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### Viewing cable 06MADRID2632, SPAIN: TOUR D'HORIZON WITH FORMER PRESIDENT AZNAR

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06MADRID2632 | 2006-10-18 08:08 | 2010-12-03 12:12 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Madrid

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    VZCZCXRO2521
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
    DE RUEHMD #2632/01 2910840
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 180840Z OCT 06
    FM AMEMBASSY MADRID
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1064
    INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA PRIORITY 5034
    RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES PRIORITY 0287
    RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA PRIORITY 1848
    RUEHME/AMEMBASSY MEXICO PRIORITY 0555
    RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO PRIORITY 0457
    RUEHLA/AMCONSUL BARCELONA PRIORITY 2161
    RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 0230

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 MADRID 002632

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/18/2016
    TAGS: PREL PGOV SP
    SUBJECT: SPAIN: TOUR D'HORIZON WITH FORMER PRESIDENT AZNAR

    REF: BARCELONA 148

    MADRID 00002632 001.2 OF 002

    Classified By: Amb. Eduardo A. Aguirre for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

    ¶1. (C) SUMMARY: The Ambassador hosted former President Jose
    Maria Aznar for a private lunch at his residence on October
    ¶16. President Aznar offered his opinions on the domestic
    political situation as well as the outlook in Latin America.
    He also told Ambassador of his satisfaction at seeing
    improved United States-Spain relations, despite the
    difficulties this presents to his party in opposition. He
    told the Ambassador that he fears the current government is
    presiding over the "Balkanization" of Spain. END SUMMARY.

    ¶2. (C) During their October 16 luncheon, former President
    Aznar told the Ambassador that he views with satisfaction the
    improving GOS relationship with the U.S. over the past year.
    Aznar said that, as a Spaniard, he accepts this as a positive
    development although it presents difficulties for his
    opposition Partido Popular (PP). (COMMENT: Maintaining the
    trans-Atlantic relationship has long been one of the PP's key
    platforms, and PP leaders have hammered Zapatero for
    upsetting ties with Washington. The PP has also criticized
    the Zapatero government for steps it has taken that are
    important to the U.S., such as the Spanish deployment to
    Afghanistan and Lebanon. While efforts to improve the
    bilateral relationship have eased the sting of this PP
    criticism, PP leaders apparently have viewed U.S.-Spain
    tensions as favorable to their interests. Aznar's comments
    may reflect a new approach on this subject. We have told
    both the PP and the Socialist Party now in power to avoid
    using the U.S. in their political football, as this benefits
    neither Spanish nor U.S. interests. END COMMENT.)

    //Argentina, Chile, Peru, Colombia, Mexico//

    ¶3. (C) Aznar told the Ambassador about his recent speaking
    tour in Latin America. He found that Argentina is
    increasingly turning inward and that internal politics will
    be the dominant force in Argentina for several years. In
    Chile, he told the Ambassador that President Bachelet is
    strongly influenced by her father's murder and her own
    torture during the Pinochet regime. Aznar said that these
    experiences are more profoundly shaping her executive
    decisions than he had previously believed. On Peru, Aznar
    expressed his belief that Alan Garcia is a "new man" who has
    cast aside the legacy of his previous administration and who
    is deeply committed to creating stability and economic
    opportunity. He also said that President Uribe appears very
    secure and established in Colombia. Aznar saw deep internal
    divisions in Mexico, but he noted that the U.S. border fence
    project is a unifying force of anti-American sentiment, to
    the detriment of U.S. relations with Mexico.

    //ETA, Basque Country and Catalonia//

    ¶4. (C) Aznar said he fears that the GOS is presiding over
    the "Balkanization" of Spain, by allowing the autonomous
    communities greater independence. The PP feels that by
    allowing the 2006 Catalonia referendum on autonomy, the GOS
    has opened the floodgates to demands for greater local
    control. Worse, by entering into negotiations with ETA, the
    GOS has nearly legitimized the Basque self-determination
    movement. Aznar expressed his belief that the ongoing ETA
    negotiations will fail. He said that the only way to deal
    with ETA is as a criminal organization. The negotiations
    never had a chance for success, he said, because neither side
    ever had any room to maneuver or flexibility in their
    positions. According to Aznar, ETA will never abandon its
    demand for Basque self-determination, and the GOS can never
    agree to that demand.

    ¶5. (C) Adhering to the party line, Aznar expressed
    confidence that the PP would win a slim plurality in the
    approaching Catalonia regional election. NOTE: Polling
    indicates that the Catalan "middle of the road" CiU party is
    likely to win the regional election, though it may have to
    form a tripartite coalition to govern (reftel). The PP is
    not even assured a place in that coalition, as it currently
    is polling at around 10 percent in the region. END NOTE.

    ------------------------------------------
    Visit Embassy Madrid's Classified Website;
    http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/eur/madrid/
    ------------------------------------------

    MADRID 00002632 002.2 OF 002

    AGUIRRE

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