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### Viewing cable 08REYKJAVIK96, ICELAND: PRESIDENT GRIMSSON RE-ELECTED BY DEFAULT FOR A

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08REYKJAVIK96 | 2008-06-02 17:05 | 2011-01-13 05:05 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Reykjavik

`

    VZCZCXRO9133
    PP RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
    RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
    DE RUEHRK #0096 1541700
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    P 021700Z JUN 08
    FM AMEMBASSY REYKJAVIK
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3662
    INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC

` `

    UNCLAS REYKJAVIK 000096

    SENSITIVE

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR EUR/NB, INR-B

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR IC
    SUBJECT:  ICELAND: PRESIDENT GRIMSSON RE-ELECTED BY DEFAULT FOR A
    FOURTH TERM

    REFS: A) REYKJAVIK 001
      B) 04 REYKJAVIK 316

    ¶1.  (SBU) Summary:  Icelandic President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson won
    re-election by default on May 24 after the deadline for candidate
    registration passed with no challengers announcing.  The election,
    previously scheduled for June 28, has been cancelled; Grimsson will
    start his fourth, and likely last, term in August.  The news came as
    no surprise to Icelanders, as borne out by modest media coverage.
    The lack of challengers reflects Grimsson's success in moving on
    from the controversy of 2004, when he won re-election but with a
    record number of spoiled "protest" ballots.  End Summary.

    ¶2.  (SBU) Iceland's presidential elections were previously scheduled
    for June 28, with a deadline for potential candidates to file with
    the Ministry of Justice by May 24.  Incumbent President Olafur
    Ragnar Grimsson was the only candidate to do so, and has therefore
    won the election by default as per Article 5 of the Icelandic
    Constitution.  The results will be certified by the Supreme Court on
    June 11.  Grimsson was first elected President of Iceland in 1996;
    he was re-elected by default in 2000, and beat two opponents in
    ¶2004.  He announced in his televised 2008 New Year's Day Address
    that he would run for a fourth term this year (Ref A).  Grimsson
    will be re-inaugurated on August 1.

    ¶3.  (U) Grimsson seems to have largely overcome the controversy of
    his earlier term in office.  Voter turnout in the 2004 presidential
    election was only 62.9 percent, which was the lowest ever for an
    Icelandic presidential election (Ref B).  (By comparison, in
    parliamentary elections voter turnout typically ranges between 80
    and 90 percent.)  Twenty-three percent of votes cast in 2004 were
    empty ballots, or protest votes.  This means that only 67 percent of
    those who went to the polls voted for Grimsson.  At the time, many
    were unhappy over Grimsson's public feuding with the government of
    then-Prime Minister David Oddsson and Grimsson's refusal to sign a
    controversial bill restricting media ownership.  Though a large part
    of the public also opposed the bill, many viewed Grimsson's veto --
    the first ever in Icelandic history -- as an unwelcome change to a
    largely ceremonial office.  In contrast, in the wake of Grimsson's
    announcement this year that he would run for the fourth time, a
    January Gallup poll showed that 86 percent supported him as
    President, and 80 percent said they were in favor of his running for
    the presidency for the fourth time.  Nevertheless, over half of the
    people asked said that the appropriate tenure for a President should
    be 10-12 years.

    ¶4.  (SBU) Comment:  It had been somewhat expected in recent months
    that no one -- or at least no one with serious intentions -- would
    challenge President Grimsson.  Hence, his re-election by default did
    not come as a total surprise, which is buttressed by the fact that
    news coverage of the event was minimal and no politicians made any
    remarks in regards to it.  When Grimsson finishes his fourth term in
    2012 he will have been President for 16 years, but it is widely
    believed that he will not run again.  In the past it was rumored
    that after he stepped down as President he would try to land a
    high-profile international job, for example, with the United
    Nations.  An English-language biography slated to be published
    before Christmas 2007 was put on hold indefinitely last fall.  The
    biography, probably intended to raise Grimsson's international
    profile, was widely construed as preparation for a career change,
    but that too looks to be on hold for the time being.

    VAN VOORST

`