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### Viewing cable 06BEIRUT2474, TFLE01: SHIA ANGER BUTTRESSING HIZBALLAH;

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06BEIRUT2474 | 2006-07-26 15:03 | 2011-03-15 18:06 | CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN | Embassy Beirut
Appears in these articles: not yet set

`

    VZCZCXRO1944
    PP RUEHAG RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHKUK
    DE RUEHLB #2474/01 2071549
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 261549Z JUL 06
    FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4793
    INFO RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BEIRUT 002474

    SIPDIS

    NOFORN
    SIPDIS

    NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/SINGH/HARDING

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/26/2016
    TAGS: IS KISL LE MOPS PTER
    SUBJECT: TFLE01: SHIA ANGER BUTTRESSING HIZBALLAH;
    INVASION WELCOMED

    Classified By: Ambassador Jeffrey D. Feltman. Reason: Section 1.4 (d).

    SUMMARY
    --------

    ¶1. (C/NF) On July 26, Embassy contacts in the Shia
    community reported that Shia support for Hizballah was
    strong, as was anger at the USG for supporting Israel. There
    was a general feeling that Hizballah must remain armed or
    "they" will pick off the Shia one by one. Morale inside
    Hizballah remains high as well. Our sources tell us that
    Hizballah officials welcomed the Israeli incursion into
    Maroun el-Ras and Bint Jbeil because it levels the playing
    field and because Israeli occupation provides a justification
    to keep fighting. Hizballah appears ready to keep fighting,
    especially if the fighting moves to a ground war in southern
    Lebanon. End summary.

    SUPPORT FOR HIZBALLAH;
    ANGER AT THE USG
    ----------------

    ¶2. (C/NF) On July 26, the Embassy's contacts in the Shia
    community reported continued strong support for Hizballah,
    and fury at the USG for its support for Israel. Riad
    al-Asad, a moderate Shia politician who had run against the
    Amal-Hizballah alliance in the 2005 parliamentary elections,
    reacted angrily to polstaff's call. His colorful reply,
    after uncharacteristic profanities, was, "Everyone is for
    Hizballah now!"

    ¶3. (C/NF) Moderate Shia intellectual Ibrahim Shamseddine
    was more cordial, but delivered the same message. Hizballah
    has more supporters and sympathizers in the Shia community
    than ever, he said. There is a growing conviction in the
    Shia community that if Hizballah were to disarm, "they" would
    pick us Shia off one by one. USG calls for a "New Middle
    East" have added to the anxiety of the Shia community,
    fearing the USG may target them next, according to
    Shamseddine. He added that most Shia believe that the USG is
    refusing to stop the war, so they are rallying to Hizballah.

    ¶4. (C/NF) Shia journalist Abbas Sabbagh told us that Shia
    support for Hizballah is still strong. He reported that
    Hizballah officials remain self-confident despite the Israeli
    attacks. They are enthusiastic about how Hizballah has been
    able to keep up its rocket attacks on northern Israel.
    Hizballah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah's recent
    televised speech was designed to encourage his Shia
    constituency and to hold them together, according to Sabbagh.

    GROUND WAR WELCOMED
    -------------------

    ¶5. (C/NF) Sabbagh, who regularly interacts with Hizballah
    officials, assessed that Hizballah's strategy was to keep
    fighting since the party has nothing to lose anymore. Israel
    has already devastated the areas where Shia live. He said
    that Hizballah is "not unhappy" with the IDF ground incursion
    into Maroun el-Ras and Bint Jbeil because it provides
    Hizballah a pretext to keep fighting, this time to liberate
    Lebanese land.

    ¶6. (C/NF) Separately, former UNIFIL spokesman Timur Goksel
    told econoff that he saw the Israeli ground incursion as
    exactly what Hizballah wanted. Goksel's contacts in
    Hizballah told him that they hope "Israel stays awhile."
    Hizballah officials told Goksel that only 17 Hizballah
    fighters had delayed the Israeli advance on Maroun el-Ras and
    exacted a heavy price on the IDF. (Seven of those 17 were
    killed in the fighting, according to the same officials.)
    Hizballah officials also told Goksel that Hizballah has lost
    only 30 fighters in the two weeks of war so far. Hizballah
    officials were further encouraged, according to Goksel,
    because the heavy fighting that bloodied Israeli forces in
    Maroun el-Ras and Bint Jbeil was carried out by local
    Hizballah militiamen, not their elite "Special Forces."
    According to Goksel, Hizballah is holding back its best
    fighters in the event of a larger Israeli invasion.

    ¶7. (C/NF) Hizballah welcomes ground fighting not only
    because it levels the playing field, according to Goksel. It
    also distracts from Hizballah's anxiety over the aftereffects
    of the war. Many Hizballah officials are worried that,
    although morale within Hizballah's military wing remains
    high, they will have to justify to their constituents the

    BEIRUT 00002474 002 OF 002

    suffering caused by the war. An invasion would provide a
    convenient distraction and a ready justification to continue
    fighting.
    FELTMAN

`