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### Viewing cable 10MEXICO518, CALDERON VISITS JUAREZ, ANNOUNCES NEW STRATEGY

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
10MEXICO518 | 2010-02-13 01:01 | 2011-03-15 12:12 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Mexico
Appears in these articles: http://wikileaks.jornada.com.mx/notas/la-impunidad-falta-de-rendicion-de-cuentas-son-componentes-criticos-que-deben-ser-abordados

`

    VZCZCXRO3153
    OO RUEHNG RUEHRS
    DE RUEHME #0518/01 0440108
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    O R 130107Z FEB 10
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0468
    INFO ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFIUU/CDR USNORTHCOM PETERSON AFB CO
    RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF JUSTICE WASHINGTON DC

` `

    248767
    2010-02-13 01:07:00
    10MEXICO518
    Embassy Mexico
    UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

    VZCZCXRO3153
    OO RUEHNG RUEHRS
    DE RUEHME #0518/01 0440108
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    O R 130107Z FEB 10
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0468
    INFO ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
    RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFIUU/CDR USNORTHCOM PETERSON AFB CO
    RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY WASHINGTON DC
    RHMFIUU/DEPT OF JUSTICE WASHINGTON DC

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 MEXICO 000518

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS
    WHA DAS JACOBSON, DIRECTOR LEE
    NSC O'REILLY AND RESTREPO

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV MX PINR
    SUBJECT: CALDERON VISITS JUAREZ, ANNOUNCES NEW STRATEGY

    ¶1. (SBU) Summary:  The January 31 murder of fifteen people in
    Ciudad Juarez, most of whom were students with no known criminal
    ties, captured the nation's attention and prompted increased
    government engagement in the city from the federal and state
    governments to restore security in the city.  Most importantly, in
    response to the Salvarcar massacre, President Calderon hastened the
    announcement of a new Juarez strategy, which the GOM has been
    developing with US Mission support.  The new approach will not only
    increase GOM's commitment to improving the capacity of law
    enforcement and judicial institutions in Ciudad Juarez, but will
    also invest in the necessary socio-economic interventions for
    Juarez residents to resist criminal organizations in the long-term.
    Calderon's announcement is consistent with the needs identified
    during our assessment visit to Ciudad Juarez-El Paso and months of
    bilateral engagement.  End Summary

    Juarez Massacre Sparks Public Outrage, GOM Response

    ¶2. (SBU) The January 31 murder of fifteen people, mostly high
    school and university students, in a private home in the working
    class Ciudad Juarez neighborhood of Villas de Salvarcar has
    captured the nation's attention and convinced the GOM to move
    quickly to revise its strategy to reduce violence in the city.  The
    attack, carried out by members of the Juarez Cartel, ignited an
    outpouring of anger against state and federal authorities for not
    preventing the death of so many youth, whom law enforcement
    authorities say were innocent.  January was the most violent month
    in Mexico since Calderon initiated his war against organized crime,
    with well over 900 narcotics-related homicides, 240 of which took
    place in Juarez.

    ¶3. (SBU) The attack hastened the Calderon government's announcement
    of an evolving security strategy in Juarez and has created an
    unprecedented level of engagement by every level of government to
    address the violence in Juarez.  In his February 11 visit to
    Juarez, President Calderon presented the GOM's estimated USD 230
    million proposed action plan for Juarez, which focused on four key
    themes: 1) Strengthening rule of law; 2) Building civilian police
    and investigative forces, including enhanced intelligence capacity;
    2) Socio-economic development, including investments in education,
    health, and job creation; and 4) Civil society participation.  He
    unveiled the plan in a public forum to leaders from the city's
    political, economic and social sectors, and received credit for
    assuming partial responsibility for what he called the "city's dire
    security situation and breakdown of social capital."  Further, he
    recognized that federal authorities need to better coordinate
    actions with state and municipal governments and overcome political
    differences if the plan is to succeed.  He apologized for his
    initial handling of the homicides - while in Tokyo, the President
    publicly suggested that the victims were likely involved in illicit
    activities - and also announced he will return to Juarez next week
    to receive feedback from the community on the proposal.

    ¶4. (SBU) Calderon's announcement marked a shift toward a new
    programmatic focus in Ciudad Juarez that will include
    socio-economic development and community involvement to support law
    enforcement's efforts to reduce violence.  Notably, Secretary for
    Education Alonso Lujambio and Secretary for Social Development
    Heriberto Felix Guerra accompanied Calderon on the presidium, along
    with the usual security players.  Calderon's delegation also
    represented a rare joint appearance by members of his National
    Security Cabinet and Economic and Development Cabinet.  Members of
    Calderon's security team told the Ambassador that his delegation
    was expanded at the last moment - a possible sign of his commitment
    to Juarez and his effort to make a strong showing of federal force
    there.

    State Government, Opponents, Offer Their Take

    MEXICO 00000518  002 OF 003

    ¶5. (SBU) Calderon's advance team was at work in Juarez on the new
    strategy since at least the January 31 massacre, but pressure from
    the Chihuahua State government and other political opponents
    hastened the unveiling of the plan.  Chihuahua Governor Jose Reyes
    Baeza Terrazas had also received heavy public criticism after the
    Salvarcar attack, and when President Calderon announced during his
    February 1-2 trip to Japan his plan to integrate jobs, education
    and drug treatment programs into his government's security package
    for Juarez, Baeza accused the federal government of cutting the
    state out of the program's planning process. (Note: That claim is
    disingenuous.  Baeza participated in a number of planning sessions
    with federal agencies, including one with the Ambassador.)  During
    a visit to the Salvarcar site on February 3, Baeza emphasized that
    any federal programming in Juarez must be coordinated with the
    state and local governments, and complained that he had received no
    information about the kinds of programs the GOM is considering for
    the city.  Baeza's visit to Salvarcar coincided with a national
    security cabinet meeting in Mexico City to discuss the federal
    government's strategy for Ciudad Juarez, to which the governor
    claimed he was not invited.

    ¶6.  (SBU) Baeza's frustrations were compounded by recent polls
    showing that Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) gubernatorial
    candidate Cesar Duarte's lead in the poll numbers over National
    Action Party (PAN) rival Carlos Borruel had narrowed over the past
    month from 40 to 20 percent in advance of state elections election
    in July.  By the time Calderon arrived in Juarez on February 11,
    however, tensions between the federal and state governments were
    reduced.  Much of the credit for this could be attributed to the
    intervening visit of Secretary of Government Fernando Gomez Mont.
    During his visit on February 8, Gomez Mont visited the Salvarcar
    massacre site and stressed the federal government's commitment to
    working with state and local authorities on the new security and
    development program.

    ¶7. (SBU) The massacre and its aftershocks reverberated in Mexico
    City, as well, and Calderon's PRI and Revolutionary Democratic
    Party (PRD) opponents accused the President of pursuing a failed
    policy.  Even members of his own PAN asked that the GOM's security
    approach be revised in light of continued violence throughout the
    country, and in Juarez particularly.  Immediately following the
    incident, the Senate called for the Secretaries of Public Security,
    Defense, Navy, Government, and the Attorney General to testify -
    the closed hearing is scheduled for February 16 and will be in
    front of only twelve select senators.

    ¶8. (SBU) Meanwhile, in a move that took the GOM by surprise,
    Governor Baeza also announced on February 6 his intention to
    transfer state executive, legislative and judicial functions from
    Chihuahua City to Ciudad Juarez for an indefinite period of time.
    Baeza said that the move was to "ensure that the federal government
    implements its social programming plan for Juarez in a manner
    consistent with the city's needs."  Public opinion polls and
    Consulate conversations with local politicians, civil society, and
    the private sector suggested that Juarez residents were skeptical
    the proposed transfer of powers would have any impact on the
    security situation, and in a February 12 vote the state
    legislature's PAN bloc abstained; a measure to move the state
    congress's functions to Juarez fell two votes short of the
    two-thirds super-majority required.  Still, the governor's office
    says that Baeza intends to spend several days each week in Juarez.
    [Note: As has commonly been the case in the past, Juarez Mayor Jose
    Reyes Ferriz has been a non-factor in the aftermath of the
    Salvarcar tragedy and the subsequent disputes between the federal
    and state governments.  If Governor Baeza and Agriculture Reform
    Secretary Abelardo Escobar Prieto take up at least part-time
    residence in Juarez (as promised by Calderon) to manage the new
    programs, their presence could represent the kind of hands-on
    governance that the city has lacked for some time.]

    Comment

    MEXICO 00000518  003 OF 003

    ¶9. (SBU) Ciudad Juarez has become emblematic of Mexico, shaping the
    political debate domestically and perceptions of the country
    internationally.  The January 31 Salvacar massacre - while a new
    low for the city - has prompted a previously unseen level of
    attention by federal and state governments to resuscitate Ciudad
    Juarez, with both Calderon and Baeza accepting ownership and
    responsibility for both the city's ills and providing the remedies.
    Additionally, the GOM's new Juarez strategy is a sign that the
    Calderon government and Chihuahua state counterparts have taken on
    what we have learned from months of bilateral engagement on this
    topic - that the development of more effective judicial and
    security institutions, as well as social and community side
    solutions will create the institutions and opportunities necessary
    for long-term success in the counternarcotics fight that an
    exclusive focus on the capture of high-value targets will not.

    ¶10. (SBU) One of Calderon's key challenges is to channel the
    public's new engagement - and anger - in Juarez and around the
    country in a constructive way.  A poll conducted by Ulises Beltran
    and Associates following the Juarez massacre indicates that, while
    67 percent of respondents support Calderon's counternarcotics
    strategy, 60 percent still see the President as not having control
    of the country.  The GOM can address the public's growing weariness
    by demonstrating results from a strategy that is broader than
    arrests and raids and offers instead real citizen security on the
    ground.  This will not be easy, and the issues of impunity, lack of
    accountability, and the need for real law and order are all
    critical components that must be addressed in addition to
    development and economic issues.  Moreover, we should fully expect
    security issues - and Juarez in particular - to be increasingly
    politicized as the country moves toward state elections this summer
    and presidential elections in 2012.  Nevertheless, the USG is
    well-placed to support efforts to implement new and creative
    strategies, starting with the February 22 bilateral planning
    session in El Paso.  Building on the findings of the December
    assessment visit to El Paso-Ciudad Juarez, the week-long event will
    be a key opportunity for us to develop with Mexico the kind of
    strategy it needs to re-establish control of Juarez's streets.
    PASCUAL

`