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### Viewing cable 07ABUDHABI145, GENERAL ABIZAID TALKS IRAN, IRAQ, AFGHANISTAN WITH

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07ABUDHABI145 | 2007-01-31 12:05 | 2010-11-28 18:00 | SECRET | Embassy Abu Dhabi

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    VZCZCXRO3512
    PP RUEHDE RUEHDIR
    DE RUEHAD #0145/01 0311205
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 311205Z JAN 07
    FM AMEMBASSY ABU DHABI
    TO RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
    RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8138
    INFO RUEHZM/GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL COLLECTIVE
    RUEHGB/AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD 0280
    RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1559
    RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 0349
    RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 ABU DHABI 000145

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/31/2017
    TAGS: PREL PARM IZ IR AF AE
    SUBJECT: GENERAL ABIZAID TALKS IRAN, IRAQ, AFGHANISTAN WITH
    ABU DHABI CROWN PRINCE

    Classified By: Ambassador Michele Sison, reasons 1.4 (B) and (D).

    ¶1. (S) Summary.  On the evening of January 21, Abu Dhabi
    Crown Prince and Deputy Supreme Commander of the UAE Armed
    Forces Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed (MbZ) Al Nahyan hosted
    CENTCOM Commander General John Abizaid for dinner.  They
    discussed regional security issues, but Iraq was clearly the
    focus of MbZ's interest.  MbZ expressed lack of confidence in
    being able to work with the Maliki government.  MbZ believes
    that the Saudis will not support any Sunni group in Iraq with
    Al-Qaeda ties, but that the Saudis are firm in their resolve
    to counter Iran.  MbZ reiterated UAE interest in acquiring
    Predator B.  Referring to the recent events in Somalia, MbZ
    commented: "The Somalia job was fantastic."  Also present
    were UAE Chief of Staff, Lt. General Hamad Mohammed Thani
    Al-Rumaithy; Director of Intelligence, Staff Brigadier
    General Engineer Essa Saif Mohammed Al-Mazrouei; Commander of
    the Special Operations, Major General Juma Ahmed Al-Bawardi
    Al-Falasi; and Commander of the UAE Air Forces and Air
    Defense, Staff Air Vice-Marshal (Major General) Mohammed
    Sowaidan Al-Gimzy.  End Summary.

    Iraq
    ----
    ¶2. (C) Clearly the focus for MbZ, discussion began with his
    pronouncement: "Let's talk about Iraq."  Gen. Abizaid noted
    that extremists on both ends of the Sunni/Shia spectrum are
    largely irretrievable, but we still have an opportunity to
    stabilize Iraq by reinforcing the moderate middle ground.
    MbZ said that he had little confidence in being able to work
    with this (Maliki's) government, saying of Maliki: "I think
    we are operating on different frequencies -- no, different
    radio systems altogether."

    ¶3. (S) MbZ asked General Abizaid what the U.S. hoped to
    achieve with the extra troops set to deploy to Iraq in 2007,
    and reiterated his concern about the level of ongoing
    violence against the Sunni.  Abizaid responded that the
    violence in Iraq is highly localized, principally in the
    Baghdad area, and that most of the rest of Iraq is quiet. The
    extra troops are intended to bring calm to Baghdad and give
    the government sufficient space and time to contain violence
    even further.  It will also send a message that the U.S. is
    not abandoning Iraq.  MbZ stated that Ahmad Chalabi and
    others had made a "big deal" out of the Baathist threat, but
    said that the Baathists were not and are not the problem --
    even though specific individuals linked to the Ba,ath Party
    were/are the problem.  MbZ offered that de-Baathification was
    and is "an unnecessary distraction," stating that "pursuing a
    problem that doesn't really exist only leads to more
    problems."  He said he had seen Iyad Allawi a month ago --
    noting that Allawi was looking to the UAE for support and
    assurances.  MbZ said that there is no assurance that the UAE
    can give him, adding: "It's not his time."  MbZ added that he
    believes that the Saudis will not assist Sunni groups in Iraq
    that are aligned with Al-Qaeda.

    Iran
    ----
    ¶4. (S) MbZ acknowledged that Tehran knows that the U.S. is
    serious in its stance against Iranian proliferation.  This
    can be clearly seen in "how Iran is changing its tactics."
    Abizaid pressed that countries in the region should make
    stronger statements.  Weak statements only encourage the
    Iranians: "We need our friends to say that they stand with
    the Americans."  MbZ avoided committing the UAE to anything
    like a public statement and shifted the discussion to other
    countries in the region saying: "The Saudis need no
    encouragement -- they are Wahhabis after all -- and will
    resolutely stand up to any Shi'a anywhere and counter them
    strongly."  Agreeing that it is only a matter of time before
    the Iranians develop or acquire advanced weapons
    technologies, including MTCR-controlled UAV technology, MbZ
    asserted:  "That's why we need it first . . . give me
    Predator B."  MbZ added: "Iran has to know that there is a
    price to pay for every decision they make.  They are
    expanding day by day -- they have to be dealt with before
    they do something tragic."  But that said, he continued: "We
    (UAE) are not ready yet" to confront Iran.

    Afghanistan/Pakistan
    --------------------
    ¶5. (S) Abizaid thanked MbZ for the actions of the UAE forces
    currently deployed in Afghanistan.  MbZ reciprocated: "No --

    ABU DHABI 00000145  002 OF 002

    thank you.  This has been a good chance for us, and we
    appreciate the opportunity."  MbZ questioned the role the
    Iranians were playing in Afghanistan.  He further observed
    that Musharraf is not doing enough to engage the tribes in
    the south, and needs to expand its efforts there.

    Lebanon/Hizballah/Somalia
    --------------------------
    ¶6. (S) Noting Lebanese PM Siniora's January 16 visit to the
    UAE, MbZ characterized Siniora as &a good man.  We are
    supporting him."  MbZ said that Hizballah has made a "big
    mistake" in estimating its support in Lebanon, and has
    "played it wrong -- they do not have the support of the
    majority of the Lebanese people."  MbZ discussed with Abizaid
    the military technology that Hizballah used in 2006,
    specifically noting the amount of anti-tank weapons that
    Hizballah possessed.  Abizaid acknowledged that Hizballah has
    access to weapons technology that most Arab states don't
    have.  MbZ interrupted the conversation to state explicitly
    that he wants the U.S. to understand that the UAE was not
    involved in the transfer of those weapons or technologies in
    any way.  Referring to the recent events in Somalia, MbZ
    commented: "The Somalia job was fantastic."

    ¶7. (U) POLAD Ambassador Richard Roth has approved this
    message.
    SISON

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