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### Viewing cable 06MANAGUA556, NICARAGUA ATLANTIC COAST ELECTIONS: PLC SUPREME IN

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MANAGUA556 | 2006-03-13 19:14 | 2011-06-01 08:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Managua

Appears in these articles:
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758456.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758467.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758468.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-30/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2758464.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4103/la-embusa-y-el-gabinete-de-ortega
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4104/d-rsquo-escoto-en-onu-ldquo-un-desafio-de-ortega-a-ee-uu-rdquo
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4102/estrada-y-la-ldquo-doble-cara-rdquo-ante-ee-uu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3966/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-ee-uu-en-el-2006
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2758764.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-23/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2758753.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4041/millones-de-dolares-sin-control-y-a-discrecion
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4040/la-ldquo-injerencia-rdquo-de-venezuela-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/4047/rodrigo-barreto-enviado-de-ldquo-vacaciones-rdquo
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotasSecundarias/Mundo2757239.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/NotaPrincipal/Mundo2746658.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2757244.aspx
http://www.nacion.com/2011-05-16/Mundo/Relacionados/Mundo2746673.aspx
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3991/dra-yadira-centeno-desmiente-cable-diplomatico-eeuu
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3968/pellas-pronostico-a-eeuu-victoria-de-ortega-en-2006
http://www.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/3967/barreto-era-ldquo-fuente-confiable-rdquo-para-eeuu

`

    VZCZCXYZ0003
    PP RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHMU #0556/01 0721914
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 131914Z MAR 06 ZDK
    FM AMEMBASSY MANAGUA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5555
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
    RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 0573
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L MANAGUA 000556

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR WHA/CEN

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/10/2016
    TAGS: PGOV KDEM SNAR SOCI NU
    SUBJECT: NICARAGUA ATLANTIC COAST ELECTIONS: PLC SUPREME IN
    RAAS, YATAMA KINGMAKER IN RAAN

    REF: A. MANAGUA 0511

         ¶B. 05 MANAGUA 2998

    Classified By: Ambassador Paul Trivelli for reasons 1.4 (b and d)

    ¶1. (C) Summary: Preliminary results for the allocation of
    seats on the Councils of the South Atlantic Autonomous Region
    (RAAS) and North Atlantic Autonomous Region (RAAN) indicate
    that the PLC will win enough positions to control the RAAS
    without having to form an alliance with another party.  In
    the RAAN, however, none of the parties will gain an outright
    majority.  FSLN officials claim they will control the RAAN
    Council with regional indigenous party Yatama, although the
    PLC has announced its intention to court Yatama as well.
    Disturbingly, Vice Foreign Minister Javier Williams Slate
    told the DCM that FSLN leader Daniel Ortega made a deal to
    assist narcotraffickers on the Atlantic Coast if they would
    help the FSLN win the elections.  End Summary.

    VOTE ALLOCATION SYSTEM FAVORS FSLN AND YATAMA
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶2. (U) As reported in reftel A, the multi-member district
    proportional representation system allocated a
    disproportionate number of seats to the FSLN and Yatama than
    the overall popular vote would indicate.  The following chart
    shows the final vote count and the distribution of Council
    seats by party.

    North Atlantic Autonomous Region (RAAN):

    PARTY VOTE  PERCENTAGE  COUNCIL SEATS

    PLC   23,783      37.4%       16
    FSLN  19,212      30.2%       17
    Yatama      12,330      19.2%       12
    ALN-PC      3,414 5.4%        0
    MRS   1,441 2.3%        0
    PAMUC 1.316 2.1%        0
    APRE  1,268 2.0%        0
    CCN   830   1.3%        0

    South Atlantic Autonomous Region (RAAS):

    PARTY VOTE  PERCENTAGE  COUNCIL SEATS

    PLC   17,577      47.8%       22
    FSLN  7,690 20.9%       11
    ALN-PC      5,643 15.4%       6
    Yatama      3,561 9.7%        6
    MRS   1,373 3.7%        0
    CCN   685   1.9%        0
    APRE  229   0.6%        0
    PAMUC N/A   N/A         N/A

    Although a few "impugnaciones" (official challenges from
    party poll watchers) remain outstanding, the CSE reported
    that they would not affect the final results.  CSE president
    Roberto Rivas announced that the Council would proclaim the
    winning candidates on March 14.

    PLC AND FSLN WILL FIGHT FOR YATAMA VOTES IN THE RAAN
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶3. (U) The PLC won enough seats in the RAAS to control the
    Regional Council without needing to form an alliance with the
    ALN-PC.  The FSLN proclaimed that they would lead the Council
    in the RAAN in alliance with Yatama, an indigenous party that
    promotes autonomy.  Diogenes Solorzano, the legal
    representative for Yatama, confirmed that his party signed an
    &alliance of governability8 with the FSLN that promises the
    governorship to Yatama.  PLC representatives indicated,
    however, that their party would also court Yatama in an
    attempt to control the RAAN Regional Council by also offering
    the RAAN governorship and possibly some positions in the RAAS.

    ORTEGA MAKES DEAL WITH NARCOTRAFFICKERS
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶4. (C) On March 10, Vice Foreign Minister and RAAN native
    Javier Williams Slate informed DCM that FSLN leader Daniel
    Ortega made a deal with local narcotraffickers, which would
    allow the traffickers free reign in the region in exchange
    for political and financial support.  According to Williams,
    a Regional Council member by the name of Dereta brokered an
    agreement whereby Ortega would use the FSLN's influence in

    the court system to free a couple of traffickers from jail.
    One is Jorge Webster Rojas (arrested on Corn Island last
    year) and the other is Marvin Funez (arrested in Sandy Bay).

    ¶5. (C) Williams spent most of election week at his family's
    house in Puerto Cabezas, where he witnessed the alliance in
    action.  From his house on the beach, he could see the
    traffickers using their new SUVs and pickup trucks to
    transport FSLN voters and election workers around town.
    (Comment: This is not the first time we have heard reports of
    FSLN/narco cooperation -- see reftel B.  End Comment.)

    COMMENT: REST OF COUNTRY WILL "FORGET ATLANTIC COAST
    ELECTIONS IN TWO MONTHS"
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
    - - - - - - - -

    ¶6. (C) Normally a forgotten stepchild, the Atlantic Coast has
    received intense national attention for the last several
    weeks as all parties have sought to position themselves for
    the November national elections.  The PLC, FSLN, Yatama, and
    the ALN-PC have all spun the results positively, leaving only
    Herty Lewites (MRS candidate) to admit that the outcome was
    not what he had hoped for.  Liberal candidate Jose Antonio
    Alvarado, although he spent relatively little time and energy
    on the Coast, appeared to lose some steam as the party he is
    most closely associated with (APRE) performed very poorly.
    But do the Atlantic Coast elections really presage November
    results?  Most Nicaraguans agree that the Atlantic Coast --
    given its isolation, ideological slant, small population, and
    ethnic differences -- is unique, and therefore, the choices
    of its population cannot be accurately extrapolated on a
    national level.  One high-level contact in the Presidency
    told poloff that, despite the current hype, Nicaraguans will
    "forget the Atlantic Coast elections in two months."
    TRIVELLI

`