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### Viewing cable 03OTTAWA660, MEDIA REACTION: IRAQ; TURKEY

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
03OTTAWA660 | 2003-03-10 20:30 | 2011-04-28 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Ottawa

`

    This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 000660

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR WHA/CAN, WHA/PDA
    WHITE HOUSE PASS NSC/WEUROPE

    E.O. 12958:  N/A
    TAGS: KPAO KMDR OPRC CA OIIP
    SUBJECT:  MEDIA REACTION: IRAQ; TURKEY

    IRAQ
    ¶1.   "How to lose the war of public opinion"
    Under the sub-heading, "The Bush administration might
    think it has enough evidence to attack Saddam Hussein,
    but the polls show otherwise," Calgary Herald columnist
    Danielle Smith wrote in the nationalist Ottawa Citizen
    (3/7): "Had Saddam Hussein been responsible for the
    Sept. 11 terrorist attacks; had he harboured Osama bin
    Laden and his henchmen in the fallout of the Taliban
    regime collapse; had the United States revealed Saddam
    has provided weapons of mass destruction to militant
    Islamic groups; had he recently invaded foreign
    territory, lobbed missiles at one of his neighbours,
    discharged chemical weapons or attacked the U.S.
    directly - any of these would have been sufficient
    grounds for an immediate attack. But
    there aren't clear grounds, which is why U.S.
    President George W. Bush and British Prime Minister
    Tony Blair should not invade Iraq.... What has Iraq
    done to the West, or even to its neighbours lately? The
    U.S. argues Iraq may supply terrorist  organizations
    with weapons of mass destruction. That may be true, but
    so could a lot of other nations, and the U.S. can't
    wage war on them all.... There is no question that Iraq
    is a tragic case. Iraqis need
    liberation, to free them from the abuse they suffer at
    Saddam's hands, and to stop thousands of politically
    motivated executions. Saddam is an evil man, but so are
    many other despots and dictators, and the U.S. can't
    topple them all. The responsibility for regime change
    in Iraq ultimately lies with Iraqi citizens, not the
    U.S. And, in any event, the question before the UN is
    disarmament, not regime change. There is no question
    which nation is the strong horse now. Crushing Saddam
    Hussein to drive the point home just isn't necessary."

    ¶2.   "First Iraq, then UN"
    The conservative tabloid Winnipeg Sun opined (3/7):
    "People keep talking about the looming irrelevancy of
    the United Nations if the U.S. unilaterally invades
    Iraq as if this was a bad thing. Why? The destruction
    of the UN in its present form is almost as desirable as
    ridding the world of Saddam Hussein. The UN's fatal
    flaw is that it treats every member state the same,
    regardless of its human rights record. Because its
    dictatorships so often act in concert, the UN has run
    amok for years.... Post 9/11, America has every
    justification for war. Not only is Saddam a cruel
    tyrant to his own people who has attacked three
    neighbours, he has vigorously pursued weapons of mass
    destruction and financially supported terrorism.... We
    don't share George Bush's view that toppling Saddam
    will inspire a wave of democracy in the Mideast's
    thuggish dictators. But it will warn them, effectively,
    that from now on there will be a price to pay for
    following Iraq's lead. As for the UN, its few
    worthwhile aid and humanitarian programs can be revived
    under a new global organization in which democracies,
    not dictatorships, must play the dominant role."

    TURKEY
    ¶3.   "The day the Turks came out'
    Columnist Jeffrey Simpson commented in the leading
    Globe and Mail (3/7): "...The Turkish government could
    scarcely believe it lost the vote. Washington was
    stunned. After all, Turkey has been a strong U.S. ally
    and a NATO member, and had been a front-line state
    during the 1991 Persian Gulf war.... Recep Tayyip
    Erdogan's government had all kinds of political
    capital. It had received an overwhelming mandate in
    November to clean up Turkish politics. Although
    nominally an Islamist party, Mr. Erdogan's team
    said and did everything to convince Western countries
    that Turkey would remain a faithful ally. Now this. The
    Turks, who know Iraq, understand that, despite today's
    sweet pronouncements about respecting borders, there
    are Kurds in eastern Turkey and Kurds in northern Iraq
    (and in Syria and Iran), and that blood often runs
    thicker than the water of political declarations of
    intent. They know that, after the Americans leave Iraq,
    the Turks will be left to cope with its ethnic
    rivalries. The hint of Turkish troops entering northern
    Iraq with the Americans inflamed Iraqi Kurds; the idea
    of a quasi-autonomous Kurdish territory inside Iraq
    frightened the Turks. The
    Turks don't like Saddam Hussein, but they don't fear
    him, either, and they are a lot closer to his regime
    than the U.S. is. The Turkish military prizes
    its relationship with the U.S. military. Maybe the
    generals and better parliamentary tactics can reverse
    what happened in parliament. Even so, the first vote
    reflected well on Turkish democracy and sent a signal -
    which will undoubtedly be ignored in Washington - that
    the people of yet another friendly country have
    deserted the United States."            CELLUCCI

`