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### Viewing cable 06MANAGUA2484, IRREGULARITIES MAY INFLUENCE DISTRIBUTION OF

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MANAGUA2484 | 2006-11-09 19:38 | 2011-06-01 08:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Managua

Appears in these articles:
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758456.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758467.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758468.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758464.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4103/la-embusa-y-el-gabinete-de-ortega
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4104/d-rsquo-escoto-en-onu-ldquo-un-desafio-de-ortega-a-ee-uu-rdquo
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4102/estrada-y-la-ldquo-doble-cara-rdquo-ante-ee-uu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3966/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-ee-uu-en-el-2006
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2758764.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2758753.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4041/millones-de-dolares-sin-control-y-a-discrecion
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4040/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-venezuela-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4047/rodrigo-barreto-enviado-de-ldquo-vacaciones-rdquo
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2757239.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2746658.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2757244.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2746673.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3991/dra-yadira-centeno-desmiente-cable-diplomatico-eeuu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3968/pellas-pronostico-a-eeuu-victoria-de-ortega-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3967/barreto-era-ldquo-fuente-confiable-rdquo-para-eeuu

`

    VZCZCXRO5096
    PP RUEHLMC
    DE RUEHMU #2484/01 3131938
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 091938Z NOV 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MANAGUA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8173
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
    RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MANAGUA 002484

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR WHA/CEN, WHA/USOAS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PREL PGOV PINR KDEM NU
    SUBJECT: IRREGULARITIES MAY INFLUENCE DISTRIBUTION OF
    ASSEMBLY SEATS

    REF: A. MANAGUA 2466
         ¶B. MANAGUA 2459

    ¶1. (SBU) Summary: Although the November 5 national elections
    occurred without significant outbreaks of violence or major
    systemic irregularities, mission observers nevertheless noted
    anomalies that may have been of a magnitude sufficient to
    affect the outcome of the distribution of deputy positions in
    the National Assembly.  The limited training of poll watchers
    for the new parties and the Electoral Police corps, as well
    as the sporadic absences and inattentiveness of national
    observers, also contributed to an environment that PLC and
    FSLN officials were able to exploit to the advantage of their
    parties.  The deputy races in several departments are very
    close, and the loss or gain of one seat in the Assembly can
    strongly influence the balance of power between parties in
    this emerging multi-party scenario.  End Summary.

    Additional Anomalies Noted
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶2. (SBU) Ref B detailed several irregularities reported by
    Embassy observers on election day.  On November 7, our
    electoral volunteers gathered to discuss their experiences.
    The following points summarize additional observations
    regarding anomalies and the preparation of party poll
    watchers, Electoral Police, and national observers:

    - Voter Lists Difficult to Read: Observers noted that the
    voter lists posted outside of polling stations (JRVs) were
    not numbered and were often posted on doors (constantly
    opening and shutting) or high on walls, making the lists
    difficult to read.  The CSE trained several officials to help
    voters identify the correct JRVs, but not enough to cover all
    voting centers.

    - Selective Voiding of Ballots: Several observers noticed an
    apparently selective voiding of ballots by JRV officials that
    appeared to be biased against the ALN and MRS.  In some
    instances, officials "signed" ballots with initials instead
    of a full signature and then disqualified these ballots (all
    ALN and MRS) based on this "error."

    - Open FSLN Influence: In at least one instance, an observer
    road from her JRV with the ballots to the Municipal Electoral
    Council (CEM) headquarters in a Sandinista vehicle.  When she
    reached the CEM, she noticed a large gathering of Sandinistas
    with FSLN propaganda throwing a party at the CEM to celebrate
    their victory.  We received other reports of citizens
    soliciting (and receiving) voting documents at local FSLN
    campaign houses instead of the CEMs.

    - FSLN collusion with AC: Many contacts expressed concern
    that the "Alternative for Change" (AC) was just a fabrication
    to provide more FSLN supporters in the JRVs under a different
    party name.  Observers noted in some instances that the AC
    failed to register any votes, even with a fiscal from that
    party present in the JRV.  One AC fiscal told an observer
    that the name of the party is "Accion Cristiana."

    - ALN Fiscales Inexperienced: Ref B reported how experienced
    FSLN poll watchers (fiscales) were able to dominate decision
    making in their JRVs.  Conversely, observers commented that,
    while the ALN did have widespread coverage of the JRVs, ALN
    fiscales appeared young and inexperienced and often did not
    challenge clear cases of bias against their voters (such as
    those mentioned above).

    - Inconsistencies With ET Observation: Before the election,
    national observers Etica y Transparencia (ET) planned to
    cover 100 percent of the JRVs.  Our volunteers noticed that
    ET observers were absent in 25 to 30 percent of JRVs in some
    areas (though ET claims that most were in place before the
    JRV closings to record the vote totals).  Additionally, the
    quality of ET observers appeared to vary considerably -- some
    were watching every step of the process while others were
    absent, ignorant of electoral laws and regulations, or
    otherwise inattentive.

    - Electoral Police: The Ministry of Government typically
    organizes a corps of special Electoral Police to assist
    during national elections.  Observers reported that the
    Electoral Police were not present at all voting centers, and
    many were very young or elderly and did not seem to know what
    their role was during the elections.  In Leon, the
    FSLN-affiliated Municipal Electoral Council president decided

    MANAGUA 00002484  002 OF 002

    to substitute up to 100 (out of 400) Electoral Police, a
    function clearly beyond his jurisdiction.  PLC and ALN
    fiscales complained that many of these substitutes had police
    records and favored the FSLN.

    FSN Misinformed and Harassed
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶3. (SBU) The story of a mission FSN and her struggle to vote
    is particularly telling.  Before election day, this FSN
    reported that teams of "pollsters" went around her
    neighborhood to identify FSLN supporters.  Residents who
    indicated that they did not support Ortega were later
    informed that their JRV had been changed.  The FSN later
    confirmed from the CSE web site that she had not been moved
    from her original JRV.

    ¶4. (SBU) On election day, after first tacitly confirming with
    the FSLN fiscal that she was not an Ortega supporter, the JRV
    president told the FSN that her name was not on the voter
    list by claiming that her first name was listed as her family
    name.  Although the FSN did not receive support from the
    other fiscales, she insisted that everything was in order and
    was finally allowed to vote.  After casting her ballots, the
    JRV second member glared at her and covered half her hand
    with smelly indelible ink.  This FSN encountered major
    difficulties even though she was wearing a t-shirt and badge
    that identified her as an ET observer.

    Comment
    - - - -

    ¶5. (SBU) None of these factors appeared to be widespread
    enough to influence the outcome of the presidential race.
    The allocations of deputy seats in the National Assembly,
    however, are decided by much smaller margins and could be
    influenced by the voiding of results from one JRV, or even
    the strategic nullification of individual votes from several
    JRVs.  ET is conducting a comprehensive review of the deputy
    votes (Ref A), though the absence of observers during the
    closing acts in some departments may affect ET's accuracy in
    some races.  We will continue to closely monitor the process
    of challenges with other national and international observer
    groups to attempt to prevent a biased outcome.
    TRIVELLI

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