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### Viewing cable 09BEIJING1634, CDA AND MFA ASIAN AFFAIRS ON DPRK

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09BEIJING1634 | 2009-06-17 06:06 | 2010-11-30 16:04 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Beijing

`

    VZCZCXRO0731
    OO RUEHCN RUEHGH RUEHVC
    DE RUEHBJ #1634/01 1680645
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    O 170645Z JUN 09
    FM AMEMBASSY BEIJING
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4582
    INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
    RHMFISS/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
    RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BEIJING 001634

    SIPDIS

    DEPARTMENT FOR EAP/CM AND EAP/K

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/17/2034
    TAGS: PREL MARR PGOV CH KN KS
    SUBJECT: CDA AND MFA ASIAN AFFAIRS ON DPRK

    Classified By: Charge d'Affaires, a.i., Dan Piccuta.   Reasons 1.4 (b/d
    ).

    Summary

    ¶1. (C) In a June 16 luncheon in honor of visiting Hong Kong
    CG Joe Donovan hosted by the Charge, XXXXXXXXXXXX
    XXXXXXXXXXXX said that
    China liked a U.S. proposal described by Ambassador Bosworth
    here on June 5 to put all issues related to the
    denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula into a package for
    negotiation.  XXXXXXXXXXXX maintained that the United States holds the
    key to bringing the DPRK back to the negotiation table and
    suggested that succession concerns in North Korea might be
    causing Kim Jong-il to escalate tensions with the United
    States so that his successor, perhaps Kim Jong-un, could then
    step in to ease pressure.  XXXXXXXXXXXX acknowledged that China experts
    believe the DPRK has been processing highly enriched uranium
    but asserted that the program was only in an initial phase.
    XXXXXXXXXXXX suggested that ROK envoy to the Six-Party Talks had not
    offered any new ideas during his June 9 visit to Beijing and
    that Japan's focus on the abductee issue continued to cause
    concerns at the MFA.  End Summary.

    Chinese Protests to DPRK Have Had No Effect
    -------------------------------------------

    ¶2.  (C) In a June 16 luncheon hosted by the Charge, XXXXXXXXXXXX
    XXXXXXXXXXXX made
    clear that the PRC viewed recent provocative actions by the
    DPRK as having gone too far.  He assured the Charge that
    Chinese officials had expressed Chinese displeasure to North
    Korean counterparts and had pressed the DPRK to return to the
    negotiation table.  Unfortunately, XXXXXXXXXXXX added, those protests
    had had "no effect."  "The only country that can make
    progress with the North Koreans is the United States," he
    maintained.  XXXXXXXXXXXX said that, although China had assured North
    Korean leaders that the United States was ready to have
    bilateral talks with them, the North Koreans had insisted
    that any message from the United States to the DPRK should be
    delivered directly, not through China.  XXXXXXXXXXXX took this as
    further evidence that only by having direct talks with the
    United States would North Korea return to the Six-Party
    Talks.

    China Likes a Package Approach
    ------------------------------

    ¶3.  (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX told the Charge that China viewed favorably the
    USG proposal of putting all facets of a possible Korean
    Peninsula denuclearization agreement into one package.  XXXXXXXXXXXX
    characterized Chinese and U.S. core interests in a nuclear
    free Korean Peninsula as "shared."  He reminded his hosts
    that Punggye, the site of the DPRK nuclear test, was near the
    Chinese border and that any accident there could have had
    dire consequences for Northeast China.  XXXXXXXXXXXX insisted that
    China was as concerned as the United States about
    proliferation from North Korea.  The only difference in the
    China and U.S. positions, XXXXXXXXXXXX maintained, was "the United
    States was the key while China was only in a position to
    apply a little oil to the lock."

    Building Trust
    --------------

    ¶4. (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX cautioned that building trust between the DPRK and
    the United States would be difficult.  In North Korea's view,
    XXXXXXXXXXXX explained, the destruction of its nuclear capability was
    an irreversible step while decisions by the United States
    could be easily reversed.  When CGs Donovan and Goldberg both
    pointed out that trust was a two-way street and that North
    Korea had not evinced a great deal of it, XXXXXXXXXXXX was evasive.
    When pressed whether he believed the DPRK had been
    reprocessing highly enriched uranium (HEU), XXXXXXXXXXXX said yes,
    adding that Chinese experts believed the enrichment was only
    in its initial phases and that any DPRK HEU program would not
    be "very useful."

    Domestic Concerns in North Korea Influence Talks
    --------------------------------------------- ---

    ¶5. (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX suggested that domestic politics in North Korea
    were in a large way responsible for Pyongyang's recent
    actions.  He was dismissive of DPRK justifications for the
    nuclear test as a response to the UN Security Council

    BEIJING 00001634  002 OF 002

    Presidential Statement critical of North Korea's April 5
    Taepo-Dong 2 launch.  "Kim Jong-il was obviously planning the
    nuclear test at the same time as the missile launch so his
    justification for the test makes no sense," XXXXXXXXXXXX said.  XXXXXXXXXXXX
    opined that the rapid pace of provocative actions in North
    Korea was due to Kim Jong-il's declining health and might be
    part of a gambit under which Kim Jong-il would escalate
    tensions with the United States so that his successor,
    presumably Kim Jong-un, could then step in and ease those
    tensions.

    ¶6. (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX
    XXXXXXXXXXXX told the Charge that he
    kept abreast of Western media reports about North Korea.
    XXXXXXXXXXXX cautioned that U.S. experts should not assume North
    Korea would implode after Kim Jong-il's death.  He said that
    PRC analysts concluded that the regime would still function
    normally and discounted strongly any suggestion that the
    system would collapse once Kim Jong-il disappeared.

    ROK has no new ideas - Japan can only scuttle talks
    --------------------------------------------- ------

    ¶7.  (C) XXXXXXXXXXXX said that ROK Six-Party Talks envoy Wi Sung-lac
    had met with VFM Wu Dawei on June 9 but had offered nothing
    new.  "The South Koreans have plenty of ideas, but we've
    heard them all before," he complained, adding that the ROK
    government was too close to the situation in North Korea to
    be objective.   Turning to Japan, XXXXXXXXXXXX said that Japan's
    obsession with the abductee issue reminded him of a Chinese
    expression for an individual who was too weak to make
    something work, yet strong enough to destroy it.

    Participants
    -------------

    Charge Dan Piccuta
    Joe Donovan, U.S. Consul General Hong Kong
    Robert Goldberg, Consul General Guangzhou
    Mark Lambert, Regional Unit Chief
    Jim Brown, interpreter

    XXXXXXXXXXXX
    XXXXXXXXXXXX
    PICCUTA

`