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### Viewing cable 08SKOPJE359, MACEDONIA'S ELECTIONS: RULING PARTY WINS, COUNTRY

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08SKOPJE359 | 2008-06-02 17:06 | 2011-06-04 19:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Skopje
Appears in these articles: http://www.bivol.bg

`

    VZCZCXRO9152
    OO RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
    RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
    DE RUEHSQ #0359/01 1541706
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    O 021706Z JUN 08
    FM AMEMBASSY SKOPJE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7395
    INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE 0327
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
    RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
    RUESEN/SKOPJE BETA
    RUEHSQ/USDAO SKOPJE MK
    RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 2288
    RHEHNSC/WHITE HOUSE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 SKOPJE 000359

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR EUR/SCE

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PREL PGOV NATO MK
    SUBJECT: MACEDONIA'S ELECTIONS: RULING PARTY WINS, COUNTRY
    LOSES

    REF: SKOPJE 356

    SUMMARY
    ---------

    ¶1. (SBU) Macedonia's June 1 snap parliamentary elections
    resulted in an expected victory and absolute majority for the
    ruling VMRO party.  Despite numerous international community
    (IC) and media appeals for free and fair elections in the
    run-up to Election Day (reftel), voting was marred by
    numerous incidents of gross election irregularities,
    including ballot-stuffing, voter intimidation, and violence
    that resulted in one fatality and several injured.  While
    governing coalition partners VMRO and DPA labeled the
    elections "free and fair," opposition SDSM and DUI, and IC
    and local observers condemned the violence and intimidation,
    which included illegal detention of election observers.  PM
    Gruevski has pledged to conduct reruns in all disputed areas,
    to punish all persons responsible for the violence, and to
    delay coalition talks until after free and fair reruns are
    held. End summary.

    UNSURPRISING ELECTION RESULTS
    -----------------------------

    ¶2. (SBU) As expected, governing VMRO won an absolute majority
    of seats in Macedonia's June 1 early parliamentary elections,
    followed by its rival SDSM.  Results for the two biggest
    eAlbanian parties, DUI and DPA, remain uncertain pending DUI
    appeals of the voting in two of the country's six electoral
    districts where there were widespread instances of fraud.
    Two smaller parties --eAlbanian party PDP and Macedonian
    Muslim party PEI-- may succeed in getting one MP seat each.
    With 98% of the ballots counted, the State Electoral
    Committee (SEC) has put overall voter turnout at 57.45% of
    all eligible voters.  Using SEC figures, the following
    parties are expected to enter Parliament:

    VMRO -- 64 MP seats (479,219 votes)
    SDSM -- 28 MP seats (231,978 votes)
    DUI -- 14 MP seats (107,230 votes)*
    DPA -- 12 MP seats (100,569 votes)*
    PDP -- 1 MP seat (8,847 votes)
    PEI -- 1 MP seat (7,669 votes)

    *likely to change after reruns

    ELECTIONS MARRED BY VIOLENCE...
    -------------------------------

    ¶3. (SBU) Early on the morning of June 1, in the village of
    Aracinovo near Skopje, police engaged in a firefight with DUI
    activists, resulting in one fatality and at least five
    wounded persons.  While the police claimed they returned fire
    after a group of armed civilians shot at them from a house,
    DUI said the victims were on their way out of a polling
    station (PS) when the police opened fire.  There also were
    reports of an additional casualty, who is in critical
    condition, after a shooting incident near DUI headquarters in
    Cair, a suburb of Skopje.

    ...INTIMIDATION, AND UNLAWFUL DETENTION
    ----------------------------------------

    ¶4. (SBU) The Mission's election monitoring teams registered
    instances in which people were physically prevented from
    voting and were otherwise intimidated after talking to
    international observers.  Around noon, armed DPA activists in
    the village of Poroj prevented a U.S. observer, her
    teammates, police, and SEC officials from leaving a polling
    station (PS) and threatening them with death if they attempt
    to leave.  The incident occurred when SEC officials,
    accompanied by police, arrived to remove ballot boxes and
    close the polling station because DPA had ejected the
    municipal election board and replaced it entirely with DPA
    personnel.  A DPA MP ended the incident with a negotiated
    "settlement," in which the captives were released if the SEC
    officials agreed to permit the ballot boxes to remain and the
    unaccredited DPA election board to continue to operate the
    PS.  The DPA operatives also confiscated the weapons of the
    police on the scene.  PM Gruevski told the Ambassador he

    SKOPJE 00000359  002 OF 003

    would follow up to ensure prosecution of the perpetrators.

    ...OTHER IRREGULARITIES
    ------------------------

    ¶5. (SBU) Signs of numerous election irregularities,
    especially in Electoral District 1 (Skopje area) and Election
    District 6 (northwestern Macedonia), started coming in as
    early as the opening of the polls at 7 a.m. on June 1.
    Irregularities reported included: massive ballot stuffing;
    ballot burning; destroying ballot boxes; use of weapons in
    close proximity to the PS; physical assaults on PS officials;
    and chasing observers out of a PS.  By mid-afternoon, over 60
    PSs had been closed or had suspended operations, and were
    deemed unsafe even for the police.  Local election
    observation NGO MOST reported that 97 of its observers had
    been withdrawn for security reasons, or were prevented from
    doing their jobs in a number of PSs.  In the rest of the
    country, there were reports of sporadic family voting, proxy
    voting, and other incidents, but the overall situation was
    much calmer.

    GOVERNING PARTNERS: "A VICTORY FOR MACEDONIA"
    ---------------------------------------------

    ¶6. (SBU) Hours after the polls closed, governing VMRO leader
    Gruevski said the elections were "an enormous victory" for
    the whole country.  He added that there would be reruns in a
    limited number of places to ensure that "each and every MP is
    elected fairly."  In a triumphalist speech, DPA's Thaci added
    that this was DPA's "sweetest victory" and rejected any need
    for reruns.  (Note: Preliminary results point to a DUI
    victory, but Thaci insisted that DPA was the party that
    received more votes.  End note).  Despite independent
    observer assessments that Thaci's party was behind the
    majority of election irregularities throughout the day, Thaci
    blamed rival DUI as the main culprit.  (Note: In a June 2
    meeting with the Ambassador, Gruevski pledged that there will
    be no coalition talks until after reruns are completed in a
    free and fair manner in the next two weeks.  End note)

    OPPOSITION: "THE PRICE IN HUMAN LIFE WAS TOO HIGH"
    --------------------------------------------- -----

    ¶7. (SBU) Opposition SDSM leader Sekerinska congratulated VMRO
    for its victory, but added that the fatality and other
    violent incidents indicated that the conduct of the elections
    had been "unacceptable."  DUI's Ahmeti said that, rather than
    a "day of joy and freedom," Election Day had been "a blood
    bath" orchestrated by DPA.  He added that the results in
    Election District 6 and in the municipality of Saraj in
    Election District 1 were unacceptable because of intimidation
    of observers and electoral officials.

    OBSERVERS CONDEMN IRREGULARITIES
    --------------------------------

    ¶8. (SBU) Throughout the day on June 1, the Embassy was in
    touch with all parties, urging them to calm their activists
    and stop the violence.  The Ambassador called the PM and
    urged him to exert pressure over his coalition partner DPA to
    stop the harassment and violence.  Her intervention appeared
    to result in the early afternoon arrest of DPA-affiliated
    crime boss Agim Krasniqi and some of his associates, all of
    them implicated in numerous violent incidents on Election
    Day, on charges of organizing a group to prevent others from
    voting.

    ¶9. (SBU) On June 2, the OSCE Office for Democratic
    Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) made public its
    preliminary conclusions from the June 1 elections.  Although
    the elections were "well administered procedurally," ODIHR
    assessed that Macedonia had failed to meet "key OSCE and
    Council of Europe commitments" due to "a failure to prevent
    violent acts" and "the limited and selective enforcement of
    laws."  ODIHR concluded that the overall assessment of the
    June 1 elections "will depend on whether the authorities will
    thoroughly investigate these serious violations."

    ¶10. (U) Earlier the same day, the local election monitoring
    NGO MOST said that "isolated but serious" incidents had

    SKOPJE 00000359  003 OF 003

    tarnished the integrity of the elections in certain areas of
    the country.  Only the SEC's readiness for quick and
    efficient reruns in a wide range of "problematic places,"
    according to MOST, would improve the overall situation after
    the elections.

    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶11. (SBU) These elections represent a significant setback for
    Macedonia's democratic development, and for its NATO
    membership prospects.  We, the EU, OSCE, and ODIHR have given
    the GOM room to repair the damage, however, if the government
    ensures free, fair and peaceful reruns.  Gruevski has pledged
    to do that, and we will do our utmost to ensure he follows
    through on his commitment and returns Macedonia to the
    positive course it was on before he made the fateful decision
    to call the early elections.
    Milovanovic

`