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### Viewing cable 06REYKJAVIK93, MEDIA REACTION FOR MARCH 18-20, 2006: U.S.

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06REYKJAVIK93 | 2006-03-20 17:05 | 2011-01-13 05:05 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Reykjavik

`

    VZCZCXYZ0010
    OO RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHRK #0093/01 0791700
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    O 201700Z MAR 06
    FM AMEMBASSY REYKJAVIK
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2639
    INFO RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO PRIORITY 0187

` `

    UNCLAS REYKJAVIK 000093

    SIPDIS

    USNATO FOR MIKIEWICZ

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: NATO MARR PREL KPAO IIP ECA IC
    SUBJECT:  MEDIA REACTION FOR MARCH 18-20, 2006:  U.S.
    REMOVAL OF AIR ASSETS FROM NAVAL AIR STATION KEFLAVIK

    ¶1. Summary:  Weekend media reaction to the U.S. decision to
    realign Keflavik Naval Air Station (NASKEF) took a sober
    turn as politicians and pundits assessed the cost of this
    development to their state's security and treasury.  The
    national newspaper of record, whose editor is close to
    former PM David Oddsson, adopted an especially harsh line.
    Other coverage was more straightforward or even ironic,
    tapping what appears to be pent-up journalistic desire to
    imagine Iceland post-NASKEF.  End summary.

    -----------------------
    Five Stages of Mourning
    -----------------------
    ¶2.  If the universal stages of mourning are denial, anger,
    bargaining, depression, and acceptance, then some members of
    the Icelandic intelligentsia have now entered the anger
    stage.  Arguably Reykjavik had been in denial from 2003 (or
    even earlier) until March 15.  Post still anticipates eager
    Icelandic entry into bargaining as soon as a U.S.
    negotiating team can come to Reykjavik. Weekend commentators
    meanwhile threw some brickbats:

    -- Morgunbladid (national newspaper of record, center-right,
    supports governing coalition; its editor is a close friend
    of former Prime Minister David Oddsson):

    In an editorial March 18:  "Even though the United States
    made a unilateral decision to withdraw the helicopters and
    fighters, it cannot make a unilateral decision to remain
    here. In an interview with Morgunbladid yesterday, Carol van
    Voorst, the new U.S. Ambassador to Iceland, said that a new
    chapter in reliable defense cooperation would now commence.
    Really?  What chapter is that?  The U.S. Foreign Service has
    acquired great skill in saying a lot of fine words about
    nothing at all....(I)t would be advisable for the U.S.
    Ambassador to avoid any form of flattery right now.  We can
    see through empty words."

    In an op-ed March 19:  "Robert Loftis's statements in
    Morgunbladid yesterday are unconvincing:  he said there was
    no point in having military aircraft stationed in Iceland,

    given the current situation....The cooperation that Loftis
    talked about probably involves only a continuation of the
    current cooperation between U.S. and Icelandic customs
    authorities, police, and border inspection authorities,
    which is important of course, but which cannot replace air
    defense....The real import of the U.S. decision...might
    therefore be that the United States intends to shift the
    cost of airspace monitoring for Iceland onto the other NATO
    countries."

    In a somewhat more constructive editorial March 20:  "Even
    though the United States has long wanted the four fighters
    for different duties in other parts of the world, it has
    planes in Britain that could maintain regular surveillance
    flights to Iceland.  Iceland could then take over Keflavik
    Airport and its operation, and the military base area would
    no longer be under U.S. control, nor would there be an
    `insignificant number of U.S. personnel' there, to quote
    U.S. representatives.  The fighters that perform
    surveillance duties for Iceland could use the services at
    Keflavik Airport.  There is every reason for the Icelandic
    Government to propose this alternative before negotiating
    the airspace monitoring that NATO now provides...."

    -- In a March 20 Frettabladid (largest circulation daily,
    center-left, sympathetic to opposition) article reporting
    Social Democratic Alliance Chair Ingibjorg Solrun
    Gisladottir's explanation of why she has appointed former
    Foreign Minister (and former Ambassador to the United
    States) Jon Baldvin Hannibalsson to head a defense working
    group:  "It is time for Iceland to formulate an independent
    policy on defense and security that reflects national
    interests in a changing world.  It is urgent that Iceland
    take the initiative in shaping this policy, given the
    turning point in defense and security that has now been
    reached with the U.S. Government's unilateral violation of
    the defense agreement."

    -------------
    Looking Ahead
    -------------
    ¶3.  Some commentators are beginning to consider future force
    structure:

    -- Under the headline "Iceland should be offered air
    policing," Frettabladid March 18 quoted sources at NATO
    referring to air policing as effected in the Baltic States
    and Slovenia as a valid option for Iceland. Icelandic
    historian Valur Ingimundarson, who specializes in defense

    issues, points out that the F-15's rarely carry weapons but
    that the air policing jets do.

    -- Under the headline "Halldor suspected U.S. military would
    leave," Frettabladid reported March 19: "Halldor Asgrimsson
    says that he had suspected that the U.S. would withdraw
    their military force. He therefore stated at a Progressive
    Party meeting that Iceland would never force the U.S.
    military to stay in Iceland if they did not want to stay.
    Mr. Asgrimsson says: `I had expected it to come to pass
    during the present negotiations, but I had imagined it to be
    in a different fashion...Now we know and we can work our way
    forward from this point.' Mr. Asgrimsson could not say
    whether it will be an aluminum smelter or some other
    solution but he stated that the departure of the defense
    force could possibly justify special and temporary measures
    to ensure employment in the (Sudurnes) region."

    -- Morgunbladid added in a page-one report March 20:  "A
    seven-person working group will be formed to look into the
    future of jobs in Sudurnes region. The group will most
    likely include four government representatives and three
    regional representatives. Yesterday municipal
    representatives from Reykjanesbaer and Sandgerdi met with
    Prime Minister Halldor Asgrimsson and Minister for Foreign
    Affairs Geir H. Haarde....Arni Sigfusson, Mayor of
    Reykjanesbaer, presented suggestions to the government on
    possible actions. He said that the suggestions had been well
    received by the ministers. `It will now become the project
    for this working group among others to develop these ideas
    further,' said Arni. `Common sense will guide us and the
    belief that we can solve these problems. It began well in
    this meeting here today, but the work is far from over.'

    -- In an editorial in the March 18 Bladid (centrist
    tabloid): "(T)here is a risk that people will lose sight of
    the task at hand and allow disputes over the past and
    unrealistic ideas about the future to dominate.  There have
    been several examples of the latter, particularly the claim
    that Iceland should look to the EU in the area of security
    and defense.  There is little time to spare, and it is
    unlikely that the EU will have the capability or the
    interest in guaranteeing security or performing monitoring
    duties in the North Atlantic.  There is a job to be done,
    and it will require pragmatism, consultation, and
    businesslike work methods....(I)t is self-evident that
    Iceland can also "look in other directions," including NATO
    and friendly neighboring countries with regard to national
    defense, rescue operations at sea, and monitoring
    territorial waters.  Icelandic political leaders' abilities
    and sense of responsibility will now be put to the test."

    ------------------------
    Keeping a Sense of Humor
    ------------------------
    ¶4.  A poll in Frettabladid March 18 showed that 75 percent
    of Icelanders actually were not surprised by the U.S.
    announcement that the base would close.  Reflecting this
    national shrugging of the shoulders, Frettabladid carried a
    "diary entry" from well-known left-of-center Icelandic film
    director, author, and commentator Thrainn Bertelsson March
    18:

    "Heartbreak!

    "In (the film)  `Punktur, punktur, komma, strik' is my
    favorite sentence in Icelandic films. A school class is
    interrupted by the tragic announcement that JFK has passed
    away. Overcome by grief the teacher says, `What is to become
    of Jackie and the children?'

    "Yesterday the third deputy Secretary of State was late for
    work one more time and was therefore tasked to call up Geir
    Haarde, who I am told is a very nice man and has recently
    returned from a reunion of the Haarde-family in Norway...
    anyway, the reason for the phone call was to ask Geir to let
    the Icelandic people know that the U.S. can't be bothered to
    keep running a very expensive base on `Midnesheidi' (note:
    the heath on which the base is located; end note), however
    bad the fishing or unemployment at Sudurnes might be.

    "Isafold (note: mythical female personification of Iceland;
    end note) is left to her own demise. The fiance has left
    her. She gets to keep her engagement ring though, because
    they say the defense agreement is still being honored. What
    is to become of `the Mountain Woman' and her children? Sad
    news indeed that proves once again that loving someone who
    doesn't love you back is not a good idea. The blow is
    lessened, however, since the nation was well prepared to see
    its protector, which lost all interest in Iceland years ago
    when the country stopped being a vital link in the U.S.
    chain of defense, leave.

    "And although the whole nation knew this was about to happen
    there are always those that seem to be clueless. In this
    case, the only clueless individuals  were these two: the
    Prime Minister and the Minister for Foreign Affairs."

    VAN VOORST

`