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### Viewing cable 08KABUL576, Baghlan, Afghanistan: New Leadership to Address Provincial

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08KABUL576 | 2008-03-06 06:06 | 2011-01-24 17:05 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Kabul

`

    VZCZCXYZ2810
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHBUL #0576/01 0660607
    ZNR UUUUU ZZH
    R 060607Z MAR 08
    FM AMEMBASSY KABUL
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3145
    INFO RUCNAFG/AFGHANISTAN COLLECTIVE
    RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RUEKJCS/OSD WASHDC
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
    RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//JF/UNMA//
    RHMFIUU/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL

` `

    UNCLAS KABUL 000576

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR SCA/FO, SCA/A, S/CRS, EUR/RPM
    STATE PASS TO USAID FOR AID/ANE, AID/DCHA/DG
    NSC FOR WOOD
    OSD FOR SHIVERS
    CENTCOM FOR CG CJTF-82, POLAD

    SENSITIVE
    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: PGOV PREL AF
    SUBJECT: Baghlan, Afghanistan: New Leadership to Address Provincial
    Challenges

    ¶1. (SBU) Summary: Since the tragic suicide attack on the Baghlan
    Sugar Factory on November 6, 2007, the central government has
    replaced two leading provincial officials and has increased pressure
    on Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) to combat organized crime
    and insurgent activity. Baghlan is stable and relatively secure,
    and traffic continues to flow along the Ring Road and to reach the
    northern and western provinces. Industry is the basis for economic
    development in the province. It remains to be seen whether the
    young, newly-appointed and politically-inexperienced governor is
    able to assert his office's authority.

    Security - Fall Out from the Baghlan Sugar Factory Bombing
    --------------------------------------------- --

    ¶2. (SBU) The attack on the Baghlan Sugar Factory, in which
    approximately 75 individuals died, shook the provincial government.
    President Karzai eventually succumbed to pressure from Parliament
    and replaced the provincial governor and National Directorate of
    Security (NDS) provincial chief. Both the provincial police chief,
    who was in Kabul at a police conference at the time of the bombing,
    and his deputy have retained their positions.

    ¶3. (SBU) Police and NDS recently conducted an operation targeting
    organized criminals and insurgents in the province. More than 120
    individuals surrendered, likely motivated by previous overnment
    operations that caused casualties. Among the detained individuals
    were seven criinals accused of providing material support for he
    attack on the sugar factory.

    ¶4. (SBU) Given the geographic distances between the provincial
    capital and outlying district centers and its limited number of
    personnel, the ANSF is reliant upon local elders and communities to
    maintain stability. The Andarab belt in southeastern Baghlan, the
    Qandahari belt west of the river, and the border region between
    Kunduz and Baghlan remain areas of concern due to insurgents,
    organized crime, and ethnic tension. The ANSF permanent presence
    has decreased since the abolishment of the highway police and the
    consolidation of the auxiliary police in Mazar-e Sharif, Balkh
    province. (Neither Baghlan nor Balkh was ever authorized auxiliary
    police). The Afghan army does not currently have a permanent
    presence in the province, although one battalion from the 209 Corps,
    2nd Brigade, which will soon be established in Kunduz, is expected
    to deploy to Pol-e Khomri, the capital of Baghlan.

    ¶5. (SBU) The provincial police chief, Maulana Syed Khili, is a Tajik
    who is a former jihadi and Afghan National Army commander from
    Parwan province. He served as Parwan's provincial police chief for
    two years before arriving in Baghlan in 2007. Khili is a fighter
    with a flair for self-promotion and understands the need to
    demonstrate results, especially to foreign audiences. The
    recently-arrived provincial NDS chief Mohammed Daoud is a Tajik
    originally from Kunduz province. His brother-in-law, Mir Alam, is a
    former mujahideen commander, a local power broker, and most
    recently, Baghlan's provincial police chief, who was removed through
    the rank reform process.

    Development - Industrial Towns, Hydro-electric Power and Jitters
    about Privatization
    --------------------------------------------- ----

    ¶6. (SBU) A drive from Kunduz o Pol-e Khomri highlights Baghlan's
    industrial focus. Along the route are sugar and cheese factories in
    Fabrica, a cement plant and coal mine in Pol-e Khomri,
    hydro-electric plants along the river, and trucks exiting the Salang
    Pass enroute to Mazar-e Sharif and Kunduz and to Uzbekistan,
    Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. While there have been initiatives to
    strengthen or rehabilitate the industrial concerns, current
    development efforts are focused on priority sectors such as
    education and health and reaching some of the more remote or
    potentially volatile districts such as Tala Wa Barfek, Deh-e Salah,
    Pal-e Hazar and Baghlan-e Jedid.

    ¶7. (SBU) A Soviet-style command economy (state-driven investment,
    government factories) remains the textbook approach to economic
    development in the minds of some provincial officials. The
    Provincial Council is very skeptical of privatization, influenced by
    their experiences with the Baghlan cement plant. (The privatization
    process was poorly handled and is widely viewed has having been
    corrupt). They expressed concern about the loss of jobs, as well as
    the political and economic influences of the Karzai family
    (President Karzais brother is CEO of the plant). The PC's
    exprience with the cement plant has tainted their view as to the
    importance of private sector development to economic growth.

    Governance - A Financially Savvy, but Politically Inexperienced,
    Governor
    --------------------------------------------- -----

    ¶8. (SBU) Governance in the province has suffered with the frequent
    rotation of governors (there have been four since 2005). The new
    Baghlan governor, Abdul Jabar Haqbeen, assumed office at the
    beginning of January 2008. He is from Baghlan's Nahreen district
    and graduated from Kabul University's Economics Faculty. He began
    his career in the banking sector in Kabul, before serving most
    recently as a finance officer in Baghlan and Kunduz. He is allied
    with the Melat party, and his patron in Kabul is Finance Minister
    Ahadi. Haqbeen's youth (he is 30) and his lack of political
    experience may challenge his stated goals o bringing ethnic
    harmony, security and projects to the province. Haqbeen's mixed
    Tajik/Pashtun parentage, however, may assist him in representing the
    various ethnicities and regional geographic interests.

    ¶9. (SBU) Tajiks, Pashtuns, Uzbeks, and Hazara are represented in
    Baghlan's PC, although there is a slight Tajik overrepresentation
    compared to the population. Three PC members are mullahs. The PC
    chairman is the charming and well-spoken Mawlawi Sirajudin Seerat,
    who tends to be critical of the Karzai government. The PC is
    concerned with maximizing donor assistance and articulating the
    population's concerns about job opportunities and security.

    ¶10. (SBU) The mayor of Pol-e Khomri, Mohammad Safar, is originally
    from Baghlan's Farang district. He graduated from Kabul
    University's engineering faculty and worked in a variety of
    government offices and state-owned enterprises before becoming mayor
    in July 2007. Safar has focused on municipal service delivery and
    has a budget of approximately USD 1 million. He is particularly
    focused on paving the city's streets. Following a recent fire in
    the city, he requested international assistance with the procurement
    of fire fighting equipment. (Several municipalities in northeast
    Afghanistan have requested assistance in this regard.)
    WOOD

`