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### Viewing cable 06PARIS7795, ASSISTANT SECRETARY FRIED'S MEETING WITH JACQUES

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06PARIS7795 | 2006-12-14 13:01 | 2011-02-10 08:08 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Paris
Appears in these articles: http://abonnes.lemonde.fr/documents-wikileaks/article/2011/02/09/wikileaks-les-visiteurs-de-l-ambassade_1477418_1446239.htm

`

    VZCZCXRO5939
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
    DE RUEHFR #7795/01 3481337
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 141337Z DEC 06 ZDK
    FM AMEMBASSY PARIS
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3792
    INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
    RUEHLB/AMEMBASSY BEIRUT 0462
    RUEHTV/AMEMBASSY TEL AVIV 0578
    RUEHC/DEPARTMENT OF LABOR WASHDC
    RUCPDOC/DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
    RUEATRS/DEPARTMENT OF TREASURY WASHDC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 PARIS 007795

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    DEPT ALSO FOR EUR/WE, DRL/IL, INR/EUC, EUR/ERA, EUR/PPD,
    AND EB
    DEPT OF COMMERCE FOR ITA
    DEPT OF LABOR FOR ILAB

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/07/2015
    TAGS: PGOV ELAB EUN PINR SOCI ECON PREL FR
    SUBJECT: ASSISTANT SECRETARY FRIED'S MEETING WITH JACQUES
    ATTALI

    PARIS 00007795 001.2 OF 003

    Classified By: Ambassador Craig Stapleton for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1. (C) Assistant Secretary Fried met with recognized
    intellectual and long-time Segolene Royal confidant Jacques
    Attali on December 6. Attali underlined that Royal, even
    though she is a leading contender for France's presidency in
    next spring's elections, has had very little experience
    making and implementing foreign policy. Attali said that
    Royal's "worldview is still unformed," and that she is riding
    a steep learning curve during her current round of trips
    abroad. Attali repeatedly used the word "amazing" to
    describe what he characterized as Royal's uncanny talent for
    successfully braving her way through the minefields of
    international issues -- he cited her trip this week to
    Lebanon, Israel and Palestinian Authority territory -- and,
    despite near-fatal missteps, and notwithstanding her
    inexperience, emerging unscathed. Attali pointed to Royal's
    visit to Israel earlier this week as an example of how deft,
    attentive handling of her initial, defensive hostility can be
    turned to sympathetic good-will. Attali recommended that the
    U.S. take a cue from the Israelis' success and give Royal
    "red-carpet respect" during her upcoming trip to the U.S. --
    and replace her unformed, distrustful pre-disposition
    (typical of the French left) with an attitude more inclined
    to listen to and understand U.S. views and policies.

    ¶2. (C) Summary, continued: A/S Fried and Attali agreed that
    "Europe is at a very challenging moment" -- and Attali went
    so far as to say that "expansion has cost Europe its
    identity." A/S Fried and Attali agreed that Turkey's
    decreasing interest in joining Europe, along with Europe's
    "slamming the door" on Turkey were leading "to a strategic
    disaster" that could separate Turkey from the community of
    Western democracies. A/S Fried and Attali also agreed that
    the growing authoritarianism of Putin's rule in Russia was a
    grave setback for the spread of liberal democracy. End
    Summary.

    ATTALI'S SUGGESTION FOR GOAL OF ROYAL VISIT TO U.S.
    --------------------------------------------- ------

    ¶3. (C) In his meeting at the Embassy with A/S Fried on
    December 6, Jacques Attali characterized Socialist Party
    presidential front-runner Segolene Royal's world-view as
    "still unformed." Attali recalled that he had "known Royal
    for nearly 30 years now" and had been instrumental in
    recruiting her for Mitterrand's staff in 1981, just after
    Mitterrand's election to his first term. Attali also said
    that "about seven years ago I got the idea that Royal could
    become president of France -- I wrote to her about it, and
    she didn't believe me. But later, little by little, she
    began to see the possibility herself." (Note: Though Attali
    has no official position in Royal's campaign organization nor
    in the Socialist Party (PS), we believe he remains one of her
    more influential advisors. End Note) Attali made no effort
    to hide his concern that Royal's lack of experience in
    foreign affairs could lead to a damaging performance on her
    part -- for example, during a hastily planned visit to the
    U.S. when crossed expectations might well "set her off on the
    wrong foot" in connection with her still uninformed views of
    the U.S. But he argued that a deftly handled Royal visit to
    the U.S. could be a key "formative experience" for her,
    central to her development into a leader -- should she become
    president of France -- able to both understand and trust the
    U.S.

    ¶4. (C) Attali underlined that Royal, in her personality and
    her politics, is instinctively combative, and has long, and
    successfully, defined herself by championing the underdog and
    defying the powers-that-be. Attali observed that many people
    in France, particularly those reared politically on the
    French left, congenitally mistrust American capitalism and
    American power, and Royal is not any different. A/S Fried
    and Attali agreed that Royal's experience in the U.S., should
    she visit in the near future, should have the effect of
    defusing this defensiveness, and lay the groundwork for a
    more instinctively sympathetic view of the U.S. Attali held
    out Royal's recent visit to Israel as an example of how to

    PARIS 00007795 002.2 OF 003

    shape successfully her perceptions to long-term advantage.
    According to Attali, Royal arrived in Israel disposed to be
    "pro-Palestinian and anti-Israeli," but deft "red-carpet
    respectful" handling by the Israelis -- including a private
    dinner hosted by Foreign Minister Tipi Livni -- clearly
    prompted Royal to question her pre-conceptions. Attali
    suggested that the U.S should use a similar tactic,
    especially given Royal's reflexive reservations about the
    role of American power in general, and the Bush
    administrations' policies in particular.

    "SHE HAS LITTLE EXPERIENCE -- BUT SHE'S LEARNING FAST"
    --------------------------------------------- ---------

    ¶5. (C) Attali underlined that Royal is the most formidable
    political figure in France today -- "if the election were
    held today, she would win, hands-down." (Note: this is a view
    supported by current polls. End Note.) Attali repeatedly
    used the word "amazing" to describe how the force of Royal's
    conviction carries her through -- as often as not with flying
    colors -- despite her inexperience, particularly in
    connection with foreign relations issues. As an example of
    this talent for unflinchingly braving her way through
    anything, Attali pointed to Royal's recent trip to Lebanon,
    and how she emerged unscathed notwithstanding some close
    calls with statements that required considerable
    clarification after the fact. It remained to be seen if this
    teflon quality would carry through the election and beyond,
    but, as Attali also stressed, Royal has persistently proved
    wrong all who have underestimated her. "She's leaning all
    the time, and learning fast," Attali concluded. Attali
    pressed on A/S Fried his view that the U.S. would do well
    pro-actively to take advantage of Royal's current, relative
    "malleability" with regard to her views about the U.S.

    EUROPE
    ------

    ¶6. (C) Attali called EU enlargement "a disaster." He said
    the extension of Europe to 25/27 member states "had cost
    Europe its identity," in addition to making the union
    "unmanageable" and therefore incapable of making any
    meaningful plans for the future. As evidence for this view,
    Attali pointed to the upcoming fiftieth anniversary of the
    Rome treaty next year, and "the way there's nothing on the
    agenda because we can't do anything." Mentioning the German
    presidency of the EU (January - June 2007) Attali
    rhetorically asked, "Do you know when Germany will hold the
    Presidency again?" He then mentioned the next French
    presidency (January - June 2008), and asked the same
    question. The respective answers, 2021 and 2022, in Attali's
    view, speak volumes about why the EU system of governance
    promises to produce paralysis, not leadership.

    TURKEY
    ------

    ¶7. (C) A/S Fried called Turkey's potential separation from
    the community of Western democracies a "strategic disaster
    for all of us." A/S Fried and Attali discussed how growing
    indifference in Turkey towards joining Europe and rejection
    of Turkey's inclusion in Europe among Europeans were
    reinforcing each other, pushing Turkey in the wrong
    direction. Commenting on burgeoning anti-Turkey sentiment in
    European publics, Attali lamented the "shortsightedness of
    Europeans," saying that "short-term political use" of the
    issue could easily scuttle any chance of binding Turkey,
    inseparably, to Europe and democracy. Referring to the role
    the issue of Turkey's membership in the EU is likely to play
    in France's upcoming presidential campaign, Attali identified
    France as "being in the lead" with regard to this
    shortsightedness.

    RUSSIA
    ------

    ¶8. (C) While pointing out that "we'll work with the Russians
    where we can," A/S Fried commented that Putin's growing
    authoritarianism was a grave setback to the spread of liberal
    democracy. He pointed to Vice President Cheney's speech in
    Vilnius last May as a noteworthy example of the U.S. speaking

    PARIS 00007795 003.2 OF 003

    out against Russia's current trending toward de facto
    dictatorship. Attali lamented "the cowardice of the
    Europeans," excoriating them for not standing up to Putin's
    power grab lest the Russians use the "oil and gas weapon."
    Attali compared the rise of revanchist sentiment in Russia
    (over the "unfair" loss of the Cold War) to analogous feeling
    in Weimar Germany over defeat in WWI, adding, "but the
    Russians have oil -- and Hitler didn't." A/S Fried suggested
    a better parallel might be the USSR after America's defeat in
    Vietnam, suggesting that U.S. difficulties in Iraq and with
    Iran were emboldening the Russians.

    ¶9. (U) A/S Fried has cleared this message.

    Please visit Paris' Classified Website at:
    http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/eur/paris/index.c fm
    STAPLETON

`