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### Viewing cable 07MADRID2129, MADRID WEEKLY ECON/AG/COMMERCIAL UPDATE - NOVEMBER

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
07MADRID2129 | 2007-11-19 10:10 | 2010-12-21 12:12 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Madrid

`

    VZCZCXRO9796
    RR RUEHRN
    DE RUEHMD #2129/01 3231038
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 191038Z NOV 07
    FM AMEMBASSY MADRID
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3821
    INFO RUEHSS/OECD POSTS COLLECTIVE
    RUEHLA/AMCONSUL BARCELONA 3177

` `

    UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 MADRID 002129

    SIPDIS

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS

    EUR/WE
    EEB/IFD/OMA

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ECON EFIN ELAB ETRD KIPR PTER SOCI TBIO SP
    EINV
    SUBJECT: MADRID WEEKLY ECON/AG/COMMERCIAL UPDATE - NOVEMBER
    12-16

    MADRID 00002129 001.2 OF 003

    Table of Contents:

    ECON: Spanish economy grew by 0.7% during the third quarter
    of 2007
    EINV: Spain the number four foreign investor in the U.S.
    SENV: UN SYG to attend Valencia IPCC meeting
    SENV: CO2 emissions expected to rise in 2007 after declining
    in 2006
    KIPR: Commercial Counselor and EconOff meet with R&D-based
    pharmaceutical representatives
    ECON: Autonomous Communities' 2008 budget proposals show
    large increases
    PTER/KCRM: ETA estimated to have collected 3.5 million euros
    through extortion since June 2007
    ELTN: New high-speed train to the north close to opening
    EMIG: Spain signs work permit agreement with Senegal
    ETRD: Jamon Iberico arrives in the US market, heading to China
    SENV: Galicia 5 years after the Prestige disaster

    SPANISH ECONOMY GREW BY 0.7% DURING THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2007

    ¶1. (U) The 0.7% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth figure was
    lower than the second quarter's 0.9%, so it tracks with other
    signs of a slowdown. The Spanish government forecasts
    full-year 2007 growth of 3.8%. (Comment: The big question is
    how much lower growth will be in 2008. The opposition
    conservative PP party is trying to make the economy an issue
    in the March 2008 election. Inflation (people are
    complaining about rising food prices), interest rates, and
    rising unemployment creation is of concern to the government.
    The opposition PP is hoping to get some traction on economic
    issues, even though the overall state of the economy remains
    good. (Europa Press, 11/13/07)

    SPAIN THE NUMBER FOUR FOREIGN INVESTOR IN THE U.S.

    ¶2. (U) During the first ten months of 2007, Spanish companies
    invested USD 21.3 billion in the U.S., behind only Canada,
    the UK and Holland. BBVA's purchase of Compass Bank and
    Iberdrola's purchase of Energy East were two of the biggest
    acquisitions during this period. Other Spanish companies
    such as Ferrovial, FCC, Acciona, Ebro Puleva, Gamesa, Inditex
    and Telvent are also very active in the U.S. (Comment: This
    level of investment in the U.S. is truly new for corporate
    Spain. Acquisitions, rather than traditional FDI, seem to
    be the preferred Spanish mode of getting into the U.S.
    market.) (El Pais, 11/11/07)

    UN SYG TO ATTEND VALENCIA IPCC MEETING

    ¶3. (U) The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
    meeting this week in Valencia is scheduled to conclude on
    Saturday, November 15, with the release of a summary report
    of the most recent state of knowledge on the science of
    climate change. This "summary for policymakers" is based on
    three previously released reports that the USG played a
    significant role in developing and fully supports. The
    fourteen person-U.S. delegation is being led by Harlan Watson
    of OES and Sharon Hays of the White House Office of Science
    and Technology. U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon plans to
    attend the closing of the IPCC meeting, and he discussed
    global warming with Spanish President Zapatero in Madrid on
    Wednesday, November 14.

    CO2 EMISSIONS EXPECTED TO RISE IN 2007 AFTER DECLINING IN 2006

    ¶4. (U) Spain's CO2 emissions are expected to increase by 1
    percent during 2007 after experiencing a 4 percent reduction
    in 2006. Electricity generation figures show that through
    November 12, Spain has increased its production of
    coal-generated electricity by nearly 5 percent while reducing
    its use of nuclear electricity by 7.6 percent and natural
    gas-generated electricity by 2.3 percent. The implication of
    these shifts, according to the Spanish representative of
    Worldwatch Institute, is an estimated 1 percent increase in
    Spain's CO2 emissions for the year. A 1 percent increase
    would bring Spain's emissions to about 50 percent above their
    level in 1990. Under the Kyoto Protocol, Spain's emissions
    are required to be no higher than 15 percent above its 1990
    level. An article in the pro-government El Pais newspaper
    noted that it was the previous government that had agreed to
    the Kyoto target that now looks unattainable. The article
    added that European countries' excessive issuance of
    emissions quotas to companies had caused a dramatic drop in
    the cost of carbon dioxide emission allowances, reducing the
    incentive for companies to reduce emissions. The article

    MADRID 00002129 002.2 OF 003

    also pointed out inconsistent use of data by the government.
    When she opened the IPCC meeting earlier this week, Vice
    President Fernandez de la Vega had cited Worldwatch's
    estimated 4 percent 2006 decline as proof that it was
    possible for the economy to grow while emissions declined,
    but the GoS had not used Worldwatch's 2007 estimate even
    though it had issued advance forecasts before the end of 2006
    when the news was better. (El Pais, 11/15/2007)

    COMMERCIAL COUNSELOR AND ECONOFF MEET WITH R&D BASED
    PHARMACEUTICAL REPRESENTATIVES

    ¶5. (SBU) Visiting Pharma representative Jonathan Kimball and
    a local pharmaceutical industry representative, Gema Delgado,
    explained on 11/14 that the industry is still trying to
    persuade the Spanish government to grant retroactive product
    patent protection for drugs that only benefited from process
    patent protection prior to 1992. Kimball said that Finland
    had recently changed legislation in ways that were
    potentially relevant to the Spanish situation. He said he
    would send more information. Kimball also said that Pharma
    representatives would be meeting in the next few weeks with
    USTR and USPTO representatives to explain the industry's
    TRIPS rationale for Norway's providing retroactive product
    patent protection along the lines that industry wants in
    Spain. (Note: At least in the Spanish case, USG lawyers have
    not found a TRIPS argument for arguing for retroactive patent
    law change, although the local industry uses TRIPS arguments
    in local court cases, in some cases successfully.) Commercial
    Counselor and EconOff reiterated the Embassy's willingness to
    broker meetings with the government and to make policy-based
    arguments on behalf of the R&D-based pharmaceutical industry.
    Commercial Counselor explained that the Ambassador's
    11/14/07 lunch for the Minister of Health, to which
    pharmaceutical industry representatives were invited, was
    part of that effort.

    AUTONOMOUS COMMUNITIES' 2008 BUDGET PROPOSALS SHOW LARGE
    INCREASES

    ¶6. (U) The 2008 Autonomous Communities' budget proposals,
    which were recently made public, project increases in real
    terms over 2007. The combined budgets of the regional
    governments for operations and personnel expenses total 164.4
    billion euros, an amount that is 7.8 percent higher than the
    central government's allocation for similar expenses.
    Overall, the regional budget total represents a 22.5 percent
    increase in investment over 2007 and a 7.9 percent increase
    in administrative funding. The largest increases are
    proposed by the Basque region, while the largest budgets
    overall are in Andalucia and Catalonia. (Expansion, Nov. 9)

    ETA ESTIMATED TO HAVE COLLECTED 3.5 MILLION EUROS THROUGH
    EXTORTION SINCE JUNE 2007

    ¶7. (U) According to research by the Department Head of
    Terrorism Economics at the University of Madrid Complutense,
    the Basque terrorist group ETA has successfully extorted
    approximately 3.5 million euros since the end of its cease
    fire in June 2007. This amount far surpasses the estimated
    1.35 million euros collected by ETA in all of 2006 through
    the same means. Over the past summer, there were numerous
    reports of ETA extortion letters reaching businesses in the
    Basque and Navarra regions. (Comment: ETA continues to carry
    out occasional attacks, but a combination of good police work
    and a bit of luck has thus far allowed the GOS to disrupt or
    thwart several planned attacks.) (Expansion, Nov. 9)

    NEW HIGH-SPEED TRAIN TO THE NORTH CLOSE TO OPENING

    ¶8. (U) Perhaps to show that not all railway news these days
    is bad, on November 15 Public Works Minister Alvarez took
    reporters on a test ride on the high-speed "AVE" train
    connecting Madrid with the northwest cities of Segovia and
    Vallodolid, which is expected to open on December 22. This
    project, which was co-financed with European Union funds,
    will cut the travel time to Segovia and Vallodolid by a
    third. This is likely welcome news, given the continuing
    unanticipated interruptions in Barcelona commuter rail
    service caused by construction of the long-delayed AVE rail
    line that will link Madrid and Barcelona. (El Mundo,
    Expansion, Public Bulletin, 11/16)

    SPAIN SIGNS WORK PERMIT AGREEMENT WITH SENEGAL

    MADRID 00002129 003.2 OF 003

    ¶9. (U) Senegal and Spain signed an agreement granting 2,700
    work permits to Senegalese in an attempt to stem the wave of
    illegal migration to Europe. The agreement was signed by
    Labor Minister Jesus Calderon on Friday, November 9. A group
    of 2,000 Senegalese will be trained to work on Spanish
    fishing boats, and the remaining 700 will be employed in the
    agricultural sector. (AFP)

    JAMON IBERICO ARRIVES IN THE U.S. MARKET, HEADING TO CHINA

    ¶10. (U) Customs in New York received the first legal
    shipment of Iberian ham ("Jamon Iberico"), 300 pieces from
    Salmantina Embutidos Fermin, the only company to meet the
    current requirements. Separately, after four years of
    negotiations, Spain and China signed an agreement on November
    15 allowing exportation of Spanish pork products into the
    country. According to Secretary of State in the Industry and
    Commerce Ministry, Pedro Mejia there are currently ninety
    Spanish companies interested in selling pork and Jamon
    Iberico to China. (20 minutos)

    GALICIA 5 YEARS AFTER THE PRESTIGE DISASTER

    ¶11. (U) November 13th marks the fifth anniversary of the most
    catastrophic oil spill in Europe, when 70,000 tons of fuel
    were spilled off of Galicia's coast by the Prestige oil
    tanker. The fishing villages of Galicia were hit hard as
    their way of life came to an abrupt end. Thousands of
    volunteers poured in to help clean up the disaster, and the
    villagers have moved to other work. There are several
    manufacturing companies in the area, and more than half of
    the Spanish naval fleet is manufactured in Galicia. A recent
    study of seagulls indicated that even birds born a year after
    the spill had high concentrations of hydrocarbons in their
    blood. This study suggested that the estimated time of
    recuperation from the spill may have been underestimated.
    The Director of the Spanish Oceanographic Institute in Vigo
    said that almost 98% of the affected area is now clean, even
    though the vessel continues to leak its remaining fuel.

    ¶12. (U) The recycling of the more than 60,000 tons of
    residual contaminants from the disaster is anticipated to be
    completed in 18 months, according to the President of the
    Galician regional government. Emilio Perez Tourino described
    the recycling process as "a technological pioneer and unique
    in the world." "Our capability to respond to the collection
    of hydrocarbourants has multiplied by thirty" thanks to
    initiatives such as this one. (Note: The company that runs
    the industrial waste treatment plant that recycled the
    contaminants is seeking a patent for its recycling process,
    and countries such as France have expressed interest.) (La
    Vanguardia Magazine, 11/11/07)
    LLORENS

`