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### Viewing cable 09MOSCOW3051, U/S HORMATS'S MEETING WITH GAZPROM

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09MOSCOW3051 | 2009-12-18 15:03 | 2011-01-05 11:11 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Moscow
Appears in these articles: http://www.spiegel.de/

`

    VZCZCXRO0499
    PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHNP RUEHROV RUEHSL RUEHSR
    DE RUEHMO #3051/01 3521537
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 181537Z DEC 09
    FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5712
    INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHXD/MOSCOW POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHMFISS/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 003051

    SIPDIS

    DEPT FOR EUR/RUS, EEB/ESC/IEC GALLOGLY AND GREENSTEIN,
    S/EEE MORNINGSTAR
    DOE FOR HEGBURG, EKIMOFF
    DOC FOR JBROUGHER
    NSC FOR MMCFAUL

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/15/2019
    TAGS: EPET ENRG ECON PREL RS
    SUBJECT: U/S HORMATS'S MEETING WITH GAZPROM

    REF: A. MOSCOW 2904
    ¶B. MOSCOW 2874

    Classified By: Ambassador John R. Beyrle for Reasons 1.4 (b/d)

    -------
    SUMMARY
    -------

    ¶1. (C) Gazprom's Deputy CEO Alexander Medvedev told U/S
    Hormats that he welcomes better relations with the U.S. and
    that Gazprom seeks to expand its presence in North America.
    He blamed last year's gas crisis on President Yushchenko and
    claimed Russia does not want to politicize the gas trade. He
    confirmed the concessions that Gazprom has made on gas sales
    to Ukraine, believed Ukraine can pay its gas bills, and
    expected no disruption this winter "unless Yushchenko goes
    crazy." Medvedev said the gas market is becoming more
    globalized and that Gazprom is "not afraid of liberalized
    markets." He said Gazprom continues to push for a rise to
    net-back parity of domestic industrial gas prices with
    European prices by 2011. Medvedev also stressed the
    importance of hockey diplomacy, expressing hope for greater
    cooperation between the Russian KHL and the NHL. End summary.

    --------------------
    GAZPROM AND THE U.S.
    --------------------

    ¶2. (C) In a December 1 meeting with visiting U/S Hormats and
    the Ambassador, Gazprom's Deputy CEO Alexander Medvedev
    expressed satisfaction with the "reset" and suggested that
    the next step in relations is an "upgrade." Medvedev was
    very pleased that the USG does not see Gazprom projects in
    Europe as a threat, and predicted that Gazprom would boost
    its operations in the U.S. He noted that Gazprom sees North
    America as a "priority market" and that it would like to
    expand its U.S. subsidiary, Gazprom Marketing and Trading
    U.S.A. He opined that shale gas production in the U.S. would
    not preclude future LNG imports and said Gazprom has booked
    future LNG regassification capacity on both North American
    coasts. Medvedev also suggested the environmental impact of
    shale gas production needs further review. In response to
    U/S Hormats's question regarding specific projects in which
    Gazprom is interested in the U.S., Medvedev simply said
    Gazprom would "consider projects on a case-by-case basis as
    opportunities arise."

    -------
    UKRAINE
    -------

    ¶3. (C) In discussing Ukraine, Medvedev spared no scorn.
    Unprompted, he said "treating Ukraine as a democracy is a
    discredit to democracies worldwide." He asserted -- with a
    straight face -- that Russia does not want to politicize the
    gas trade; that it is a purely commercial issue. He blamed
    President Yushchenko for playing politics with the gas issue,
    claiming that Yushchenko had directly ordered Naftohaz head
    Dubyina not to sign a contract with Gazprom in December 2008
    "in order to create the crisis." Medvedev confirmed that
    Gazprom had agreed to waive fines that it could have imposed
    on Ukraine for taking less gas than contracted in 2009, that
    it had agreed to lower 2010 sales volumes to meet Ukraine's
    lower demand, and that it would pay higher transit fees to
    Ukraine in 2010 (ref B). He also said that Gazprom believes
    Ukraine has the money to pay for its winter gas needs. He
    therefore did not expect any problems this winter, "unless
    Yushchenko goes crazy and forbids the central bank from
    transferring funds to Naftohaz.

    ¶4. (C) In response to the Ambassador's question, Medvedev
    said he did not expect any effect on Gazprom contracts with
    other European customers as a result of its agreement with
    Ukraine. He clarified that its contracts with Ukraine were,
    at Ukraine's request, not "traditional" take-or-pay contracts
    in that Ukraine had agreed to pay a fine if it took less gas
    than contracted. In contrast, Gazprom's contracts with other
    European customers require them to pay for a specified
    quantity of gas whether they take it or not. If they do not
    take the minimum amount of gas in a given year, Medvedev

    Moscow 00003051 002 of 002

    explained, they can take it in future years.

    ----------
    GAS MARKET
    ----------

    ¶5. (C) With regard to the gas glut and depressed spot market
    prices, Medvedev downplayed the role of the spot market,
    emphasizing that it is currently "only" 15% of the total gas
    market. He added that Gazprom also expects spot market
    prices to rise in the longer-term toward Gazprom's prices and
    thus have limited impact on Gazprom's sales. However, he
    also admitted that it is "quite obvious that the market is
    globalizing" and said that Gazprom expects the share of spot
    market sales to reach 25% in coming years. He added that
    Gazprom is "not afraid of competing in a liberalized market."

    ¶6. (C) Regarding developments of new gas fields in Russia,
    Medvedev said that Gazprom has both the technology and
    ability to exploit new fields in the Yamal peninsula, but
    that it has pushed back plans due to market conditions. He
    said development of the Bovanenko field, has been delayed to
    2012 because Gazprom sees no demand for additional gas in
    ¶2011.
    ---------------------------------
    DOMESTIC GAS PRICE LIBERALIZATION
    ---------------------------------

    ¶7. (C) Medvedev said that Gazprom continues to push for full
    liberalization of domestic gas prices for industry by 2011,
    without admitting that it is unlikely to happen (ref A). He
    noted that artificially low regulated domestic gas prices had
    created market distortions and hurt efficiency. According to
    Medvedev, Gazprom made its first profit on domestic sales
    only this year. He said that the GOR was hesitant to raise
    gas prices on consumers during an economic crisis, but that
    from Gazprom's point of view household gas prices could
    remain subsidized as they only represent 15% of domestic gas
    sales. (Comment: He seemed to neglect that industrial
    prices would also pass through to consumers. End comment.)

    ------
    HOCKEY
    ------

    ¶8. (C) As a hockey fanatic and president of the major Russian
    hockey league, the KHL, Medvedev also stressed the importance
    of "hockey diplomacy." Frustrated by the lack of an
    agreement with the NHL (on competitions, player transfers,
    and other issues), he called the NHL "retrograde" and "stuck
    in the cold war." That said, Medvedev reported that he had a
    good meeting in Washington with NHL Commissioner Gary
    Bettman, and that he hoped it would lead to positive action.

    -------
    COMMENT
    -------

    ¶9. (C) Medvedev is understandably selective with his facts
    and positions regarding the gas market and Ukraine. However,
    he sounded sincere in his desire for better U.S.-Russian
    relations and greater bilateral economic activity. An
    expansion of Gazprom's presence in the U.S. and in other
    developed economies would likely serve our interests by
    further exposing the company to both the discipline of
    western financial markets as well as the oversight of strong
    regulatory institutions. End comment.

    ¶10. (U) This cable has been cleared by U/S Hormats'
    delegation.
    Beyrle

`