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### Viewing cable 09BUENOSAIRES118, ARGENTINA: SPANISH AMBASSADOR PREVIEWS CFK'S

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09BUENOSAIRES118 | 2009-02-04 14:02 | 2011-03-14 07:07 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Buenos Aires
Appears in these articles: http://www.lanacion.com.ar/1357238-evaluaron-echar-a-la-argentina-del-g-20 http://www.lanacion.com.ar/1357239-gestiones-ante-el-gobierno-para-pedir-un-cambio

`

    VZCZCXYZ0001
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHBU #0118/01 0351439
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    R 041439Z FEB 09
    FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2967
    INFO RUCNMER/MERCOSUR COLLECTIVE
    RUEHLI/AMEMBASSY LISBON 0051
    RUEHMD/AMEMBASSY MADRID 2197
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
    RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFISS/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L BUENOS AIRES 000118

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/04/2019
    TAGS: PGOV PREL ECON EFIN ETRD SP AR
    SUBJECT: ARGENTINA: SPANISH AMBASSADOR PREVIEWS CFK'S
    PROBLEMATIC VISIT TO MADRID

    REF: MADRID 0084

    Classified By: Ambassador E. Anthony Wayne for reasons 1.4 (B) and (D).

    ¶1.  (C) Ambassador met with Spanish Ambassador Rafael
    Estrella February 2 to discuss the February 9-11 visit of
    Argentine President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK) to
    Madrid.  Estrella, a well-connected former politician,
    offered the following thoughts on the visit.

    ¶2.  (C) Efforts to Postpone:  Estrella confided that CFK and
    her advisors, notably husband Nestor Kirchner, are very
    worried about the February visit going awry given the
    commercial tensions in the relationship.  Twice in recent
    weeks, the Spanish Ambassador had to weigh in with Cabinet
    Minister Massa to keep the visit, already rescheduled several
    times (most recently in October), from being postponed once
    again.  First, when CFK fell ill and postponed her January
    11-16 trip to Cuba and Venezuela to January 18-23, the
    Argentines tried to postpone the trip to Spain, pointing to
    the President's need not to get too tired.  Then, after her
    trip to Cuba, the Spanish Ambassador heard from his Argentine
    counterpart that CFK was going to postpone to March or later,
    expressing worry about the negative reception CFK would
    receive because of outstanding commercial disputes.  In both
    cases, Estrella weighed in with Massa to argue that
    postponing would have more negative effects than going and
    would send the wrong signals to friends of Argentina in the
    government of Spain.  He said he believes his Argentine
    counterpart also weighed in the second time, and the trip was
    salvaged.  (CFK did cancel, however, another major trip also
    contemplated for February -- to India and South Korea, the
    former because of the PM's surgery.)

    ¶3.  (C) Spanish Business and Press Hostile: Still, Estrella
    said, CFK is worried about her reception by Spanish business
    and in the press.  This worry is well-founded.  Spanish
    business and financial organizations in Spain are very upset
    with the GOA (he noted the tremendous fall in the Madrid
    stock market when the GOA announced the nationalization of
    private pension funds).  The Spanish media is disillusioned.
    CFK's pre-election visit had raised hopes about better
    Spanish-Argentine relations, but her presidency has fallen
    far short of those expectations. Views within the Spanish
    Government, he added, are divided.  The economic side of the
    house is very upset with the GoA, while the more political
    side sees the value in maintaining dialogue and trying to
    elicit coordination with the GoA.  (Note:  CFK made headlines
    here in August when she acidly criticized the Spanish Central
    Bank for rating Argentina as a country of ""elevated risk"" for
    investment.)

    ¶4.  (C) Limiting Exposure: To limit contact with those
    critical of CFK, her staff will allow only private meetings
    with the heads of major Spanish companies invested in
    Argentina and remarks in a carefully controlled context.  One
    of the company CEOs to meet with CFK will be Repsol, whose
    leader plans to go over the economic hardships currently
    confronting the company.

    ¶5.  (C) Big Work Agenda: the Nationalization of Spanish-owned
    Aerolineas Argentinas and of the private pension funds
    (including the fund operated by Spanish Bank BBVA Banco
    Frances), the plight of other Spanish companies, including a
    local energy generation and distribution company and
    Telefonica, developments in the region, the G-20 process, and
    on the more positive side improved anti-narcotics cooperation
    are among the items on the agenda.

    ¶6.  (C) Trade: The Spanish plan to explore restarting the
    Mercosur-EU trade liberalization process.  Apparently, the
    Argentine MFA would like to see this process restart, in part
    to offset the very negative stance Argentina took in the Doha
    WTO talks.

    ¶7.  (C) Airlines: Aerolineas Argentinas compensation talks
    between the GoA Transportation Secretariat and Spanish
    company Marsans, which used to own the airlines, continue,
    but it is not clear when they might come to conclusion.

    ¶8.  (C) Pension Funds: AFJP Nationalization left the Spanish
    investor BBVA/Banco Frances without compensation for the
    expropriation of its pension fund, ""Consolidar.""  There has
    been no progress to date in discussions with the GoA.  BBVA

    remains most concerned about the status of Consolidar's 3,000
    odd employees.  It seeks to ensure that most of them are
    hired by the Argentine Social Security Agency (ANSES).

    ¶9.  (C) Energy: In addition to Repsol, which had felt
    squeezed by GoA policies for some time, Spanish-owned ENDESA
    controls three important power generators in Argentina, as
    well as the EDESUR electricity distribution company for the
    southern part of Buenos Aires city and province.  The GoA has
    been putting great pressure on EDESUR to increase production
    and investment, but so far its pressure has been low-key
    (probably because of the very public dispute over Aerolineas
    Argentina).

    ¶10.  (C) Toll Roads: Two Spanish companies hold toll road
    concessions around Buenos Aires.  One has received a needed
    toll rate increase, and the other has not, pending a 10%
    purchase by local investors.

    ¶11.  (C) Telephones:  Spanish telephone giant Telefonica
    faces concerns from Argentina's anti-trust authorities about
    its new ownership stakes in Italy's Telecom, which is also
    present in the country.  GoA authorities are blocking Telecom
    from acting on this option to buy out some Argentine
    investors in the local Telecom operation (Madrid 84).  So
    far, the Argentine investors (the Wertheim family) seem to
    have maneuvered to retain and perhaps expand their control in
    the local Telecom operation.

    ¶12.  (C) Fighting Drugs: On the positive side, narcotics
    cooperation has significantly improved since the countries
    signed an MOU in 2007.  Much more intelligence is being
    shared and arrests have moved from individual smugglers to
    taking down smuggling networks.

    ¶13.  (C) G-20: On the G-20 process, the Spanish Ambassador
    said he was hopeful that the UK would find a way to have
    Spain present at the April summit and that the Spanish
    President would likely discuss the topic with CFK.  He noted,
    however, that her presentation at the first G-20 meeting in
    November had not been very effective, and he wondered if she
    would again use the opportunity to tout the ""Argentina model""
    rather that helping leaders find solutions.

    ¶14.  (C) Traveling Party:  There are rumors that Nestor
    Kirchner might accompany CFK on this trip.  Also, the press
    is reporting that the head of the powerful CGT union
    confederation and the chief of the Argentine Industry
    Federation (UIA) might accompany CFK.
    WAYNE

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