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### Viewing cable 06MEXICO680, LOPEZ OBRADOR REVEALS SOME NAMES FOR HIS POTENTIAL

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MEXICO680 | 2006-02-08 21:09 | 2011-04-06 19:07 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Mexico
Appears in these articles: http://wikileaks.jornada.com.mx/notas/eu-no-veia-mal-la-llegada-de-lopez-obrador-a-los-pinos

`

    VZCZCXRO0554
    RR RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
    DE RUEHME #0680/01 0392147
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 082147Z FEB 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8792
    INFO RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
    RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE

` `

    52287
    2006-02-08 21:47:00
    06MEXICO680
    Embassy Mexico
    UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
    05MEXICO2800|05MEXICO6432|06MEXICO618
    VZCZCXRO0554
    RR RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
    DE RUEHME #0680/01 0392147
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 082147Z FEB 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8792
    INFO RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
    RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
    TAGS: ECON EFIN EINV PGOV PINR MX
    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 000680

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS

    STATE FOR WHA/MEX, WHA/EPSC
    STATE PASS USAID FOR LAC:MARK CARRATO
    TREASURY FOR IA MEXICO DESK: JASPER HOEK
    COMMERCE FOR ITA/MAC/NAFTA: ANDREW RUDMAN

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ECON EFIN EINV PGOV PINR MX

    SUBJECT: LOPEZ OBRADOR REVEALS SOME NAMES FOR HIS POTENTIAL
    FUTURE CABINET
    REF: A. MEXICO 618
         ¶B. 05 MEXICO 6432
         ¶C. 05 MEXICO 2800

    -------
    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1. (SBU) Leading presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez
    Obrador (AMLO) revealed the names of three key potential
    cabinet members on January 30, in an attempt to calm fears
    that his economic and foreign policies would be too radical.
    AMLO said his economic advisor, Rogelio Ramirez de la O (ref
    B), would be in charge of "economic issues," leaving it
    unclear as to whether that would be as Secretary of Finance
    or Economy.  AMLO said Juan Ramon de la Fuente, currently
    the president of the National Autonomous University of
    Mexico, would be his Secretary of Government, and Jose Maria
    Perez Gay, a writer and journalist and his foreign affairs
    advisor, would be his Foreign Secretary.

    ----------------------------
    RAMIREZ DE LA O FOR FINANCE?
    ----------------------------

    ¶2. (SBU) In a January 30 interview with Televisa, AMLO said
    he would designate Rogelio Ramirez de la O to "oversee
    economic issues."  The press has taken this to mean that
    Ramirez de la O would be AMLO's Finance Secretary.  However,
    it seems more likely that Ramirez de la O would be AMLO's
    Economy Secretary.  Ramirez de la O, who has a PhD in
    economics from Cambridge, has for years run a private
    consulting firm, Ecanal, that specializes in advising major
    corporations operating in Mexico.  Although many analysts,
    as well as Mexican and foreign investors, respect Ramirez de
    la O and see him as a shrewd social and economic thinker,
    they don't see him as a future Finance Secretary given his
    lack of experience in public finance.  (Secretary of Finance
    Francisco Gil Diaz nevertheless gave his vote of confidence,
    saying Ramirez de la O would be a good candidate for the
    Finance job as "he is a serious person, a responsible
    finance man and capable of assuming such a role.")

    ¶3. (SBU) Some AMLO critics believe Ramirez de la O would be
    an ideal candidate to occupy Eduardo Sojo's current position
    as coordinator of public policies in the President's staff.
    In that role, Ramirez de la O could more directly influence
    and moderate AMLO's economic policies.  Ramirez de la O
    could serve as an important bridge between AMLO and the
    business community, helping to lower the latter's distrust
    of the populist candidate.  Ramirez de la O is also well-
    respected in political circles.

    --------------------------------------
    HEAD OF UNAM TO GOVERNMENT SECRETARIAT
    --------------------------------------

    ¶4. (SBU) In the same interview, AMLO said he would choose
    Juan Ramon de la Fuente, the rector (president) of the
    National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), as his
    future Secretary of Government (in charge of domestic
    security issues, migration, and the Mexican intelligence
    service, among others).  De la Fuente served from 1994 to
    1999 as Health Secretary under former President Ernesto
    Zedillo.  He has been UNAM's rector since 1999, beginning
    his second 4 year term in 2003.  De la Fuente was close to
    former President Zedillo as part of a group of advisors led
    by Francisco Labastida, the Institutional Revolutionary
    Party (PRI)'s 2000 presidential candidate.  The same group
    in 2005 proposed de la Fuente as the PRI's alternate
    candidate for the 2006 presidential elections.  De la Fuente
    gained AMLO's confidence when he defended him during the
    "desafuero" process (ref C).  De la Fuente is a psychiatrist
    by training.

    -----------------------------
    PEREZ GAY FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS
    -----------------------------

    ¶5. (SBU) Jose Maria Perez Gay (pronounced "Guy"), AMLO's
    current foreign policy advisor, who served as Ambassador to
    Portugal at the beginning of the current administration
    thanks to his ties to former Foreign Affairs Secretary Jorge

    MEXICO 00000680  002 OF 002

    Castaneda, would be Secretary of Foreign Affairs should AMLO
    win.  Perez Gay is a well-known writer and journalist.
    Although he has served as the cultural attache at the
    Mexican embassy in Germany and as the cultural counselor at
    the Mexican embassies in Austria and France in addition to
    his stint as Ambassador to Portugal, he is not a career
    diplomat and does not have much experience in foreign
    policy.  Perez Gay has been inconsistent in his
    pronouncements regarding the relationship with the U.S.,
    saying that the migration issue should be dealt with both
    "later" and "urgently."  He has said his priority is to "go
    back and restart Mexico's relations with Latin America."
    Perez Gay has been a constant critic of globalization and
    neoliberalism's "failure."  His support of AMLO partly
    results from his affiliation as a writer for the leftist
    daily newspaper La Jornada, which supports AMLO.  Perez Gay
    has a degree in Information Technology Sciences from the
    Iberoamericana University (Mexico) and a PhD in German
    studies from the University of Berlin.

    ---------------------------------------
    MADRAZO AND CALDERON'S RESPONSE TO AMLO
    ---------------------------------------

    ¶6. (SBU) After AMLO revealed his picks, Felipe Calderon, the
    candidate for the National Action Party (PAN), called AMLO
    inconsistent for inviting to his cabinet people he had
    previously accused of being too close to the PRI.  Calderon
    said he would not yet name is own cabinet, but would focus
    on identifying the problems that needed to be solved, and
    then look for the best choices to deal with those issues.
    On the other hand, Madrazo chose to follow AMLO's lead and
    said he would consider his current economic advisor, Jose
    Chavez Presa, an economist and former legislator, for
    Secretary of Finance if Agustin Carstens, former

    SIPDIS
    Undersecretary of Finance and current Deputy Managing
    Director at the IMF, decided to remain in his job in
    Washington.  Other names Madrazo has mentioned as potential
    cabinet members are Rosario Green, currently the PRI's
    General Secretary, and Senator Enrique Jackson.

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶7. (SBU) Maintaining a solid lead in the polls (ref A), AMLO
    has used Ramirez de la O as his link to the economic center,
    while campaigning on promises to govern for Mexico's poor.
    It remains to be seen how closely AMLO will follow Ramirez
    de la O's advice.  A major daily has already written of the
    discrepencies between various statements made by AMLO and
    those of Ramirez de la O on economic issues.  Ramirez de la
    O is now in the position of not only advising his boss, but,
    as AMLO's most public economic advisor, of defending AMLO's
    pronouncement's, even if AMLO goes off-message.  Although de
    la Fuente is respected enough to have been considered by
    several political parties as an alternate presidential
    candidate, many are not sure how well a psychiatrist will be
    able to handle very tough domestic security issues.  As the
    leader of UNAM, one of Mexico's most prominent leftist
    institutions, a behemoth with tens of thousands of Mexico's
    future leaders and voters as students, de la Fuente
    represents an important base of support for AMLO's political
    campaign as well as for his own political ambitions.
    Whether Perez Gay's pronouncements against neoliberal
    policies and globalization are genuine or just rhetoric is
    an open question given his support for former President
    Salinas, a major proponent of globalization.  None of the
    three are radicals.  End comment.
    GARZA

`