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### Viewing cable 08AMMAN869, KING AND QUEEN OUTLINE IRANIAN "NEMESIS" FOR

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
08AMMAN869 | 2008-03-19 17:05 | 2010-12-28 21:09 | SECRET//NOFORN | Embassy Amman

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    VZCZCXRO9530
    RR RUEHROV
    DE RUEHAM #0869/01 0791734
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    R 191734Z MAR 08 ZDK
    FM AMEMBASSY AMMAN
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2100
    INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 AMMAN 000869

    SIPDIS

    NOFORN
    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/18/2018
    TAGS: PGOV KWBG IR JO
    SUBJECT: KING AND QUEEN OUTLINE IRANIAN "NEMESIS" FOR
    VISITING STAFFDEL

    AMMAN 00000869 001.2 OF 002

    Classified By: Ambassador David Hale for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

    Summary
    -------

    ¶1. (C) Speaking to members of an Jordanian MFA-organized
    delegation of staffers from the U.S. Senate, King Abdullah
    and Queen Rania stressed the threat Iran poses to security
    and stability in the region, and linked the
    Israeli-Palestinian conflict to the rise of Iranian influence
    in the region. The King asserted that a collapse of the
    peace process would strengthen Iran's hand. The Queen added
    that economically strong, politically moderate alternatives
    in the region are the only thing that will ultimately defeat
    Iran's influence. Asked about the utility of direct
    engagement with Iran, the King believed that it would likely
    prove unfruitful, and any such initiative would have to be
    accomplished with delicacy and full consultation with
    America's allies in the region. Both the King and the Queen
    spoke about their efforts to build a solid economic future
    for the young people of Jordan. In closing, the King spoke
    highly about his recent visit to the United States. End
    Summary.

    The Iranian Threat
    ------------------

    ¶2. (C) Opening up the meeting, the King said that he
    believes that in the post-Annapolis peace talks, the parties
    will at some stage need U.S. intervention to close gaps on
    core issues, as the parties will be unable to do so on their
    own. He urged that the U.S. look at the Israeli/Palestinian
    issue in its regional context. "Failure (of the peace talks)
    will give Iran and its proxies exactly what they're looking
    for," the King asserted. He stated his belief that the
    Iranian regime is playing for time, working to block a
    solution to the Palestinian problem before the end of the
    Bush presidency, in order to strengthen the hands of
    militants throughout the Middle East. Iran was also advising
    the Syrian leadership to wait for a new administration before
    embarking on any Golan initiative. The King referred to the
    "Iranian nemesis" and noted its "signature" in the conflicts
    of the region, and its presence by proxy on the
    Mediterranean, as evidence of its growing influence and
    confidence. The King stressed that we should "connect the
    dots" between regional stability and Iranian influence, and
    avoid compartmentalizing Iran, Iraq and the peace process.
    The King said failure on the peace process would make Iran
    even more aggressive, compel a Sunni Arab response, and thus
    deepen conflict in Lebanon and Iraq. A lot was at stake in
    the peace process this year to preserve U.S. interests in the
    region, he said.

    ¶3. (C) Queen Rania chimed in on the issue as well, saying
    that success for moderate Arab states was critically
    important in order to defeat Iran's agenda. She said that
    Jordan was trying to become a model, a place where people
    say, "this is the kind of country we want to live in." The
    Queen said this is the only strategy that will ultimately
    work in countering Iranian influence - "this is what they're
    afraid of." Jordan's economic reforms and support for
    education are part of that overall effort, but the going is
    tough - the Queen said that "sometimes it feels like we're
    swimming against the current."

    ¶4. (S/NF) Asked about direct U.S. engagement with Iran, the
    King replied, "it depends on what you're trying to achieve."
    He sees Iran as a revolutionary power first and foremost. As
    such, it will either continue to expand (both in terms of
    territory and in terms of influence), or it will implode. In
    this context, the King wondered, "are they willing to deal
    sensibly with you?" If a mutually beneficial dialogue is
    started, the King said it should be behind the scenes, and at
    a low level. Any expansion to a more formal relationship
    would have to be accomplished with constant consultations
    between the U.S. and its allies - it is not something that
    Arab leaders should learn about from the press. In the end,
    however, the King betrayed his underlying skepticism that
    direct contact with Iran would be fruitful.

    Youth and Opportunity
    ---------------------

    ¶5. (C) The King and Queen both touched briefly on outreach
    to youth in Jordan. Citing a recent poll, the King indicated
    that the younger generation is concerned less with politics
    and more with jobs. He believes that building a solid middle
    class in Jordan is the key to keeping radicalism under wraps.
    "If the youth have hope, they'll be a stabilizing factor,"
    added the Queen. In the end, they both cited supply and
    demand in the job market as the critical factor in Jordan's

    AMMAN 00000869 002 OF 002

    future. The King noted his recent visit to the poor rural
    town of Shobak, in which he encountered a seamstress in a
    garment factory who was college-educated. Investing in
    education is a worthy goal, he noted, but jobs must be
    waiting for those trained workers if the economy is to
    advance as a whole.

    Visit Feedback
    --------------

    ¶6. (C) The King told the staffdel how pleased he was with
    his recent trip to the United States. "It's the best visit
    I've had in seven and a half years. I left extremely
    optimistic," he said.

    HALE

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