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### Viewing cable 09BRUSSELS1032, IN A REPEAT OF 2008, DIVISIONS EXIST BETWEEN EU

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09BRUSSELS1032 | 2009-07-28 14:02 | 2010-12-03 21:09 | CONFIDENTIAL | USEU Brussels

`

    VZCZCXRO8346
    RR RUEHAG RUEHDH RUEHHM RUEHPB RUEHROV RUEHSL RUEHSR RUEHTM RUEHTRO
    DE RUEHBS #1032/01 2091445
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    R 281445Z JUL 09
    FM USEU BRUSSELS
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC
    INFO RUEHZN/ENVIRONMENT SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY COLLECTIVE
    RUCNMEU/EU INTEREST COLLECTIVE
    RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 001032

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/28/2019
    TAGS: ECON EIND ENRG EUN EWWT KGHG SENV TPHY TRGY
    TSPL
    SUBJECT: IN A REPEAT OF 2008, DIVISIONS EXIST BETWEEN EU
    MEMBER STATES ON CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY

    Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Peter Chase, Reasons: 1.4 (b) and (d)

    ¶1. (C) Summary. As it prepares for Copenhagen, the EU is
    reliving many of the arguments that plagued it during
    negotiations of the Climate and Energy Package last year. At
    a recent EU Energy and Environment Ministers meeting, Poland
    is leading what appears to be the same group of Central and
    Eastern European Member States in opposing the concept that
    they should pay for reducing carbon emissions in developing
    countries with much larger GDPs, notably China. Despite
    indications that internal questions had been settled, the
    economic recession is exacerbating the divisions among Member
    States. Additionally, in working toward the EU,s emissions
    reduction target, now 20% from 1990 levels in 2020 but with
    the possibility of going to 30% with "comparable" efforts
    from other developed countries, the EU has painted itself
    into a corner, both potentially forcing it to make
    increasingly painful reductions and making it next to
    impossible for the EU to commit to anything more than 30%.
    It will use its offer to go to 30% as a negotiating tactic so
    it can justify its actions to its citizens and its companies.
    End summary.

    ¶2. (C) During negotiations in 2008 on the EU,s Climate and
    Energy Package, Poland formed a coalition with eight other
    new Member States to gain concessions during the final
    drafting to account for emissions reductions during the 1990s
    and the possible threats to economic growth. Now, in
    debating how the EU will approach the UN climate change
    negotiations, Europe is seeing a repeat of the 2008
    divisions. A Finnish delegate indicated to USEU EconOff on
    the margins of the July 23-25 informal Energy and Climate
    Ministers meeting in Are, Sweden that the EU,s effort is
    suffering from a repeat of last year, and several Member
    States are very upset that the actions of some are "holding
    the EU hostage." Germany is concerned that a lack of
    internal solidarity is leading to problems with the EU,s
    position and leadership internationally. A German delegate
    stated that Poland,s argument thus far can be summed up to
    "give us two billion euros for technology."

    ¶3. (C) The main issue is that some Member States have a
    problem with the increased burden placed upon them in
    addition to that of the Climate and Energy Package. A Polish
    delegate argued that the new Member States are at a
    disadvantage and to catch up with the rest of the EU, they
    will need to move faster than anyone globally, simply under
    the terms of the Climate and Energy Package. A Latvian
    delegate explained that even in Latvia, with its high
    proportion of renewable energy and its effort to move
    farther, it is not a wealthy country and should not be asked
    to pay for China and India. As a result, during the internal
    discussion on how to share the burden of EU mitigation and
    financing efforts, a Slovakian official explained that the
    coalition formed during the Climate and Energy Package is
    forming an alternative position to the major Western European
    Member States. According to the Polish delegate, this will
    allow a real discussion as to how to address historical
    responsibility, in which early efforts by the new Member
    States--beyond post-Soviet deindustrialization--can be taken
    into account. This will also allow Poland and others to
    defend their use of coal, expected to be for the long-term
    and not accepted by many in the EU, on energy security
    grounds.

    ¶4. (C) Beyond the formation of the opposition bloc, few other
    decisions have been made, most notably on the move from 20%
    to 30%. Swedish Environment Minister Andreas Carlgren,
    supported by Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas, publicly
    stated in re that there is "broad agreement" in the EU to
    push towards an ambitious Copenhagen agreement that allows
    for the EU to move to 30%. However, internally, there are
    divisions, including how to define comparability. A
    Slovakian delegate argued that 20% is still the current
    formal position, and divisions remain as to if and how to
    move to 30% and under what conditions. A French delegate was
    more subtle and explained that moving from 20% to 30% is not
    a fundamental problem, but the EU will not make the decision
    until Copenhagen. By contrast, a Norwegian delegate
    explained that the EU has positioned itself politically based
    on the "inevitable" move to 30%, that it would be impossible
    to avoid its commitment to 30%. The EU will thus use 30% as
    a negotiating tactic to move others to stronger commitments,
    so that it can justify its own decision to move to 30% to its
    citizens and companies, who are arguing that the EU should
    not go farther until other developed countries follow.
    (Note: Norway, while not a member of the EU, is a part of the
    Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), and is thus privy to internal
    discussions. End note.)

    BRUSSELS 00001032 002 OF 002

    ¶5. (C) The EU has made few other decisions related to
    financing. Poland and Latvia, among others, continue to
    argue that the GDP per capita of many Member States is less
    than that of China, and thus they should not be asked to pay.
    However, Western European Member States are more concerned
    at the moment as to how to develop a framework for financing.
    A German delegate explained that Germany would like the EU
    to be more concrete on a financing framework, but should not
    present a concrete number until much later. According to the
    delegate, this framework should be based on efforts by
    developing countries, a sentiment echoed by Carlgren when
    during a press conference, he repeated the EU mantra of "no
    money, no deal," adding to it "no actions, no money."

    ¶5. (C) Comment. Unsurprisingly, the EU remains undecided,
    and in some cases, divided, as to how it will approach the
    final months of the UN negotiations. The Swedish Presidency
    claims these issues will be worked out by the end of October,
    when Finance and Environment Ministers meet back to back in
    Brussels on October 20-21, followed by the European Coucil
    of Heads of State on October 29-30. It i likely that
    Poland, using its bloc of EasternMember States, will
    continue to press for conessions internally, much as it did
    during negotiations last year. While it is not yet clear how
    these internal debates will play out, it is likely some
    concessions will be made so the EU can present a unified
    position in the international negotiations. The EU is so
    concerned that it maintain its leadership position, it will
    likely work rapidly to address the concerns of these Member
    States, although doing so will either raise the pain for the
    Western EU members or dilute the EU,s claim to lead
    internationally. End comment.

    CHASE
    .

`