Cable Viewer

Currently released so far... 4044 / 251,287

### Articles

Brazil Sri Lanka United Kingdom Sweden Editorial United States Latin America Egypt Yemen Jordan

### Browse latest releases

2010/11 2010/12 2011/01 2011/02
2010/11/28 2010/11/29 2010/11/30
2010/12/01 2010/12/02 2010/12/03 2010/12/04 2010/12/05 2010/12/06 2010/12/07 2010/12/08 2010/12/09 2010/12/10 2010/12/11 2010/12/12 2010/12/13 2010/12/14 2010/12/15 2010/12/16 2010/12/17 2010/12/18 2010/12/19 2010/12/20 2010/12/21 2010/12/22 2010/12/23 2010/12/24 2010/12/25 2010/12/26 2010/12/27 2010/12/28 2010/12/29 2010/12/30
2011/01/01 2011/01/02 2011/01/04 2011/01/05 2011/01/07 2011/01/09 2011/01/10 2011/01/11 2011/01/12 2011/01/13 2011/01/14 2011/01/15 2011/01/16 2011/01/17 2011/01/18 2011/01/19 2011/01/20 2011/01/21 2011/01/22 2011/01/23 2011/01/24 2011/01/25 2011/01/26 2011/01/27 2011/01/28 2011/01/29 2011/01/30 2011/01/31
2011/02/01 2011/02/02 2011/02/03 2011/02/04 2011/02/05 2011/02/06 2011/02/07 2011/02/08 2011/02/09 2011/02/10 2011/02/11 2011/02/12 2011/02/13 2011/02/14

### Browse by creation date

66 72 73 75 79 86 88 89 90 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
1966/12
1972/02 1972/08
1973/04
1975/03
1979/08
1986/05
1988/01
1989/12
1990/01 1990/07 1990/08
2000/06 2000/09 2000/11
2001/02 2001/03 2001/07 2001/10
2002/02 2002/03 2002/11
2003/03 2003/04 2003/05 2003/06 2003/07 2003/08 2003/09 2003/10 2003/11 2003/12
2004/01 2004/02 2004/03 2004/04 2004/05 2004/06 2004/07 2004/08 2004/09 2004/10 2004/11 2004/12
2005/01 2005/02 2005/03 2005/04 2005/05 2005/06 2005/07 2005/08 2005/09 2005/10 2005/11 2005/12
2006/01 2006/02 2006/03 2006/04 2006/05 2006/06 2006/07 2006/08 2006/09 2006/10 2006/11 2006/12
2007/01 2007/02 2007/03 2007/04 2007/05 2007/06 2007/07 2007/08 2007/09 2007/10 2007/11 2007/12
2008/01 2008/02 2008/03 2008/04 2008/05 2008/06 2008/07 2008/08 2008/09 2008/10 2008/11 2008/12
2009/01 2009/02 2009/03 2009/04 2009/05 2009/06 2009/07 2009/08 2009/09 2009/10 2009/11 2009/12
2010/01 2010/02

### Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
Embassy Athens Embassy Asuncion Embassy Astana Embassy Asmara Embassy Ashgabat Embassy Ankara Embassy Amman Embassy Algiers Embassy Addis Ababa Embassy Accra Embassy Abuja Embassy Abu Dhabi Embassy Abidjan Consulate Amsterdam American Institute Taiwan, Taipei
Embassy Bujumbura Embassy Buenos Aires Embassy Budapest Embassy Bucharest Embassy Brussels Embassy Bridgetown Embassy Bratislava Embassy Brasilia Embassy Bogota Embassy Bishkek Embassy Bern Embassy Berlin Embassy Belgrade Embassy Beirut Embassy Beijing Embassy Banjul Embassy Bangkok Embassy Bandar Seri Begawan Embassy Bamako Embassy Baku Embassy Baghdad Consulate Barcelona
Embassy Copenhagen Embassy Conakry Embassy Colombo Embassy Chisinau Embassy Caracas Embassy Canberra Embassy Cairo Consulate Curacao Consulate Casablanca Consulate Cape Town
Embassy Dushanbe Embassy Dublin Embassy Doha Embassy Djibouti Embassy Dhaka Embassy Dar Es Salaam Embassy Damascus Embassy Dakar Consulate Dubai
Embassy Freetown
Embassy Guatemala Embassy Gaborone
Embassy Harare Embassy Hanoi Consulate Hamburg
Iran RPO Dubai Embassy Islamabad Consulate Istanbul
Embassy Jakarta Consulate Jerusalem Consulate Jeddah
Embassy Kyiv Embassy Kuwait Embassy Kuala Lumpur Embassy Kinshasa Embassy Kigali Embassy Khartoum Embassy Kampala Embassy Kabul
Embassy Luxembourg Embassy Luanda Embassy London Embassy Lisbon Embassy Lima Embassy Lilongwe Embassy La Paz Consulate Lagos
Mission USNATO Embassy Muscat Embassy Moscow Embassy Montevideo Embassy Monrovia Embassy Minsk Embassy Mexico Embassy Maputo Embassy Manama Embassy Managua Embassy Malabo Embassy Madrid Consulate Munich Consulate Montreal Consulate Monterrey
Embassy New Delhi Embassy Nassau Embassy Nairobi Consulate Naples
Embassy Ouagadougou Embassy Ottawa Embassy Oslo
Embassy Pristina Embassy Pretoria Embassy Prague Embassy Port Au Prince Embassy Phnom Penh Embassy Paris Embassy Paramaribo Embassy Panama Consulate Peshawar
Embassy Quito
REO Basrah Embassy Rome Embassy Riyadh Embassy Riga Embassy Reykjavik Embassy Rangoon Embassy Rabat Consulate Rio De Janeiro Consulate Recife
Secretary of State Embassy Stockholm Embassy Sofia Embassy Skopje Embassy Singapore Embassy Seoul Embassy Sarajevo Embassy Santo Domingo Embassy Santiago Embassy Sanaa Embassy San Salvador Embassy San Jose Consulate Strasbourg Consulate Shenyang Consulate Shanghai Consulate Sao Paulo
Embassy Tunis Embassy Tripoli Embassy Tokyo Embassy The Hague Embassy Tel Aviv Embassy Tehran Embassy Tegucigalpa Embassy Tbilisi Embassy Tashkent Embassy Tallinn
USUN New York USEU Brussels US Mission Geneva US Interests Section Havana US Delegation, Secretary UNVIE Embassy Ulaanbaatar
Embassy Vilnius Embassy Vienna Embassy Vatican Consulate Vladivostok
Embassy Windhoek Embassy Wellington Embassy Warsaw
Embassy Yerevan Embassy Yaounde
Embassy Zagreb

### Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
AF ASEC AR AORC AJ AM AMGT AU AE AGMT AG AS AFIN APER ABUD ATRN AEMR ACOA AEC AO AX AMED ADCO AODE AFFAIRS AC AL ASIG ABLD AA AFU ASUP AROC ATFN AVERY
BM BR BL BA BILAT BTIO BEXP BH BE BK BRUSSELS BX BU BO BIDEN BY BG BF BB BC BBSR
CU CO CH CDG CIA CACM CDB CI CS CVIS CA CBW CASC CD CV CMGT CLINTON CE CJAN CG CF CN CAN COUNTER CIS CM CONDOLEEZZA COE CR CY CTM COUNTRY CLEARANCE CPAS CWC CT CKGR CB CACS COM CJUS CARSON COUNTERTERRORISM
DJ DEAX DR DA DHS DOE DEA DK DISENGAGEMENT DS DOD
EG ECON ETTC EFIN EZ ETRD EUN ELAB EU EINV EAID EMIN ENRG ECPS EN ER ET ES EPET EUC EI EAIR EAGR EIND EWWT ELTN EREL ECIN EFIS EINT EC ENVR ECA ELN EXTERNAL EINVETC ENIV EINN ENGR EUR ESA ENERG EK ELECTIONS ECUN EINVEFIN ECIP EINDETRD
FR FINR FAO FTAA FREEDOM FI FARC FBI FJ FMLN
GM GG GV GH GA GE GT GR GTIP GOI GCC GAZA GZ GTMO
HU HR HA HILLARY HUMAN HO HYMPSK HURI HK
IV IR IS IZ IAEA IN IT ICTY IQ ICAO INTERPOL IPR INRB IRAJ INRA INRO IO IC ID IIP ITPHUM IWC ISRAELI IRAQI ICRC IMO IF ILC IEFIN INTELSAT IL IA IBRD IMF ITALY ITALIAN
JAMES JO JA JOSEPH JP JOHNNIE JUS
KGIC KDEM KTIP KOMC KNNP KWBG KU KPAL KGHG KAWK KISL KPAO KHLS KSUM KSPR KJUS KCRM KGCC KPIN KDRG KTFN KG KBIO KHIV KSCA KN KS KCOR KZ KE KFRD KIPR KPKO KNUC KMDR KPLS KOLY KUNR KIRF KIRC KACT KRAD KCOM KMCA KV KHDP KVPR KDEV KWMN KTIA KPRP KAWC KCIP KCFE KOCI KTDB KMRS KLIG KBCT KICC KGIT KSTC KPAK KNEI KSEP KPOA KFLU KNUP KNNPMNUC KO KTER KHUM KRFD KBTR KDDG KWWMN KFLO KSAF KBTS KPRV KMPI KNPP KNAR KWMM KERG KFIN KTBT KCRS KRVC KR KPWR KWAC KMIG KSEC KIFR KDEMAF
LE LG LH LY LU LI LO LOG LT
MOPS MARR MNUC MX MASS MCAP MO MIL MTCRE ML MR MZ MPOS MOPPS MTCR MAPP MU MY MA MG MASC MCC MEPP MK MTRE MP MDC MAR MEPI MRCRE MI MT MQADHAFI MD MAPS MUCN MASSMNUC
NATO NL NU NIPP NI NPT NG NO NE NS NAR NZ NPG NK NSG NA NT NASA NGO NP NSF NATIONAL
OVIP OPDC OPRC OIIP OFFICIALS OSAC OAS OEXC ODIP OREP OFDP OTRA OSCE OPIC OECD OPCW OSCI OIE OTR OVP
PARM PREL PTER PHUM PGOV PINR PINS PREF PK PE PBTS POGOV PROP PINL PL POL PBIO PSOE PHSA PKFK PO PGOF PARMS PA PM PMIL PTERE PF PALESTINIAN PY PGGV PNR POV PAK PAO PFOR PHALANAGE PARTY PNAT PROV PEL PGOVE POLINT PRAM POLITICS PEPR PSI PINT PU POLITICAL PARTIES PECON
QA
RS RO REGION RU RW RP RIGHTS RICE ROBERT RF RFE
SOCI SY SENV SA SP SNAR SG SCUL SR STEINBERG SF SW SU SL SMIG SO SN SHUM SZ SYR ST SANC SC SAN SIPRS SK SH SI
TS TU TX TBIO TW TSPA TH TIP TI TRGY TC TR TT TERRORISM TO TFIN TD TSPL TZ TPHY TK TNGD
UK UN US UNGA UNSC UNO UNMIK UV UY UP UG USEU USUN UZ UE UNESCO UAE UNEP USTR UNHCR UNDP UNHRC USAID UNCHS UNAUS
VE VZ VN VT VM VTPREL
WTO WTRO WA WI WMO WTRQ WHO WWARD WB WBG
XG XT XM XF XR XS XL XK XH XA XY XC XZ XW XD
YE YM YI
ZB ZI ZF ZP ZK ZANU ZOELLICK ZR ZU ZA

### Browse by classification

CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN SECRET SECRET//NOFORN UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

### Community resources

Follow us on Twitter Check our Reddit Twitter this Digg this page Contact us on IRC

courage is contagious

### Viewing cable 08ISLAMABAD2524, SCENESETTER FOR PM GILANI'S VISIT TO WASHINGTON

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs
Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:

- The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
- The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
- The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.

To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.
Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #08ISLAMABAD2524.

Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08ISLAMABAD2524 | 2008-07-25 13:01 | 2010-11-30 21:09 | SECRET//NOFORN | Embassy Islamabad

`

    O 251326Z JUL 08
    FM AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8040
    INFO AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY
    AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY
    AMCONSUL KARACHI PRIORITY
    AMCONSUL LAHORE PRIORITY
    AMCONSUL PESHAWAR PRIORITY
    NSC WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    USCENTCOM INTEL CEN MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
    USCINCCENT MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
    CIA WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    S E C R E T ISLAMABAD 002524

    NOFORN

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/25/2018
    TAGS: PREL PTER PGOV PK

    SUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR PM GILANI'S VISIT TO WASHINGTON

    Classified By: Anne W. Patterson, for reasons 1.4 (b)(d)

    ¶1. (S/NF) Summary. Prime Minister Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani
    will be anxious to prove that he is committed to fighting
    "Pakistan's war" on terrorism and will outline the GOP's
    partial response to the July demands presented by CJCS
    Mullen/DDCIA Kappes. Gilani will publicly support the
    coaliton's "negotiations first" counter-terrorism strategy
    and defend Pakistani sovereignty in the face of reported
    plans for unilateral U.S. action. Privately, he will agree
    that force is sometimes necessary and assert he is prepared
    to use it. However, coalition strains and governance
    gridlock are limiting Gilani's ability to coordinate either
    security or economic policy. He likely will repeat requests
    for "actionable intelligence" and suggest the need for
    increased U.S./ISAF operations on the Afghan side of the
    border. We should maintain pressure for specific
    counter-terrorism (CT) action and condition future Foreign
    Military Financing (FMF) assistance on Pakistani agreement to
    training that will increase its counter-insurgency
    capabilities.

    ¶2. (C/NF) Summary continued. Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz
    (PML-N) leader Nawaz Sharif has used his "go Musharraf go"
    campaign to become Pakistan's most popular leader today. To
    bolster his sagging Pakistan People's Party (PPP) popularity,
    PM Gilani may ask for quiet support of a dignified exit
    (resignation) for President Musharraf; in contrast, Musharraf
    has asked that we reaffirm U.S. support for him as President.
    Musharraf continues to debate dissolving the National
    Assembly, a step we believe will lead to widespread unrest
    and increase calls for his departure.

    ¶3. (C/NF) Summary continued. Gilani likely will ask for
    faster delivery of Coalition Support Fund (CSF)
    reimbursements, endorse the Biden/Lugar bill to double
    economic aid to Pakistan, and support passage of
    Reconstruction Opportunity Zone (ROZ) legislation. He will
    welcome offers of food security and energy assistance to help
    overcome rising food and fuel inflation and rolling power
    blackouts. He may ask for support to convince Riyadh to
    agree to Pakistan's request to defer $5.9 billion in oil
    payments. Gilani fully supports efforts to repair strained
    relations with Afghanistan and India. End Summary.

    Filling a Leadership Vacuum
    ---------------------------

    ¶4. (C/NF) Prime Minister Yousuf Gilani is well-meaning,
    pro-American and anxious to convince us that he is committed
    to fighting "Pakistan's war" against terrorism. The
    challenge is turning good intentions into sustainable action.
    Gilani presides over a fragile coalition mired in governance
    gridlock over the issue of President Musharraf's future. The
    real centers of power -- PPP Co-Chair Asif Zardari and PML-N
    leader Nawaz Sharif -- sit outside government fighting for
    political supremacy. Gilani supports what has been improving
    Ministry of Interior CT cooperation, but he has limited power
    to force the Army and the intelligence services
    (Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)) to battle a growing
    militant insurgency. His visit to the White House may well
    empower him to do more. With the withdrawal of Nawaz
    Sharif's economic ministers, the coalition lacks the
    expertise to tackle spiraling debt, food and fuel inflation,
    capital flight, and rolling blackouts.

    ¶5. (C/NF) Gilani will be seeking public assurances that the
    U.S. supports Pakistan's new civilian government, but the
    uneasy Zardari-Nawaz marriage of convenience may not last
    much longer. When the coalition breaks apart, Zardari will
    need to bolster his slim parliamentary majority with other
    partners. President Musharraf believes his party can be one
    of those partners, and we agree. But his "go Musharraf go"
    campaign has made Nawaz Sharif the most popular leader in
    Pakistan today. Zardari and Gilani fear they cannot
    politically afford to continue working with Musharraf and may
    raise this in Washington. In contrast, Musharraf has asked
    that the USG make it clear to Gilani that the U.S. continues
    to support him as President. Chief of Army Staff General
    Kayani prefers to remain out of politics, if for no other
    reason than a reluctance to take on twin security and
    economic crises. We believe he will support Musharraf's
    resignation with dignity, if the prospect of impeachment
    becomes real.

    ¶6. (C/NF) Musharraf continues to debate the possibility of
    dissolving the National Assembly and imposing a technocratic
    government; we believe this scenario will provoke unrest and
    increase calls for Musharraf's departure. We should support
    Gilani now and through a coalition breakup. Nawaz currently
    does not have the votes to bring down the coalition.

    Fulfilling Promises
    -------------------

    ¶7. (S/NF) We have learned since 9/11 that Pakistan
    responds, periodically, to U.S. pressure on
    counter-terrorism; we should continue to press for action on
    specific agenda items. The GOP has responded to the CJCS
    Mullen/DDCIA Kappes visit in July by arresting several
    Taliban shura members in Quetta, signed an agreement to
    install cellphone towers in the tribal areas (FATA), is
    initiating an Army operation in North Waziristan, and we
    expect they will allow another B-300 surveillance aircraft to
    operate. These steps will help disrupt cross-border attacks
    and improve our intelligence capabilities.

    ¶8. (S/NF) However, the GOP has not targeted Siraj Haqqani
    or his network; nor have they arrested Commander Nazir or
    Gulbaddin Hekmatyar. These militants are responsible for
    much of the 40 percent increase in cross-border attacks on
    our troops in Afghanistan this year. The Army/ISI can do the
    job, but they cling to "old think" -- the belief that it is
    better to manipulate militants through infiltration, payoffs
    and "divide and conquer" strategy than fight extremists on
    the battlefield. They fear military action would provoke a
    tribal war they cannot control, but the GOP strategy has
    failed and the government is losing territory to extremists
    every day. While acknowledging that elements of ISI may be
    out of control, Musharraf and Kayani remain reluctant to
    replace ISI Director Nadeem Taj.

    Bolstering CT Strategy
    ----------------------

    ¶9. (C/NF) Gilani will proudly explain the GOP's
    three-pronged CT strategy: political engagement; economic
    development; and force when needed. He likely will claim
    recent (minimal) Frontier Corps action in the tribal areas
    (Hangu and Bara) and (weak) coalition concensus as evidence
    of GOP resolve to execute that strategy. We should
    acknowledge Pakistani sacrifices in the war on terror.
    Gilani believes the coalition must build popular support for
    military action, and General Kayani agrees. But we should
    stress that militants are exploiting the coalition's
    "negotiations first" policy to plan and launch attacks
    against Pakistani and U.S. targets.

    ¶10. (S/NF) Gilani will repeat GOP requests for "actionable
    intelligence" and may suggest that the U.S. and ISAF beef up
    border patrols and stop the drug trade in Afghanistan that
    finances arms and militant operations. We should respond
    that the GOP knows better than we do the location of Haqqani,
    Nazir and Hekmatyar; most al Qaeda and Taliban sanctuaries
    are in Pakistan, not Afghanistan. If Gilani suggests
    improved regional (especially Gulf) intelligence sharing, we
    should welcome that initiative. Zardari has just proposed to
    us a September conference hosted by the UAE with Pakistan,
    India, Afghanistan, the U.K., the U.S., and NATO observers to
    discuss the situation in the tribal areas and along the
    border. This idea has merit, too.

    ¶11. (C/NF) Gilani will thank the U.S. for its five-year
    $750 million FATA development program and may ask for more.
    Despite security challenges, USAID is implementing small
    projects in five of the seven FATA agencies that will
    eventually create 120,000 short-term jobs for young Pashtuns
    who otherwise would be tempted to join the Taliban. USAID
    is developing a program to preposition relief packages to
    deliver (in the GOP's name) to villages after military
    action; we should encourage the GOP to increase its own
    civil-military programs to provide relief as part of its
    counter-insurgency (COIN) strategy.

    ¶12. (C/NF) Largely because of pride, the Pakistani Army
    remains reluctant to accept COIN training for itself or the
    badly trained and under-equipped Frontier Corps. We should
    tell Gilani that future FMF support will be conditioned on
    the GOP's willingness to accept COIN and close air support
    training. We should assure Gilani that we will continue
    current efforts to train and equip para-military forces like
    the Levies and push him to accept pending training for the
    Frontier Corps. Pakistan now has six military officers
    working in the tripartite Torkham Border Coordination Center
    (BCC); we should press for Gilani's concurrence to identify
    two BCC sites in Pakistan. Gilani may raise the Pakistani
    request to use FMF for F-16 mid-life upgrades; we currently
    are seeking Congressional support for this request.

    Fixing the Economy
    ------------------

    ¶13. (C/NF) Economic growth for the current fiscal year is
    expected to be 5.8 percent, well below the target of 7.2
    percent. The fiscal deficit is projected to be 7 percent of
    GDP versus a target of 4 percent; GOP borrowing from the
    State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has reached an all-time high of
    USD 8 billion. Pakistan's trade deficit rose to USD 17
    billion, up from USD 11 billion last year, as lackluster
    export growth fell far short of increasing imports. Savings
    and foreign investment both declined. Pakistan's rupee has
    lost 16.8 percent of its value since January and is at record
    lows. We support approval of a pending USD 500 million World
    Bank loan for Pakistan, conditioned on a coherent plan for
    reducing food and energy subisidies. Gilani may ask for
    speedier delivery of Coalition Support Fund reimbursements
    (approximately USD 1 billion per year) and endorse the
    recently introduced Biden/Lugar bill to double economic aid
    to Pakistan.

    ¶14. (SBU) Not a single megawatt of electricity has been
    added to the national grid since 2000, despite population
    growth and economic expansion. Industrial production is
    threatened by blackouts and unemployment is rising. Petroleum
    and electricity subsidies account for the bulk of the fiscal
    deficit and have continued to rise with skyrocketing
    international oil prices. The GOP is paying USD 554 million
    per month for subsidies on petroleum and will attempt to
    reduce these subsidies despite the intense popularity of such
    measures. Energy accounts for 29.3 percent of Pakistan's
    imports, and growth in exports cannot cover the increases in
    international commodity prices. Saudi Arabia is considering
    a Pakistani request to defer $5.9 billion in oil payments;
    Gilani may request help in convincing Riyadh to agree. USAID
    will launch a three year program to assist with energy policy
    issues and energy efficiency and we are offering to fund a
    USGS mapping survey to identify commercial mineral deposits
    and potential energy sources. Gilani will attend in
    Washington a World Bank investment roundtable focused on
    developing Pakistan's Thar coal field reserves.

    ¶15. (U) Gilani will welcome the USG offer of food
    assistance; he estimates that Pakistan needs help obtaining
    3.5 million metric tons of wheat to stave off shortages this
    year. Pakistanis have suffered monthly double digit food
    price inflation since September 2007. Over 100 million
    Pakistanis live on less than 2 dollars per day, including 25
    million living on less than one dollar per day. The World
    Food Program recently identified Pakistan as one of 40
    countries at risk of food insecurity and recently raised its
    estimate of at-risk individuals from 60 to 77 million, or 48
    percent of Pakistan's population.

    Repairing Regional Security
    ---------------------------

    ¶16. (C/NF) Zardari strongly supports improved ties with
    India, irrespective of progress on Kashmir. Gilani called
    Indian PM Singh this week and has agreed to meet with both
    Singh and President Karzai in Sri Lanka following the
    Washington trip. Gilani has approved the list of Pakistani
    participants to the mini-jirga with Afghanistan. India and
    Pakistan initiated the fifth round of their Composite
    Dialogue in July and agreed to expand confidence building
    measures in Kashmir. Gilani may ask for more pressure on
    Congress for passage of Reconstruction Opportunity Zone
    legislation which would benefit both Afghanistan and
    Pakistan.

    ¶17. (C/NF) However, increased allegations of ISI involvement
    in the July 7 bombing of the Indian Embassy in Kabul have
    undermined regional relations. India and Pakistan are
    investigating the incident; we are working with Kabul to
    restart Pak-Afghan economic and military meetings cancelled
    in the wake of the bombing. If asked, Gilani will state that
    Pakistan will not impede approval of the India-IAEA
    Safeguards Agreement. But Pakistan clearly would like
    similar USG assistance to develop its own civilian nuclear
    capability to meet growing energy demand. Negotiations
    continue on the proposed Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline.

    ¶18. (C/NF) We were disappointed that the Islamabad High
    Court increased personal freedoms for Pakistani nuclear
    scientist AQ Khan; if asked, Gilani will say that the GOP
    continues to closely monitor Khan's activities.

    PATTERSON

    NNNN

`