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### Viewing cable 09KABUL3326, CENTRAL BANK GOVERNOR SAYS ELECTIONS DELAY SPOOKING

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09KABUL3326 | 2009-10-18 09:09 | 2011-01-28 16:04 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Kabul

`

    VZCZCXYZ0000
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHBUL #3326/01 2910942
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    R 180942Z OCT 09
    FM AMEMBASSY KABUL
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2235
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC 0917

` `

    230142
    2009-10-18
    09KABUL3326
    Embassy Kabul
    CONFIDENTIAL
    09KABUL3095
    C O N F I D E N T I A L KABUL 003326

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/14/2019
    TAGS: EFIN PREL AF
    SUBJECT: CENTRAL BANK GOVERNOR SAYS ELECTIONS DELAY SPOOKING
    INVESTORS, HOPES TO REMAIN IN POSITION

    REF: Kabul 3095

    Classified By: CDDEA Ambassador E. Anthony Wayne for reasons 1.4 (b)
    and (d).

    ¶1. (C) Summary: Central Bank Governor Abdul Qadeer Fitrat reports the
    Central Bank faces investor wariness stemming from the uncertain
    Presidential election, but the Bank's primary focus remains
    macroeconomic stability and piloting new projects. Fitrat reported
    has not met with President Karzai in two months and is uncertain
    about his own future, especially given enemies he has made in
    Parliament. In a meeting October 13 with Ambassador Wayne, Fitrat
    singled out the Minister of Higher Education as a corrupt official
    whom a new president should replace. Fitrat highlighted his own
    efforts to combat corruption and said Karzai had supported him in his
    efforts to remove corrupt Pashtany Bank leadership. End summary.

    FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS
    ----------------------

    ¶2. (U) In an October 13 meeting with the Coordinating Director for
    Development and Economic Affairs, Fitrat touted the success of a
    pilot mobile salary payment program for 47 Afghan National Police
    (ANP) in Wardak province and hoped to expand the project to other
    provinces (ref). The Afghan Government is also considering expanding
    the program to the Ministry of Energy and Water for electronic bill
    payments and to the Ministry of Education for teachers' salaries. A
    new mobile banking regulation is currently in the comment period and
    Fitrat expects the Central Bank's Supreme Council to approve it in
    early November.

    ¶3. (C) Fitrat noted approximately $600 million in capital left the
    country prior to the August election. While at least 30 percent of
    this amount has returned, Fitrat expressed concern that an unclear
    election will cause investors to keep their money out of
    Afghanistan's financial sector. On a brighter note, inflation stood
    at a record low of negative 12 percent (with core inflation at 3.2
    percent). Food and fuel stockpiles and donations, combined with a
    record agricultural crop, have pushed down prices, Fitrat said.

    ¶4. (C) Fitrat pointed to his anti-corruption initiatives, including
    the launching of investigations and firing, demoting, or transferring
    those found responsible. The Central Bank Governor fought for a
    prison sentence for the Jalalabad treasurer, despite five calls a day
    from parliamentarians advocating for the official and the threats
    against him. Fitrat added that President Karzai told him to fire the
    head of Pashtany Bank for corruption and while he cannot do so,
    Fitrat has asked the Ministry of Finance to remove the bank's entire
    supervisory board, credit officer, and loan officer and also to
    install and utilize core banking software. According to Fitrat, the
    Finance Minister said in June that he would act in two weeks, but
    Zakhilwal still has not done so.

    POSSIBLE ECONOMIC FALL OUT
    FROM THE POLITICAL SITUATION
    ----------------------------

    ¶5. (C) Agreeing donors want to move ahead and want a validated Afghan
    Government as a partner, Fitrat also said any appearance of political
    turmoil over the elections results would repel investment. Such a
    development would undercut progress Fitrat and others have made to
    date in improving the financial climate.

    ¶6. (C) Discussing his situation two years through his five-year
    appointment, Fitrat said Afghan law mandates that the Central Bank
    governor and members of the Supreme Council cannot be fired without
    proof of incapacity, fraud or criminal activity and must be given a
    chance to appeal to the President. However, in Afghanistan,
    anything can happen, he said. Fitrat said some Parliamentarians had
    asked him to take illegal actions and he had not complied; these
    members may have complained to President Karzai. The two have not
    spoken in person in two months, and Fitrat said he hopes the
    President still has positive feelings toward him. Fitrat said he
    wants to stay in his position, but if the next president decides to
    replace him, he will depart peacefully.

    BUT THINKING ABOUT WHAT MIGHT
    HAPPEN UNDER A NEW GOVERNMENT
    -----------------------------

    ¶7. (C) In response to Ambassador Wayne's question about priorities
    for a new government, Fitrat said the mortgage industry will need a
    capital infusion. The Central Bank is moving forward with plans for
    a stock exchange, a credit information bureau, and a banking
    institute. He added that ineffective cabinet ministers should be
    removed and cited the Minister of Higher Education as an example.
    According to Fitrat, the Ministry demands bribes to recognize foreign
    university degrees, and he pointed to his own notetaker, whose
    bachelor's degree from Pakistan is not valid in Afghanistan, even
    though it was good enough for the IMF to hire her and for Williams
    College to accept her, from where she received a master's degree in
    Economics. He said Russian-educated mafias control universities
    and keep other faculty members out. He also criticized the Attorney
    General's office as corrupt and said the mid- and lower-level
    judiciary is corrupt. He agreed with Ambassador Wayne's suggestion
    that the next president pursue a clean government initiative.

    EIKENBERRY

`