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### Viewing cable 09OTTAWA64, SCENESETTER FOR THE PRESIDENT'S TRIP TO OTTAWA

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09OTTAWA64 | 2009-01-22 16:04 | 2010-12-01 18:06 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Ottawa
Appears in these articles: nytimes.com

`

    VZCZCXRO2711
    OO RUEHGA RUEHHA RUEHMT RUEHQU RUEHVC
    DE RUEHOT #0064/01 0221635
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    O 221635Z JAN 09
    FM AMEMBASSY OTTAWA
    TO RHEHNSC/WHITE HOUSE NSC WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
    INFO RUCNCAN/ALL CANADIAN POSTS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9010

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 000064

    SIPDIS

    FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA FROM CHARGE D'AFFAIRES BREESE

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/22/2019
    TAGS: PREL ETRD ECON MARR SENV AF CA
    SUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR THE PRESIDENT'S TRIP TO OTTAWA

    Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Terry A. Breese, reason 1.4 (d)

    ¶1.  (C)  Mr. President, Mission Canada warmly welcomes you
    and the First Lady to Ottawa.  We and Canadians alike are
    thrilled that your first foreign trip as President will be to
    Canada, which Canadians claim as a long-standing tradition
    reflecting the vital importance of this bilateral
    relationship between two democratic neighbors.

    SOME HOME TRUTHS
    ----------------

    ¶2.  (C)  Your enormous popularity among Canadians (an 81 pct
    approval rating) is to Conservative Prime Minister Stephen
    Harper both a blessing -- because he can for the first time
    since taking office in 2006 gain politically from public and
    policy association with the U.S. President -- and a curse --
    because no Canadian politician of any stripe is nearly as
    popular, respected, or inspiring as you are to Canadian
    voters, a genuine factor in the historically low turnout in
    the October 2008 Canadian federal election.  Many Canadians,
    especially university students, volunteered on your campaign,
    and busloads traveled to Washington for your inauguration.

    ¶3.  (C)  Your decision to make Ottawa your first foreign
    destination as President will do much to diminish --
    temporarily, at least -- Canada's habitual inferiority
    complex vis-a-vis the U.S. and its chronic but accurate
    complaint that the U.S. pays far less attention to Canada
    than Canada does to us.

    ¶4.  (C)  The minority status in Parliament of Harper's
    Conservative Party means that it and all other parties now
    remain in almost permanent campaign mode; there have been
    three successive minority governments (one Liberal, two
    Conservative).  The bottom line questions remain when the
    government will fall and on what issue.  Your trip will help
    to ensure that the government will survive an early February
    vote of confidence on the federal budget, in which Canada
    will post its first deficit in more than a decade as it
    provides a stimulus package of $30-40 billion.

    ¶5.  (C)  The U.S. and Canada enjoy the world's largest
    trading relationship, with more than $1.5 billion in two-way
    trade crossing the border each day, including 77 pct of all
    Canadian exports.  With the border central to Canada's
    economic well being, Canadians chafe about what they see as a
    "thickening of the border" caused by U.S. actions to
    strengthen homeland security since 9/11.  Canadians claim
    that these measures have driven up business costs and delayed
    border crossers.  The business and trade communities in the
    U.S. and Canada both believe that the "balance" between trade
    and security has been tilted too far toward security, and are
    hopeful that your administration will tilt that balance back.
    Canada may argue for a new mechanism (separate from the
    trilateral Security and Prosperity Partnership) to address
    bilateral concerns.

    ¶6.  (C)  Canadians wish that more Americans would recognize
    that Canada is the largest source of imported energy for the
    U.S. (including for both oil and natural gas), although there
    is also keen sensitivity over the higher environmental
    footprint of oil from western Canada's oil sands and concern
    about the implications for Canada of your energetic calls to
    develop renewable energies and reduce our reliance on
    imported oil.  Canada is also rich in hydroelectric power,
    has similar objectives for developing renewables, and is
    working strenuously to improve the environmental impact of
    production from the oil sands and to expand its own wind
    Qproduction from the oil sands and to expand its own wind
    power capacity.

    ¶7.  (C)  Given the high integration of our two economies,
    Canada will hope for a truly North American discussion of
    economic stimulus, job creation, and sectoral support, as in
    coordinated bilateral measures on the auto sector (for which
    Canada promised a $3.4 billion assistance plan -- 20 pct of
    what the U.S. offered, matching a pledge that PM Harper made
    to then-President Bush in December) and in the G-20
    commitments on financial sector regulation.  We should ensure
    that both nations continue to design complementary packages
    to revive our economies.

    ¶8.  (C)  Although the climate change issue has largely been
    the province of the official opposition Liberal Party, the
    Conservative government now seeks to set in place measures to
    reduce greenhouse gas emissions and advocates a coordinated
    policy with the U.S. on expanded efforts to protect our
    shared environment.  They hope and expect this will be a
    central theme of your visit.

    OTTAWA 00000064  002 OF 002

    ¶9.  (C)  Arctic sovereignty is a motherhood-and-apple-pie
    issue for Canadians of all political persuasions, and they
    are deeply suspicious of assertions by the U.S. (and most
    other concerned nations) that the Northwest Passage is a
    strait for international navigation, not Canada's territorial
    sea.  The new Arctic policy issued at the end of the Bush
    Administration, which reasserted our views on the Northwest
    Passage and emphasized cooperation among Arctic nations, has
    re-ignited these suspicions.

    ¶10.  (C)  Canada declined to join the U.S. in the invasion of
    Iraq and instead concentrated its global counterterrorism
    efforts on Afghanistan, including 2500  troops in Kandahar
    Province and its largest bilateral donor program worldwide.
    With the highest casualty rate among NATO partners and only
    about 65,000 Canadian Forces overall, there is virtually zero
    willingness across the Canadian political spectrum to extend
    the current Parliamentary mandate for these forces in
    Afghanistan beyond 2011, but Canada could offer up
    significant new funding to strengthen the Afghan National
    Army and Afghan National Police.  Much will depend upon
    convincing Canada that its continued contributions to the
    Afghanistan effort are a critical component of your strategy
    for success in Afghanistan.

    ¶11.  (C)  No matter which political party forms the Canadian
    government during your Administration, Canada will remain one
    of our staunchest and most like-minded of allies, our largest
    trading and energy partner, and our most reliable neighbor
    and friend.

    KEY THEMES
    ----------

    ¶12.  (SBU)  In your public remarks and media availability,
    these points would be most useful from Mission Canada's
    perspective:

    --  Canada is a true friend, trusted ally, valued trading
    partner, and democratic model for the world;
    --  around the world, the U.S. and Canada are working
    together to defeat terrorism, promote economic development
    through trade and investment, prevent the proliferation of
    weapons of mass destruction, and advance the cause of human
    freedom and dignity;
    --  Canada and the U.S. are blessed to share the beauties and
    riches of North America, and will strive individually and
    jointly to protect and preserve its environment, while
    ensuring that our nations and the world benefit from its
    extensive natural and human resources;
    --  our highly integrated economies are now facing enormous
    challenges, but with our traditional resilience, creativity,
    sacrifice, and cooperation, our two countries will emerge
    from this crisis stronger than ever;
    --  while we share the prosperity that comes with the world's
    largest bilateral trade relationship, we also share the
    threats to that prosperity from international terrorism;
    --  21st century technology can help ensure ever more safe
    and efficient transit of goods and people across this longest
    undefended border in the world, and we need to work together
    more fully to understand each other's security and trade
    needs and to build a shared vision for the security of our
    two nations from new threats while investing in technology
    and infrastructure that can secure, support, and expand the
    benefits of our trade;
    --  the U.S. and Canada maintain extensive cooperation in the
    Arctic.  The U.S. views the Northwest Passage as a strait
    used for international navigation -- not Canada's territorial
    sea -- but does not dispute Canada's sovereignty over its
    Arctic islands;
    --  Canada has paid a disproportionately high price in human
    Q--  Canada has paid a disproportionately high price in human
    life to help the people of Afghanistan emerge from their dark
    era under the Taliban, and the U.S. salutes these Canadian
    contributions to the building of a democratic and successful
    society in that troubled land and counts on continued
    Canadian cooperation to achieve this goal;
    --  U.S. Presidents and Canadian Prime Ministers come and go,
    but our shared values and aspirations will continue to
    underpin a robust, mutually respectful, and hugely successful
    friendship and partnership that benefits not only our two
    peoples but the world.

    Visit Canada,s Economy and Environment Forum at
    http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/can ada

    BREESE

`