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### Viewing cable 10LONDON21, UK - UNHAPPY WITH ICELANDIC PRESIDENT'S DECISION

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
10LONDON21 | 2010-01-06 12:12 | 2011-01-13 05:05 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy London

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    VZCZCXRO1626
    PP RUEHAG RUEHROV RUEHSL RUEHSR
    DE RUEHLO #0021/01 0061226
    ZNY EEEEE ZZH
    P 061226Z JAN 10
    FM AMEMBASSY LONDON
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4560
    INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUEHRK/AMEMBASSY REYKJAVIK PRIORITY 0201
    RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY

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    UNCLAS E F T O SECTION 01 OF 02 LONDON 000021

    SIPDIS
    NOFORN

    TREASURY FOR HORTON, WINN
    NSC FOR HOVENIER, BRADLEY

    E.O. 12958: N/A
    TAGS: ECON EINV IC NE UK
    SUBJECT: UK - UNHAPPY WITH ICELANDIC PRESIDENT'S DECISION
    ON ICESAVE, BUT NO OFFICIAL PROTEST - YET

    REF: REYKJAVIK 000003

    ¶1. (SBU/NF) Summary: The UK government did not anticipate
    that Iceland President Grimsson would block the legislation
    on Icesave with UK Treasury officials telling us that until
    the morning of January 5, Icelandic officials had reassured
    the UK that the law would be signed. Given that Iceland's PM
    was taken aback by Grimsson's decision and had even
    questioned whether such an action was constitutional, the
    British government wants to give the Icelandic government
    time to work this out internally. The UK hopes that Iceland
    does not take any precipitous steps - such as holding a
    referendum - that could further complicate this situation and
    undermine support for Iceland's EU's membership and an
    additional IMF tranche. Official UK comments to the press
    have referenced the risks to Iceland's EU membership.
    End Summary.

    UK Reaction
    -----------

    ¶2. (U) In reaction to the announcement by the President of
    Iceland that he would not sign into law the Icesave bill
    passed by Iceland's parliament on December 30 and would
    instead refer the bill to a national referendum, Lord Myners,
    the financial services minister, said Iceland risked pariah
    status if voters rejected the loan repayment plan.  He added
    that Iceland was aware of the risks to its relationship with
    the IMF and EU if it failed to repay the money. "I do not
    think it is a case of us having to warn them," he said. The
    Prime Minister's office issued the following statement: "The
    government expects the loan to be repaid. We are obviously
    very disappointed by the decision by the Icelandic president,
    but we do expect Iceland to live up to its legal obligations
    and repay the money."

    ¶3. (U) On the eve of Grimsson's announcement, Chancellor of
    the Exchequer Darling had urged the Icelandic president to
    sign the legislation.  Darling told the British press that
    "We have spent many, many months in productive meetings with
    Icelandic authorities and the Icelandic government to enter
    an agreement to make sure that money was reimbursed to us."
    Darling said it was vital for Iceland's economic future that
    the Icesave compensation was repaid. "I would say to the
    people in Iceland that it is difficult but you have to
    realize that the British government had to step in to deal
    with a very difficult situation with savers in Icelandic
    banks."

    ¶4. (SBU/NF) Treasury Head of Financial Services Strategy Gary
    Roberts told ECOUNS January 6 that the UK has consistently
    maintained and will continue to emphasize that Iceland needs
    to meet its European Economic Area (EEA) obligations.
    However, Roberts said that UK at this stage wanted to avoid
    making a direct linkage between repayment and Iceland's
    membership in the EU.  However, the UK government would be
    forced to react if the European Commission proceeded in
    considering Iceland's membership if Iceland were  in
    violation of its EEA obligations. Under such rules, a nation
    cannot join the EU if it has failed to insure its banking
    deposits outside its borders. Roberts noted that the UK hoped
    that other interested parties would ensure that the loan
    question was resolved before any membership discussion was
    conducted.

    ¶5. (SBU/NF) HMT officials said it would be difficult for the
    UK to support the next IMF review for Iceland if the decision
    on repayment were still unresolved.  It would also be in no
    one's interest, postulated Roberts, to have a review anytime
    soon, since no one knows yet what the macro-economic effects
    of Grimsson's decision will be. Note: Immediately after the
    Icelandic president's decision, Fitch downgraded Iceland's
    credit rating to junk status.

    The Terms
    ---------

    ¶6. (SBU/NF) Roberts reiterated that discussions with
    Icelandic officials have always been productive and cordial,
    and called press stories about an acrimonious "dispute"
    between the UK and Iceland over the terms  "erroneous."  The
    UK will not renegotiate terms of agreement, said Roberts.
    Terms were "generous", with payments spread out over several
    years, a waiver of interest rate payments for seven years,
    and a 5.5 percent interest rate consistent with ten-year

    LONDON 00000021  002 OF 002

    gilts.  Moreover, UK terms were better than the Nordics,
    which had interest rates 200-300 basis points higher, he
    noted.

    ¶7. (SBU/NF) According to the UK press, HMT will begin talks
    with Brussels and its counterparts in the Netherlands.
    Roberts said HMT wants to ensure that neither the UK nor
    Dutch government takes precipitous action that would hamper
    the Icelandic government's ability to sort this out itself.

    Visit London's Classified Website:
    http://www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/Portal:Unit ed_Kingdom

    LeBaron

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