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### Viewing cable 03KUWAIT5342, C) FORMER GCC SECGEN OPTIMISTIC FOR THE REGION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
03KUWAIT5342 | 2003-11-22 11:57 | 2011-05-04 00:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Kuwait

Appears in these articles:
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10172
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10173
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10175
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10187
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10176
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10177
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10184
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10178
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10182
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10186
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10179
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10180
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10181
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10183
http://www.al-akhbar.com/node/10174

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L KUWAIT 005342

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR NEA/FO, NEA/ARP, NEA/NGA, NEA/ARN, NEA/ENA

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/21/2013
    TAGS: PREL KDEM KU IZ IR SA EG SY
    SUBJECT: (C) FORMER GCC SECGEN OPTIMISTIC FOR THE REGION

    Classified By: CDA Frank C. Urbancic for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

    ¶1. (C) Summary: Poloffs met with senior Adviser to the Prime
    Minister and former GCC Secretary General Abdullah Bishara on
    November 19. After sharing details of Prime Minister Shaykh
    Sabah Al-Ahmed's domestic agenda (septel), Bishara offered an
    upbeat view on prospects for the region, based on the US
    liberation of Iraq. End Summary.

    The Regional Picture
    --------------------

    ¶2. (C) Bishara was strikingly optimistic about prospects for
    the region, despite the recent upsurge of violence in Iraq.
    He said the US had been complacent after the end of the Cold
    War, but was reawakened by 9/11 and other events, and was
    starting to go back "on the offensive" in the Middle East;
    this was a good thing. He exuded confidence that the US-led
    liberation of Iraq would drive positive change in the region.
    He said the US had nothing to fear from Syria, but should
    keep an eye on Egypt, which was undergoing a period of
    "national fatigue" in which its soaring population,
    unresponsive bureaucracy and lack of economic development
    were leading it down a potentially dangerous path. Bishara
    predicted that the GCC would have good relations with Iraq
    once it became stable, and that Iran would move towards
    moderation as the grip of the mullahs was reduced by pressure
    from its people.
    Saudi Arabia
    ------------

    ¶3. (C) Senior Adviser to the Prime Minister and former GCC
    Secretary General Abdullah Bishara told Poloffs November 19

    SIPDIS
    he was pleased that the Saudi monarchy was finally taking
    steps to combat the threat of terrorism at home, but
    "angered" that the Kingdom was not doing enough to promote
    real change. Referencing a scene he had witnessed on Saudi
    television in which a mullah declared the Saudi regime
    unshakeable, Bishara called efforts by the Saudi government
    "pure sheepishness." He said the KSA needs to promote
    transparency and understanding by opening up the country to
    political discourse and encouraging its citizens to
    participate in conferences and other events outside Saudi
    territory.

    ¶4. (C) Characterizing the royal/clergy partnership in Saudi
    Arabia as "out of fuel," Bishara said there needs to be a
    major rethinking on the part of the Saudi religious
    establishment as to what they are teaching. He faulted the
    religious establishment for "hypocrisy" and intruding on
    people's lives. Bishara, who is solidly in the liberal camp
    but lived in Saudi Arabia for twelve years, said he had
    recently visited Jeddah while performing Umrah, and was
    pleased to find a raging debate there about the future of
    Saudi Arabia.

    Iran
    ----

    ¶5. (C) Bishara, whose nephew is Kuwait's current Ambassador
    to Tehran, said Iran had signed the recent IAEA agreement
    under duress, and predicted the regime would not last more
    than five years in its current state. He said the people are
    fed up with the poor leadership of the mullahs and the lack
    of economic opportunity. "Only oil is keeping the country
    afloat," he added. Bishara said the regime's external
    policies were dominated by the need to stay relevant in the
    world, and Iran tried to balanced its lack of relations with
    the US by maintaining and increasing its ties to countries
    such as China, India and Russia.

    ¶6. (C) Comment: Bishara is a well-connected liberal who has
    Shaykh Sabah's ear. The most striking aspect of his
    presentation was its implicit confidence that the US-led
    liberation of Iraq remains on track and will inexorably
    influence the neighborhood for the better. Any serious,
    long-term setback for democratic opening in Iraq would also
    have serious consequences for Kuwait's modernizing agenda.
    Squeezed among Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia, Kuwait is
    unlikely to strike out on a blazing path towards reform
    without at least some support from at least one of its three
    big neighbors.
    URBANCIC

`