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### Viewing cable 09KAMPALA679, UGANDA/DRC: OPERATION RUDIA II UPDATE (JUNE 29,

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09KAMPALA679 | 2009-06-29 13:47 | 2010-12-17 21:30 | SECRET//NOFORN | Embassy Kampala

`

    VZCZCXRO1567
    RR RUEHRN RUEHROV
    DE RUEHKM #0679/01 1801347
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    R 291347Z JUN 09
    FM AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1539
    INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
    RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
    RHMFISS/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 KAMPALA 000679

    NOFORN
    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/29/19
    TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM MOPS MARR UG CG SU
    SUBJECT: UGANDA/DRC: OPERATION RUDIA II UPDATE (JUNE 29,
    2009)

    REF: KAMPALA 595

    Classified By: P/E Chief Kathleen FitzGibbon for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d
    ).

    ¶1. (SBU) Summary: This cable is a periodic update on the
    regional military operation against the Lord's Resistance
    Army (LRA) known as Operation Rudia II. This report is not
    meant to provide an overarching narrative or polished
    analysis of the operation, but rather offers spot information
    gleaned in Uganda only, from credible U.S. Mission sources
    here. We recognize the regional scope of the operation and
    the fact that our sources may be limited in their knowledge
    and perspective on Rudia II. End Summary.

    - - - - - - - -
    MILITARY UPDATE
    - - - - - - - -

    ¶2. (S NF) Military operations against the Lord's Resistance
    Army (LRA) continue to make progress. Between June 15 and
    29, the Ugandan Peoples Defense Forces (UPDF) killed four and
    captured six LRA fighters and rescued 26 abductees. (Note:
    Other information sources suggest the numbers of LRA killed
    and captured may be higher. End Note.) Ugandan Defense
    Minister Crispus Kiyonga estimates that 50% of the LRA's
    senior leadership and 25% of its fighting force have been
    killed during the military operations. Kiyonga puts the
    number of remaining LRA fighters at 300. The U.N. Mission in
    Congo (MONUC) provides similar figures, estimating that the
    LRA's fighting force currently numbers 300-400 and its
    abductees number 600-1,000. (Note: We believe MONUC's
    numbers of abductees in captivity is high. End Note.)
    Recent reports show that LRA leader Joseph Kony is moving
    toward Bokoya, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in line
    with earlier reports that LRA leadership was believed to be
    moving west towards the Central African Republic (CAR)
    border. Meanwhile, his deputy, Okot Odhiambo, continues to
    make moves to divert attention away from Kony's group. MONUC
    also reports an emerging trend among Congolese youth
    imitating LRA tactics and generating false reports of "LRA
    activities" and attacks on civilians.

    ¶3. (C) Ambassador Browning attended a "Friends of MONUC"
    meeting on June 22. MONUC briefed the group on the Chiefs of
    Defense Forces (CHOD) meeting in Kisangani. The CHODs from
    DRC, Uganda, and CAR agreed that military operations are
    putting pressure on the LRA and should continue. MONUC
    discussed its ability to provide logistical support to CAR
    and/or Uganda should its area of operations expand, but says
    it would need a new mandate from the U.N. Security Council to
    do so. Notably, MONUC did not mention the possibility of
    expanding operations into southern Sudan. (Note: Our sources
    speculate that this is because the LRA does not seem to be
    moving towards southern Sudan. End Note.) The meeting's
    participants noted that there also seems to be confusion
    regarding recent rumors of LRA activity in southern Sudan and
    possible Khartoum support for these activities spurred by
    comments from a southern Sudanese politician from Western
    Equatoria Province that appeared in the Ugandan press. The
    group recognized that these rumors are unconfirmed and
    cautioned operators in the region to exercise restraint in
    perpetuating such rumors.

    - - - - - - - - - - -
    POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT
    - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶4. (C) The Government of Uganda formally charged MEGA FM
    journalist Patrick Otim and eleven others with treason for
    their association with the Peoples Patriotic Front, a nascent
    rebel group in northern Uganda (ref A). The Government has
    not and does not intend to make any further arrests, despite
    the fears of opposition politicians that they will be
    implicated and detained for political purposes.

    ¶5. (S NF) UPDF Spokesman Felix Kulayigye told P/E Chief on
    June 25 that Kenyan Prime Minister Raila Odinga may be making
    common cause with the Acholi opposition in Uganda and
    diaspora elements in Nairobi to advocate on behalf of LRA
    leader Joseph Kony. Odinga reportedly has written a letter
    to U.S. President Barack Obama requesting that the U.S. stop
    its operations against the LRA. Odinga, an ethnic Luo,
    reportedly is attempting to unite the Luo-speaking
    communities of western Kenya, southern Sudan, and northern
    Uganda. (Note: The Acholi people in northern Uganda are Luo
    speakers. The majority of elected parliamentarians in the
    Acholi sub-region are members of the opposition. End Note.)
    Kulayigye said the Government suspects Odinga of supporting

    KAMPALA 00000679 002 OF 002

    the Ugandan opposition because President Museveni supported
    Kenyan President Kibaki during the Kenyan elections. Ugandan
    Government sources allege that Odinga met with Government of
    Southern Sudan President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek
    Machar with a similar request. (Note: We do not know how
    Kiir responded. End Note.)

    ¶6. (SBU) U.N. Special Envoy for LRA-Affected Areas Joachim
    Chissano's contract ends on June 30. He postponed his final
    report to the U.N. Security Council until July 15. LRA chief
    negotiator David Matsanga grabbed the opportunity to claim in
    the press that he persuaded Chissano to delay the report.
    Matsanga's claims are "a lie," according to Nuno Tomas, the
    head of Chissano's office in Kampala. Chissano had other
    commitments in Madagascar and could not travel to New York
    until mid-July.

    ¶7. (U) In a significant diplomatic development, the newly
    accredited Congolese Ambassador, Charles Okoto Lola Kombe,
    arrived in Kampala on June 24, 2009. Kombe's arrival
    upgrades DRC's representation to the ambassadorial level and
    is the culmination of three year's of regional diplomatic
    efforts through the Tripartite Plus process and bilateral
    discussions between the two countries to normalize relations.
    The move is expected to strengthen Ugandan-Congolese
    cooperation. Kampala has nominated and is awaiting approval
    for its new ambassador to Kinshasa.

    - - - - - - - - - - -
    HUMANITARIAN SITUATION
    - - - - - - - - - - - -

    ¶8. (S NF) The World Food Program (WFP) is now coordinating
    its food drops in LRA areas with MONUC and UPDF forces from
    Dungu, according to MONUC sources.
    BROWNING

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