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### Viewing cable 10SANAA45, SALEH STICKS TO HIS CT GUNS, BUT OFFERS A WAY OUT

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
10SANAA45 | 2010-01-11 14:02 | 2010-12-03 21:09 | SECRET | Embassy Sanaa
Appears in these articles: www.spiegel.de

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    VZCZCXYZ0003
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHYN #0045/01 0111405
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    R 111405Z JAN 10
    FM AMEMBASSY SANAA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3515
    INFO RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC

` `

    S E C R E T SANAA 000045

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR NEA/ARP AMACDONALD AND OPS CENTER

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2020
    TAGS: PTER PGOV YM
    SUBJECT: SALEH STICKS TO HIS CT GUNS, BUT OFFERS A WAY OUT
    TO AQAP RANK AND FILE

    REF: A. SANAA 0014
    ¶B. 09 SANAA 1299

    Classified By: Ambassador Stephen Seche for reasons 1.4(b) and (d).

    ¶1. (S) SUMMARY. After several successful counter-terrorism
    operations aimed at uprooting an entrenched al-Qaeda in the
    Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), President Saleh announced on
    January 9 that he was willing to negotiate with AQAP members
    who renounced violence, signaling a return to one of the
    tactics Saleh has used previously to control the wide
    spectrum of Islamic extremists in Yemen. With a variety of
    domestic actors ) from conservative clerics to the political
    opposition and the tribes - protesting the ROYG's recent
    strikes against AQAP, Saleh is feeling pressure to shore up
    his domestic political base by offering the possibility of a
    softer approach to AQAP's lower-ranking membership. He has
    not, however, shied away from his commitment to go after
    al-Qaeda's top leadership, which he understands is unlikely
    to either renounce terrorism or agree to negotiate with the
    ROYG, especially after a series of sweeping CT operations in
    December and January. END SUMMARY.

    ¶2. (S) During a January 9 interview with Abu Dhabi TV,
    President Saleh said that while he was willing to negotiate
    with members of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) who
    were willing to renounce violence, he would continue to
    pursue to the best of his abilities those who continued to
    engage in terrorism. "Dialogue is the best way ) even with
    al-Qaeda, if they set aside their weapons and return to
    reason," he said. Official news outlets, including 26
    September, al-Jamhurriya, and al-Mutamar, reprinted the
    complete text of the interview on January 10, signaling the
    government's official endorsement of the president's comment.
    (Note: The interview echoes his January 1 editorial in
    official al-Thawra newspaper, in which he called for the
    Houthis and AQAP to renounce violence and embrace dialogue
    with the government as well as his December 14 call for a
    National Dialogue to include a variety of societal actors
    (Ref A). End Note.)

    ¶3. (S) xxxxx told PolOff on January 11 he was surprised
    at the president's openness in offering to talk to members of
    al-Qaeda, but that the ROYG has a history of dialogue through
    the rehabilitation program for "reformed" extremists. (Note:
    In the past, Minister of Religious Endowments Judge Hamoud
    Hitar ran a now-defunct rehabilitation program for religious
    extremists based on dialogue. End Note.) Saleh is known for
    negotiating with his domestic opponents, including al-Qaeda.
    For years, he has negotiated with, exploited, bribed and
    cajoled Islamic extremists in Yemen for his own political
    gain (Ref B). Even officials at the Ministry of Foreign
    Affairs (MFA), including Head of the North America Department
    Adil al-Sunaini, acknowledged that negotiating with AQAP is
    an "old government policy." "Our good president says things
    to play the old game and keep everyone under his thumb,"xxxxx
    told PolOff on January
    ¶11. (Comment: Despite a history of negotiating with
    al-Qaeda, Saleh's current offer of dialogue to AQAP members
    who renounce violence is unlikely to apply to the group's
    hardened leadership. Instead, the president is likely
    appealing to his religious base by offering an "out" to the
    organization's rank and file, who, after a series of punitive
    operations against AQAP in December and January, might be
    looking for just such an opportunity. End Comment.)

    ¶4. (S) Saleh's remarks come after three weeks of public
    criticism of the ROYG's close CT cooperation with the U.S. -
    and specifically a December 17 airstrike in Abyan governorate
    - from a variety of domestic actors, including religious
    clerics, tribal leaders and the political opposition. One of
    the most significant challenges has come from the
    conservative religious establisment. In a January 8 Friday
    sermon, conservative Salafi cleric and powerful Islah member
    Abdulmajid al-Zindani railed against Yemen's CT cooperation
    with the U.S., accusing it of wanting to "occupy" Yemen,
    according to local press reports. Dubai-based al-Arabiya
    reported on January 11 that influential Aden-based Salafi
    cleric Ali Mohammed Umar said his followers would fight with
    AQAP against any American intervention in Yemen. "The
    president's two pillars of support are the military and the
    Salafis. These comments were for the Salafis," xxxxx said.
    xxxxx,
    told PolOff on January 11, "Do not give these remarks too
    much care. It is just a media statement." xxxxx pointed out
    that the remarks, made in Arabic on a Middle Eastern
    satellite TV channel, were intended for domestic - not

    Western - consumption. xxxxx, told EmbOff on January 11 thatxxxxx
    on the president's remarks
    because they were "not to be taken seriously."

    Comment
    -------

    ¶5. (S) While Saleh's remarks reflect a need to appease
    certain domestic constituencies upset by close cooperation
    with the U.S. against AQAP, he has not given any indications
    of shying away from future operations against AQAP
    leadership. In the same interview, Saleh said that
    terrorists are a "danger not just to Yemen,s security but to
    international security, especially al-Qaeda." While the
    president likes to keep all options on the table and never
    writes off the possibility of negotiations with any political
    opponent, his current offer is likely to apply to AQAP's rank
    and file - not its hardened, isolated and hunted leadership.
    In Yemen, especially, actions speak louder than words, and
    Saleh's actions have not yet wavered in uprooting al-Qaeda.
    End comment.
    Seche

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