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### Viewing cable 06LAPAZ906, THE ROLE EVO'S "INTELLECTUALS" PLAY (PART 2 OF 3)

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06LAPAZ906 | 2006-03-31 13:01 | 2010-12-03 21:09 | SECRET | Embassy La Paz

`

    VZCZCXRO8861
    PP RUEHLMC
    DE RUEHLP #0906/01 0901326
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 311326Z MAR 06
    FM AMEMBASSY LA PAZ
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8688
    INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 5747
    RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3025
    RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 6897
    RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 4134
    RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 1447
    RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA 1390
    RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 3701
    RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 4087
    RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 8623
    RHMFISS/HQ USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
    RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL
    RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP
    RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 LA PAZ 000906

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/17/2016
    TAGS: ECON PGOV PREL BL PINR
    SUBJECT: THE ROLE EVO'S "INTELLECTUALS" PLAY (PART 2 OF 3)

    REF: A. LA PAZ 00691

    ¶B. LA PAZ 00600
    ¶C. LA PAZ 00406

    Classified By: Amb. David N. Greenlee for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

    ¶1. (C) Summary: President Evo Morales' circle of Bolivian
    intellectual advisers occupies half of the President's
    Cabinet, including the top three positions: the Vice
    President, the Minister of the Presidency, and the Minister
    of Sustainable Development and Planning. While the
    intellectuals have more influence over the President than his
    domestic political advisers, they also compete with Cuban and
    Venezuelan advisers for Morales' confidence. The second tier
    of intellectual advisers is critical for implementing the
    government's policies, including the Cuban-sponsored
    education program, negotiating new contracts with
    international hydrocarbons companies, and carrying out land
    reform. This cable is part two in a three-part series on how
    Morales has structured his advisory system. End summary.

    --------------------------------------------
    First Tier of Bolivian Intellectual Advisers
    --------------------------------------------

    ¶2. (C) The first tier of President Evo Morales' domestic
    intellectual advisers is headed by Vice President Alvaro
    Garcia Linera, followed by Minister of the Presidency Juan
    Ramon Quintana and Minister of Planning Carlos Villegas. All
    three were professors at the Greater University of San Andres
    (UMSA) before joining the Morales administration. Morales'
    intellectual advisers have more sway with the President than
    do his domestic political advisers (SEPTEL), but they also
    compete with Cuban and Venezuelan consultants for Morales'
    confidence. They have pursued their own agenda at times,
    which has angered the President in the past and could push
    him to rely more on his foreign advisers if these practices
    continue.

    --------------------
    Alvaro Garcia Linera
    --------------------

    ¶3. (C) Vice President Alvaro Garcia Linera is the gatekeeper
    for Bolivian advisers and moderates and adds intellectual
    spin to the President's vision. Nonetheless, Garcia Linera
    is a committed, even devout ideologue and in the past has
    criticized Morales' lack of discipline to leftist ideals
    (NFI). At odds with Morales on several occasions, including
    disagreeing over Cabinet picks, the Vice President has
    struggled to find his niche in the Morales administration and
    may have found it as the MAS go-to-person for the Constituent
    Assembly.

    ¶4. (C) Garcia Linera, ambitious in his own right, was the
    puivotal political orchestrator of the Constituent Assembly
    (CA) process. Garcia Linera, who views the CA as the
    ultimate forum for reforming the state, is working to build
    his reputation as the expert on the issue. He was a gifted
    negotiator during the congressional debate over the convoking
    CA legislation. Embassy contacts say that he was key in
    talking down radical proposals offered by the MAS and
    opposition members, and in forging the final consensus. They
    also note that he had impressive patience and focus during
    the highly charged negotiations. (Comment: Some observers
    say that Garcia Linera has presisdential aspirations; if so,
    recent precedents suggest that the vice presidency is a good
    place to be. It also suggests that he may be competing with
    Morales for public support. End comment.)

    ¶5. (C) A sharp intellectual steeped in largely discredited
    political, philosophical, and economic theory, Garcia Linera
    appears to see Bolivia through the prism of the French
    revolution. In a recent press interview, he said that he
    sees himself as the last Jacobin and Evo as Robbespierre.
    (Comment: The Jacobins and Robbespierre were notorious for
    their reign of terror. They arrested and executed political

    LA PAZ 00000906 002 OF 003

    adversaries and allies alike and ultimately met their demise
    from the same instrument used to execute the opposition: the
    guillotine. To extend the analogy, many pundits have argued
    that Morales may meet his own demise at the hands of
    protestors, just as he was a force during protests to oust
    Presidents Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada and Carlos Mesa. End
    comment.)

    -------------------
    Juan Ramon Quintana
    -------------------

    ¶6. (C) Embassy contacts have said that Minister of the
    Presidency Juan Ramon Quintana is responsible for
    intelligence and military issues, and for coordinating
    Venezuelan and Cuban support. Garcia Linera brought Quintana
    into his position.

    ¶7. (S//NF) Quintana is a disgruntled former military officer
    who was fired from his position in the Ministry of Defense in
    2000 during the Banzer regime. He long suspected that the US
    was behind his firing, a suspicion that has some merit, and
    became stridently anti-U.S. as a result. Quintana, upon
    assuming his current duties, was responsible for the recent
    removal of 29 flag-rank members of the armed forces, most of
    whom were cooperating with the United States. The Minister
    also has been seeking out other officers who have had contact
    with U.S. officials, probably with the intent to fire them.

    ¶8. (S//NF) Quintana's disdain for the United States is so
    deep that he withheld from Morales sensitive information
    passed to him by U.S. intelligence agencies to prevent the
    President from knowing that the Americans were helping him.
    The already suspicious Morales is aware that Quintana
    withheld information, and sensitive reporting indicates that
    he is monitoring the Minister. Morales may choose to
    sideline the Minister if the behavior continues. Sensitive
    reporting also indicates that Quintana has had other problems
    with Morales for paying more attention to getting jobs for
    his friends than focusing on his substantive duties,
    something that could further aggravate the relationship.

    ---------------
    Carlos Villegas
    ---------------

    ¶9. (C) Minister of Planning Carlos Villegas oversees all
    economic coordination and decisionmaking. The Minister of
    Finance reports to Villegas, and not to Morales. Villegas,
    an economics professor from UMSA, is steeped in out-dated
    socialist economic theories and has yet to accept the
    practical realities of a globalized economy. (REF C)

    ¶10. (C) While Villegas may be beginning to understand the
    real impact of free trade on job creation, he appears to
    believe that markets in Venezuela and China serve as
    alternatives to U.S. markets. He has told Bolivian exporters
    to seek markets outside the United States, unconvinced that
    the U.S. is crucial to their trade (REF B). He recently
    returned from Venezuela after negotiating an agreement for
    Venezuela to buy Bolivian soy. Additionally, he has
    regularly antagonized other businesses, telling them that the
    President's Dignity Tariff, a new lower price mean to provide
    cheap electricity to Bolivians is a done deal, remarking that
    the private sector should either get on board or suffer.
    (REF A).

    --------------------------------------------- ------------
    Second Tier of Bolivian Intellectuals Implementing Policy
    --------------------------------------------- ------------

    ¶11. (C) The second tier of intellectual advisers includes
    Minister of Hydrocarbons Andres Soliz Rada, Minister of
    Agriculture Hugo Salvatierra, Minister of Education Feliz
    Patzi, Minister of Finance Luis Arce Catacora, and the palace
    spokesman Alex Contreras. They appear to take instructions
    from the top tier and from Morales himself. At times they

    LA PAZ 00000906 003 OF 003

    appear more like political "operators" (SEPTEL) doing the
    President's bidding. In contrast to the political operators,
    however, the second tier of intellectuals does not tend to
    engage in strong-arming or undermining the opposition. They
    appear to focus almost exclusively on implementing
    policy--including coordinating the Cuban doctors program and
    pursuing land reform. (Comment: Soliz, Salvatierra, and
    Patzi are all associated with UMSA.)

    --------------------------------
    And then there's FM Choquehuanca
    --------------------------------

    ¶12. (C) While Foreign Minister David Choquehuanca Cespedes is
    considered one of Morales' most prominent intellectuals after
    Garcia Linera and Villegas, he is more of a figurehead who
    represents the indigenous face of Bolivia. He appears to be
    mostly hot air with no real substantive advisory role in
    traditional foreign policy issues, except for possibly
    maintaining contacts with European NGOs. An overly eccentric
    official, who an Embassy adviser says has a sulfuric
    relationship with most people, Choquehuanca's curious
    statements about his ancestors living for over 200 years and
    replacing milk with coca in a school nutrition program have
    drawn criticisms. Morales' largely discredited arch-nemesis
    Felipe Quispe Huanca has been a vocal supporter of the
    Minister, which only adds to Choquehuanca's trivial role.
    Indeed, Choquehuanca appears to have been only marginally
    involved in Bolivia's key foreign policy issues to date.
    GREENLEE

`