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### Viewing cable 08RIODEJANEIRO280, BRAZIL, PETROBRAS APPEAR AMBIVALENT ON ECUADOR OIL

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08RIODEJANEIRO280 | 2008-10-08 17:05 | 2011-05-02 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Consulate Rio De Janeiro

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    VZCZCXRO1471
    RR RUEHAO RUEHCD RUEHGA RUEHGD RUEHGR RUEHHA RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHMT
    RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHQU RUEHRD RUEHRG RUEHRS RUEHTM RUEHVC
    DE RUEHRI #0280 2821705
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 081705Z OCT 08
    FM AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4660
    INFO RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 0993
    RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 5195
    RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 3465
    RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 0121
    RUEHWH/WHA DIPL POSTS COLLECTIVE
    RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC
    RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS RIO DE JANEIRO 000280

    SIPDIS
    SENSITIVE

    STATE FOR WHA/BSC, WHA/AND, WHA/EPSC, EB/ESC

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ENRG ETTC EPET EINV PREL EC AR NI AO LY IN TZ PK
    BR
    SUBJECT: BRAZIL, PETROBRAS APPEAR AMBIVALENT ON ECUADOR OIL
    CONTRACTS

    SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED, PLEASE PROTECT ACCORDINGLY

    ¶1.  (U) Jose Sergio Gabrielli, President of Brazil's
    state-controlled oil and gas company Petrobras, said October 7 that
    the company would not renegotiate with the Government of Ecuador on
    its oil production in the country.  The statement was made during
    the inauguration of Petrobras' P-51 platform in the Campos Basin
    deepwater "Marlim Sul" field off the coast of Rio de Janeiro state.
    It was Gabrielli's first official statement after Ecuador's
    President Rafael Correa threatened to expel Petrobras from his
    country if the company did not renegotiate on new terms of oil
    production.

    ¶2.  (U) In early September, Correa ordered the renegotiation of the
    contracts with all foreign oil companies which currently exploit
    half of the country's oil fields and keep 82 percent of the
    revenues.  France's Repsol-YFP, Spain's Perenco and China's Andes
    Petroleum have already agreed to change their contracts.  Under the
    new contract, Ecuador keeps the oil production by paying for the
    production costs as well as a share of the profits.

    ¶3.  (U) Petrobras has a very limited presence in Ecuador -- only one
    exploration block and one production block with average daily output
    of 10,400 barrels per day.  That accounts for less than 0.5% of the
    company's total production.

    ¶4.  (U) Brazil's President Lula, who also attended the Petrobras
    platform inauguration, said the government was not taking part in
    the negotiations, but government departments might join the
    discussion if necessary.  Lula stressed that though the problem is
    minor, Petrobras could reconsider its position about its operations
    in Ecuador.  He said, "If there is an agreement, great.  If not,
    Petrobras will find another way, and Ecuador will find new
    partners."

    ¶5.  (SBU) Comment: Petrobras was probably considering pulling out of
    Ecuador anyway, for purely business reasons, so that it can focus
    resources here in Brazil.  On October 2, Petrobras Global Business
    Manager Samir Awad told State Department Undersecretary for
    Economic, Energy, and Agricultural Affairs Reuben Jeffery that the
    company will likely pull back on many of its international
    operations with the exception of investments in the U.S., Argentina,
    Nigeria and Angola.  He said that Petrobras will probably pull out
    completely from Libya, India, Tanzania, and Pakistan.  Given the
    Petrobras' relatively minor interests in Ecuador, it appears that
    the Government of Brazil will not intervene in Petrobras' business
    decisions like it has previously done on deals with countries such
    as Venezuela and Bolivia.  We do not expect Petrobras to renegotiate
    its contracts in Ecuador, and could see the company pull out from
    Ecuador in the near future.  What implications the GOB may draw from
    the oil industry's response to Ecuador's changes as Brazil considers
    its own plans for oil sector restructuring remains to be seen.  End
    Comment.

    ¶6.  This message was cleared/coordinated with Embassy Brasilia.

    MARTINEZ

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