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### Viewing cable 06BEIRUT2588, LEBANON: SINIORA DISCUSSES LATEST DRAFT RESOLUTION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06BEIRUT2588 | 2006-08-10 12:12 | 2011-03-15 18:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Beirut
Appears in these articles: not yet set

`

    VZCZCXRO6769
    OO RUEHAG RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHKUK
    DE RUEHLB #2588/01 2221212
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    O 101212Z AUG 06
    FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4989
    INFO RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO PRIORITY 0057
    RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 0935

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BEIRUT 002588

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/SINGH/HARDING

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/09/2016
    TAGS: MOPS PREL PTER LE SY IS
    SUBJECT: LEBANON: SINIORA DISCUSSES LATEST DRAFT RESOLUTION

    REF: A. BEIRUT 2583

    Classified By: Jeffrey D. Feltman, Ambassador. Reason 1.4 (d).

    SUMMARY
    --------

    ¶1. (C) PM Siniora and senior advisers Mohammad Chatta and
    Rola Noureddine met with Ambassador Feltman and poloff
    (notetaker) on the morning of August 10. Ambassador Feltman
    reviewed the latest U.S. draft resolution with Siniora (Note.
    Siniora had a meeting immediately afterwards with French
    Ambassador Emie to review the latest French draft, which
    differs on some points with the U.S. version. End Note).
    While not committing the GOL to anything, Siniora and Chatta
    reviewed the various concerns to do with the following
    issues: a beefed-up "UNIFIL-plus" under Chapter VII, the
    timetable for the various deployments and withdrawals, the
    rules of disengagement during the critical time period
    between the passing of a resolution and LAF/"UNIFIL plus"
    deployment, arms smuggling, the blockade of Lebanon,
    coordination between the LAF and IDF via UNIFIL, the
    conditions for a permanent ceasefire, and Sheba'a Farms and
    border delineation. Siniora promised to study the issues and
    discuss with the Cabinet and meet with the Ambassador later
    today to give a more fulsome GOL position. End Summary.

    CHAPTER VII
    -----------

    ¶2. (C) Referring to preliminary paragraphs 9 and 11,
    Ambassador Feltman stressed that the U.S. proposes a first
    resolution under Chapter VII authority, whereas the French
    want to hold that until a second resolution. But, either
    way, Lebanon faces the Chapter VII issue. Siniora said that
    the essential Lebanese issue with Chapter VII concerns
    Lebanon's sovereignty. Siniora worries that Chapter VII
    would allow a UNIFIL-plus force carte blanche in undertaking
    operations in its area of operations, without referral to the
    GOL. Siniora prefers that there be a "consensual
    relationship" whereby the GOL would have to consent to any
    operation. Siniora asked whether language might be added to
    the resolution in order to formalize this "consensual
    relationship" so that there could be "no independent,
    proactive action" by the UN. Shatta suggested specifically
    the following: "The work of the force and its operations will
    be with the consent of the Lebanese government." Siniora
    noted that Hizballah and the Syrians have said they would be
    against a force under Chapter VII authority, even if it were
    under the UNIFIL rubric, which meant that it would be
    difficult to get the Cabinet on board with this idea.
    However, if language were added to make the force more
    "consensual," then Siniora promises he "will try to sell it"
    in the Cabinet. He also asked for more "balance" in OP11, by
    making explicit what is implicit about UNIFIL-plus also
    monitoring and verifying the Israeli withdrawal.

    TIMETABLE AND INITIAL DEPLOYMENT SIZE
    -------------------------------------

    ¶3. (C) Siniora noted that the "cessation of hostilities"
    called for in OP1 would be followed by a "precarious period"
    before the deployment of LAF together with UNIFIL-plus.
    Siniora wants to have a clear understanding in the resolution
    of what action would be considered a violation of the terms
    of the cessation of hostilities during the interim period,
    and under what mechanism would these be monitored. "We want
    to be specific about what action is a vioaltion and what
    action would not cause a collapse in the arrangement, and who
    would be the referee." Siniora, in a subsequent phone call
    to the Ambassador, was more specific. He said that he
    worries that the Israelis will have a far different
    definition of what constitutes "defensive action," and the
    Israelis will, essentially, continue activities that would
    provoke Hizballah rocket fire. What, Siniora asked, stops
    the Israelis, "who will say that everything is 'defensive'"?

    ¶4. (C) Understanding that, according to the U.S. draft,
    Israel and Hizballah would withdraw more or less
    simultaneously with the joint deployment of the LAF and
    UNIFIL-plus (Note. The French draft proposes an initial LAF
    deployment on top of the current UNIFIL force triggering an
    initial, largely-symbolic IDF withdrawal. End Note), Siniora

    BEIRUT 00002588 002 OF 003

    also asked for a precise statement regarding the timetable
    and troop numbers. Siniora asked how many UNIFIL-plus and
    LAF troops would need to be on the ground for the Israelis to
    begin their withdrawal. While saying that the LAF will be
    deploying in sizable numbers, Siniora mused about whether an
    initial deployment of 3000 LAF troops would be enough to
    trigger the Israeli pullback. As for timing, Siniora said
    that the initial LAF deployment should "not take more than a
    couple of days", but that, when the time coems for the
    critical deployment/withdrawal phase, there needed to be a
    "zero hour" for starting the clocks ticking (Comment.
    Siniora's estimate of the time needed for the LAF deployment
    is more realistic than that offered by Defense Minister Murr
    in his meeting with A/S Welch yesterday (reftel). End
    Comment).

    COORDINATION WITH IDF VIA UNIFIL
    --------------------------------

    ¶5. (C) In this context, the Ambassador urged that the LAF
    should begin coordinating on an operational level with UNIFIL
    headquarters in Naqoura, with UNIFIL coordinating in turn
    with the Israelis. If army chief Michel Sleiman were to meet
    with UNIFIL chief Alain Pellegrini to present the LAF
    deployment plan in detail, and were to ask UNIFIL to pass the
    information on to Israel, this would go a long way to
    convincing the Israelis of the GOL's seriousness. Israel
    needs to have confidence that the LAF is a competent,
    professional organization. Siniora said that Defense
    Minister Murr had already met with Pelligrini, adding that he
    would consider the Ambassador's suggestion to begin
    operational coordination and share the LAF deployment plan
    with UNIFIL.

    CEASEFIRE
    ---------

    ¶6. (C) Siniora also wants to have a clear reference in this
    resolution to implementing a permanent ceasefire, rather than
    the current mention in operative paragraph 13 that a "later
    resolution" will consider "steps to contribute to the
    implementation of a permanent ceasefire." He added that he
    envisions that the simultaneous deployments/withdrawals will
    be the trigger for a permanent ceasefire, and wants something
    to this effect in the resolution. "This has to be stated
    clearly in this resolution, not referred to a later
    resolution." Siniora called the Ambassador two hours after
    the meeting to stress this point again and suggested adding a
    clause under OP 11 that UNIFIL-plus will assist in monitoring
    this ceasefire.

    ENDING THE BLOCKADE/ENSURING AGAINST ARMS SMUGGLING
    --------------------------------------------- ------

    ¶7. (C) Siniora said that he wants the Israeli siege of the
    ports and airports to be lifted immediately following the
    "cessation of hostilities." However, Siniora still has
    trouble with the wording in operative paragraph 5 of the
    draft, particularly the word "verifiably" since this seems to
    impose a supervisory authority over Lebanon. He approves of
    the language in OP 11 (e) since this would be at the GOL's
    "request." The Ambassador stressed that the Israelis will
    not lift the blockade without an effective mechanism in place
    to stop arms smuggling, and suggested there are commercial
    firms that can help with monitoring. Siniora said that this
    is again a sovereignty issue and that "we have to be careful
    not to break things." He added that the seaports and
    airports would not be such an issue - "one can make
    arrangements" - but that the "informal land crossings"
    (Comment. Siniora is likely referring to the much debated
    military roads linking Syria and Lebanon. End Comment) are
    the greatest concern. Avoiding a clear answer, Siniora
    promised to talk with MoD Murr and "think creatively" to find
    out what is "palatable from a sovereignty point of view."

    SHEBAA FARMS
    ------------

    ¶8. (C) Siniora noted that nothing had changed in the
    Sheba'a Farms language in OPs 7 and 9, and suggested again
    that the resolution instead ask SYG Annan to put the
    territory under UN trusteeship pending delineation of the
    border. The Ambassador explained the political and

    BEIRUT 00002588 003 OF 003

    procedural impossibility of getting Israel to agree to such a
    formulation now. Shatta urged that this would not be a
    commitment one way or another, but would make the direction
    on Shebaa a little clearer and "flag it out." Siniora asked
    whether the USG could provide a side letter regarding
    Sheba'a.

    OTHER CONCERNS
    --------------

    ¶9. (C) Siniora, reviewing his handwritten notes taken while
    reading the U.S. draft, suggested again adding another clause
    under OP 11 that UNIFIL-plus will monitor Israel's
    withdrawal. While he understands the mention of resolutions
    425 and 426 in OP 11 is an implicit reference to this,
    Siniora prefers an explicit reference that this is part of
    the mandate of the force.

    ¶10. (C) Siniora still objects to the mention under OP7 to
    respect for the "territorial integrity of Israel," since for
    the Lebanese this implies recognition of the State of Israel.
    The Ambassador pushed back that this was not the implication
    of the text. Siniora argued strongly that the first bullet
    under OP7 be dropped altogether, as the second bullet on
    respecting the Blue Line is sufficient and would not set him
    up for criticism.

    ¶11. (C) Shatta is concerned by the referral in OP13 of a
    later resolution which may consider "further enhancements to
    the mandate" of UNIFIL-plus. He wants to know if these
    enhancements could include allowing UNIFIL-plus to act
    without the consent of the GOL.
    FELTMAN

`