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### Viewing cable 04GUAYAQUIL1223, GUAYAS ELECTIONS AND BEYOND - PSC ROLLS ON

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
04GUAYAQUIL1223 | 2004-10-22 12:55 | 2011-05-02 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Consulate Guayaquil

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 GUAYAQUIL 001223

    SIPDIS

    C O R R E C T E D  C O P Y  (ELECTION TERM UPDATES)

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM EC
    SUBJECT:  GUAYAS ELECTIONS AND BEYOND - PSC ROLLS ON

    REF: A) GUAYAQUIL 1120 B) QUITO 2771

    ¶1.   Summary:  As expected, the Social Christian Party (PSC)
    dominated election results in its heartland of Guayas
    province and the city of Guayaquil.  Jaime Nebot easily won
    reelection as mayor of Guayaquil and the incumbent PSC
    prefect, Nicolas Lapentti, turned back his challenger and
    won a fourth term as prefect.  Jimmy Jairala, the Ecuadorian
    Roldosista Party (PRE) candidate for mayor of Guayaquil, did
    better than expected; Citizens Force candidate Humberto Mata
    did worse.  The PSC made gains elsewhere on the coast,
    mainly at the PRE's expense.  To no surprise, President
    Gutierrez' Patriotic Society Party (PSP) candidates lost
    badly.  End Summary.

    Prefect Race
    -------------

    ¶2.   The official vote count is still underway but it is
    clear that Nicolas Lapentti was reelected as prefect for his
    fourth term with approximately 40.2% of the votes.
    Lapentti's closest rival, Humberto Mata from Citizens Force,
    won 20.5% of the vote.  Mata received fewer votes than he
    had in the 2000 sectional elections, when he claimed
    electoral fraud.  Gloria Gallardo (PRIAN), was the only
    woman running for prefect of Guayas, and placed third with
    16.8% of the votes.  PRE candidate Adolfo Bucaram, brother
    of disgraced former president Abdala Bucaram, received just
    10% of the vote.  Renan Borbua, PSP prefect candidate and
    cousin of President Gutierrez, received 5.2%.

    Mayor of Guayaquil Race
    -----------------------

    ¶3.   In Guayaquil, Jaime Nebot (PSC) was reelected for a
    second term as mayor, defeating Jimmy Jairala (PRE) by less
    than had been expected. Some polls had suggested Nebot
    winning by a three to one margin, but the vote count to date
    indicates Jairala received about 29.6% of votes to Nebot's
    56.7%.  Jairala's relatively strong showing may have been
    due in part to his popularity as a journalist and television
    personality.  Fernando Barreno of the PRIAN was third with
    8.2%.  Felipe Mantilla, PSP candidate and former Governor of
    Guayas, received only 1.7%.  In total, the PSC won 16 out of
    28 mayoral races in Guayas, all of them with more than 35%
    of the vote.  The PRIAN and PRE won 4 mayoral contests each,
    the Popular Democracy Party (DP) won one, one was suspended
    and alliances won the final two races.

    PSC Gains Elsewhere in Coastal Region
    ------------------------------------

    ¶4.   The PSC also gained in several other provinces within
    the Guayaquil Consular district.  The PSC consolidated its
    power in the provinces of Manabi and Zamora Chinchipe while
    winning the mayoral races in the important cities of
    Babahoyo and Quevedo (in Los Rios province); San Cristobal
    and Isabela (Galapagos); and in Azogues (Caar).  The PRE
    won the prefect and mayor races in Loja but suffered a
    bruising defeat at the hands of the PSC in the race for
    mayor of Machala (El Oro province) and in the race for
    prefect of Manabi, both once considered PRE strongholds.
    The Democratic Left (ID) won the prefect and mayoral races
    in Azuay.  The alliance candidate for the PSP and DP won the
    Galapagos prefect race and the Santa Cruz mayoral race.

    Disturbances Marr Voting Day
    ----------------------------

    ¶5.   Press reported and police confirmed disturbances in
    five municipalities of Guayas on election day.  In El
    Empalme, disturbances caused the temporary suspension of
    voting.  In Duran, unidentified political party members
    tried to burn a school down where elections had taken place
    as a form of protest.  From that municipality, various PRE
    members drove to the Electoral Tribunal of Guayas (TEG) to
    report fraud against their candidate.  In Isidrio Ayora,
    PRIAN members also took semi-burned electoral ballots to
    Electoral Tribunal of Guayas (TEG) to report fraud.  Press
    also reported confrontations between the police and PRIAN
    members there.  In Samborondon, the president of a voting
    center was reportedly shot as the voting center was closing
    down.  Finally, the elections were suspended and will be re-
    run in the municipality of Simon Bolivar due to violence
    over possible electoral fraud.

    Comment
    -------

    C O R R E C T E D  C O P Y  (ELECTION TERMS UPDATED)
    ¶6.   Despite these isolated disturbances, which affected
    only a minor part of the electorate in Guayas, the elections
    elsewhere were generally peaceful and ran smoothly in most
    voting centers.  Guayaquil Consulate officials visited 30
    voting centers as OEA observers in Guayaquil and encountered
    no irregularities or violence.

    ¶7.  The PSC consolidated and boosted its dominance in Guayas
    province and made some inroads elsewhere in the coastal
    region of Ecuador, at the cost of the PRE.  While some fault
    the PSC aging leadership or the PSC's overemphasis on public
    works rather than social welfare, many "costenos" clearly
    retain faith in the party and are attracted to decisive
    leadership of party strongman Leon Febres-Cordero and the
    can-do attitude of local leaders Nebot and Lapentti.
    Meanwhile, the PRE has slowly been losing ground in the
    absence of Abdala Bucaram and the glaring contrast between
    the results of PSC versus PSC rule.  While the fate of
    President Gutierrez' PSP is still unclear at the national
    level, it clearly enjoys little support in this part of
    Ecuador.

    HERBERT

`