hand, there was fear that the
    U.S. was determined to empty the multilateral meeting on the
    climate. On May 31, Bush had proposed a parallel process with the
    participation of the 15 biggest polluters.... The change in the
    U.S.'s stubborn position may have been minimal, but happened.  As
    much or even more disappointing was the position adopted by the G-8
    and its five emerging invitees. All one can read in their joint
    declaration is an equally vague commitment of 'contributing with our
    just part to face climate change.' Such a goal will no longer be
    achieved without reducing emissions also in these five nations....
    To be more inclusive, not only G-8 supporters, but the five emerging
    nations will also need to take small steps. One by one, but
    immediately."

    ¶3. "A Dangerous Partner"

    The lead editorial in center-right influential, national circulation
    daily O Estado de S. Paulo (6/11) maintained: "Hugo Chvez's
    distemper has shown once again that it is necessary to think very
    carefully before authorizing Venezuela's membership in Mercosul. It
    is not retaliation, but Brazil must take into consideration its own
    interests and the consequences for Mercosul that the admission to
    the bloc of a partner with enormous potential to create problems
    will have.... The Lula administration may not have taken these
    motives into consideration, but an important portion of the business
    sector has a clear perception of the danger. Mercosul has an
    extremely modest record of bilateral and inter-regional trade
    agreements and it will have to resume important negotiations
    especially if the Doha Round fails.... A new negotiation with the
    U.S. will emerge at any moment.... However, it will be much more
    difficult to adopt more pragmatic policies for Mercosul if the bloc
    has to deal with Hugo Chvez's political ambitions, as well as with
    his view of the Hemisphere.  Mercosul already has excessive
    fractures, and Venezuela's inclusion will only increase its
    fragmentation....  Chvez showed once again that he does not respect
    or plan to respect partners. No one can doubt that he will always
    give less importance to commitments and common interests than to his
    ideological view and power ambitions. Incorporated to the bloc, he
    will be more of a hindrance to strengthening Mercosul as an actor in
    a globalized world and to Brazil's diplomatic action."
    McMullen

`