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### Viewing cable 09SANJOSE622, TFHO1: ARIAS MAKES FINAL EFFORT FOR HONDURAS

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09SANJOSE622 | 2009-07-24 23:00 | 2011-04-18 20:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy San Jose

`

    VZCZCXYZ0000
    OO RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHSJ #0622/01 2052300
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    O 242300Z JUL 09
    FM AMEMBASSY SAN JOSE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1063
    INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
    RHMFISS/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL IMMEDIATE
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
    RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SAN JOSE 000622

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR WHA, WHA/CEN AND USOAS, SOUTHCOM ALSO FOR FPA

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/24/2019
    TAGS: AEMR ASEC CASC KFLO MARR AMGT PGOV PINR PREL
    KDEM, CS, HO
    SUBJECT: TFHO1: ARIAS MAKES FINAL EFFORT FOR HONDURAS
    SOLUTION

    REF: A. SAN JOSE 608
         ¶B. SAN JOSE 602
         ¶C. SAN JOSE 587

    Classified By: Peter M. Brennan for reason 1.4 (d).

    ¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY. On July 22, President Oscar Arias presented
    his final proposal, a carefully balanced mix of his original
    Seven Points and a Micheletti counterproposal, to end the
    ongoing constitutional crisis in Honduras.  The "San Jose
    Accord (or Agreement)," as Arias called it (despite a lack of
    agreement on either side) laid out 12 points detailing a
    possible reconciliation including the return of Manuel Zelaya
    to the presidency and the moving forward by one month of
    national elections.  Zelaya representative Rixi Moncada, in
    her statement after Arias read his proposal, said that the
    "accord had failed" and repeatedly referred to the interim
    government as a "militaristic, coupist" regime.  Roberto
    Micheletti's representative at the press conference, Mauricio
    Villeda, was less antagonistic and said that "we respect the
    separation of powers" in government and would review Arias'
    proposal with the legislature and Supreme Court.  However, he
    still rejected the re-installation of Zelaya as president.
    Arias ended his part by saying that unless both parties
    agreed to discuss the San Jose Accord, his mediation was over
    and further mediation could take place at the OAS.  A brief
    review of the San Jose Agreement is in para seven.  END
    SUMMARY.

    ¶2. (U) Late in the afternoon of July 22, President Oscar
    Arias convened a press conference on his "San Jose Accord,"
    flanked by both Honduran delegations.  Approximately 20
    ambassadors, including CDA Brennan, from the diplomatic corps
    also attended the event.  In his opening statement, Arias
    reviewed the status of negotiations in San Jose up to that
    point and emphasized that the only way out of this stalemate
    was by a negotiated reconciliation.  Victory, he said, will
    go to both sides, or none at all.

    ¶3. (U) Arias said that it was up to the delegations now to
    decide if they were going to sign the accord and that his job
    as mediator was to seek the peaceful re-establishment of the
    constitutional order and democracy in Honduras.  He
    underlined that unless both parties committed to work on the
    new accord, his mediating role was complete and that there
    were other routes for mediation to this conflict, such as the
    OAS.  He hoped that the Honduran delegations would now
    complete their part.

    ¶4. (U) At this point, Arias proceeded to read, word for word,
    the entire 12 points of the San Jose Accord.  (NOTE:
    Actually, there are 10 substantial points, an implementation
    schedule, and a final declaration.  END NOTE)  Immediately
    after Arias' speech, Rixi Moncada (from Zelaya's delegation)
    forcefully read her statement and concluded by saying that
    the "agreement had failed."  She repeatedly referred to the
    de facto government as a militaristic and "coupist"
    ("golpista" in Spanish) regime and would not sign this new
    "agreement."  Moncada added that:

     -- From Saturday (July 18) until today nothing has happened;
     -- their side had accepted Arias' Seven Point proposal, but
    Micheletti's had not;
     -- we want to re-establish the constitutional order;
     -- at the request of U.S. Secretary (of State) Clinton, we
    accepted President Arias' mediation, but the de facto regime
    did not;
     -- we request that President Arias urgently cal on all SICA
    presidents, the OAS Permanent Councl and the UN Security
    Council to enforce their rsolutions based on domestic and
    international rights; and
     -- this proposal failed because of the ntransigent de facto
    government.

    ¶5. (SBU) Immdiately after Moncada spoke, Micheletti
    representative Mauricio Villeda said that he would take the
    proposal back to Honduras.  He emphasized, in a pointed jab
    at the Zelaya delegation, that "we respect the separation of
    powers" of government and "democratic institutionality."  His
    statement was far less antagonistic than Moncada's, but he
    firmly rejected any re-installation of Zelaya as president.
    Villeda added that:

     -- Honduras is a country that has experienced a great deal
    of international interference;
     -- the country is united and you can travel there and verify

    it;
     -- this accord presents points already proposed, its
    calendar insists on Zelaya's return to power and the
    conformation of a conciliation government;
     -- we are taking this proposal to our three powers and our
    general prosecutor; and
     -- our authorities will be in touch with you to continue
    this dialogue.

    ¶6. (C) After all of the statements, Costa Rican FM Bruno
    Stagno told us that there really was no viable option other
    than negotiation.  He said that "armed insurrection is not
    the answer."  He also agreed that neither side really wanted
    to go back to the OAS.  He added that behind closed doors,
    the delegations were not as "sharp" with each other and that
    there was still room for negotiation and time to peacefully
    resolve the crisis.  President Arias figured that it could
    take up to eight days for the next round of negotiations to
    begin.

    ¶7. (U) Brief review of the 12 points of the San Jose
    Agreement:

     -- Formation of a government of national unity and
    reconciliation comprised of representatives of the different
    political parties;
     -- Political amnesty exclusively for political crimes
    committed before and after June 28, 2009 and until the
    signing of this agreement.  Likewise, signatories to the
    agreement would not initiate or continue legal actions on
    account of acts prior to July 1, 2009 arising out of this
    conflict for a period of six months;
     -- Renouncement of the convocation of a constituent national
    assembly to amend aspects of the constitution that cannot be
    amended;
     -- Consider moving forward national elections from November
    29 to October 28, 2009;
     -- Command of the Honduran Armed Forces would transfer to
    the Supreme Electoral Tribunal one month prior to the
    elections;
     -- Return of public authorities to positions they held prior
    to June 28, which implies the return of Jose Manuel Zelaya
    Rosales to the Presidency of the Republic until the end of
    the current governmental term on January 27, 2010;
     -- Establishment of a Verification Commission (to be chaired
    by OAS and other Honduran and international suitable  figures
    to ensure that this agreement is carried out, and the
    establishment of a Truth Commission;
     -- Normalization of relations between Honduras and the
    international community (requesting immediate revocation of
    measures or sanctions imposed against Honduras);
     -- Entry into force of the Agreement of San Jose (upon
    signature);
     -- Final Provisions (disagreements on interpretation or
    implementation of this agreement will be submitted to the
    Verification Commission);
     -- Schedule for compliance with the Agreement (lists dates
    for compliance if this agreement had been signed); and
     -- Final Statement (commitment to implementing agreement).

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶8. (C) With this proposal, Arias has left the ball firmly in
    the courts of Zelaya and Micheletti.  Both sides, though, are
    clearly dug in to their primary positions and have not budged
    on them.  With Arias' negotiations "complete," there is at
    this point no plan for next steps, no definite timetable, and
    no clear path to a resolution.  Costa Rica is hosting the
    11th Tuxtla summit next week (July 27) and Zelaya has
    confirmed his participation, so there may be further
    discussions on the margins of that event.
    BRENNAN

`