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### Viewing cable 06WELLINGTON910, NEW ZEALAND ACTIVE IN TONGA AND FIJI

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06WELLINGTON910 | 2006-11-20 20:08 | 2011-04-28 00:12 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Wellington

`

    VZCZCXRO4395
    PP RUEHPB
    DE RUEHWL #0910/01 3242052
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 202052Z NOV 06
    FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3505
    INFO RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 4611
    RUEHPB/AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 0611
    RUEHSV/AMEMBASSY SUVA 0531
    RUEHDN/AMCONSUL SYDNEY 0478
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC
    RHHJJAA/JICPAC HONOLULU HI
    RHHMUNA/USCINCPAC CAMP H M SMITH HI
    RUEKJCS/OSD WASHINGTON DC
    RHHMUNA/USCINCPAC HONOLULU HI

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 WELLINGTON 000910

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR D (FRITZ), EAP/FO, OES/OA, AND EAP/ANP
    NSC FOR VICTOR CHA
    SECDEF FOR OSD/ISD JESSICA POWERS
    PACOM FOR J01E/J2/J233/J5/SJFHQ

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/20/2021
    TAGS: ASEC CASC PREL NZ TN
    SUBJECT: NEW ZEALAND ACTIVE IN TONGA AND FIJI

    Classified By: DCM David J. Keegan. Reasons: E.O. 12958, 1.4 (b)
    and (d).

    ¶1. (C) Summary.  Alan Williams, Deputy Director at New ZealandQs
    Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade, told the DCM November 20
    that the current crisis in Tonga resulted from economic and
    political problems that have been developing over many months,
    but appeared to have abated. The Tongan Government was in
    disarray. For example, within 24 hours it requested, canceled,
    and then requested again military and police forces from
    Australia and New Zealand. Fiji remains a concern, and New
    Zealand has not yet decided whether it will allow Bainimarama to
    visit later this week for his granddaughterQs First Communion.
    Williams looks forward to discussing these issues next week in
    Washington. End summary.

    ¶2. (C) Williams said that it had been a busy few weeks on
    Pacific Island issues, and he had spent much of the weekend on
    the cell phone with Prime Minister Helen ClarkQs party in
    Vietnam to discuss developments both in Tonga and Fiji. In the
    middle of our meeting, Williams took a call from Andrea Smith,
    Foreign Policy Advisor for the Prime Minister, currently in
    Sydney en route back from Vietnam, informing him that there
    would be a meeting early tomorrow, Tuesday, morning to review
    ongoing developments in the Pacific Island Countries.

    Tonga:  A Crisis When the Tsunami Appeared Past
    --------------------------------------------- --

    ¶3. (C) Tonga has been a focus of concern at MFAT for many
    months. Williams noted that he had done a memo last spring
    laying out what he described then as the Qcoming tsunamiQ of
    economic and political challenges facing the island nation. The
    economic storm was driven by a current accounts deficit and a
    bloated public sector. The political storm came from increasing
    pressure for democratic reforms, made only worse this autumn by
    the accession of a new king with little apparent understanding
    or sympathy for political reform. In the late spring and early
    summer, the Tongan government reduced the size of the government
    bureaucracy by twenty percent and began to get the current
    accounts deficit under control. In the last few weeks, TongaQs
    Prime Minister had reviewed the series of proposals for greater
    democracy, including calls for a larger percentage of elected
    seats in the national parliament, and responded with what
    Williams considered a very constructive proposal. There was a
    sense that the storm might have passed.

    ¶4. (C) A failure to consult, rather than resistance to
    democratic change, appears to be what provoked demonstrations
    and violence. There was, Williams assessed, a sense by reform
    proponents that they were being excluded from influence on the
    reform process that they had initiated. It was that frustration
    that appears to have led to the demonstrations and eventual
    violence. Williams added that it was clear that the violence had
    clearly been planned, that rioters were being provided with
    Molotov cocktails and the like and sent out onto the streets.

    ¶5. (C) The riots had caught the Tongan government, as well as
    Canberra and Wellington, off guard. The result was confusion and
    contradiction. For example, the Tongan Prime Minister had called
    Williams Thursday evening, November 17, to request that New
    Zealand together with Australia provide troops to help control
    the violence. After consultation with the Prime Minister on the
    road and the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade,
    MFAT approved the dispatch of forces. Forty minutes before the
    NZ military aircraft took off for Tonga, Williams got a second
    call asking that New Zealand and Australia not send forces.
    Later on Friday, Tonga reversed course again and asked the
    forces be provided. Williams said he had, in the interim, made
    it clear to the Tongan government that no commercial flights
    would resume without complete security at the international
    airport.

    ¶6. (C) New Zealand, in coordination with Australia, agreed once
    more to provide forces. However, the Prime MinisterQs office
    made it clear that she did not want to see NZ forces put in a
    situation where they would appear to be defending the current
    Tongan Government against democracy advocates. New Zealand did

    WELLINGTON 00000910  002 OF 002

    agree to provide anadditional twenty or so police forces to
    assist in forensic and arson investigations in the Tongan
    capital, Nuku-alofa. Williams said NZ would seek over the near
    future to transition its Tonga deployment to more police and
    fewer military. The Tongan Government has informed NZ that some
    of those suspected of instigating the violence of the past few
    days are trying to depart Tonga on board Air New Zealand
    flights, scheduled to resume today. NZ has made it clear that it
    would prefer to have the Tongans act to prevent their boarding,
    rather than having to decide itself on this issue.

    ¶7. (C) A senior New Zealand consultant, Dr. Andrew Ladley,
    Director of the Institute of Policy Studies in the School of
    Government at Victoria University in Wellington, is currently in
    Tonga, on an MFAT grant, helping the government rewrite its
    government manuals. Last Thursday, he participated in a series
    of meetings by the Tongan cabinet and Privy Council (the cabinet
    in session with the King), which were coping with the developing
    protests and violence. Williams said that Ladley encouraged the
    government, he thought with some success, to be responsive to
    the protestorsQ demands, while remaining within the bounds of
    what the constitution allowed the government to do.

    ¶8. (C) Separately, MFAT told POLOff that the New Zealand High
    Commission in Nuku'alofa anticipates that the King will make a
    speech (now being drafted) later in the week.  NZ MFAT will be
    looking at that speech with interest as it develops an
    assistance package.  The package, being led by NZAID with
    substantial input from the Department of Prime Minister in
    Cabinet, includes reconstruction assistance and provision of
    skilled arbiters.  Deputy Director of the MFATQs Pacific
    Division, Peter Heenan, said that a similar offer of arbitration
    was extended during the public service crisis last year, but
    that the offer was not taken up.  NZDF along with Australian
    counterparts have secured the airport, and Air New Zealand has
    resumed flights.  Heenan said that there is no hard deadline for
    the end of the NZDF deployment, but that a one-week deployment
    is currently anticipated.  Tonga defense forces have locked-down
    the central business district, and the NZ High Commissioner
    reported difficulty getting to work.

    Continuing Concern over Fiji
    ----------------------------

    ¶9. (C). NZ also remains concerned that the political situation
    in Fiji remains murky and that an evacuation may become
    necessary. If so, the PM has said that any NZ intervention
    should be limited to protection of evacuation operations; NZ
    does not want to see a situation in which NZ forces might be
    sent to Fiji and confront the Fijian armed forces, who have
    extensive experience in presumably violent operational
    environments in the Middle East and elsewhere.

    ¶10. (C) The political climate in Fiji is difficult to gauge,
    given BainimaramaQs confrontational approach to the Prime
    Minister and the Council of Chiefs, as well as the apparent
    widespread support for his political demands. New Zealand has
    still not decided how to respond to the request from Bainimarama
    for permission to visit next weekend to attend his granddaughterQ
    s First Communion. Williams said that the decision would need to
    be made in the next two days, but that there is still no clear
    indication of what that decision might be.

    Visit to Washington
    -------------------

    ¶11. (SBU) Williams said that he is looking forward to discussing
    Pacific Island developments, as well as other areas in his
    portfolio -- the Middle East and Africa -- during his visit to
    Washington next week.

    McCormick

`