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### Viewing cable 07MANAGUA324, PLC DEPUTY WARNS OF OPPORTUNISTIC FSLN INCURSIONS

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07MANAGUA324 | 2007-02-02 23:43 | 2011-06-21 08:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Managua

`

    VZCZCXRO7028
    PP RUEHLMC
    DE RUEHMU #0324/01 0332343
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 022343Z FEB 07
    FM AMEMBASSY MANAGUA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8954
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP WASHDC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 MANAGUA 000324

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR WHA/CEN

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/01/2017
    TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR EAID NU
    SUBJECT: PLC DEPUTY WARNS OF OPPORTUNISTIC FSLN INCURSIONS
    INTO LIBERAL STRONGHOLDS

    REF: MANAGUA 0241

    Classified By: Ambassador Paul Trivelli for reasons 1.4 (b and d)

    ¶1. (C) Summary: Liberal Constitutional Party (PLC) deputy
    Freddy Torres recently warned that the Sandinistas are
    working to buy the loyalty of vulnerable and impoverished
    farmers in the Liberal heartland, and the Liberals do not
    have the resources to oppose them.  Torres agreed that the
    PLC must seek unity with the Nicaraguan Liberal Alliance
    (ALN) to fend off Sandinista domination.  He explained that
    the two parties are discussing a common legislative agenda,
    which, however, may be derailed by the upcoming contentious
    votes for Supreme Court magistrates that will require support
    from the Sandinista Front (FSLN) caucus.  Torres also warned
    that the Sandinistas' proposed salary cuts are a ploy to gain
    more leverage over the Liberals.  End Summary.

    ¶2. (C) Poloffs met with PLC deputy Freddy Torres of Matagalpa
    on February 1 to discuss Sandinista activity in his
    department, Liberal unity, and legislative issues.  Torres
    was pleased with the attention, and urged us not to shun the
    entire PLC because of the actions of a few.  We responded (as
    we have in the past) that we do not have a problem with the
    PLC per se, but rather that it continues to be controlled by
    convicted ex-President Arnoldo Aleman, a discredited figure
    who is constantly manipulated by President Daniel Ortega
    under the threat of imprisonment.  He then recognized that
    the PLC made a mistake by supporting Ortega's request to
    "fast-track" the Law 290 reforms (reftel).

    FSLN Working to Win Over Farmers in Liberal Strongholds
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶3. (C) Torres warned that the Sandinistas will seduce
    impoverished farmers in rural areas using discounted loans
    subsidized by Venezuela and other patrons.  They have already
    begun to work in traditionally Liberal bastions, such as
    Jinotega and Matagalpa, he said.  Torres explained that, in
    general, the non-Sandinista guilds and organizations were
    persecuted during the 1980s and then largely ignored by the
    donor community during the 1990s in favor of the better
    organized Sandinista groups, resulting in a weak independent
    civil society sector unable to respond to the needs of the
    people.  Torres then made a pitch for "CafeNic," a
    Liberal-oriented association for small and medium coffee
    producers active in eight departments.  He did not offer a
    specific proposal at the time of the meeting, but noted his
    interest in a meeting with USAID.

    Liberal Unity and the Aleman Question
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶4. (C) Torres agreed that the Liberals must seek unity or
    risk Sandinista domination of Nicaragua for the foreseeable
    future.  He equivocated on the question of ousting Aleman
    from the PLC, commenting that there is "no one available to
    take his place" and that Aleman must be gradually sidelined
    within the party.  Most of the PLC wants to "do the right
    thing," he claimed, and work with the ALN.

    ¶5. (C) Torres commented that he has been involved in informal
    talks with ALN deputies (such as Jamileth Bonilla) on the
    subject of unification.  He advised that the discussions
    should be conducted openly, caucus to caucus, not by
    officially designated emissaries.  Torres confided that
    Aleman would only send his confidants -- specifically
    Wilfredo Navarro, Oscar Moncada, Maria Dolores Aleman, and
    Noel Ramirez -- to control the process and shut out moderate
    deputies.

    ¶6. (C) Torres also warned us about the lack of confidence and
    coordination within the ALN, another reason to hold "open"
    discussions.  He recounted that before the inauguration he
    approached Montealegre privately to discuss the composition
    of the National Assembly's Executive Board, but Montealegre
    rebuffed him, refusing to negotiate with "corrupt PLC
    delinquents."  According to Torres, Montealegre never
    revealed the contents of the meeting to the ALN, giving his
    deputies the impression that the PLC would only negotiate
    with the FSLN.

    Opportunities and Challenges in the National Assembly
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶7. (C) Torres was confident that a Liberal alliance could
    count on sufficient support for simple majority votes.  He
    specifically mentioned the proposed Freedom of Information
    Law as a priority that could help rein in the Sandinistas.
    Torres was less certain about qualified majority votes, such
    as the election of new Supreme Court and Supreme Electoral
    Council magistrates, which would mathematically require at
    least some votes from the FSLN caucus.  We advised him to
    approach civil society groups as allies to pressure the FSLN
    to vote for independent, qualified magistrates instead of
    political party hacks.  We also suggested that some
    Convergencia deputies (allied members of the FSLN caucus from
    other political parties) may be open to negotiating with the
    Liberals.

    ¶8. (C) One of the populist reforms on the FSLN legislative
    agenda is to reduce the salaries of Assembly deputies from
    $3,500 to $2,000 per month.  Torres warned that this will
    make those Liberal deputies who are not independently wealthy
    more susceptible to FSLN bribes.  He is also convinced that
    the FSLN deputies will receive under the table "supplements"
    to their income to make up for any salary cuts.

    Comment
    - - - -

    ¶9. (C) The Sandinistas' eagerness to ram through
    anti-democratic reforms in the Assembly and Aleman's
    continued subjugation to Ortega are clearly splintering the
    PLC.  Although wary of confronting Aleman outright, a group
    of moderate deputies appears ready to negotiate in good faith
    with the ALN to develop an agenda independent of the
    Ortega-Aleman political pact.  A vote on the Freedom of
    Information Law could serve as a litmus test for the
    direction and unity of the PLC caucus.
    TRIVELLI

`