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### Viewing cable 08WELLINGTON126, DVC Request for "Climate Change and Security Planning for

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08WELLINGTON126 | 2008-04-09 19:50 | 2011-04-28 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Wellington

`

    VZCZCXYZ0025
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHWL #0126 1001950
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 091950Z APR 08
    FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC 5178

` `

    UNCLAS WELLINGTON 000126

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR IIP/T/ES (RADAMS); IIP/T/SV; EAP/PD - GMCLOUGHLIN; EAP/ANP

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: OIIP KPAO NZ

    SUBJECT: DVC Request for "Climate Change and Security Planning for
    the Future" Seminar

    ¶1. PROGRAM DESCRIPTION: Post requests a DVC with Marc Levy, CIESIBN,
    Columbia University.

    ¶2. Preferred Activity Date, Fiscal Year, and Quarter: FY09 program,
    November 13; 1st quarter; Washington time, November 13 at 5.00pm.
    This is November 14, 9.00am NZ time.

    ¶3. PROGRAM JUSTIFICATION: Recently-published studies draw attention
    to the fact that climate change poses a number of security
    challenges in terms of both a narrow and an extended definition of
    security. A comprehensive data analysis of the period 1950 to 2000
    undertaken by the conveners of this seminar indicates that natural
    disasters significantly increase the risk of violent civil conflict.
    This applies both to geological (earthquakes and volcanic eruptions)
    and climate-related disasters. Case-based evidence alternatively
    suggests that climate-related disasters can sometimes provide the
    incentives and means to address long-standing societal conflict
    effectively.

    These linkages have not received the academic and policy attention
    that they deserve. In view of the expected increase in natural
    hazards caused by the effects of climate change in coming years and
    decades, it is both opportune and imperative to draw together
    experts in the field to explore the dynamics of how climate change
    impacts domestic and transnational security concerns such as violent
    competition for scarce resources, and conflict caused by the
    population displacement. The South Pacific is particularly
    vulnerable, as climate change is bound to have significant
    dislocating effects that may exacerbate deep and persistent social
    tensions.

    A discussion of these interactions is important in order to devise
    ways of mitigating the negative social consequences of climate
    change and explore the opportunities provided to enhance security.
    Furthermore, adaptation to the effects of climate change is fast
    becoming a prominent international focus in the post-Bali
    international context. This changing focus makes it particularly
    important to explore the linkages between climate change and
    security in order that appropriate and well-informed policies can be
    adopted in New Zealand and the region.

    This DVC would be part of planned seminar being run by NZ's leading
    climate change experts, which will explore these issues. It will be
    led by a number of experts in the field and attended by participants
    involved in public-policy formulation and implementation and in the
    field of human security in general.  It will be a useful tool to
    make sure that the societal dangers and opportunities posed by
    climate change are placed on the public agenda.

    Post would welcome the opportunity to discuss the impact of climate
    change with Dr. Levy.

    ¶4. Audience Expected:  Members of the New Zealand government,
    security analysts, climate change experts and policy-makers,
    economists, and think-tankers.

    ¶5. MSP THEME AND EXPECTED AUDIENCE: MSP GOAL 09-01 - Mutual
    Understanding.

    ¶6. NAME OF SPECIALIST REQUIRED:
    Marc Levy, Deputy Director CIESIN, Columbia University, NY.

    ¶7. Contact Details: CIESIN (Center for International Earth Science
    Information Network)
    61 Route 9W
    PO Box 1000
    Palisades, NY 10964

    Fax:  845-365-8922    Ph: 845-365-8988
    email: mlevy@ciesin.columbia.edu

    ¶8. POST PROJECT OFFICER: Christine Vivian
    Office phone: 644-462-6112; Fax: 644-499-0490
    Email: cvivian@actrix.gen.nz / vivianc@state.gov

    TECHNICAL OFFICER: Ola Thorsen
    Office phone: 644-462-6015, Fax: 644-499-0490
    Cell: 6427-451-2535
    Email: thorsenO@state.gov

    LOCATION AND TELEPHONE NUMBERS: Venue/phone numbers to be advised.
    Please advise soonest.  Many thanks.
    MCCORMICK

`