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### Viewing cable 07WELLINGTON566, AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL SECURITY REMARKS GET NO REACTION FROM

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07WELLINGTON566 | 2007-08-06 21:00 | 2011-04-28 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Wellington

`

    VZCZCXRO2760
    RR RUEHAP RUEHNZ RUEHPB RUEHPT
    DE RUEHWL #0566/01 2182100
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 062100Z AUG 07
    FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON
    TO RUEHNZ/AMCONSUL AUCKLAND 1418
    RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 4900
    RUEHDN/AMCONSUL SYDNEY 0552
    RUEHBN/AMCONSUL MELBOURNE 0095
    RUEHPT/AMCONSUL PERTH 0014
    RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 0340
    RUEHPB/AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 0659
    RUEHSV/AMEMBASSY SUVA 0603
    RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 0252
    RUEHAP/AMEMBASSY APIA 0366
    RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 0633
    RUEHJA/AMEMBASSY JAKARTA 0052
    RUEHKL/AMEMBASSY KUALA LUMPUR 0173
    RUEHGP/AMEMBASSY SINGAPORE 0493
    RUEHML/AMEMBASSY MANILA 0527
    RUEHIN/AIT TAIPEI 0077
    RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4534
    RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
    RHHJJAA/JICPAC HONOLULU HI
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 WELLINGTON 000566

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE

    STATE FOR D (FRITZ), EAP/FO, AND EAP/ANP
    NSC FOR VICTOR CHA
    SECDEF FOR OSD/ISD LIZ PHU
    PACOM FOR J01E/J2/J233/J5/SJFHQ

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV NZ
    SUBJECT: AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL SECURITY REMARKS GET NO REACTION FROM
    GNZ

    REF: A. CANBERRA 1021B. CANBERRA 1020

    ¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY: The July 5 Australian White Paper on
    and expressions of willingness by both Australian Prime Minister
    John Howard and Australia's Labor Party leader Kevin Rudd to deploy
    the military to help stabilize the Pacific region has not yet
    received an official reaction from the New Zealand Government.
    However, these Australian comments underscore fundamental
    differences in the defense strategies of New Zealand and Australia
    in the Pacific.
    New Zealand regional security experts have told post that the
    instability in the immediate Pacific region helps
    forge a complementary relationship between Australia and
    NZ that actually has benefits for the greater region and thus ensure
    its prolonged existence. They cautioned, however, that the very
    challenges to bring the two countries together in a uniform strategy
    of regional stability will not be easily resolved. End Summary

    BACKGROUND: Australia's DOD 2207 Defense Update
    --------------------------------------------- --

    ¶3. (SBU) Australian Prime Minister John Howard has used
    the July 5 release of the Australian Department of Defense's 2007
    Defense Update to speak publicly about Australia's strategic future
    and implications for its national security policy (see ref A).
    Howard stated that the prospect of failed states, terrorism,
    transnational crime, and mass migration of refugees in Australia's
    Pacific neighborhood all represented a substantial threat to his
    country's national security. Howard further noted that such crises
    in the region would require that his government continue to employ
    it's actively
    interventionist policy of using both Australia's soft power, in the
    form of aid programs and humanitarian relief, and its hard power, in
    the form of direct military intervention, to address regional
    instability.

    ¶4. (SBU) In outlining the opposition party's regional security
    policies (ref B), Australian Labor Party leader Kevin Rudd offered a
    similar assessment regarding the threats facing Australia. Like
    Howard, Rudd also vowed to commit Australia military resources to
    intervene in the Pacific region if elected Prime Minister.  Rudd,
    however, gave greater weight to employing Australia's soft power
    to stabilize and secure the region.  Rudd supports
    regional aid programs and humanitarian relief, but wants to goes
    further than Howard on soft power. Rudd advocates a greater hands-on
    "winning-the-hearts-and-minds" approach where Australia directly
    intervenes at a community level in affected Pacific states to help
    alleviate shortfalls in such areas as education, healthcare and
    economic development.

    No official reaction from GNZ as yet
    ------------------------------------

    ¶5. (SBU) The GNZ has not yet publicly reacted to either Howard's or
    Rudd's statements, or even the Australian Department of Defense's
    2007 Defense Update. According to
    a New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade official there
    is no plan to do so in the near term.
    Even in a speech by Minster of Defence Phil Goff to the
    New Zealand Defence Force Command and Staff College, delivered a
    week after the release of the White Paper,
    no reference was made to the either the Howard or Rudd statements or
    to Australia's regional security policy.

    WELLINGTON 00000566  002 OF 003

    Post has been told off the record that the lack of an official
    response or comment from GNZ should not be construed as opposition
    to views espoused.

    NZ-Australia divergent in method, convergent in principle
    --------------------------------------------- ------------

    ¶6. (SBU) Howard's statement about Australia's strategic future did,
    however, underline the clear differences in
    the defense outlooks of New Zealand and Australia in the Pacific.
    Whereas Australia prefers a stronger military component to missions
    in the region, New Zealand traditionally gives more emphasis to the
    police and civilian-led components of these endeavors.

    ¶7. (SBU) In many cases, the disparity in New Zealand and Australian
    defense methodologies is shaped by availability of resources.
    Although NZ's defense resources have increased over time, it is
    limited compared to that of Australia's. New Zealand's defence and
    foreign policies also reflect the views of the Government of the
    day. The centre-left Labour-led Government firmly believes in
    multilateralism and multiculturalism.  Since coming to power in
    1999, it has worked to re-configure the NZ Defence Force (NZDF) to
    take advantage of what its regards are innate NZDF strengths - its
    multicultural nature (many
    in the NZ armed services are of Maori origin and Maori
    culture of deeply interwoven in NZ military life) and
    good pre-deployment training. These traits particularly predispose
    the NZDF to being sensitive towards local Pacific populations and
    winning their trust and support. Thus, in the eyes of the GNZ, New
    Zealand is particularly well- suited to support peacekeeping
    operations. The GNZ believes that by better focusing on what the
    NZDF can do well, it can achieve results.

    ¶7. (SBU) Post sought the opinion of two prominent New Zealand
    regional security experts, Peter Cozens and Dr. Lance Beath, in
    order to better determine a New Zealand reaction to the Howard and
    Rudd statements.  Both
    analysts said they were not surprised by the content of both
    statements. They noted that the statements served to underline that,
    although the respective approaches of Australia and New Zealand may
    appear to differ greatly, Canberra's ultimate goal of stabilizing
    the South Pacific also mirrors Wellington's.

    Analysts still expect continued teamwork in Pacific
    --------------------------------------------- ------

    ¶8. (SBU) Despite not pursuing identical paths in force structure,
    development and defense/security philosophy, Beath, a former New
    Zealand Ministry of Defence official and diplomat and now an
    academic at Victoria University
    of Wellington, told Post that there still can be effective
    cooperation despite the divergence in strategy. Despite
    the differences in the two countries' means, Beath
    believes that the New Zealand-Australia strategic defense
    relationship is a sound co-habitation and that the two governments
    will continue to proceed in unison to address the vital strategic
    problems in their Pacific neighborhood.

    ¶9. (SBU) As evidence of desiring similar outcomes, Beath noted that,
    given Australian concerns about what some
    of its political leaders and leading analysts have called the 'arc
    of instability' in it's Pacific neighborhood,
    New Zealand's small, balanced Defense Force can be especially useful
    as a complement to Australia's richer military resources.

    WELLINGTON 00000566  003 OF 003

    ¶10. (SBU) Cozens, Director of the Centre of Strategic Studies, a
    Wellington-based think-tank that focuses on
    New Zealand's strategic security environment, believes
    that the strategic partnership has come into its own in
    the last decade, as Wellington and Canberra have responded jointly
    to Pacific security challenges. He believes that the seemingly
    constant stream of security challenges occurring in the closer
    region will place a premium on cooperation.  These challenges,
    whilst disadvantageous
    for a number of Pacific countries, are conversely helpful for
    superior New Zealand-Australia strategic cooperation, conspiring to
    strengthen rather than harm the New Zealand-Australia strategic
    partnership.

    ¶11. (SBU) With security challenges in the region
    continuing to fester and new ones appearing in a seemingly regular
    basis, both experts agree that it would be imprudent to assume the
    challenges which drive this elevated Trans-Tasman strategic working
    relationship
    will not easily be resolved.

    Keegan

`