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### Viewing cable 08REYKJAVIK251, ICELANDIC ECONOMIC CRISIS: GOI REACHES AGREEMENT ON IMF

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08REYKJAVIK251 | 2008-10-27 16:04 | 2011-01-13 05:05 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Reykjavik

`

    VZCZCXRO5794
    PP RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
    RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
    DE RUEHRK #0251 3011655
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 271655Z OCT 08
    FM AMEMBASSY REYKJAVIK
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3864
    INFO RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE

` `

    UNCLAS REYKJAVIK 000251

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: EFIN ECON PGOV IC
    SUBJECT: ICELANDIC ECONOMIC CRISIS: GOI REACHES AGREEMENT ON IMF
    PACKAGE OF 2 BILLION

    ¶1. (U) The Icelandic Prime Minister, Foreign Minister and visiting
    IMF team held consecutive press conferences on October 24 to announce
    an agreement on an IMF package encompassing a roughly $2 billion IMF
    loan to Iceland.

    ¶2. (U) Prime Minister Haarde and Foreign Minister Gisladottir
    announced that the Icelandic Government had approved a decision to
    formally request IMF assistance, and the opposition political parties
    had been briefed on this.  Iceland will take a 2 billion USD loan
    from the IMF to be paid back between 2012 and 2015.  The hope is that
    the IMF package will help open other lines of credit to meet the
    immediate goal of 6 billion USD.  They said that the Russian loan is
    still a possibility in this framework, but the amount will likely be
    lower than the 4 billion Euro initially discussed.  There are no
    current plans to raise taxes to meet the debt, but this can't be
    ruled out.  Haarde said he expected the next six months to be "very
    difficult."  Iceland views the dispute with the UK government and the
    IMF package as two separate issues.  This loan will not be used to
    pay off debts of the collapsed banks -- the government will not take
    public debt to meet private obligations. The PM noted that he alone
    has power to appoint and fire Central Bank Governors and that he has
    no plans to make changes to the board at present.

    ¶3. (U) IMF Delegation led by Paul Thomassen announced that the hope
    that the IMF Board will approve the 2 billion USD loan package within
    the next ten days, which would make 800 million USD available
    immediately.  This infusion of cash will allow Iceland to start
    foreign trading of the Krona again, and hopefully mitigate a "flight
    of capital" and a sharp depreciation of the Krona.  The IMF expects a
    recession next year of approximately ten percent of Iceland's GDP,
    but admitted this is a very uncertain figure.  Inflation will spike
    at first, but should drop to 4.5 percent by end of 2009.  The
    Iceland-UK agreement on IceSave deposits was not a prerequisite for
    the IMF package, but ongoing talks between Iceland-UK and
    Iceland-Holland on bank deposits are part of approach that IMF
    expects to GOI to follow to ensure long term financial stability.

    ¶4. (U) Post emailed a copy of the IMF press release to the desk.

    VAN VOORST

`