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### Viewing cable 07LIMA210, PERU'S EXPORTS OF GOODS SURGE 36 PERCENT IN 2006

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07LIMA210 | 2007-01-25 18:06 | 2011-06-03 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Lima
Appears in these articles: elcomercio.pe

`

    VZCZCXYZ0001
    PP RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHPE #0210/01 0251806
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 251806Z JAN 07
    FM AMEMBASSY LIMA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3696
    INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 0382
    RUEHRL/AMEMBASSY BERLIN 0273
    RUEHSW/AMEMBASSY BERN 0447
    RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 4292
    RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 7175
    RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 2745
    RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 0095
    RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ JAN MADRID 2788
    RUEHOT/AMEMBASSY OTTAWA 3066
    RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 0951
    RUEHRO/AMEMBASSY ROME 0528
    RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 1064
    RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 0547
    RUEHTC/AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE 0829
    RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 2619
    RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 0477
    RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHINGTON DC
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
    RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHINGTON DC
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASH DC
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS LIMA 000210

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    USTR FOR BHARMAN AND MCARRILLO
    GENEVA FOR USTR
    COMMERCE FOR 4331/MAC/WH/MCAMERON

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ETRD ECON EAGR EMIN ENRG USTR PE
    SUBJECT: PERU'S EXPORTS OF GOODS SURGE 36 PERCENT IN 2006

    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1.  On January 23, Trade Minister Araoz presented the GOP's
    official export statistics for 2006.  Peruvian exports
    totaled USD 23.431 billion (all figures are FOB), 35.6 higher
    than in 2005, and accounted for just over a quarter of Peru's
    GDP.  Exports were the biggest contributors to Peru's
    impressive 7.7 percent GDP growth in 2006 (Central Bank
    figure).  The U.S. market share of Peru's exports dropped
    from 31 percent in 2005 to 23 percent in 2006.  Some Peruvian
    officials blame the slowdown in export growth to the U.S.
    (only 2.5 percent in 2006) on the uncertainty surrounding the
    extension of Andean trade preferences (ATPDEA) and approval
    of the U.S.-Peru Trade Promotion Agreement (PTPA) by the U.S.
    Congress, though many other factors also contributed (market
    prices, increased competition from CAFTA and China, etc.).

    ¶2.  After posting a record month in December, Peru has had 58
    consecutive months of export growth.  Helped by strong
    prices, mined metals continued their dominance in 2006,
    accounting for 62 percent of Peru's exports.  The vast
    majority of Peru's exporters are micro or small enterprises
    (e.g. 90 percent of textile exporters and 82 percent of
    agricultural exporters).  The Exporters' Association (ADEX)
    predicts a 15 percent increase in Peru's export of goods in
    2007, and the Trade Ministry has set a target of USD 27
    billion.  The above figures do not include Peru's exports in
    services, which totaled USD 2.4 billion in 2006.  End Summary.

    SELLING MORE TO MORE MARKETS
    ----------------------------

    ¶3.  The twelve countries receiving the largest share of
    Peru's exported goods are listed in the table below.  The
    U.S. remained Peru's top export market by far, receiving 23.3
    percent of Peru's exports (USD 5.468 billion).  However,
    exports to the U.S. increased by only 2.5 percent (USD 134.1
    million) in 2006, compared with 43.8 percent in 2005, when
    the U.S. received 30.9 percent of Peru's exports.  Some
    Peruvian officials blame the slowdown in export growth to the
    U.S. on the uncertainty surrounding the extension of Andean
    trade preferences (ATPDEA) and approval of the U.S.-Peru
    Trade Promotion Agreement (PTPA) by the U.S. Congress, though
    many other factors also contributed (market prices, increased
    competition from CAFTA and China, etc.).

    ¶4.  Peru's exports to China increased by 21 percent, and
    virtually all of third-place Switzerland's imports were gold.
     The countries receiving the largest percentage increase in
    exports from Peru were:  Ukraine (3,062%, total USD 38.8
    million), North Korea (2,296%, USD 23 million), Bangladesh
    (1,547%, USD 4.5 million), Congo (1,275%, USD 4.5 million),
    and the Philippines (551%, USD 4.5 million).  In 2006, Peru
    exported to seven new markets -- Oman, Monaco, Macedonia,
    Solomon Islands, Ivory Coast, British Indian Ocean Territory,
    and Nauru -- bringing the total markets for Peruvian goods to
    ¶181.

    Peru's Top 12 Markets for Exported Goods (2006)
    Country : Value (USD million) : % Change'05 : % of Total'06
    1)USA : $5,468 : 3% : 23%
    2)China : $2,267 : 21% : 10%
    3)Switzerland : $1,683 : 114% : 7%
    4)Canada : $1,592 : 55% : 7%
    5)Chile : $1,422 : 27% : 6%
    6)Japan : $1,230 : 103% : 5%
    7)Germany : $812 : 57% : 3%
    8)Brazil : $809 : 77% : 3%
    9)Italy : $761 : 93% : 3%
    10)Spain : $761 : 36% : 3%
    11)Netherlands : $702 : 27% : 3%
    12)South Korea : $545 : 140% : 2%

    LEADING SECTORS ARE STILL
    MINING, PETROLEUM AND AGRICULTURE
    ---------------------------------

    ¶5.  The eight sectors that accounted for approximately 98
    percent of Peru's exports are listed in the table below.
    Helped by strong prices, mined metals continued their
    dominance in 2006, accounting for 62 percent of Peru's
    exports.  Non-traditional crops boosted agricultural exports
    by 33 percent compared with 2005, and iron/steel exports
    increased 86 percent.

    Peru's Top 8 Export Sectors (2006)
    Sector : Value (USD million) : % Change'05 : % of Total'06
    1)mined metals : $14,465 : 48% : 62%
    2)petroleum/derivatives : $1,793 : 13% : 8%
    3)agriculture : $1,783 : 33% : 8%
    4)fishing : $1,770 : 8% : 8%
    5)textiles : $1,468 : 15% : 6%
    6)iron/steel/metallurgy : $718 : 86% : 3%
    7)chemicals : $597 : 12% : 3%
    8)wood/paper : $332 : 27% : 1%

    MINING: COPPER AND ZINC LEAD GROWTH
    -----------------------------------

    ¶6.  The value of the dominant metal mining sector's exports
    increased by 48.2 percent in 2006 to USD 14.465 billion.
    Copper exports totaled USD 6.034 billion (up 76.5%), gold
    totaled USD 3.952 billion (27.7% increase), Zinc totaled USD
    1.991 billion (147.3% increase), and Molybdenum accounted for
    USD 862 million (a 25% decrease).  Non-metallic mining
    exports (not included in "mined metals" above) increased by
    14.2 percent in 2006 to USD 135 million.  The mining sector
    should maintain its dominance in 2007, as prices show no
    signs of dropping.

    PETROLEUM AND DERIVATIVES: MORE OIL ON THE WAY
    --------------------------------------------- -

    ¶7.  Petroleum derivatives totaled USD 1.305 billion, a 7
    percent decrease compared with 2005.  However, crude exports
    rose 161.2 percent to USD 488 million, and should continue to
    rise in the future due to new exploration and extraction.

    AGRICULTURE: CROP DIVERSITY INCREASING
    --------------------------------------

    ¶8.  The agricultural sector exported USD 1.783 billion in
    2006, 33 percent more than in 2005, with the top markets
    being the U.S. (35 percent), Spain (13 percent), the
    Netherlands (8 percent), France (5 percent), the UK (5
    percent), Ecuador (5 percent), and Colombia (3 percent).  As
    a combined grouping, the European Union received 40 percent
    of Peru's agricultural exports.  Prominent traditional
    exports included coffee (grew by 68 percent to USD 514
    million) and sugar (USD 43 million).  Non-traditional
    agricultural exports were led by asparagus, paprika and
    artichokes (see table below).  82 percent of agricultural
    exporters were micro or small enterprises.  The impressive
    growth in agricultural exports should continue in 2007 as
    more and more farmers switch to higher-value crops with GOP
    and international assistance and these products enter more
    markets.

    Peru's Top 10 Non-Traditional Agricultural Exports (2006)
    Product : Value (USD million) : % Change'05
    1)asparagus : $291 : 18%
    2)paprika : $73 : -23%
    3)artichokes : $65 : 48%
    4)fresh mangoes : $59 : 55%
    5)evaporated milk : $51 : 29%
    6)fresh peppers : $50 : 39%  (export to U.S. not permitted)
    7)grapes : $48 : 41%
    8)avocados : $39 : 67%
    9)shrimp feed : $34 : 26%
    10)bananas : $27 : 52%

    FISHING: MORE FISH AND SQUID
    ----------------------------

    ¶9.  Traditional exports of fishmeal (USD 1.135 billion) and
    fish oil (USD 196 million) comprised the bulk of fishing
    exports.  But non-traditional fishing exports grew an
    impressive 33 percent, led by mackerel (631% growth), yellow
    jacks (544%), and squid (which increased 21% to USD 148
    million).

    TEXTILES: UNCERTAINTY HURTS SHIPMENTS TO U.S.
    ---------------------------------------------

    ¶10.  Despite a slowdown in some categories of textile exports
    to the U.S., total textile exports grew by 15 percent (to USD
    1.468 billion).  Peru's top textile markets were:  USA (59%),
    Venezuela (12%), Chile (3%), and Colombia (3%).  Ninety
    percent of textile exporters were micro or small businesses.

    FOCUS ON SERVICES INCREASING
    ----------------------------

    ¶11.  Taken together, exports in services totaled USD 2.4
    billion in 2006.  About half of this total was travel, and
    USD 20 million was in software.  The GOP announced plans to
    support the expansion of exports in elective health, ship
    repair, software, franchising, and call centers.  The
    Exporters' Association (ADEX) predicts 10 percent growth in
    services exports in 2007.

    MORE EXPORTERS, BUT HIGH FAILURE RATE
    -------------------------------------

    ¶12.  According to GOP figures, 6,440 companies exported at
    least USD 2,000 worth of goods in 2006 (compared with 5,452
    in 2005 and 3,883 in 2001).  Of these, 806 companies exported
    over USD 1 million each.  There were 2,025 new exporters in
    ¶2006.  The vast majority of Peru's exporters are micro or
    small enterprises (e.g. 90 percent of textile exporters and
    82 percent of agricultural exporters).

    ¶13.  GOP officials were puzzled by the high rate of business
    failure in the export sector.  About one-third of exporting
    companies cease to export the following year, and 63 percent
    have ceased by the fourth year.  The GOP would like to reduce
    this costly rate of abandonment, and plans to provide market
    intelligence training to targeted audiences in 2007.

    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶14.  Peru's exports have more than tripled since 2002, when
    the U.S. Andean Trade Promotion and Drug Eradication Act
    (ATPDEA) expanded Andean trade preferences.  These years of
    rapid trade expansion and of free trade agreement
    negotiations with the United States have brought exports to
    the forefront in Peru, and many Peruvian businesses continue
    to join the exporting ranks.  The Garcia Administration
    recognizes the fundamental importance of exports to economic
    growth, job creation, and poverty reduction.  While approval
    by the U.S. Congress of the PTPA remains the GOP's top trade
    priority, GOP ministries and the private sector are actively
    engaged in further opening other markets for Peruvian
    products.  Trade negotiations are underway with the EU,
    Mexico and several Southeast Asian countries.  The GOP's
    preparations to host APEC in 2008 include an important push
    to secure trade deals with new partners.
    POWERS

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