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### Viewing cable 09THEHAGUE395, NETHERLANDS: OVERVIEW FOR THE PRESIDENT'S JULY 14

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09THEHAGUE395 | 2009-07-06 12:12 | 2011-01-17 00:12 | SECRET | Embassy The Hague

`

    VZCZCXRO6602
    PP RUEHAG RUEHROV RUEHSL
    DE RUEHTC #0395/01 1871208
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 061208Z JUL 09
    FM AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2978
    INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/CJCS WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 THE HAGUE 000395

    SIPDIS

    STATE PLEASE PASS TO WHITE HOUSE FOR THE PRESIDENT

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/06/2019
    TAGS: PREL OVIP ECON EFIN PINR MOPS NL
    SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS: OVERVIEW FOR THE PRESIDENT'S JULY 14
    ...

    215223,7/6/2009 12:08,09THEHAGUE395,"Embassy The Hague",
    SECRET,,"VZCZCXRO6602
    PP RUEHAG RUEHROV RUEHSL
    DE RUEHTC #0395/01 1871208
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 061208Z JUL 09
    FM AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2978
    INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUEKJCS/CJCS WASHDC PRIORITY
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY","S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 THE HAGUE 000395
    SIPDIS
    STATE PLEASE PASS TO WHITE HOUSE FOR THE PRESIDENT
    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/06/2019
    TAGS: PREL OVIP ECON EFIN PINR MOPS NL
    SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS: OVERVIEW FOR THE PRESIDENT'S JULY 14
    MEETING WITH DUTCH PRIME MINISTER BALKENENDE
    Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Michael F. Gallagher for reasons 1.4 (
    b) and (d).
    Mr. President:
    ¶1. (C) Your July 14 meeting with Dutch Prime Minister Jan
    Pieter Balkenende provides an opportunity for us to urge the
    Dutch to continue as part of NATO in Afghanistan and to
    enlist PM Balkenende in solving Guantanamo issues. For his
    part, Balkenende will seek to continue the Dutch role in the
    G20 and to find a common ground to work with us on climate
    change and the Middle East.
    ¶2. (C) Balkenende, in office through four coalitions since
    2002, is a cunning politician who does not impose his vision
    on coalition partners, but maneuvers effectively to achieve
    the intended goal. At first, he was dismissed as a
    lightweight ""Harry Potter"" look-alike, but he has
    consistently and skillfully delivered Cabinet support for
    U.S. policy objectives while balancing fragile parliamentary
    majorities. Balkenende,s current center-left coalition
    government (""Balkenende IV"") is held together more by fear of
    early elections than any unity of vision. The financial
    crisis has plunged the Netherlands into a recession likely to
    last through 2010, and the Cabinet must continually defend
    its three relatively modest stimulus packages against calls
    to do more to spur recovery. Balkenende is also under
    pressure from a skeptical public to withdraw the
    Netherlands, 1,800 troops from Afghanistan in 2010. His
    main coalition partner, the Labor Party, is in decline,
    having fared poorly in the 2006 national election and the
    2009 European Parliament election, and believes rejecting a
    continuing role in Afghanistan will please its base and may
    win back supporters.
    ¶3. (S) The Wilders Factor: Golden-pompadoured, maverick
    parliamentarian Geert Wilders, anti-Islam, nationalist
    Freedom Party remains a thorn in the coalition,s side,
    capitalizing on the social stresses resulting from the
    failure to fully integrate almost a million Dutch Muslims,
    mostly of Moroccan or Turkish descent. In existence only
    since 2006, the Freedom Party, tightly controlled by Wilders,
    has grown to be the Netherlands second largest, and fastest
    growing, party. Recent polls suggest it could even replace
    Balkenende,s Christian Democrats as the top party in 2011
    parliamentary elections. Wilders is no friend of the U.S.:
    he opposes Dutch military involvement in Afghanistan; he
    believes development assistance is money wasted; he opposes
    NATO missions outside ""allied"" territory; he is against most
    EU initiatives; and, most troubling, he forments fear and
    hatred of immigrants.
    ¶4. (C) As a result of these currents, Balkenende,s coalition
    finds itself in a precarious position and could fall within a
    year (most likely after municipal elections in March 2010).
    The Prime Minister is aware we want him to deliver continued
    Dutch boots on the ground in Afghanistan after 2010 and help
    with Guantanamo detainees. He knows there are high
    risks/expectations involved in his meeting with you, but we
    understand he is coming to offer as much as he thinks he can
    deliver at this time.
    ¶5. (S) Balkenende, a long-time champion of U.S.-Dutch
    relations, seeks to establish a strong relationship with you
    and capitalize on your popularity. The Dutch public
    overwhelmingly supported your election in November, and you
    remain hugely popular here as a beacon of change. Balkenende
    Qremain hugely popular here as a beacon of change. Balkenende
    will encourage you to view the long arc of the U.S.-Dutch
    relationship, not just current bumps in the road (e.g. the
    likely drawdown of Dutch forces in Afghanistan after 2010).
    He wants you to see the Netherlands as America,s friend and
    partner, with significant Dutch contributions to our shared
    foreign policy priorities: Dutch military presence in
    Afghanistan and support for NATO; support for U.S.
    intervention in Iraq; active participation in the EU, NATO,
    and other multilateral institutions; substantial and
    sustained foreign development assistance; and a long-standing
    commitment to promoting human rights, tolerance, and the rule
    of law. And, he will ask you for a seat at the G-20 table in
    Pittsburgh as well as for a meeting at the White House in
    September for the Crown Prince.
    ¶6. (C) Balkenende will use your private, one-on-one session
    to highlight your shared personal values and experiences. He
    believes social organizations are more effective in promoting
    change than government. His philosophy is that we must treat
    THE HAGUE 00000395 002 OF 002
    one another with dignity and respect as we live and work
    together. Your Father,s Day call for fathers to accept more
    responsibility in the rearing of their children resonated
    with him. Balkenende will also likely use the one-on-one
    session to pinpoint the political difficulties of the
    deliverables we are seeking. Rather than cover a laundry
    list of topics, the Dutch want the larger meeting to focus on
    1) Afghanistan/Pakistan, 2) the future of the global economic
    system (including the role of the G20 and how to help
    developing countries), 3) the Middle East Peace Process/Iran,
    and 4) climate change. The Prime Minister is anticipating
    other key foreign policy issues (e.g. human rights, Russia,
    NATO, non-proliferation, energy security, 400th anniversary
    of Henry Hudson,s voyage to Manhattan - NY400) can be
    covered by staff or only briefly mentioned to stay focused on
    the major issues. Two cables will follow which will expand
    on these topics.
    GALLAGHER

`